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Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!


Churchill Downs
Wednesday - November 06, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

			Wgr	Pick						Tot	Bet	Bet	Winning		Pay
			Type	Numbers						Tkts	Unit	Amt	Numbers		Amt			Profit				ROI

CD-1			WIN	(3/7/2/4)						4	$2.00	$8.00	3		$9.24			$1.24				16%
			EXA	(3/7/2/4)-(3/7/2/4)						12	$2.00	$24.00	3-2		$53.76			$29.76				124%
			TRI	(3/7/2/4)-(3/7/2/4)-(3/7/2/4)						24	$0.50	$12.00	3-2-4		$63.08			$51.08				426%
CD-2			WIN	(5/1/2/6)						4	$2.00	$8.00	1		$16.32			$8.32				104%
			EXA	(5/1/2/6)-(5/1/2/6)						12	$2.00	$24.00	1-5		$49.50			$25.50				106%
			TRI	(5/1/2/6)-(5/1/2/6)-(5/1/2/6)						24	$0.50	$12.00	1-5-2		$60.87			$48.87				407%
			SFT	(5/1/2/6)-(5/1/2/6)-(5/1/2/6)-(5/1/2/6)						24	$0.10	$2.40	1-5-2-6		$46.91			$44.51				1855%
			DD	(3/7/2/4)-(5/1/2/6)						16	$1.00	$16.00	3-1		$31.27			$15.27				95%
CD-4			WIN	(2/8/4/7)						4	$2.00	$8.00	4		$17.14			$9.14				114%
CD-7			WIN	(1/6/5/2)						4	$2.00	$8.00	2		$17.40			$9.40				118%

Simulator Race results


CD-1			11/06/2024		5610ft	DIRT	RC7	SLOPPY	Claiming ($30K)					Purse ($56K)			3UP		ALL		PT- 1:00
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
3	ETHEREAL ROAD									(sweezey kent)VAZQUEZ A 121						3.00		29%		2.50		3.62	W
2	SHOGUN BE FAST									(synnefias pan)JARA FERNANDO 118						4.50		18%		4.70		5.66	P
4	CASHMEUP									(miller jerom)MONCADA IRVING 114						15.00		5%		19.00		8.22	S
6	MY NOBLE KNIGHT									(amoss m)LANERIE J 118						4.00						5.43
1	I'M YOUR MAN									(mcgee pau)HERNANDEZ J 118						3.50						3.57
7	NOT NORMAL									(murphy con)HERNANDEZ J 121						4.00		23%		3.40		2.17
5	BAYOU MAGIC									(hill f)CANNON DECLAN 118						8.00						19.45

CD-2			11/06/2024		3960ft	DIRT	RC9	SLOPPY	Starter Allowance ($50K)					Purse ($72K)			3UP		ALL		PT- 1:29
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
1	LINE OF SCRIMMAGE									(sharp joe)HERNANDEZ J 120						3.50		23%		3.30		7.16	W
5	B SUDD									(von hemel)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 120						1.60		27%		2.70		0.76	P
2	CATHEDRAL BEACH									(synnefias pan)JARA FERNANDO 120						5.00		23%		3.30		13.36	S
6	NORTHERN CHILL									(blair jor)TORRES A 118						15.00		5%		19.00		5.44
8	TRUST DADDY									(asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 120						3.00						5.23
4	ZECA DIABO									(caramori eduar)MACHADO LUAN 120						8.00						13.73
3	AIRBORNE ELITE									(reed r)BEJARANO R 120						20.00						13.05
SCR	GETTYSBURG ADDRESS									(contreras cip)MORALES EDGAR 118						12.00

CD-3			11/06/2024		5610ft	DIRT	RC4	SLOPPY	Maiden Claimer ($30K)					Purse ($50K)			2		F		PT- 1:58
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
9	RANDO									(stall m)ELLIOTT JANE 119						4.00						3.70
12	REIGN CHAMPAGNE									(scherer mari)TORRES A 119						12.00						5.10
3	SHADY NIGHTS									(navarrete an)MONCADA IRVING 112						20.00		5%		19.00		29.12	S
4	AIRFORCE LIGHTNING									(puhich mi)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119						8.00						22.16
7	BLUSHING KAM									(desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 119						10.00		15%		5.60		8.33
6	MEZCALIFORNIA									(mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 119						3.00		33%		2.00		2.27
1	DON'T WORRY									(oliver vict)CONCEPCION AXEL 119						6.00						9.11
8	MAGNETIC BEACH									(ennis john)MORALES EDGAR 119						6.00		30%		2.30		5.37
2	GREENWICH PIKE									(colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 119						15.00						34.00
5	CATNIP HILL									(wilkes r)CANNON DECLAN 119						12.00						43.73
11	LASKO LADY									(vance tho)TORRES A 119						15.00						39.17
10	FLASHLIGHT (IRE)									(dalton michell)SAEZ GABRIEL 114						20.00		5%		19.00		63.74
SCR	GLOBAL QUEEN									(tomlinson m)CONCEPCION AXEL 119						15.00

CD-4			11/06/2024		3300ft	DIRT	RC5	SLOPPY	Maiden Sp Wt					Purse ($120K)			3UP		M/F		PT- 2:27
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
4	SWEET TROUBLE									(damato philip)GARCIA MARTIN 124						3.50		15%		5.50		7.57	W
		(by INTO MISCHIEF out of CHOCOLATE COATED by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
1	TITANIA'S DREAM									(meah m)SAEZ LUIS 122						6.00						4.06
		(by MORE THAN READY out of PEACE PROCESS by SUGGEST)
8	BANG BANG FURY									(von hemel)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122						5.00		28%		2.60		4.95	S
		(by VIOLENCE out of READY REPLY by MORE THAN READY)
5	BLACKFOOT DAISY									(ward wes)RODRIGUEZ A 122						4.00						4.05
		(by IQBAAL out of BISTRO MONCUR by LONHRO (AUS))
7	GO PURPLE									(ortiz john )CONCEPCION AXEL 122						15.00		5%		19.00		18.57
		(by FLAMEAWAY out of WAKI PATRIOT by AWESOME PATRIOT)
3	FLAT STORMIN									(shirer matt )TORRES A 122						12.00						5.64
		(by FLATTER out of STORMBEFORETHECALM by QUIET AMERICAN)
6	ADALENE									(salas marcelin)ORTIZ L 122						6.00						9.37
		(by GUN RUNNER out of SWEET ON SMOKEY by SUCCESSFUL APPEAL)
2	SPLATTERED									(ward wesle)CORRALES GERARDO 122						2.50		28%		2.50		3.26
		(by FLATTER out of SPLASH HIT by FLOWER ALLEY)

CD-5			11/06/2024		3960ft	DIRT	RC3	SLOPPY	Alw Opt Clm ($125K)					Purse ($134K)			3		F		PT- 2:57
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
1	BENEDETTA									(asmussen steve)ORTIZ L 120						2.00						0.99
3	TANYA SHOWERS									(hartman chris)BEJARANO R 118						3.50		30%		2.30		3.70	P
4	SING A LITTLE SONG									(wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 118						4.00						5.92
6	REAGAN'S FLAME									(schultz l)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118						2.50		30%		2.30		4.30
5	TRIAL									(drury thom)HERNANDEZ J 118						12.00						8.53
2	THE BIG CALHOUNA									(sweezey ke)GEROUX FLORENT 118						15.00		5%		19.00		15.37
SCR	LADY MOSCATO									(lukas wa)ASMUSSEN J 118						10.00

CD-6			11/06/2024		5610ft	DIRT	RC4	SLOPPY	Maiden Claimer ($20K)					Purse ($42K)			3UP		ALL		PT- 3:26
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
7	STORMIN LOVE									(lobo h)MACHADO LUAN 121						6.00						4.72
2	TRAP LINE									(vanden berg)GUTIERREZ REYLU 121						4.00		68%		0.50		6.66	P
3	MUNYHUNGRY									(parker donald )SAEZ GABRIEL 121						4.50		5%		19.00		3.38	S
6	PHOTO OP									(hiles rick)BEJARANO R 124						12.00		5%		19.00		9.83
4	TIE BREAKER LENNIE									(romans dale)LANERIE J 121						12.00						11.18
5	RAMESSES									(amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 121						3.00						3.16
8	OPERATORE PAZZO									(frazier matt)MONCADA IRVING 117						20.00						52.56
10	SATURDAY LONG LEGS									(frazier matt)CANNON DECLAN 124						5.00		7%		12.60		5.58
1	ROSENOW									(heitzman eric)ROCCO S 121						12.00		5%		19.00		13.97
11	RICKY'S BEST									(mitchell anthony)GRAHAM J 124						30.00						36.18
SCR	PUCKSTER									(troiani niccol)JURADO EDDIE 121						20.00

CD-7			11/06/2024		3960ft	DIRT	RC9	SLOPPY	Starter Allowance ($50K)					Purse ($72K)			2		F		PT- 3:55
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
2	ROSATO									(ennis john)MONCADA IRVING 113						10.00		5%		19.00		7.70	W
8	GERLIN'S EMPIRE									(stewart dallas)ORTIZ L 120						4.00						2.82
3	LA MARINERA									(fernandez k)MIRANDA ROGELIO 120						15.00						31.72
4	MASCARA									(ward wesle)CORRALES GERARDO 120						4.50						8.29
7	GRACE ON GRACE									(demeritte)LEPAROUX R 120						12.00						21.40
6	MEAN EILEEN									(sharp joe)HERNANDEZ J 120						2.50		22%		3.50		5.43
5	KENTUCKY SMOKESHOW									(hartman chris)BEJARANO R 120						3.50		19%		4.40		4.26
1	AUTUMN RHYTHM (GB)									(kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 122						4.00		25%		3.10		2.25

CD-8			11/06/2024		4950ft	DIRT	RC10	SLOPPY	Allowance					Purse ($134K)			3UP		ALL		PT- 4:25
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
9	LIBERAL ARTS									(cox h)SAEZ LUIS 118						2.50						2.09
1	BANISHING									(jacobson )CAMACHO JR 121						5.00						5.95
7	AWESOME AARON									(casse no)SANTANA JR 121						12.00		13%		6.80		9.76	S
2	LAMBETH									(sharp joe)ORTIZ L 118						6.00		60%		0.70		9.13
5	BEN FRANKLIN									(mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 121						10.00		5%		19.00		11.26
6	TWO EAGLES RIVER									(hartman chris)BEJARANO R 121						4.50						3.35
4	LUGAN KNIGHT									(mccarthy mic)TORRES A 121						12.00		5%		19.00		7.08
3	WEST SARATOGA									(demeritte)LEPAROUX R 118						4.00						7.47
SCR	BANJO CHRIS									(wismer s)CEDILLO ABEL 118						12.00

CD-9			11/06/2024		4620ft	DIRT	RC4	SLOPPY	Maiden Claimer ($30K)					Purse ($50K)			3UP		M/F		PT- 4:55
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
2	PINK MOON									(navarrete an)MONCADA IRVING 115						15.00						13.00
4	YO LEVEN									(baker james)GRAHAM J 122						4.00		77%		0.30		3.03	P
1	WHAT'S HER NUMBER									(sharp joe)ORTIZ L 122						3.50						3.89
8	CLASSIC MYSTERY									(drury thomas )MORALES EDGAR 122						5.00		★				3.80
9	DIA ESTELAR (ARG)									(mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 122						2.50						2.42
6	REDHEADEDSTRANGER									(nesbitt amy)ORTIZ ALVIN 122						20.00		5%		19.00		30.14
3	BELLA ESTRELA									(wadsworth k)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122						12.00						18.91
7	CAT'S SYMPHONY									(oliver vict)CONCEPCION AXEL 122						15.00		5%		19.00		8.38
SCR	AIR FORCE THUNDER									(garcia genaro)CHUAN MARTIN 122						6.00



	Labels:
	M/L	Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
	W/P	Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
	B/E	Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
	F/O	Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

	Two Groups of Contenders:
	Win Contenders
		The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
	Place/Show Contenders
		The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

	Legal:
	Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.