Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Presque Isle Downs
Tuesday - October 08, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PID-2   EXA (2/1/5)-(2/1/5) 6 $2.00 $12.00  2-1 $16.00 $4.00 33%
Simulator Race results
 
PID-1   10/08/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($30K) 2 ALL PT- 3:00
See original race card.
:223 :461 :582     1:111   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  TURF CAT 2 5 44 42¼   2nk 1hd (matejka )GALLARDO A 120 4.00 2.90  
  (by KITTEN'S JOY out of NOT SURE by LONHRO (AUS))
6  BEE LA SOUL 6 2 22 2nk   1nk 2hd (west eth)MARTINEZ A 120 3.00 17% 5.00 2.10 P
  (by BEE JERSEY out of SOUL OF COMETE by PERFECT SOUL (IRE))
3  HIGHTAIL FOX 3 3 32½ 32   31 33¾ (connelly tere)WALKER M 120 4.50 7.20  
  (by HIGHTAIL out of FOXSTER by OXBOW)
1  RIVAGE 1 4 67½ 54¾   53½ 45 (brion keri)SPIETH S 120 8.00 14.20  
  (by MAXIMUS MISCHIEF out of EVENING TIDE by FORT LARNED)
5  REASON TO BELIEVE 5 6 57 65¾   65 56¾ (urieta joha)SEVERINO VICTOR 120 8.00 5% 19.00 17.30  
  (by NYQUIST out of ALBEIT by MINESHAFT)
4  PANCHO SLIPS AWAY 4 1 12 1nk   41½ 67¼ (rice kev)RODRIGUEZ O 120 1.60 60% 0.70 1.50  
  (by KHOZAN out of TIME FOR FUN by ORB)
 
PID-2   10/08/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:27
See original race card.
:224 :461 :582     1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  KATHLYNS PHALANX 2 4 1½ 1nk   11½ 11 (sharp j)MORALES PABLO 124 3.50 47% 1.10 1.50 W
1  HIGH TRACK 1 6 41 32½   33 21 (miller d)BAYS BROOKE 114 5.00 13% 6.80 5.50 P
6  MIDNIGHT FAME 6 2 3½ 2nk   21½ 31¾ (carr-rozantz )CARPIO JAIMEN 124 2.50 3.50  
4  LADYS CHANT 4 1 52 44½   44 43½ (bowersock mari)ALLEN D 121 3.00 4.00  
5  CHANNEL ME IN 5 5 63½ 66½   56½ 54 (markgraf da)SEVERINO VICTOR 121 6.00 5% 19.00 25.00  
3  RED BETTY 3 3 2½ 55   614½ 624¼ (girten t)GALLARDO A 121 4.50 4.10  
 
PID-3   10/08/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:54
See original race card.
:244 :484 1:13 1:373   1:412   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  UNCLE CAESAR 2 1 1½ 1nk 1½ 11½ 1¾ (potts ro)GALLARDO A 119 1.40 0.80  
3  SECRET TREASURE 3 2 32 41¾ 42 31½ 2¾ (potts g)MORALES PABLO 122 1.80 39% 1.50 2.10 P
4  STREAMSONG 4 3 2½ 2nk 2½ 21½ 33 (pappada micha)WALKER M 119 4.50 24% 3.20 8.00 S
5  FAMOUS FINAL SCENE 5 4 43 31½ 31½ 43½ 45½ (martin willia)VILLA-GOMEZ H 121 6.00 11.50  
1  EPIC KNIGHT 1 5 53 52¼ 54 55 57½ (harty eoin)MARTINEZ W 119 5.00 5% 19.00 4.90  
 
PID-4   10/08/2024 4290ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($6.25K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:21
See original race card.
:224 :453 1:092     1:153   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NOBLE JON 1 2 11 12   1½ 12 (mcclellan c)FLORES E 122 1.60 29% 2.50 0.10 W
3  CITY TRIPPER 3 5 54½ 53½   31 12 (barron r)GALLARDO A 124 8.00 0.90 DH
2  COURT AND SPARK 2 4 33 22   2½ 32 (davis scoo)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 122 2.00 5.50  
5  ENJOY THE MUSIC 5 1 43 43   43 44½ (kintz matthe)ALLEN D 122 4.00 28% 2.60 7.80  
6  JACKIE A 6 6 68½ 66½   56 56¾ (judd cassandr)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 10.00 19.10  
4  AUGER 4 3 21 32   67 612 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 122 6.00 5% 19.00 17.10  
 
PID-5   10/08/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:48
See original race card.
:23 :46 1:093     1:154   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  AQUITANIA ARRIVAL 6 1 11½ 11   14 15 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 124 2.00 27% 2.70 1.10 W
1  UBIQUITOUS 1 3 43½ 77   46½ 25 (amaya jo)MARTINEZ A 122 5.00 10% 8.90 5.50 P
3  THE SINNER IS YOU 3 5 64¼ 53½   36 35¾ (rojas eduardo)MORALES PABLO 122 2.50 39% 1.50 1.90 S
7  SUMMERFEST 7 4 21½ 21   24 46½ (urieta joha)SEVERINO VICTOR 122 8.00 36.20  
2  BEACH HOLIDAY 2 7 77¼ 65½   57 56¾ (skawinski carol )MARTINEZ W 122 12.00 30.00  
5  MACKENZIE'S NOVVA 5 2 31½ 32½   67½ 68¾ (bowersoc)GALLARDO A 122 8.00 5% 19.00 7.30  
4  YADI 4 6 54 43½   79 79¼ (carr-rozantz c)ALLEN D 122 4.00 13.60  
 
PID-6   10/08/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($21K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:15
See original race card.
:224 :454 :573     1:092   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  GOTTS GOT IT 6 2 43½ 2½   1nk 11¾ (potts ro)GALLARDO A 119 2.50 42% 1.40 1.70 W
1  STRIDER'S SLIDER 1 3 12 1½   2nk 21¾ (kulp brandon )MORALES PABLO 119 4.50 2.70  
3  JOHN DUTTON 2 5 32 41½   32 31¾ (davis scooter)MARTINEZ W 122 6.00 8.70  
5  FACE DOWN 4 1 22 31   42½ 42¾ (girten t)MARTINEZ A 121 3.50 31% 2.30 2.30  
8  COLONEL POPPY 7 4 55 53   54 53¼ (kintz matthe)ALLEN D 122 8.00 5% 19.00 10.20  
6  CAMINO DE SANTIAGO 5 6 66½ 75   75¾ 63¾ (ruberto loui)AYALA J 122 12.00 5% 19.00 13.70  
4  FALK 3 7 77 63   64¼ 73¾ (winters mic)SEVERINO VICTOR 122 20.00 60.10  
SCR  HECTOR               (potts g)VILLA-GOMEZ H 119 3.00    
 
PID-7   10/08/2024 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($32K) 2 F PT- 5:42
See original race card.
:22 :45 :573     1:101   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  THUNDER BERN 3 6 66¾ 68½   52¾ 12 (west eth)MARTINEZ A 120 6.00 5.20  
5  ON RESERVE 4 4 54¾ 34½   3½ 22 (cheeks k)RODRIGUEZ O 120 8.00 5% 19.00 16.10 P
3  ANHINGA 2 1 1nk 22   2nk 32 (kleine bernard)ALLEN D 120 5.00 ★ 3.80 S
1  RUE DE MOSEL TOV 1 3 32½ 45   42½ 42¾ (russell brittany)MARTINEZ W 120 5.00 5.40  
7  HAZARD PAY 6 2 2nk 12   1nk 53¼ (hamm timoth)SEVERINO VICTOR 120 6.00 11.40  
6  U KNOW WHEN U KNOW 5 5 44½ 56½   64¼ 64¾ (russell )GALLARDO A 122 1.80 66% 0.50 0.80  
SCR  TWO SCOOPS               (hamm timothy)MORALES PABLO 122 4.00    
 
PID-8   10/08/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:09
See original race card.
:243 :484 1:123 1:372   1:413   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  ADIOS BOBBY 6 2 32 31½ 3½ 2½ 1nk (markgraf da)SEVERINO VICTOR 122 12.00 17.40  
2  AQUACAT 2 5 22 21½ 2nk 1½ 2nk (rojas ed)GALLARDO A 122 4.00 10% 9.10 1.40 P
4  CATATUMBO 4 8 88¾ 95¾ 75¼ 52½ 3¾ (barron rory)MARTINEZ W 122 3.00 51% 0.90 2.90 S
7  DIGITAL FOOTPRINT 7 3 54¼ 63¾ 52¾ 32 41½ (kintz matthe)ALLEN D 122 10.00 6% 15.10 10.20  
1  DARK SIDE (IRE) 1 4 64¾ 53½ 42½ 63½ 53¼ (barron rory)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 3.50 10% 9.00 14.40  
9  CREATIVE CHOICE 9 1 12 11½ 1nk 42½ 64½ (allen lisa)ALLEN M 122 20.00 45.50  
5  LIGHTNING CHARLIE 5 6 75¾ 85¼ 86¼ 75 74¾ (russell )MARTINEZ A 124 6.00 9.00  
8  DELTA RIDGE 8 7 44 43 96¾ 87 86¼ (rice kevin)WALKER M 122 4.50 4.40  
3  CLEMSON TIGER 3 9 910¾ 74¼ 64¾ 98½ 99¾ (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 124 10.00 5% 19.00 36.30  
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

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