Handicappers' Racing Form
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Thistledown
Thursday - September 19, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
TDN-1   Win (1/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TDN-2   Win (6/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TDN-3   Win (5/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TDN-4   Win (2/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TDN-5   Win (3/7/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TDN-6   Win (4/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TDN-7   Win (6/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TDN-8   Win (6/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
 
TDN-1   09/19/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($17.4K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NICK CAN FIX Aug29 Aug12 Jul18 Jun25 Jun07 (shanyfelt valeri)GONZALEZ A 119 2.50 67% 0.50    
2  WEEKEND BUZZ Aug26 Aug06 Jun25 Jun04 May14 (white t)CLEMENTE ALFRED 119 3.00 8% 10.90    
3  HOPPY GILMORE Aug12 Jul18 May01 Apr01 Mar11 (johnson ga)FERNANDEZ R 119 5.00    
4  OHIO EAGLE Aug26 Aug12 Jul16 Jun25 Jun04 (zielinski richard)BOWEN ROCCO 119 8.00    
5  BEAT THE DEALER Aug26 Jul18 Jun12 Dec07 Nov14 (zielinski richard)VIGIL NOEL 119 8.00    
6  MATTHEW'S PATRIOT Aug12 Jul17 Jul10 May28 May07 (schuster robin)AVILES YAN 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
7  WORTHY OPPONENT Aug20 Jul18 Jul03 Jun11 May20 (huffman candace )HOUGHTON D 119 3.50 ★    
8  GIV'EM THE BIZ Aug12 May30 May01 Apr01 Mar11 (johnson l)CEDILLO MAURO 119 15.00    
 
TDN-2   09/19/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($16.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AUGER Sep03 Aug21 Aug06 Jul02 Jun22 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 121 4.50    
2  CENTSOFWANDER Aug29 Jul22 Jun26 May22 Apr22 (huffman candace)BRACHO A 121 4.00 13% 6.60    
3  MORE THAN GOOD Sep10 Aug15 Jun24 Jun05 May14 (uriet)GIRON ALEJANDRO 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
4  SIMPLY VALID Aug29 Aug06 Jul16 Jun24 Jan25 (atal)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 5.00    
5  BLESS THE KITTEN Aug29 Aug12 Jul30 Jul15 May22 (johnson ga)FERNANDEZ R 121 6.00    
6  FAT DADDY Sep10 Aug22 Aug06 Jul15 Jun12 (urieta johanna)HOUGHTON D 119 2.50 59% 0.70    
7  MAKING ME CRAZY Aug22 Jul23 Jul02 Mar19 Mar06 (mahan jos)PILARES P 119 3.50 ★    
 
TDN-3   09/19/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BLUE SAGE (IRE) Sep04 Aug14 Jul08 Jun13 Dec22 (sker)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
2  FULL TIME STRUTIN Sep04 Aug27 Aug14 Jul25 Jul04 (gonzalez donaciano)PAUCAR E 121 8.00 14% 6.00    
3  PEARLINTHEROUGH Sep04 Aug14 Jul18 Jul04 Jun17 (genovese l)VIGIL NOEL 119 3.00    
4  COROMANDEL Aug20 Jul09 Jun24 Jun03 May15 (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 119 2.50    
5  BANK BUSTER Jun22 May27 May15 Apr25 Mar25 (morales sa)FERNANDEZ R 119 2.00 45% 1.20    
6  BLUEBIRD SING Sep02 Aug14 Jul18 Jun24 May29 (radosevich justin)AVILES YAN 123 4.00    
 
TDN-4   09/19/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GEH SCHNELL Aug13 Jul29 Jul09 May27 May09 (man)RODRIGUEZ SAMUEL 121 8.00    
2  FRANCO (MEX) Sep02 Jul22 Jul02 Jun13 May23 (radosevich jeff)DIAZ I 119 2.00 59% 0.70    
3  IT'S FATE Aug21 Jul09 Jun19 Jun11 May22 (sweazey scott)GONZALEZ A 123 1.80 6% 14.60    
4  BOSS BEAR Aug27 Jul15 Jun13 May18 May04 (skerrett jeffre)BRACHO A 119 1.60    
5  MASTER OF WAR Aug26 Jul30 Jul18 Jun27 Jun03 (sondej amy)BERRIOS HECTOR 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
TDN-5   09/19/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 Allowance Purse ($29.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MORETHANREADYEDDIE Aug12 Jun25 Jun04 Apr25 Apr02 (gonzalez)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
2  ROCKSTAR RO Sep02 Aug20 Aug05 Jul23 Jul10 (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 121 2.50    
3  FLIPPING FISH Sep02 Aug12 Jul02 Jun22 May29 (feliciano r)FELICIANO R 119 2.00 37% 1.70    
SCR  SCRIMPER Sep02 Aug12 Jul18 Jun22 Jun05 (zielinski richard)VIGIL NOEL 115 8.00    
5  STARTDFROMDABOTTOM Aug17 Jul27 Jun21 Jun07 Feb28 (wolochuk david)KEISER CHELSEY 121 3.50    
6  POWERFUL MOON Sep03 Aug12 Jul23 Jun22 Jun04 (ray kevin)BOWEN ROCCO 119 12.00    
7  NOTSO MISCHIEVOUS Aug12 Jul16 Jun17     (ramgeet tina)RAMGEET R 117 4.50 29% 2.40    
 
TDN-6   09/19/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THINK IT THRU Aug14 Jul15 Jun12 Mar05 Jan02 (meyers shane)DIAZ I 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
2  LA CUMPARSITA Sep09 Aug21 Aug10 Jul30 Jul15 (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 123 4.50    
3  THEODOROPOULOS Aug29 Aug10 Jul24 Jul10 Jun24 (bailey ricardo)BOWEN ROCCO 121 2.00    
4  LOFTY COWTOWN Aug10 Jul15 Jun22 Dec21 Nov16 (fadlovich mega)HALDAR J 119 2.50 36% 1.80    
5  QUEENOFTHEBUCKEYE Jun22 May23 May14 Jan10 Dec21 (ruberto )BATISTA ALBERTO 119 1.80 19% 4.30    
 
TDN-7   09/19/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 Claiming ($25K) Purse ($30.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THE MIRACLE KIUT Sep04 Aug21 Aug14 Aug01 Jul11 (vecchio caryn)VIGIL NOEL 119 5.00    
2  WORTHERWEIGHTNGOLD Jul25 Nov20 Nov02 Oct05 Sep12 (rone mike)AVILES YAN 119 2.50 22% 3.60    
3  GO GIRL Jul10 Jun19 May14 Apr25 Mar28 (yoder su)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 3.50    
4  BOOGIE BOOGEE Aug01 Jul09 Jun18 Jun03 May09 (szczepanski emi)TOLEDO S 119 4.50    
5  ROLLIN ALL THE WAY Sep03 Aug14 Nov28 Nov14 Oct28 (urieta johanna)BRACHO A 119 12.00 18% 4.40    
6  CROSSED UP Aug21 Aug01 Jun27 Apr13 Apr01 (vecc)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 2.00 34% 1.90    
 
TDN-8   09/19/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 Allowance Purse ($35.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GHOST OF LONDYN Sep04 Jul31 Apr08 Mar25 Mar07 (rome)SALAZAR FERNANDO 115 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  MAMAS HOME COOKING Aug31 Aug15 Jul15 May31 May17 (cline c)AVILES YAN 119 2.00 ★    
3  KENNEDY'S CAMELOT Aug15 Jul19 Jun26 Jun05 Apr11 (gorham m)DIAZ I 115 3.00    
4  SHAKE THE FROST Sep06 Aug23 Jul06 Jun19 Jan18 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 115 4.00    
5  MARQUITOS M Sep05 Aug15 Jul31 Jul15 Jul01 (rettele rich)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 119 12.00    
6  BOLD BUCKEYE Aug28         (poole m)BRACHO A 123 2.50 64% 0.60    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.