Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Churchill Downs
Wednesday - November 06, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CD-1   WIN (3/7/2/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00  3 $9.24 $1.24 16%
    EXA (3/7/2/4)-(3/7/2/4) 12 $2.00 $24.00  3-2 $53.76 $29.76 124%
    TRI (3/7/2/4)-(3/7/2/4)-(3/7/2/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00  3-2-4 $63.08 $51.08 426%
CD-2   WIN (5/1/2/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00  1 $16.32 $8.32 104%
    EXA (5/1/2/6)-(5/1/2/6) 12 $2.00 $24.00  1-5 $49.50 $25.50 106%
    TRI (5/1/2/6)-(5/1/2/6)-(5/1/2/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00  1-5-2 $60.87 $48.87 407%
    SFT (5/1/2/6)-(5/1/2/6)-(5/1/2/6)-(5/1/2/6) 24 $0.10 $2.40  1-5-2-6 $46.91 $44.51 1855%
    DD (3/7/2/4)-(5/1/2/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00  3-1 $31.27 $15.27 95%
CD-4   WIN (2/8/4/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00  4 $17.14 $9.14 114%
CD-7   WIN (1/6/5/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00  2 $17.40 $9.40 118%
Simulator Race results
 
CD-1   11/06/2024 5610ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($30K) Purse ($56K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:00
See original race card.
:242 :481 1:122 1:37   1:432   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  ETHEREAL ROAD 3 4 32 31½ 31½ 12½ 18 (sweezey kent)VAZQUEZ A 121 3.00 29% 2.50 3.62 W
2  SHOGUN BE FAST 2 2 11 11½ 11 22½ 28 (synnefias pan)JARA FERNANDO 118 4.50 18% 4.70 5.66 P
4  CASHMEUP 4 3 21 21½ 21 33 38 (miller jerom)MONCADA IRVING 114 15.00 5% 19.00 8.22 S
6  MY NOBLE KNIGHT 6 5 53 42½ 42 45½ 411 (amoss m)LANERIE J 118 4.00 5.43  
1  I'M YOUR MAN 1 7 75½ 75½ 67½ 58½ 512½ (mcgee pau)HERNANDEZ J 118 3.50 3.57  
7  NOT NORMAL 7 6 64 53 54½ 610 620¾ (murphy con)HERNANDEZ J 121 4.00 23% 3.40 2.17  
5  BAYOU MAGIC 5 1 42½ 64 78 714 732½ (hill f)CANNON DECLAN 118 8.00 19.45  
 
CD-2   11/06/2024 3960ft DIRT RC9 SLOPPY Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($72K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:29
See original race card.
:212 :442 :562     1:09   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LINE OF SCRIMMAGE 1 5 1nk 1nk   13 14½ (sharp joe)HERNANDEZ J 120 3.50 23% 3.30 7.16 W
5  B SUDD 5 2 65¾ 43½   34 24½ (von hemel)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 120 1.60 27% 2.70 0.76 P
2  CATHEDRAL BEACH 2 3 54¾ 55½   54½ 36¾ (synnefias pan)JARA FERNANDO 120 5.00 23% 3.30 13.36 S
6  NORTHERN CHILL 6 4 2nk 2nk   23 48¾ (blair jor)TORRES A 118 15.00 5% 19.00 5.44  
8  TRUST DADDY 7 1 3½ 31½   44½ 510¼ (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 120 3.00 5.23  
4  ZECA DIABO 4 7 77¼ 67   67 610½ (caramori eduar)MACHADO LUAN 120 8.00 13.73  
3  AIRBORNE ELITE 3 6 44½ 78½   79 711¾ (reed r)BEJARANO R 120 20.00 13.05  
SCR  GETTYSBURG ADDRESS               (contreras cip)MORALES EDGAR 118 12.00    
 
CD-3   11/06/2024 5610ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($50K) 2 F PT- 1:58
See original race card.
:234 :474 1:124 1:393   1:463   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  RANDO 9 2 2½ 2nk 21½ 1nk 13 (stall m)ELLIOTT JANE 119 4.00 3.70  
12  REIGN CHAMPAGNE 12 3 31 1nk 11½ 2nk 23 (scherer mari)TORRES A 119 12.00 5.10  
3  SHADY NIGHTS 3 11 1111½ 1110¾ 79 33 34¼ (navarrete an)MONCADA IRVING 112 20.00 5% 19.00 29.12 S
4  AIRFORCE LIGHTNING 4 8 96½ 96¼ 57 55½ 48 (puhich mi)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 8.00 22.16  
7  BLUSHING KAM 7 12 109½ 109¼ 1012½ 810 59¼ (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 119 10.00 15% 5.60 8.33  
6  MEZCALIFORNIA 6 6 53½ 42¼ 33½ 77½ 69½ (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 119 3.00 33% 2.00 2.27  
1  DON'T WORRY 1 1 74½ 74¾ 67½ 44½ 79½ (oliver vict)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 6.00 9.11  
8  MAGNETIC BEACH 8 9 64 52¾ 44 66 814¼ (ennis john)MORALES EDGAR 119 6.00 30% 2.30 5.37  
2  GREENWICH PIKE 2 5 43 63¼ 812 916 932¾ (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 119 15.00 34.00  
5  CATNIP HILL 5 4 1½ 3.2 912 1019½ 1034½ (wilkes r)CANNON DECLAN 119 12.00 43.73  
11  LASKO LADY 11 7 85 85¾ 1113½ 1120 1134¾ (vance tho)TORRES A 119 15.00 39.17  
10  FLASHLIGHT (IRE) 10 10 1216½ 1218¾ 1219½ 1222 1237½ (dalton michell)SAEZ GABRIEL 114 20.00 5% 19.00 63.74  
SCR  GLOBAL QUEEN               (tomlinson m)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 15.00    
 
CD-4   11/06/2024 3300ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:27
See original race card.
:222 :453       :583   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  SWEET TROUBLE 4 1 1½ 11   13 1¾ (damato philip)GARCIA MARTIN 124 3.50 15% 5.50 7.57 W
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of CHOCOLATE COATED by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
1  TITANIA'S DREAM 1 7 73¾ 73½   23 2¾ (meah m)SAEZ LUIS 122 6.00 4.06  
  (by MORE THAN READY out of PEACE PROCESS by SUGGEST)
8  BANG BANG FURY 8 8 85¼ 84   43½ 31¼ (von hemel)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 5.00 28% 2.60 4.95 S
  (by VIOLENCE out of READY REPLY by MORE THAN READY)
5  BLACKFOOT DAISY 5 6 62¾ 53   54½ 43 (ward wes)RODRIGUEZ A 122 4.00 4.05  
  (by IQBAAL out of BISTRO MONCUR by LONHRO (AUS))
7  GO PURPLE 7 5 3½ 21   33 54½ (ortiz john )CONCEPCION AXEL 122 15.00 5% 19.00 18.57  
  (by FLAMEAWAY out of WAKI PATRIOT by AWESOME PATRIOT)
3  FLAT STORMIN 3 4 52½ 63½   75¾ 67¼ (shirer matt )TORRES A 122 12.00 5.64  
  (by FLATTER out of STORMBEFORETHECALM by QUIET AMERICAN)
6  ADALENE 6 3 2½ 31½   65½ 78¼ (salas marcelin)ORTIZ L 122 6.00 9.37  
  (by GUN RUNNER out of SWEET ON SMOKEY by SUCCESSFUL APPEAL)
2  SPLATTERED 2 2 42 42½   8100 8100 (ward wesle)CORRALES GERARDO 122 2.50 28% 2.50 3.26  
  (by FLATTER out of SPLASH HIT by FLOWER ALLEY)
 
CD-5   11/06/2024 3960ft DIRT RC3 SLOPPY Alw Opt Clm ($125K) Purse ($134K) 3 F PT- 2:57
See original race card.
:213 :452 :573     1:102   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BENEDETTA 1 5 41 41¼   1nk 1½ (asmussen steve)ORTIZ L 120 2.00 0.99  
3  TANYA SHOWERS 3 6 52 51¼   31 2½ (hartman chris)BEJARANO R 118 3.50 30% 2.30 3.70 P
4  SING A LITTLE SONG 4 3 2½ 1nk   2nk 32 (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 118 4.00 5.92  
6  REAGAN'S FLAME 6 1 31 2nk   41¼ 44¼ (schultz l)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 2.50 30% 2.30 4.30  
5  TRIAL 5 2 62¼ 62¼   53¾ 56¼ (drury thom)HERNANDEZ J 118 12.00 8.53  
2  THE BIG CALHOUNA 2 4 1½ 31   65¾ 618 (sweezey ke)GEROUX FLORENT 118 15.00 5% 19.00 15.37  
SCR  LADY MOSCATO               (lukas wa)ASMUSSEN J 118 10.00    
 
CD-6   11/06/2024 5610ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($42K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:26
See original race card.
:241 :482 1:13 1:374   1:442   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  STORMIN LOVE 7 1 11 11 11½ 18 112½ (lobo h)MACHADO LUAN 121 6.00 4.72  
2  TRAP LINE 2 4 42½ 43½ 33½ 310 212½ (vanden berg)GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 4.00 68% 0.50 6.66 P
3  MUNYHUNGRY 3 5 21 21 21½ 28 312¾ (parker donald )SAEZ GABRIEL 121 4.50 5% 19.00 3.38 S
6  PHOTO OP 6 7 95½ 75¼ 55½ 410½ 412¾ (hiles rick)BEJARANO R 124 12.00 5% 19.00 9.83  
4  TIE BREAKER LENNIE 4 6 64 65 66½ 512½ 518½ (romans dale)LANERIE J 121 12.00 11.18  
5  RAMESSES 5 10 106 96¼ 89 819 624½ (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 121 3.00 3.16  
8  OPERATORE PAZZO 8 9 74½ 86¼ 77 717 724¾ (frazier matt)MONCADA IRVING 117 20.00 52.56  
10  SATURDAY LONG LEGS 9 2 31½ 32½ 43½ 615½ 826¼ (frazier matt)CANNON DECLAN 124 5.00 7% 12.60 5.58  
1  ROSENOW 1 8 85½ 107¾ 1015 922½ 933½ (heitzman eric)ROCCO S 121 12.00 5% 19.00 13.97  
11  RICKY'S BEST 10 3 53 55 912½ 1030½ 1066¾ (mitchell anthony)GRAHAM J 124 30.00 36.18  
SCR  PUCKSTER               (troiani niccol)JURADO EDDIE 121 20.00    
 
CD-7   11/06/2024 3960ft DIRT RC9 SLOPPY Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($72K) 2 F PT- 3:55
See original race card.
:211 :443 :572     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  ROSATO 2 4 1½ 12½   15 15 (ennis john)MONCADA IRVING 113 10.00 5% 19.00 7.70 W
8  GERLIN'S EMPIRE 8 7 66 45   35 25 (stewart dallas)ORTIZ L 120 4.00 2.82  
3  LA MARINERA 3 8 89 77½   46½ 35 (fernandez k)MIRANDA ROGELIO 120 15.00 31.72  
4  MASCARA 4 5 32 22½   25 45¼ (ward wesle)CORRALES GERARDO 120 4.50 8.29  
7  GRACE ON GRACE 7 2 77 87½   57½ 55½ (demeritte)LEPAROUX R 120 12.00 21.40  
6  MEAN EILEEN 6 1 55 66½   67¾ 67½ (sharp joe)HERNANDEZ J 120 2.50 22% 3.50 5.43  
5  KENTUCKY SMOKESHOW 5 3 43 55½   810¼ 714¾ (hartman chris)BEJARANO R 120 3.50 19% 4.40 4.26  
1  AUTUMN RHYTHM (GB) 1 6 2½ 33½   78¼ 815 (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 122 4.00 25% 3.10 2.25  
 
CD-8   11/06/2024 4950ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($134K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:25
See original race card.
:222 :451 1:092 1:22   1:283   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  LIBERAL ARTS 8 7 41 2½   2nk 1nk (cox h)SAEZ LUIS 118 2.50 2.09  
1  BANISHING 1 5 53½ 53½   3½ 2nk (jacobson )CAMACHO JR 121 5.00 5.95  
7  AWESOME AARON 7 4 2nk 1½   1nk 32¼ (casse no)SANTANA JR 121 12.00 13% 6.80 9.76 S
2  LAMBETH 2 3 75¾ 65½   43 44¾ (sharp joe)ORTIZ L 118 6.00 60% 0.70 9.13  
5  BEN FRANKLIN 5 8 811¼ 812½   76½ 58¼ (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 121 10.00 5% 19.00 11.26  
6  TWO EAGLES RIVER 6 6 1nk 32   64½ 610½ (hartman chris)BEJARANO R 121 4.50 3.35  
4  LUGAN KNIGHT 4 1 3½ 43   54 710¾ (mccarthy mic)TORRES A 121 12.00 5% 19.00 7.08  
3  WEST SARATOGA 3 2 65½ 78   89½ 820¼ (demeritte)LEPAROUX R 118 4.00 7.47  
SCR  BANJO CHRIS               (wismer s)CEDILLO ABEL 118 12.00    
 
CD-9   11/06/2024 4620ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($50K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:55
See original race card.
:23 :463 1:121     1:253   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  PINK MOON 2 8 88 88¼   33 1hd (navarrete an)MONCADA IRVING 115 15.00 13.00  
4  YO LEVEN 4 6 76 66   23 2hd (baker james)GRAHAM J 122 4.00 77% 0.30 3.03 P
1  WHAT'S HER NUMBER 1 2 21 1½   13 31¾ (sharp joe)ORTIZ L 122 3.50 3.89  
8  CLASSIC MYSTERY 7 7 54 33   43½ 46¼ (drury thomas )MORALES EDGAR 122 5.00 ★ 3.80  
9  DIA ESTELAR (ARG) 8 1 11 2½   54 511½ (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 122 2.50 2.42  
6  REDHEADEDSTRANGER 5 4 43 43½   66½ 613 (nesbitt amy)ORTIZ ALVIN 122 20.00 5% 19.00 30.14  
3  BELLA ESTRELA 3 3 33 56   712½ 729 (wadsworth k)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 12.00 18.91  
7  CAT'S SYMPHONY 6 5 64½ 76¼   814½ 848¼ (oliver vict)CONCEPCION AXEL 122 15.00 5% 19.00 8.38  
SCR  AIR FORCE THUNDER               (garcia genaro)CHUAN MARTIN 122 6.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.