Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Thistledown
Tuesday - September 17, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TDN-1   WIN (3/1/2/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/1/2/7)-(3/1/2/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/1/2/7)-(3/1/2/7)-(3/1/2/7) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (3/1/2/7)-(6/7/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/1/2/7)-(6/7/3)-(3/6/5) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
TDN-2   WIN (6/7/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/7/3)-(6/7/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/7/3)-(6/7/3)-(6/7/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (6/7/3)-(3/6/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/7/3)-(3/6/5)-(6/1/3) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
TDN-3   WIN (3/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/6/5)-(3/6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/6/5)-(3/6/5)-(3/6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (3/6/5)-(6/1/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/6/5)-(6/1/3)-(4/2/6) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
TDN-4   WIN (6/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/1/3)-(6/1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/1/3)-(6/1/3)-(6/1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (6/1/3)-(4/2/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/1/3)-(4/2/6)-(6/4/1) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
TDN-5   WIN (4/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/6)-(4/2/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/2/6)-(4/2/6)-(4/2/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (4/2/6)-(6/4/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/2/6)-(6/4/1)-(5/4/6) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
TDN-6   WIN (6/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/4/1)-(6/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/4/1)-(6/4/1)-(6/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (6/4/1)-(5/4/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/4/1)-(5/4/6)-(4/5/3) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
TDN-7   WIN (5/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/6)-(5/4/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/4/6)-(5/4/6)-(5/4/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (5/4/6)-(4/5/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
TDN-8   WIN (4/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/3)-(4/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/5/3)-(4/5/3)-(4/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TDN-1   09/17/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LUNCHATTHELIZARD Sep04 Aug12 Jun27 Oct12 Sep04 (severin robert)BOWEN ROCCO 123 2.50 22% 3.50    
2  CHOCOLATE RABBIT Aug27 Aug12 Jul18 Nov06 Oct12 (overholt paul)CEDILLO MAURO 123 2.00 12% 7.70    
3  SPIN DOCTOR Aug27 Aug06 Dec04 Nov21 Oct11 (winters miche)SIMPSON JASON 123 3.50 45% 1.20    
4  FOREIGN Aug27 Aug06 Jul18 Jun25 Jun11 (vlaun manuel)DIAZ I 123 12.00    
5  THE MAN CAN Aug27 Aug06 Jul18 Jun25 Jun11 (faulkner rodney )VIGIL NOEL 123 15.00    
6  GIFT OF OAK Aug27 Aug06 Jul25 Jul02 Jun12 (bookman donald)HOUGHTON D 123 4.00    
7  CHOCOLATE PHILLING Aug19 Jul30 Jan22 Jan11 Jan01 (maddox rachael)DIAZ R 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
TDN-2   09/17/2024 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  WORKING HOLIDAY Sep05 Aug19 Jul23 Jun10 May15 (trevino steph)BRACHO A 119 15.00    
SCR  THEODOROPOULOS Aug29 Aug10 Jul24 Jul10 Jun24 (bailey ricar)HALDAR J 119 4.00    
3  CRY IF I WANT TO Jul29 Jul09 Jun04 May08 Apr21 (puhl kim)BOWEN ROCCO 115 6.00 5% 19.00    
4  QUEENIE ROSE Aug26 Aug01 Jul11 Jan10 Dec07 (cline c)AVILES YAN 119 4.50    
5  ELIKA Sep04 Aug19 Jul18 Jul04 Jun17 (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 123 6.00    
6  CHANEL SPIRIT Sep05 Aug10 Jul19 Jun24 Jun03 (cline c)GONZALEZ A 119 2.50 41% 1.40    
7  SONNET Aug27 Oct28 Sep26 Aug12 Jul17 (rotunno sydney)DIAZ I 119 3.00 32% 2.10    
 
TDN-3   09/17/2024 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SOMETHING LUCKY Aug26 Aug15 Aug07 Jul17 Jul01 (doering mark)SIMPSON JASON 119 12.00    
  (by ITSMYLUCKYDAY out of SOMETHING NAUGHTY by INTO MISCHIEF)
2  MANDAVILLA Aug28 Aug10 Jul23 Jul02   (tumblin andrew)DIAZ I 123 6.00    
  (by ALTERNATION out of MANDABULL by NEWFOUNDLAND)
3  BEAUTIFUL CHARADE Aug28 Aug10 Jul02 Jun17 May09 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 119 2.00 38% 1.60    
  (by MAXIMUS MISCHIEF out of PEYTONA by MR. GREELEY)
4  J. P INDY Aug28 Jul23 Jul02 Dec21 Dec11 (cline c)BOWEN ROCCO 123 3.00    
  (by CONGRATS out of JANNES PAUL by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
5  FLAME FOR REAL Aug10 Jul23 Jul02 May28 Oct11 (zielinski richar)VIGIL NOEL 119 12.00 13% 6.70    
  (by FLAMEAWAY out of SCARLETTS FOR REAL by PROUD CITIZEN)
6  SMARTASSET Aug28 Aug10 Jul23 Jun17 Dec21 (cline c)AVILES YAN 123 1.60 28% 2.60    
  (by SMARTY JONES out of SOME GIVEN LEGEND by POINT GIVEN)
 
TDN-4   09/17/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($21.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VILLAGE CAT Sep04 Jul30 Jun18 Oct12 Sep14 (radosevich ju)BRACHO A 121 3.50 29% 2.50    
2  PERFECTINGTHEVIEW Aug19 Jun25 Jun10 May23 Sep13 (norris ste)WEATHERLY BAILEY 114 12.00    
3  LEDGENDARY KITTEN Dec30 Oct06 Sep06 Jul22 Jun15 (urieta johan)HALDAR J 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  KISSING MEDALS Aug22 Jul30 Jul09 Jun17 May28 (schuster robi)BARBARAN ERIK 119 2.00    
5  SWEET MOBILTEE Sep04 Jul25 Jul03 Jun13 May22 (simmonds donald)BOWEN ROCCO 119 5.00    
6  TWISTED JUSTICE Aug28 Jul25 Jul09 Jun19 May28 (feliciano benny)FELICIANO R 115 1.80 39% 1.60    
 
TDN-5   09/17/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PRINCESS EM Aug26 Nov21 Oct29 Oct05 Sep20 (yoder susan )BERRIOS HECTOR 123 15.00    
  (by CITY WEEKEND out of RECORD HIGH by TOUCH GOLD)
2  CANELA FINA Aug26 Aug07 Jul24 Jul01 May27 (lopez j)PILARES P 123 2.00 24% 3.20    
  (by CORFU out of BEAUTIFUL LATINA by SPRING AT LAST)
3  THELMA LUCILLE Aug15 Aug07 Jul17 Jul01 Oct04 (vazquez ivan)HALDAR J 123 1.80    
  (by JAC'S FACT out of KARMA'S COMIN by INCLUDE)
4  BROKEN A         (zielinski ric)CEDILLO MAURO 119 3.00 46% 1.20    
  (by DRILL out of BOSSY BIRD by SUMMER BIRD)
5  LOTS OF SASS Feb19         (faulkner josh)TOLEDO S 119 4.50    
  (by BIONDETTI out of SASSY OMBRE by OLD FORESTER)
6  VICTORIA COMMAND Jul17 Jun12 May27 Oct28 Oct10 (lopez jacinto)AVILES YAN 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by FORT LARNED out of VICTORIA MIA by MASTER COMMAND)
 
TDN-6   09/17/2024 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($25.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SERENDIPITOUS Aug26 Aug13 Jul18 Jan22 Jan02 (radosevich jef)HOUGHTON D 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
2  CORNER OFFICE Aug20 Jul25 Jun26 May14 Apr23 (ibarra marco)GONZALEZ A 123 2.50    
3  RAISE THE PURSES Sep04 Aug26 Aug12 Jul25 Jul02 (morales saul)HALDAR J 123 4.00    
4  RECKLESS L J Aug29 Jul16 Jun22 Jun04 May01 (radosevich je)BARBARAN ERIK 119 2.00 22% 3.60    
SCR  GOLDEN MONEY Sep04 Aug12 Jul18 Jul04 Jun11 (poole m)AVILES YAN 121 6.00    
6  WILDCAT EXPRESS Aug29 Jul16 Jun18 May18 Mar11 (poole m)BRACHO A 119 3.50 55% 0.80    
 
TDN-7   09/17/2024 5610ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CASUAL ATTIRE Aug22 Aug02 Jun22 May29 Dec13 (hamm timothy)DIAZ I 123 4.50    
2  CONTROLLER Aug22 Jul18 Jun22 May29 Jan01 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 119 6.00    
3  WETZEL Aug20 Jul30 Jul16 Jun22 May22 (radosevich justi)AVILES YAN 121 2.50    
4  EKATI'S WAY Aug21 Jul23 Jun27 Jun07 May04 (cline robert )BRACHO A 115 2.00 8% 11.20    
5  TIER ONE Sep03 Aug06 Jul18 Jun28 Jun12 (fletcher jef)GONZALEZ KEVIN 119 3.50 64% 0.60    
6  VAIL OF HONOR Sep02 Aug15 Jul15 Jul01 Mar20 (higham nicole)TOLEDO S 121 10.00 6% 16.70    
 
TDN-8   09/17/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($40.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COWTOWN BOSS Aug20 Jul31 May06 Mar13 Feb15 (ibarra marco)GONZALEZ A 119 5.00    
2  NAMBITI Aug27 Aug06 Jul16 Jun25 Jun11 (juarez lorenzo)AVILES YAN 123 2.50    
3  RED HEAD KID Aug30 Jul30 Jun22 May23 May09 (fe)SALAZAR FERNANDO 121 8.00 6% 16.50    
4  PAINT THE TOWN Aug21 Jun22 Apr01 Mar14 Feb28 (gorham robert )DIAZ I 119 3.50 37% 1.70    
5  PROSECUTOR Jul10 Jun17 May23 May04 Apr01 (guciardo robe)TOLEDO S 119 2.00 16% 5.10    
6  ELLIOT THE DRAGON Aug21 Jun22 Jun05 May18 Apr29 (ibarra marco)BARBARAN ERIK 119 6.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.