Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Thistledown
Tuesday - September 17, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TDN-2   EXA (6/7/3)-(6/7/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00  6-3 $14.80 $8.80 147%
    TRI (6/7/3)-(6/7/3)-(6/7/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00  6-3-7 $38.20 $32.20 537%
TDN-3   EXA (3/6/5)-(3/6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00  3-5 $10.30 $4.30 72%
    TRI (3/6/5)-(3/6/5)-(3/6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00  3-5-6 $27.30 $21.30 355%
TDN-5   WIN (4/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00  6 $11.00 $5.00 83%
    DD (6/1/3)-(4/2/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00  6-6 $10.80 $1.80 20%
TDN-6   DD (4/2/6)-(6/4/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00  6-4 $13.00 $4.00 44%
Simulator Race results
 
TDN-1   09/17/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
See original race card.
:23 :464 :592     1:122   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  CHOCOLATE RABBIT 2 6 52¼ 42   31½ 1½ (overholt paul)CEDILLO MAURO 123 2.00 12% 7.70 1.40 W
3  SPIN DOCTOR 3 7 63¾ 31   1nk 2½ (winters miche)SIMPSON JASON 123 3.50 45% 1.20 3.70 P
6  GIFT OF OAK 6 4 42 1nk   2nk 31 (bookman donald)HOUGHTON D 123 4.00 5.40  
1  LUNCHATTHELIZARD 1 5 1nk 2nk   44½ 49¼ (severin robert)BOWEN ROCCO 123 2.50 22% 3.50 2.00  
5  THE MAN CAN 5 2 31½ 65¾   610¾ 516 (faulkner rodney )VIGIL NOEL 123 15.00 58.10  
4  FOREIGN 4 3 2nk 55½   510½ 618¼ (vlaun manuel)DIAZ I 123 12.00 54.40  
7  CHOCOLATE PHILLING 7 1 75¼ 711¾   717¾ 725½ (maddox rachael)DIAZ R 123 10.00 5% 19.00 11.90  
 
TDN-2   09/17/2024 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:20
See original race card.
:233 :471 1:123     1:403   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  CHANEL SPIRIT 4 2 1nk 1nk 1½ 11½ 1¼ (cline c)GONZALEZ A 119 2.50 41% 1.40 0.40 W
3  CRY IF I WANT TO 1 5 513¼ 510½ 54 33 2¼ (puhl kim)BOWEN ROCCO 115 6.00 5% 19.00 22.70 P
7  SONNET 5 1 3.2 3½ 32½ 44 3½ (rotunno sydney)DIAZ I 119 3.00 32% 2.10 3.30 S
5  ELIKA 3 3 2nk 2nk 2½ 21½ 42¾ (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 123 6.00 10.00  
4  QUEENIE ROSE 2 4 46¼ 43½ 43 56½ 57¼ (cline c)AVILES YAN 119 4.50 5.20  
SCR  THEODOROPOULOS               (bailey ricar)HALDAR J 119 4.00    
SCR  WORKING HOLIDAY               (trevino steph)BRACHO A 119 15.00    
 
TDN-3   09/17/2024 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:50
See original race card.
:241 :481 1:14     1:43   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  BEAUTIFUL CHARADE 3 3 32½ 34 32 1nk 12¾ (go)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 2.00 38% 1.60 1.20 W
  (by MAXIMUS MISCHIEF out of PEYTONA by MR. GREELEY)
5  FLAME FOR REAL 5 4 21½ 21 11½ 2nk 22¾ (zielinski richar)VIGIL NOEL 119 12.00 13% 6.70 4.30 P
  (by FLAMEAWAY out of SCARLETTS FOR REAL by PROUD CITIZEN)
6  SMARTASSET 6 1 11½ 11 21½ 35 39¾ (cline c)AVILES YAN 123 1.60 28% 2.60 1.60 S
  (by SMARTY JONES out of SOME GIVEN LEGEND by POINT GIVEN)
1  SOMETHING LUCKY 1 2 612 619½ 616 519 413½ (doering mark)SIMPSON JASON 119 12.00 27.80  
  (by ITSMYLUCKYDAY out of SOMETHING NAUGHTY by INTO MISCHIEF)
2  MANDAVILLA 2 6 510 519 515 416 517 (tumblin andrew)DIAZ I 123 6.00 11.00  
  (by ALTERNATION out of MANDABULL by NEWFOUNDLAND)
4  J. P INDY 4 5 45½ 49 414 6100 6100 (cline c)BOWEN ROCCO 123 3.00 9.70  
  (by CONGRATS out of JANNES PAUL by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
 
TDN-4   09/17/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($21.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:20
See original race card.
:222 :454 :584     1:121   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  TWISTED JUSTICE 6 2 2½ 12   1nk 13½ (feliciano benny)FELICIANO R 115 1.80 39% 1.60 0.20 W
1  VILLAGE CAT 1 3 34½ 32   2nk 23½ (radosevich ju)BRACHO A 121 3.50 29% 2.50 4.50 P
5  SWEET MOBILTEE 5 4 49½ 47   35 35 (simmonds donald)BOWEN ROCCO 119 5.00 11.30  
3  LEDGENDARY KITTEN 3 5 510½ 513   512½ 416¼ (urieta johan)HALDAR J 119 8.00 5% 19.00 38.50  
2  PERFECTINGTHEVIEW 2 6 610½ 613¼   612¾ 517 (norris ste)WEATHERLY BAILEY 114 12.00 50.20  
4  KISSING MEDALS 4 1 1½ 22   49½ 621¾ (schuster robin)AVILES YAN 119 2.00 6.50  
 
TDN-5   09/17/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:50
See original race card.
:232 :48 1:011     1:144   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  VICTORIA COMMAND 6 1 32½ 1nk   21 1nk (lopez jacinto)AVILES YAN 119 12.00 5% 19.00 4.50 W
  (by FORT LARNED out of VICTORIA MIA by MASTER COMMAND)
3  THELMA LUCILLE 3 4 42½ 41¼   11 2nk (vazquez ivan)HALDAR J 123 1.80 3.90  
  (by JAC'S FACT out of KARMA'S COMIN by INCLUDE)
1  PRINCESS EM 1 5 54 51¼   43½ 31¾ (yoder susan )BERRIOS HECTOR 123 15.00 13.70  
  (by CITY WEEKEND out of RECORD HIGH by TOUCH GOLD)
4  BROKEN A 4 6 65½ 65¼   67 46¾ (zielinski ric)CEDILLO MAURO 119 3.00 46% 1.20 4.50  
  (by DRILL out of BOSSY BIRD by SUMMER BIRD)
5  LOTS OF SASS 5 2 2½ 31   32½ 58¼ (faulkner josh)TOLEDO S 119 4.50 2.10  
  (by BIONDETTI out of SASSY OMBRE by OLD FORESTER)
2  CANELA FINA 2 3 1½ 2nk   55 610¼ (lopez j)PILARES P 123 2.00 24% 3.20 2.60  
  (by CORFU out of BEAUTIFUL LATINA by SPRING AT LAST)
 
TDN-6   09/17/2024 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($25.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
See original race card.
:23 :461 :582     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  RECKLESS L J 4 1 22½ 2½   11½ 12¾ (radosevich jef)DIAZ I 119 2.00 22% 3.60 0.60 W
2  CORNER OFFICE 2 3 36 44½   31½ 22¾ (ibarra marco)GONZALEZ A 123 2.50 3.40  
3  RAISE THE PURSES 3 4 46½ 34   43 33¾ (morales saul)HALDAR J 123 4.00 13.00  
6  WILDCAT EXPRESS 5 2 12½ 1½   21½ 45 (poole m)BRACHO A 119 3.50 55% 0.80 2.50  
1  SERENDIPITOUS 1 5 510½ 59½   510 510½ (radosevich jef)HOUGHTON D 119 12.00 5% 19.00 37.50  
SCR  GOLDEN MONEY               (poole m)AVILES YAN 121 6.00    
 
TDN-7   09/17/2024 5610ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:242 :491 1:133 1:391   1:454   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  EKATI'S WAY 4 2 1nk 11 1nk 1nk 1¼ (cline robert )BRACHO A 115 2.00 8% 11.20 0.80 W
3  WETZEL 3 5 41¼ 21 2nk 2nk 2¼ (radosevich justi)AVILES YAN 121 2.50 3.70  
6  VAIL OF HONOR 6 6 68¾ 69 65½ 52¾ 31½ (higham nicole)TOLEDO S 121 10.00 6% 16.70 9.80 S
1  CASUAL ATTIRE 1 4 2nk 31½ 43 32 42½ (hamm timothy)DIAZ I 123 4.50 7.60  
5  TIER ONE 5 1 52¾ 52½ 32½ 42¼ 53½ (fletcher jef)GONZALEZ KEVIN 119 3.50 64% 0.60 4.30  
2  CONTROLLER 2 3 31 41½ 54 64¾ 68¼ (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 119 6.00 11.50  
 
TDN-8   09/17/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($40.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
See original race card.
:232 :463 :591     1:121   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  ELLIOT THE DRAGON 6 2 31 1nk   12½ 11¾ (ibarra marco)HALDAR J 119 6.00 7.70  
3  RED HEAD KID 3 4 42½ 42¼   22½ 21¾ (fe)SALAZAR FERNANDO 121 8.00 6% 16.50 13.90 P
4  PAINT THE TOWN 4 5 54½ 52¼   32½ 33½ (gorham robert )DIAZ I 119 3.50 37% 1.70 2.40 S
1  COWTOWN BOSS 1 6 67½ 65¼   66½ 48¼ (ibarra marco)GONZALEZ A 119 5.00 4.30  
2  NAMBITI 2 3 2nk 2nk   43½ 58¼ (juarez lorenzo)AVILES YAN 123 2.50 7.00  
5  PROSECUTOR 5 1 1nk 3.2   54½ 610¼ (guciardo robe)TOLEDO S 119 2.00 16% 5.10 1.20  
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

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