Handicappers' Race Results
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Churchill Downs
Sunday - November 03, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
CD-1   Win (4/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 7 1 0 $5.94  
CD-2   Win (3/1/4/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 3 1 1 $2.76 $2.76  
    Win (3/1/4/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 0 $4.32  
CD-3   Win (3/5/10/8/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 2 1 0 $65.00  
CD-4   Win (5/12/3/7/11) 5 $2.00 $10.00 12 1 1 $8.02 $8.02  
CD-5   Win (1/7/2/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 5 1 0 $16.28  
CD-6   Win (3/5/2/1/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 7 1 0 $18.00  
CD-7   Win (6/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 1 $4.32 $4.32  
CD-8   Win (10/7/9/2/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 8 1 0 $15.32  
CD-9   Win (4/7/1/10/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 11 1 0 $9.22  
Simulator Race results
 
CD-1   11/03/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($58K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:00
See original race card.
:22 :453 :574     1:10   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  UP THE CREEK 6 4 31 3½   11 13¾ (cowans d)MACHADO LUAN 122 3.00 1.97  
2  WOWSERS 1 2 53¼ 41½   42½ 23¾ (van thoma)GEROUX FLORENT 122 5.00 22% 3.60 2.81 P
4  DARING HOPE 3 5 41¼ 52½   54 35¼ (cox h)SAEZ LUIS 122 2.50 38% 1.60 2.43 S
6  NO WHAT IFS 5 6 65¼ 64   64 46¼ (catalano m)LANERIE J 122 8.00 13.35  
5  INNOCENT NYGHT 4 1 1nk 2nk   21 56¼ (michael brian)BEJARANO R 122 15.00 7% 14.20 5.58  
3  MARMO 2 3 2nk 1nk   31½ 67¼ (foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 6.00 8.93  
SCR  FLIGHT TO PARIS               (arnold r)ORTIZ L 122 3.50    
 
CD-2   11/03/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($68K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:29
See original race card.
:223 :454 1:101     1:223   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  INVULNERABLE 3 4 41½ 41½   3½ 12¼ (asmussen steven)ASMUSSEN ERIK 115 1.60 43% 1.30 0.38 W
7  FURIOUS ANGER 7 2 31 31½   2½ 12¼ (romans dale)LANERIE J 120 12.00 1.16 DH
5  REFUAH 5 7 52½ 52   42 32¼ (sweezey kent)VAZQUEZ A 122 12.00 21.35  
1  ABADIN 1 3 1½ 11   1½ 43¼ (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 120 3.50 14% 6.00 5.76  
2  HARVARD 2 5 77 77½   64½ 54½ (maker mich)SANTANA JR 120 6.00 10.22  
4  TAGLIATELLE 4 6 63½ 64   54 65¼ (foster eric)TORRES A 118 3.00 13% 6.90 3.71  
6  GO THE DISTANCE 6 1 2½ 21   77½ 721¼ (davis christophe)ORTIZ L 118 8.00 5% 19.00 8.99  
 
CD-3   11/03/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($31K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:58
See original race card.
:224 :462 1:11     1:224   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  OUTRAGEOUSLY 2 4 31 41¼   1nk 17½ (blair jordan)MORALES EDGAR 118 15.00 31.50  
5  MOON FLEET 5 2 2nk 2nk   2nk 27½ (garcia genaro)MONCADA IRVING 111 3.00 12% 7.20 1.66 P
3  THREE POLKS 3 3 1nk 1nk   31½ 312½ (ortiz alexan)VAZQUEZ A 120 3.50 51% 1.00 1.99 S
6  PERCEPTIVE 6 9 94¾ 86¾   77¾ 413¾ (asmussen steven)ASMUSSEN ERIK 115 4.50 12.75  
7  STAY FAITHFUL 7 8 84½ 64¼   56 514½ (short thomas)SOSA LAUREANO 111 15.00 37.65  
9  MISS ESCAPADE 9 5 52 31   43½ 616 (santamaria carlo)ROMAN A 120 12.00 19.71  
1  GODDESS OF WAR 1 7 73 53¾   66¼ 718¼ (johnston l)SANTANA JR 120 10.00 5% 19.00 9.97  
4  ROYAL BLOOD 4 6 62½ 75¼   89¼ 819 (habeeb j)ASHTON GAVIN 120 15.00 28.53  
10  TANGO ZULU 10 10 107¼ 107¼   911¼ 922¼ (wismer glenn )CONCEPCION AXEL 120 5.00 11% 8.50 4.78  
8  GOLDBLOODED 8 1 41½ 96¾   1013¼ 1026¼ (fernan)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 120 8.00 5% 19.00 35.24  
 
CD-4   11/03/2024 5940ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:27
See original race card.
:232 :483 1:134 1:373   1:491   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
12  FORT THOMAS 12 10 116¾ 105¾ 116 61 11¼ (arnold geor)LEPAROUX R 121 3.50 21% 3.80 3.01 W
8  SICILIAN DEFENSE 8 1 1½ 1½ 11 1nk 21¼ (devaux cherie)ORTIZ L 121 4.00 6.15  
9  OSCARGOT 9 2 2½ 2½ 21 3.2 31¼ (murphy conor)MORALES EDGAR 124 12.00 9.60  
4  AMBITION 4 4 41 41½ 31½ 5¾ 41½ (mackey wayne)MONCADA IRVING 114 15.00 16.30  
5  STORM READY 5 11 94¼ 94¼ 94½ 93½ 51¾ (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 3.00 42% 1.40 1.88  
10  FINN MCSORLEY 10 3 31 31½ 42 2nk 61¾ (pessin neil )LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 15.00 27.26  
11  STRADIVARIAN 11 6 72¼ 72¾ 83½ 4¼ 72½ (forster t)GRAHAM J 121 30.00 5% 19.00 25.43  
3  CLOUDY HOLIDAY 3 8 83¾ 83¼ 63 71½ 83¼ (sharp joe)CONCEPCION AXEL 121 8.00 14% 6.40 10.12  
6  WARP NINE 6 5 51½ 51¾ 52½ 82 93¼ (mcpeek kenn)HERNANDEZ J 121 6.00 15.61  
2  TWO TODDIES IN 2 12 105¾ 116 105½ 104½ 106¼ (nihei michel)CORRALES GERARDO 121 20.00 34.79  
7  FREEDOM MAKER 7 7 62 62¾ 73½ 115 118 (thomas jonathan)SAEZ LUIS 121 12.00 5% 19.00 16.32  
1  GRAND STAN 1 9 127¼ 128½ 129½ 128½ 1211¼ (rider m)MACHADO LUAN 121 20.00 61.68  
SCR  ELKO COUNTY               (mcpeek kenn)LEPAROUX R 121 2.50    
 
CD-5   11/03/2024 3960ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($72K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:57
See original race card.
:221 :451 :564     1:091   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  SALLY O'MALLEY 5 7 53½ 43   34 1nk (stall m)MACHADO LUAN 118 6.00 7.14  
7  SISTER KISSES 7 2 32 31½   23 2nk (garcia genaro)CONCEPCION AXEL 120 3.00 25% 3.00 3.67 P
6  GLORIETTE 6 1 11 11   13 3.2 (garcia genaro)MORALES EDGAR 118 4.00 3.79  
1  BOURBON SERENGETI 1 5 42 54½   56½ 45 (cox h)SAEZ LUIS 118 2.00 42% 1.40 1.28  
2  RUBIA 2 4 63¾ 66   68½ 57 (asmussen steven)ASMUSSEN ERIK 115 12.00 5% 19.00 15.37  
4  NURSEKRINGLEDANCES 4 6 75¾ 78   710½ 610 (wilkes ian )LEPAROUX R 120 8.00 5% 19.00 9.53  
3  LITTLE BLAZE 3 3 21 21   45½ 710¾ (asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J 120 4.50 12.63  
 
CD-6   11/03/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($40K) Purse ($68K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:26
See original race card.
:222 :452 1:10     1:223   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  OUTLIER 7 4 32½ 3½   12 14 (hiles rick)CORRALES GERARDO 120 6.00 8.00  
2  J. P. RACE 2 9 97¼ 64½   34½ 24 (maker j)VAZQUEZ A 120 8.00 6% 15.50 6.24 P
8  W W CANDY 8 7 87¼ 95¼   56½ 36½ (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 120 3.50 1.96  
5  BORN FLAWLESS 5 2 1nk 1nk   22 46¾ (shorter aaron)CHUAN MARTIN 120 8.00 26% 2.90 17.48  
4  CHIPOFFTHEOLDBLOCK 4 8 65¼ 85¼   88¼ 510½ (lauer michael)ASHTON GAVIN 120 20.00 31.20  
3  VIVIR CON ALEGRIA (CHI) 3 1 2nk 2nk   44½ 610¾ (sweezey ke)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 3.00 35% 1.90 2.64  
10  BAYOU BENNY 9 6 75¾ 74¾   78¼ 711 (wilkes ian )TORRES A 120 20.00 5% 19.00 24.04  
6  GOODASIWONSWAS 6 5 43 42½   68 813½ (warpool shane)ELLIOTT JANE 120 20.00 29.37  
1  JUST JIMMY 1 3 53¼ 53   99¼ 915¾ (forster t)ORTIZ L 120 20.00 5% 19.00 4.17  
SCR  PRO OXIDANT               (dutrow e)LANERIE J 120 2.50    
 
CD-7   11/03/2024 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($141K) 3 ALL PT- 3:55
See original race card.
:213 :441 :554     1:021   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  VALENTINE CANDY 5 1 2½ 1½   11 13¼ (asmussen steven )ORTIZ L 122 1.80 38% 1.70 1.16 W
3  JOE SHIESTY 3 2 1½ 2½   21 23¼ (foster eric)MACHADO LUAN 122 5.00 5% 19.00 4.65 P
4  BILLAL 4 3 42 31   32 33½ (mott william)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 2.00 1.99  
2  BEAR RIVER 2 4 32 43   43½ 46½ (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 122 6.00 6.15  
1  SHIP CADET 1 5 52½ 57½   512 536½ (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 122 8.00 22% 3.60 9.15  
SCR  HEDWIG               (harty eoin)RODRIGUEZ A 120 6.00    
 
CD-8   11/03/2024 5610ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($127K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:25
See original race card.
:222 :472 1:12 1:353   1:412   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  ADRASTEIA 8 11 118¼ 128 117¾ 54½ 11¼ (bogle fergus)ORTIZ L 120 8.00 6.66  
9  FANTASTICAL 9 7 21 21 2½ 2½ 21¼ (sharp joe)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 6.00 6% 15.60 6.80 P
2  PAWKY 2 2 52½ 32 32 32 31¾ (joseph saf)SANTANA JR 121 8.00 5% 17.60 15.03 S
10  SPARTAN QUEEN 10 6 63½ 74 74 75½ 43¼ (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 3.00 34% 2.00 1.41  
5  ABEYANCE 5 5 11 11 1½ 1½ 53¼ (harty eoin)MACHADO LUAN 118 15.00 10.47  
1  STANDOUTSENSATION 1 8 84¼ 63½ 64 43½ 63¾ (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 118 15.00 5% 19.00 39.95  
7  HEART SPIN 7 12 129¼ 106½ 96¼ 85½ 74 (navarrete anna)MONCADA IRVING 114 3.50 33% 2.00 7.88  
4  SMOOTH WAVES 4 3 42½ 52½ 42½ 65 84¾ (foley greg)SAEZ LUIS 118 6.00 8.42  
6  STEAMPUNK 6 9 95¼ 95½ 106¼ 98 98¾ (davis christ)CORRALES GERARDO 118 20.00 21.68  
12  SILK 12 10 106¾ 117½ 128¼ 1110½ 1011¼ (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 10.00 14.95  
3  TIDAL TACTICS 3 1 73¾ 85 86 109½ 1111¼ (lauer micha)BERMUDEZ E 121 30.00 68.80  
11  HATTIE BLOOM 11 4 32 42½ 53½ 1211½ 1216 (wilkes ian )LEPAROUX R 118 20.00 38.85  
SCR  PARADISE LANE               (mott i)TORRES A 118 3.50    
SCR  FOR LOVE AND HONOR               (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 15.00    
SCR  HARVEY'S PRINCESS               (salas marcelino)MCKEE J 121 30.00    
SCR  LIGHTBULB MOMENT               (arnold george )MONCADA IRVING 114 20.00    
SCR  CLASSY'N CONNECTED               (drury jr)MACHADO LUAN 118 3.00    
SCR  BERNA DITTY               (greenhill)DE CRUZ 118 30.00    
SCR  CONDONE               (oliver victor)CONCEPCION AXEL 121 15.00    
 
CD-9   11/03/2024 5610ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 ALL PT- 4:55
See original race card.
:233 :473 1:121 1:372   1:44   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
11  WHISKEY SHOT 11 4 42 42½ 41¼ 11 11½ (brisset rodo)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 4.00 3.61  
10  BURNING GLORY 10 9 96 75¼ 52¾ 21 21½ (mott i)ORTIZ L 119 8.00 5% 19.00 8.68 P
8  FEVER NIGHT 8 5 75½ 85¾ 65¼ 56 34¾ (mcpeek kenn)HERNANDEZ J 119 15.00 70.12  
7  DR. SAIKALI 7 7 11 1½ 1nk 31½ 46¾ (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 2.50 26% 2.80 2.19  
9  MASTER CONTROLLER 9 3 31½ 3½ 2nk 44 58½ (vanden brittan)EMIGH A 119 20.00 84.70  
3  AUTHENTIC GALLOP 3 8 108 107¾ 96¾ 88¾ 610 (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 119 10.00 5% 19.00 14.38  
5  SUCCESSFUL UNION 5 10 86 96¾ 75¼ 78½ 711½ (harty eoin)BEJARANO R 119 12.00 14.85  
2  BOB MO 2 1 21 2½ 3.2 68½ 819¾ (crichton ro)LEPAROUX R 119 20.00 33.97  
4  VOLT 4 6 64 53½ 86¼ 912¾ 926¾ (casse mark)SANTANA JR 119 3.00 31% 2.20 2.28  
6  TREMENDOUSLY 6 11 118¼ 118¼ 109¾ 1018¾ 1038½ (lynch a)SAEZ LUIS 119 12.00 13.97  
1  CULTURE WAR 1 2 52½ 63¾ 1110¼ 1121¼ 1146¼ (medina robe)TORRES A 119 12.00 21% 3.70 38.94  
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.