Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Presque Isle Downs
Tuesday - October 08, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PID-1   WIN (4/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/6/5)-(4/6/5) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/6/5)-(4/6/5)-(4/6/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/6/5)-(2/1/5) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (4/6/5)-(2/1/5)-(3/4/1) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
PID-2   WIN (2/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/5)-(2/1/5) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/1/5)-(2/1/5)-(2/1/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/1/5)-(3/4/1) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (2/1/5)-(3/4/1)-(1/5/4) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
PID-3   WIN (3/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/4/1)-(3/4/1) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/4/1)-(3/4/1)-(3/4/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/4/1)-(1/5/4) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (3/4/1)-(1/5/4)-(3/6/1/5) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PID-4   WIN (1/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/5/4)-(1/5/4) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/5/4)-(1/5/4)-(1/5/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/5/4)-(3/6/1/5) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (1/5/4)-(3/6/1/5)-(7/5/8/6) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
PID-5   WIN (3/6/1/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/6/1/5)-(3/6/1/5) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (3/6/1/5)-(3/6/1/5)-(3/6/1/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/6/1/5)-(7/5/8/6) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
    PK3 (3/6/1/5)-(7/5/8/6)-(6/5) 32 $1.00 $32.00 
PID-6   WIN (7/5/8/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/5/8/6)-(7/5/8/6) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (7/5/8/6)-(7/5/8/6)-(7/5/8/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/5/8/6)-(6/5) 8 $2.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (7/5/8/6)-(6/5)-(4/1/2/7/3) 40 $1.00 $40.00 
PID-7   WIN (6/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/5)-(6/3/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    TRI (6/5)-(6/3/5)-(6/3/5) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (6/5)-(4/1/2/7/3) 10 $2.00 $20.00 
PID-8   WIN (4/1/2/7/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/1/2/7/3)-(4/1/2/7/3) 20 $2.00 $40.00 
    TRI (4/1/2/7/3)-(4/1/2/7/3)-(4/1/2/7/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PID-1   10/08/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($30K) 2 ALL PT- 3:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RIVAGE         (brion keri)SPIETH S 120 8.00    
  (by MAXIMUS MISCHIEF out of EVENING TIDE by FORT LARNED)
2  TURF CAT Aug31 Jun05       (matejka )GALLARDO A 120 4.00    
  (by KITTEN'S JOY out of NOT SURE by LONHRO (AUS))
3  HIGHTAIL FOX Sep20 Aug28       (connelly tere)WALKER M 120 4.50    
  (by HIGHTAIL out of FOXSTER by OXBOW)
4  PANCHO SLIPS AWAY Sep20         (rice kev)RODRIGUEZ O 120 1.60 60% 0.70    
  (by KHOZAN out of TIME FOR FUN by ORB)
5  REASON TO BELIEVE Sep30 Aug09 Jul04     (urieta joha)SEVERINO VICTOR 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by NYQUIST out of ALBEIT by MINESHAFT)
6  BEE LA SOUL Sep05         (west eth)MARTINEZ A 120 3.00 17% 5.00    
  (by BEE JERSEY out of SOUL OF COMETE by PERFECT SOUL (IRE))
 
PID-2   10/08/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HIGH TRACK Dec16 Nov19       (miller d)BAYS BROOKE 114 5.00 13% 6.80    
2  KATHLYNS PHALANX Sep24 Sep09 Aug05 Jul24 Jun24 (sharp j)MORALES PABLO 124 3.50 47% 1.10    
3  RED BETTY Aug15 Jul24 Jul17     (girten t)GALLARDO A 121 4.50    
4  LADYS CHANT Sep24 Aug22 Aug12 Jul10 Jun10 (bowersock mari)ALLEN D 121 3.00    
5  CHANNEL ME IN Sep24 Sep11 Oct02     (markgraf da)SEVERINO VICTOR 121 6.00 5% 19.00    
6  MIDNIGHT FAME Sep24 Sep09 Aug27 Oct20 Oct03 (carr-rozantz )CARPIO JAIMEN 124 2.50    
 
PID-3   10/08/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EPIC KNIGHT Jul30 Jun18 May19 Mar20 Feb02 (harty eoin)MARTINEZ W 119 5.00 5% 19.00    
2  UNCLE CAESAR Sep16 Aug26 Aug13 Jan27   (potts ro)GALLARDO A 119 1.40    
3  SECRET TREASURE Sep03 Aug20 Jul31 Jul15 Jun26 (potts g)MORALES PABLO 122 1.80 39% 1.50    
4  STREAMSONG Sep20 Sep02 Aug14 Jul30 Jul09 (pappada micha)WALKER M 119 4.50 24% 3.20    
5  FAMOUS FINAL SCENE Sep09 Aug20 Jul31 Apr20 Mar28 (martin willia)VILLA-GOMEZ H 121 6.00    
 
PID-4   10/08/2024 4290ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($6.25K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NOBLE JON Sep20 Aug29 Aug07 Jul23 Jul05 (mcclellan c)FLORES E 122 1.60 29% 2.50    
2  COURT AND SPARK Sep02 Aug06 Jul15 Jul02 Dec07 (davis scoo)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 122 2.00    
3  CITY TRIPPER Sep23 Sep09 Aug13 Jul23 Jul10 (barron r)GALLARDO A 124 8.00    
4  AUGER Sep19 Sep03 Aug21 Aug06 Jul02 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
5  ENJOY THE MUSIC Sep11 Sep02 Aug06 Jul15 Jul02 (kintz matthe)ALLEN D 122 4.00 28% 2.60    
6  JACKIE A Aug21 Aug06 Jul31 Jul05 Jun14 (judd cassandr)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 10.00    
 
PID-5   10/08/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  UBIQUITOUS Sep26 Jul28 Jun27 May04 Apr06 (amaya jo)MARTINEZ A 122 5.00 10% 8.90    
2  BEACH HOLIDAY Sep26 Sep11 Aug19 Aug12 Jul30 (skawinski carol )MARTINEZ W 122 12.00    
3  THE SINNER IS YOU Sep23 Sep09 Jun26 Jun10 May22 (rojas eduardo)MORALES PABLO 122 2.50 39% 1.50    
4  YADI Sep17 Aug28 Aug19 Aug12 Jul23 (carr-rozantz c)ALLEN D 122 4.00    
5  MACKENZIE'S NOVVA Sep11 Sep02 Aug14 Jul22 Jul02 (bowersoc)GALLARDO A 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  AQUITANIA ARRIVAL Sep20 Sep10 Aug10 Jul30 Jul08 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 124 2.00 27% 2.70    
7  SUMMERFEST Sep20 Aug31 Jan03 Dec06 Nov14 (urieta joha)SEVERINO VICTOR 122 8.00    
 
PID-6   10/08/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($21K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STRIDER'S SLIDER Sep18 Aug16 Aug02 Jul12 Jun18 (kulp brandon )MORALES PABLO 119 4.50    
SCR  HECTOR Sep30 Aug26 Aug13 Jul29 Jul02 (potts g)VILLA-GOMEZ H 119 3.00    
3  JOHN DUTTON Sep25 Sep09 Aug13 Jul03 May31 (davis scooter)MARTINEZ W 122 6.00    
4  FALK Aug07 Jul29 Jun13 Jan26 Dec30 (winters mich)HALDAR J 122 20.00    
5  FACE DOWN Sep18 Sep09 Aug05 Jul16 Jun04 (girten t)MARTINEZ A 121 3.50 31% 2.30    
6  CAMINO DE SANTIAGO Sep18 Sep04 Aug20 Aug13 Jul16 (ruberto loui)AYALA J 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
7  GOTTS GOT IT Sep18 Aug13 Jul08 Apr14 Mar08 (potts ro)GALLARDO A 119 2.50 42% 1.40    
8  COLONEL POPPY Sep11 Sep02 Aug13 Jul23 Jul01 (kintz matthe)ALLEN D 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
PID-7   10/08/2024 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($32K) 2 F PT- 5:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RUE DE MOSEL TOV Sep20 Sep01       (russell brittany)MARTINEZ W 120 5.00    
SCR  TWO SCOOPS Sep17 Aug27 Jul18 Jun17   (hamm timothy)MORALES PABLO 122 4.00    
3  ANHINGA Sep20 Jul03 Jun17 Jun05   (kleine bernard)ALLEN D 120 5.00 ★    
4  THUNDER BERN Sep07 Aug05 Jul11 Jun09   (west eth)MARTINEZ A 120 6.00    
5  ON RESERVE Aug31 Aug07       (cheeks k)RODRIGUEZ O 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  U KNOW WHEN U KNOW Sep13         (russell )GALLARDO A 122 1.80 66% 0.50    
7  HAZARD PAY Aug26 Jul22 Jun17 May29   (hamm timoth)SEVERINO VICTOR 120 6.00    
 
PID-8   10/08/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DARK SIDE (IRE) Sep24 Sep03 Aug05 Jul03 Jun06 (barron rory)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 3.50 10% 9.00    
2  AQUACAT Sep24 Aug27 Jul17 Jun23 May25 (rojas ed)GALLARDO A 122 4.00 10% 9.10    
3  CLEMSON TIGER Sep26 Sep16 Aug19 Jul22 Jul03 (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
4  CATATUMBO Sep24 Sep10 Aug21 Aug12 Jul23 (barron rory)MARTINEZ W 122 3.00 51% 0.90    
5  LIGHTNING CHARLIE Sep18 Sep03 Jun10 Jul04 Jun14 (russell )MARTINEZ A 124 6.00    
6  ADIOS BOBBY Sep24 Sep10 Aug21 Jul23 Jul08 (markgraf da)SEVERINO VICTOR 122 12.00    
7  DIGITAL FOOTPRINT Sep24 Sep10 Aug21 Aug06 Jul15 (kintz matthe)ALLEN D 122 10.00 6% 15.10    
8  DELTA RIDGE Sep17 Aug27 Aug07 Jul22 Jul04 (rice kevin)WALKER M 122 4.50    
9  CREATIVE CHOICE Oct01 Sep11 Aug12 Jul24 Jul04 (allen lisa)ALLEN M 122 20.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.