Handicappers' Racing Form

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Keeneland
Friday - October 11, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

KEE-1   Win (5/9/4/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00
KEE-2   Win (8/9/2/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00
KEE-3   Win (10/6/9/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00
KEE-4   Win (1/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00
KEE-5   Win (5/2/3/12/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00
KEE-6   Win (2/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00
KEE-7   Win (10/6/11/5/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00
KEE-8   Win (4/13/2/14/11) 5 $2.00 $10.00
KEE-9   Win (3/11/1/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00
KEE-10   Win (13/1/3/5/11) 5 $2.00 $10.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
KEE-1   10/11/2024 4620ft DIRT RC4 Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($53K) 2 F PT- 1:00
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KUKU Sep08 Aug29 Aug22 Aug01 Jul11 (chapman jam)TORRES A 119 20.00    
SWEET STAR Sep26 Sep11 Aug17 Aug04   (bahena ismael)MIRANDA ROGELIO 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
BOUJI IS A WORD Sep26         (schlenk k)HUGHES CARLY 119 30.00    
LOVEBUG Aug10 Jul13 Jun09     (hamilton sarah)ELLIOTT JANE 119 4.50 5% 19.00    
CO HEART Sep21         (mcgee paul)MONCADA IRVING 112 4.00 49% 1.00    
DON'T WORRY Sep11 Aug25       (oliver victor)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 4.00    
BISA Sep19 Sep08 Aug22 Jul31 Jul13 (caramori eduardo)BEJARANO R 119 6.00    
SCR  GALA ROSE Sep13         (sancal murat)ORTIZ L 119 3.50    
MAGNETIC BEACH         (ennis john)MORALES EDGAR 119 8.00 20% 4.00    
 
KEE-2   10/11/2024 5610ft DIRT RC5 Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($79K) 2 ALL PT- 1:32
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DUAL INCOME Sep18 Aug24       (orseno josep)CORRALES GERARDO 119 4.00    
GIFTEDBYDESIGN Sep07         (d'angelo franc)SAEZ LUIS 119 8.00 15% 5.60    
SCR  ABBI FEDE Aug05         (ennis john)MORALES EDGAR 119 6.00    
CONCRETE CRUISER Sep05 Aug10 Jul12 Jun19 May26 (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 5.00    
SURFIN' M         (compton gre)TORRES A 119 15.00    
MALACHI Sep11         (milligan r)MACHADO LUAN 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
WHY NOT HIM         (black kenne)DETTORI LANFRANCO 119 20.00    
DESPERATE PROPOSAL Sep18         (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 119 3.50 31% 2.20    
MAJOR DAX Sep19         (hiles a)LANERIE J 119 2.50 19% 4.40    
 
KEE-3   10/11/2024 5280ft TURF RC10 Allowance Purse ($110K) 2 F PT- 2:04
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GO TOWN Sep14 Aug31 Jul30 Jun24 May22 (ennis john)MONCADA IRVING 115 20.00    
COTILLARD Sep08 May22 Apr26     (seglin e)BEJARANO R 122 20.00    
LA MARINERA Sep28 Aug29 Aug16 Jul22 Jun30 (fernandez kel)MIRANDA ROGELIO 120 12.00    
LIKELY PERSPECTIVE         (stall m)ORTIZ L 120 5.00    
SCR  BLESS THE BROKEN Jul05         (walden william)VAZQUEZ A 120 4.50    
SHE'S ALL CHARM Sep08 Aug12       (harty eoin)DETTORI LANFRANCO 122 3.50 36% 1.80    
POPPY THE PRINCESS Aug17         (newton troy)CANNON DECLAN 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
AS CATCH CAN Aug16 Jul28 Jul04     (thomas jona)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 122 6.00    
J Z'S LAST SCHANCE Sep08 Jun02       (zawitz joel)REYES FRANK 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
10  MEAN EILEEN Sep08 Sep01 Aug08     (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 3.00 40% 1.50    
11  SWEET HEAT Aug29 Aug01       (toye lin)DOYLE SOPHIE 122 30.00    
 
KEE-4   10/11/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 Claiming ($25K) Purse ($63K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:36
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LUNAR MODULE Sep14 Jun02 May10 Apr14 Feb01 (camejo m)GEROUX FLORENT 121 4.00 45% 1.20    
SCR  DEL MO Sep19 Sep04 Aug17 Jul03 Jun12 (orantes r)MONCADA IRVING 114 30.00    
CATHEDRAL BEACH Sep15 Aug12 Jun28 Jun06 May04 (hartman chris)BEJARANO R 121 5.00 17% 5.00    
SCR  WIND OF CHANGE (BRZ) Jun30 Jun07 May05 Mar24 Nov24 (diodoro rob)TORRES A 121 4.50    
SCR  NOVGOROD THE GREAT Aug29 Aug08 Jul18 Jun09 May19 (antonucci m)SAEZ LUIS 121 10.00    
COPPERMASTER Aug17 Jul19 Jun22 Apr14 Feb15 (crichton rohan)ORTIZ JR 121 12.00 13% 6.90    
SOARING BIRD Sep25 Sep15 Aug12 Jun26 Jun12 (cano m)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 6.00    
SCR  BANISHING Aug24 Jun06 Apr19 Feb12 Jan13 (jacobson david)VAZQUEZ A 121 3.50    
TRUST DADDY Sep07 Aug17 Jun16 May24 Apr14 (sweezey ke)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 4.50    
 
KEE-5   10/11/2024 3630ft TURF RC10 Allowance Purse ($110K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:08
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THOUGHTTHATCOUNTS Sep15 Aug31 Aug05 Mar13 Feb16 (brafford michell)MACHADO LUAN 118 8.00    
GO CAPTAIN Aug31 Dec31       (briley lonnie)MORALES EDGAR 120 4.50 18% 4.60    
ALCOVE Aug27 Jul20 Jun05 Apr26   (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 120 6.00 7% 12.90    
MR. MELO Sep17 Aug31 Jul18 Jun19 May04 (hernandez rey)MONCADA IRVING 111 30.00    
URBAN LEGEND Sep01 Jul06 May24 Dec26 Nov25 (d'angelo f)ORTIZ JR 118 3.50 41% 1.50    
BAVARIA ROAD Sep14 Aug29       (rosin w)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
GLACIAL POWER Sep11 Aug05 Jun27 Jun05 May12 (camejo m)ORTIZ L 118 6.00    
PENSACOLA Aug04 Jun21 Nov11 Oct15 Sep17 (cowans d)BEJARANO R 121 12.00    
SCR  ROI SOLEIL Sep22 Aug31 Jul14 Jul07 Jun16 (chircop ste)HERNANDEZ A 118 10.00    
10  AL AMEEQ Sep15 Aug03 Jun09 May24 Apr24 (mckeever andr)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 15.00    
11  SURF CITY Sep11 Jul20 Jun27 May26 Apr24 (oliver victoria)SAEZ LUIS 118 12.00    
12  COMMITTEE OF ONE Aug31 Aug05 Jul04 Jun16 May17 (asmussen st)TORRES A 118 8.00 5% 17.80    
13  KING JULIEN Aug31 Mar30 Feb07 Jan07 Aug12 (lynch a)ORTIZ L 118 20.00    
SCR  JEFE DE OBRA (CHI) Apr21 Dec02 Oct26     (ward wesley )CORRALES GERARDO 121 10.00    
SCR  ALDER Sep21 May26 Mar24 Jan18 Dec22 (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 118 10.00    
SCR  ONE GIANT LEAP Sep21 Aug19 Jun07 Apr26 Nov10 (hartman chris)BEJARANO R 121 6.00    
 
KEE-6   10/11/2024 5610ft DIRT RC3 Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($120K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:40
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ENCLOSURE Sep13 Aug10 Nov19 Aug31 Jun04 (mott i)ORTIZ L 122 4.50    
FANCY Aug11 Jun26 May26 May03 Aug03 (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 1.00 42% 1.40    
INVENTING Nov11 Oct13 Aug20 Jun17 Apr14 (stidham michael)SAEZ LUIS 122 3.50    
LEXA (FR) Sep13 Aug04 Jun30 Jan13 Dec09 (beckman wh)CORRALES GERARDO 122 10.00 23% 3.30    
CAT'S CAVE Aug25 Jul15 Jun01 Dec13 Nov18 (tomlinson mic)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 6.00 5% 19.00    
STEEL RACER Jun09 Mar27 Feb22 Feb11 Jan18 (esquivel jesus)ORTIZ JR 122 8.00    
 
KEE-7   10/11/2024 5280ft TURF RC10 Allowance Purse ($110K) 2 F PT- 4:12
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PRESHA Sep17 Aug14 Jul13     (walden william)VAZQUEZ A 120 20.00    
INTO THE FRAY Sep08 Jul21       (arnold r)LANERIE J 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  SWEET TREASURE Aug17         (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 122 10.00    
SCR  LADY ORIENT Aug28 Jul13       (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 122 4.50    
DEAR LOUISE Aug15         (stidham michael)ORTIZ JR 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
SHOTGUN WEDDING Aug23 Jul20 Jun22     (begg james )DETTORI LANFRANCO 122 3.50 28% 2.50    
TERRA TOWN Jul14         (kubinova eliska)BEJARANO R 122 30.00    
FINE FINISH May26         (calhoun will)HERNANDEZ J 120 15.00    
FLIP FLOPS Sep08 Jul06 Jun14 Apr26   (casse mark)MACHADO LUAN 122 12.00    
10  REINING FLOWERS Aug28 Jul28 Jun24 May22   (ortiz alex)VELAZQUEZ R 122 2.50 34% 2.00    
11  LITTLE MO Aug25 Jul21       (eurton pete)TORRES A 122 6.00 16% 5.10    
 
KEE-8   10/11/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 2 ALL PT- 4:44
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KNICKS GLORY         (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 119 10.00    
T KRAFT Aug29 Jul27 Jun15     (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 4.00 11% 8.20    
THOUSAND DEGREES         (ortiz alexan)VAZQUEZ A 119 15.00    
PATCH ADAMS         (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 2.50 40% 1.50    
SCR  CALLING ON HEAVEN         (devaux cherie)ORTIZ L 119 5.00    
SCR  CAN'T DENY IT         (rivelli larr)CORRALES GERARDO 119 15.00    
DAVID OF ATHENS         (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 12.00    
BOB MO Sep12         (crichton ro)LEPAROUX R 119 6.00    
WHITE WHALE         (arnold george )MONCADA IRVING 112 30.00    
10  AMBRIDGE         (forster t)LANERIE J 119 20.00    
11  MISSED THE TURN Jul25 Jun22 May26     (londono geneviev)ROCCO S 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
12  CAMP HALE         (wilkes r)HERNANDEZ J 119 15.00    
13  AIN'T NO DISCO Sep12         (lynch a)MORALES EDGAR 119 6.00 19% 4.20    
14  GLOBAL PROSPERITY         (antonucci m)SAEZ LUIS 119 8.00 7% 13.70    
SCR  COMING IN HOT Jun22 May26       (ennis john)MORALES EDGAR 119 30.00    
SCR  KALAHARI DREAMS Sep12         (bauer philip )CONCEPCION AXEL 119 4.00    
 
KEE-9   10/11/2024 7920ft TURF RC12 Sycamore Purse ($300K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:16
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VERSTAPPEN Mar23 Jan27 Nov11 Sep09 Jul30 (walsh p)CANNON DECLAN 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
CATHKIN PEAK (IRE) Sep07 Aug21 Jun19 Apr27 Mar24 (maker micha)DETTORI LANFRANCO 122 15.00    
HIGHWAY ROBBER Sep07 Aug04 Jun28 May18 Sep02 (lynch brian )GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 4.50 41% 1.50    
DATAMAN Sep01 Jul20 May25 Apr20 Oct07 (motion graham)RUIZ JORGE 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
ALWAYS ABOVE Sep05 Jul20 Sep03 Jun29 May13 (nihei michel)CORRALES GERARDO 122 30.00    
UTAH BEACH Sep20 May18 Apr14 Feb28 Jan25 (correas ignacio )ORTIZ L 122 15.00    
TAWNY PORT Sep07 Jul20 Jun15 May11 Mar30 (clement christo)ORTIZ JR 122 6.00    
BIG BLUE LINE Sep28 Aug23 Jun29 Jun06 Nov04 (walden william)MACHADO LUAN 122 30.00    
SUGOI Aug11 Jun15 May18 Apr25 Feb17 (maker michael )GEROUX FLORENT 124 10.00    
10  OHANA HONOR Jul28 Jun08 May11 Apr14 Mar02 (mcgaughey claud)VELAZQUEZ R 122 3.50    
11  BOLD ACT (IRE) Jun15 May18 Apr20 Oct13   (appleby charles)SAEZ LUIS 124 3.00 35% 1.80    
 
KEE-10   10/11/2024 4620ft DIRT RC4 Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($55K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:48
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CRUISE MISSILE Sep21 Feb24 Dec09 Nov02 Aug19 (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 121 3.50 14% 6.40    
SCR  EIGHT DAYS SOBER Feb07 Dec27       (navarrete an)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 20.00    
EFFERVESCENT Sep14         (blair jordan)CONCEPCION AXEL 124 8.00 13% 6.70    
WALK STREET Aug21 Jul20 Jun08 May04 Aug20 (oliver victo)CORRALES GERARDO 121 20.00    
CLASSIC MYSTERY Sep13 Jun08 May12 Nov16 Oct03 (drury jr)MORALES EDGAR 121 15.00 7% 13.00    
BAH HUMBUG Sep15 Aug31 Aug05     (davis christopher)SAEZ LUIS 121 12.00    
CAPTIVE HEART Sep21         (catalano m)ORTIZ L 121 10.00    
FREAK CITY         (jacobs magda)ACHARD ALEX 121 30.00    
ENDLESS GLOW Sep14 Aug17 Jun29 Jun08 May11 (stewart dallas)VELAZQUEZ R 121 8.00    
10  QUIET CONFIDENCE Aug02 Jul06       (walsh p)MACHADO LUAN 121 4.00    
11  LADY ABERDEEN Sep14 Sep04 Jul27 Jul05 Jun16 (miller kenny)LANERIE J 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
12  WHAT'S HER NUMBER Mar24 Feb16 Jan12 Dec09   (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 5.00    
13  ARRASOU Aug22 Jul27 Aug25 Jul30   (brown c)ORTIZ JR 124 3.00 38% 1.60    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.