Handicappers' Race Results

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Thistledown
Thursday - September 19, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

TDN-1   Win (1/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 7 1 0 $4.00  
TDN-2   Win (6/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 0 $8.40  
TDN-3   Win (5/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 1 $7.40 $7.40 1.40
TDN-4   Win (2/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 0 $4.80  
TDN-5   Win (3/7/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 0 $5.00  
TDN-6   Win (4/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $5.40 $5.40  
TDN-7   Win (6/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 1 $4.80 $4.80  
TDN-8   Win (6/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 6 1 1 $3.00 $3.00  

Simulator Race results

 
TDN-1   09/19/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($17.4K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
See original race card.
:233 :473 1:001     1:131   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WORTHY OPPONENT 7 2 2 2nk   1nk 1½ (huffman candace )HOUGHTON D 119 3.50 1.00  
NICK CAN FIX 1 7 6 6   5 2½ (shanyfelt valeri)GONZALEZ A 119 2.50 67% 0.50 1.80 P
MATTHEW'S PATRIOT 6 1 42 31   32 32 (schuster robin)AVILES YAN 119 12.00 5% 19.00 43.40 S
BEAT THE DEALER 5 6 5 4   4 44 (zielinski richard)VIGIL NOEL 119 8.00 38.60  
GIV'EM THE BIZ 8 3 1 1nk   2nk 5 (johnson l)TERRAZA GERMAN 119 15.00 21.70  
WEEKEND BUZZ 2 4 3 5   6 6 (white t)CLEMENTE ALFRED 119 3.00 8% 10.90 4.00  
OHIO EAGLE 4 5 7 7   7 7 (zielinski richard)BOWEN ROCCO 119 8.00 19.20  
HOPPY GILMORE 3 8 8 810¼   8 88 (johnson ga)FERNANDEZ R 119 5.00 19.00  
 
TDN-2   09/19/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($16.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
See original race card.
:23 :462 :583     1:114   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SIMPLY VALID 4 4 2½ 2nk   1½ 1 (atal)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 5.00 3.20  
FAT DADDY 6 2 67 6   3 2 (urieta johanna)HOUGHTON D 119 2.50 59% 0.70 2.70 P
MAKING ME CRAZY 7 1 4 5   44 3 (mahan jos)PILARES P 119 3.50 2.80 S
AUGER 1 6 1½ 1nk   2½ 43 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 121 4.50 2.50  
CENTSOFWANDER 2 7 78 7   7 5 (huffman candace)BRACHO A 121 4.00 13% 6.60 9.50  
MORE THAN GOOD 3 5 3 32   5 6 (uriet)GIRON ALEJANDRO 119 12.00 5% 19.00 45.70  
BLESS THE KITTEN 5 3 5 4   6 7 (johnson ga)FERNANDEZ R 121 6.00 16.40  
 
TDN-3   09/19/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:50
See original race card.
:231 :464 :594     1:131   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FULL TIME STRUTIN 2 4 1½ 2nk   1 1 (gonzalez donaciano)PAUCAR E 121 8.00 14% 6.00 2.70 W
COROMANDEL 4 2 2½ 1nk   2 2 (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 119 2.50 4.50  
BLUEBIRD SING 6 1 43 3   3 3 (radosevich justin)AVILES YAN 123 4.00 4.70  
PEARLINTHEROUGH 3 3 5 5   510 4 (genovese l)VIGIL NOEL 119 3.00 3.60  
BANK BUSTER 5 5 3 4   4 5 (morales sa)FERNANDEZ R 119 2.00 45% 1.20 1.80  
BLUE SAGE (IRE) 1 6 611½ 611¾   614 613¼ (sker)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 12.00 5% 19.00 24.80  
 
TDN-4   09/19/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:20
See original race card.
:252 :494 1:152     1:41   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BOSS BEAR 4 4 2 25 21 1nk 12 (skerrett jeffre)BRACHO A 119 1.60 1.40  
IT'S FATE 3 3 1 15 11 2nk 22 (sweazey scott)GONZALEZ A 123 1.80 6% 14.60 3.70 P
FRANCO (MEX) 2 1 57 510½ 55 3 3 (radosevich jeff)DIAZ I 119 2.00 59% 0.70 1.10 S
GEH SCHNELL 1 2 4 36 45 47 410¼ ( )RODRIGUEZ SAMUEL 121 8.00 13.90  
MASTER OF WAR 5 5 3 46 3 59 514½ (sondej amy)BERRIOS HECTOR 119 15.00 5% 19.00 12.70  
 
TDN-5   09/19/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($29.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:50
See original race card.
:222 :452 :572     1:10   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STARTDFROMDABOTTOM 4 2 32 2½   21 1nk (wolochuk david)KEISER CHELSEY 121 3.50 1.50  
NOTSO MISCHIEVOUS 6 3 11 1½   11 2nk (ramgeet tina)RAMGEET R 117 4.50 29% 2.40 2.30 P
FLIPPING FISH 3 4 4 32   32 3 (feliciano r)FELICIANO R 119 2.00 37% 1.70 2.70 S
ROCKSTAR RO 2 5 5 42   4 43 (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 121 2.50 3.80  
POWERFUL MOON 5 1 21 57   5 515¼ (ray kevin)BOWEN ROCCO 119 12.00 27.80  
MORETHANREADYEDDIE 1 6 68 610   613½ 619 (gonzalez)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 15.00 5% 19.00 43.50  
SCR  SCRIMPER               (zielinski richard)VIGIL NOEL 115 8.00    
 
TDN-6   09/19/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:20
See original race card.
:224 :462 :59     1:121   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LOFTY COWTOWN 4 1 4¾ 1nk   1 1 (fadlovich mega)HALDAR J 119 2.50 36% 1.80 1.70 W
LA CUMPARSITA 2 4 3½ 44   3 2 (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 123 4.50 3.60  
QUEENOFTHEBUCKEYE 5 3 5 5   44 35 (ruberto )BATISTA ALBERTO 119 1.80 19% 4.30 2.30 S
THEODOROPOULOS 3 2 1nk 2nk   2 4 (bailey ricardo)BOWEN ROCCO 121 2.00 3.10  
THINK IT THRU 1 5 2nk 33   5 5 (meyers shane)DIAZ I 119 10.00 5% 19.00 9.40  
 
TDN-7   09/19/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($30.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:231 :464 :59     1:121   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WORTHERWEIGHTNGOLD 2 1 3 3.2   15 1 (rone mike)AVILES YAN 119 2.50 22% 3.60 1.40 W
CROSSED UP 6 3 2 2nk   25 2 (vecc)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 2.00 34% 1.90 2.40 P
BOOGIE BOOGEE 4 4 43 4   36 3 (szczepanski emi)TOLEDO S 119 4.50 4.40  
GO GIRL 3 6 5 5   5 4 (yoder su)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 3.50 5.70  
THE MIRACLE KIUT 1 5 1 1nk   46 511½ (vecchio caryn)VIGIL NOEL 119 5.00 12.80  
ROLLIN ALL THE WAY 5 2 6100 6100   6100 6100 (urieta johanna)BRACHO A 119 12.00 18% 4.40 7.70  
 
TDN-8   09/19/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($35.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
See original race card.
:234 :474 1:001     1:13   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BOLD BUCKEYE 6 1 11 11   12 1¾ (poole m)BRACHO A 123 2.50 64% 0.60 0.50 W
MAMAS HOME COOKING 2 5 3 31   22 2¾ (cline c)AVILES YAN 119 2.00 2.10 P
MARQUITOS M 5 2 44 21   3 36 (rettele rich)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 119 12.00 56.90  
SHAKE THE FROST 4 3 21 4   4 46 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 115 4.00 6.80  
GHOST OF LONDYN 1 6 5 5   56 5 (rome)SALAZAR FERNANDO 115 8.00 5% 19.00 25.30  
KENNEDY'S CAMELOT 3 4 67 6   69 6 (gorham m)DIAZ I 115 3.00 14.00  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.