Handicappers' Race Results

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Churchill Downs
Sunday - October 27, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

CD-1   Win (1/5/8/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 1 1 1 $5.48 $5.48  
CD-2   Win (5/3/7/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 5 1 1 $3.82 $3.82  
CD-3   Win (9/7/1/4/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 9 1 1 $5.16 $5.16  
CD-4   Win (6/9/1/2/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 6 1 1 $5.30 $5.30  
CD-5   Win (1/2/3/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 4 1 0 $31.10  
CD-6   Win (2/12/5/10/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 4 1 0 $22.54  
CD-7   Win (1/2/9/7/11) 5 $2.00 $10.00 2 1 1 $13.40 $13.40 3.40
CD-8   Win (10/2/11/6/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 10 1 1 $5.44 $5.44  
CD-9   Win (6/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 1 $3.48 $3.48  
CD-10   Win (5/8/3/9/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 10 1 0 $4.86  
CD-11   Win (3/5/1/10/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 5 1 1 $7.50 $7.50  

Simulator Race results

 
CD-1   10/27/2024 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($92K) 2 F PT- 1:00
See original race card.
:241 :481 1:122 1:251   1:38   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FLASH WEAR 1 2 2½ 42 32 1 14 (vance thoma)TORRES A 119 2.00 33% 2.00 1.74 W
CAROLINA SMOKESHOW 2 4 73 6 5 3 24 (beckman whit)GEROUX FLORENT 119 10.00 7.48  
MULTIPLICATION 3 1 1½ 1½ 1½ 2 35 (calhoun willi)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 10.00 5% 19.00 13.29 S
EZ TREE ATES 5 7 4 32 4 54 4 (casse w)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 2.50 27% 2.80 2.09  
PARKING LOT POURS 7 5 52 54 6 65 5 (tomlinson micha)CANNON DECLAN 119 10.00 17% 4.90 12.33  
QUEEN IN THE DECK 4 3 31 2½ 2½ 43 6 (munoz carlos)ASHTON GAVIN 119 5.00 3.92  
C. C. FOXII 8 8 8 88 7 710 717½ (compton greg)VAZQUEZ A 119 12.00 23.12  
VINO TOXICA 6 6 63 7 815½ 818 829½ (galindo-torres climac)MEZA JJ 119 15.00 56.13  
SCR  SPLIT SUCCESS               (sharp joe)TORRES A 119 10.00    
 
CD-2   10/27/2024 5280ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($72K) 2 F PT- 1:29
See original race card.
:23 :464 1:121 1:243   1:372   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BOOK'EM 4 4 21 22 2nk 1 1 (calhoun will)HERNANDEZ J 120 2.00 49% 1.00 0.91 W
BROADWAY LIGHTS 2 1 5 4 3 2 2 (cox h)SAEZ LUIS 120 3.00 18% 4.50 4.67 P
ROSATO 3 2 11 12 1nk 33 3 (ennis john)MONCADA IRVING 113 12.00 5% 19.00 30.02 S
KENTUCKY SMOKESHOW 6 6 4 54 43 45 4 (hartman chris)BEJARANO R 120 5.00 9% 9.60 2.33  
BENEVOLENCE 1 3 6 65 68 613½ 521 (brisset rodolp)GEROUX FLORENT 120 15.00 16.62  
EQUAL SUCCESS 7 5 3 3 55 513 623¼ (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 4.00 8.75  
ROCIO 5 7 7 77 713 719½ 739½ (munoz carlos)ASHTON GAVIN 120 20.00 41.69  
SCR  BISA               (caramori eduard)MORALES EDGAR 120 30.00    
SCR  MASCARA               (ward wesley )CORRALES GERARDO 120 3.50    
 
CD-3   10/27/2024 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($92K) 2 ALL PT- 1:58
See original race card.
:23 :462 1:112 1:241   1:371   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MORAL 9 5 1nk 4¾ 1nk 1½ 1 (drury jr)SAEZ LUIS 119 2.50 34% 2.00 1.58 W
COALMOON 4 7 9 5 3 32 2 (lobo h)HERNANDEZ J 119 4.00 9% 9.90 5.13 P
LA HOULIGAN 3 2 4¼ 1½ 2nk 2½ 3 (compton greg)VAZQUEZ A 119 15.00 30.46  
REB 5 10 10 9 7 56 4 (fletcher kevi)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 15.00 27.96  
BOURBONATOR 2 1 3.2 2½ 5 4 511¼ (desormeaux j)LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 30.00 60.21  
BROTHA KENY 1 8 7 6 86 6 612¼ (morey willia)CORRALES GERARDO 119 6.00 13% 6.80 3.91  
FROSTY BEER 6 3 8 7 6 78 715¾ (matejka pavel)ROMAN A 119 20.00 31.94  
CUTLASS KING 8 4 6 10 10 911½ 823 (hernandez armando)BOWEN ROCCO 119 8.00 5% 19.00 30.03  
LANDING CRAFT 7 6 2nk 3½ 44 88 926¾ (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 4.50 24% 3.20 2.96  
11  STEELIN BASES 10 9 5 8 9 1011¾ 1028½ (casse mark)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 12.00 15.26  
SCR  MARKET WATCH               (maker michae)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 8.00    
 
CD-4   10/27/2024 5610ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 ALL PT- 2:28
See original race card.
:233 :481 1:124 1:362   1:421   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FLYING MOHAWK 6 1 32 32 31 1 1 (beckman wh)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 2.00 37% 1.70 1.65 W
SWIRLING EIGHTS 7 2 1nk 2½ 2½ 2 2 (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 119 10.00 13.14  
SERGEANT CAPPS 1 3 7 5 43 4 3 (capps a)BEJARANO R 119 4.00 14% 6.40 6.86 S
HIGH CEILING 3 5 8 7 65 65 4 (sharp joe)TORRES A 119 15.00 10.44  
DREAM SCHEME 8 6 4 4 54 55 5 (walsh p)CANNON DECLAN 119 4.50 26% 2.90 3.30  
11  PNUTBUTTER WHISKEY 10 9 2nk 1½ 1½ 32 6 (kelley a)MONCADA IRVING 112 30.00 80.67  
HIGH LIMIT 5 8 6 6 75 77 7 (lukas wayn)ASMUSSEN J 119 20.00 31.15  
DATE THE PRINCE 2 4 10 11 11 9 8 (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 10.00 5% 19.00 11.17  
12  SAND CAST 11 11 11 10 8 8 911½ (demeritte larry)MORALES EDGAR 119 30.00 75.54  
13  DEPUTY A. P. 12 10 9 97 109 10 1013 (devaux cherie)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 12.00 43.36  
10  DR. NIKO 9 7 5 8 97 1110¾ 1114½ (bauer a)TORRES A 119 10.00 14.73  
TEQUILA N' SALT 4 12 1211¾ 1213¼ 1212¾ 1214¾ 1221¼ (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 119 10.00 5% 19.00 9.63  
SCR  ANEGADA               (ennis john)MORALES EDGAR 119 6.00    
SCR  CULTURE WAR               (medina rober)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 6.00    
SCR  STONINGTON               (schultz lindsay)JARA FERNANDO 119 20.00    
SCR  WAR AND MAJESTY               (romans dale)LANERIE J 119 3.50    
 
CD-5   10/27/2024 5610ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 F PT- 2:57
See original race card.
:234 :481 1:133 1:39   1:452   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CALIFORNIA SUNSET 4 6 5 5 5 1nk 1¼ (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 5.00 14.55  
GIRL MATH 1 4 21 3 4 2nk 2¼ (brisset rodo)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 1.60 39% 1.60 0.77 P
GOLDEN GAMBLE 9 3 7 64 7 5 3 (mcpeek kenn)LEPAROUX R 119 15.00 5% 19.00 15.89 S
QUEEN JUBILEE 7 1 85 96 6 43 4 (beckman wh)CORRALES GERARDO 119 15.00 46.11  
MCKINZIE'S GLORY 5 8 9 8 8 7 5 (mcpeek kenn)HERNANDEZ J 119 12.00 20.93  
GOING STEADY 6 5 42 4 2nk 32 6 (lukas wayne)SAEZ LUIS 119 3.00 6.35  
LADY LIBERTY 2 9 31 2 1nk 6 710¼ (devaux cheri)HERNANDEZ J 119 5.00 31% 2.20 2.82  
FAITH 3 2 11 1 31 813¼ 827½ (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 8.00 5% 19.00 20.72  
LIBERATION DAY 8 7 6 75 9 920¼ 940½ (oliver victor)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 30.00 71.63  
 
CD-6   10/27/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 F PT- 3:26
See original race card.
:214 :453 :581     1:111   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SWEET NOTE 4 4 32 2   12 1 (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 10.00 10.27  
12  SPRING DANCER 11 1 53 5   5 2 (morse l)GARCIA MARTIN 119 4.50 20% 4.10 4.54 P
BANKING SILVER 5 5 43 43   33 3 (stewart dalla)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 6.00 19% 4.30 2.29 S
BOTTOMLESS MIMOSA 6 6 8 10   9 4 (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 119 15.00 17.86  
MURPHY GIRL 2 8 10 75   6 5 (romans dale)LANERIE J 119 3.50 31% 2.20 4.27  
TRADING SECRETS 8 9 11 96   8 65 (lukas wayn)ASMUSSEN J 119 30.00 73.05  
10  FIRST CLASS LADY 9 2 2 3   4 7 (asmussen st)TORRES A 119 5.00 9% 9.70 11.39  
NORTHERN VOYAGE 3 11 7 64   7 8 (eurton peter)BEJARANO R 119 8.00 5% 19.00 11.05  
PURPLE AND GOLD 7 3 1 1   22 9 (cox h)SAEZ LUIS 119 5.00 5.61  
LOULOU B 1 7 6 85   10 1011¼ (green troy)TORRES A 119 20.00 29.46  
11  COSTA AMALFITANA 10 12 1212¼ 1213½   1112¾ 1117¼ (munoz carlos)ASHTON GAVIN 119 30.00 88.02  
13  JUSTTAKETHECANNOLI 12 10 9 1111   1216¼ 1226¼ (mcgee paul)MORALES EDGAR 119 12.00 39.05  
SCR  BASILEA               (casse mark)SANTANA JR 119 15.00    
SCR  EVERLOVING               (amoss thomas)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 5.00    
 
CD-7   10/27/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 ALL PT- 3:55
See original race card.
:213 :451 :572     1:101   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LIL MUGGS 2 5 6 7   3 1¾ (foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 6.00 26% 2.80 5.70 W
ZAT'S THE ONE 7 2 21 1nk   1 2¾ (damato philip)GARCIA MARTIN 119 4.50 6% 15.60 6.31 P
10  CALLING ON HEAVEN 10 1 4 31   2 3 (devaux cherie)SAEZ LUIS 119 12.00 19.84  
DREAMINBLUE 8 9 7 9   6 4 (morse l)BEJARANO R 119 12.00 17.91  
I GOT GAME 1 4 32 5   5 5 (amoss m)TORRES A 119 3.00 35% 1.90 4.38  
CAPTAIN COOK 4 11 85 64   7 64 (casse norm)SANTANA JR 119 10.00 4.54  
12  RESTLESS RENEGADE 12 6 96 8   9 7 (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 119 15.00 18.45  
CONFRONT 9 3 11 2nk   43 8 (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 4.00 13% 6.70 2.42  
11  PRIDE'S PRINCE 11 7 53 42   85 9 (asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J 119 10.00 5% 19.00 26.36  
SERENDIBITE 6 8 109 10   1010 1017½ (reed r)LANERIE J 119 20.00 57.77  
JAC FOURTEEN 3 10 1111½ 1213¼   1115 1123 (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 12.00 29.16  
CAPTAINS CHOICE 5 12 1213 1112¾   1215¼ 1223¼ (simms jr)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 30.00 33.25  
SCR  CAN'T DENY IT               (rivelli larr)LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 8.00    
SCR  GALANTINI               (lynch a)MONCADA IRVING 112 15.00    
SCR  KALAHARI DREAMS               (bauer philip )CONCEPCION AXEL 119 3.50    
SCR  POPPA ECHO               (milligan ed)TORRES A 119 12.00    
 
CD-8   10/27/2024 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 F PT- 4:25
See original race card.
:24 :49 1:134 1:253   1:372   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  POEMA 10 2 4 43 3½ 2nk 1nk (lobo h)HERNANDEZ J 119 3.00 30% 2.30 1.72 W
GOOD REASON 4 4 2 2 2nk 1nk 2nk (oliver victor)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 20.00 19.65  
12  ONE HAPPY ISLAND 12 12 129 11 52 4 3 (kordenbrock matt)LANERIE J 119 6.00 8.01  
FORTUNATE 2 6 3 3 41 3.2 4 (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 4.00 18% 4.40 3.84  
NILE VALLEY 6 9 9 85 8 8 5 (hartman chris)BEJARANO R 119 12.00 11% 8.30 17.23  
LOTUS PETAL 7 3 7 64 7 5 6 (antonucci jena)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 6.00 20.24  
BELLA ALESSIA 8 1 5 5 6 6 76 (ortiz alexan)VAZQUEZ A 119 10.00 5% 19.00 19.78  
AVERY'S DREAM 5 8 8 9 10 96 8 (mott riley)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 10.00 8.02  
TAVRIA 9 11 11 12 12 118 9 (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 119 20.00 50.59  
DREAMING OF LILIES 3 5 1 1 1nk 7 1010¼ (sharp joe)TORRES A 119 15.00 13.12  
WAYZATA 1 7 107 10 9 10 1110¾ (stewart da)SANTANA JR 119 15.00 27.58  
11  JEWELED CITY 11 10 6 74 11 1212½ 1221 (stall m)JARA FERNANDO 119 8.00 15% 5.50 9.69  
SCR  ARE YOU A SPY               (bogle fergus)JIMENEZ ALBIN 119 15.00    
SCR  FROSTED KISSES               (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 119 12.00    
SCR  JEWISH MOTHER               (hobby steve)LEPAROUX R 119 8.00    
SCR  PRINCESS EM TOO               (damato philip)GARCIA MARTIN 119 12.00    
 
CD-9   10/27/2024 5610ft DIRT RC11 FAST Rags Purse ($200K) 2 F PT- 4:55
See original race card.
:234 :48 1:123 1:373   1:44   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GOOD CHEER 4 5 4 32 3 1 1 (cox h)SAEZ LUIS 122 1.20 30% 2.40 0.74 W
CLAIRE'S CHARM 1 4 1½ 11 11 2 2 (bauer philip)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 2.50 1.72  
SHERBINI 2 1 2½ 21 21 35 3 (casse mark)GEROUX FLORENT 122 6.00 11% 8.30 6.65 S
ADEERA 5 2 53 54 5 4 410 (asmussen steven)ASMUSSEN ERIK 122 15.00 24.09  
MECHAYA 3 3 3 42 4 5 519½ (divito jame)TORRES A 122 8.00 21% 3.70 8.85  
SCR  ALYESKA               (casse norm)SANTANA JR 122 10.00    
SCR  LADY ORIENT               (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 122 10.00    
SCR  MY LIL PUNKY               (ennis john)ALVARADO JUNIOR 122 15.00    
 
CD-10   10/27/2024 5610ft DIRT RC12 FAST Street Sense Purse ($200K) 2 ALL PT- 5:25
See original race card.
:233 :48 1:123 1:373   1:434   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  SOVEREIGNTY 9 7 9 9 9 2½ 15 (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 122 5.00 1.43  
TIZTASTIC 4 8 86 7 4 3 25 (asmussen st)TORRES A 122 3.00 34% 2.00 5.87 P
SANDMAN 3 6 6 84 7 53 3 (casse mark)HERNANDEZ J 122 4.50 5.59  
DAPPER MOON 6 4 5 42 2nk 1½ 4 (stewart da)SANTANA JR 122 6.00 7.14  
BRACKET BUSTER 1 1 4 5 6 64 59 (oliver victor)CONCEPCION AXEL 122 15.00 18.62  
FORGED STEEL 8 3 11 11 1nk 4 610½ (joseph saffi)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 8.00 5% 19.00 17.62  
REACH FOR THE ROSE 5 2 21 3 5 7 721¾ (joseph saffie )TORRES A 122 20.00 5% 19.00 46.50  
COMES A TIME 7 5 32 21 3 89 824½ (cox h)SAEZ LUIS 122 3.50 21% 3.70 3.51  
BABY BOAT 2 9 7 6 8 912 929 (divito james)CORRALES GERARDO 122 15.00 21% 3.80 28.54  
SCR  BIG MUCH               (casse w)GEROUX FLORENT 122 15.00    
 
CD-11   10/27/2024 5610ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 ALL PT- 5:55
See original race card.
:24 :484 1:14 1:383   1:444   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RENDER JUDGMENT 4 4 3 4 4 3 1½ (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 119 5.00 22% 3.50 2.75 W
AMERICAN PROMISE 8 3 21 2½ 1nk 1½ 2½ (lukas wayne)SAEZ LUIS 119 8.00 9.18  
LIMITED EDITION 2 5 5 63 5 43 33 (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 4.00 28% 2.60 1.67 S
HIRED GUN 3 1 11 1½ 2nk 2½ 4 (cox h)SANTANA JR 119 8.00 12.11  
12  BUZZ ROCKET 11 11 11 11 115 66 5 (mott i)GEROUX FLORENT 119 8.00 8.90  
SEATTLE ROAD (ARG) 7 8 8 8 8 76 6 (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 119 20.00 17.13  
MOGORDY 5 7 6 5 6 8 711 (hiles a)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 20.00 5% 19.00 49.60  
10  SHOGUN (IRE) 9 2 42 3 31 55 811¼ (romans dale)LANERIE J 119 6.00 8% 11.10 10.10  
STREET MO 6 9 9 9 95 9 916½ (desormeaux j)LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 30.00 56.34  
BISOU 1 10 10 10 105 1012 1020¾ (asmussen steven)ASMUSSEN ERIK 114 3.50 21% 3.70 9.79  
11  LAST CHANCE LUIS 10 6 73 7 7 1118 1137¼ (cowans will)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 119 10.00 44.42  
SCR  ABBI FEDE               (ennis john)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 20.00    
SCR  TREMENDOUSLY               (lynch a)SAEZ LUIS 119 8.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.