Handicappers' Race Results

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Thistledown
Monday - September 30, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

TDN-1   WIN (3/7/8/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00  2 $12.40 $4.40 55%
    EXA (3/7/8/2)-(3/7/8/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00  2-8 $20.50 $8.50 71%
TDN-2   WIN (6/5/1/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00  7 $40.00 $32.00 400%
    EXA (6/5/1/7)-(6/5/1/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00  7-6 $42.10 $30.10 251%
    TRI (6/5/1/7)-(6/5/1/7)-(6/5/1/7) 24 $1.00 $24.00  7-6-5 $127.60 $103.60 432%
    DD (3/7/8/2)-(6/5/1/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00  2-7 $107.70 $91.70 573%
TDN-3   WIN (7/4/6/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00  6 $11.40 $3.40 43%
    EXA (7/4/6/8)-(7/4/6/8/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00  6-7 $23.90 $7.90 49%
    DD (6/5/1/7)-(7/4/6/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00  7-6 $116.00 $100.00 625%
    PK3 (3/7/8/2)-(6/5/1/7)-(7/4/6/8) 64 $1.00 $64.00  2-7-6 $1145 $1081 1690%
TDN-4   PK3 (6/5/1/7)-(7/4/6/8)-(2/1/4) 48 $1.00 $48.00  7-6-2 $154.60 $106.60 222%
    PK4 (3/7/8/2)-(6/5/1/7)-(7/4/6/8)-(2/1/4) 192 $0.50 $96.00  2-7-6-2/3/5 $432.50 $336.50 351%
TDN-8   WIN (7/4/1/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00  7 $9.80 $1.80 23%
    EXA (7/4/1/3)-(7/4/1/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00  7-4 $13.10 $1.10 9%

Simulator Race results

 
TDN-1   09/30/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($16.6K) 3UP M/F PT-12:50
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHEWEARSMYRING   (da)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 8.00 8% 11.40 5.20 W
ELIKA   (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 123 3.50 10% 9.20 1.50 P
QUARANTINA   (casalinova tina)VIGIL NOEL 123 15.00 42.90  
SWEET MOBILTEE   (simmonds do)BLANCHE RISHAWN 123 6.00 14.60  
JEN'S BATTLE   (casalinova ti)CEDILLO MAURO 123 12.00 15.20  
SPECIAL BEACH   (mahan p)PAUCAR E 123 4.50 44% 1.30 2.50  
CALENDULA   (lopez enrique )GONZALEZ A 123 2.50 17% 4.80 3.20  
SCR  FIONA   (jackson james)TOLEDO S 123 4.00    
 
TDN-2   09/30/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($17.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:20
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SWEET EMPIRE   (rone mike)HOUGHTON D 119 12.00 5% 19.00 19.00 W
CAUSE OF LOVE   (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 121 2.50 27% 2.70 0.80 P
TALE OF THE LYON   (poole m)AVILES YAN 119 5.00 25% 3.00 5.20 S
GAIL'S DANCER   (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 121 3.50 3.10  
CLIFTONS BALLERINA   (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 119 4.00 5.80  
WOLFIE'S PRINCESS   (cline robert )BRACHO A 119 6.00 13% 6.70 17.50  
BEAUTIFUL LASS   (morales saul)ROSARIO L 119 4.50 41.60  
 
TDN-3   09/30/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($18.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:50
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COLORFUL LAD   (zielinski richar)VIGIL NOEL 123 6.00 16% 5.40 4.70 W
FORMYBOYS   (radosevich jef)HOUGHTON D 123 2.50 37% 1.70 3.40 P
VERNON'S BEST   (urieta johanna)PEREZ A 119 1.80 23% 3.30 0.60 S
HIDDEN HEART   (skerrett j)SMITH DIOGDINABI 123 15.00 65.10  
SKUNK APE   (loudin-smith lori)DIAZ R 119 30.00 53.70  
INDY'S HOPE   (vazquez ivan)HALDAR J 119 12.00 29.90  
SLIPOFFTHEARIATS   (szczepanski em)DIAZ I 119 20.00 64.90  
EQUITY CAT   (vlaun )BATISTA ALBERTO 119 4.00 17.40  
MOONSHINE JOE   (radosevich ja)TOLEDO S 119 10.00 5% 19.00 14.80  
 
TDN-4   09/30/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($16K) Purse ($20.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:20
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
QUICK RENDEZVOUS   (radosevich jef)HOUGHTON D 115 1.60 67% 0.50 0.10 W
HALO EFFECT   (yoder d)BRACHO A 119 3.00 6.20  
MOST ADORABLE   (yoder )BATISTA ALBERTO 119 6.00 9% 10.40 5.00 S
GEMSHINE   (urieta johan)HALDAR J 119 12.00 5% 19.00 21.30  
SCR  SHE IS DYNAMIC   (donjuan sergio)MURGIA A 119 2.00    
SCR  WAY OF THE WORLD   (morales saul)ROSARIO L 119 12.00    
 
TDN-5   09/30/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.4K) 2 ALL PT- 2:50
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SECRET TROUBLE   (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 118 2.00 0.50  
  (by WORLD OF TROUBLE out of ARTY'S SECRET by SECRET CIRCLE)
MISS LITTLE BIT   (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 115 15.00 5% 19.00 16.10 P
  (by WORLD OF TROUBLE out of HIP NINETY THREE by HARLINGTON)
PICARO   (schuster robin)PEREZ A 118 12.00 16% 5.20 11.60 S
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of SUDDEN HEAT by CONGRATS)
REASON TO BELIEVE   (uri)GIRON ALEJANDRO 118 3.50 4.40  
  (by NYQUIST out of ALBEIT by MINESHAFT)
STAROFTHEGAME   (waltz brian)BRACHO A 118 4.50 21.20  
  (by GAME WINNER out of STARSHIP SPIRIT by GRAND SLAM)
MR. MAC MIDNIGHT   (hamm timothy)BARBARAN ERIK 118 3.00 40% 1.50 4.00  
  (by NOBLE BIRD out of LIVINGSTON'S LADY by MR. LIVINGSTON)
SCR  IMPROBABLE FIRST   (rone mike)AVILES YAN 118 6.00    
  (by IMPROBABLE out of FIREWATER ROCKET by MACHO ROCKET)
 
TDN-6   09/30/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THE RED MAN   ( )RODRIGUEZ SAMUEL 121 2.50 3.10  
NO ANGEL   (canegata james)FELICIANO R 119 2.00 1.60  
OWN THE TOWN   (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 119 3.00 54% 0.80 2.90 S
MARLEY LUCK   (radosevich jef)HOUGHTON D 119 4.50 10% 8.80 6.30  
ONEMORANDTHECHECK   (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 119 10.00 26.70  
FIRST CITIZEN   (ja)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 8.00 5% 19.00 4.70  
 
TDN-7   09/30/2024 5280ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GUT INSTINCT   (skerrett jeffrey)PEREZ A 119 1.80 58% 0.70 0.20 W
VINNY AND LEO   (radosevich je)BARBARAN ERIK 119 3.00 5.80  
PLAIN AND SIMPLE   (skerrett jef)HALDAR J 117 5.00 8.50  
MASTER OF THE NITE   (schuster robin)DIAZ I 117 2.00 8.40  
HECHICERO   (romero a)VIGIL NOEL 115 10.00 12% 7.30 24.80  
CREATIVE BEAT   (rettele richa)CEDILLO MAURO 119 15.00 5% 19.00 64.40  
 
TDN-8   09/30/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($38.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:20
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AUTHORITARIAN GIRL   (mcdonald james)GONZALEZ A 117 4.50 40% 1.50 3.90 W
MIESHA   (rone mike)HOUGHTON D 115 3.50 22% 3.60 1.60 P
MISS SPRINGSTEEN   (ja)SALAZAR FERNANDO 117 10.00 4.20  
SPICE ICE   (calderon ivan)AVILES YAN 119 15.00 5% 19.00 21.00  
KERRI'S MIRACLE   (vazquez ivan)KEISER CHELSEY 121 12.00 15.20  
EXACTITUDE   (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 119 2.50 15% 5.60 2.80  
DOMINIQUE'S NIGHT   (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 119 4.00 10.70  
SCR  GO GIRL   (yoder )BATISTA ALBERTO 119 5.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.