Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Keeneland
Friday - October 11, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

KEE-3   EXA (10/6/9/7)-(10/6/9/4/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00  6-7 $38.24 $22.24 139%

Simulator Race results

 
KEE-1   10/11/2024 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($53K) 2 F PT- 1:00
See original race card.
:234 :481 1:134     1:31   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BISA 7 1 2nk 2nk   1nk 1 (caramori eduardo)BEJARANO R 119 6.00 2.90  
MAGNETIC BEACH 8 3 3½ 3½   3½ 2 (ennis john)MORALES EDGAR 119 8.00 20% 4.00 4.67 P
CO HEART 5 7 86 8   6 3 (mcgee paul)MONCADA IRVING 112 4.00 49% 1.00 5.92 S
DON'T WORRY 6 4 52 6   42 4 (oliver vict)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 4.00 2.29  
LOVEBUG 4 2 1nk 1nk   2nk 5 (hamilton sarah)ELLIOTT JANE 119 4.50 5% 19.00 4.96  
KUKU 1 5 4 4   53 6 (chapman j)TORRES A 119 20.00 21.79  
SWEET STAR 2 8 7 5   74 7 (bahena isma)MIRANDA ROGELIO 119 8.00 5% 19.00 14.35  
BOUJI IS A WORD 3 6 64 7   810 818 (schlenk k)HUGHES CARLY 119 30.00 28.51  
SCR  GALA ROSE               (sancal murat)ORTIZ L 119 3.50    
 
KEE-2   10/11/2024 5610ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($79K) 2 ALL PT- 1:32
See original race card.
:234 :473 1:133 1:42   1:491   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAJOR DAX 8 8 7 7 54 3½ 1¼ (hiles a)LANERIE J 119 2.50 19% 4.40 2.30 W
  (by CLASSIC EMPIRE out of WAR OFFICE by WAR FRONT)
DUAL INCOME 1 2 42 3 3 1½ 2¼ (orseno jos)CORRALES GERARDO 119 4.00 6.61  
  (by ENTICED out of CAMILLE GAREY by STREET CRY (IRE))
SURFIN' M 4 5 21 43 43 42 3 (compton g)TORRES A 119 15.00 25.63  
  (by TAKE CHARGE INDY out of SNAGGLEPUSS by HOLY BULL)
CONCRETE CRUISER 3 3 11 1 1 2½ 4 (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 5.00 2.56  
  (by CATALINA CRUISER out of BRILLIANT MISSY by SMART STRIKE)
WHY NOT HIM 6 7 86 65 6 6 5 (black ken)DETTORI LANFRANCO 119 20.00 10.90  
  (by UNION RAGS out of ALLUSION by MR. PROSPECTOR)
DESPERATE PROPOSAL 7 6 31 2 2 5 6 (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 119 3.50 31% 2.20 4.29  
  (by GIFT BOX out of TRIUNE by E DUBAI)
MALACHI 5 4 65 8 8 713¼ 728 (milligan eddie)MACHADO LUAN 119 20.00 5% 19.00 30.60  
  (by CURLIN'S HONOR out of SAMANTHA SAMURAI by FIRST SAMURAI)
GIFTEDBYDESIGN 2 1 53 55 77 828¼ 8100 (d'angelo fra)SAEZ LUIS 119 8.00 15% 5.60 6.44  
  (by GIFT BOX out of INVIGOR by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
SCR  ABBI FEDE               (ennis john)MORALES EDGAR 119 6.00    
  (by ENTICED out of JENNYS PRAYER by TAPIT)
 
KEE-3   10/11/2024 5280ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($110K) 2 F PT- 2:04
See original race card.
:223 :473 1:123 1:243   1:362   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHE'S ALL CHARM 5 3 55 64 5 1½ 1 (harty eoi)DETTORI LANFRANCO 122 3.50 36% 1.80 2.23 W
POPPY THE PRINCESS 6 6 7 86 76 64 2 (newton troy)CANNON DECLAN 120 20.00 5% 19.00 17.37 P
GO TOWN 1 2 11 1 1 2½ 3 (ennis john)MONCADA IRVING 115 20.00 44.54  
COTILLARD 2 1 21 2 2 3 43 (seglin e)BEJARANO R 122 20.00 20.87  
AS CATCH CAN 7 10 910 10 108 75 5 (thomas jo)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 122 6.00 6.14  
LIKELY PERSPECTIVE (IRE) 4 9 1010½ 9 8 8 6 (stall m)ORTIZ L 120 5.00 3.60  
10  MEAN EILEEN 9 5 43 43 43 54 77 (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 3.00 40% 1.50 2.13  
J Z'S LAST SCHANCE 8 4 3 32 32 4 8 (zawitz joel)REYES FRANK 122 15.00 5% 19.00 41.54  
11  SWEET HEAT 10 8 67 7 6 97 9 (toye lin)DOYLE SOPHIE 122 30.00 37.84  
LA MARINERA 3 7 89 54 98 109 1010½ (fernandez k)MIRANDA ROGELIO 120 12.00 28.30  
SCR  BLESS THE BROKEN               (walden william)VAZQUEZ A 120 4.50    
 
KEE-4   10/11/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($63K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:36
See original race card.
:224 :462 1:111     1:243   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TRUST DADDY 5 1 11 1   1 12 (sweezey j )GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 4.50 1.95  
CATHEDRAL BEACH 2 4 43 4   3 22 (hartman chris)BEJARANO R 121 5.00 17% 5.00 2.40 P
SOARING BIRD 4 2 21 2   2 33 (cano juan)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 6.00 7.22  
COPPERMASTER 3 3 5 5   5 4 (crichton roha)ORTIZ JR 121 12.00 13% 6.90 4.32  
LUNAR MODULE 1 5 3 3   4 5 (camejo jose )GEROUX FLORENT 121 4.00 45% 1.20 3.01  
SCR  BANISHING               (jacobson david)VAZQUEZ A 121 3.50    
SCR  DEL MO               (orantes yoni)MONCADA IRVING 114 30.00    
SCR  NOVGOROD THE GREAT               (antonucci m)SAEZ LUIS 121 10.00    
SCR  WIND OF CHANGE (BRZ)               (diodoro r)TORRES A 121 4.50    
 
KEE-5   10/11/2024 3630ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($110K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:08
See original race card.
:212 :444 :562     1:024   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
URBAN LEGEND 5 3 23 22   1nk 12 (d'angelo jose)ORTIZ JR 118 3.50 41% 1.50 1.37 W
GLACIAL POWER 7 6 5 4   34 22 (camejo jos)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 6.00 6.05  
GO CAPTAIN 2 4 13 12   2nk 3 (briley lonnie)MORALES EDGAR 120 4.50 18% 4.60 7.12 S
12  COMMITTEE OF ONE 11 1 6 6   4 4 (asmussen )TORRES A 118 8.00 5% 17.80 13.83  
11  SURF CITY 10 2 1011 910   6 55 (oliver victoria)SAEZ LUIS 118 12.00 8.62  
13  KING JULIEN 12 11 1213¾ 1212¾   1010¾ 66 (lynch a)ORTIZ L 118 20.00 40.69  
10  AL AMEEQ 9 7 8 8   7 7 (mckeever an)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 15.00 43.49  
BAVARIA ROAD 6 9 7 7   9 8 (rosin coty )ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 20.00 5% 19.00 52.60  
THOUGHTTHATCOUNTS 1 10 1111¼ 1112¼   1110¾ 9 (brafford miche)MACHADO LUAN 118 8.00 6.71  
ALCOVE 3 5 3 34   5 1011 (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 120 6.00 7% 12.90 11.59  
PENSACOLA 8 12 910 1010¼   1211¼ 1111¼ (cowans d)BEJARANO R 121 12.00 20.31  
MR. MELO 4 8 4 56   8 1212½ (hernandez re)MONCADA IRVING 111 30.00 84.02  
SCR  ALDER               (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 118 10.00    
SCR  JEFE DE OBRA (CHI)               (ward wesle)CORRALES GERARDO 121 10.00    
SCR  ONE GIANT LEAP               (hartman chris)BEJARANO R 121 6.00    
SCR  ROI SOLEIL               (chircop s)HERNANDEZ A 118 10.00    
 
KEE-6   10/11/2024 5610ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($120K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:40
See original race card.
:241 :481 1:124 1:39   1:46   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FANCY 2 1 11 1½ 11 11 1¾ (walsh bren)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 1.00 42% 1.40 0.71 W
ENCLOSURE 1 5 5 4 31 21 2¾ (mott i)ORTIZ L 122 4.50 3.72  
LEXA (FR) 4 4 6 52 6 4 3 (beckman d )CORRALES GERARDO 122 10.00 23% 3.30 5.64 S
CAT'S CAVE 5 3 42 62 4 3 4 (tomlinson m)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 6.00 5% 19.00 9.60  
STEEL RACER 6 2 31 31 21 5 511½ (esquivel jesu)ORTIZ JR 122 8.00 19.09  
INVENTING 3 6 21 2½ 5 613½ 626 (stidham michael)SAEZ LUIS 122 3.50 9.02  
 
KEE-7   10/11/2024 5280ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($110K) 2 F PT- 4:12
See original race card.
:234 :483 1:132 1:251   1:371   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  REINING FLOWERS 8 3 7 6 5 3 1hd (ortiz al)VELAZQUEZ R 122 2.50 34% 2.00 1.10 W
PRESHA 1 1 11 2nk 11 11 2hd (walden william)VAZQUEZ A 120 20.00 32.27  
DEAR LOUISE 3 4 32 4 42 4 31 (stidham micha)ORTIZ JR 122 12.00 5% 19.00 7.97 S
11  LITTLE MO 9 6 42 31 31 21 4 (eurton pe)TORRES A 122 6.00 16% 5.10 6.14  
FLIP FLOPS 7 9 9 9 9 6 5 (casse mark)MACHADO LUAN 122 12.00 13.87  
SHOTGUN WEDDING 4 5 5 52 6 5 63 (begg jame)DETTORI LANFRANCO 122 3.50 28% 2.50 5.64  
FINE FINISH 6 7 8 84 8 7 73 (calhoun wi)HERNANDEZ J 120 15.00 12.06  
TERRA TOWN 5 8 6 73 7 8 8 (kubinova eliska)BEJARANO R 122 30.00 49.70  
INTO THE FRAY 2 2 21 1nk 21 9 912¾ (arnold r)LANERIE J 122 15.00 5% 19.00 7.35  
SCR  LADY ORIENT               (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 122 4.50    
SCR  SWEET TREASURE               (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 122 10.00    
 
KEE-8   10/11/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 2 ALL PT- 4:44
See original race card.
:221 :451 :573     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DAVID OF ATHENS 5 8 53 43   31 1¾ (walsh bren)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 12.00 22.86  
  (by NYQUIST out of ATHENS QUEEN by MAJESTIC WARRIOR)
12  CAMP HALE 10 1 2½ 2nk   1nk 2¾ (wilkes ian)HERNANDEZ J 119 15.00 18.13  
  (by MO TOWN out of MAGIC HOUR by AWESOME AGAIN)
PATCH ADAMS 4 4 1½ 1nk   2nk 3 (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 2.50 40% 1.50 0.83 S
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of WELL HUMORED by DISTORTED HUMOR)
13  AIN'T NO DISCO 11 6 42 3   4 45 (lynch a)MORALES EDGAR 119 6.00 19% 4.20 7.47  
  (by CATALINA CRUISER out of FIRST TOMOE by FIRST SAMURAI)
WHITE WHALE 7 12 9 7   5 5 (arnold georg)MONCADA IRVING 112 30.00 55.93  
  (by HIGHTAIL out of ELUSIVE DIVA by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
T KRAFT 2 9 85 6   66 612 (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 4.00 11% 8.20 3.85  
  (by CONNECT out of MARGARITA FRIDAY by JOHANNESBURG)
10  AMBRIDGE 8 2 1210½ 1111¼   9 712¼ (forster t)LANERIE J 119 20.00 77.31  
  (by OMAHA BEACH out of SCREWGIE by SMART STRIKE)
KNICKS GLORY 1 10 10 9   8 813½ (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 119 10.00 12.28  
  (by FROSTED out of STREAKER by FOREST WILDCAT)
14  GLOBAL PROSPERITY 12 11 6 5   78 919 (antonucci m)SAEZ LUIS 119 8.00 7% 13.70 36.87  
  (by GLOBAL CAMPAIGN out of PROSPERITE by PIONEEROF THE NILE)
11  MISSED THE TURN 9 7 11 1213¼   1214¾ 1019¾ (londono genevi)ROCCO S 119 20.00 5% 19.00 50.81  
  (by THOUSAND WORDS out of JOE'S GIFT by SKY MESA)
THOUSAND DEGREES 3 5 74 1010¼   1012¼ 1119¾ (ortiz alex)VAZQUEZ A 119 15.00 51.33  
  (by THOUSAND WORDS out of SWEET POTATO by PULPIT)
BOB MO 6 3 31 8   1114¾ 1228¾ (crichton )LEPAROUX R 119 6.00 16.91  
  (by UNCLE MO out of CRY AND CATCH ME by STREET CRY (IRE))
SCR  CALLING ON HEAVEN               (devaux cherie)ORTIZ L 119 5.00    
  (by INSTILLED REGARD out of SWITCHBOARD by FAPPIANO)
SCR  CAN'T DENY IT               (rivelli la)CORRALES GERARDO 119 15.00    
  (by JUSTIFY out of MOTH by GALILEO (ARG))
SCR  COMING IN HOT               (ennis john)MORALES EDGAR 119 30.00    
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of ALLIANNA by FLAT OUT)
SCR  KALAHARI DREAMS               (bauer phili)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 4.00    
  (by COUNTRY HOUSE out of GEORGIA CLAY by GHOSTZAPPER)
 
KEE-9   10/11/2024 7920ft TURF RC12 FIRM Sycamore Purse ($300K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:16
See original race card.
:231 :463 1:11 1:363 2:012 2:26   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HIGHWAY ROBBER 3 910½ 811¾ 89 7 2nk 1hd (lynch bria)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 4.50 41% 1.50 2.59 W
  (by HARD SPUN out of YABBA by LEMON DROP KID)
11  BOLD ACT (IRE) 11 7 68 77 4 1nk 2hd (appleby charles)SAEZ LUIS 124 3.00 35% 1.80 3.20 P
  (by UNKNOWN out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
UTAH BEACH 6 6 7 6 6 42 3 (correas ignaci)ORTIZ L 122 15.00 13.01  
  (by ENGLISH CHANNEL out of MY OWN STORY by LASTING APPROVAL)
DATAMAN 4 22 2 2 1½ 31 45 (motion graham)RUIZ JORGE 122 8.00 5% 19.00 10.38  
  (by TAPIT out of SOLDATA by MARIA'S MON)
SUGOI 9 32 34 34 3 5 5 (maker michae)GEROUX FLORENT 124 10.00 13.54  
  (by KARAKONTIE out of TIMELESS SPIRIT by DEVIL HIS DUE)
TAWNY PORT 7 810¼ 911¾ 1010½ 9 86 6 (clement chris)ORTIZ JR 122 6.00 4.55  
  (by PIONEEROF THE NILE out of LIVI MAKENZIE by MACHO UNO)
BIG BLUE LINE 8 1112 1114¾ 9 53 7 7 (walden william)MACHADO LUAN 122 30.00 60.44  
  (by ATREIDES out of ARCH ENEMY by ARCH)
10  OHANA HONOR 10 45 56 5 10 10 810 (mcgaughey cla)VELAZQUEZ R 122 3.50 6.19  
  (by HONOR CODE out of SPACY TRACY by AWESOME AGAIN)
CATHKIN PEAK (IRE) 2 12 1 1 2½ 63 912¾ (maker mic)DETTORI LANFRANCO 122 15.00 25.65  
  (by ALHEBAYEB out of DRUMCLIFFE DANCER by FOOTSTEPSINTHESAND (GB))
ALWAYS ABOVE 5 1011 1013¼ 1111½ 11 1110 1015¼ (nihei mich)CORRALES GERARDO 122 30.00 ######  
  (by HONOR CODE out of CASTILLA by BOLD REASON)
VERSTAPPEN 1 5 46 4 8 98 1116½ (walsh brendan)CANNON DECLAN 122 10.00 5% 19.00 14.39  
  (by WAR FRONT out of ANDROMEDA GALAXY by PEINTRE CELEBRE)
 
KEE-10   10/11/2024 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($55K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:48
See original race card.
:23 :461 1:111     1:242   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BAH HUMBUG 5 4 1½ 1½   1nk 1½ (davis christopher)SAEZ LUIS 121 12.00 22.14  
10  QUIET CONFIDENCE 9 3 8 53   2nk 2½ (walsh brendan )MACHADO LUAN 121 4.00 9.67  
ENDLESS GLOW 8 10 1010¼ 10   4 3½ (stewart dalla)VELAZQUEZ R 121 8.00 10.11  
13  ARRASOU 12 1 42 31   3.2 4¾ (brown c)ORTIZ JR 124 3.00 38% 1.60 2.53  
CRUISE MISSILE 1 6 63 6   5 5 (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 121 3.50 14% 6.40 4.43  
CAPTIVE HEART 6 11 1211¼ 11   6 6 (catalano wayne)ORTIZ L 121 10.00 7.71  
11  LADY ABERDEEN 10 7 9 9   7 713½ (miller kenny)LANERIE J 121 8.00 5% 19.00 21.41  
CLASSIC MYSTERY 4 9 7 75   9 814¾ (drury thomas )MORALES EDGAR 121 15.00 7% 13.00 31.04  
EFFERVESCENT 2 8 3 43   8 920¾ (blair jorda)CONCEPCION AXEL 124 8.00 13% 6.70 4.33  
WALK STREET 3 5 52 8   1112¾ 1024¾ (oliver vic)CORRALES GERARDO 121 20.00 44.61  
12  WHAT'S HER NUMBER 11 2 2½ 2½   1010¾ 1125¾ (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 5.00 10.61  
FREAK CITY 7 12 1111¼ 1217¼   1220¾ 1233¾ (jacobs magda)ACHARD ALEX 121 30.00 89.99  
SCR  EIGHT DAYS SOBER               (navarrete )LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 20.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.