Handicappers' Race Results

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Churchill Downs
Saturday - November 09, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

CD-1   Win (3/5/2/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 6 1 0 $23.60  
CD-2   Win (6/7/2/8/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 9 1 0 $20.12  
CD-3   Win (11/6/10/8/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 11 1 1 $6.64 $6.64  
CD-4   Win (3/5/6/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 1 $12.04 $12.04 4.04
CD-5   Win (7/5/12/6/11) 5 $2.00 $10.00 12 1 1 $12.60 $12.60 2.60
CD-6   Win (2/5/4/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 2 1 1 $5.34 $5.34  
CD-7   Win (5/1/4/10/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 5 1 1 $8.78 $8.78  
CD-8   Win (5/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 0 $11.24  
CD-9   Win (13/3/1/12/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 3 1 1 $13.90 $13.90 3.90
CD-10   Win (10/1/8/5/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 8 1 1 $10.32 $10.32 0.32
CD-11   Win (3/1/10/4/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 8 1 0 $11.48  

Simulator Race results

 
CD-1   11/09/2024 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($92K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:00
See original race card.
:23 :463 1:112     1:242   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROSELEE MAY 6 3 3 21   12 1 (mccarthy mic)CORRALES GERARDO 122 4.50 10.80  
VINO FRIZZANTE 5 7 76 6   4 2 (hiles a)LANERIE J 122 3.50 7% 13.40 2.23 P
MO FOR US 3 5 43 53   22 3 (asmussen steven)ASMUSSEN ERIK 117 2.00 61% 0.60 3.65 S
POUR A LITTLE MORE 4 8 64 32   54 4 (drury j)MONCADA IRVING 122 10.00 4.28  
TAPIT QUICK 1 4 11 11   3 511 (stewart dall)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 3.00 2.90  
DANCING PRINCESS 8 2 8 89   711½ 613¾ (spicer t)JURADO EDDIE 122 20.00 5% 19.00 26.61  
QUEENOFTHEUNIVERSE 7 1 21 42   611 720¼ (danner kelsey)SAEZ LUIS 124 10.00 12.07  
MY FAVORITE GIRL 2 6 53 75   812½ 824 (esquivel jesu)CONCEPCION AXEL 122 12.00 5% 19.00 20.91  
 
CD-2   11/09/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($32K) Purse ($62K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:29
See original race card.
:221 :453 :58     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROSE PALACE 8 6 8 78   7 1¼ (asmussen steven)ASMUSSEN ERIK 115 6.00 9.06  
SEQUIN LADY 4 1 6 4   1nk 2¼ (jacobson david)VAZQUEZ A 120 8.00 5% 19.00 6.50 P
AWESOME ANNMARIE 6 4 3½ 31   2nk 3 (jacobson da)CAMACHO JR 120 5.00 16% 5.40 2.80 S
10  ABITIBI 9 7 7 6   6 43 (esquivel jesus)BEJARANO R 120 12.00 23.45  
SUMMER OF MISCHIEF 5 3 1nk 2nk   3.2 5 (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 120 3.00 44% 1.30 1.95  
FOREVER HOME 1 2 2nk 1nk   4¾ 6 (garcia genaro)CHUAN MARTIN 122 6.00 10% 8.80 5.49  
ALTERED SHOT 3 9 4 53   5 77 (esquivel jesu)CONCEPCION AXEL 120 20.00 12.28  
TIFFANY TWIST 7 8 9 89   8 87 (asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J 120 6.00 7% 14.30 9.96  
RUVIES IN TIME 2 5 53 911   914¼ 925 (reed r)CORRALES GERARDO 120 30.00 56.48  
SCR  ROSIE'S HALO               (sweezey ke)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 4.00    
 
CD-3   11/09/2024 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($100K) Purse ($62K) 2 ALL PT- 1:58
See original race card.
:233 :463 1:113 1:234   1:361   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
11  INSTANT REPLAY 9 7 4¾ 52 4¼ 15 1 (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 3.50 38% 1.60 2.32 W
GALLO DE FUEGO 1 1 5 4 5 35 2 (romans dale)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 119 12.00 23.68  
LURED AWAY 3 5 8 8 7 56 310 (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 119 12.00 5% 19.00 6.72 S
CAPO LUCA 5 9 9 9 9 8 410¼ (joseph a)SMITH E 119 6.00 6.87  
10  AUTHENTIC STYLE 8 4 1nk 3½ 2nk 25 510½ (brisset rodo)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 4.00 11% 8.50 4.52  
KNOCK KNOCK JOKE 6 3 6 64 6 7 613¼ (orseno josep)CORRALES GERARDO 119 20.00 5% 19.00 13.55  
OTTER MISCHIEF 2 2 3.2 1½ 3.2 4 717 (hiles a)LANERIE J 119 30.00 20.10  
MINTASTIC 7 8 7 7 85 9 819¼ (asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J 119 12.00 12.54  
SIR GALLIVANT 4 6 2nk 2½ 1nk 6 920¾ (cox h)SAEZ LUIS 119 3.00 29% 2.50 3.10  
SCR  SERKETAS               (demeritte l)LEPAROUX R 119 30.00    
SCR  VINO DOMINUS               (drury jr)MORALES EDGAR 119 5.00    
 
CD-4   11/09/2024 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($100K) Purse ($62K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:28
See original race card.
:232 :462 1:11     1:234   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LOU'S LEGACY 7 1 2½ 1½   13 1 (andrad)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 122 8.00 5% 19.00 5.02 W
GENO'S MYTH 2 5 6 5   44 2 (puhich mike)CANNON DECLAN 122 5.00 7.35  
HANGIN IN THERE 6 6 7 6   5 3 (orseno josep)CORRALES GERARDO 122 3.50 14% 6.00 3.24 S
SHORTSTOP 5 3 3 7   6 48 (colebrook be)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 1.80 22% 3.70 1.92  
TEEN IDOL 1 2 1½ 2½   23 5 (esquivel jesus)BEJARANO R 122 20.00 25.84  
ADDED MISCHIEF 4 4 4 4   34 6 (van th)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 124 12.00 7.27  
SUMMONYOURCOURAGE 3 7 5 3   7 719½ (esquivel jesu)CONCEPCION AXEL 124 2.50 40% 1.50 4.23  
 
CD-5   11/09/2024 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 ALL PT- 2:57
See original race card.
:234 :494 1:142 1:261   1:373   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
12  MAUI STRONG 12 8 9 8 7 2 1 (romans dale)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 119 4.50 7% 13.80 5.30 W
PLENSA 7 2 21 2½ 1½ 1 2 (arnold george )GEROUX FLORENT 119 4.00 45% 1.20 1.85 P
FINAL GAMBIT 5 12 11 11 9 8 3 (cox h)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 3.50 22% 3.50 3.71 S
LEBOWSKI 4 6 53 52 42 42 44 (asmussen st)TORRES A 119 10.00 8.01  
11  STIGLETS 11 3 7 63 5 3 54 (von d)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 15.00 5% 19.00 15.62  
ZAP D'ETAT 9 9 10 12 12 10 6 (house gary)GRAHAM J 119 15.00 22.19  
DON'T BACKDOWN 2 5 4 4 3½ 5 77 (calhoun willia)TORRES A 119 10.00 11.02  
GRIM REAPER 8 7 63 7 8 7 8 (orseno josep)CORRALES GERARDO 119 15.00 28.95  
MAJOR MISCHIEF 3 10 84 9 10 11 910 (mott william )CONCEPCION AXEL 119 8.00 16.04  
10  KYE 10 11 12 10 11 12 1012 (compton greg)VAZQUEZ A 119 20.00 85.71  
CAPTAIN FANCY 6 1 11 1½ 2½ 6 1112¼ (foley greg)CANNON DECLAN 119 10.00 5% 19.00 21.28  
HAMLIN 1 4 3 3 6 9 1214¼ (damato philip)SAEZ LUIS 119 15.00 21.19  
SCR  HALTER BOY               (butcher james)CANUTO THIAGO 119 20.00    
SCR  LEMON SOHN               (schultz lindsay)JARA FERNANDO 119 15.00    
SCR  ORNATO               (hernandez rey)SANJUR SANTO 119 12.00    
SCR  UNLOCK YOUR HEART               (sims a)BEJARANO R 119 15.00    
 
CD-6   11/09/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($66K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:26
See original race card.
:232 :463 1:113 1:242   1:373   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VINOBELLO 2 3 4 32 3 2½ 11 (casse w)SAEZ LUIS 118 3.00 49% 1.10 1.67 W
MUSTANG LADY 6 6 5 4 2 3 21 (newton troy)CORRALES GERARDO 121 6.00 2.49  
YES TO CHAMPAGNE 3 1 1½ 1 1 1½ 32 (shorter aaron)VAZQUEZ A 118 6.00 10% 9.40 5.11 S
COLORMECAIRO 4 2 2½ 2 44 4 4 (morey william )TORRES A 118 8.00 11% 7.90 8.18  
MEET IN SECRET 5 7 7 78 56 5 510½ (brafford michell)MACHADO LUAN 121 30.00 24.67  
EYES OF GOLD 1 5 6 55 67 610 617¼ (demeritte larry)BEJARANO R 121 8.00 5% 19.00 4.33  
10  EXTREMELY GRUNTLED 7 4 3½ 67 715 725 769 (ramirez ric)TORRES A 118 30.00 17.51  
SCR  CANDY DOLL               (maker michae)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 6.00    
SCR  CARARRA               (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 118 2.50    
SCR  LEAMETATRAINER               (pessin l)CANNON DECLAN 118 12.00    
 
CD-7   11/09/2024 5940ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($134K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:55
See original race card.
:241 :49 1:133 1:373   1:494   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KINETIC 5 6 42 32 32 1½ 1 (cox h)SAEZ LUIS 120 4.00 38% 1.70 3.39 W
SINGLE DOT YAHT 3 2 11 107 10 55 2 (drury jr)LANERIE J 121 20.00 21.36  
BATON ROUGE (IRE) 4 4 1½ 1½ 1nk 2½ 33 (hartman chris)BEJARANO R 121 6.00 8% 11.60 6.93 S
12  SAN SIRO 11 9 63 5 5 43 4 (walsh p)MACHADO LUAN 120 12.00 7.44  
10  MACKMAN 9 5 2½ 2½ 2nk 3 5 (shirer matt)TORRES A 121 5.00 5% 17.90 8.29  
CREATIVE MINISTER 8 1 10 11 11 86 65 (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 121 10.00 5% 19.00 7.31  
11  BOURBON RESOLVE 10 8 7 74 6 6 7 (wilkes ian )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 20.00 33.92  
TAPIT SHOES 7 12 9 85 8 7 8 (moger jr)ROMAN A 121 30.00 37.51  
PARCHMENT PARTY 1 10 8 9 9 10 9 (mott william)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 4.50 28% 2.60 3.99  
13  DAI VERNON 12 7 32 4 4 9 10 (casse w)GEROUX FLORENT 121 5.00 7.29  
HAYES STRIKE 6 11 12 129 12 12 11 (mcpeek kenn)LEPAROUX R 121 30.00 40.47  
GAME WARDEN 2 3 5 6 7 11 12 (casse w)VAZQUEZ A 121 6.00 13.70  
SCR  RECKER POINT               (hartman chris)MACHADO LUAN 121 5.00    
 
CD-8   11/09/2024 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST Dream Supreme Purse ($300K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:25
See original race card.
:214 :443 :564     1:094   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
UPPER CASE 1 3 5 4   2½ 1 (lobo h)ROMAN A 120 4.00 4.62  
MYSTIC PLEASURE 3 5 21 2½   3½ 2 (brisset rodolp)GEROUX FLORENT 120 2.00 29% 2.40 2.09 P
SPIRIT WIND 2 6 42 32   4 32 (joseph a)SMITH E 124 1.80 19% 4.30 1.00 S
ACCOMPLISHED GIRL 4 1 11 1½   1½ 4 (asmussen st)TORRES A 120 6.00 10% 9.40 7.45  
AWESOME TREAT 5 4 3 66   5 5 (wojczynski j)CORRALES GERARDO 120 15.00 30.63  
INTO LOVE 6 2 6 56   6 610½ (littlefield derm)MACHADO LUAN 120 15.00 14.84  
SCR  GIRLS WEEKEND               (beckman whitworth)SAEZ LUIS 118 20.00    
SCR  LURE'EM IN               (meah m)MONCADA IRVING 120 20.00    
SCR  MISS ARLINGTON               (williamson )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 120 20.00    
 
CD-9   11/09/2024 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($141K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:55
See original race card.
:23 :452 1:092     1:222   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HORACE MANN 3 3 3 3   3 11 (damato philip)GARCIA MARTIN 122 6.00 25% 3.00 5.95 W
TRACK PHANTOM 6 2 21 2nk   1nk 21 (asmussen st)TORRES A 118 4.00 3.15  
12  GULFSTREAM WAY 9 1 11 1nk   2nk 3 (casse w)SAEZ LUIS 120 8.00 5% 19.00 6.96 S
ROCKET CAN 2 9 7 4   5 4 (mott william)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 4.50 2.84  
13  ACCRETIVE 10 6 85 8   44 5 (sharp joe)SMITH E 120 8.00 40% 1.50 9.18  
BROMLEY 5 8 11 10   8 64 (lobo h)HERNANDEZ J 120 12.00 5% 19.00 9.90  
10  ARRO SMASH 7 5 63 6   78 7 (bauer a)TORRES A 120 12.00 12.89  
FULL SCREEN 1 7 53 55   6 8 (casse mark)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 120 15.00 8% 12.00 12.25  
11  CONDEMN 8 10 107 11   9 9 (drury jr)MACHADO LUAN 120 30.00 24.54  
LOFTY ADJUDICATOR 4 4 4 7   1010¾ 10 (navarrete anna)SANJUR SANTO 120 30.00 71.98  
16  BLUE DEVIL 11 11 9 9   1111¼ 11 (asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J 120 8.00 18.16  
SCR  BIG HAT WILLIE               (jacobson da)CAMACHO JR 122 30.00    
SCR  GILCREASE               (stall alber)LEPAROUX R 120 15.00    
SCR  MACHINE GUN MAN               (sanchez jua)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 120 30.00    
SCR  OSBOURNE               (moquett ronald )MORALES EDGAR 120 12.00    
SCR  WORLD RECORD               (brisset rodolp)GEROUX FLORENT 120 3.00    
 
CD-10   11/09/2024 5940ft TURF RC12 FIRM River City Purse ($300K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:25
See original race card.
:244 :494 1:14 1:37   1:484   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BATTLE OF NORMANDY 7 4 2½ 2nk 2½ 1 1 (mcgaughey claude)MACHADO LUAN 121 6.00 12% 7.10 4.16 W
RECKONING FORCE 3 5 6 6 6 42 2 (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 3.00 3.54  
GIGANTE 8 6 42 4 3 32 3 (asmussen st)TORRES A 121 12.00 7% 12.80 7.72 S
10  CASH EQUITY (FR) 9 7 7 74 52 64 43 (joseph a)SMITH E 121 2.50 28% 2.50 3.03  
WONDERFUL JUSTICE (GB) 6 2 1½ 1nk 1½ 2 5 (sharp joe)HERNANDEZ J 121 12.00 13.56  
MASTEROFFOXHOUNDS 4 8 8 86 7 5 6 (damato philip)GEROUX FLORENT 121 12.00 8% 11.20 8.25  
EMMANUEL 1 3 53 5 8 8 7 (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 123 3.50 16% 5.30 4.04  
PUBLIC SECTOR (GB) 5 1 3 32 4 7 8 (joseph saffie )TORRES A 121 15.00 44.48  
HADES 2 9 9 9 9 99 9 (orseno f)BEJARANO R 118 15.00 24.10  
SCR  HARLAN ESTATE               (beckman whitw)CANNON DECLAN 121 15.00    
 
CD-11   11/09/2024 4620ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($30K) Purse ($56K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:55
See original race card.
:224 :454 1:102     1:233   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ANTIQUE SILVER 6 1 11 11   14 1 (jacobson da)CAMACHO JR 118 5.00 4.74  
LIL GIN N CLASS 2 4 42 4   24 2 (eggleston tim)SAEZ LUIS 118 2.00 37% 1.70 1.48 P
10  MILA JUNES 8 3 32 3   36 36 (van thoma)GEROUX FLORENT 118 10.00 8% 12.00 8.05 S
BOURBON BREEZE 3 9 7 7   68 48 (garcia genaro)BEJARANO R 118 15.00 5% 19.00 22.66  
LITTLE SISTER SUE 7 6 88 98   5 5 (garcia genaro)CHUAN MARTIN 120 15.00 5% 19.00 32.10  
MISS PEABODY 5 2 21 21   4 611¾ (newton troy)CORRALES GERARDO 120 15.00 9.14  
THESTRAL 1 5 53 53   7 712¾ (amoss thomas)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 3.00 32% 2.10 2.63  
12  BIRDIE ROSE 9 7 6 65   811¼ 814¼ (salas marcelin)MONCADA IRVING 113 20.00 16.70  
IDALOU 4 8 9 8   911¾ 914¾ (schultz lindsa)LANDEROS CHRIS 118 30.00 42.76  
SCR  BELLA CRUELLA               (bahena ismael)MEZA JJ 118 30.00    
SCR  JACKIE'S LOVE               (butcher james)CANUTO THIAGO 120 30.00    
SCR  JUST LIKE YOU               (sharp joe)TORRES A 118 5.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.