Handicappers' Race Results

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Churchill Downs
Wednesday - October 30, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

CD-1   Win (6/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 5 1 0 $3.56  
CD-2   Win (5/6/8/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 4 1 0 $22.06  
CD-3   Win (5/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 0 $5.66  
CD-4   Win (10/7/2/8/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 10 1 1 $7.26 $7.26  
CD-5   Win (8/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 0 $7.42  
CD-6   Win (1/2/10/5/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 11 1 0 $54.42  
CD-7   Win (2/3/8/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 0 $7.66  
CD-8   Win (8/11/9/10/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 9 1 1 $5.82 $5.82  
CD-9   Win (9/6/5/8/12) 5 $2.00 $10.00 5 1 1 $65.12 $65.12 55.12
CD-10   Win (5/7/3/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 1 1 0 $33.64  

Simulator Race results

 
CD-1   10/30/2024 5610ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($30K) Purse ($56K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:00
See original race card.
:234 :473 1:122 1:372   1:441   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BERNIN HOT 5 1 2 32 2nk 1 1 (davis christopher)SAEZ LUIS 120 1.60 0.78  
HARLEEZY 2 6 65 5 5 34 2 (hartlage g)ELLIOTT JANE 121 5.00 3.04  
CAWKAB 3 4 32 21 1nk 2 3 (asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J 121 4.00 5.97 S
RIVER IN EGYPT 1 5 54 64 6 5 48 (olivo )PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 121 5.00 9.68  
DRIP D'ORO 4 3 4 42 4 46 5 (hiles a)TORRES A 118 12.00 17% 4.90 15.68  
SEAS OF NORMANDY 6 2 1 11 31 610½ 620 (contreras cip)GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 3.00 28% 2.50 8.40  
 
CD-2   10/30/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($58K) 2 ALL PT- 1:29
See original race card.
:212 :443 :571     1:102   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COMING IN HOT 4 1 2nk 11   13 1 (ennis john)MONCADA IRVING 112 8.00 10.03  
ASLEEP AT EIGHT 1 5 52 53   4 2 (asmussen m)SAEZ LUIS 119 4.00 6.26 DH
ALL THE LUCK 5 3 31 3   23 2 (joseph saffie )TORRES A 119 4.00 38% 1.60 3.33 P
JUJUBEE 6 2 6 6   5 44 (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 3.00 22% 3.60 3.72  
MACKADOO 8 8 8 8   6 5 (foley greg)LANERIE J 119 10.00 10% 9.30 7.99  
PAKULA 3 7 74 7   7 612 (figgins l)PELTROCHE F 119 10.00 5% 19.00 17.46  
ALTOBELLI 7 4 4 21   33 713¼ (ennis john)MORALES EDGAR 119 8.00 6.64  
CROOKED BULLET 2 6 1nk 42   8 820¼ (maker j)VAZQUEZ A 119 3.50 3.07  
 
CD-3   10/30/2024 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($141K) 3 F PT- 1:58
See original race card.
:221 :444 :573     1:042   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HALINA'S FORTE 5 1 1½ 1½   1½ 1¾ (bauer a)TORRES A 122 2.50 1.83  
BLUE SQUALL 2 5 54 5   2½ 2¾ (morse randy )HERNANDEZ J 118 6.00 5% 19.00 4.19 P
HUSH IT HONEY 3 2 4 42   5 31 (morse l)BEJARANO R 122 6.00 9.53  
YOUALMOSTHADME 4 3 2½ 2½   31 41 (cox h)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 1.20 63% 0.60 1.00  
MOONLIT LADY 1 4 32 3   42 54 (gutierrez faustio)VAZQUEZ A 120 10.00 9% 9.90 12.74  
SCR  LEGADEMA               (bauer philip)CORRALES GERARDO 122 5.00    
 
CD-4   10/30/2024 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($42K) 2 F PT- 2:27
See original race card.
:23 :463 1:113 1:243   1:382   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  CRUZ CHICA 8 2 2nk 2nk 1 12 1 (cash l)BEJARANO R 119 5.00 49% 1.10 2.63 W
JUDY'S FLYER 7 8 6 4 2 22 2 (desormeaux k)TORRES A 119 6.00 10.97  
FUN TO RUN 5 6 8 6 4 3 3 (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 4.00 14% 5.90 1.50 S
SCARLET RED SKY 6 9 9 8 55 55 4 (mcgee paul)MONCADA IRVING 112 15.00 7% 13.70 12.52  
LOVEBUG 2 3 5 31 33 4 5 (hamilton sarah)ELLIOTT JANE 119 4.50 9% 10.30 8.20  
WE HEAR YOU 4 4 7 9 812½ 617 623¾ (calhoun willi)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 10.00 12.79  
11  HUIXTLA 9 7 4 5 712 821½ 733¾ (gutierrez f)TORRES A 119 8.00 5.49  
MARY LOVES LOUIE 1 5 1nk 1nk 6 719½ 838½ (ennis john)LEONARD KILLIAN 119 15.00 5% 19.00 41.54  
TWO TIMER 3 1 32 7 914½ 926 957 (oliver victo)CORRALES GERARDO 119 20.00 45.23  
SCR  DIVINEINTERVENTION               (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 119 8.00    
SCR  GLOBAL QUEEN               (tomlinson mic)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 6.00    
 
CD-5   10/30/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:57
See original race card.
:222 :454 1:11     1:173   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STOP THE SPREAD 3 4 3 31   2nk 11 (caramori eduardo)BEJARANO R 121 8.00 2.71  
HOPPIN JOHN 4 2 6 5   3.2 21 (campbell joe)HERNANDEZ J 121 15.00 31% 2.30 2.38 P
BYE BYE LIAM 6 3 1nk 1½   1nk 3 (asmussen steven)ASMUSSEN ERIK 113 2.50 39% 1.50 1.77 S
BALADINE 1 6 4 4   4 4 (poulos dee)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 20.00 5% 19.00 28.70  
ROCKSTAR RED 2 5 5 6   6 514¼ (johnston d)CHUAN MARTIN 121 8.00 22.26  
SPURRIER 5 1 2nk 2½   5 620 (moquett rona)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 3.00 3.75  
SCR  BETTERING               (garcia genaro)MORALES EDGAR 118 3.50    
SCR  EXTRA HALO               (granitz anthon)MONCADA IRVING 111 4.50    
 
CD-6   10/30/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($39K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:26
See original race card.
:23 :46 1:104 1:234   1:363   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
11  SANT' ANTIMO 9 8 6 6 4 1 1 (esquivel jesu)CONCEPCION AXEL 122 15.00 26.21  
LIAM THE BRAVE 1 9 7 7 7 63 2 (esquivel jesus)BEJARANO R 122 6.00 48% 1.10 6.28 P
COYOTE ROAD 4 2 42 5 6 5 3 (hernandez rey)MORALES EDGAR 122 10.00 7.76  
COX CANYON 2 3 9 8 8 32 4 (foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 5.00 12% 7.20 0.97  
METATRON'S MUSE 3 7 5 31 5 7 5 (morey willia)CORRALES GERARDO 122 10.00 5% 19.00 6.41  
EL FRANCO 6 5 2nk 2nk 1nk 2 6 (norris mike)HESS SARA 115 20.00 53.98  
MR. PETERKIN 7 4 8 9 9 8 78 (norris mike)TORRES A 122 12.00 33.90  
TEMPTED MISSION 5 1 1nk 1nk 2nk 42 8 (johnston d)CHUAN MARTIN 122 15.00 6% 16.50 17.47  
10  CALL OF HONOR 8 6 3 4 3½ 9 912½ (asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J 122 3.50 12% 7.60 4.48  
SCR  HEMP HEAVEN               (wittek karyn)LEBRON VICTOR 122 12.00    
SCR  SIR OLLIE               (cano muno)TORRES A 122 3.00    
 
CD-7   10/30/2024 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:55
See original race card.
:223 :452 1:10 1:23   1:361   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ISLANDER 7 4 52 3 4 21 1¼ (asmussen m)SAEZ LUIS 120 3.50 2.83  
SONHADOR 2 8 75 6 5 3 2¼ (devaux cheri)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 2.00 51% 1.00 1.68 P
SHORE WAR 8 5 41 4 1nk 11 3 (arnold geo)SANTANA JR 120 15.00 10% 8.60 7.38 S
THANKSGIVING 4 2 1nk 2½ 3.2 4 4 (walsh p)MORALES EDGAR 120 8.00 5% 19.00 8.60  
HAPPY TALK 3 1 2nk 1½ 2nk 54 512 (lukas wayn)ASMUSSEN J 120 2.50 11% 8.20 4.78  
TIME FOR MAGIC 1 7 8 7 6 69 615¼ (oliver victor)CONCEPCION AXEL 120 15.00 24.60  
RAINBOW GLOW 5 6 63 5 7 714 727¼ (arnold geor)LEPAROUX R 120 12.00 11.56  
BARBANERA 6 3 3½ 8 831¾ 836 852½ (hartman chris)BEJARANO R 120 6.00 14.47  
 
CD-8   10/30/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($52K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:25
See original race card.
:21 :441 :562     1:092   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BRITERDAYZAHEAD 9 1 22 2nk   12 1 (amoss m)TORRES A 121 2.50 12% 7.10 1.91 W
10  I GOT NO MUNNY 10 2 53 54   4 2 (asmussen steven)ASMUSSEN ERIK 116 10.00 6% 16.60 17.97 P
12  KNICKS STORY 12 11 8 65   55 3 (garcia genaro)CHUAN MARTIN 121 8.00 21.05  
11  TILTED TOWERS 11 7 43 3½   3 4 (rice adam)CONCEPCION AXEL 121 4.00 27% 2.70 6.98  
VULCAN 6 4 12 1nk   22 5 (diodoro rob)TORRES A 121 15.00 16.52  
SANTA CRUISER 1 6 10 9   76 6 (williams colby)BEJARANO R 121 15.00 10.56  
ZOOMBIE 4 3 76 7   8 7 (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 6.00 6.95  
READY PURSUIT 2 9 11 1110¼   910 88 (gonzalez reina )SOSA LAUREANO 121 30.00 ######  
KATTATH 7 8 9 1010   1011 910½ (morse l)GARCIA MARTIN 121 8.00 5% 19.00 20.09  
GLOBAL STAGE 3 5 3 4   65 1011¼ (cano muno)BESCHIZZA ADAM 121 20.00 29.43  
CHRYSO ALOGO 5 10 6 87   1111¼ 1118½ (vasquez germ)CORRALES GERARDO 118 30.00 85.19  
LOVE THE NEST 8 12 12 1213¼   1216¼ 1225¾ (blair jordan)MORALES EDGAR 121 6.00 32% 2.20 2.64  
SCR  FAN THE FIRE               (garcia genaro)CHUAN MARTIN 121 15.00    
SCR  KANT BEAT THE ROCK               (jacobson d)SANTANA JR 121 20.00    
 
CD-9   10/30/2024 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($127K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:55
See original race card.
:223 :451 1:09     1:153   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HARRODSBURG 5 3 2½ 1½   13 1¾ (tomlinson mich)TORRES A 121 10.00 15% 5.70 31.56 W
SENIOR OFFICER 8 5 7 5   3 2¾ (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 120 2.50 37% 1.70 1.18 P
ATTACHE 6 2 4 41   23 3 (hartman chris)BEJARANO R 121 3.50 21% 3.80 2.61 S
MIRACLE WORKER 7 8 52 6   5 4 (moquett rona)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 6.00 5% 19.00 19.37  
GOLDBRICK 4 6 31 2½   44 5 (calhoun b)VAZQUEZ A 118 20.00 27.85  
10  LINEBACKER 9 11 9 7   77 6 (blair jordan)MORALES EDGAR 118 10.00 9.76  
HOUSE UNITED 2 12 10 10   9 7 (stall albert)HERNANDEZ J 118 15.00 28.64  
GOLD SWEEP 1 10 8 9   8 88 (asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J 118 20.00 61.52  
12  THOUGHTTHATCOUNTS 11 7 12 1211¾   1110¾ 9 (brafford michell)ROCCO S 118 8.00 5% 19.00 15.18  
13  BIG HAMMER 12 1 11 11   1212¼ 1012 (wismer gle)SANTANA JR 120 30.00 60.63  
11  NOTAH 10 9 62 8   10 1113½ (terranova jo)CORRALES GERARDO 121 15.00 76.75  
JUSTIFREAK 3 4 1½ 31   66 1215½ (walsh p)SAEZ LUIS 118 10.00 6.64  
SCR  PRINCIP               (foley greg)LANERIE J 121 20.00    
 
CD-10   10/30/2024 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:24
See original race card.
:224 :453 1:101 1:232   1:37   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WICKED MELODY 1 5 9 98 8 4 1½ (garcia genar)CORRALES GERARDO 121 10.00 15.82  
MO HOPE 3 1 2½ 1nk 1nk 1½ 2½ (mcgee paul)GARCIA MARTIN 124 8.00 5% 19.00 16.42 P
COME TO PAPA 5 8 7 41 2nk 2½ 3 (joseph saffi)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 2.50 56% 0.80 0.46 S
VINCITA 2 2 6 6 5 54 44 (jacobson david)VAZQUEZ A 121 5.00 10.61  
KOSHER CAPONE 4 4 3 3½ 31 33 58 (blair jordan)MORALES EDGAR 121 10.00 12.89  
NA PALI JOE 6 7 42 5 6 7 6 (correas ign)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 121 8.00 5% 19.00 18.43  
ROCKET NIGHT 8 6 52 73 7 67 711 (asmussen steven)ASMUSSEN ERIK 116 4.50 11.63  
THEZELENSKYYFACTOR 7 3 1½ 2nk 4 8 815½ (morse l)BEJARANO R 121 10.00 15% 5.70 9.94  
MACHO VILLA 9 9 8 8 912¾ 928½ 993 (lukas wayne)ELLIOTT JANE 124 15.00 30.90  
SCR  MOVING TO KENTUCKY               (davis christopher)SAEZ LUIS 124 4.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.