Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Churchill Downs
Sunday - November 17, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CD-5   TRI (6/1/2/8)-(6/1/2/8)-(6/1/2/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00  2-1-8 $28.33 $16.33 136%
    SFT (6/1/2/8)-(6/1/2/8)-(6/1/2/8)-(6/1/2/8) 24 $0.10 $2.40  2-1-8-6 $13.61 $11.21 467%
CD-6   EXA (4/7/2)-(4/7/2) 6 $2.00 $12.00  7-2 $13.52 $1.52 13%
CD-8   TRI (6/7/2/4)-(6/7/2/4)-(6/7/2/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00  6-2-7 $18.35 $6.35 53%
CD-9   WIN (3/1/10/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00  1 $20.60 $12.60 158%
    DD (6/7/2/4)-(3/1/10/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00  6-1 $47.44 $31.44 197%
Simulator Race results
 
CD-1   11/17/2024 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($100K) Purse ($62K) 2 ALL PT- 1:00
See original race card.
:223 :453 1:10     1:161   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THUNDERHAWK 1 2 1½ 12½   12½ 1¼ (eurton peter)SAEZ LUIS 119 2.00 0.56  
6  JACK'S PROMISE 5 3 32 33   22½ 2¼ (romans dale)LANERIE J 119 3.00 16% 5.20 3.62 P
5  THE CHALK 4 1 2½ 22½   34½ 36¼ (calhoun wil)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 3.50 57% 0.80 5.32 S
3  WACO 3 4 44 46   48½ 411½ (lukas wa)ASMUSSEN J 119 5.00 5.28  
2  STATE PARK 2 5 56½ 510   514 525 (lauer michae)TORRES A 119 15.00 5% 19.00 24.14  
SCR  CARCAR EXPRESS               (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 4.00    
SCR  SCOVILLE               (toye l)POSTON K 109 15.00    
 
CD-2   11/17/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($32K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:29
See original race card.
:211 :443 :573     1:114   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  SPARKLE OF HOPE 4 5 46½ 23½   23 11½ (foley greg)SAEZ LUIS 120 2.50 1.35  
3  BOBBIE SOX 3 1 13½ 13½   13 21½ (gonzalez rein)SOSA LAUREANO 120 12.00 5% 19.00 6.33 P
1  EVIE'S ENCORE 1 3 56¾ 34½   35 33¼ (hartman chri)MONCADA IRVING 113 3.00 24% 3.20 3.32 S
2  TEARDUC 2 4 23½ 44½   49 410¼ (sanchez ama)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 2.00 28% 2.60 2.62  
7  URBAN COWGIRL 5 2 36½ 59½   513 515¾ (cline robe)HERNANDEZ J 120 4.00 5.94  
SCR  COMMANDERS PALACE               (alessi jam)SANCHEZ LEXANDER 120 15.00    
SCR  FREEDOM ATTACK               (childers vance)EMIGH A 120 15.00    
 
CD-3   11/17/2024 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($100K) Purse ($62K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:58
See original race card.
:241 :482 1:123 1:372   1:434   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PRINCE OF POWER 1 4 12 11 12 1½ 12 (esquivel jesus)SANJUR SANTO 121 4.00 3.01  
2  GOLDEN SYMPHONY 2 5 32½ 31½ 32½ 2½ 22 (wilkes r)LANERIE J 121 3.00 6.38  
3  KNOW WHO YOU ARE 3 6 54½ 53½ 65 45 36½ (cowans william)MACHADO LUAN 121 3.50 5.75  
6  NEON BORDEAUX 6 3 65 74½ 75½ 66 47¾ (arnold ge)LEPAROUX R 121 12.00 5% 19.00 7.60  
7  BOX OFFICE 7 7 75 64 43½ 55½ 59¾ (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 121 2.50 43% 1.30 1.54  
4  STRADIVARIAN 4 1 22 21 22 34½ 613¼ (forster t)GRAHAM J 121 12.00 5% 19.00 15.40  
5  BREWING 5 2 43½ 43 53½ 79 716¾ (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 121 5.00 28% 2.60 8.14  
 
CD-4   11/17/2024 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($141K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:27
See original race card.
:242 :481 1:121 1:24   1:354   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  WHAT SAY THEE 6 6 64 75½ 42 1nk 1nk (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 121 2.00 13% 6.90 3.22 W
5  AH JEEZ 5 4 42 32½ 2½ 2nk 2nk (o'neill doug)BEJARANO R 121 8.00 13.64  
4  TAKING CANDY 4 5 52 54 52¼ 41½ 31 (devaux ch)TORRES A 121 1.80 51% 0.90 0.59 S
7  EL KABONG 7 2 21 2½ 3½ 3½ 43¼ (arnold r)LANERIE J 121 10.00 16.72  
1  BIG DREAMING 1 3 31½ 43 62¼ 52 53½ (maker mi)SANTANA JR 121 10.00 12% 7.10 31.05  
2  FLASHIEST 2 7 74¼ 65½ 74¼ 74½ 67¾ (powell leona)GEROUX FLORENT 121 3.50 8.79  
3  PUBLIC SECTOR (GB) 3 1 11 1½ 1½ 62½ 78¼ (joseph saffie )MACHADO LUAN 121 12.00 5% 19.00 10.10  
SCR  CALL ME FAST               (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 1.60    
 
CD-5   11/17/2024 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($58K) 2 F PT- 2:57
See original race card.
:233 :464 1:113 1:242   1:373   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  KINZIE QUEEN 2 2 41½ 51½ 41½ 11½ 12¼ (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 114 3.00 7% 12.50 2.28 W
1  CAT PAYS THE TOLL 1 4 31 31 51¾ 32 22¼ (wilkes r)MORALES EDGAR 119 2.50 10% 9.00 2.81 P
8  SPUNDERELLA 7 1 1½ 1½ 1½ 21½ 36½ (pino v)MACHADO LUAN 119 12.00 5% 19.00 5.45 S
6  BLUSHING KAM 6 3 2½ 2½ 2½ 42½ 48¾ (hartman ch)CORRALES GERARDO 119 4.00 58% 0.70 3.67  
4  COMBATTANTE 4 6 64½ 75 64¼ 65½ 510¾ (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 119 15.00 34.45  
5  JUDY'S FLYER 5 5 52 41 3½ 55 611½ (garcia genar)TORRES A 119 3.50 6.05  
3  LOB 3 7 75 64½ 75¼ 78 713¼ (arnold georg)MONCADA IRVING 112 10.00 8.36  
SCR  TARRAGON               (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 119 10.00    
 
CD-6   11/17/2024 5610ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($127K) 2 ALL PT- 3:26
See original race card.
:24 :48 1:13 1:374   1:441   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  MAGNITUDE 5 1 21 2½ 11 1½ 11 (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 115 3.00 13% 6.80 1.48 W
2  CALIFORNIA BURRITO 1 5 31½ 31½ 41½ 2½ 21 (drury thomas )MORALES EDGAR 120 10.00 5% 17.90 2.10 P
5  IRON SHARPENS IRON 4 3 53½ 54½ 53 38½ 316 (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 120 15.00 5.17  
4  ANALOG JONES 3 2 42½ 42 31 410 417 (reid e)MACHADO LUAN 122 2.00 57% 0.70 4.28  
3  FIRMUS 2 4 11 1½ 21 510½ 523½ (catalano wayne )LANERIE J 120 12.00 6.29  
SCR  ENTERDADRAGON               (d'angelo fra)SAEZ LUIS 122 10.00    
SCR  UNCLE JIM               (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 120 1.60    
 
CD-7   11/17/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 F PT- 3:55
See original race card.
:211 :442 :57     1:101   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
11  HER LAUGH 11 10 43½ 32   1½ 1nk (beckman wh)TORRES A 119 12.00 29.40  
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of TRUTH GODDESS by POINT OF ENTRY)
5  VIOLET IRENE 5 4 64½ 56   42½ 2nk (tooley jenni)LANDEROS CHRIS 119 12.00 22.66  
  (by INSTILLED REGARD out of FORMAL PLAN by FORMAL GOLD)
4  ENTICING BEAUTY 4 2 86¾ 98¾   54½ 32½ (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 119 15.00 5% 19.00 25.68 S
  (by VIOLENCE out of BELLA PAELLA by BELLAMY ROAD)
3  CATANA 3 11 76½ 67   75½ 43½ (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 2.00 28% 2.50 2.15  
  (by CONSTITUTION out of KIRBY'S PENNY by MACHO UNO)
10  MODO 10 5 2½ 1nk   2½ 54 (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 119 12.00 10.87  
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of ACADEMY ROAD by LEMON DROP KID)
1  MAGICAL DAY 1 3 1½ 2nk   31½ 66 (walsh brendan )MACHADO LUAN 119 6.00 5% 19.00 3.29  
  (by DISTORTED HUMOR out of SEA OF BLUE by MIDSHIPMAN)
9  TICKIN TIME BLONDE 9 6 97¾ 77¼   86 76½ (oliver victoria)SAEZ LUIS 119 2.50 37% 1.70 2.59  
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of BLONDE BOMBER by FORT LARNED)
6  NANCY LYNN 6 1 32½ 44½   64½ 87¾ (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 119 10.00 17.61  
  (by JUSTIFY out of GLAMOURATTI by STREET SENSE)
7  CANTERBURY LANE 7 8 54½ 88¾   910 915½ (forster t)LANERIE J 119 12.00 9.17  
  (by VEKOMA out of PATRICIA'S RING by MALIBU MOON)
2  WICKED EYES 2 9 107¾ 1011¾   1014 1019 (torres co)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 119 20.00 5% 19.00 79.16  
  (by DIALED IN out of HAIL TO ROCKNROLL by SCAT DADDY)
8  GINGER N SPEIGHTSY 8 7 1110¾ 1113¾   1115½ 1120¼ (wilkes r)CANNON DECLAN 119 15.00 43.49  
  (by OMAHA BEACH out of SPEIGHTSY HEART by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
 
CD-8   11/17/2024 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($141K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:25
See original race card.
:221 :45 1:092     1:154   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  KAVOD 6 3 42½ 3½   21 1¼ (sharp joe)SAEZ LUIS 120 1.80 23% 3.40 1.52 W
2  CYCLONE MISCHIEF 2 7 79½ 79¼   44 2¼ (romans dale)LANERIE J 120 3.50 17% 5.00 3.17 P
7  OSBOURNE 7 1 21 2nk   11 33¼ (moquett e)BEJARANO R 120 6.00 19% 4.20 8.35 S
3  SWIRVIN 3 4 31½ 42½   54 46 (joseph s)SANTANA JR 120 5.00 4.09  
5  GOLD LUCK 5 6 64½ 52¾   65½ 56½ (garcia genaro)MORALES EDGAR 122 4.00 4.81  
4  FIVE O' SOMEWHERE 4 2 11 1nk   32½ 67 (spraggins)BERMUDEZ E 120 20.00 5% 19.00 29.52  
1  GILCREASE 1 5 53½ 65¼   77 79¾ (stall alb)LEPAROUX R 120 5.00 13.60  
 
CD-9   11/17/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($54K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:55
See original race card.
:231 :46 1:11     1:243   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LOBO SALVAJE 1 4 42¼ 41½   1½ 1hd (salas mar)PEDROZA MARCELINO 120 8.00 15% 5.50 9.30 W
2  NOBLE GENTLEMAN 2 6 76¾ 87   54½ 2hd (labra rogeli)RAMOS D 118 20.00 19.16  
4  QUARRYMEN 4 8 87¼ 75½   32½ 32½ (shorter a)TORRES A 118 5.00 3.63  
6  TROPANDHAGEN 6 1 12 11   2½ 43½ (synnefias pan)JARA FERNANDO 118 8.00 6.83  
5  TIZ MARKS SPIRIT 5 7 64¾ 64½   86½ 54 (synnefias p)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 15.00 16.83  
10  ARTWELL 8 3 32 31   64½ 64¾ (garcia genaro)MORALES EDGAR 120 10.00 9% 10.30 3.12  
8  MIDNIGHT STORMY 7 2 22 21   44 75½ (minnock wayne)CANNON DECLAN 118 8.00 5% 19.00 6.79  
3  RIVER RIDGE 3 5 53¼ 54   76 85¾ (cline robe)HERNANDEZ J 118 4.00 48% 1.10 2.38  
SCR  AIR CAV               (tomlinson mi)TORRES A 118 10.00    
SCR  GAMBLERS TAIL               (jacobson )CAMACHO JR 118 2.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.