Handicappers' Race Results
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Churchill Downs
Saturday - November 02, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
CD-1   Win (4/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 0 $3.54  
CD-2   Win (6/3/7/5/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 6 1 1 $20.20 $20.20 10.20
CD-3   Win (10/6/5/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 1 $8.92 $8.92 0.92
CD-4   Win (5/6/1/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 9 1 0 $8.24  
CD-5   Win (3/6/4/8/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 8 1 1 $13.36 $13.36 3.36
CD-6   Win (3/5/2/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00 3 1 1 $5.32 $5.32  
CD-7   Win (9/3/4/7/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 9 1 1 $7.54 $7.54  
CD-8   Win (8/7/4/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 1 $11.74 $11.74 3.74
CD-9   Win (3/4/1/14/11) 5 $2.00 $10.00 14 1 1 $41.48 $41.48 31.48
CD-10   Win (8/3/6/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 5 1 1 $16.72 $16.72 8.72
CD-11   Win (7/6/9/10/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 6 1 1 $13.78 $13.78 3.78
Simulator Race results
 
CD-1   11/02/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($42K) 2 F PT- 1:00
See original race card.
:232 :47 1:112     1:18   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  ROSE RITA 3 1 1nk 2½   1nk 1nk (ward wesley )CORRALES GERARDO 118 1.60 0.77  
4  LOOKATMYBUCKLE 4 2 2nk 1½   2nk 2nk (gorostieta ciri)GOMEZ AGUSTIN 120 3.00 36% 1.80 9.06 P
8  BISA 6 3 31½ 31½   32½ 34½ (caramori eduard)MORALES EDGAR 120 8.00 6.13  
2  TALKSALOT 2 4 42 43   44½ 47¾ (desormeaux )HERNANDEZ J 118 8.00 8.90  
5  CAMPAIGN PROMISES 5 5 53½ 54   56 58¾ (tomlinson micha)CANNON DECLAN 120 15.00 22% 3.50 8.32  
1  SEVILLA 1 6 64 65   67 613 (gutierrez fau)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 8.00 5% 19.00 3.96  
SCR  LYLAH RENEE               (catalano wa)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 120 12.00    
SCR  RICHIESGOLDENGIRL               (rivelli larr)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 4.00    
 
CD-2   11/02/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($32K) Purse ($62K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:34
See original race card.
:213 :444 :571     1:10   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  WENT WEST 6 8 83¾ 53½   32 12¾ (cano muno)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 3.00 38% 1.60 9.10 W
7  JACKMAN 7 1 2nk 1nk   1nk 22¾ (asmussen steven)ASMUSSEN ERIK 115 5.00 7% 13.30 3.27 P
1  G T FIVE HUNDRED 1 2 1nk 3½   2nk 33½ (cano m)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 120 15.00 5% 19.00 9.30 S
3  PAYNE 3 9 96¾ 98   76¼ 43½ (asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J 120 2.50 29% 2.40 4.07  
2  PRESIDENT Z 2 7 73¼ 64   53¼ 53¾ (dutrow richar)CONCEPCION AXEL 120 8.00 6.99  
4  PRINCIPE CARLO 4 5 3.2 42   64¼ 65¾ (jacobson david)VAZQUEZ A 120 6.00 6.59  
8  PRINCIP 8 3 4¼ 2nk   42¼ 76 (foley greg)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 10.00 9.20  
9  DIAMOND HEIST 9 6 62¾ 76   810¼ 817¼ (synnefias p)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 120 6.00 4.38  
5  BAYOU COLONEL 5 4 51¼ 87½   912¼ 921¾ (wilkes r)MORALES EDGAR 120 20.00 5% 19.00 21.18  
 
CD-3   11/02/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($58K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:08
See original race card.
:22 :452 :572     1:101   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  MISCHIEVOUS M 5 1 1½ 12   14 11¾ (vance thomas)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 10.00 6% 16.40 3.46 W
5  SNOOK 3 4 2½ 22   24 21¾ (lynch a)MONCADA IRVING 115 4.00 14% 6.30 2.33 P
1  HALFWAY TEMPTED 1 7 65¼ 66   46 33½ (romans dale)LANERIE J 122 15.00 9.22  
10  CHUN MONEY 7 3 51¾ 33   36 47¼ (von d)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 8.00 39% 1.60 1.71  
4  AUSTIN'S MAP 2 5 41½ 43½   56¼ 59¼ (asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J 122 8.00 8.58  
6  DU MONDE 4 6 75¼ 76¼   68¾ 611¾ (hill f)CANNON DECLAN 122 6.00 21% 3.80 13.42  
9  GETOUTYOURWALLET 6 2 3½ 53½   78¾ 714 (shorter aaron)VAZQUEZ A 122 10.00 19.54  
SCR  EVAN ON EARTH               (foley greg)MURRILL MITCHELL 122 3.00    
SCR  FIRST BID               (milligan ed)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 122 12.00    
SCR  GUN BARREL               (garcia genaro)MORALES EDGAR 122 5.00    
 
CD-4   11/02/2024 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($52K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:46
See original race card.
:242 :492 1:134 1:38   1:442   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  GILMORE 9 5 21 2½ 2½ 2nk 1¾ (asmussen steven)ASMUSSEN ERIK 116 5.00 3.12  
6  SEVEN BRIDGES ROAD 6 7 64 63 52 1nk 2¾ (bowersock m)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 121 8.00 5% 18.60 8.49 P
5  TIWANAKU 5 4 31½ 31½ 3½ 3.2 3¾ (garcia genaro)MONCADA IRVING 114 3.00 67% 0.50 3.27 S
2  BUSINESS MODEL 2 9 85½ 95¼ 63½ 42¼ 42¼ (jacobson )DE CRUZ 121 6.00 3.22  
7  SOARING BIRD 7 3 42 41½ 41½ 52¾ 53 (cano muno)BESCHIZZA ADAM 121 6.00 7.91  
4  NEPAL UP 4 8 96 74 85½ 75¼ 64¾ (van thomas)LANERIE J 121 5.00 8.52  
8  MOONSTRIKE (GB) 8 1 11 1½ 1½ 63¼ 78½ (dixon jr)SAEZ GABRIEL 121 20.00 5% 19.00 28.37  
1  IMPROBABLE STORY 1 2 74 84¼ 96 99¾ 813¾ (king l)CHUAN MARTIN 121 12.00 5% 19.00 38.31  
3  ALL WEST 3 6 53 52½ 74½ 88¾ 914¾ (pino michae)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 4.50 ★ 7.51  
 
CD-5   11/02/2024 5940ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:27
See original race card.
:23 :473 1:124 1:37   1:482   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  BOURBON THIEF 8 4 64¾ 74 63 3.2 11½ (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 121 5.00 5% 19.00 5.68 W
6  FARFALLE 6 6 42¼ 42¼ 41½ 2nk 21½ (cox h)BESCHIZZA ADAM 121 4.00 25% 3.00 6.43 P
3  ENCHANT 3 1 1nk 1nk 11 1nk 32¾ (walsh p)CURTIS BEN 121 5.00 31% 2.20 3.07 S
5  SMOKIN HOT BLONDE 5 8 107¾ 106½ 116¾ 85 43½ (kelley a)CANNON DECLAN 121 20.00 37.09  
4  TIME STONE 4 2 85¾ 85½ 94¾ 42¼ 53½ (devaux cherie)CONCEPCION AXEL 121 4.50 16% 5.40 3.49  
10  LADY OF POWER 10 7 75¼ 63¾ 52½ 52¾ 64¾ (devaux cherie)LANERIE J 121 10.00 11.00  
2  I AM THE SAUCE 2 10 118 117½ 105¾ 64¾ 75¼ (lovell michelle)ASHTON GAVIN 121 20.00 41.71  
12  JITTERBUG 12 9 96¾ 96 84½ 74¾ 87½ (clement christophe)GRAHAM J 121 3.00 3.25  
1  ARGENTINIDAD 1 11 1210 129 127¼ 107½ 98½ (seglin e)RIQUELME J 121 20.00 92.97  
9  MULIMA 9 5 32 32 31 95½ 1011 (walsh p)MORALES EDGAR 121 12.00 5% 19.00 14.92  
7  FASHION AFFIRMED 7 3 52¼ 53¾ 74 118 1113¼ (pittman bonnie)CALLEJA ANDRES 114 30.00 ######  
11  KARSON KAY 11 12 2nk 2nk 21 128½ 1215¾ (murphy t)FLETCHER D 121 30.00 95.50  
SCR  INDY LABEL               (shirer a)CONCEPCION AXEL 121 20.00    
 
CD-6   11/02/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($39K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:07
See original race card.
:234 :464 1:113     1:25   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  JUMP INTO THE FIRE 3 7 2½ 2nk   1nk 1nk (cook b)MONCADA IRVING 113 2.50 36% 1.80 1.66 W
1  LIL TOWN SIS 1 2 53¼ 65¾   32½ 2nk (forster t)LANERIE J 120 15.00 2.74  
2  CACTUS FLOWER 2 1 1½ 1nk   2nk 3¼ (matthews randy)SANJUR SANTO 120 8.00 13% 6.70 9.41 S
5  GUANA CAY 4 4 63¾ 53¾   43 41½ (cano muno)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 5.00 16% 5.40 4.66  
9  CHIQUITA MOSCA 6 6 79¼ 713¾   79 52¾ (bahena ismael)CHUAN MARTIN 120 8.00 6.16  
10  WILDCATJUSTICE 7 5 43 33   54 63 (matthews randy)MORALES EDGAR 120 10.00 8% 11.90 10.79  
8  LOOKIN ROYAL 5 3 33 43¼   66 710½ (huffman pat)MIRANDA ROGELIO 120 12.00 12.83  
SCR  INNER HARBOR               (alessi james)SANCHEZ LEXANDER 120 20.00    
SCR  SIMPLE SOUVENIR               (synnefias p)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 120 3.50    
SCR  TALKIN IN CURSIVE               (vosler s)LEBRON VICTOR 118 6.00    
 
CD-7   11/02/2024 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($127K) 2 ALL PT- 4:48
See original race card.
:224 :46 1:094     1:221   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  SMOKEN WICKED 9 5 11 11   14½ 18¼ (stewart dal)HERNANDEZ J 122 2.00 43% 1.30 2.77 W
3  HEAVENVILLE 3 4 31 31½   24½ 28¼ (asmussen steven)ASMUSSEN ERIK 117 6.00 25% 3.00 9.71 P
8  BIG BOAT 8 8 51¾ 41½   36 38¾ (divito p)VAZQUEZ A 122 2.50 1.53  
6  MCDUDE 6 9 93 63   57 410 (ortiz al)CONCEPCION AXEL 122 20.00 5% 19.00 9.93  
4  C K WONDER 4 1 82¾ 95¼   69 510½ (romans dale)LANERIE J 122 5.00 8% 12.00 4.64  
1  INNOVA 1 2 21 21   46 612¾ (stidham michael)CURTIS BEN 122 20.00 57.34  
5  EXTRADITION 5 7 72¼ 73¼   79½ 717 (asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J 122 8.00 22.80  
2  FIRMUS 2 6 62¼ 83¾   814 821¼ (catalano wayne )MORALES EDGAR 122 10.00 10.55  
7  I'M OTTER HERE 7 3 41¼ 52   914½ 921¼ (hiles a)GRAHAM J 122 10.00 5% 19.00 21.55  
 
CD-8   11/02/2024 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 F PT- 5:27
See original race card.
:231 :462 1:111     1:234   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  QUANTUM BURST 7 1 32 31½   12 15½ (walsh p)CURTIS BEN 119 3.50 23% 3.30 4.87 W
8  EVERLOVING 8 2 2nk 1nk   22 25½ (amoss m)LANERIE J 119 1.80 49% 1.00 0.70 P
6  NO OTHER LIKE YOU 6 8 85¾ 99   57 36½ (mott riley)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 12.00 30.09  
4  ENSORCELL 4 6 64½ 77½   77¼ 48½ (moquett ron)LEPAROUX R 119 6.00 6% 17.20 9.47  
2  JENKIN 2 4 53 56   67 58½ (schultz lin)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 6.00 ★ 12.33  
5  MOMENTARIO 5 3 1nk 2nk   34 69¾ (asmussen steven)ASMUSSEN ERIK 114 10.00 9.26  
1  PRINCESS ALIYAH 1 5 42½ 43½   46 710¼ (lukas wayn)ASMUSSEN J 119 8.00 5% 19.00 11.17  
3  LOBBY RENDEZVOUS 3 7 74¾ 66½   87¾ 810¾ (shirer a)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 15.00 35.49  
9  MASSARAT 9 9 96¼ 88   98¾ 911¼ (walsh p)MORALES EDGAR 119 10.00 20.09  
 
CD-9   11/02/2024 5610ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($127K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:10
See original race card.
:222 :464 1:103 1:343   1:404   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
14  SAINT IN THE CITY 11 2 11½ 1½ 41¾ 31½ 1nk (van th)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 10.00 9% 9.90 19.74 W
3  OSCAR SEASON 3 1 32½ 31½ 2nk 1½ 2nk (walsh brenda)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 4.50 39% 1.60 1.82 P
10  MERCANTE 9 7 53½ 42 3.2 42½ 3½ (knippenberg br)MONCADA IRVING 114 15.00 20.15  
2  MOUNT HOREB 2 11 95 84½ 73¼ 63 4¾ (attfield roge)CONCEPCION AXEL 121 8.00 12.51  
9  BERNIN TUNE 8 8 106 106 105¾ 85¼ 51¼ (morey william )BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 30.00 81.34  
11  STRIDE 10 12 129 116½ 95¼ 75 62 (andrade hugo)CANUTO THIAGO 121 30.00 5% 19.00 50.57  
1  BORN FLASHY 1 3 21½ 2½ 1nk 2½ 72¼ (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 118 5.00 12% 7.30 4.41  
4  UNLEASH THE POWER 4 9 42½ 52½ 51¾ 53 83¼ (stall m)GRAHAM J 121 4.00 15% 5.60 4.20  
7  SWISS SLANG 6 5 73¾ 64 62¾ 107¼ 94¼ (mott riley)ACHARD ALEX 118 12.00 14.30  
8  REAL MEN VIOLIN 7 4 84¾ 95½ 83¾ 96¾ 106¾ (mcpeek kenn)HERNANDEZ J 118 5.00 12.65  
16  LEAD FOOT 12 6 118 127 118¼ 1111¼ 1113¾ (gonzalez reina )SOSA LAUREANO 118 15.00 ######  
5  HALF DOME (IRE) 5 10 63¾ 74½ 1223¼ 1246¼ 12100 (mccarthy mic)CORRALES GERARDO 120 6.00 6.55  
SCR  B B PRINCE               (ewing michae)VILLARREAL OSCAR 113 30.00    
SCR  FLYING HOUDINI               (west henry)BURGOS ALBERTO 121 20.00    
SCR  KARLWITHANARL               (medina robert)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 30.00    
SCR  WINSTON WOLF               (amoss m)LANERIE J 121 8.00    
 
CD-10   11/02/2024 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST Bet Purse ($300K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:45
See original race card.
:221 :452 :564     1:09   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  GULFPORT 3 2 21½ 21   21½ 1¼ (asmussen steven)ASMUSSEN ERIK 121 12.00 5% 19.00 7.36 W
8  CHAMPLIN 6 1 11½ 11   11½ 2¼ (foley greg)MURRILL MITCHELL 121 3.50 27% 2.70 2.33 P
9  ANGKOR 7 3 33 31½   32½ 3½ (bauer philip)CORRALES GERARDO 121 4.50 2.63  
6  TEJANO TWIST 4 4 75½ 53½   44½ 43½ (hartman chris)LANDEROS CHRIS 121 8.00 12% 7.30 4.31  
3  BANGO 2 6 43½ 65   66 55¾ (foley greg)LANERIE J 121 2.50 23% 3.30 3.07  
7  HAPPY AMERICAN 5 5 54½ 43   56 66¾ (pessin neil )LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 15.00 36.87  
2  GOLD LUCK 1 7 65½ 76½   79 711½ (garcia genaro)MORALES EDGAR 121 12.00 16.56  
SCR  BIG HAT WILLIE               (jacobson )DE CRUZ 121 30.00    
SCR  HAPPY IS A CHOICE               (ortiz alexan)VAZQUEZ A 125 3.00    
 
CD-11   11/02/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($92K) 2 F PT- 7:20
See original race card.
null null null null null null   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  WISCONSIN GAL 5 2 11 12½   13½ 12¾ (mcentee paul)LEONARD KILLIAN 119 3.50 29% 2.40 5.89 W
9  TIGER DIVISION 8 5 41½ 32½   23½ 22¾ (arnold r)MORALES EDGAR 119 4.00 13% 6.80 3.55 P
7  DIAGRAM 6 1 21 22½   33½ 34½ (calhoun willi)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 3.00 33% 2.10 3.07 S
8  DIMENSIONALITY 7 6 52½ 46   47 48 (terranova jo)CORRALES GERARDO 119 15.00 16.45  
4  OUTRAGE 3 7 94½ 88¾   610½ 510¼ (navarrete an)LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 20.00 48.72  
1  VINO TIEMPO 1 8 107½ 1011¾   711½ 610¼ (vance d)ASHTON GAVIN 119 20.00 61.30  
5  ANONIMA 4 10 72¾ 78¼   58½ 712¾ (mcpeek kenn)HERNANDEZ J 119 10.00 16.07  
12  ASTERIA 10 9 62¾ 56¼   914 823 (beckman whitwort)CURTIS BEN 119 12.00 10.07  
3  BETTER HAVE CASH 2 3 31½ 910¾   1015½ 924 (alessi james)SANCHEZ LEXANDER 119 30.00 5% 19.00 72.16  
10  FLINTLOCK 9 4 83 66¾   813 1024¼ (sharp joe)LANERIE J 119 8.00 5% 19.00 1.88  
SCR  FLOJO               (drury j)MONCADA IRVING 112 6.00    
SCR  MY CHERRY PIE               (lukas wayne)ELLIOTT JANE 119 30.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.