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Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!


Churchill Downs
Wednesday - November 20, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

			Wgr	Pick						Tot	Bet	Bet	Winning		Pay
			Type	Numbers						Tkts	Unit	Amt	Numbers		Amt			Profit				ROI

CD-3			WIN	(3/1/6/7)						4	$2.00	$8.00	6		$10.88			$2.88				36%
CD-4			WIN	(10/8/1/2/4)						5	$2.00	$10.00	10		$14.86			$4.86				49%
			EXA	(10/8/1/2/4)-(10/8/1/2/4)						20	$2.00	$40.00	10-4		$358.10			$318.10				795%
			TRI	(10/8/1/2/4)-(10/8/1/2/4)-(10/8/1/2/4)						60	$0.50	$30.00	10-4-8		$424.65			$394.65				1316%
			SFT	(10/8/1/2/4)-(10/8/1/2/4)-(10/8/1/2/4)-(10/8/1/2/4)						120	$0.10	$12.00	10-4-8-1		$189.79			$177.79				1482%
			DD	(3/1/6/7)-(10/8/1/2/4)						20	$1.00	$20.00	6-10		$46.21			$26.21				131%
CD-5			DD	(10/8/1/2/4)-(5/3/1/4)						20	$1.00	$20.00	10-5		$21.33			$1.33				7%
			PK3	(3/1/6/7)-(10/8/1/2/4)-(5/3/1/4)						80	$0.50	$40.00	6-10-5		$71.65			$31.65				79%
CD-7			WIN	(1/7/2/8/3)						5	$2.00	$10.00	1		$10.64			$0.64				6%
			EXA	(1/7/2/8/3)-(1/7/2/8/3)						20	$2.00	$40.00	1-2		$45.72			$5.72				14%
			TRI	(1/7/2/8/3)-(1/7/2/8/3)-(1/7/2/8/3)						60	$0.50	$30.00	1-2-8		$79.18			$49.18				164%
			SFT	(1/7/2/8/3)-(1/7/2/8/3)-(1/7/2/8/3)-(1/7/2/8/3)						120	$0.10	$12.00	1-2-8-7		$39.79			$27.79				232%

Simulator Race results


CD-1			11/20/2024		4950ft	DIRT	RC4	FAST	Maiden Claimer ($20K)					Purse ($42K)			2		F		PT- 1:00
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
1	ADRIAN									(nihei mi)RODRIGUEZ A 119						12.00						10.00
2	CITIZEN JUDY									(ennis john)MORALES EDGAR 119						2.50		52%		0.90		1.24	P
5	PARISIAN LIGHT									(humphries thom)MACHADO LUAN 119						10.00		5%		19.00		6.82	S
6	EVALINA									(foster eric)CEDILLO ABEL 119						4.00		15%		5.60		5.59
3	REAL MISCHIEVOUS									(tomlinson mi)TORRES A 119						10.00						18.35
9	KATE WINS									(humphries thom)CHUAN MARTIN 119						8.00						18.57
8	SECURITY PLEDGE									(esquivel jesus)BEJARANO R 119						15.00						16.76
10	BONITA SONG									(davis christop)DOYLE SOPHIE 119						10.00		5%		18.30		6.24
4	TEGWAR									(wainwrigh)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119						3.50		7%		12.90		8.98
SCR	DREAMA									(miller jerom)MONCADA IRVING 112						15.00

CD-2			11/20/2024		4620ft	DIRT	RC7	FAST	Claiming ($32K)					Purse ($62K)			3UP		ALL		PT- 1:29
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
3	BACKGROUND									(hartman chris)MACHADO LUAN 120						5.00						4.97
6	FORT WARREN									(amoss m)SAEZ LUIS 120						2.50		45%		1.20		1.25	P
1	WENT WEST									(cano mu)BESCHIZZA ADAM 122						2.00						1.57
2	PRESIDENT Z									(dutrow richa)GEROUX FLORENT 120						5.00		5%		19.00		3.69
SCR	NOTAH									(terranova p)SAEZ LUIS 120						3.00
SCR	W W CRAZY									(santamari)TORRES A 120						15.00

CD-3			11/20/2024		5610ft	DIRT	RC5	FAST	Maiden Sp Wt					Purse ($92K)			2		ALL		PT- 1:58
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
6	BABY MAX									(danner ke)TORRES A 119						12.00		11%		8.10		4.44	W
		(by MAXIMUS MISCHIEF out of LEMON GAL by LEMON DROP KID)
5	LURED AWAY									(mcpeek kenneth )LANERIE J 119						4.50						7.79
		(by ENTICED out of SKINDY by SKIP AWAY)
3	SOUTH BEND TOM									(stall m)MACHADO LUAN 119						3.00		43%		1.30		2.86	S
		(by LIAM'S MAP out of GLYCINE by PULPIT)
4	GALLO DE FUEGO									(romans da)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 119						4.00						11.95
		(by AUDIBLE out of SPELLING AGAIN by AWESOME AGAIN)
1	COALMOON									(lobo paulo)HERNANDEZ J 119						2.00		17%		4.90		1.14
		(by COAL FRONT out of STELLA MOON by MALIBU MOON)
7	SUPER SNOOP									(pitts helen)MORALES EDGAR 119						12.00		5%		19.00		14.71
		(by HARD SPUN out of LAST PLAY by STORMY ATLANTIC)
2	IL MARCHESSE									(ennis john)SAEZ LUIS 119						5.00						19.19
		(by HARD SPUN out of SHEAR CLASS by CURLIN)

CD-4			11/20/2024		3630ft	DIRT	RC4	FAST	Maiden Claimer ($30K)					Purse ($50K)			2		F		PT- 2:27
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
10	BELLA VITTORIA									(vanden br)SAEZ GABRIEL 119						5.00		39%		1.50		6.43	W
4	NOLA LOUISE									(newton troy)CANNON DECLAN 119						15.00		5%		19.00		22.83	P
8	SHANCELICIOUS									(ward wes)RODRIGUEZ A 119						3.00		30%		2.30		2.34	S
1	DINAHS GIRL									(hartman chris)BEJARANO R 119						3.50		8%		11.50		1.38
7	NEXT AGENDA									(kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 119						8.00						7.93
5	MELITTLEFROSTGIRL									(hancock joh)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119						8.00						6.83
3	VINO TOXICA									(galindo-torr)CALLEJA ANDRES 119						12.00						49.49
6	FREE PASSAGE									(galindo-t)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 119						15.00						66.02
2	RED ZONE									(desormeaux j)TORRES A 119						15.00		5%		19.00		22.08
SCR	MIDNIGHT MUSE									(gutierrez )GAFFALIONE TYLER 119						4.50

CD-5			11/20/2024		3960ft	DIRT	RC7	FAST	Claiming ($16K)					Purse ($31K)			3UP		ALL		PT- 2:57
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
5	J J'S RANGER									(hartman chris)BEJARANO R 120						1.20		35%		1.80		0.70	W
4	REWIRE									(shorter aaron)VAZQUEZ A 120						8.00		5%		19.00		13.73	P
3	LEND IT TEWMEY									(miller darrin)MILLER CHASE 120						3.00		35%		1.80		4.13	S
2	TAP THE CANDY									(hancock joh)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120						6.00						18.87
8	MONBA QUAKE									(curtsi)CURTSINGER JOHNATHON 120						20.00						16.58
6	UNTROUBLED									(caramori edua)MORALES EDGAR 118						15.00						14.98
1	JAMMIN JUSTICE									(murphy conor)CANNON DECLAN 118						6.00		6%		14.70		4.62
7	REDHILL									(pittman bonn)CALLEJA ANDRES 113						20.00						58.26

CD-6			11/20/2024		5610ft	DIRT	RC9	FAST	Starter Allowance ($50K)					Purse ($72K)			3UP		M/F		PT- 3:26
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
2	WINDY WALK									(davis christopher)SAEZ LUIS 120						2.00		23%		3.30		1.85	W
6	LOW COUNTRY MAGIC									(correas igna)GEROUX FLORENT 118						4.00						3.17
7	LUCY GOT GAME									(amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 118						3.00		28%		2.60		2.89	S
5	CRAZY CAMI									(maker michae)TORRES A 118						6.00		15%		5.90		5.33
1	KLIMT'S MUSE									(humphries thom)MACHADO LUAN 121						12.00						29.95
3	CRUSHED ICE									(quartarol)LEPAROUX R 121						10.00		5%		19.00		12.32
4	WEE BIT O MISCHIEF									(foster eric)LANERIE J 118						5.00						8.94
SCR	WITS AND WAGERS									(oliver vict)CONCEPCION AXEL 121						15.00

CD-7			11/20/2024		4290ft	DIRT	RC7	FAST	Claiming ($25K)					Purse ($56K)			3UP		ALL		PT- 3:55
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
1	SUMMER SPLASH									(hartman chris)BEJARANO R 120						3.50		31%		2.30		4.32	W
2	TOP GUN TOMMY									(jacobson )CAMACHO JR 120						4.00		9%		10.70		3.75	P
8	LUNAR MODULE									(blair jordan)MORALES EDGAR 120						12.00		5%		18.60		7.65	S
7	BRITERDAYZAHEAD									(asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 115						2.50		26%		2.80		1.47
6	BAYOU BENNY									(wilkes ia)TORRES A 120						12.00						40.63
9	MOLTO VIVACE									(maker j)SAEZ LUIS 120						8.00						8.54
4	SOLIDIFY									(cano munoz)NAVAS YOEL 120						6.00						8.34
5	TALLAHATCHIEBRIDGE									(synnefias p)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120						10.00						35.30
3	FADETHENOISE									(synnefias pan)JARA FERNANDO 120						10.00		5%		19.00		31.11

CD-8			11/20/2024		5610ft	DIRT	RC9	FAST	Starter Allowance ($30K)					Purse ($56K)			3UP		ALL		PT- 4:25
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
5	HARLEEZY									(hartlage gary )ELLIOTT JANE 121						8.00						6.38
1	ROUSSETTE									(roberson den)TORRES A 118						8.00		5%		19.00		10.49	P
6	OWN THE FIELD									(maker j)VAZQUEZ A 121						3.50		19%		4.40		2.69	S
2	ATLANTIC DANCER									(cook b)BEJARANO R 121						5.00						3.39
3	I'M YOUR MAN									(mcgee paul)HERNANDEZ J 118						10.00						5.80
4	CAWKAB									(asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 121						10.00		5%		19.00		8.74
8	RAGING									(antonuik)RODRIGUEZ A 121						3.00		54%		0.80		4.75
7	SHOGUN BE FAST									(synnefias pan)JARA FERNANDO 118						6.00						13.73
SCR	MUCHO MOJO									(blair jordan)CHUAN MARTIN 121						12.00

CD-9			11/20/2024		5940ft	DIRT	RC7	FAST	Claiming ($16K)					Purse ($48K)			3UP		ALL		PT- 4:55
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
8	ROCCO STRONG									(maker j)VAZQUEZ A 121						3.00						3.05
4	BUSINESS MODEL									(jacobson )CAMACHO JR 121						2.50		37%		1.70		2.65	P
6	EMBER									(kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 121						3.50		20%		4.10		3.54	S
3	ICARUS									(cravens r)TORRES A 121						10.00		7%		14.20		7.32
2	NEPAL UP									(van thomas)BEJARANO R 121						8.00						8.57
1	ROMAN CENTURIAN									(hamilton )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121						10.00						19.23
9	COYOTE ROAD									(hernandez rey)MORALES EDGAR 121						20.00						36.24
10	CATEGORY TEN									(meraz an)RODRIGUEZ A 121						8.00		15%		5.60		6.27
7	KOSELIO									(matthews ran)RAMOS D 121						20.00		5%		19.00		59.17
5	MR. PETERKIN									(norris mike)MACHADO LUAN 121						20.00						57.50



	Labels:
	M/L	Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
	W/P	Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
	B/E	Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
	F/O	Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

	Two Groups of Contenders:
	Win Contenders
		The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
	Place/Show Contenders
		The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

	Legal:
	Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.