Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Churchill Downs
Wednesday - October 30, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CD-8   EXA (8/11/9/10/7)-(8/11/9/10/7) 20 $2.00 $40.00  9-10 $98.94 $58.94 147%
CD-9   WIN (9/6/5/8/12) 5 $2.00 $10.00  5 $65.12 $55.12 551%
    EXA (9/6/5/8/12)-(9/6/5/8/12) 20 $2.00 $40.00  5-9 $219.32 $179.32 448%
    TRI (9/6/5/8/12)-(9/6/5/8/12)-(9/6/5/8/12) 60 $0.50 $30.00  5-9-6 $199.97 $169.97 567%
    SFT (9/6/5/8/12)-(9/6/5/8/12)-(9/6/5/8/12)-(9/6/5/8/12) 120 $0.10 $12.00  5-9-6-8 $302.64 $290.64 2422%
    DD (8/11/9/10/7)-(9/6/5/8/12) 25 $1.00 $25.00  9-5 $105.68 $80.68 323%
Simulator Race results
 
CD-1   10/30/2024 5610ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($30K) Purse ($56K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:00
See original race card.
:234 :473 1:122 1:372   1:441   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  BERNIN HOT 5 1 21½ 32 2nk 12½ 12¾ (davis christopher)SAEZ LUIS 120 1.60 0.78  
2  HARLEEZY 2 6 65 53½ 52¼ 34 22¾ (hartlage gary )ELLIOTT JANE 121 5.00 3.04  
3  CAWKAB 3 4 32 21 1nk 22½ 33¾ (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 121 4.00 ★ 5.97 S
1  RIVER IN EGYPT 1 5 54 64 63¾ 57½ 48 (oliv)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 121 5.00 9.68  
4  DRIP D'ORO 4 3 42½ 42 41¼ 46 58½ (hiles a)TORRES A 118 12.00 17% 4.90 15.68  
6  SEAS OF NORMANDY 6 2 11½ 11 31 610½ 620 (contreras c)GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 3.00 28% 2.50 8.40  
 
CD-2   10/30/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($58K) 2 ALL PT- 1:29
See original race card.
:212 :443 :571     1:102   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  COMING IN HOT 4 1 2nk 11   13 13¾ (ennis john)MONCADA IRVING 112 8.00 10.03  
1  ASLEEP AT EIGHT 1 5 52 53   43¼ 23¾ (asmussen m)SAEZ LUIS 119 4.00 6.26 DH
5  ALL THE LUCK 5 3 31 31½   23 23¾ (joseph saffi)TORRES A 119 4.00 38% 1.60 3.33 P
6  JUJUBEE 6 2 63½ 63½   53¾ 44 (walsh bren)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 3.00 22% 3.60 3.72  
8  MACKADOO 8 8 86½ 85½   65¾ 59¼ (foley greg)LANERIE J 119 10.00 10% 9.30 7.99  
3  PAKULA 3 7 74 75½   77¾ 612 (figgins l)PELTROCHE F 119 10.00 5% 19.00 17.46  
7  ALTOBELLI 7 4 41½ 21   33 713¼ (ennis john)MORALES EDGAR 119 8.00 6.64  
2  CROOKED BULLET 2 6 1nk 42   89¾ 820¼ (maker j)VAZQUEZ A 119 3.50 3.07  
 
CD-3   10/30/2024 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($141K) 3 F PT- 1:58
See original race card.
:221 :444 :573     1:042   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  HALINA'S FORTE 5 1 1½ 1½   1½ 1¾ (bauer philip)TORRES A 122 2.50 1.83  
3  BLUE SQUALL 2 5 54 53½   2½ 2¾ (morse rand)HERNANDEZ J 118 6.00 5% 19.00 4.19 P
4  HUSH IT HONEY 3 2 42½ 42   52½ 31 (morse l)BEJARANO R 122 6.00 9.53  
5  YOUALMOSTHADME 4 3 2½ 2½   31 41 (cox h)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 1.20 63% 0.60 1.00  
1  MOONLIT LADY 1 4 32 31½   42 54 (gutierrez faust)VAZQUEZ A 120 10.00 9% 9.90 12.74  
SCR  LEGADEMA               (bauer phil)CORRALES GERARDO 122 5.00    
 
CD-4   10/30/2024 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($42K) 2 F PT- 2:27
See original race card.
:23 :463 1:113 1:243   1:382   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  CRUZ CHICA 8 2 2nk 2nk 12½ 12 11¾ (cash l)BEJARANO R 119 5.00 49% 1.10 2.63 W
9  JUDY'S FLYER 7 8 63¾ 41¼ 22½ 22 21¾ (desormeaux j)TORRES A 119 6.00 10.97  
7  FUN TO RUN 5 6 85¼ 63¼ 44½ 34½ 32¼ (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 4.00 14% 5.90 1.50 S
8  SCARLET RED SKY 6 9 96¾ 84¼ 55 55 45¼ (mcgee paul)MONCADA IRVING 112 15.00 7% 13.70 12.52  
2  LOVEBUG 2 3 52¾ 31 33 44½ 59¾ (hamilton sarah)ELLIOTT JANE 119 4.50 9% 10.30 8.20  
6  WE HEAR YOU 4 4 74¼ 95¼ 812½ 617 623¾ (calhoun wil)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 10.00 12.79  
11  HUIXTLA 9 7 42¼ 51¾ 712 821½ 733¾ (gutierrez)TORRES A 119 8.00 5.49  
1  MARY LOVES LOUIE 1 5 1nk 1nk 69½ 719½ 838½ (ennis john)LEONARD KILLIAN 119 15.00 5% 19.00 41.54  
5  TWO TIMER 3 1 32 73¾ 914½ 926 957 (oliver vic)CORRALES GERARDO 119 20.00 45.23  
SCR  DIVINEINTERVENTION               (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 119 8.00    
SCR  GLOBAL QUEEN               (tomlinson m)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 6.00    
 
CD-5   10/30/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:57
See original race card.
:222 :454 1:11     1:173   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  STOP THE SPREAD 3 4 31½ 31   2nk 11 (caramori eduardo)BEJARANO R 121 8.00 2.71  
5  HOPPIN JOHN 4 2 64¾ 53½   3.2 21 (campbell j)HERNANDEZ J 121 15.00 31% 2.30 2.38 P
8  BYE BYE LIAM 6 3 1nk 1½   1nk 34½ (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 113 2.50 39% 1.50 1.77 S
1  BALADINE 1 6 41¾ 41½   44¼ 47¾ (poulos dee)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 20.00 5% 19.00 28.70  
2  ROCKSTAR RED 2 5 54¾ 66½   66¾ 514¼ (johnston lane )CHUAN MARTIN 121 8.00 22.26  
7  SPURRIER 5 1 2nk 2½   54¾ 620 (moquett ro)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 3.00 3.75  
SCR  BETTERING               (garcia genaro)MORALES EDGAR 118 3.50    
SCR  EXTRA HALO               (granitz anth)MONCADA IRVING 111 4.50    
 
CD-6   10/30/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($39K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:26
See original race card.
:23 :46 1:104 1:234   1:363   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
11  SANT' ANTIMO 9 8 63¼ 64¼ 41½ 11½ 13½ (esquivel je)CONCEPCION AXEL 122 15.00 26.21  
1  LIAM THE BRAVE 1 9 75¾ 74¼ 72¼ 63 23½ (esquivel jesus)BEJARANO R 122 6.00 48% 1.10 6.28 P
4  COYOTE ROAD 4 2 42 51¾ 61¾ 52½ 34¼ (hernandez rey)MORALES EDGAR 122 10.00 7.76  
2  COX CANYON 2 3 96¼ 86¾ 84¼ 32 45½ (foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 5.00 12% 7.20 0.97  
3  METATRON'S MUSE 3 7 52¼ 31 51¾ 73¼ 57¼ (morey will)CORRALES GERARDO 122 10.00 5% 19.00 6.41  
6  EL FRANCO 6 5 2nk 2nk 1nk 21½ 67¼ (norris mike)HESS SARA 115 20.00 53.98  
9  MR. PETERKIN 7 4 85¾ 98¼ 94½ 83¼ 78 (norris mi)TORRES A 122 12.00 33.90  
5  TEMPTED MISSION 5 1 1nk 1nk 2nk 42 89¼ (johnston lane )CHUAN MARTIN 122 15.00 6% 16.50 17.47  
10  CALL OF HONOR 8 6 31½ 41½ 3½ 95¼ 912½ (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 122 3.50 12% 7.60 4.48  
SCR  HEMP HEAVEN               (wittek karyn)LEBRON VICTOR 122 12.00    
SCR  SIR OLLIE               (cano mu)TORRES A 122 3.00    
 
CD-7   10/30/2024 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:55
See original race card.
:223 :452 1:10 1:23   1:361   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  ISLANDER 7 4 52 31½ 41¾ 21 1¼ (asmussen m)SAEZ LUIS 120 3.50 2.83  
  (by GUN RUNNER out of TIP AT TAPIT by TAPIT)
2  SONHADOR 2 8 75 64¼ 52¼ 31½ 2¼ (devaux che)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 2.00 51% 1.00 1.68 P
  (by UNION RAGS out of VUITTON by RED RANSOM)
8  SHORE WAR 8 5 41 41½ 1nk 11 31¼ (arnold g)SANTANA JR 120 15.00 10% 8.60 7.38 S
  (by OMAHA BEACH out of INFRACTION by TAPIT)
4  THANKSGIVING 4 2 1nk 2½ 3.2 43½ 47½ (walsh brendan)MORALES EDGAR 120 8.00 5% 19.00 8.60  
  (by UNCLE MO out of CARA MARIE by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
3  HAPPY TALK 3 1 2nk 1½ 2nk 54 512 (lukas wa)ASMUSSEN J 120 2.50 11% 8.20 4.78  
  (by ARROGATE out of CHATTERTOWN by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
1  TIME FOR MAGIC 1 7 85½ 75¼ 65¾ 69 615¼ (oliver vict)CONCEPCION AXEL 120 15.00 24.60  
  (by GUN RUNNER out of MINES AND MAGIC by MINESHAFT)
5  RAINBOW GLOW 5 6 63 51¾ 78¾ 714 727¼ (arnold ge)LEPAROUX R 120 12.00 11.56  
  (by OXBOW out of BETWEEN RAINDROPS by A.P. INDY)
6  BARBANERA 6 3 3½ 88¼ 831¾ 836 852½ (hartman chris)BEJARANO R 120 6.00 14.47  
  (by COLLECTED out of HOMESCHOOLING by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
 
CD-8   10/30/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($52K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:25
See original race card.
:21 :441 :562     1:092   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  BRITERDAYZAHEAD 9 1 22 2nk   12 12¼ (amoss thomas)TORRES A 121 2.50 12% 7.10 1.91 W
10  I GOT NO MUNNY 10 2 53 54   43½ 22¼ (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 116 10.00 6% 16.60 17.97 P
12  KNICKS STORY 12 11 86¼ 65   55 32¾ (garcia genaro)CHUAN MARTIN 121 8.00 21.05  
11  TILTED TOWERS 11 7 43 3½   32½ 43¾ (rice adam)CONCEPCION AXEL 121 4.00 27% 2.70 6.98  
6  VULCAN 6 4 12 1nk   22 54½ (diodoro r)TORRES A 121 15.00 16.52  
1  SANTA CRUISER 1 6 108¼ 97½   76 65¼ (williams colby)BEJARANO R 121 15.00 10.56  
4  ZOOMBIE 4 3 76 76½   86½ 77¼ (walsh bren)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 6.00 6.95  
2  READY PURSUIT 2 9 118¼ 1110¼   910 88 (gonzalez rein)SOSA LAUREANO 121 30.00 ######  
7  KATTATH 7 8 97¾ 1010   1011 910½ (morse l)GARCIA MARTIN 121 8.00 5% 19.00 20.09  
3  GLOBAL STAGE 3 5 32½ 41½   65 1011¼ (cano mu)BESCHIZZA ADAM 121 20.00 29.43  
5  CHRYSO ALOGO 5 10 64½ 87   1111¼ 1118½ (vasquez ge)CORRALES GERARDO 118 30.00 85.19  
8  LOVE THE NEST 8 12 128¾ 1213¼   1216¼ 1225¾ (blair jordan)MORALES EDGAR 121 6.00 32% 2.20 2.64  
SCR  FAN THE FIRE               (garcia genaro)CHUAN MARTIN 121 15.00    
SCR  KANT BEAT THE ROCK               (jacobson)SANTANA JR 121 20.00    
 
CD-9   10/30/2024 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($127K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:55
See original race card.
:223 :451 1:09     1:153   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  HARRODSBURG 5 3 2½ 1½   13 1¾ (tomlinson mi)TORRES A 121 10.00 15% 5.70 31.56 W
9  SENIOR OFFICER 8 5 72¼ 52½   33½ 2¾ (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 120 2.50 37% 1.70 1.18 P
6  ATTACHE 6 2 41½ 41   23 32¼ (hartman chris)BEJARANO R 121 3.50 21% 3.80 2.61 S
8  MIRACLE WORKER 7 8 52 62¾   54½ 44¼ (moquett ro)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 6.00 5% 19.00 19.37  
4  GOLDBRICK 4 6 31 2½   44 55½ (calhoun william)VAZQUEZ A 118 20.00 27.85  
10  LINEBACKER 9 11 94¼ 74¾   77 65½ (blair jordan)MORALES EDGAR 118 10.00 9.76  
2  HOUSE UNITED 2 12 104¾ 107¾   98½ 76½ (stall albe)HERNANDEZ J 118 15.00 28.64  
1  GOLD SWEEP 1 10 82¾ 96¼   88½ 88 (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 118 20.00 61.52  
12  THOUGHTTHATCOUNTS 11 7 125¾ 1211¾   1110¾ 98¾ (brafford miche)ROCCO S 118 8.00 5% 19.00 15.18  
13  BIG HAMMER 12 1 114¾ 119¾   1212¼ 1012 (wismer g)SANTANA JR 120 30.00 60.63  
11  NOTAH 10 9 62 85¼   108¾ 1113½ (terranova )CORRALES GERARDO 121 15.00 76.75  
3  JUSTIFREAK 3 4 1½ 31   66 1215½ (walsh p)SAEZ LUIS 118 10.00 6.64  
SCR  PRINCIP               (foley greg)LANERIE J 121 20.00    
 
CD-10   10/30/2024 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:24
See original race card.
:224 :453 1:101 1:232   1:37   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WICKED MELODY 1 5 98½ 98 85¾ 43½ 1½ (garcia gen)CORRALES GERARDO 121 10.00 15.82  
3  MO HOPE 3 1 2½ 1nk 1nk 1½ 2½ (mcgee paul)GARCIA MARTIN 124 8.00 5% 19.00 16.42 P
5  COME TO PAPA 5 8 72¼ 41 2nk 2½ 31¼ (joseph saf)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 2.50 56% 0.80 0.46 S
2  VINCITA 2 2 62¼ 62½ 52¾ 54 44 (jacobson david)VAZQUEZ A 121 5.00 10.61  
4  KOSHER CAPONE 4 4 31½ 3½ 31 33 58 (blair jordan)MORALES EDGAR 121 10.00 12.89  
6  NA PALI JOE 6 7 42 51½ 63¾ 77½ 69¾ (correas i)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 121 8.00 5% 19.00 18.43  
8  ROCKET NIGHT 8 6 52 73 75¼ 67 711 (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 116 4.50 ★ 11.63  
7  THEZELENSKYYFACTOR 7 3 1½ 2nk 42½ 88½ 815½ (morse l)BEJARANO R 121 10.00 15% 5.70 9.94  
9  MACHO VILLA 9 9 82½ 83½ 912¾ 928½ 993 (lukas wayne)ELLIOTT JANE 124 15.00 30.90  
SCR  MOVING TO KENTUCKY               (davis christopher)SAEZ LUIS 124 4.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.