Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Presque Isle Downs
Tuesday - October 01, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PID-5   EXA (7/2/6)-(7/2/9/6) 9 $2.00 $18.00  2-9 $51.60 $33.60 187%
PID-6   WIN (1/8/3/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00  3 $10.20 $2.20 28%
    EXA (1/8/3/4)-(1/8/3/4) 12 $2.00 $24.00  3-8 $28.00 $4.00 17%
    DD (7/2/6)-(1/8/3/4) 12 $2.00 $24.00  2-3 $39.60 $15.60 65%
PID-7   DD (1/8/3/4)-(2/8/7) 12 $2.00 $24.00  3-2 $31.60 $7.60 32%
PID-8   EXA (7/6/11/2)-(7/6/11/2/10) 16 $2.00 $32.00  6-7 $46.40 $14.40 45%
    DD (2/8/7)-(7/6/11/2) 12 $2.00 $24.00  2-6 $28.80 $4.80 20%
    PK3 (1/8/3/4)-(2/8/7)-(7/6/11/2) 48 $2.00 $96.00  3-2-6 $135.00 $39.00 41%
    PK4 (7/2/6)-(1/8/3/4)-(2/8/7)-(7/6/11/2) 144 $2.00 $288  2-3-2-6 $487.20 $199.20 69%
Simulator Race results
 
PID-1   10/01/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($17K) 2 ALL PT- 3:00
See original race card.
:23 :463 :59     1:12   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  OL' NELSON 3 1 11 11   12 13¼ (ruberto loui)AYALA J 120 3.50 0.80  
7  STIFLING HEAT 5 4 33 42½   22 23¼ (beattie todd )MORALES PABLO 120 6.00 2.00  
1  COMPLEX CAT 1 5 57 32½   33½ 35 (hayes le)MARTINEZ A 120 4.50 3.60  
2  BRAVADEER 2 2 21 21   47 415¼ (connelly tere)WALKER M 120 15.00 5% 19.00 37.70  
5  GREAT VINTAGE 4 3 45½ 55½   515 530¾ (mcclella)RODRIGUEZ O 120 6.00 10% 8.90 9.40  
SCR  WARRIOR'S COBBLER               (girten t)GALLARDO A 120 2.50 34% 1.90    
SCR  YACHT INTENTIONS               (rojas e)SPIETH S 120 3.00 19% 4.20    
 
PID-2   10/01/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:27
See original race card.
:252 :494 1:134 1:39   1:431   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  LA PANDA 3 4 43 43½ 31 1½ 12 (connelly tere)MORALES PABLO 124 4.50 2.60  
1  MILLE DREAMS (FR) 1 3 32½ 32½ 41 2½ 22 (kintz s )RODRIGUEZ O 122 4.50 15% 5.50 7.20 P
7  UPPITY UP 6 7 54½ 54½ 52½ 42½ 32½ (bourke w)GALLARDO A 124 2.50 22% 3.50 1.40 S
2  STARSHIP MACYS 2 2 11½ 11 1½ 3½ 44 (pappada micha)WALKER M 122 3.50 4.40  
5  SPECTACULLARI 5 5 76 77 65 55 55¾ (boyer jr)BAYS BROOKE 115 12.00 5% 19.00 10.30  
8  HIGH VIBES 7 6 65½ 67 77 79 611¼ (miller marl)SEVERINO VICTOR 122 6.00 22% 3.60 9.50  
4  SCENIC VIEW 4 1 21½ 21 2½ 67 712¾ (fennessy john)ALLEN M 122 12.00 25.80  
SCR  LOIS               (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 122 6.00    
 
PID-3   10/01/2024 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($30K) 2 ALL PT- 3:54
See original race card.
:244 :491 1:14 1:262   1:384   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  LAKE CUMBERLAND 3 3 1nk 1nk 1½ 12½ 16 (harty eoin)MARTINEZ W 120 2.00 40% 1.50 1.30 W
  (by BERNARDINI out of WATERSIDE by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
5  GRAND MORNING (IRE) 5 4 43½ 43 31½ 22½ 26 (kintz mat)SEVERINO VICTOR 120 4.50 5.70  
  (by INSTAGRAND out of MORNING BELLE by MORNING LINE)
4  VINO COURAGIO 4 2 32½ 31½ 42 33½ 310¾ (connelly)RODRIGUEZ O 120 1.80 4.00  
  (by VINO ROSSO out of CATRAGEOUS by D. J. CAT)
6  PREACH IT WARRIOR 6 1 2nk 2nk 2½ 45 416 (girten tim)MORALES PABLO 120 5.00 6.30  
  (by WARRIOR'S REWARD out of MOONLIGHT BASIN by EUROSILVER)
2  RISEN SUN 2 5 69 611¼ 69 511 517¼ (ramsey n)GALLARDO A 120 6.00 23% 3.30 2.80  
  (by YOSHIDA out of QUEEN SCHEHERAZADE by SMART STRIKE)
1  VALIANT MELODY 1 6 54½ 53¼ 57½ 619 639¼ (figueroa rol)GONZALEZ KEVIN 120 10.00 5% 19.00 30.90  
  (by VALIANT MINISTER out of MISTY MELODY by PENTELICUS)
 
PID-4   10/01/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:21
See original race card.
:24 :48 1:124 1:373   1:413   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  ARAK 6 4 33½ 33 21 11 11¾ (davis scoo)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 122 5.00 3.10  
2  GREY CHARMER 1 2 57 55½ 62¼ 31 21¾ (rice kev)MARTINEZ A 124 3.50 28% 2.50 1.90 P
6  HAIG POINT 4 6 47 45½ 52¼ 41½ 32¼ (girten tim)MORALES PABLO 124 2.50 24% 3.10 1.40 S
5  GIANT PAYDAY 3 5 78¼ 77 73¼ 53 43¼ (fennessy joh)ALENCAR WALBER 122 10.00 14.90  
9  CREATIVE CHOICE 7 3 11 11 11 21 55¾ (allen lisa)ALLEN M 122 20.00 31.30  
3  TEMPLET 2 1 21 21 31 64 610 (connelly)RODRIGUEZ O 122 8.00 16% 5.20 12.30  
7  EL SOLITARIO 5 7 68 66½ 42 75½ 711 (fennessy john)ALLEN D 122 15.00 5% 19.00 20.70  
SCR  DAZZLING TRUTHS               (brooks gera)SEVERINO VICTOR 122 4.50    
SCR  MACKENZIE'S NOVVA               (brooks g)GALLARDO A 122 6.00    
 
PID-5   10/01/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:48
See original race card.
:22 :451 :571     1:10   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  NEGRA GATA 1 4 22 2½   1nk 11¾ (rice linda)ALENCAR WALBER 122 3.50 6% 15.10 1.70 W
9  GOOD TO BE TRUGE 7 1 12 1½   2nk 21¾ (fennessy john)ALLEN M 122 4.00 ★ 11.90 P
4  MY JANNET 3 7 710 76   75 34¼ (kleine bernar)VILLA-GOMEZ H 119 6.00 14.40  
3  LAST GLIMMER 2 5 67 65   64¾ 44¼ (hayes le)MARTINEZ A 122 8.00 33.80  
7  MOMENTOUS MISS 5 6 55½ 53½   33 54¾ (cobb margaret)ALLEN D 122 2.50 63% 0.60 0.70  
6  OROZIMBA 4 3 43½ 32   43¼ 65¾ (cline robert)AYALA J 119 12.00 5% 19.00 40.90  
8  DROWNINGNCHOCOLATE 6 2 33½ 42   54¾ 78½ (pappada micha)WALKER M 122 5.00 10.80  
SCR  FOLLOW THROUGH               (fenness)DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 122 20.00    
SCR  NEXT DOT               (schneider k)SEVERINO VICTOR 119 12.00    
 
PID-6   10/01/2024 5490ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($30K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:15
See original race card.
:241 :481 1:124 1:371   1:412   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  BEADS 3 2 22½ 22½ 1nk 12½ 19½ (hamm timothy)MORALES PABLO 121 3.50 11% 8.10 4.10 W
  (by SPEIGHTSTOWN out of BOURBONSTREETGIRL by LANGFUHR)
8  LITTLE MISS MUNNY 8 6 89¼ 86¾ 85¼ 33½ 29½ (miller h)RODRIGUEZ O 121 4.00 29% 2.50 4.20 P
  (by MUNNINGS out of FLIPARDINI by BERNARDINI)
2  HAMPTON YARD 2 1 45½ 44 42 43½ 310¼ (oliver victori)MARIN SAMUEL 121 8.00 5.40  
  (by UNCLE MO out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
4  OPHELIAS DREAM 4 3 35½ 34 31½ 63¾ 410½ (wismer s)ALLEN D 124 10.00 8% 11.60 13.90  
  (by SOCIAL INCLUSION out of HOLY HEARTLY by LION HEART)
1  ENNEREILLY (IRE) 1 4 12½ 12½ 2nk 22½ 511¼ (motion h)GALLARDO A 121 2.50 29% 2.50 1.50  
  (by UNKNOWN out of EJADAH by CLODOVIL (IRE))
6  GULF COAST GIRL 6 8 68½ 55½ 53½ 53¾ 611¾ (dini mike)MARTINEZ W 121 6.00 6.70  
  (by HANDSOME MIKE out of GULF BLVD by STREET SENSE)
7  BANANA PUDDING 7 7 79 75¾ 63¾ 75¼ 714¼ (pappada micha)WALKER M 121 8.00 28.00  
  (by ENTICED out of PYRITE STORM by FORMAL DINNER)
5  LEARNING TO FLY 5 5 57½ 65¾ 74¾ 87¾ 817½ (brion keri)SPIETH S 121 8.00 24.00  
  (by BERNARDINI out of HENNYVILLE by HENNY HUGHES)
 
PID-7   10/01/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($13.5K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:42
See original race card.
:251 :491 1:13 1:373   1:412   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  PEMAQUID PETE 2 1 11½ 11 11 11½ 1nk (fennessy john)ALLEN M 122 3.50 35% 1.80 1.40 W
5  NIGHT RIDE 3 5 33 44½ 42 21½ 2nk (stokes l)GALLARDO A 122 5.00 5.80  
1  HEY PADRE 1 2 21½ 21 21 32 3¾ (davis scoo)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 122 4.00 5.40  
7  YARDMAN 4 4 54½ 54½ 53 54 42¾ (musarro jos)SEVERINO VICTOR 122 12.00 5% 19.00 18.20  
8  R ADMIRAL 5 3 43 32½ 31½ 43 53 (fennessy joh)ALENCAR WALBER 122 2.50 35% 1.80 1.20  
SCR  DELTA RIDGE               (rice kevin)WALKER M 122 10.00    
SCR  TEMPUS               (dickey keith)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 12.00    
SCR  WOODCHUCK               (rogers mic)AYALA J 122 4.50    
 
PID-8   10/01/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:09
See original race card.
:222 :453 :573     1:10   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  NEEDED 5 5 31½ 41   3.2 11¼ (gilmarti)RODRIGUEZ O 121 3.50 22% 3.60 3.00 W
7  KEEP IN TOUCH 6 2 11 1nk   1nk 21¼ (cheeks )DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 119 4.00 26% 2.90 4.10 P
8  PENNY POLKA 7 3 21 2nk   2nk 32¼ (hamm timothy)MORALES PABLO 122 4.50 2.90  
10  GOTHAM GRAY 9 1 41½ 3½   41¼ 43¼ (herringt)GALLARDO A 122 3.00 ★ 2.50  
3  ZORA 3 7 74¼ 62½   53¾ 56¾ (carr-rozantz c)ALLEN D 122 12.00 38.30  
2  GET BY 2 8 62¾ 51½   65¼ 69¼ (inirio carl)SEVERINO VICTOR 122 12.00 9% 9.80 13.20  
9  BIONIC KAT 8 6 85¼ 85½   77¼ 710½ (depasquale ki)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 20.00 50.40  
4  MY BRIDGET VERDOT 4 10 96¼ 74½   88¼ 813¼ (schaber debb)AYALA J 122 20.00 85.60  
11  MOONSHINE WARRIOR 10 4 52½ 95¾   912¼ 918 (kulp brandon )WALKER M 122 10.00 17% 4.90 10.50  
1  LET'S GO MO 1 9 106¾ 107¼   1012¾ 1018¼ (miller marlin )LOPEZ DERECK 115 20.00 82.60  
SCR  OUTFACTORED               (brooks e)BAYS BROOKE 112 6.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

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