Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Presque Isle Downs
Wednesday - October 16, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

PID-4   EXA (1/6/9/8)-(1/6/9/8) 12 $2.00 $24.00  1-9 $37.40 $13.40 56%
PID-7   WIN (4/3/6/9/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00  8 $12.00 $2.00 20%
    DD (7/5/6/8)-(4/3/6/9/8) 20 $2.00 $40.00  7-8 $122.80 $82.80 207%

Simulator Race results

 
PID-1   10/16/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($17.5K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:00
See original race card.
:214 :451 :572     1:094   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KANTKNOWITALL 6 3 32 3½   1 15 (clement chris)MORALES PABLO 121 3.50 2.30  
TAPPING OUT A TUNE 3 4 4 4   3 25 (danner k)GALLARDO A 124 1.80 8% 11.00 1.20 P
ADIOS ASHWOOD 1 5 5 6   53 3 (delong ben)JURADO EDDIE 121 4.50 4.20  
NOBLE GEM 2 6 6 53   6 4 (morris n)RODRIGUEZ O 124 5.00 27.90  
CHIEF CRAZY MOON 5 1 1nk 1nk   2 510½ (russell randa)VILLA-GOMEZ H 124 15.00 5% 19.00 23.80  
R CHELLO 4 2 2nk 2nk   4 612¼ (rojas ed)MARTINEZ A 121 2.50 62% 0.60 4.30  
 
PID-2   10/16/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:27
See original race card.
:251 :502 1:143 1:381   1:42   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SASSE'S CLASS 2 3 3 3 31 2nk 1¼ (milosevi)GALLARDO A 119 5.00 7.50  
HERONEANDONLY 4 1 1½ 11 1½ 1nk 2¼ (goodwin gabrie)LOPEZ DERECK 115 1.80 3.10  
MIDNIGHT AMBITION 5 2 2½ 21 2½ 3 35 (rojas ed)MARTINEZ A 119 2.50 49% 1.10 1.90 S
EXPRESS STAR 1 4 5 53 5 43 45 (miller h)RODRIGUEZ O 119 5.00 26% 2.80 2.80  
STAYINYOURLANE 3 5 4 42 42 5 5 (bowersock mari)ALLEN D 124 5.00 5% 19.00 3.00  
SCR  RANGER BLUE               (tasso mark)VILLA-GOMEZ H 119 6.00    
 
PID-3   10/16/2024 5490ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($30K) 2 ALL PT- 3:54
See original race card.
:24 :484 1:143 1:39   1:424   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CLAPPING 1 5 5 44 1nk 1nk 1¼ (stidham micha)MORALES PABLO 120 3.00 31% 2.30 1.40 W
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of APPLAUDING by CONGRATS)
MISSIONARY MAN 3 6 6 6 5 5¾ 2¼ (mott ril)GALLARDO A 120 5.00 2.60  
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of QUEBEC by INTO MISCHIEF)
MAXIMUM FAITH 4 2 2 22 3.2 3.2 33 (rice kev)RODRIGUEZ O 120 2.50 42% 1.40 3.60 S
  (by MAXIMUM SECURITY out of SCRIPTURE by HENNESSY)
GRAND MORNING (IRE) 2 1 1 12 2nk 2nk 4 (kintz mat)SEVERINO VICTOR 120 4.00 5.00  
  (by INSTAGRAND out of MORNING BELLE by MORNING LINE)
BAYTOWN BEATLE 5 3 34 33 6 4¼ 5 (mcentee paul)ALLEN D 120 6.00 5% 19.00 12.90  
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of SONG SUNG TRUE by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
VINO COURAGIO 6 4 4 5 4¾ 6 610¾ (connelly teresa)BAYS BROOKE 113 3.50 12.50  
  (by VINO ROSSO out of CATRAGEOUS by D. J. CAT)
 
PID-4   10/16/2024 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:21
See original race card.
:243 :492 1:144 1:27   1:391   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STARCRY 1 5 22 22 2½ 2nk 1 (herringt)GALLARDO A 120 2.50 57% 0.70 1.20 W
MABEE WICKEDNWILD 8 2 43 55 53 3 2 (miller darrin)ALLEN D 120 12.00 5% 19.00 12.00 P
SLAINTE MHATH 2 1 12 12 1½ 1nk 3 (wismer s)BAYS BROOKE 113 4.00 4.90  
UPTOWN CAT 5 4 5 3 3 4 4 (hamm timothy)MORALES PABLO 120 3.00 10% 9.40 2.40  
CHANNEL ME IN 4 3 32 44 4 5 5 (markgraf da)SEVERINO VICTOR 120 6.00 16.40  
VERSACE SUMMER 3 6 7 77 64 6 6 (valdez m)MARTINEZ A 120 12.00 32.90  
MOST DIVINE 7 8 812 8 8 710¼ 713 (kintz matth)VILLA-GOMEZ H 124 12.00 5% 19.00 13.90  
PRECIOUS GRACE 6 7 67 6 7 813¾ 822 (hamm timothy)AYALA J 120 5.00 14.10  
SCR  ASHERAH'S RUN               (mckinley mary )LOPEZ DERECK 117 20.00    
 
PID-5   10/16/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:48
See original race card.
:24 :474 1:124 1:382   1:423   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
UPPITY UP 4 5 57 5 4 32 1¼ (bourke w)GALLARDO A 122 3.00 16% 5.40 1.70 W
ANADOR (FR) 3 1 46 3 3 1nk 2¼ (bowersock mari)ALLEN D 124 2.50 38% 1.70 1.40 P
STARSHIP MACYS 5 2 1½ 11 13 2nk 35 (pappada micha)WALKER M 122 6.00 5.80  
MILLE DREAMS (FR) 6 6 710½ 712 6 56 4 (kintz s )RODRIGUEZ O 122 5.00 26% 2.80 5.20  
LOIS 2 3 3 48 56 4 5 (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 122 8.00 5% 19.00 9.10  
SHORESY 1 4 2½ 21 23 6 616¼ (bowersock mar)VILLA-GOMEZ H 119 15.00 44.60  
SCOOP THERE IT IS 7 7 67 610 79 710½ 718½ (markgra)DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 122 20.00 49.00  
SCR  CHEROKEE CHATTER               (carr-roz)MARTINEZ A 122 4.00    
 
PID-6   10/16/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:15
See original race card.
:243 :484 1:13 1:382   1:423   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VANILLA BEAN 7 3 6 63 32 2½ 1¾ (rogers mich)MORALES PABLO 122 3.50 45% 1.20 2.40 W
SHAMU 2 7 7 7 7 5 2¾ (dini mike)ALLEN D 121 6.00 4.60  
GRACE IN EXCESS 1 6 3½ 4 53 6 3 (musarro joseph)LOPEZ DERECK 112 20.00 27.40  
KITTEN'S WAR 3 1 1½ 1½ 1nk 1½ 4 (rice kevin)AYALA J 124 2.50 2.00  
GOOD ENOUGH FOR ME 8 4 41 3½ 2nk 31 54 (pappada micha)WALKER M 119 10.00 5% 19.00 36.50  
WHAT'S GOOD 5 9 8 9 6 7 6 (buhrow jami)SEVERINO VICTOR 122 6.00 24% 3.20 15.30  
SENSIBLE MARRIAGE 6 2 2½ 2½ 4 4 7 (valdez m)MARTINEZ A 122 10.00 5% 19.00 27.20  
NATURE TRAIL 9 5 5 52 9 9 813¾ (judd cassandr)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 4.50 8.30  
SUSANOO 4 8 9 8 8 8 914¼ (rojas ed)GALLARDO A 119 6.00 5.70  
 
PID-7   10/16/2024 5610ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($25K) Purse ($24K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:42
See original race card.
:231 :463 1:102 1:35   1:412   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MEANT TO BE LUCKY 8 4 1 1 1 14 1 (bourke joh)ALENCAR WALBER 122 8.00 5% 19.00 5.00 W
E MINOR 7 5 4 48 38 24 2 (hamm timothy)MORALES PABLO 122 6.00 15.30  
Q F SEVENTY FIVE 3 6 711 810 59 3 37 (potts ro)GALLARDO A 122 2.50 26% 2.80 1.20 S
SEVEN BRIDGES ROAD 4 7 811 6 610 4 4 (bowersock mari)ALLEN D 122 3.00 31% 2.20 3.70  
BE HERE 9 9 610 5 710¼ 6 5 (nunn douglas)MARTINEZ W 122 8.00 8% 12.20 9.90  
DEAR SANTA 2 1 2 2 2 5 613½ (delacour )CARRASCO R 122 5.00 8.20  
PEMAQUID PETE 6 3 37 3 48 711¼ 718 (fennessy john)ALLEN M 122 6.00 11% 8.50 17.90  
CLARESTOWN 5 8 5 7 811¾ 813¼ 818¼ (davis scoo)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 122 12.00 15.40  
SEVENTYSEVEN STONE 1 2 917 918½ 923¾ 923¼ 931 (lepiane )MARTINEZ A 122 20.00 ######  
 
PID-8   10/16/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:09
See original race card.
:232 :472 1:124 1:373   1:413   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CAMINO DE SANTIAGO 3 8 810¼ 7 7 61 11 (ruberto loui)AYALA J 122 20.00 6.80  
ELM STREET 9 7 5 6 5 3½ 21 (west w)MARTINEZ W 119 10.00 7.80  
CITY LEADER 6 6 6 54 8 5¾ 3 (potts g)VILLA-GOMEZ H 119 8.00 5% 19.00 16.00 S
SON OF LIBERTY 4 1 36 33 4 2nk 4 (gilmarti)RODRIGUEZ O 124 4.50 14.80  
HIGH HEADED 1 5 7 8 9 9 53 (connelly teresa)BAYS BROOKE 112 15.00 19% 4.30 35.80  
11  PARTNER TOURS 11 4 46 43 3.2 4¾ 6 (fennessy john)ALLEN M 122 8.00 7.20  
YOUMUSTBEA WEASLEY 2 11 1117¼ 1112¼ 115 10 7 (radosevi)MARTINEZ A 122 6.00 6.80  
COOPERSTOWN 5 10 912¾ 10 105 72 8 (girten tim)MORALES PABLO 121 3.00 2.70  
10  MISCHIEF WARRIOR 10 3 1½ 11 1nk 1nk 9 (girten t)GALLARDO A 122 2.50 53% 0.90 2.70  
CAPTURETHELAUGHTER 7 2 2½ 21 2nk 83 10 (gotera )DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 122 15.00 5% 19.00 40.50  
PUNX 8 9 1012¾ 9 6 116 11 (stokes lance)ALLEN D 122 30.00 ######  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.