Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Thistledown
Monday - September 09, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TDN-1   WIN (6/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/2/3)-(6/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/2/3)-(6/2/3)-(6/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (6/2/3)-(4/2/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/2/3)-(4/2/1)-(1/3/4) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
TDN-2   WIN (4/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/1)-(4/2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/2/1)-(4/2/1)-(4/2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (4/2/1)-(1/3/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/2/1)-(1/3/4)-(3/4/6) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
TDN-3   WIN (1/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/4)-(1/3/4/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (1/3/4)-(1/3/4/7)-(1/3/4/7) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
    DD (1/3/4)-(3/4/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/3/4)-(3/4/6)-(3/2/6) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
TDN-4   WIN (3/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/4/6)-(3/4/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/4/6)-(3/4/6)-(3/4/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (3/4/6)-(3/2/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/4/6)-(3/2/6)-(4/2/1) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
TDN-5   WIN (3/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/6)-(3/2/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/2/6)-(3/2/6)-(3/2/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (3/2/6)-(4/2/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/2/6)-(4/2/1)-(6/5/1) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
TDN-6   WIN (4/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/1)-(4/2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/2/1)-(4/2/1)-(4/2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (4/2/1)-(6/5/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/2/1)-(6/5/1)-(3/4/2) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
TDN-7   WIN (6/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/5/1)-(6/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/5/1)-(6/5/1)-(6/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (6/5/1)-(3/4/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
TDN-8   WIN (3/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/4/2)-(3/4/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/4/2)-(3/4/2)-(3/4/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TDN-1   09/09/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($27.5K) 3UP M/F PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  LEXY ANNA Aug10 Jun25 Jun05 Oct11 Sep19 (yoder )BATISTA ALBERTO 119 4.00    
2  KICHI KITSU Jun22 Jun05 May18 May04 Oct05 (ruberto v)FELICIANO R 119 2.00 21% 3.70    
3  OUT MY DEAR Aug29 Jul15 Jun11 May21 Oct10 (radosevich ju)BRACHO A 119 8.00 9% 9.80    
4  HIGH FIRE Jul17 Jun27 May30 May09 Apr13 (johnson )FERNANDEZ R 119 12.00    
5  DRIVEN FOR SUCCESS Jul25 Jun25 Jun11 May14 Apr25 (radosevich)RIVERA R 121 4.50    
6  PANAMANIAC Aug01 Jul03 Jun05 May18 Oct11 (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 119 3.00 28% 2.60    
7  TRULY INCLUSIVE Jul04 Jun03 May04 Mar12 Feb13 (rone mike)AVILES YAN 119 8.00    
 
TDN-2   09/09/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($16.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RAINBOW SHIP Jul30 Jul03 Jun11 Apr30 Apr11 (simmonds donald)PAUCAR E 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
2  CALENDULA Aug06 Jul10 Jun08 Apr12 Mar30 (lopez enrique )GONZALEZ A 123 8.00 18% 4.50    
3  CONSTITUTIONALIST Aug21 Jul24 Jul03 Jun12 May22 (rivera nestor)BOWEN ROCCO 123 3.50    
4  LA CUMPARSITA Aug21 Aug10 Jul30 Jul15 Jul03 (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 123 2.50 42% 1.40    
SCR  DATTTSAFANCYFOX May24 Apr29 Mar27 Feb28 Feb13 (suarez javier)DIAZ I 123 1.80    
6  QUARANTINA Aug21 Aug13 Jul10 May18 Apr24 (casalinova tina)VIGIL NOEL 123 15.00    
7  ROWDY DAISY Aug21 Jul29 Jul15 Jun12 May22 (canegata james)FELICIANO R 123 5.00    
 
TDN-3   09/09/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.4K) 2 F PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SLEW CROWN Aug14 Jul23       (rini anthony)FELICIANO R 118 2.50 35% 1.80    
  (by AWESOME SLEW out of CLOUDY DAY by CROWN OF THORNS)
2  SIP'N' SPEED Aug14         (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 118 4.00    
  (by OMAHA BEACH out of ANY KIND by PIONEEROF THE NILE)
3  HIGH TOLE         (bai)GIRON ALEJANDRO 118 3.00 18% 4.70    
  (by MITOLE out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
4  MISS LITTLE BIT         (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 118 10.00 9% 9.90    
  (by WORLD OF TROUBLE out of HIP NINETY THREE by HARLINGTON)
5  JENN SWEET JENN Aug14 Jul23       (rini anthony)HALDAR J 118 12.00    
  (by DAK ATTACK out of GISELLE MA BELLE by INDIAN OCEAN)
6  DREAMING OF WAR         (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 118 3.50    
  (by ALWAYS DREAMING out of RUSH TO WAR by MAJESTIC WARRIOR)
7  JEMEL         (rettele ri)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 118 6.00 ★    
  (by CROSS TRAFFIC out of CLASSY CITIZEN by PROUD CITIZEN)
 
TDN-4   09/09/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  TWICE AS SMART Mar18 Feb27 Feb14 Jan18 Jan03 (zielinski richar)VIGIL NOEL 119 15.00    
SCR  ROCK ON KITTEN Jun24 Jun05 May06 Apr08 Mar20 (johnson )FERNANDEZ R 119 5.00    
3  MON CAMO Aug13 Jul23 Jun24 May20 Oct23 (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 119 2.00 44% 1.30    
4  MARLEY LUCK Jul30 Jul08 Jun17 May27 May08 (radosevich jef)HOUGHTON D 119 10.00 17% 4.70    
5  NO ANGEL Aug29 Aug21 Jul22 Jun22 May30 (canegata jam)BERRIOS HECTOR 119 3.50    
6  BROADWAY JONES Aug13 Jul08 Jun17 May13 Mar20 (hurley mary )HALDAR J 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
7  SAHM TEQUILA Aug27 Jul23 Jul02 Jun11 May22 (lopez enrique )DIAZ I 121 2.50    
 
TDN-5   09/09/2024 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($18.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VERNON'S BEST Aug19 Aug07 Jul22 Jun17 Jan02 (urieta johanna)PEREZ A 119 2.00    
2  COLORFUL LAD Aug28 Jul31 Jul15 Apr22 Jun06 (zielinski richar)VIGIL NOEL 123 5.00 20% 4.00    
3  FORMYBOYS Aug28 Jul29 Jun17 May28 May07 (radosevich)RIVERA R 123 1.80 47% 1.10    
4  STRIKE PLATE Aug28 Aug19 Aug07     (langley joshua)BOWEN ROCCO 119 3.00    
5  HIDDEN HEART Aug28         (skerrett j)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 123 10.00    
6  DON'T TIZ MAX Jul29         (radosevich jef)HOUGHTON D 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
TDN-6   09/09/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($21.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RUN ROCKY Aug06 Jul10 Jun17 Aug09 Jul27 (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  CONDEMNATION Aug20 Jul25 Oct23 Oct13 Sep20 (morales )FERNANDEZ R 119 2.00 13% 6.60    
SCR  TAMMY'S TOY Aug28 Aug13 Jul16 Jun27 May22 (bro)GIRON ALEJANDRO 119 12.00    
4  SAMMY AND SHORTY Aug20 Aug06 Jul17 Jun25 Jun04 (winters miche)SIMPSON JASON 121 1.80 64% 0.60    
5  NO MAS CERVEZA Aug27 Jul30 Jul11 Jun19 Jun05 (brown )BATISTA ALBERTO 121 5.00    
6  WILDCAT BILL Aug20 Feb15 Jan22 Jan01 Dec14 (radosevich)RIVERA R 119 3.50    
 
TDN-7   09/09/2024 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MEXITEXAFORNIA Aug15 Jul24 Jun12 May21 Apr29 (crumley jevon)BARBARAN ERIK 115 10.00 5% 19.00    
2  SOUPERSILVERDOLLAR Aug14 Jul30 Jul15 Jun26 Jan24 (kintz ma)RIVERA R 121 6.00    
3  PLAIN AND SIMPLE Aug28 May26       (skerrett jeffre)BOWEN ROCCO 119 3.50    
4  LAST COOKIE Aug19 Aug01 Jul16 Jun24 Jun05 (urieta johan)HALDAR J 119 5.00    
5  MOREAU Aug19 Jul07 May30 Apr26 Nov30 (radosevich je)BRACHO A 119 2.50 25% 3.00    
6  GUT INSTINCT Aug19 Aug01 Jul16 Jun22 Jun04 (skerrett jeffrey)PEREZ A 119 1.80 26% 2.80    
 
TDN-8   09/09/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($31.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HITSVILLE Aug19 Jul30 Jul08 Jun13 May28 (brown gl)FERNANDEZ R 119 3.50    
2  WITHOUT OBJECTION Aug07 Jul11 Jun22 May14 Apr28 (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 115 6.00 12% 7.60    
3  MIDNIGHT MAJESTY Aug19 Jul30 Jul11 May21 May07 (puhl kim)BOWEN ROCCO 121 1.60 39% 1.60    
4  ROAD TO STARDOM Aug26 Jul30 Jun18 May27 Feb17 (inirio car)CASTELLANO JESUS 119 5.00 21% 3.80    
5  GOODBYELLOWBRICKRD Aug19 Jul30 Jul08 Jun13 May21 (skerrett j)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 119 3.00    
6  MAJESTIC FLAG Aug19 Jul25 Jun22 May28 Oct30 (jackson james )HOUGHTON D 121 10.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.