Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Presque Isle Downs
Tuesday - October 01, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PID-1   WIN (6/3/5/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/3/5/2)-(6/3/5/2) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (6/3/5/2)-(6/3/5/2)-(6/3/5/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/3/5/2)-(7/8/1/5) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
    PK3 (6/3/5/2)-(7/8/1/5)-(3/2/1) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
PID-2   WIN (7/8/1/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/8/1/5)-(7/8/1/5) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (7/8/1/5)-(7/8/1/5)-(7/8/1/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/8/1/5)-(3/2/1) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (7/8/1/5)-(3/2/1)-(2/6/3/7) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
PID-3   WIN (3/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/1)-(3/2/1) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/2/1)-(3/2/1)-(3/2/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/2/1)-(2/6/3/7) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (3/2/1)-(2/6/3/7)-(7/2/6) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PID-4   WIN (2/6/3/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/6/3/7)-(2/6/3/7) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (2/6/3/7)-(2/6/3/7)-(2/6/3/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/6/3/7)-(7/2/6) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (2/6/3/7)-(7/2/6)-(1/8/3/4) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
PID-5   WIN (7/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/2/6)-(7/2/9/6) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    TRI (7/2/6)-(7/2/9/6)-(7/2/9/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (7/2/6)-(1/8/3/4) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (7/2/6)-(1/8/3/4)-(2/8/7) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PID-6   WIN (1/8/3/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/8/3/4)-(1/8/3/4) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (1/8/3/4)-(1/8/3/4)-(1/8/3/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/8/3/4)-(2/8/7) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (1/8/3/4)-(2/8/7)-(7/6/11/2) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
PID-7   WIN (2/8/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/8/7)-(2/8/7) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/8/7)-(2/8/7)-(2/8/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/8/7)-(7/6/11/2) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
PID-8   WIN (7/6/11/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/6/11/2)-(7/6/11/2/10) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
    TRI (7/6/11/2)-(7/6/11/2/10)-(7/6/11/2/10) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PID-1   10/01/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($17K) 2 ALL PT- 3:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COMPLEX CAT Sep18 Aug29 Jul17 May14   (hayes le)MARTINEZ A 120 4.50    
2  BRAVADEER Sep17 Aug12       (connelly tere)WALKER M 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  YACHT INTENTIONS Sep10         (rojas e)SPIETH S 120 3.00 19% 4.20    
4  OL' NELSON Aug27 Aug12 Jul24 Jul08   (ruberto loui)AYALA J 120 3.50    
5  GREAT VINTAGE         (mcclella)RODRIGUEZ O 120 6.00 10% 8.90    
SCR  WARRIOR'S COBBLER Sep10         (girten t)GALLARDO A 120 2.50 34% 1.90    
7  STIFLING HEAT         (beattie todd )MORALES PABLO 120 6.00    
 
PID-2   10/01/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MILLE DREAMS (FR) Sep17 Sep02 Aug13 Jul29 Jul08 (kintz s )RODRIGUEZ O 122 4.50 15% 5.50    
2  STARSHIP MACYS Sep17 Aug26 Jul30 Jul10 Jun26 (pappada micha)WALKER M 122 3.50    
3  LA PANDA Sep16 Sep04 Aug13 Jul27 Oct10 (connelly tere)MORALES PABLO 124 4.50    
4  SCENIC VIEW Sep16 Aug28 Aug21 Jul30 Jul10 (fennessy john)ALLEN M 122 12.00    
5  SPECTACULLARI Sep23 Aug28 Aug08 Jul19 May04 (boyer jr)BAYS BROOKE 115 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  LOIS Sep16 Aug28 Aug05 Mar06 Feb19 (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 122 6.00    
7  UPPITY UP Sep16 Aug27 Aug07 Jul15 Jun25 (bourke w)GALLARDO A 124 2.50 22% 3.50    
8  HIGH VIBES Sep17 Aug21 Aug01 Jul18 Jun25 (miller marl)SEVERINO VICTOR 122 6.00 22% 3.60    
 
PID-3   10/01/2024 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($30K) 2 ALL PT- 3:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VALIANT MELODY Aug31         (figueroa rol)GONZALEZ KEVIN 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by VALIANT MINISTER out of MISTY MELODY by PENTELICUS)
2  RISEN SUN         (ramsey n)GALLARDO A 120 6.00 23% 3.30    
  (by YOSHIDA out of QUEEN SCHEHERAZADE by SMART STRIKE)
3  LAKE CUMBERLAND Aug27 Jul24       (harty eoin)MARTINEZ W 120 2.00 40% 1.50    
  (by BERNARDINI out of WATERSIDE by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
4  VINO COURAGIO Sep17 Aug27 Aug05 Jul24   (connelly)RODRIGUEZ O 120 1.80    
  (by VINO ROSSO out of CATRAGEOUS by D. J. CAT)
5  GRAND MORNING (IRE) Sep20 Aug28       (kintz mat)SEVERINO VICTOR 120 4.50    
  (by INSTAGRAND out of MORNING BELLE by MORNING LINE)
6  PREACH IT WARRIOR Aug27 Aug05       (girten tim)MORALES PABLO 120 5.00    
  (by WARRIOR'S REWARD out of MOONLIGHT BASIN by EUROSILVER)
 
PID-4   10/01/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MACKENZIE'S NOVVA Sep11 Sep02 Aug14 Jul22 Jul02 (brooks g)GALLARDO A 122 6.00    
2  GREY CHARMER Sep24 Sep16 Aug20 Jul30 Jul17 (rice kev)MARTINEZ A 124 3.50 28% 2.50    
3  TEMPLET Sep16 Aug06 Jul22 Jul04 Jun12 (connelly)RODRIGUEZ O 122 8.00 16% 5.20    
SCR  DAZZLING TRUTHS Sep24 Sep10 Aug01 Apr21 Apr13 (brooks gera)SEVERINO VICTOR 122 4.50    
5  GIANT PAYDAY Sep17 Sep10 Aug21 Aug06 Jul22 (fennessy joh)ALENCAR WALBER 122 10.00    
6  HAIG POINT Sep10 Aug21 Jul30 Jul22 Mar16 (girten tim)MORALES PABLO 124 2.50 24% 3.10    
7  EL SOLITARIO Sep17 Aug21 Aug06 Jul22 Jul08 (fennessy john)ALLEN D 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
8  ARAK Sep18 Aug28 Aug12 Aug06 Jul22 (davis scoo)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 122 5.00    
9  CREATIVE CHOICE Sep11 Aug12 Jul24 Jul04 Jun19 (allen lisa)ALLEN M 122 20.00    
 
PID-5   10/01/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  FOLLOW THROUGH Sep16 Sep03 Jul04 Jun17 Oct11 (fenness)DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 122 20.00    
2  NEGRA GATA Sep04 Aug11 Oct20 Oct06 Aug23 (rice linda)ALENCAR WALBER 122 3.50 6% 15.10    
3  LAST GLIMMER Aug28 Aug13 Jul16 Jul10 Jun25 (hayes le)MARTINEZ A 122 8.00    
4  MY JANNET Sep16 Aug28 Aug14 Aug05 Jul09 (kleine bernar)VILLA-GOMEZ H 119 6.00    
SCR  NEXT DOT Sep16 Aug21 Aug05 Jul24 Jun03 (schneider k)SEVERINO VICTOR 119 12.00    
6  OROZIMBA Sep11 Aug20 Jun10 May30 May13 (cline robert)AYALA J 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
7  MOMENTOUS MISS Sep16 Aug12 Jul11 Jun22 Oct27 (cobb margaret)ALLEN D 122 2.50 63% 0.60    
8  DROWNINGNCHOCOLATE Sep16 Aug13 Jul30 Jun11 May27 (pappada micha)WALKER M 122 5.00    
9  GOOD TO BE TRUGE Sep17 Aug28 Aug19 Jul09 Jun26 (fennessy john)ALLEN M 122 4.00 ★    
 
PID-6   10/01/2024 5490ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($30K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ENNEREILLY (IRE) Sep01 Nov11 Aug19     (motion h)GALLARDO A 121 2.50 29% 2.50    
  (by UNKNOWN out of EJADAH by CLODOVIL (IRE))
2  HAMPTON YARD Sep05 Aug16 Jul20 Jun21 Jun06 (oliver victori)MARIN SAMUEL 121 8.00    
  (by UNCLE MO out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
3  BEADS Sep09 Jul24 Jun23 Nov23 Oct30 (hamm timothy)MORALES PABLO 121 3.50 11% 8.10    
  (by SPEIGHTSTOWN out of BOURBONSTREETGIRL by LANGFUHR)
4  OPHELIAS DREAM Aug27 Aug14 Jul31 Jul10 May27 (wismer s)ALLEN D 124 10.00 8% 11.60    
  (by SOCIAL INCLUSION out of HOLY HEARTLY by LION HEART)
5  LEARNING TO FLY Sep08 Jul26 Jul07 Jun08 May19 (brion keri)SPIETH S 121 8.00    
  (by BERNARDINI out of HENNYVILLE by HENNY HUGHES)
6  GULF COAST GIRL Sep08 Aug16 Jul26 Jun29 May25 (dini mike)MARTINEZ W 121 6.00    
  (by HANDSOME MIKE out of GULF BLVD by STREET SENSE)
7  BANANA PUDDING Sep09 Aug13 Jun23     (pappada micha)WALKER M 121 8.00    
  (by ENTICED out of PYRITE STORM by FORMAL DINNER)
8  LITTLE MISS MUNNY Sep17 Sep04 Aug13 Jul24 Jul15 (miller h)RODRIGUEZ O 121 4.00 29% 2.50    
  (by MUNNINGS out of FLIPARDINI by BERNARDINI)
 
PID-7   10/01/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($13.5K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HEY PADRE Sep17 Sep10 Aug14 Jul30 Jul17 (davis scoo)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 122 4.00    
2  PEMAQUID PETE Sep20 Aug12 Jul03 Jun12 May21 (fennessy john)ALLEN M 122 3.50 35% 1.80    
SCR  WOODCHUCK Aug21 Aug07 Jul15 Jun26 Jun10 (rogers mic)AYALA J 122 4.50    
SCR  DELTA RIDGE Sep17 Aug27 Aug07 Jul22 Jul04 (rice kevin)WALKER M 122 10.00    
5  NIGHT RIDE Aug20 Aug05 Jul09 Jul01 Jun10 (stokes l)GALLARDO A 122 5.00    
SCR  TEMPUS Sep20 Sep02 Aug14 Jul30 Jul09 (dickey keith)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 12.00    
7  YARDMAN Sep20 Sep02 Aug06 Jul22 Jul09 (musarro jos)SEVERINO VICTOR 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
8  R ADMIRAL Sep20 Aug27 Aug06 Jul17 Jun18 (fennessy joh)ALENCAR WALBER 122 2.50 35% 1.80    
 
PID-8   10/01/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LET'S GO MO Aug30 Aug22 Aug02 Jul18 Jun20 (miller marlin )LOPEZ DERECK 115 20.00    
2  GET BY Sep17 Sep02 Aug04 Jul24 Jul16 (inirio carl)SEVERINO VICTOR 122 12.00 9% 9.80    
3  ZORA Sep17 Sep02 Aug14 Jul29 Jul17 (carr-rozantz c)ALLEN D 122 12.00    
4  MY BRIDGET VERDOT Sep17 Sep02 Aug14 Aug06 Jul17 (schaber debb)AYALA J 122 20.00    
SCR  OUTFACTORED Aug30 Aug25 Aug14 Aug06 Jul24 (brooks e)BAYS BROOKE 112 6.00    
6  NEEDED Sep18 Aug21 Aug12 Jul11 Jan11 (gilmarti)RODRIGUEZ O 121 3.50 22% 3.60    
7  KEEP IN TOUCH Sep20 Sep01 Aug24 Aug04 Jul07 (cheeks )DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 119 4.00 26% 2.90    
8  PENNY POLKA Aug13 Jul30 Nov17 Oct14 Sep08 (hamm timothy)MORALES PABLO 122 4.50    
9  BIONIC KAT Sep03 Jul24 Jul10 Jun12 Mar01 (depasquale ki)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 20.00    
10  GOTHAM GRAY Sep17 Sep02 Aug06 Jul09 Jun25 (herringt)GALLARDO A 122 3.00 ★    
11  MOONSHINE WARRIOR Aug29 Jun27 Jun12 May17 May03 (kulp brandon )WALKER M 122 10.00 17% 4.90    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.