Handicappers' Racing Form
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Thistledown
Monday - September 30, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
TDN-1   Win (3/7/8/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00
TDN-2   Win (6/5/1/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00
TDN-3   Win (7/4/6/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00
TDN-4   Win (2/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TDN-5   Win (5/7/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TDN-6   Win (6/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TDN-7   Win (2/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TDN-8   Win (7/4/1/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
 
TDN-1   09/30/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($16.6K) 3UP M/F PT-12:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  FIONA Sep05 Aug15 Jul10 Jun22 Jun03 (jackson r)TOLEDO S 123 4.00    
2  SHEWEARSMYRING Sep04 Jul24 Jul16 Jul02 May21 (daco)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 8.00 8% 11.40    
3  SPECIAL BEACH Sep04 Aug20 Aug06 Jul24 Jul10 (mahan p)PAUCAR E 123 4.50 44% 1.30    
4  SWEET MOBILTEE Sep17 Sep04 Jul25 Jul03 Jun13 (simmonds donald)BOWEN ROCCO 123 6.00    
5  QUARANTINA Sep09 Aug21 Aug13 Jul10 May18 (casalinova tina)VIGIL NOEL 123 15.00    
6  JEN'S BATTLE Sep04 Aug21 Jun22 Jun08 May27 (casalinova tina)CEDILLO MAURO 123 12.00    
7  CALENDULA Sep09 Aug06 Jul10 Jun08 Apr12 (lopez jr)GONZALEZ A 123 2.50 17% 4.80    
8  ELIKA Sep17 Sep04 Aug19 Jul18 Jul04 (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 123 3.50 10% 9.20    
 
TDN-2   09/30/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($17.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WOLFIE'S PRINCESS Sep04 Sep04 Aug01 Jun15 May25 (cline c)BRACHO A 119 6.00 13% 6.70    
2  CLIFTONS BALLERINA Aug29 Aug14 Aug01 Sep18 Sep12 (shanyfelt valeri)GONZALEZ A 119 4.00    
3  BEAUTIFUL LASS May14 Nov02 Oct09 Sep11 Aug23 (morales m)ROSARIO L 119 4.50    
4  GAIL'S DANCER Sep18 Sep02 Aug05 Jul17 Jun27 (johnson l)CEDILLO MAURO 121 3.50    
5  TALE OF THE LYON Sep18 Sep02 Aug14 Jun10 Mar17 (poole m)AVILES YAN 119 5.00 25% 3.00    
6  CAUSE OF LOVE Sep18 Aug29 Aug05 Jul17 Jun27 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 121 2.50 27% 2.70    
7  SWEET EMPIRE Sep18 May18 May04 Apr04 Mar17 (rone mike)HOUGHTON D 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
TDN-3   09/30/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($18.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SLIPOFFTHEARIATS Sep16 Aug28 Aug07     (szczepanski emil)DIAZ I 119 20.00    
2  SKUNK APE Sep16 Aug28 Aug19 Aug07 Jul29 (loudin-smith lori)DIAZ R 119 30.00    
3  INDY'S HOPE Sep16 Aug28 Aug07     (vazquez ivan)HALDAR J 119 12.00 ★    
4  VERNON'S BEST Sep09 Aug19 Aug07 Jul22 Jun17 (urieta johanna)PEREZ A 119 1.80 23% 3.30    
5  HIDDEN HEART Sep09 Aug28       (skerrett jef)SMITH DIOGDINABI 123 15.00    
6  COLORFUL LAD Sep09 Aug28 Jul31 Jul15 Apr22 (zielinski richard)VIGIL NOEL 123 6.00 16% 5.40    
7  FORMYBOYS Sep09 Aug28 Jul29 Jun17 May28 (radosevich jeff)HOUGHTON D 123 2.50 37% 1.70    
8  MOONSHINE JOE Aug28 Jun20       (radosevich jake)TOLEDO S 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
9  EQUITY CAT Aug19 Aug01 Jul22 Jul01 May28 (vlaun manuel)BOWEN ROCCO 119 4.00    
 
TDN-4   09/30/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($16K) Purse ($20.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MOST ADORABLE Sep04 Aug14 Jul24 Jul03 Jun10 (yoder su)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 6.00 9% 10.40    
2  QUICK RENDEZVOUS Sep02 Aug07 Jun17 May27 Nov28 (radosevich jeff)HOUGHTON D 115 1.60 67% 0.50    
3  WAY OF THE WORLD Sep04 Aug14 Jul31 Jun19 May31 (morales m)ROSARIO L 119 12.00    
4  GEMSHINE Sep04 Aug07 Jul01 Jun12 May08 (urieta joh)FERNANDEZ R 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  SHE IS DYNAMIC Sep11 Jul31 Jul18 Jun20 May31 (donjuan sergio)MURGIA A 119 2.00    
6  HALO EFFECT Jun19 May29 May13 Apr22 Apr11 (yoder d)BRACHO A 119 3.00    
 
TDN-5   09/30/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.4K) 2 ALL PT- 2:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  IMPROBABLE FIRST         (rone mike)AVILES YAN 118 6.00    
2  REASON TO BELIEVE Aug09 Jul04       (uriet)GIRON ALEJANDRO 118 3.50    
3  STAROFTHEGAME         (waltz brian)BRACHO A 118 4.50    
4  MISS LITTLE BIT Sep09         (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 115 15.00 5% 19.00    
5  MR. MAC MIDNIGHT         (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 118 3.00 40% 1.50    
6  SECRET TROUBLE Sep20 Aug22       (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 118 2.00    
7  PICARO         (schuster robin)PEREZ A 118 12.00 16% 5.20    
 
TDN-6   09/30/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THE RED MAN Sep12 Aug22 Aug07 Jul17 Jul03 (mah)RODRIGUEZ SAMUEL 121 2.50    
2  ONEMORANDTHECHECK Jul30 Jul08 May27 May04 Apr02 (johnson l)CEDILLO MAURO 119 10.00    
3  MARLEY LUCK Sep09 Jul30 Jul08 Jun17 May27 (radosevich jeff)HOUGHTON D 119 4.50 10% 8.80    
4  FIRST CITIZEN Sep16 Aug27 Aug13 Jul23 Jun26 (jack)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  NO ANGEL Sep09 Aug29 Aug21 Jul22 Jun22 (canegata james)FELICIANO R 119 2.00    
6  OWN THE TOWN Jul08 Jun17 May14 Dec13 Oct09 (shanyfelt valeri)GONZALEZ A 119 3.00 54% 0.80    
 
TDN-7   09/30/2024 5280ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PLAIN AND SIMPLE Sep09 Aug28 May26     (skerrett jeffr)HALDAR J 117 5.00    
2  GUT INSTINCT Sep09 Aug19 Aug01 Jul16 Jun22 (skerrett jeffrey)PEREZ A 119 1.80 58% 0.70    
3  CREATIVE BEAT Sep05 Jul08 Jun05 May14 Nov30 (rettele richard)CEDILLO MAURO 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
4  MASTER OF THE NITE Aug19 Jul30 Jul05 Jun19 Jun05 (schuster robin)DIAZ I 117 2.00    
5  VINNY AND LEO Sep10 Aug15 Jul24 Jun02 Apr13 (radosevich jeff)BARBARAN ERIK 119 3.00    
6  HECHICERO Aug30 Aug19 Jun30 May18 Apr20 (romero a)VIGIL NOEL 115 10.00 12% 7.30    
 
TDN-8   09/30/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($38.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EXACTITUDE Aug28 Aug01 Jul09 Jun18 May06 (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 119 2.50 15% 5.60    
2  DOMINIQUE'S NIGHT Aug28 Nov07 Oct23 Sep04 Aug03 (gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 119 4.00    
3  SPICE ICE Sep03 Aug14 Feb08 Jan10 Dec12 (calderon ivan)AVILES YAN 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
4  MIESHA Aug30 Aug12 Jul22 Jul04 Jun17 (rone mike)HOUGHTON D 115 3.50 22% 3.60    
5  KERRI'S MIRACLE Sep11 Aug14 Jul31 Jul10 Jun19 (vazquez ivan)KEISER CHELSEY 121 12.00    
6  MISS SPRINGSTEEN Sep04 Aug14 Jul25 Jun19 May30 (jack)SALAZAR FERNANDO 117 10.00    
7  AUTHORITARIAN GIRL Jul31 Jun19 Oct12 Sep21 Sep04 (mcdonald james)GONZALEZ A 117 4.50 40% 1.50    
SCR  GO GIRL Sep19 Jul10 Jun19 May14 Apr25 (yoder su)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 5.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.