Handicappers' Race Results

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Keeneland
Friday - October 11, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

KEE-1   Win (5/9/4/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 0 $7.80  
KEE-2   Win (8/9/2/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 9 1 1 $6.60 $6.60  
KEE-3   Win (10/6/9/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 6 1 1 $6.46 $6.46  
KEE-4   Win (1/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 9 1 0 $5.90  
KEE-5   Win (5/2/3/12/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 5 1 1 $4.74 $4.74  
KEE-6   Win (2/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 1 $3.42 $3.42  
KEE-7   Win (10/6/11/5/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 10 1 1 $4.20 $4.20  
KEE-8   Win (4/13/2/14/11) 5 $2.00 $10.00 7 1 0 $47.72  
KEE-9   Win (3/11/1/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 3 1 1 $7.18 $7.18  
KEE-10   Win (13/1/3/5/11) 5 $2.00 $10.00 6 1 0 $46.28  

Simulator Race results

 
KEE-1   10/11/2024 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($53K) 2 F PT- 1:00
See original race card.
:234 :481 1:134     1:31   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BISA 7 1 2nk 2nk   1nk 1 (caramori eduardo)BEJARANO R 119 6.00 2.90  
MAGNETIC BEACH 8 3 3½ 3½   3½ 2 (ennis john)MORALES EDGAR 119 8.00 20% 4.00 4.67 P
CO HEART 5 7 86 8   6 3 (mcgee paul)MONCADA IRVING 112 4.00 49% 1.00 5.92 S
DON'T WORRY 6 4 52 6   42 4 (oliver victor)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 4.00 2.29  
LOVEBUG 4 2 1nk 1nk   2nk 5 (hamilton sarah)ELLIOTT JANE 119 4.50 5% 19.00 4.96  
KUKU 1 5 4 4   53 6 (chapman jam)TORRES A 119 20.00 21.79  
SWEET STAR 2 8 7 5   74 7 (bahena ismael)MIRANDA ROGELIO 119 8.00 5% 19.00 14.35  
BOUJI IS A WORD 3 6 64 7   810 818 (schlenk k)HUGHES CARLY 119 30.00 28.51  
SCR  GALA ROSE               (sancal murat)ORTIZ L 119 3.50    
 
KEE-2   10/11/2024 5610ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($79K) 2 ALL PT- 1:32
See original race card.
:234 :473 1:133 1:42   1:491   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAJOR DAX 8 8 7 7 54 3½ 1¼ (hiles a)LANERIE J 119 2.50 19% 4.40 2.30 W
DUAL INCOME 1 2 42 3 3 1½ 2¼ (orseno josep)CORRALES GERARDO 119 4.00 6.61  
SURFIN' M 4 5 21 43 43 42 3 (compton gre)TORRES A 119 15.00 25.63  
CONCRETE CRUISER 3 3 11 1 1 2½ 4 (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 5.00 2.56  
WHY NOT HIM 6 7 86 65 6 6 5 (black kenne)DETTORI LANFRANCO 119 20.00 10.90  
DESPERATE PROPOSAL 7 6 31 2 2 5 6 (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 119 3.50 31% 2.20 4.29  
MALACHI 5 4 65 8 8 713¼ 728 (milligan r)MACHADO LUAN 119 20.00 5% 19.00 30.60  
GIFTEDBYDESIGN 2 1 53 55 77 828¼ 8100 (d'angelo franc)SAEZ LUIS 119 8.00 15% 5.60 6.44  
SCR  ABBI FEDE               (ennis john)MORALES EDGAR 119 6.00    
 
KEE-3   10/11/2024 5280ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($110K) 2 F PT- 2:04
See original race card.
:223 :473 1:123 1:243   1:362   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHE'S ALL CHARM 5 3 55 64 5 1½ 1 (harty eoin)DETTORI LANFRANCO 122 3.50 36% 1.80 2.23 W
POPPY THE PRINCESS 6 6 7 86 76 64 2 (newton troy)CANNON DECLAN 120 20.00 5% 19.00 17.37 P
GO TOWN 1 2 11 1 1 2½ 3 (ennis john)MONCADA IRVING 115 20.00 44.54  
COTILLARD 2 1 21 2 2 3 43 (seglin e)BEJARANO R 122 20.00 20.87  
AS CATCH CAN 7 10 910 10 108 75 5 (thomas jona)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 122 6.00 6.14  
LIKELY PERSPECTIVE (IRE) 4 9 1010½ 9 8 8 6 (stall m)ORTIZ L 120 5.00 3.60  
10  MEAN EILEEN 9 5 43 43 43 54 77 (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 3.00 40% 1.50 2.13  
J Z'S LAST SCHANCE 8 4 3 32 32 4 8 (zawitz joel)REYES FRANK 122 15.00 5% 19.00 41.54  
11  SWEET HEAT 10 8 67 7 6 97 9 (toye lin)DOYLE SOPHIE 122 30.00 37.84  
LA MARINERA 3 7 89 54 98 109 1010½ (fernandez kel)MIRANDA ROGELIO 120 12.00 28.30  
SCR  BLESS THE BROKEN               (walden william)VAZQUEZ A 120 4.50    
 
KEE-4   10/11/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($63K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:36
See original race card.
:224 :462 1:111     1:243   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TRUST DADDY 5 1 11 1   1 12 (sweezey ke)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 4.50 1.95  
CATHEDRAL BEACH 2 4 43 4   3 22 (hartman chris)BEJARANO R 121 5.00 17% 5.00 2.40 P
SOARING BIRD 4 2 21 2   2 33 (cano m)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 6.00 7.22  
COPPERMASTER 3 3 5 5   5 4 (crichton rohan)ORTIZ JR 121 12.00 13% 6.90 4.32  
LUNAR MODULE 1 5 3 3   4 5 (camejo m)GEROUX FLORENT 121 4.00 45% 1.20 3.01  
SCR  BANISHING               (jacobson david)VAZQUEZ A 121 3.50    
SCR  DEL MO               (orantes r)MONCADA IRVING 114 30.00    
SCR  NOVGOROD THE GREAT               (antonucci m)SAEZ LUIS 121 10.00    
SCR  WIND OF CHANGE (BRZ)               (diodoro rob)TORRES A 121 4.50    
 
KEE-5   10/11/2024 3630ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($110K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:08
See original race card.
:212 :444 :562     1:024   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
URBAN LEGEND 5 3 23 22   1nk 12 (d'angelo f)ORTIZ JR 118 3.50 41% 1.50 1.37 W
GLACIAL POWER 7 6 5 4   34 22 (camejo jose )GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 6.00 6.05  
GO CAPTAIN 2 4 13 12   2nk 3 (briley lonnie)MORALES EDGAR 120 4.50 18% 4.60 7.12 S
12  COMMITTEE OF ONE 11 1 6 6   4 4 (asmussen st)TORRES A 118 8.00 5% 17.80 13.83  
11  SURF CITY 10 2 1011 910   6 55 (oliver victoria)SAEZ LUIS 118 12.00 8.62  
13  KING JULIEN 12 11 1213¾ 1212¾   1010¾ 66 (lynch a)ORTIZ L 118 20.00 40.69  
10  AL AMEEQ 9 7 8 8   7 7 (mckeever andr)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 15.00 43.49  
BAVARIA ROAD 6 9 7 7   9 8 (rosin w)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 20.00 5% 19.00 52.60  
THOUGHTTHATCOUNTS 1 10 1111¼ 1112¼   1110¾ 9 (brafford michell)MACHADO LUAN 118 8.00 6.71  
ALCOVE 3 5 3 34   5 1011 (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 120 6.00 7% 12.90 11.59  
PENSACOLA 8 12 910 1010¼   1211¼ 1111¼ (cowans d)BEJARANO R 121 12.00 20.31  
MR. MELO 4 8 4 56   8 1212½ (hernandez rey)MONCADA IRVING 111 30.00 84.02  
SCR  ALDER               (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 118 10.00    
SCR  JEFE DE OBRA (CHI)               (ward wesley )CORRALES GERARDO 121 10.00    
SCR  ONE GIANT LEAP               (hartman chris)BEJARANO R 121 6.00    
SCR  ROI SOLEIL               (chircop ste)HERNANDEZ A 118 10.00    
 
KEE-6   10/11/2024 5610ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($120K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:40
See original race card.
:241 :481 1:124 1:39   1:46   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FANCY 2 1 11 1½ 11 11 1¾ (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 1.00 42% 1.40 0.71 W
ENCLOSURE 1 5 5 4 31 21 2¾ (mott i)ORTIZ L 122 4.50 3.72  
LEXA (FR) 4 4 6 52 6 4 3 (beckman wh)CORRALES GERARDO 122 10.00 23% 3.30 5.64 S
CAT'S CAVE 5 3 42 62 4 3 4 (tomlinson mic)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 6.00 5% 19.00 9.60  
STEEL RACER 6 2 31 31 21 5 511½ (esquivel jesus)ORTIZ JR 122 8.00 19.09  
INVENTING 3 6 21 2½ 5 613½ 626 (stidham michael)SAEZ LUIS 122 3.50 9.02  
 
KEE-7   10/11/2024 5280ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($110K) 2 F PT- 4:12
See original race card.
:234 :483 1:132 1:251   1:371   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  REINING FLOWERS 8 3 7 6 5 3 1hd (ortiz alex)VELAZQUEZ R 122 2.50 34% 2.00 1.10 W
PRESHA 1 1 11 2nk 11 11 2hd (walden william)VAZQUEZ A 120 20.00 32.27  
DEAR LOUISE 3 4 32 4 42 4 31 (stidham michael)ORTIZ JR 122 12.00 5% 19.00 7.97 S
11  LITTLE MO 9 6 42 31 31 21 4 (eurton pete)TORRES A 122 6.00 16% 5.10 6.14  
FLIP FLOPS 7 9 9 9 9 6 5 (casse mark)MACHADO LUAN 122 12.00 13.87  
SHOTGUN WEDDING 4 5 5 52 6 5 63 (begg james )DETTORI LANFRANCO 122 3.50 28% 2.50 5.64  
FINE FINISH 6 7 8 84 8 7 73 (calhoun will)HERNANDEZ J 120 15.00 12.06  
TERRA TOWN 5 8 6 73 7 8 8 (kubinova eliska)BEJARANO R 122 30.00 49.70  
INTO THE FRAY 2 2 21 1nk 21 9 912¾ (arnold r)LANERIE J 122 15.00 5% 19.00 7.35  
SCR  LADY ORIENT               (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 122 4.50    
SCR  SWEET TREASURE               (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 122 10.00    
 
KEE-8   10/11/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 2 ALL PT- 4:44
See original race card.
:221 :451 :573     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DAVID OF ATHENS 5 8 53 43   31 1¾ (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 12.00 22.86  
12  CAMP HALE 10 1 2½ 2nk   1nk 2¾ (wilkes r)HERNANDEZ J 119 15.00 18.13  
PATCH ADAMS 4 4 1½ 1nk   2nk 3 (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 2.50 40% 1.50 0.83 S
13  AIN'T NO DISCO 11 6 42 3   4 45 (lynch a)MORALES EDGAR 119 6.00 19% 4.20 7.47  
WHITE WHALE 7 12 9 7   5 5 (arnold george )MONCADA IRVING 112 30.00 55.93  
T KRAFT 2 9 85 6   66 612 (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 4.00 11% 8.20 3.85  
10  AMBRIDGE 8 2 1210½ 1111¼   9 712¼ (forster t)LANERIE J 119 20.00 77.31  
KNICKS GLORY 1 10 10 9   8 813½ (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 119 10.00 12.28  
14  GLOBAL PROSPERITY 12 11 6 5   78 919 (antonucci m)SAEZ LUIS 119 8.00 7% 13.70 36.87  
11  MISSED THE TURN 9 7 11 1213¼   1214¾ 1019¾ (londono geneviev)ROCCO S 119 20.00 5% 19.00 50.81  
THOUSAND DEGREES 3 5 74 1010¼   1012¼ 1119¾ (ortiz alexan)VAZQUEZ A 119 15.00 51.33  
BOB MO 6 3 31 8   1114¾ 1228¾ (crichton ro)LEPAROUX R 119 6.00 16.91  
SCR  CALLING ON HEAVEN               (devaux cherie)ORTIZ L 119 5.00    
SCR  CAN'T DENY IT               (rivelli larr)CORRALES GERARDO 119 15.00    
SCR  COMING IN HOT               (ennis john)MORALES EDGAR 119 30.00    
SCR  KALAHARI DREAMS               (bauer philip )CONCEPCION AXEL 119 4.00    
 
KEE-9   10/11/2024 7920ft TURF RC12 FIRM Sycamore Purse ($300K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:16
See original race card.
:231 :463 1:11 1:363 2:012 2:26   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HIGHWAY ROBBER 3 910½ 811¾ 89 7 2nk 1hd (lynch brian )GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 4.50 41% 1.50 2.59 W
11  BOLD ACT (IRE) 11 7 68 77 4 1nk 2hd (appleby charles)SAEZ LUIS 124 3.00 35% 1.80 3.20 P
UTAH BEACH 6 6 7 6 6 42 3 (correas ignacio )ORTIZ L 122 15.00 13.01  
DATAMAN 4 22 2 2 1½ 31 45 (motion graham)RUIZ JORGE 122 8.00 5% 19.00 10.38  
SUGOI 9 32 34 34 3 5 5 (maker michael )GEROUX FLORENT 124 10.00 13.54  
TAWNY PORT 7 810¼ 911¾ 1010½ 9 86 6 (clement christo)ORTIZ JR 122 6.00 4.55  
BIG BLUE LINE 8 1112 1114¾ 9 53 7 7 (walden william)MACHADO LUAN 122 30.00 60.44  
10  OHANA HONOR 10 45 56 5 10 10 810 (mcgaughey claud)VELAZQUEZ R 122 3.50 6.19  
CATHKIN PEAK (IRE) 2 12 1 1 2½ 63 912¾ (maker micha)DETTORI LANFRANCO 122 15.00 25.65  
ALWAYS ABOVE 5 1011 1013¼ 1111½ 11 1110 1015¼ (nihei michel)CORRALES GERARDO 122 30.00 ######  
VERSTAPPEN 1 5 46 4 8 98 1116½ (walsh p)CANNON DECLAN 122 10.00 5% 19.00 14.39  
 
KEE-10   10/11/2024 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($55K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:48
See original race card.
:23 :461 1:111     1:242   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BAH HUMBUG 5 4 1½ 1½   1nk 1½ (davis christopher)SAEZ LUIS 121 12.00 22.14  
10  QUIET CONFIDENCE 9 3 8 53   2nk 2½ (walsh p)MACHADO LUAN 121 4.00 9.67  
ENDLESS GLOW 8 10 1010¼ 10   4 3½ (stewart dallas)VELAZQUEZ R 121 8.00 10.11  
13  ARRASOU 12 1 42 31   3.2 4¾ (brown c)ORTIZ JR 124 3.00 38% 1.60 2.53  
CRUISE MISSILE 1 6 63 6   5 5 (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 121 3.50 14% 6.40 4.43  
CAPTIVE HEART 6 11 1211¼ 11   6 6 (catalano m)ORTIZ L 121 10.00 7.71  
11  LADY ABERDEEN 10 7 9 9   7 713½ (miller kenny)LANERIE J 121 8.00 5% 19.00 21.41  
CLASSIC MYSTERY 4 9 7 75   9 814¾ (drury jr)MORALES EDGAR 121 15.00 7% 13.00 31.04  
EFFERVESCENT 2 8 3 43   8 920¾ (blair jordan)CONCEPCION AXEL 124 8.00 13% 6.70 4.33  
WALK STREET 3 5 52 8   1112¾ 1024¾ (oliver victo)CORRALES GERARDO 121 20.00 44.61  
12  WHAT'S HER NUMBER 11 2 2½ 2½   1010¾ 1125¾ (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 5.00 10.61  
FREAK CITY 7 12 1111¼ 1217¼   1220¾ 1233¾ (jacobs magda)ACHARD ALEX 121 30.00 89.99  
SCR  EIGHT DAYS SOBER               (navarrete an)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 20.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.