Handicappers' Racing Form

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Churchill Downs
Saturday - November 02, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

CD-1   Win (4/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00
CD-2   Win (6/3/7/5/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00
CD-3   Win (10/6/5/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00
CD-4   Win (5/6/1/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00
CD-5   Win (3/6/4/8/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00
CD-6   Win (3/5/2/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00
CD-7   Win (9/3/4/7/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00
CD-8   Win (8/7/4/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00
CD-9   Win (3/4/1/14/11) 5 $2.00 $10.00
CD-10   Win (8/3/6/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00
CD-11   Win (7/6/9/10/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
CD-1   11/02/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($42K) 2 F PT- 1:00
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SEVILLA Oct11 Aug16 Aug01 Jun24 Jun09 (gutierrez fau)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
TALKSALOT Sep28 Aug29 Jul30 Jul06 Jun16 (desormeaux )HERNANDEZ J 118 8.00    
ROSE RITA Jun09 Apr12       (ward wesley )CORRALES GERARDO 118 1.60    
LOOKATMYBUCKLE Oct02 Sep12 Aug28 Aug17 Aug05 (gorostieta ciri)GOMEZ AGUSTIN 120 3.00 36% 1.80    
CAMPAIGN PROMISES Sep14 Aug23       (tomlinson micha)CANNON DECLAN 120 15.00 22% 3.50    
SCR  RICHIESGOLDENGIRL Sep08         (rivelli larr)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 4.00    
SCR  LYLAH RENEE Oct29 Sep26 Sep08 Aug01   (catalano wa)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 120 12.00    
BISA Oct11 Sep19 Sep08 Aug22 Jul31 (caramori eduard)MORALES EDGAR 120 8.00    
 
CD-2   11/02/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($32K) Purse ($62K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:34
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
G T FIVE HUNDRED Sep26 Sep15 Aug12 Jun28 Jun12 (cano m)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
PRESIDENT Z Feb09 Jan13 Jan04 Nov26 Nov15 (dutrow richar)CONCEPCION AXEL 120 8.00    
PAYNE Sep21 Aug03 Jun22 Jun01 May04 (asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J 120 2.50 29% 2.40    
PRINCIPE CARLO Oct19 Jun14 May24 May12 Mar14 (jacobson david)VAZQUEZ A 120 6.00    
BAYOU COLONEL Sep26 Aug01 Jul03 Jun08 Aug17 (wilkes r)MORALES EDGAR 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
WENT WEST Oct13 Sep12 Aug21 Jul07 Jun22 (cano muno)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 3.00 38% 1.60    
JACKMAN Sep21 Jul31 Jul07 Jun07 May25 (asmussen steven)ASMUSSEN ERIK 115 5.00 7% 13.30    
PRINCIP Sep26 Jul15 Jun27 Jun02 Apr20 (foley greg)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 10.00    
DIAMOND HEIST Oct13 Sep01 Aug18 Aug07 Mar22 (synnefias p)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 120 6.00    
 
CD-3   11/02/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($58K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:08
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HALFWAY TEMPTED         (romans dale)LANERIE J 122 15.00    
SCR  GUN BARREL Sep28 Sep08 Aug10     (garcia genaro)MORALES EDGAR 122 5.00    
SCR  FIRST BID Jun16 Apr13 Feb03 Dec31 Nov13 (milligan ed)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 122 12.00    
AUSTIN'S MAP Sep23         (asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J 122 8.00    
SNOOK Sep22         (lynch a)MONCADA IRVING 115 4.00 14% 6.30    
DU MONDE Sep22 Aug25 Jul28 Jun16 May24 (hill f)CANNON DECLAN 122 6.00 21% 3.80    
MISCHIEVOUS M Sep28 Sep15 Jun30 Jun01 May04 (vance thomas)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 10.00 6% 16.40    
SCR  EVAN ON EARTH May04 Jan27 Dec30 Nov12   (foley greg)MURRILL MITCHELL 122 3.00    
GETOUTYOURWALLET Sep28         (shorter aaron)VAZQUEZ A 122 10.00    
10  CHUN MONEY Oct10 Sep15 Mar07 Dec31 Dec08 (von d)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 8.00 39% 1.60    
 
CD-4   11/02/2024 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($52K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:46
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
IMPROBABLE STORY Sep30 Sep18 Sep06 Aug22 Jul25 (king l)CHUAN MARTIN 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
BUSINESS MODEL Oct05 Sep21 Aug07 Jul10 Apr05 (jacobson )DE CRUZ 121 6.00    
ALL WEST Sep18 Jul20 Jun29 May10 Apr17 (pino michae)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 4.50    
NEPAL UP May17 Apr20 Apr05 Feb17 Oct20 (van thomas)LANERIE J 121 5.00    
TIWANAKU Sep30 Sep12 Jul16 Jun15 May30 (garcia genaro)MONCADA IRVING 114 3.00 67% 0.50    
SEVEN BRIDGES ROAD Oct16 Sep30 Sep04 Aug17 Aug11 (bowersock m)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 121 8.00 5% 18.60    
SOARING BIRD Oct11 Sep25 Sep15 Aug12 Jun26 (cano muno)BESCHIZZA ADAM 121 6.00    
MOONSTRIKE (GB) Oct18 Sep27 Sep12 Aug24 Jul31 (dixon jr)SAEZ GABRIEL 121 20.00 5% 19.00    
GILMORE Oct13 Sep22 Aug12 Jul22 Apr21 (asmussen steven)ASMUSSEN ERIK 116 5.00    
 
CD-5   11/02/2024 5940ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:27
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ARGENTINIDAD Oct09 Sep13 Aug07 Jun17 May25 (seglin e)RIQUELME J 121 20.00    
I AM THE SAUCE Oct09 Sep01 Jul21 Jun28 May25 (lovell michelle)ASHTON GAVIN 121 20.00    
ENCHANT Oct09 Aug11       (walsh p)CURTIS BEN 121 5.00 31% 2.20    
TIME STONE Sep15 Aug23 Mar15 Jan21   (devaux cherie)CONCEPCION AXEL 121 4.50 16% 5.40    
SMOKIN HOT BLONDE         (kelley a)CANNON DECLAN 121 20.00    
FARFALLE         (cox h)BESCHIZZA ADAM 121 4.00 25% 3.00    
FASHION AFFIRMED Oct15 Sep25 Aug18 Jul28 Jul05 (pittman bonnie)CALLEJA ANDRES 114 30.00    
BOURBON THIEF Sep07 Aug08 Mar21     (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 121 5.00 5% 19.00    
MULIMA Sep24 Aug13 Jul09 May27 Aug31 (walsh p)MORALES EDGAR 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
10  LADY OF POWER Feb24         (devaux cherie)LANERIE J 121 10.00    
11  KARSON KAY Oct16 Oct21 Sep22 Aug28   (murphy t)FLETCHER D 121 30.00    
12  JITTERBUG Sep15 Aug18 Jul21 Jun20 May24 (clement christophe)GRAHAM J 121 3.00    
SCR  INDY LABEL Sep29 Sep13 Jul04 Jun06 Sep20 (shirer a)CONCEPCION AXEL 121 20.00    
 
CD-6   11/02/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($39K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:07
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LIL TOWN SIS Sep28 Aug18 Jul13 Jun14 May19 (forster t)LANERIE J 120 15.00    
CACTUS FLOWER Oct17 Sep28 Sep03 Jul17 Feb21 (matthews randy)SANJUR SANTO 120 8.00 13% 6.70    
JUMP INTO THE FIRE Sep21 Jul27 Apr30 Mar09 Aug11 (cook b)MONCADA IRVING 113 2.50 36% 1.80    
SCR  INNER HARBOR Oct04 Sep07 Jul05 Jun14 May25 (alessi james)SANCHEZ LEXANDER 120 20.00    
GUANA CAY Oct10 Sep22 Sep05 Jul14 Jun09 (cano muno)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 5.00 16% 5.40    
SCR  SIMPLE SOUVENIR Oct09 Sep08 Aug09 Jun22 May04 (synnefias p)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 120 3.50    
SCR  TALKIN IN CURSIVE Sep26 Sep07 Jul24 Jun22 Jun05 (vosler s)LEBRON VICTOR 118 6.00    
LOOKIN ROYAL Sep27 Dec20 Nov26 Nov08 Sep28 (huffman pat)MIRANDA ROGELIO 120 12.00    
CHIQUITA MOSCA Sep29 Sep19 Aug21 Jul27 Jul17 (bahena ismael)CHUAN MARTIN 120 8.00    
10  WILDCATJUSTICE Sep11 Aug20 Jul17 Jul05 Jun19 (matthews randy)MORALES EDGAR 120 10.00 8% 11.90    
 
CD-7   11/02/2024 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($127K) 2 ALL PT- 4:48
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
INNOVA Oct03 Aug24       (stidham michael)CURTIS BEN 122 20.00    
FIRMUS Sep14 Aug24       (catalano wayne )MORALES EDGAR 122 10.00    
HEAVENVILLE Sep21 Aug26 Jul27     (asmussen steven)ASMUSSEN ERIK 117 6.00 25% 3.00    
C K WONDER Oct06 Aug24 Aug03     (romans dale)LANERIE J 122 5.00 8% 12.00    
EXTRADITION Sep27 Aug03 Jul05     (asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J 122 8.00    
MCDUDE Sep28         (ortiz al)CONCEPCION AXEL 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
I'M OTTER HERE Oct04 Sep08 Aug18 Jul28   (hiles a)GRAHAM J 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
BIG BOAT Oct05 Sep12       (divito p)VAZQUEZ A 122 2.50    
SMOKEN WICKED Oct05 Sep02 Aug10 Jun30 Jun01 (stewart dal)HERNANDEZ J 122 2.00 43% 1.30    
 
CD-8   11/02/2024 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 F PT- 5:27
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PRINCESS ALIYAH Oct12         (lukas wayn)ASMUSSEN J 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
JENKIN Sep26         (schultz lin)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 6.00    
LOBBY RENDEZVOUS         (shirer a)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 15.00    
ENSORCELL Sep20         (moquett ron)LEPAROUX R 119 6.00 6% 17.20    
MOMENTARIO         (asmussen steven)ASMUSSEN ERIK 114 10.00    
NO OTHER LIKE YOU         (mott riley)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 12.00    
QUANTUM BURST Oct05         (walsh p)CURTIS BEN 119 3.50 23% 3.30    
EVERLOVING Sep20         (amoss m)LANERIE J 119 1.80 49% 1.00    
MASSARAT         (walsh p)MORALES EDGAR 119 10.00    
 
CD-9   11/02/2024 5610ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($127K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:10
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BORN FLASHY Sep08 Mar23       (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 118 5.00 12% 7.30    
MOUNT HOREB Oct19 Feb15 Jan18 Dec10   (attfield roge)CONCEPCION AXEL 121 8.00    
OSCAR SEASON Oct06 Aug29       (walsh brenda)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 4.50 39% 1.60    
UNLEASH THE POWER Aug31 Aug02 Jun30 May31 Sep17 (stall m)GRAHAM J 121 4.00 15% 5.60    
HALF DOME (IRE) Oct10 Aug25 Jul05     (mccarthy mic)CORRALES GERARDO 120 6.00    
SCR  WINSTON WOLF Sep26 Aug18 Jul21 Jun23 May27 (amoss m)LANERIE J 121 8.00    
SWISS SLANG Apr26 Mar07 Feb07 Jan14 Dec10 (mott riley)ACHARD ALEX 118 12.00    
REAL MEN VIOLIN Sep14 Aug24 Jul06 May27 Apr21 (mcpeek kenn)HERNANDEZ J 118 5.00    
BERNIN TUNE Oct09 Sep01 Jul31 Aug27   (morey william )BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 30.00    
10  MERCANTE Jul22 Jun02 Apr13 Jan21 Dec17 (knippenberg br)MONCADA IRVING 114 15.00    
11  STRIDE Sep16 Aug21 Feb15 Jan18 Dec22 (andrade hugo)CANUTO THIAGO 121 30.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  B B PRINCE Oct09         (ewing michae)VILLARREAL OSCAR 113 30.00    
SCR  FLYING HOUDINI Oct04 Aug17 Jul20 Jun21 May29 (west henry)BURGOS ALBERTO 121 20.00    
14  SAINT IN THE CITY Oct24 Sep22 Aug12 Jun06 Apr28 (van th)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 10.00 9% 9.90    
SCR  KARLWITHANARL Oct08 Sep08 Aug18 Jul06 Jun08 (medina robert)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 30.00    
16  LEAD FOOT Oct17 Aug12 Jul28 Jun14 May26 (gonzalez reina )SOSA LAUREANO 118 15.00    
 
CD-10   11/02/2024 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST Bet Purse ($300K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:45
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BIG HAT WILLIE Oct16 Aug23 Aug03 Jul05 May19 (jacobson )DE CRUZ 121 30.00    
GOLD LUCK Sep22 Jun21 Jun07 May12 Apr07 (garcia genaro)MORALES EDGAR 121 12.00    
BANGO Sep27 Jun29 May02 Nov04 Oct06 (foley greg)LANERIE J 121 2.50 23% 3.30    
SCR  HAPPY IS A CHOICE Sep14 Jul21 Jun22 Apr13 Mar03 (ortiz alexan)VAZQUEZ A 125 3.00    
GULFPORT Sep28 Jun30 Apr07 Oct01 Sep05 (asmussen steven)ASMUSSEN ERIK 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
TEJANO TWIST Jun29 Jun01 May04 Apr13 Mar16 (hartman chris)LANDEROS CHRIS 121 8.00 12% 7.30    
HAPPY AMERICAN Sep28 Aug11 Jun30 May31 Apr20 (pessin neil )LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 15.00    
CHAMPLIN Sep28 Jul21 May16 Apr21 Feb29 (foley greg)MURRILL MITCHELL 121 3.50 27% 2.70    
ANGKOR Sep27 Aug24 Jun29 Jun01 May02 (bauer philip)CORRALES GERARDO 121 4.50    
 
CD-11   11/02/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($92K) 2 F PT- 7:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VINO TIEMPO         (vance d)ASHTON GAVIN 119 20.00    
SCR  FLOJO         (drury j)MONCADA IRVING 112 6.00    
BETTER HAVE CASH Sep26         (alessi james)SANCHEZ LEXANDER 119 30.00 5% 19.00    
OUTRAGE         (navarrete an)LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 20.00    
ANONIMA         (mcpeek kenn)HERNANDEZ J 119 10.00    
WISCONSIN GAL Oct19 Sep26 Sep15 Sep04 Aug10 (mcentee paul)LEONARD KILLIAN 119 3.50 29% 2.40    
DIAGRAM Oct10 Sep08 Aug10     (calhoun willi)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 3.00 33% 2.10    
DIMENSIONALITY         (terranova jo)CORRALES GERARDO 119 15.00    
TIGER DIVISION Oct10 Sep01 Aug12     (arnold r)MORALES EDGAR 119 4.00 13% 6.80    
10  FLINTLOCK         (sharp joe)LANERIE J 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  MY CHERRY PIE Sep26 Aug25       (lukas wayne)ELLIOTT JANE 119 30.00    
12  ASTERIA         (beckman whitwort)CURTIS BEN 119 12.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.