Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Churchill Downs
Wednesday - November 20, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CD-3   WIN (3/1/6/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00  6 $10.88 $2.88 36%
CD-4   WIN (10/8/1/2/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00  10 $14.86 $4.86 49%
    EXA (10/8/1/2/4)-(10/8/1/2/4) 20 $2.00 $40.00  10-4 $358.10 $318.10 795%
    TRI (10/8/1/2/4)-(10/8/1/2/4)-(10/8/1/2/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00  10-4-8 $424.65 $394.65 1316%
    SFT (10/8/1/2/4)-(10/8/1/2/4)-(10/8/1/2/4)-(10/8/1/2/4) 120 $0.10 $12.00  10-4-8-1 $189.79 $177.79 1482%
    DD (3/1/6/7)-(10/8/1/2/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00  6-10 $46.21 $26.21 131%
CD-5   DD (10/8/1/2/4)-(5/3/1/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00  10-5 $21.33 $1.33 7%
    PK3 (3/1/6/7)-(10/8/1/2/4)-(5/3/1/4) 80 $0.50 $40.00  6-10-5 $71.65 $31.65 79%
CD-7   WIN (1/7/2/8/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00  1 $10.64 $0.64 6%
    EXA (1/7/2/8/3)-(1/7/2/8/3) 20 $2.00 $40.00  1-2 $45.72 $5.72 14%
    TRI (1/7/2/8/3)-(1/7/2/8/3)-(1/7/2/8/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00  1-2-8 $79.18 $49.18 164%
    SFT (1/7/2/8/3)-(1/7/2/8/3)-(1/7/2/8/3)-(1/7/2/8/3) 120 $0.10 $12.00  1-2-8-7 $39.79 $27.79 232%
Simulator Race results
 
CD-1   11/20/2024 4950ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($42K) 2 F PT- 1:00
See original race card.
:231 :463 1:124 1:25   1:313   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ADRIAN 1 3 64 55   1½ 15¾ (nihei mi)RODRIGUEZ A 119 12.00 10.00  
2  CITIZEN JUDY 2 2 21½ 31   2½ 25¾ (ennis john)MORALES EDGAR 119 2.50 52% 0.90 1.24 P
5  PARISIAN LIGHT 5 5 32 21   31½ 37¼ (humphries thom)MACHADO LUAN 119 10.00 5% 19.00 6.82 S
6  EVALINA 6 9 53½ 42½   58 417¼ (foster eric)CEDILLO ABEL 119 4.00 15% 5.60 5.59  
3  REAL MISCHIEVOUS 3 1 11½ 11   46½ 518¾ (tomlinson mi)TORRES A 119 10.00 18.35  
9  KATE WINS 8 6 87 811¼   712 619¼ (humphries thom)CHUAN MARTIN 119 8.00 18.57  
8  SECURITY PLEDGE 7 8 75½ 65¼   610½ 720¼ (esquivel jesus)BEJARANO R 119 15.00 16.76  
10  BONITA SONG 9 7 98½ 912¾   814 820¾ (davis christop)DOYLE SOPHIE 119 10.00 5% 18.30 6.24  
4  TEGWAR 4 4 43 75¼   921 952 (wainwrigh)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 3.50 7% 12.90 8.98  
SCR  DREAMA               (miller jerom)MONCADA IRVING 112 15.00    
 
CD-2   11/20/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($32K) Purse ($62K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:29
See original race card.
:224 :452 1:10     1:23   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  BACKGROUND 3 2 1½ 1nk   2nk 1nk (hartman chris)MACHADO LUAN 120 5.00 4.97  
6  FORT WARREN 4 1 2½ 2nk   1nk 2nk (amoss m)SAEZ LUIS 120 2.50 45% 1.20 1.25 P
1  WENT WEST 1 4 43 42¼   32½ 32½ (cano mu)BESCHIZZA ADAM 122 2.00 1.57  
2  PRESIDENT Z 2 3 32½ 32   44 49½ (dutrow richa)GEROUX FLORENT 120 5.00 5% 19.00 3.69  
SCR  NOTAH               (terranova p)SAEZ LUIS 120 3.00    
SCR  W W CRAZY               (santamari)TORRES A 120 15.00    
 
CD-3   11/20/2024 5610ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($92K) 2 ALL PT- 1:58
See original race card.
:234 :48 1:123 1:383   1:451   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  BABY MAX 6 7 76½ 75 64¾ 21½ 1½ (danner ke)TORRES A 119 12.00 11% 8.10 4.44 W
  (by MAXIMUS MISCHIEF out of LEMON GAL by LEMON DROP KID)
5  LURED AWAY 5 6 65 64 43¾ 31½ 2½ (mcpeek kenneth )LANERIE J 119 4.50 7.79  
  (by ENTICED out of SKINDY by SKIP AWAY)
3  SOUTH BEND TOM 3 1 11 11 1nk 11½ 32¾ (stall m)MACHADO LUAN 119 3.00 43% 1.30 2.86 S
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of GLYCINE by PULPIT)
4  GALLO DE FUEGO 4 5 21 21 2nk 41¾ 46½ (romans da)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 119 4.00 11.95  
  (by AUDIBLE out of SPELLING AGAIN by AWESOME AGAIN)
1  COALMOON 1 4 54½ 53½ 54¾ 55¼ 510¾ (lobo paulo)HERNANDEZ J 119 2.00 17% 4.90 1.14  
  (by COAL FRONT out of STELLA MOON by MALIBU MOON)
7  SUPER SNOOP 7 3 32 42½ 33½ 611¼ 625¼ (pitts helen)MORALES EDGAR 119 12.00 5% 19.00 14.71  
  (by HARD SPUN out of LAST PLAY by STORMY ATLANTIC)
2  IL MARCHESSE 2 2 42½ 31½ 77¾ 719¼ 740 (ennis john)SAEZ LUIS 119 5.00 19.19  
  (by HARD SPUN out of SHEAR CLASS by CURLIN)
 
CD-4   11/20/2024 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($50K) 2 F PT- 2:27
See original race card.
:22 :454 :583     1:053   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  BELLA VITTORIA 9 4 2nk 12½   13 1nk (vanden br)SAEZ GABRIEL 119 5.00 39% 1.50 6.43 W
4  NOLA LOUISE 4 9 89½ 78½   35 2nk (newton troy)CANNON DECLAN 119 15.00 5% 19.00 22.83 P
8  SHANCELICIOUS 8 2 43½ 33½   23 3¼ (ward wes)RODRIGUEZ A 119 3.00 30% 2.30 2.34 S
1  DINAHS GIRL 1 1 54 44   46½ 43¼ (hartman chris)BEJARANO R 119 3.50 8% 11.50 1.38  
7  NEXT AGENDA 7 5 64½ 55½   57 54½ (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 119 8.00 7.93  
5  MELITTLEFROSTGIRL 5 6 76 68½   610 65½ (hancock joh)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 8.00 6.83  
3  VINO TOXICA 3 7 914 816½   818½ 717 (galindo-torr)CALLEJA ANDRES 119 12.00 49.49  
6  FREE PASSAGE 6 3 1nk 22½   715 827 (galindo-t)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 119 15.00 66.02  
2  RED ZONE 2 8 32 9100   9100 9100 (desormeaux j)TORRES A 119 15.00 5% 19.00 22.08  
SCR  MIDNIGHT MUSE               (gutierrez )GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 4.50    
 
CD-5   11/20/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($31K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:57
See original race card.
:213 :444 :572     1:103   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  J J'S RANGER 5 5 41½ 41½   11 13½ (hartman chris)BEJARANO R 120 1.20 35% 1.80 0.70 W
4  REWIRE 4 2 52 52   53½ 23½ (shorter aaron)VAZQUEZ A 120 8.00 5% 19.00 13.73 P
3  LEND IT TEWMEY 3 3 2½ 1nk   21 34½ (miller darrin)MILLER CHASE 120 3.00 35% 1.80 4.13 S
2  TAP THE CANDY 2 8 77 77½   76 45½ (hancock joh)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 6.00 18.87  
8  MONBA QUAKE 8 4 62½ 64½   65½ 56¼ (curtsi)CURTSINGER JOHNATHON 120 20.00 16.58  
6  UNTROUBLED 6 1 31 2nk   32 67¾ (caramori edua)MORALES EDGAR 118 15.00 14.98  
1  JAMMIN JUSTICE 1 6 1½ 3½   42 78½ (murphy conor)CANNON DECLAN 118 6.00 6% 14.70 4.62  
7  REDHILL 7 7 811 814   813 815¼ (pittman bonn)CALLEJA ANDRES 113 20.00 58.26  
 
CD-6   11/20/2024 5610ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($72K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:26
See original race card.
:241 :48 1:122 1:374   1:443   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  WINDY WALK 2 3 31 31½ 52 22 1¾ (davis christopher)SAEZ LUIS 120 2.00 23% 3.30 1.85 W
6  LOW COUNTRY MAGIC 6 5 41½ 42 2½ 32 2¾ (correas igna)GEROUX FLORENT 118 4.00 3.17  
7  LUCY GOT GAME 7 1 1½ 1½ 1½ 12 31½ (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 118 3.00 28% 2.60 2.89 S
5  CRAZY CAMI 5 6 63 63½ 41½ 44 44¼ (maker michae)TORRES A 118 6.00 15% 5.90 5.33  
1  KLIMT'S MUSE 1 7 77½ 75½ 64 55½ 55 (humphries thom)MACHADO LUAN 121 12.00 29.95  
3  CRUSHED ICE 3 2 2½ 2½ 3½ 68 626¼ (quartarol)LEPAROUX R 121 10.00 5% 19.00 12.32  
4  WEE BIT O MISCHIEF 4 4 52½ 53½ 78 712½ 732¼ (foster eric)LANERIE J 118 5.00 8.94  
SCR  WITS AND WAGERS               (oliver vict)CONCEPCION AXEL 121 15.00    
 
CD-7   11/20/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($56K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:55
See original race card.
:223 :452 1:102     1:17   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SUMMER SPLASH 1 3 52½ 52   1nk 1hd (hartman chris)BEJARANO R 120 3.50 31% 2.30 4.32 W
2  TOP GUN TOMMY 2 4 31½ 41½   2nk 2hd (jacobson )CAMACHO JR 120 4.00 9% 10.70 3.75 P
8  LUNAR MODULE 8 2 41½ 2½   3.2 3¼ (blair jordan)MORALES EDGAR 120 12.00 5% 18.60 7.65 S
7  BRITERDAYZAHEAD 7 1 2½ 31½   51¾ 42¾ (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 115 2.50 26% 2.80 1.47  
6  BAYOU BENNY 6 6 74 85¾   64¼ 55¼ (wilkes ia)TORRES A 120 12.00 40.63  
9  MOLTO VIVACE 9 5 1½ 1½   41¾ 65½ (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 120 8.00 8.54  
4  SOLIDIFY 4 9 84½ 75½   74¾ 76¼ (cano munoz)NAVAS YOEL 120 6.00 8.34  
5  TALLAHATCHIEBRIDGE 5 7 99 911¾   911¾ 811¾ (synnefias p)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 10.00 35.30  
3  FADETHENOISE 3 8 63 64   810¾ 918¼ (synnefias pan)JARA FERNANDO 120 10.00 5% 19.00 31.11  
 
CD-8   11/20/2024 5610ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($30K) Purse ($56K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:25
See original race card.
:242 :474 1:121 1:38   1:443   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  HARLEEZY 5 4 43½ 44½ 51¾ 3½ 11 (hartlage gary )ELLIOTT JANE 121 8.00 6.38  
1  ROUSSETTE 1 7 75¾ 55½ 2nk 1nk 21 (roberson den)TORRES A 118 8.00 5% 19.00 10.49 P
6  OWN THE FIELD 6 2 21 31½ 3.2 2nk 31 (maker j)VAZQUEZ A 121 3.50 19% 4.40 2.69 S
2  ATLANTIC DANCER 2 8 88¾ 88¼ 63¾ 53¼ 43½ (cook b)BEJARANO R 121 5.00 3.39  
3  I'M YOUR MAN 3 5 53¾ 76¼ 88¼ 66¼ 56¼ (mcgee paul)HERNANDEZ J 118 10.00 5.80  
4  CAWKAB 4 6 63¾ 65¾ 74¾ 77¼ 611½ (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 121 10.00 5% 19.00 8.74  
8  RAGING 8 3 31 21½ 1nk 43 714 (antonuik)RODRIGUEZ A 121 3.00 54% 0.80 4.75  
7  SHOGUN BE FAST 7 1 11 11½ 4¾ 88¼ 825 (synnefias pan)JARA FERNANDO 118 6.00 13.73  
SCR  MUCHO MOJO               (blair jordan)CHUAN MARTIN 121 12.00    
 
CD-9   11/20/2024 5940ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($48K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:55
See original race card.
:244 :491 1:131 1:374   1:504   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  ROCCO STRONG 8 3 21 2½ 2nk 11 14¾ (maker j)VAZQUEZ A 121 3.00 3.05  
4  BUSINESS MODEL 4 2 42½ 52½ 32 33 24¾ (jacobson )CAMACHO JR 121 2.50 37% 1.70 2.65 P
6  EMBER 6 1 11 1½ 1nk 21 36 (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 121 3.50 20% 4.10 3.54 S
3  ICARUS 3 4 31½ 32 42½ 46 49½ (cravens r)TORRES A 121 10.00 7% 14.20 7.32  
2  NEPAL UP 2 9 95½ 76 97¼ 610 512¼ (van thomas)BEJARANO R 121 8.00 8.57  
1  ROMAN CENTURIAN 1 6 64 65 75¼ 59½ 614 (hamilton )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 10.00 19.23  
9  COYOTE ROAD 9 5 52½ 42½ 53½ 811 715 (hernandez rey)MORALES EDGAR 121 20.00 36.24  
10  CATEGORY TEN 10 7 85 96¼ 86¼ 912 815½ (meraz an)RODRIGUEZ A 121 8.00 15% 5.60 6.27  
7  KOSELIO 7 8 74½ 86¼ 65 711 917¼ (matthews ran)RAMOS D 121 20.00 5% 19.00 59.17  
5  MR. PETERKIN 5 10 1010½ 1013¼ 1014¼ 1019 1028¼ (norris mike)MACHADO LUAN 121 20.00 57.50  
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.