Handicappers' Race Results

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Thistledown
Monday - September 09, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

TDN-1   Win (6/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 1 $3.60 $3.60  
TDN-2   Win (4/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $6.20 $6.20 0.20
TDN-3   Win (1/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $3.80 $3.80  
TDN-4   Win (3/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 7 1 0 $6.60  
TDN-5   Win (3/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 0 $8.20  
TDN-6   Win (4/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $40.20 $40.20 34.20
TDN-7   Win (6/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 1 $3.40 $3.40  
TDN-8   Win (3/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 0 $34.00  

Simulator Race results

 
TDN-1   09/09/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($27.5K) 3UP M/F PT-12:50
See original race card.
:23 :47 :592     1:06   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KICHI KITSU 1 4 14 1   1 1 (ruberto v)FELICIANO R 119 2.00 21% 3.70 0.80 W
DRIVEN FOR SUCCESS 4 3 35 3   2 2 (radosevich j)RIVERA R 121 4.50 5.10  
OUT MY DEAR 2 6 5 510¾   512 3 (radosevich just)BRACHO A 119 8.00 9% 9.80 6.10 S
PANAMANIAC 5 1 24 2   411 410¼ (shanyfelt valeri)GONZALEZ A 119 3.00 28% 2.60 7.80  
HIGH FIRE 3 5 613½ 617¾   616 512 (johnson ga)FERNANDEZ R 119 12.00 16.20  
TRULY INCLUSIVE 6 2 4 4   3 612½ (rone mike)AVILES YAN 119 8.00 4.10  
SCR  LEXY ANNA               (yoder su)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 4.00    
 
TDN-2   09/09/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($16.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:20
See original race card.
:231 :473 1:001     1:131   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LA CUMPARSITA 4 5 2½ 2½   31 1 (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 123 2.50 42% 1.40 2.10 W
ROWDY DAISY 6 1 42 3½   1½ 2 (canegata james)FELICIANO R 123 5.00 1.90  
QUARANTINA 5 2 52 5   5 3 (casalinova tina)VIGIL NOEL 123 15.00 42.20  
CONSTITUTIONALIST 3 3 1½ 1½   2½ 45 (rivera nestor)BOWEN ROCCO 123 3.50 4.00  
CALENDULA 2 4 3 4¾   4 5 (lopez jr)GONZALEZ A 123 8.00 18% 4.50 2.20  
RAINBOW SHIP 1 6 6 615¼   628½ 650¼ (simmonds donald)PAUCAR E 123 12.00 5% 19.00 28.10  
SCR  DATTTSAFANCYFOX               (suarez javier)DIAZ I 123 1.80    
 
TDN-3   09/09/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.4K) 2 F PT- 1:50
See original race card.
:23 :472 1:001     1:07   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HIGH TOLE 3 3 2nk 11   14 14 (baile)GIRON ALEJANDRO 118 3.00 18% 4.70 0.90 W
SLEW CROWN 1 6 33 3   24 24 (rini anthony)FELICIANO R 118 2.50 35% 1.80 1.80 P
SIP'N' SPEED 2 5 6 5   47 34 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 118 4.00 8.10  
DREAMING OF WAR 6 1 1nk 21   3 411¾ (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 118 3.50 7.70  
MISS LITTLE BIT 4 2 4 4   57 512½ (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 118 10.00 9% 9.90 13.80  
JENN SWEET JENN 5 4 5 6   612 613¼ (rini anthony)HALDAR J 118 12.00 32.60  
JEMEL 7 7 714¾ 716¾   717 723½ (rettele rich)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 118 6.00 30.60  
 
TDN-4   09/09/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:20
See original race card.
:231 :472 :594     1:06   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SAHM TEQUILA 5 1 42 5   3 1¼ (lopez jr)DIAZ I 121 2.50 2.30  
NO ANGEL 3 5 5 31   11 2¼ (canegata james)BERRIOS HECTOR 119 3.50 3.30  
MARLEY LUCK 2 4 1 11   21 3 (radosevich jeff)HOUGHTON D 119 10.00 17% 4.70 13.30 S
BROADWAY JONES 4 2 2 21   4 44 (hurley l)HALDAR J 119 8.00 5% 19.00 35.30  
MON CAMO 1 3 32 4   52 5 (shanyfelt valeri)GONZALEZ A 119 2.00 44% 1.30 0.60  
SCR  ROCK ON KITTEN               (johnson ga)FERNANDEZ R 119 5.00    
SCR  TWICE AS SMART               (zielinski richard)VIGIL NOEL 119 15.00    
 
TDN-5   09/09/2024 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($18.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:50
See original race card.
:232 :481 1:011     1:08   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VERNON'S BEST 1 5 1nk 1nk   1nk 1¼ (urieta johanna)PEREZ A 119 2.00 2.60 DQ↓2
STRIKE PLATE 4 4 2nk 2nk   2nk 2¼ (langley joshua)BOWEN ROCCO 119 3.00 3.10  
FORMYBOYS 3 2 5 42   4 3 (radosevich j)RIVERA R 123 1.80 47% 1.10 2.00 S
DON'T TIZ MAX 6 1 6 65   5 4 (radosevich jeff)HOUGHTON D 123 15.00 5% 19.00 8.80  
COLORFUL LAD 2 6 4 3   3 5 (zielinski richard)VIGIL NOEL 123 5.00 20% 4.00 3.00  
HIDDEN HEART 5 3 3 54   610¼ 621 (skerrett jef)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 123 10.00 31.30  
 
TDN-6   09/09/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($21.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
See original race card.
:23 :472 1:00     1:062   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RUN ROCKY 1 4 34 4   2nk 12 (shanyfelt valeri)GONZALEZ A 119 8.00 5% 19.00 19.10 W
WILDCAT BILL 5 1 21 2½   3 22 (radosevich j)RIVERA R 119 3.50 5.40  
CONDEMNATION 2 3 11 1½   1nk 33 (morales sa)FERNANDEZ R 119 2.00 13% 6.60 2.90 S
NO MAS CERVEZA 4 2 44 3   44 4 (brown gl)BATISTA ALBERTO 121 5.00 14.40  
SAMMY AND SHORTY 3 5 57 5   58 58 (winters michell)SIMPSON JASON 121 1.80 64% 0.60 0.40  
SCR  TAMMY'S TOY               (brown)GIRON ALEJANDRO 119 12.00    
 
TDN-7   09/09/2024 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:233 :48 1:131     1:393   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MOREAU 5 2 2nk 2nk 1½ 1 1 (radosevich jeff)BRACHO A 119 2.50 25% 3.00 0.70 W
GUT INSTINCT 6 3 1nk 1nk 2½ 2 2 (skerrett jeffrey)PEREZ A 119 1.80 26% 2.80 2.30 P
LAST COOKIE 4 5 6 65 5 4 3 (urieta johanna)HALDAR J 119 5.00 6.80  
SOUPERSILVERDOLLAR 2 4 3 3 3 3 410½ (kintz matt)RIVERA R 121 6.00 14.00  
PLAIN AND SIMPLE 3 6 5 4 44 5 511¼ (skerrett jeffrey)BOWEN ROCCO 119 3.50 6.20  
MEXITEXAFORNIA 1 1 4 5 614½ 6100 6100 (crumley jevon)BARBARAN ERIK 115 10.00 5% 19.00 52.70  
 
TDN-8   09/09/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($31.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
See original race card.
:222 :46 :583     1:112   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAJESTIC FLAG 6 1 4 21   1 12 (jackson r)HOUGHTON D 121 10.00 16.00  
MIDNIGHT MAJESTY 3 3 32 31   3 22 (puhl kim)BOWEN ROCCO 121 1.60 39% 1.60 0.80 P
HITSVILLE 1 6 54 5   4 3 (brown glen)FERNANDEZ R 119 3.50 8.00  
ROAD TO STARDOM 4 5 66 6   6 46 (inirio ol)DIAZ I 119 5.00 21% 3.80 12.50  
GOODBYELLOWBRICKRD 5 2 21 4   5 58 (skerrett jef)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 119 3.00 5.60  
WITHOUT OBJECTION 2 4 11 11   2 69 (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 115 6.00 12% 7.60 2.60  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.