Handicappers' Racing Form
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Always check Track, Date, Race Number, Program Number and Horse Name before the race.
All Post Times are in EST.
Churchill Downs
Sunday - October 27, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
CD-1   Win (1/5/8/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00
CD-2   Win (5/3/7/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00
CD-3   Win (9/7/1/4/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00
CD-4   Win (6/9/1/2/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00
CD-5   Win (1/2/3/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00
CD-6   Win (2/12/5/10/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00
CD-7   Win (1/2/9/7/11) 5 $2.00 $10.00
CD-8   Win (10/2/11/6/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00
CD-9   Win (6/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00
CD-10   Win (5/8/3/9/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00
CD-11   Win (3/5/1/10/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
 
CD-1   10/27/2024 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($92K) 2 F PT- 1:00
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FLASH WEAR Sep26 Jun22       (vance thoma)TORRES A 119 2.00 33% 2.00    
2  CAROLINA SMOKESHOW Sep26         (beckman whit)GEROUX FLORENT 119 10.00    
3  MULTIPLICATION Sep26         (calhoun willi)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
4  QUEEN IN THE DECK Oct13 Sep05 Aug16 Jul26   (munoz carlos)ASHTON GAVIN 119 5.00    
5  EZ TREE ATES Sep26         (casse w)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 2.50 27% 2.80    
6  VINO TOXICA         (galindo-torres climac)MEZA JJ 119 15.00    
SCR  SPLIT SUCCESS Sep26         (sharp joe)TORRES A 119 10.00    
8  PARKING LOT POURS Sep13         (tomlinson micha)CANNON DECLAN 119 10.00 17% 4.90    
9  C. C. FOXII         (compton greg)VAZQUEZ A 119 12.00    
 
CD-2   10/27/2024 5280ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($72K) 2 F PT- 1:29
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BISA Oct11 Sep19 Sep08 Aug22 Jul31 (caramori eduard)MORALES EDGAR 120 30.00    
2  BENEVOLENCE Sep19 Aug10       (brisset rodolp)GEROUX FLORENT 120 15.00    
3  BROADWAY LIGHTS Oct02 Sep10 Aug17     (cox h)SAEZ LUIS 120 3.00 18% 4.50    
4  ROSATO Sep13 Jun16       (ennis john)MONCADA IRVING 113 12.00 5% 19.00    
5  BOOK'EM Sep26 Jun16       (calhoun will)HERNANDEZ J 120 2.00 49% 1.00    
6  ROCIO Oct05 Aug24 Aug13 Jul19   (munoz carlos)ASHTON GAVIN 120 20.00    
7  KENTUCKY SMOKESHOW Sep15         (hartman chris)BEJARANO R 120 5.00 9% 9.60    
8  EQUAL SUCCESS Oct06         (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 4.00    
SCR  MASCARA Jul31         (ward wesley )CORRALES GERARDO 120 3.50    
 
CD-3   10/27/2024 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($92K) 2 ALL PT- 1:58
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BROTHA KENY Sep25         (morey willia)CORRALES GERARDO 119 6.00 13% 6.80    
2  BOURBONATOR Sep27 Aug05       (desormeaux j)LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 30.00    
3  LA HOULIGAN         (compton greg)VAZQUEZ A 119 15.00    
4  COALMOON Oct04 Sep11 Aug10     (lobo h)HERNANDEZ J 119 4.00 9% 9.90    
5  REB Sep18 Aug05 Jun19 May09   (fletcher kevi)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 15.00    
6  FROSTY BEER Oct18         (matejka pavel)ROMAN A 119 20.00    
7  LANDING CRAFT Sep25         (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 4.50 24% 3.20    
8  CUTLASS KING Oct03 Sep11       (hernandez armando)BOWEN ROCCO 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
9  MORAL Sep25         (drury jr)SAEZ LUIS 119 2.50 34% 2.00    
SCR  MARKET WATCH Sep25         (maker michae)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 8.00    
11  STEELIN BASES Sep27         (casse mark)SANTANA JR 119 12.00    
 
CD-4   10/27/2024 5610ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 ALL PT- 2:28
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SERGEANT CAPPS Oct04 Aug29 Jul22 Jul02 Jun22 (capps a)BEJARANO R 119 4.00 14% 6.40    
2  DATE THE PRINCE Sep23         (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
3  HIGH CEILING Oct04         (sharp joe)TORRES A 119 15.00    
4  TEQUILA N' SALT         (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
5  HIGH LIMIT Oct06 Sep11 Aug19 Jul20 Jun27 (lukas wayn)ASMUSSEN J 119 20.00    
6  FLYING MOHAWK Sep28 Sep01 Jul27     (beckman wh)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 2.00 37% 1.70    
SCR  STONINGTON Oct25 Sep26 Aug18     (schultz lindsay)JARA FERNANDO 119 20.00    
8  SWIRLING EIGHTS Sep28         (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 119 10.00    
9  DREAM SCHEME Oct05 Sep06       (walsh p)CANNON DECLAN 119 4.50 26% 2.90    
10  DR. NIKO         (bauer a)TORRES A 119 10.00    
11  PNUTBUTTER WHISKEY Oct12 Sep11 Aug17     (kelley a)MONCADA IRVING 112 30.00    
12  SAND CAST Oct12 Sep05 Aug11 Jun22   (demeritte larry)MORALES EDGAR 119 30.00    
13  DEPUTY A. P. Sep18         (devaux cheri)HERNANDEZ J 119 12.00    
SCR  ANEGADA Oct05 Sep05 Aug10     (ennis john)MORALES EDGAR 119 6.00    
SCR  WAR AND MAJESTY Oct04 Sep07 Aug24     (romans dale)LANERIE J 119 3.50    
SCR  CULTURE WAR Oct05 Sep01       (medina rober)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 6.00    
 
CD-5   10/27/2024 5610ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 F PT- 2:57
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GIRL MATH Sep22 Aug25       (brisset rodo)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 1.60 39% 1.60    
2  LADY LIBERTY Sep29         (devaux cheri)HERNANDEZ J 119 5.00 31% 2.20    
3  FAITH Sep15         (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  CALIFORNIA SUNSET Sep22         (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 5.00 ★    
5  MCKINZIE'S GLORY Sep01 Jul28       (mcpeek kenn)HERNANDEZ J 119 12.00    
6  GOING STEADY Sep27 Sep01 Aug11 Jul14   (lukas wayne)SAEZ LUIS 119 3.00    
7  QUEEN JUBILEE Sep22         (beckman wh)CORRALES GERARDO 119 15.00    
8  LIBERATION DAY Oct05         (oliver victor)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 30.00    
9  GOLDEN GAMBLE         (mcpeek kenn)LEPAROUX R 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
CD-6   10/27/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 F PT- 3:26
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LOULOU B         (green troy)TORRES A 119 20.00    
2  MURPHY GIRL Jul15 Jun07 May17     (romans dale)LANERIE J 119 3.50 31% 2.20    
3  NORTHERN VOYAGE Sep20 Aug03       (eurton peter)BEJARANO R 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  SWEET NOTE         (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 10.00    
5  BANKING SILVER Sep29         (stewart dalla)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 6.00 19% 4.30    
6  BOTTOMLESS MIMOSA Sep26         (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 119 15.00    
7  PURPLE AND GOLD Sep13         (cox h)SAEZ LUIS 119 5.00    
SCR  BASILEA         (casse mark)SANTANA JR 119 15.00    
9  TRADING SECRETS Sep15 Aug15 Jul21 Jun28   (lukas wayn)ASMUSSEN J 119 30.00    
10  FIRST CLASS LADY Sep13 Aug04       (asmussen st)TORRES A 119 5.00 9% 9.70    
11  COSTA AMALFITANA         (munoz carlos)ASHTON GAVIN 119 30.00    
12  SPRING DANCER Sep27         (morse l)GARCIA MARTIN 119 4.50 20% 4.10    
13  JUSTTAKETHECANNOLI         (mcgee paul)MORALES EDGAR 119 12.00    
SCR  EVERLOVING Sep20         (amoss thomas)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 5.00    
 
CD-7   10/27/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 ALL PT- 3:55
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  I GOT GAME Sep19 Aug03 Jun20 May30   (amoss m)TORRES A 119 3.00 35% 1.90    
2  LIL MUGGS Sep28         (foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 6.00 26% 2.80    
3  JAC FOURTEEN         (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 12.00    
4  CAPTAIN COOK         (casse norm)SANTANA JR 119 10.00    
5  CAPTAINS CHOICE         (simms jr)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 30.00    
6  SERENDIBITE         (reed r)LANERIE J 119 20.00    
7  ZAT'S THE ONE Sep26         (damato philip)GARCIA MARTIN 119 4.50 6% 15.60    
8  DREAMINBLUE         (morse l)BEJARANO R 119 12.00    
9  CONFRONT         (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 4.00 13% 6.70    
10  CALLING ON HEAVEN         (devaux cherie)SAEZ LUIS 119 12.00    
11  PRIDE'S PRINCE Sep19         (asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
12  RESTLESS RENEGADE         (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 119 15.00    
SCR  POPPA ECHO Sep19 Aug24       (milligan ed)TORRES A 119 12.00    
SCR  KALAHARI DREAMS Sep12         (bauer philip )CONCEPCION AXEL 119 3.50    
SCR  CAN'T DENY IT         (rivelli larr)LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 8.00    
SCR  GALANTINI Sep12         (lynch a)MONCADA IRVING 112 15.00    
 
CD-8   10/27/2024 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 F PT- 4:25
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WAYZATA         (stewart da)SANTANA JR 119 15.00    
2  FORTUNATE         (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 4.00 18% 4.40    
3  DREAMING OF LILIES Aug29         (sharp joe)TORRES A 119 15.00    
4  GOOD REASON Sep01         (oliver victor)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 20.00    
5  AVERY'S DREAM         (mott riley)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 10.00    
6  NILE VALLEY Sep11         (hartman chris)BEJARANO R 119 12.00 11% 8.30    
7  LOTUS PETAL Sep27 Aug22       (antonucci jena)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 6.00    
8  BELLA ALESSIA Sep01         (ortiz alexan)VAZQUEZ A 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
9  TAVRIA Sep20         (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 119 20.00    
10  POEMA Sep05 Jul30       (lobo h)HERNANDEZ J 119 3.00 30% 2.30    
11  JEWELED CITY Sep05 Aug04       (stall m)JARA FERNANDO 119 8.00 15% 5.50    
12  ONE HAPPY ISLAND Aug29 Jul06 Jun14     (kordenbrock matt)LANERIE J 119 6.00    
SCR  FROSTED KISSES         (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 119 12.00    
SCR  JEWISH MOTHER Sep08 Aug17 Jun28 Jun16   (hobby steve)LEPAROUX R 119 8.00    
SCR  ARE YOU A SPY Oct13 Sep08 Aug25     (bogle fergus)JIMENEZ ALBIN 119 15.00    
SCR  PRINCESS EM TOO Sep29         (damato philip)GARCIA MARTIN 119 12.00    
 
CD-9   10/27/2024 5610ft DIRT RC11 FAST Rags Purse ($200K) 2 F PT- 4:55
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MY LIL PUNKY Oct12 Sep20 Aug25     (ennis john)ALVARADO JUNIOR 122 15.00    
2  CLAIRE'S CHARM Sep22 Aug18       (bauer philip)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 2.50    
3  SHERBINI Oct04 Aug31 Jul11 Jun16   (casse mark)GEROUX FLORENT 122 6.00 11% 8.30    
SCR  ALYESKA Sep20         (casse norm)SANTANA JR 122 10.00    
5  MECHAYA Oct04 Aug29       (divito jame)TORRES A 122 8.00 21% 3.70    
6  GOOD CHEER Sep28 Aug05       (cox h)SAEZ LUIS 122 1.20 30% 2.40    
7  ADEERA Sep28 Aug11 Jun30 May31   (asmussen steven)ASMUSSEN ERIK 122 15.00    
SCR  LADY ORIENT Aug28 Jul13       (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 122 10.00    
 
CD-10   10/27/2024 5610ft DIRT RC12 FAST Street Sense Purse ($200K) 2 ALL PT- 5:25
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BIG MUCH Sep19         (casse w)GEROUX FLORENT 122 15.00    
2  BRACKET BUSTER Oct09 Sep12 Aug07     (oliver victor)CONCEPCION AXEL 122 15.00    
3  BABY BOAT Oct06 Sep15       (divito james)CORRALES GERARDO 122 15.00 21% 3.80    
4  SANDMAN Sep14 Aug10 Jun27     (casse mark)HERNANDEZ J 122 4.50    
5  TIZTASTIC Sep08 Aug29 Jul27     (asmussen st)TORRES A 122 3.00 34% 2.00    
6  REACH FOR THE ROSE Oct06 Sep08 Sep01 Aug03 May11 (joseph saffie )TORRES A 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
7  DAPPER MOON Oct05 Aug31 Jul20     (stewart da)SANTANA JR 122 6.00    
8  COMES A TIME Sep21         (cox h)SAEZ LUIS 122 3.50 21% 3.70    
9  FORGED STEEL Sep08 Aug11 Jul13     (joseph saffi)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
10  SOVEREIGNTY Sep27 Aug24       (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 122 5.00    
 
CD-11   10/27/2024 5610ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 ALL PT- 5:55
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BISOU         (asmussen steven)ASMUSSEN ERIK 114 3.50 21% 3.70    
SCR  ABBI FEDE Aug05         (ennis john)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 20.00    
3  LIMITED EDITION Sep21         (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 4.00 28% 2.60    
4  HIRED GUN Sep06         (cox h)SANTANA JR 119 8.00    
5  RENDER JUDGMENT Oct06         (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 119 5.00 22% 3.50    
6  MOGORDY Oct02         (hiles a)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
7  STREET MO Sep28         (desormeaux j)LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 30.00    
8  SEATTLE ROAD (ARG) Jul27         (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 119 20.00    
9  AMERICAN PROMISE Sep27 Aug29 Jul27     (lukas wayne)SAEZ LUIS 119 8.00    
10  SHOGUN (IRE) Sep27 Sep01 Aug11 Jul05   (romans dale)LANERIE J 119 6.00 8% 11.10    
11  LAST CHANCE LUIS         (cowans will)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 119 10.00    
12  BUZZ ROCKET Sep27         (mott i)GEROUX FLORENT 119 8.00    
SCR  TREMENDOUSLY Oct06         (lynch a)SAEZ LUIS 119 8.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.