Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Thistledown
Thursday - September 26, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TDN-2   EXA (5/2)-(5/2/3) 4 $1.00 $4.00  5-2 $4.70 $0.70 18%
Simulator Race results
 
TDN-1   09/26/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($16K) Purse ($20.8K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
See original race card.
:223 :462 :593     1:132   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  JODHPUR 7 3 32 31   2nk 13¼ (radosevich jef)HOUGHTON D 115 8.00 25.80  
4  RADIO SILENT 4 4 1nk 2nk   32 23¼ (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 115 3.50 ★ 1.80 P
6  BUMPKIN 6 1 2nk 1nk   1nk 35¼ (meyers shane)BRACHO A 119 2.50 54% 0.80 0.70 S
2  STRIKE PLATE 2 9 67¼ 45½   47 47¼ (langley josh)TERRAZA GERMAN 119 5.00 41.90  
8  BIG TIME FLIRT 8 5 45½ 56   58½ 510¼ (erdel jo)FERNANDEZ R 119 4.50 7.70  
9  AGNELLO CITY 9 2 57 68   610½ 612 (skerrett jef)ROSARIO L 119 12.00 79.30  
3  WHY KENNY WHY 3 6 79¼ 712½   714 713¾ ( )RODRIGUEZ SAMUEL 121 15.00 5% 19.00 57.40  
5  CINSAULT 5 8 810¾ 816   815½ 815 (rone mike)AVILES YAN 115 6.00 10% 8.80 9.90  
1  IPPOLITO'S WONDER 1 7 913¾ 919   916½ 916¼ (casalinova tina)VIGIL NOEL 119 20.00 5% 19.00 ######  
 
TDN-2   09/26/2024 3630ft DIRT RC6 GOOD Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($23.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:20
See original race card.
:223 :454 :58     1:041   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  THE SWEATY FOX 4 2 2nk 1½   12 17 (skerrett jeff)BARBARAN ERIK 121 1.80 54% 0.80 0.05 W
2  RENO TOUCH 1 3 41¾ 32   22 27 (rone mike)HOUGHTON D 119 5.00 20% 3.90 23.20 P
6  TWILIGHT VISION 5 1 1nk 2½   33½ 38¾ (ja)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 4.00 25.90  
4  LOFTHOUSE 3 4 31½ 42   43½ 410 (huffman candace)BOWEN ROCCO 119 3.00 10.60  
3  TIZ INDEPENDENCE 2 5 53¾ 55   57½ 510 (skerrett jeff)BRACHO A 119 3.50 ★ 42.70  
SCR  LIBERTY BELLE               (winters miche)SIMPSON JASON 121 15.00    
 
TDN-3   09/26/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($16K) Purse ($21.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:50
See original race card.
:223 :46 :584     1:121   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  STUNT MAN 4 1 22 2½   11½ 12¾ (morales saul )BRACHO A 119 1.80 37% 1.70 0.90 W
1  WILDCAT BILL 1 5 33 32   33½ 22¾ (radosevich jeff)AVILES YAN 119 5.00 2.00  
3  CONDEMNATION 2 3 12 1½   21½ 33¾ (morales saul)BERRIOS HECTOR 119 3.00 30% 2.30 2.90 S
6  NO MAS CERVEZA 5 2 44 56   48½ 410½ (brown glenroy)CEDILLO MAURO 119 10.00 22.20  
4  STARS N SPACE 3 4 54 46   58½ 513¼ (jackson james )HOUGHTON D 119 15.00 8% 11.60 10.60  
SCR  MIDNIGHT VOYAGE               (yoder )BATISTA ALBERTO 115 2.00    
 
TDN-4   09/26/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($18.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:20
See original race card.
:222 :462 :594     1:063   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  YIPPEE KI YAY 2 3 32 32   22 11¾ (radosevich je)BRACHO A 119 2.00 26% 2.80 1.00 W
4  RED HOT POWER 4 1 22 21½   32½ 21¾ (gonzalez dona)TOLEDO S 119 6.00 7.90  
5  BUCKEYE RED 5 2 12 11½   12 32¼ (johnson )FERNANDEZ R 119 1.80 26% 2.90 7.10 S
1  GOOD MUSIC 1 5 43½ 43½   44½ 42½ (rone mike)HOUGHTON D 123 3.00 6.80  
3  LUNCHATTHELIZARD 3 4 55 54   56½ 55 (cline c)BOWEN ROCCO 119 5.00 24% 3.20 1.70  
 
TDN-5   09/26/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($25K) Purse ($30.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:50
See original race card.
:223 :453 :58     1:103   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HITE 1 5 42½ 34   22 11¾ (va)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 6.00 7.40  
4  MIDNIGHT WARSHIP 3 3 2½ 1nk   12 21¾ (cowans d)NAVAS YOEL 119 1.80 53% 0.90 0.90 P
3  OKLAHOMA JOE 2 4 1½ 2nk   32 36½ (radosevich justi)AVILES YAN 119 3.50 19% 4.40 1.10 S
5  GONE IN A FLASH 4 2 32 44¼   47 410 (zielinski richar)VIGIL NOEL 119 10.00 5% 19.00 21.00  
6  DERBY INCLUDED 5 1 53 58¼   511 515¼ (cline c)BOWEN ROCCO 119 5.00 9.50  
SCR  DARK VADER               (zielinski ric)BRACHO A 119 2.50    
 
TDN-6   09/26/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($31.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:20
See original race card.
:223 :46 :581     1:104   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KEY TO SUCCESS 1 5 55 33½   21 11 (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 119 2.00 1.40  
3  GETAWAY BAY 3 1 11½ 11½   11 21 (da)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 1.60 26% 2.80 1.20 P
5  DANCE MY WAY 5 2 21½ 21½   32½ 36¼ (puhl kim)TOLEDO S 119 5.00 8% 12.00 13.40 S
4  TALKIN IN CURSIVE 4 3 44½ 45   46 47¼ (vosler s)BOWEN ROCCO 115 3.00 32% 2.10 2.80  
2  CANDYMONIUM 2 4 32½ 56   510½ 511 (skerre)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 8.00 28.90  
 
TDN-7   09/26/2024 5610ft DIRT RC11 GOOD Catlaunch Purse ($75K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:241 :49 1:134 1:40   1:47   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  VILLIAN 4 2 11½ 11 11½ 11½ 1¾ (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 115 4.50 16% 5.10 1.60 W
  (by NATIONAL FLAG out of CALLISTO by MALIBU MOON)
1  KELLEHER 1 1 32 31½ 21½ 21½ 2¾ (tooley jennifer)AVILES YAN 117 1.80 43% 1.30 2.90 P
  (by CORFU out of HOOSIER HONEY by KEY TO THE KINGDOM)
5  THAT'S THE WAY 5 4 54 54½ 42½ 33 3¾ (radosevich je)BARBARAN ERIK 121 5.00 1.90  
  (by CITY WEEKEND out of CAPE FOG by CAPE TOWN)
8  COUNTEVERYBLESSING 7 5 65½ 66 53½ 47 47¼ (vazquez ivan)HALDAR J 113 8.00 11% 8.50 10.60  
  (by FORT LARNED out of SHARI'S QUEEN B by MOBIL)
7  MANGA MAN 6 7 76 77½ 78½ 711½ 514¼ (rivera nestor)TOLEDO S 117 15.00 5% 19.00 58.20  
  (by KINGSHIP out of SLIGO KNOWS by SLIGO BAY (IRE))
3  MAY MAYHEM 3 6 43 42 67½ 611½ 614¾ (radosevich je)BRACHO A 115 2.50 9.10  
  (by MOBIL out of MENDASSITY by TOUCH GOLD)
2  FIRSTHAND JUSTICE 2 3 21½ 21 31½ 510 715¼ (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 117 20.00 23.10  
  (by TIDAL VOLUME out of FLY GOLD AIR by TACTICAL ADVANTAGE)
SCR  NATIONAL STORY               (jensen justin )GILBERT KYLE 117 12.00    
  (by NATIONAL FLAG out of PUNCHLINE STORY by TWO PUNCH)
 
TDN-8   09/26/2024 5280ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($29.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
See original race card.
:241 :481 1:124     1:392   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  MOREAU 4 2 11½ 11½ 12½ 14½ 112 (radosevich je)BRACHO A 123 2.50 0.50  
3  VERBIER (IRE) 3 6 53½ 63¼ 54¾ 58 212 (zielinski richar)AVILES YAN 119 8.00 5% 19.00 11.60 P
1  LEMON DROP SHOT 1 1 65 42½ 42¾ 46 317 (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 119 3.00 10% 9.20 15.10 S
5  QUICK QUICK WHIT 5 4 21½ 21½ 32½ 36 423 (skerre)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 4.00 14.00  
6  BLUNDER 6 3 43 53 69¾ 616 5100 (urieta johanna)PEREZ A 119 12.00 48.10  
2  IT'S ABOUT TIME 2 5 32 31½ 22½ 24½ 6100 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 117 2.00 55% 0.80 1.80  
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.