Handicappers' Racing Form

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Churchill Downs
Sunday - December 01, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

CD-1   Win (1/7/5/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00
CD-2   Win (7/2/5/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00
CD-3   Win (6/8/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00
CD-4   Win (4/1/7/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00
CD-5   Win (1/6/2/4/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00
CD-6   Win (7/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00
CD-7   Win (6/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00
CD-8   Win (2/7/4/1/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00
CD-9   Win (3/7/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00
CD-10   Win (5/11/10/9/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00
CD-11   Win (3/7/1/8/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00
CD-12   Win (3/6/12/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
CD-1   12/01/2024 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($127K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:00
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EGLISE Nov10 Oct05 Sep15 Aug18 Jul28 (hartman chris)MACHADO LUAN 118 2.50 46% 1.20    
OVERSTATEMENT Nov10 Oct23 Oct04 Sep10 Aug10 (miller kenny)ROMAN A 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
PRINCE OF POWER Nov17 Sep01 Aug04 Jul20 Jun27 (esquivel jesus)SANJUR SANTO 118 15.00    
MOONLIGHT Oct16 Jul27 Jun29 Apr13 Feb17 (block chris)SAEZ LUIS 118 6.00    
LUCENCY Nov13 Sep22 Jul31 Jul18 Jun07 (garcia genaro)MORALES EDGAR 121 8.00 12% 7.50    
MULTITASK Aug24 Jul28 Jun19     (harty eoin)BEJARANO R 118 3.00    
HALL OF FAME (ARG) Mar23 Feb17 Jan20 Nov26   (asmussen ste)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 2.00 13% 6.80    
 
CD-2   12/01/2024 3960ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($30K) Purse ($56K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:28
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CAIRO STREET Nov15 Oct10 Sep08 Jul27 May10 (mcgee paul)BEJARANO R 118 4.00    
CREATIVE QUALITY Nov01 Sep29 Mar15 Dec29 Dec02 (moger )PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 118 2.50 18% 4.40    
BRIGHT LADY DAY Nov01 Sep25 Aug29 Jul31 Jul06 (jackson christ)MONCADA IRVING 111 10.00    
FRANGO ELECTRICO Nov13 Oct26 Sep19 Aug31 Jul24 (bahena ismae)VILLARREAL OSCAR 113 20.00 5% 19.00    
SPLASH MASTER Nov15 Oct16 Sep19 Feb17 Jan19 (forster gran)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 6.00 15% 5.70    
OUTRAGEOUSLY Nov03 Apr30 Mar20 Feb22 Jan17 (blair jordan)MORALES EDGAR 118 5.00    
LIL GIN N CLASS Nov09 Oct17 Sep25 Jul31 Jul06 (eggleston tim)SAEZ LUIS 118 1.80 44% 1.30    
 
CD-3   12/01/2024 6270ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($72K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:56
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BERNIN HOT Oct30 Oct04 Sep12 Jul28 Jul07 (werre danny)SAEZ LUIS 118 3.50    
SCR  INTERLOCK EMPIRE Nov13 Oct20 Aug05 Jul05 May23 (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 121 6.00    
THE THUNDERER Nov13 Aug18 Jul14 May26 Apr17 (morse l)MONCADA IRVING 114 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  SCHIFTY'S HALOID Nov13 Sep11 Aug05 Jan07 Dec28 (mccarthy micha)GEROUX FLORENT 121 10.00    
MIKEALICIOUS Oct31 Aug17 Jul06 Jun14 Apr26 (maker j)VAZQUEZ A 118 5.00    
APOLLO RISING Nov13 Oct23 Jun07 May12 Mar29 (walden will)TORRES A 121 2.50 57% 0.80    
MINISTERIAL Oct23 Aug15 Jun26 Feb18 Jun18 (ward wesley )CORRALES GERARDO 121 4.00    
STELLAR VINO Nov10 Oct02 Jul29 Jul09 Jun18 (shorter aaron)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 12.00 10% 9.00    
 
CD-4   12/01/2024 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($125K) Purse ($134K) 3 ALL PT- 2:24
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SAVE THE TREES Sep18 Aug19 Jul06 Jun09 Apr19 (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 118 3.00 21% 3.80    
FIVE O' SOMEWHERE Nov17 Oct01 Sep07 Aug20 Jul18 (spraggins kenneth )BEJARANO R 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
THIS IS USCAR May26 May01 Apr05 Mar15   (blair jorda)TORRES A 118 5.00    
MOLLY'S TOWN Nov13 Oct26 Sep25 Sep06 Jul31 (garcia gena)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 118 4.50 44% 1.30    
PRACTICALLY DARK Sep21 Aug24 Jul28 Jun09 Apr20 (joseph saffi)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.50    
HAILSTORM Oct08 Sep17 Aug04 Jun23 Jun01 (asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J 120 8.00    
BOOTH Apr05 Feb11 Nov25 Oct07   (asmussen steven)ASMUSSEN ERIK 113 2.50 12% 7.20    
 
CD-5   12/01/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 F PT- 2:53
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EVERLOVING Nov02 Sep20       (amoss thomas)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 3.50 35% 1.80    
TROUBLE IN LOVE         (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 3.00 20% 4.10    
WARM DAYS         (lauer michael)CALLEJA ANDRES 112 20.00    
ROSARY         (drury jr)MACHADO LUAN 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
SHESADRAGONLADY         (hiles jeff)SANTANA JR 119 15.00    
MURPHY GIRL Oct27 Jul15 Jun07 May17   (romans dale)LANERIE J 119 4.50 23% 3.40    
SCR  SUNNA         (sweezey kent)ELLIOTT JANE 119 15.00    
KISSIN CASH         (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 119 8.00    
SCR  MISS MERCI MAE         (ennis john)MONCADA IRVING 112 15.00    
10  LISTEN AND LEARN         (danner kelsey)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
11  FOIE GRAS         (asmussen steven)ASMUSSEN ERIK 114 10.00    
SCR  B D'S ANGEL         (duvall william )GARCIA MARTIN 119 20.00    
SCR  RARE RUBY         (stewart dallas)MORALES EDGAR 119 10.00    
14  VERITY         (harty eoin)SAEZ LUIS 119 10.00    
15  DARE TO FLY Jun07         (asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J 119 20.00    
 
CD-6   12/01/2024 3960ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($30K) Purse ($56K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:21
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
J J'S RANGER Nov20 Nov10 Oct25 Sep22 Aug17 (hamilton sarah)BEJARANO R 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
SEARCY Aug24 Aug09 Jun09 Mar28 Jan28 (schultz lin)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 8.00    
FORREST CITY Oct24 Aug23 Jul27 Nov10 Oct12 (mott william)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 2.00    
SCR  CITY OF CLOUDS Nov15 Oct18 Sep29 Sep12 Jul13 (combs bentley)SAEZ GABRIEL 120 20.00    
SCR  QUENCIO Nov10 Jun20 May27 Apr25 Apr12 (garcia gena)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 118 20.00    
SOUND DOCTRINE Nov10 Oct09 Sep18 Aug05 Jun02 (garcia genaro)MORALES EDGAR 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
WILLIE BIRD Oct13 Jul28 Jun22 Jun16   (rivelli larry)BAIRD T 118 3.00 65% 0.50    
GREAT RICHIE M Oct18 Oct04 May09 Apr07 Mar20 (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 118 4.50    
AL AMEEQ Oct11 Sep15 Aug03 Jun09 May24 (mckeever and)HERNANDEZ J 118 5.00    
 
CD-7   12/01/2024 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($127K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:49
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SARANAC LAKE Nov13 Sep19 Aug13 Jul09 Jun09 (hartman chris)MACHADO LUAN 118 12.00    
ISLANDER Oct30 Oct04 Aug14 Jun20   (asmussen m)SAEZ LUIS 120 2.50 21% 3.70    
EAST SHORE Oct23 Sep26 Aug24 Jul22 Nov12 (romans dale)LANERIE J 121 3.50    
SCR  FORESEEN Oct17 Aug10 Jun15 Apr27 Apr17 (arnold geor)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 10.00    
IRINA'S CHARM Oct20 Sep08 Jul27 Oct21 Sep16 (damato philip)GARCIA MARTIN 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
GRAND JOB Oct31         (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 1.60 49% 1.00    
VIABLE Oct24 Sep14 Jul13 Jan10 Nov29 (drury thomas)HERNANDEZ J 120 12.00    
ROSELEE MAY Nov09 Jan18 Dec27 Nov26 Oct29 (mccarthy mic)CORRALES GERARDO 118 15.00    
 
CD-8   12/01/2024 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 ALL PT- 4:18
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WAR AND MAJESTY Oct04 Sep07 Aug24     (romans dale)LANERIE J 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
WHITE WHALE Nov01 Oct11       (arnold george )MONCADA IRVING 112 3.00 31% 2.20    
TRUSTED IMAGE Nov06 Oct26 Sep26 Sep04   (lauer michael)ROMAN A 119 30.00 5% 19.00    
TICKLED QUIST Sep14 Aug26       (cox h)SAEZ LUIS 119 4.00 16% 5.10    
SCR  MASTER CONTROLLER Nov03 Oct17 Sep01     (vanden brittan)EMIGH A 119 15.00    
PERFECT FORCE Nov01 Oct09 Sep12 Aug17 Jul20 (lukas wayn)ASMUSSEN J 119 6.00    
BURNING GLORY Nov03 Sep27       (mott william)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 2.50 26% 2.90    
MIRACLE ON CENTRAL Nov14         (hartman chris)MACHADO LUAN 119 12.00    
FREE ADVICE Nov14         (humphries thomas)SAEZ GABRIEL 119 30.00    
10  THE WARDEN Oct12 Sep15       (moquett e)BEJARANO R 119 30.00    
SCR  AUTHENTIC GALLOP Nov03 Oct05 Aug31 Jul20   (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 119 20.00    
12  SHIP SHIP HOORAY         (danner kels)TORRES A 119 15.00    
13  PAIR OF SOCKS Nov14         (stewart dall)HERNANDEZ J 119 12.00    
14  DOWN THE ISLANDS Oct31 Sep12       (sweezey kent)GARCIA MARTIN 119 30.00    
SCR  LORD BARANOF Nov08 Sep22       (vance d)VAZQUEZ A 119 20.00    
SCR  JACK'S PROMISE Nov17 Oct19 Aug30 Jun23   (romans dale)LANERIE J 119 10.00    
 
CD-9   12/01/2024 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($175K) Purse ($148K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:48
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BANGO Nov02 Sep27 Jun29 May02 Nov04 (foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 3.50    
ACCRETIVE Nov09 Aug31 Jul26 Jun08 May03 (sharp joe)SAEZ LUIS 120 10.00 18% 4.60    
ANGKOR Nov02 Sep27 Aug24 Jun29 Jun01 (bauer a)TORRES A 124 2.00 33% 2.10    
SCR  NECKER ISLAND Sep14 Aug04 Jul05 May02 Dec30 (hartman chris)BEJARANO R 122 8.00    
DISCO BALL Aug22 Aug08 Jun07 Mar29 Mar03 (jacobson da)CAMACHO JR 122 4.00    
CHASING TIME Apr07 Feb23 Jan19 Nov23 Oct28 (asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J 120 15.00    
TEJANO TWIST Nov02 Jun29 Jun01 May04 Apr13 (hartman chris)MACHADO LUAN 124 3.00 24% 3.20    
 
CD-10   12/01/2024 5610ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($134K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:18
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COINAGE Oct24 Aug30 Jul13 Oct15 Oct01 (casse mark)SANTANA JR 121 12.00    
BOURBON RESOLVE Nov09 Sep15 Jul29 Jun27 Feb18 (wilkes ian )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 20.00    
BABA VOSS Jun29 May18 Apr12 Feb12 Dec22 (walsh p)MACHADO LUAN 121 15.00    
SAN SIRO Nov09 Sep26 Aug24 Mar09 Jan20 (walsh p)MORALES EDGAR 118 12.00    
YELLOW BRICK Nov10 Oct16 Sep19 Sep05 Jul20 (maker j)VAZQUEZ A 123 4.00 39% 1.60    
WINTERS LION Oct18 Sep07 Jul22 Jan13 Dec29 (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 20.00    
NYQUICK Jun06 Apr28 Mar23 Jan27 Nov05 (cox h)SAEZ LUIS 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  GRAND ASPEN Nov29 Oct26 Jan27 Dec30 Nov24 (thomas jonat)CORRALES GERARDO 121 3.50    
HERO STATUS Oct20 Jul28 May04 Mar08 Apr28 (forster gran)HERNANDEZ J 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
10  BATON ROUGE (IRE) Nov09 Oct12 Sep15 Aug24 Jul21 (hartman chris)BEJARANO R 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
11  PIROLI Oct20 Aug23 Jul07 May04 Sep30 (mccarthy micha)GEROUX FLORENT 123 3.00 32% 2.10    
12  BLACK POWDER Nov15 Oct18 Sep22 Sep01 Aug03 (maker michael)ALVARADO JUNIOR 121 30.00    
 
CD-11   12/01/2024 5280ft DIRT RC11 FAST Cherokee Mile Purse ($250K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:48
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BRUNACINI Oct19 Sep19 Jul28     (sims p)MACHADO LUAN 118 3.50 14% 6.40    
SCR  THREE TECHNIQUE Nov02 Sep28 Aug11 Jul26 Jun30 (cook b)BEJARANO R 123 12.00    
INJUNCTION Sep21 Aug11 Jul06 May03 Apr06 (cowans william )MORALES EDGAR 121 3.00 43% 1.30    
QUALITY CHIC Nov07 Oct19 Aug11 Jul11 May27 (cook b)GEROUX FLORENT 121 30.00    
FROSTED DEPARTURE Sep25 Aug23 Jul28 Jun01 May05 (hartman chris)RAMOS D 121 5.00    
STILLETO BOY Sep28 Aug31 Jan27 Dec26 Sep30 (moger jr)ROMAN A 121 15.00    
SCOTLAND Oct26 Sep28 Jul26 Jun22 May30 (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 121 4.00 19% 4.30    
ROCKET CAN Nov09 Sep26 Aug23 Jul11 Mar16 (mott william)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
CALL ME FAST Oct20 Aug31 Jul21 May30 May03 (sharp joe)SAEZ LUIS 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
10  TRANSECT Apr13 Feb17 Aug13 Jul08 May22 (walden will)TORRES A 121 15.00    
11  SINGLE DOT YAHT Nov09 Sep15 Aug12 Jun30 Jun09 (drury jr)LANERIE J 121 15.00    
 
CD-12   12/01/2024 4620ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($16K) Purse ($54K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:18
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  KIKI KRAZY Oct26 Sep29 Jul04 Jun22 May25 (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 115 6.00    
SCR  HOLIDAY HOUSE Oct17 Aug27 Aug13 Jul11 May29 (garcia gena)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 118 20.00    
GLOBAL SENSATION Nov16 Oct12 Sep18 Jul15 Jun27 (cano m)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 3.00 44% 1.30    
W W CRAZY Oct23 Sep22 Jul29 Jul15 May25 (santamaria )TORRES A 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
EDDIE M Nov16 Oct12 Sep12 Aug03 Jul13 (cano muno)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 5.00    
KEEN CAT Nov16 Oct22 Aug12 Jul22 Jul08 (morse randy )HERNANDEZ J 118 4.00 32% 2.10    
SCR  SOARING BIRD Nov16 Nov02 Oct11 Sep25 Sep15 (martinez kelli)MORALES EDGAR 118 12.00    
SCR  HUNTERTOWN Nov15 Oct16 Jun05 May21 Apr24 (hernandez rey)SANJUR SANTO 118 30.00    
SCR  EMBER Nov20 Oct13 Sep21 Sep05 Jul26 (schultz lindsay)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 10.00    
10  READY PURSUIT Nov14 Oct30 Sep27 Sep06 Aug04 (gonzalez reina )SOSA LAUREANO 118 20.00    
11  PURE PANIC Nov16 Sep18 Aug25 Jun27 Jun02 (foster eric)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 5.00    
12  RAM Jul31 May19 Apr12 Mar17 Feb23 (casse norm)SANTANA JR 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.