Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Presque Isle Downs
Wednesday - October 16, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PID-1   WIN (4/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/3/5)-(4/3/5) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/3/5)-(4/3/5)-(4/3/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/3/5)-(6/1/4) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (4/3/5)-(6/1/4)-(4/1/5) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
PID-2   WIN (6/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/1/4)-(6/1/4) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/1/4)-(6/1/4)-(6/1/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/1/4)-(4/1/5) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (6/1/4)-(4/1/5)-(1/6/9/8) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PID-3   WIN (4/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/5)-(4/1/5) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/1/5)-(4/1/5)-(4/1/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/1/5)-(1/6/9/8) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (4/1/5)-(1/6/9/8)-(3/6/4/2) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
PID-4   WIN (1/6/9/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/6/9/8)-(1/6/9/8) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (1/6/9/8)-(1/6/9/8)-(1/6/9/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/6/9/8)-(3/6/4/2) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
    PK3 (1/6/9/8)-(3/6/4/2)-(7/5/6/8) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
PID-5   WIN (3/6/4/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/6/4/2)-(3/6/4/2) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (3/6/4/2)-(3/6/4/2)-(3/6/4/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/6/4/2)-(7/5/6/8) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
    PK3 (3/6/4/2)-(7/5/6/8)-(4/3/6/9/8) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
PID-6   WIN (7/5/6/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/5/6/8)-(7/5/3/6/8) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
    TRI (7/5/6/8)-(7/5/3/6/8)-(7/5/3/6/8) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (7/5/6/8)-(4/3/6/9/8) 20 $2.00 $40.00 
    PK3 (7/5/6/8)-(4/3/6/9/8)-(10/1/6/7) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
PID-7   WIN (4/3/6/9/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/3/6/9/8)-(4/3/6/9/8) 20 $2.00 $40.00 
    TRI (4/3/6/9/8)-(4/3/6/9/8)-(4/3/6/9/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (4/3/6/9/8)-(10/1/6/7) 20 $2.00 $40.00 
PID-8   WIN (10/1/6/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (10/1/6/7)-(10/1/2/6/7) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
    TRI (10/1/6/7)-(10/1/2/6/7)-(10/1/2/6/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PID-1   10/16/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($17.5K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ADIOS ASHWOOD Sep09 Aug27 Jul01 Jun11   (delong ben)JURADO EDDIE 121 4.50    
2  NOBLE GEM Oct03 Sep04 Jul19 Jul07 Oct19 (morris n)RODRIGUEZ O 124 5.00    
3  TAPPING OUT A TUNE May26 Apr27 Mar14 Mar02 Feb03 (danner k)GALLARDO A 124 1.80 8% 11.00    
4  R CHELLO Oct03 Sep23 Jul01 Jun11 May29 (rojas ed)MARTINEZ A 121 2.50 62% 0.60    
5  CHIEF CRAZY MOON Sep21 Aug29 Aug07 Jul18 Jul03 (russell randa)VILLA-GOMEZ H 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
6  KANTKNOWITALL         (clement chris)MORALES PABLO 121 3.50    
 
PID-2   10/16/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EXPRESS STAR Oct03 Sep16 Sep03 Aug14 Jul22 (miller h)RODRIGUEZ O 119 5.00 26% 2.80    
2  SASSE'S CLASS Aug28 Aug16 Jul10 Jun12 May24 (milosevi)GALLARDO A 119 5.00    
SCR  RANGER BLUE Sep30 Sep16 Sep03 Jul30 Jul09 (tasso mark)VILLA-GOMEZ H 119 6.00    
4  STAYINYOURLANE Sep24 Aug29 Aug16 Jul26 Jun26 (bowersock mari)ALLEN D 124 5.00 5% 19.00    
5  HERONEANDONLY Sep16 Jul24 May20 Oct19 Sep04 (goodwin gabrie)LOPEZ DERECK 115 1.80    
6  MIDNIGHT AMBITION Oct03 Sep18 Aug13 Jul31 Jul23 (rojas ed)MARTINEZ A 119 2.50 49% 1.10    
 
PID-3   10/16/2024 5490ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($30K) 2 ALL PT- 3:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CLAPPING         (stidham micha)MORALES PABLO 120 3.00 31% 2.30    
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of APPLAUDING by CONGRATS)
2  GRAND MORNING (IRE) Oct01 Sep20 Aug28     (kintz mat)SEVERINO VICTOR 120 4.00    
  (by INSTAGRAND out of MORNING BELLE by MORNING LINE)
3  MISSIONARY MAN Sep23 Aug27 Aug05     (mott ril)GALLARDO A 120 5.00    
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of QUEBEC by INTO MISCHIEF)
4  MAXIMUM FAITH         (rice kev)RODRIGUEZ O 120 2.50 42% 1.40    
  (by MAXIMUM SECURITY out of SCRIPTURE by HENNESSY)
5  BAYTOWN BEATLE Sep29 Sep10 Aug20 Aug10 Jul18 (mcentee paul)MURGIA A 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of SONG SUNG TRUE by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
6  VINO COURAGIO Oct01 Sep17 Aug27 Aug05 Jul24 (connelly teresa)BAYS BROOKE 113 3.50    
  (by VINO ROSSO out of CATRAGEOUS by D. J. CAT)
 
PID-4   10/16/2024 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STARCRY Oct02 Sep09 Aug20 Jul25 Nov30 (herringt)GALLARDO A 120 2.50 57% 0.70    
2  SLAINTE MHATH Oct02 Sep18 Sep04 Aug20 Aug06 (wismer s)BAYS BROOKE 113 4.00    
SCR  ASHERAH'S RUN Oct03 Sep18 Sep04 Aug12 Jul31 (mckinley mary )LOPEZ DERECK 117 20.00    
4  VERSACE SUMMER Oct02 Sep18 Sep03 Aug20 Aug06 (valdez m)MARTINEZ A 120 12.00    
5  CHANNEL ME IN Oct08 Sep24 Sep11 Oct02   (markgraf da)SEVERINO VICTOR 120 6.00    
6  UPTOWN CAT Oct02 Sep09 Jul04 Jun10 Feb25 (hamm timothy)MORALES PABLO 120 3.00 10% 9.40    
7  PRECIOUS GRACE Oct02 Sep18 Sep04 Aug21 Apr14 (hamm timothy)AYALA J 120 5.00    
8  MOST DIVINE Sep18 Jul10 Jun25 May29 Apr28 (kintz matth)VILLA-GOMEZ H 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
9  MABEE WICKEDNWILD Sep13 Aug17 Jul06 Dec20   (miller darrin)ALLEN D 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
PID-5   10/16/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHORESY Sep23 Sep02 Aug13 Jul30 Jul08 (bowersock mar)VILLA-GOMEZ H 119 15.00    
2  LOIS Sep16 Aug28 Aug05 Mar06 Feb19 (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  ANADOR (FR) Oct09 Sep17 Sep07 Aug16 Jul19 (bowersock mari)ALLEN D 124 2.50 38% 1.70    
4  UPPITY UP Oct01 Sep16 Aug27 Aug07 Jul15 (bourke w)GALLARDO A 122 3.00 16% 5.40    
5  STARSHIP MACYS Oct01 Sep17 Aug26 Jul30 Jul10 (pappada micha)WALKER M 122 6.00    
6  MILLE DREAMS (FR) Oct01 Sep17 Sep02 Aug13 Jul29 (kintz s )RODRIGUEZ O 122 5.00 26% 2.80    
7  SCOOP THERE IT IS Oct09 Sep16 Aug13 Jul29 Jul01 (markgra)DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 122 20.00    
SCR  CHEROKEE CHATTER Oct09 Sep24 Aug27 Aug21 Aug14 (carr-roz)MARTINEZ A 122 4.00    
 
PID-6   10/16/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GRACE IN EXCESS Aug25 Aug20 Aug12 Aug02 Jun21 (musarro joseph)LOPEZ DERECK 112 20.00    
2  SHAMU Sep18 Sep08 Aug16 Jul27 Jun30 (dini mike)ALLEN D 121 6.00    
3  KITTEN'S WAR Oct02 Sep17 Feb22     (rice kevin)AYALA J 124 2.50 ★    
4  SUSANOO Aug06 Jul23 Jun13 May22 May02 (rojas ed)GALLARDO A 119 6.00    
5  WHAT'S GOOD Oct02 Sep18 Sep03 Aug10 Jul26 (buhrow jami)SEVERINO VICTOR 122 6.00 24% 3.20    
6  SENSIBLE MARRIAGE Oct02 Sep18 Sep03 Aug20 Aug07 (valdez m)MARTINEZ A 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
7  VANILLA BEAN Oct02 Sep18 Sep04 Aug13 Jul15 (rogers mich)MORALES PABLO 122 3.50 45% 1.20    
8  GOOD ENOUGH FOR ME Oct02 Sep03 Aug20 Jul29 Jul23 (pappada micha)WALKER M 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
9  NATURE TRAIL Oct02 Sep04 Aug13 Jul08 Jun06 (judd cassandr)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 4.50    
 
PID-7   10/16/2024 5610ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($25K) Purse ($24K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SEVENTYSEVEN STONE Sep27 Feb16 Jan04 Dec15 Dec03 (lepiane )MARTINEZ A 122 20.00    
2  DEAR SANTA Aug02 Jul03 Oct28 Aug17 Jul20 (delacour )CARRASCO R 122 5.00    
3  Q F SEVENTY FIVE Sep20 Aug27 Aug06 Jul17 Jul02 (potts ro)GALLARDO A 122 2.50 26% 2.80    
4  SEVEN BRIDGES ROAD Sep30 Sep04 Aug17 Aug11 Jul08 (bowersock mari)ALLEN D 122 3.00 31% 2.20    
5  CLARESTOWN Oct03 Sep03 Jul16 May10 Apr12 (davis scoo)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 122 12.00    
6  PEMAQUID PETE Oct01 Sep20 Aug12 Jul03 Jun12 (fennessy john)ALLEN M 122 6.00 11% 8.50    
7  E MINOR Sep11 Jul30 Jul03 May28 Apr10 (hamm timothy)MORALES PABLO 122 6.00    
8  MEANT TO BE LUCKY Sep02 Jul29 Jul09 Jun24 Jun10 (bourke joh)ALENCAR WALBER 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
9  BE HERE Sep08 Jul19 Jun22 May25 Apr13 (nunn douglas)MARTINEZ W 122 8.00 8% 12.20    
 
PID-8   10/16/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HIGH HEADED Sep18 Sep04 Aug20 Aug12 Jun17 (connelly teresa)BAYS BROOKE 112 15.00 19% 4.30    
2  YOUMUSTBEA WEASLEY Oct03 Sep18 Sep09 Aug05 Jul16 (radosevi)MARTINEZ A 122 6.00 ★    
3  CAMINO DE SANTIAGO Oct08 Sep18 Sep04 Aug20 Aug13 (ruberto loui)AYALA J 122 20.00    
4  SON OF LIBERTY Sep25 Sep10 Aug23 Jul24 Jun22 (gilmarti)RODRIGUEZ O 124 4.50    
5  COOPERSTOWN Sep25 Sep03 Jul24 Jul03 Mar15 (girten tim)MORALES PABLO 121 3.00    
6  CITY LEADER Oct02 Sep18 Sep08 Aug20 Aug05 (potts g)VILLA-GOMEZ H 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
7  CAPTURETHELAUGHTER Sep25 Aug23 Jul28 Jul17 Jul02 (gotera )DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
8  PUNX Oct02 Sep18 Aug21 Jun24 May21 (stokes lance)ALLEN D 122 30.00    
9  ELM STREET Sep18 Aug26 Jul31 Jul04 Jun17 (west w)MARTINEZ W 119 10.00    
10  MISCHIEF WARRIOR Oct02 Sep18 Aug20 Jul24 Jul09 (girten t)GALLARDO A 122 2.50 53% 0.90    
11  PARTNER TOURS Sep30 Sep18 Sep03 Aug20 Aug05 (fennessy john)ALLEN M 122 8.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.