Handicappers' Race Results
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Churchill Downs
Sunday - November 17, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
CD-1   Win (5/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 0 $3.12  
CD-2   Win (2/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 0 $4.70  
CD-3   Win (7/5/4/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 1 1 0 $8.02  
CD-4   Win (4/6/1/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 6 1 1 $8.44 $8.44 0.44
CD-5   Win (6/1/2/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 2 1 1 $6.56 $6.56  
CD-6   Win (4/7/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 7 1 1 $4.96 $4.96  
CD-7   Win (9/3/1/2/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 11 1 0 $60.80  
CD-8   Win (6/7/2/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 6 1 1 $5.04 $5.04  
CD-9   Win (3/1/10/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 1 1 1 $20.60 $20.60 12.60
Simulator Race results
 
CD-1   11/17/2024 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($100K) Purse ($62K) 2 ALL PT- 1:00
See original race card.
:223 :453 1:10     1:161   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THUNDERHAWK 1 2 1½ 12½   12½ 1¼ (eurton peter)SAEZ LUIS 119 2.00 0.56  
6  JACK'S PROMISE 5 3 32 33   22½ 2¼ (romans dale)LANERIE J 119 3.00 16% 5.20 3.62 P
5  THE CHALK 4 1 2½ 22½   34½ 36¼ (calhoun willi)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 3.50 57% 0.80 5.32 S
3  WACO 3 4 44 46   48½ 411½ (lukas wayn)ASMUSSEN J 119 5.00 5.28  
2  STATE PARK 2 5 56½ 510   514 525 (lauer michael)TORRES A 119 15.00 5% 19.00 24.14  
SCR  CARCAR EXPRESS               (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 4.00    
SCR  SCOVILLE               (toye lin)POSTON K 109 15.00    
 
CD-2   11/17/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($32K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:29
See original race card.
:211 :443 :573     1:114   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  SPARKLE OF HOPE 4 5 46½ 23½   23 11½ (foley greg)SAEZ LUIS 120 2.50 1.35  
3  BOBBIE SOX 3 1 13½ 13½   13 21½ (gonzalez reina )SOSA LAUREANO 120 12.00 5% 19.00 6.33 P
1  EVIE'S ENCORE 1 3 56¾ 34½   35 33¼ (hartman chris)MONCADA IRVING 113 3.00 24% 3.20 3.32 S
2  TEARDUC 2 4 23½ 44½   49 410¼ (sanchez amado)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 2.00 28% 2.60 2.62  
7  URBAN COWGIRL 5 2 36½ 59½   513 515¾ (cline robert)HERNANDEZ J 120 4.00 5.94  
SCR  COMMANDERS PALACE               (alessi james)SANCHEZ LEXANDER 120 15.00    
SCR  FREEDOM ATTACK               (childers vance)EMIGH A 120 15.00    
 
CD-3   11/17/2024 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($100K) Purse ($62K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:58
See original race card.
:241 :482 1:123 1:372   1:434   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PRINCE OF POWER 1 4 12 11 12 1½ 12 (esquivel jesus)SANJUR SANTO 121 4.00 3.01  
2  GOLDEN SYMPHONY 2 5 32½ 31½ 32½ 2½ 22 (wilkes r)LANERIE J 121 3.00 6.38  
3  KNOW WHO YOU ARE 3 6 54½ 53½ 65 45 36½ (cowans d)MACHADO LUAN 121 3.50 5.75  
6  NEON BORDEAUX 6 3 65 74½ 75½ 66 47¾ (arnold geor)LEPAROUX R 121 12.00 5% 19.00 7.60  
7  BOX OFFICE 7 7 75 64 43½ 55½ 59¾ (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 121 2.50 43% 1.30 1.54  
4  STRADIVARIAN 4 1 22 21 22 34½ 613¼ (forster t)GRAHAM J 121 12.00 5% 19.00 15.40  
5  BREWING 5 2 43½ 43 53½ 79 716¾ (asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J 121 5.00 28% 2.60 8.14  
 
CD-4   11/17/2024 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($141K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:27
See original race card.
:242 :481 1:121 1:24   1:354   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  WHAT SAY THEE 6 6 64 75½ 42 1nk 1nk (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 121 2.00 13% 6.90 3.22 W
5  AH JEEZ 5 4 42 32½ 2½ 2nk 2nk (o'neill doug)BEJARANO R 121 8.00 13.64  
4  TAKING CANDY 4 5 52 54 52¼ 41½ 31 (devaux cher)TORRES A 121 1.80 51% 0.90 0.59 S
7  EL KABONG 7 2 21 2½ 3½ 3½ 43¼ (arnold r)LANERIE J 121 10.00 16.72  
1  BIG DREAMING 1 3 31½ 43 62¼ 52 53½ (maker mich)SANTANA JR 121 10.00 12% 7.10 31.05  
2  FLASHIEST 2 7 74¼ 65½ 74¼ 74½ 67¾ (powell leonard)GEROUX FLORENT 121 3.50 8.79  
3  PUBLIC SECTOR (GB) 3 1 11 1½ 1½ 62½ 78¼ (joseph a)MACHADO LUAN 121 12.00 5% 19.00 10.10  
SCR  CALL ME FAST               (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 1.60    
 
CD-5   11/17/2024 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($58K) 2 F PT- 2:57
See original race card.
:233 :464 1:113 1:242   1:373   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  KINZIE QUEEN 2 2 41½ 51½ 41½ 11½ 12¼ (asmussen steven)ASMUSSEN ERIK 114 3.00 7% 12.50 2.28 W
1  CAT PAYS THE TOLL 1 4 31 31 51¾ 32 22¼ (wilkes r)MORALES EDGAR 119 2.50 10% 9.00 2.81 P
8  SPUNDERELLA 7 1 1½ 1½ 1½ 21½ 36½ (pino v)MACHADO LUAN 119 12.00 5% 19.00 5.45 S
6  BLUSHING KAM 6 3 2½ 2½ 2½ 42½ 48¾ (hartman chri)CORRALES GERARDO 119 4.00 58% 0.70 3.67  
4  COMBATTANTE 4 6 64½ 75 64¼ 65½ 510¾ (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 119 15.00 34.45  
5  JUDY'S FLYER 5 5 52 41 3½ 55 611½ (garcia genaro)TORRES A 119 3.50 6.05  
3  LOB 3 7 75 64½ 75¼ 78 713¼ (arnold george )MONCADA IRVING 112 10.00 8.36  
SCR  TARRAGON               (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 119 10.00    
 
CD-6   11/17/2024 5610ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($127K) 2 ALL PT- 3:26
See original race card.
:24 :48 1:13 1:374   1:441   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  MAGNITUDE 5 1 21 2½ 11 1½ 11 (asmussen steven)ASMUSSEN ERIK 115 3.00 13% 6.80 1.48 W
2  CALIFORNIA BURRITO 1 5 31½ 31½ 41½ 2½ 21 (drury jr)MORALES EDGAR 120 10.00 5% 17.90 2.10 P
5  IRON SHARPENS IRON 4 3 53½ 54½ 53 38½ 316 (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 120 15.00 5.17  
4  ANALOG JONES 3 2 42½ 42 31 410 417 (reid e)MACHADO LUAN 122 2.00 57% 0.70 4.28  
3  FIRMUS 2 4 11 1½ 21 510½ 523½ (catalano m)LANERIE J 120 12.00 6.29  
SCR  ENTERDADRAGON               (d'angelo franc)SAEZ LUIS 122 10.00    
SCR  UNCLE JIM               (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 120 1.60    
 
CD-7   11/17/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 F PT- 3:55
See original race card.
:211 :442 :57     1:101   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
11  HER LAUGH 11 10 43½ 32   1½ 1nk (beckman whit)TORRES A 119 12.00 29.40  
5  VIOLET IRENE 5 4 64½ 56   42½ 2nk (tooley jennife)LANDEROS CHRIS 119 12.00 22.66  
4  ENTICING BEAUTY 4 2 86¾ 98¾   54½ 32½ (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 119 15.00 5% 19.00 25.68 S
3  CATANA 3 11 76½ 67   75½ 43½ (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 2.00 28% 2.50 2.15  
10  MODO 10 5 2½ 1nk   2½ 54 (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 119 12.00 10.87  
1  MAGICAL DAY 1 3 1½ 2nk   31½ 66 (walsh p)MACHADO LUAN 119 6.00 5% 19.00 3.29  
9  TICKIN TIME BLONDE 9 6 97¾ 77¼   86 76½ (oliver victoria)SAEZ LUIS 119 2.50 37% 1.70 2.59  
6  NANCY LYNN 6 1 32½ 44½   64½ 87¾ (asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J 119 10.00 17.61  
7  CANTERBURY LANE 7 8 54½ 88¾   910 915½ (forster t)LANERIE J 119 12.00 9.17  
2  WICKED EYES 2 9 107¾ 1011¾   1014 1019 (torres conc)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 119 20.00 5% 19.00 79.16  
8  GINGER N SPEIGHTSY 8 7 1110¾ 1113¾   1115½ 1120¼ (wilkes r)CANNON DECLAN 119 15.00 43.49  
 
CD-8   11/17/2024 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($141K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:25
See original race card.
:221 :45 1:092     1:154   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  KAVOD 6 3 42½ 3½   21 1¼ (sharp joe)SAEZ LUIS 120 1.80 23% 3.40 1.52 W
2  CYCLONE MISCHIEF 2 7 79½ 79¼   44 2¼ (romans dale)LANERIE J 120 3.50 17% 5.00 3.17 P
7  OSBOURNE 7 1 21 2nk   11 33¼ (moquett e)BEJARANO R 120 6.00 19% 4.20 8.35 S
3  SWIRVIN 3 4 31½ 42½   54 46 (joseph saf)SANTANA JR 120 5.00 4.09  
5  GOLD LUCK 5 6 64½ 52¾   65½ 56½ (garcia genaro)MORALES EDGAR 122 4.00 4.81  
4  FIVE O' SOMEWHERE 4 2 11 1nk   32½ 67 (spraggins k)BERMUDEZ E 120 20.00 5% 19.00 29.52  
1  GILCREASE 1 5 53½ 65¼   77 79¾ (stall alber)LEPAROUX R 120 5.00 13.60  
 
CD-9   11/17/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($54K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:55
See original race card.
:231 :46 1:11     1:243   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LOBO SALVAJE 1 4 42¼ 41½   1½ 1hd (salas marce)PEDROZA MARCELINO 120 8.00 15% 5.50 9.30 W
2  NOBLE GENTLEMAN 2 6 76¾ 87   54½ 2hd (labra rogelio)RAMOS D 118 20.00 19.16  
4  QUARRYMEN 4 8 87¼ 75½   32½ 32½ (shorter aar)TORRES A 118 5.00 3.63  
6  TROPANDHAGEN 6 1 12 11   2½ 43½ (synnefias panag)JARA FERNANDO 118 8.00 6.83  
5  TIZ MARKS SPIRIT 5 7 64¾ 64½   86½ 54 (synnefias pan)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 15.00 16.83  
10  ARTWELL 8 3 32 31   64½ 64¾ (garcia genaro)MORALES EDGAR 120 10.00 9% 10.30 3.12  
8  MIDNIGHT STORMY 7 2 22 21   44 75½ (minnock g)CANNON DECLAN 118 8.00 5% 19.00 6.79  
3  RIVER RIDGE 3 5 53¼ 54   76 85¾ (cline robert)HERNANDEZ J 118 4.00 48% 1.10 2.38  
SCR  AIR CAV               (tomlinson mich)TORRES A 118 10.00    
SCR  GAMBLERS TAIL               (jacobson da)CAMACHO JR 118 2.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.