Handicappers' Race Results
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Thistledown
Monday - September 30, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
TDN-1   Win (3/7/8/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 2 1 1 $12.40 $12.40 4.40
TDN-2   Win (6/5/1/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 1 $40.00 $40.00 32.00
TDN-3   Win (7/4/6/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 6 1 1 $11.40 $11.40 3.40
TDN-4   Win (2/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 1 $2.20 $2.20  
TDN-5   Win (5/7/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 0 $3.00  
TDN-6   Win (6/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 0 $8.20  
TDN-7   Win (2/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 1 $2.40 $2.40  
TDN-8   Win (7/4/1/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 1 $9.80 $9.80 1.80
Simulator Race results
 
TDN-1   09/30/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($16.6K) 3UP M/F PT-12:50
See original race card.
:244 :483 1:132     1:404   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  SHEWEARSMYRING 1 1 62¼ 51¼ 44 24 11½ (daco)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 8.00 8% 11.40 5.20 W
8  ELIKA 7 5 3½ 3.2 11½ 14 21½ (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 123 3.50 10% 9.20 1.50 P
5  QUARANTINA 4 2 2nk 2nk 21½ 34 37¼ (casalinova tina)VIGIL NOEL 123 15.00 42.90  
4  SWEET MOBILTEE 3 4 1nk 1nk 33 44½ 47½ (simmonds dona)BLANCHE RISHAWN 123 6.00 14.60  
6  JEN'S BATTLE 5 6 73¼ 72½ 65½ 66¾ 57½ (casalinova tina)CEDILLO MAURO 123 12.00 15.20  
3  SPECIAL BEACH 2 3 52 41¼ 54 56½ 69¼ (mahan p)PAUCAR E 123 4.50 44% 1.30 2.50  
7  CALENDULA 6 7 41 61½ 76 710¾ 714¾ (lopez jr)GONZALEZ A 123 2.50 17% 4.80 3.20  
SCR  FIONA               (jackson r)TOLEDO S 123 4.00    
 
TDN-2   09/30/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($17.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:20
See original race card.
:222 :461 :591     1:132   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  SWEET EMPIRE 7 1 3½ 11   14 13¾ (rone mike)HOUGHTON D 119 12.00 5% 19.00 19.00 W
6  CAUSE OF LOVE 6 4 52¼ 53½   56¼ 23¾ (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 121 2.50 27% 2.70 0.80 P
5  TALE OF THE LYON 5 2 2nk 21   24 34½ (poole m)AVILES YAN 119 5.00 25% 3.00 5.20 S
4  GAIL'S DANCER 4 5 64¾ 64   66¼ 44½ (johnson l)CEDILLO MAURO 121 3.50 3.10  
2  CLIFTONS BALLERINA 2 6 42 42   34 55 (shanyfelt valeri)GONZALEZ A 119 4.00 5.80  
1  WOLFIE'S PRINCESS 1 7 79¾ 79   710¼ 69 (cline c)BRACHO A 119 6.00 13% 6.70 17.50  
3  BEAUTIFUL LASS 3 3 1nk 31   46 716¾ (morales m)ROSARIO L 119 4.50 41.60  
 
TDN-3   09/30/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($18.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:50
See original race card.
:23 :47 1:002     1:142   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  COLORFUL LAD 6 7 51¾ 1½   1½ 11¾ (zielinski richard)VIGIL NOEL 123 6.00 16% 5.40 4.70 W
7  FORMYBOYS 7 1 1nk 2½   2½ 21¾ (radosevich jeff)HOUGHTON D 123 2.50 37% 1.70 3.40 P
4  VERNON'S BEST 4 9 62¼ 46½   46½ 34¾ (urieta johanna)PEREZ A 119 1.80 23% 3.30 0.60 S
5  HIDDEN HEART 5 4 2nk 33½   33 45¼ (skerrett jef)SMITH DIOGDINABI 123 15.00 65.10  
2  SKUNK APE 2 5 97¼ 911¼   613½ 58½ (loudin-smith lori)DIAZ R 119 30.00 53.70  
3  INDY'S HOPE 3 8 87¼ 59½   510½ 68½ (vazquez ivan)HALDAR J 119 12.00 ★ 29.90  
1  SLIPOFFTHEARIATS 1 6 75¾ 711   714 710½ (szczepanski emil)DIAZ I 119 20.00 64.90  
9  EQUITY CAT 9 2 4¾ 69½   817½ 817¼ (vlaun ma)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 4.00 17.40  
8  MOONSHINE JOE 8 3 3.2 811¼   923½ 927¼ (radosevich jake)TOLEDO S 119 10.00 5% 19.00 14.80  
 
TDN-4   09/30/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($16K) Purse ($20.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:20
See original race card.
:223 :462 :592     1:124   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  QUICK RENDEZVOUS 2 3 2nk 13   17 112 (radosevich jeff)HOUGHTON D 115 1.60 67% 0.50 0.10 W
6  HALO EFFECT 4 1 33 34½   38½ 212 (yoder d)BRACHO A 119 3.00 6.20  
1  MOST ADORABLE 1 4 1nk 23   27 312¾ (yoder su)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 6.00 9% 10.40 5.00 S
4  GEMSHINE 3 2 44 46½   412½ 421 (urieta johanna)HALDAR J 119 12.00 5% 19.00 21.30  
SCR  SHE IS DYNAMIC               (donjuan sergio)MURGIA A 119 2.00    
SCR  WAY OF THE WORLD               (morales m)ROSARIO L 119 12.00    
 
TDN-5   09/30/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.4K) 2 ALL PT- 2:50
See original race card.
:224 :47 :594     1:062   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  SECRET TROUBLE 5 3 23 22   11½ 13¼ (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 118 2.00 0.50  
4  MISS LITTLE BIT 3 1 35 34½   21½ 23¼ (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 115 15.00 5% 19.00 16.10 P
7  PICARO 6 2 13 12   33½ 37½ (schuster robin)PEREZ A 118 12.00 16% 5.20 11.60 S
2  REASON TO BELIEVE 1 4 46 49½   49½ 49½ (uriet)GIRON ALEJANDRO 118 3.50 4.40  
3  STAROFTHEGAME 2 6 622 625   617½ 512½ (waltz brian)BRACHO A 118 4.50 21.20  
5  MR. MAC MIDNIGHT 4 5 510 511   513½ 614½ (hamm timothy)BARBARAN ERIK 118 3.00 40% 1.50 4.00  
SCR  IMPROBABLE FIRST               (rone mike)AVILES YAN 118 6.00    
 
TDN-6   09/30/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
See original race card.
:223 :461 :584     1:12   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THE RED MAN 1 6 62¾ 31   3½ 1¼ ( )RODRIGUEZ SAMUEL 121 2.50 3.10  
5  NO ANGEL 5 3 41 2nk   1½ 2¼ (canegata james)FELICIANO R 119 2.00 1.60  
6  OWN THE TOWN 6 1 52½ 41¼   4¾ 32¼ (shanyfelt valeri)GONZALEZ A 119 3.00 54% 0.80 2.90 S
3  MARLEY LUCK 3 4 1nk 1nk   2½ 48 (radosevich jeff)HOUGHTON D 119 4.50 10% 8.80 6.30  
2  ONEMORANDTHECHECK 2 5 3½ 63¼   54¾ 58¾ (johnson l)CEDILLO MAURO 119 10.00 26.70  
4  FIRST CITIZEN 4 2 2nk 52¼   67¾ 610¾ (jack)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 8.00 5% 19.00 4.70  
 
TDN-7   09/30/2024 5280ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:234 :474 1:131     1:393   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  GUT INSTINCT 2 3 11½ 1½ 12 14 111 (skerrett jeffrey)PEREZ A 119 1.80 58% 0.70 0.20 W
5  VINNY AND LEO 5 2 42 65 56½ 56 211 (radosevich jeff)BARBARAN ERIK 119 3.00 5.80  
1  PLAIN AND SIMPLE 1 1 53½ 42 22 24 311 (skerrett jeffr)HALDAR J 117 5.00 8.50  
4  MASTER OF THE NITE 4 6 64½ 32 43 45½ 411¼ (schuster robin)DIAZ I 117 2.00 8.40  
6  HECHICERO 6 5 31½ 2½ 32 35 512¾ (romero a)VIGIL NOEL 115 10.00 12% 7.30 24.80  
3  CREATIVE BEAT 3 4 21½ 53½ 68 610½ 622¾ (rettele richard)CEDILLO MAURO 119 15.00 5% 19.00 64.40  
 
TDN-8   09/30/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($38.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:20
See original race card.
:222 :46 :584     1:12   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  AUTHORITARIAN GIRL 7 1 11½ 11   12 13¾ (mcdonald james)GONZALEZ A 117 4.50 40% 1.50 3.90 W
4  MIESHA 4 3 21½ 31   22 23¾ (rone mike)HOUGHTON D 115 3.50 22% 3.60 1.60 P
6  MISS SPRINGSTEEN 6 2 31½ 21   32 34½ (jack)SALAZAR FERNANDO 117 10.00 4.20  
3  SPICE ICE 3 6 711¼ 710¼   65 44¾ (calderon ivan)AVILES YAN 119 15.00 5% 19.00 21.00  
5  KERRI'S MIRACLE 5 4 43 52¼   75¼ 58 (vazquez ivan)KEISER CHELSEY 121 12.00 15.20  
1  EXACTITUDE 1 7 54 42   43 68 (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 119 2.50 15% 5.60 2.80  
2  DOMINIQUE'S NIGHT 2 5 64¼ 65¾   53½ 78¼ (gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 119 4.00 10.70  
SCR  GO GIRL               (yoder su)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 5.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.