Handicappers' Racing Form
"A Premier Resource for Free horse Racing Picks, Strong Longshots and Vulnerable Favorites."
Thoroughbred Racing Simulator is licensed and powered by Brisnet.
Visit us at tbrsimulator.com.
Contact us at support@tbrsimulator.com.
Follow us on X@tbrsimulator.
 
The Longshot Specialist!
Churchill Downs
Wednesday - November 20, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CD-1   WIN (2/6/4/10/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/6/4/10/5)-(2/6/4/10/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/6/4/10/5)-(2/6/4/10/5)-(2/6/4/10/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (2/6/4/10/5)-(6/2) 10 $1.00 $10.00 
    PK3 (2/6/4/10/5)-(6/2)-(3/1/6/7) 40 $1.00 $40.00 
CD-2   WIN (6/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/2)-(6/2) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (6/2)-(3/1/6/7) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (6/2)-(3/1/6/7)-(10/8/1/2/4) 40 $1.00 $40.00 
CD-3   WIN (3/1/6/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/1/6/7)-(3/1/6/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/1/6/7)-(3/1/6/7)-(3/1/6/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/1/6/7)-(10/8/1/2/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (3/1/6/7)-(10/8/1/2/4)-(5/3/1/4) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
CD-4   WIN (10/8/1/2/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (10/8/1/2/4)-(10/8/1/2/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (10/8/1/2/4)-(10/8/1/2/4)-(10/8/1/2/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (10/8/1/2/4)-(5/3/1/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (10/8/1/2/4)-(5/3/1/4)-(7/2/5/3) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
CD-5   WIN (5/3/1/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/3/1/4)-(5/3/1/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/3/1/4)-(5/3/1/4)-(5/3/1/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/3/1/4)-(7/2/5/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/3/1/4)-(7/2/5/3)-(1/7/2/8/3) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
CD-6   WIN (7/2/5/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/2/5/3)-(7/2/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/2/5/3)-(7/2/5/3)-(7/2/5/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/2/5/3)-(1/7/2/8/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (7/2/5/3)-(1/7/2/8/3)-(8/6/4/1) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
CD-7   WIN (1/7/2/8/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/7/2/8/3)-(1/7/2/8/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/7/2/8/3)-(1/7/2/8/3)-(1/7/2/8/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (1/7/2/8/3)-(8/6/4/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (1/7/2/8/3)-(8/6/4/1)-(4/6/10/3/7) 100 $1.00 $100 
CD-8   WIN (8/6/4/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/6/4/1)-(8/6/4/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/6/4/1)-(8/6/4/1)-(8/6/4/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/6/4/1)-(4/6/10/3/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
CD-9   WIN (4/6/10/3/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/6/10/3/7)-(4/6/10/3/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/6/10/3/7)-(4/6/10/3/7)-(4/6/10/3/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CD-1   11/20/2024 4950ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($42K) 2 F PT- 1:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ADRIAN Oct19         (nihei mi)RODRIGUEZ A 119 12.00    
2  CITIZEN JUDY Oct23 Sep13 Jun16 Apr11   (ennis john)MORALES EDGAR 119 2.50 52% 0.90    
3  REAL MISCHIEVOUS Oct23         (tomlinson mi)TORRES A 119 10.00    
4  TEGWAR Oct23 Sep26 Aug25 Jul09   (wainwrigh)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 3.50 7% 12.90    
5  PARISIAN LIGHT Sep08 Aug04       (humphries thom)MACHADO LUAN 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
6  EVALINA Oct07 Sep21       (foster eric)CEDILLO ABEL 119 4.00 15% 5.60    
SCR  DREAMA         (miller jerom)MONCADA IRVING 112 15.00    
8  SECURITY PLEDGE Oct23         (esquivel jesus)BEJARANO R 119 15.00    
9  KATE WINS Nov04 Oct02 Sep10 Aug04   (humphries tho)JIMENEZ ALBIN 119 8.00    
10  BONITA SONG         (davis christop)DOYLE SOPHIE 119 10.00 5% 18.30    
 
CD-2   11/20/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($32K) Purse ($62K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WENT WEST Nov02 Oct13 Sep12 Aug21 Jul07 (cano mu)BESCHIZZA ADAM 122 2.00    
2  PRESIDENT Z Nov02 Feb09 Jan13 Jan04 Nov26 (dutrow richa)GEROUX FLORENT 120 5.00 5% 19.00    
3  BACKGROUND Oct13 Sep21 Aug18 Jun19 May18 (hartman chris)MACHADO LUAN 120 5.00    
SCR  NOTAH Oct30 Oct04 Aug23 Jul27 Jun07 (terranova p)SAEZ LUIS 120 3.00    
SCR  W W CRAZY Oct23 Sep22 Jul29 Jul15 May25 (santamari)TORRES A 120 15.00    
6  FORT WARREN Oct19 Sep22 Jul22 Jun16 May03 (amoss thom)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 2.50 45% 1.20    
 
CD-3   11/20/2024 5610ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($92K) 2 ALL PT- 1:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COALMOON Oct27 Oct04 Sep11 Aug10   (lobo paulo)HERNANDEZ J 119 2.00 17% 4.90    
  (by COAL FRONT out of STELLA MOON by MALIBU MOON)
2  IL MARCHESSE Oct16 Sep18       (ennis john)SAEZ LUIS 119 5.00    
  (by HARD SPUN out of SHEAR CLASS by CURLIN)
3  SOUTH BEND TOM Nov01         (stall albe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 3.00 43% 1.30    
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of GLYCINE by PULPIT)
4  GALLO DE FUEGO Nov09 Oct05 Sep05 Aug05 Jul14 (romans da)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 119 4.00    
  (by AUDIBLE out of SPELLING AGAIN by AWESOME AGAIN)
5  LURED AWAY Nov09 Oct18       (mcpeek kenneth )LANERIE J 119 4.50    
  (by ENTICED out of SKINDY by SKIP AWAY)
6  BABY MAX Oct18         (danner ke)TORRES A 119 12.00 11% 8.10    
  (by MAXIMUS MISCHIEF out of LEMON GAL by LEMON DROP KID)
7  SUPER SNOOP Nov01         (pitts helen)MORALES EDGAR 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by HARD SPUN out of LAST PLAY by STORMY ATLANTIC)
 
CD-4   11/20/2024 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($50K) 2 F PT- 2:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DINAHS GIRL Oct31 Oct10 Sep15     (hartman chris)BEJARANO R 119 3.50 8% 11.50    
2  RED ZONE         (desormeaux j)TORRES A 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
3  VINO TOXICA Oct27         (galindo-tor)MIRANDA ROGELIO 119 12.00    
4  NOLA LOUISE         (newton troy)CANNON DECLAN 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
5  MELITTLEFROSTGIRL Aug25 Aug10 Jul13 Jun22   (hancock joh)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 8.00    
6  FREE PASSAGE Oct31 Oct12       (galindo-t)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 119 15.00    
7  NEXT AGENDA         (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 119 8.00    
8  SHANCELICIOUS         (ward wes)RODRIGUEZ A 119 3.00 30% 2.30    
SCR  MIDNIGHT MUSE         (gutierrez )GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 4.50    
10  BELLA VITTORIA Oct30 Sep24 Sep08 Aug01   (vanden br)SAEZ GABRIEL 119 5.00 39% 1.50    
 
CD-5   11/20/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($31K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JAMMIN JUSTICE Oct31 Oct18 Sep18 Aug22 Aug05 (murphy conor)CANNON DECLAN 118 6.00 6% 14.70    
2  TAP THE CANDY Oct13 Sep26 Aug26 Jul28 Jul05 (hancock joh)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 6.00    
3  LEND IT TEWMEY Oct13 Sep26 Sep03 Jul27 Jul05 (miller darrin)MILLER CHASE 120 3.00 35% 1.80    
4  REWIRE Nov01 Oct18 Sep26 Sep03 Aug10 (shorter aaron)VAZQUEZ A 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  J J'S RANGER Nov10 Oct25 Sep22 Aug17 Jul15 (hartman chris)BEJARANO R 120 1.20 35% 1.80    
6  UNTROUBLED Oct13 Sep18 Nov22 Oct17 Sep13 (caramori edua)MORALES EDGAR 118 15.00    
7  REDHILL Sep26 Sep13 Jul28 Jul04 Jun12 (pittman bonn)CALLEJA ANDRES 113 20.00    
8  MONBA QUAKE Jun22 Jun01 May02 Mar14 Feb21 (curtsi)CURTSINGER JOHNATHON 120 20.00    
 
CD-6   11/20/2024 5610ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($72K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KLIMT'S MUSE Sep21 Jul27 May23 May01 Aug05 (humphries thom)MACHADO LUAN 121 12.00    
2  WINDY WALK Oct26 Sep29 Aug17 Jul12 Jun22 (davis christopher)SAEZ LUIS 120 2.00 23% 3.30    
3  CRUSHED ICE Oct28 Oct17 Aug31 Jul28 Jul11 (quartarol)LEPAROUX R 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
4  WEE BIT O MISCHIEF Oct24 Sep20 Jul31 Jul03 Jun01 (foster eric)LANERIE J 118 5.00    
5  CRAZY CAMI Oct23 Sep18 Jun28 May25 Nov02 (maker michae)TORRES A 118 6.00 15% 5.90    
6  LOW COUNTRY MAGIC Oct23 Sep26 Jul27 Jun15 May30 (correas igna)GEROUX FLORENT 118 4.00    
7  LUCY GOT GAME Oct23 Sep20 Aug24 Feb24 Feb04 (amoss thom)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.00 28% 2.60    
SCR  WITS AND WAGERS Oct23 Sep26 Jul22 Jun15 Nov12 (oliver vict)CONCEPCION AXEL 121 15.00    
 
CD-7   11/20/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($56K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SUMMER SPLASH Aug12 Aug27 Jun18 Apr20 Feb21 (hartman chris)BEJARANO R 120 3.50 31% 2.30    
2  TOP GUN TOMMY Oct06 Sep06 Jul21 Jul07 Jun07 (jacobson )CAMACHO JR 120 4.00 9% 10.70    
3  FADETHENOISE Oct17 Sep07 Aug02 Jun13 Feb09 (synnefias pan)JARA FERNANDO 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
4  SOLIDIFY Oct13 Sep18 Aug03 Jul15 Jun14 (cano munoz)NAVAS YOEL 120 6.00    
5  TALLAHATCHIEBRIDGE Oct09 Sep18 Jul29 Jun29 May26 (synnefias p)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 10.00    
6  BAYOU BENNY Nov03 Sep19 Aug31 Aug17 Jul04 (wilkes ia)TORRES A 120 12.00    
7  BRITERDAYZAHEAD Oct30 Sep14 Aug22 Jul21 May27 (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 115 2.50 26% 2.80    
8  LUNAR MODULE Oct11 Sep14 Jun02 May10 Apr14 (blair jordan)MORALES EDGAR 120 12.00 5% 18.60    
9  MOLTO VIVACE Jun28 May27 Apr05 Mar14 Feb28 (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 120 8.00    
 
CD-8   11/20/2024 5610ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($30K) Purse ($56K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ROUSSETTE Nov07 Sep17 Aug24 Aug05 Jul06 (roberson den)TORRES A 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  ATLANTIC DANCER Oct23 Sep25 Aug26 Aug04 Oct27 (cook b)BEJARANO R 121 5.00    
3  I'M YOUR MAN Nov06 Sep22 Jul21 Jun29 May31 (mcgee paul)HERNANDEZ J 118 10.00    
4  CAWKAB Oct30 Oct10 Sep22 Aug05 Jul09 (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
5  HARLEEZY Oct30 Sep26 Sep12 Aug18 May27 (hartlage gary )ELLIOTT JANE 121 8.00    
6  OWN THE FIELD Oct18 Sep14 Aug07 Jul18 Jun07 (maker j)VAZQUEZ A 121 3.50 19% 4.40    
7  SHOGUN BE FAST Nov06 Oct18 Sep07 Jul25 Jul06 (synnefias pan)JARA FERNANDO 118 6.00    
8  RAGING Oct31 Sep27 Aug18 Feb23 Jan06 (antonuik)RODRIGUEZ A 121 3.00 54% 0.80    
SCR  MUCHO MOJO Oct07 Sep12 Jun28 May25 May02 (blair jordan)CHUAN MARTIN 121 12.00    
 
CD-9   11/20/2024 5940ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($48K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ROMAN CENTURIAN Oct23 Sep27 May30 Apr12 Mar21 (hamilton )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 10.00    
2  NEPAL UP Nov02 May17 Apr20 Apr05 Feb17 (van thomas)BEJARANO R 121 8.00    
3  ICARUS Oct24 Sep19 Jun21 May17 Apr26 (cravens r)TORRES A 121 10.00 7% 14.20    
4  BUSINESS MODEL Nov02 Oct05 Sep21 Aug07 Jul10 (jacobson )CAMACHO JR 121 2.50 37% 1.70    
5  MR. PETERKIN Oct30 Sep07 Aug04 Jun28 May02 (norris mike)MACHADO LUAN 121 20.00    
6  EMBER Oct13 Sep21 Sep05 Jul26 Jul06 (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 121 3.50 20% 4.10    
7  KOSELIO Oct13 Sep14 Aug17 Aug02 Jul13 (matthews ran)RAMOS D 121 20.00 5% 19.00    
8  ROCCO STRONG Oct23 Sep19 Aug18 Aug01 Jul11 (maker j)VAZQUEZ A 121 3.00    
9  COYOTE ROAD Oct30 Oct04 Aug02 Jul10 Jun05 (hernandez rey)MORALES EDGAR 121 20.00    
10  CATEGORY TEN Oct19 Oct06 Sep15 Aug29 Aug11 (meraz an)RODRIGUEZ A 121 8.00 15% 5.60    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.