Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Churchill Downs
Sunday - November 03, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CD-7   EXA (6/1/3)-(6/1/3) 6 $2.00 $12.00  6-3 $20.48 $8.48 71%
Simulator Race results
 
CD-1   11/03/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($58K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:00
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  UP THE CREEK   (cowans william)MACHADO LUAN 122 3.00 1.97  
2  WOWSERS   (van tho)GEROUX FLORENT 122 5.00 22% 3.60 2.81 P
4  DARING HOPE   (cox h)SAEZ LUIS 122 2.50 38% 1.60 2.43 S
6  NO WHAT IFS   (catalano wayne )LANERIE J 122 8.00 13.35  
5  INNOCENT NYGHT   (michael brian)BEJARANO R 122 15.00 7% 14.20 5.58  
3  MARMO   (foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 6.00 8.93  
SCR  FLIGHT TO PARIS   (arnold george )ORTIZ L 122 3.50    
 
CD-2   11/03/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($68K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:29
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  INVULNERABLE   (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 115 1.60 43% 1.30 0.38 W
7  FURIOUS ANGER   (romans dale)LANERIE J 120 12.00 1.16 DH
5  REFUAH   (sweezey kent)VAZQUEZ A 122 12.00 21.35  
1  ABADIN   (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 120 3.50 14% 6.00 5.76  
2  HARVARD   (maker mi)SANTANA JR 120 6.00 10.22  
4  TAGLIATELLE   (foster er)TORRES A 118 3.00 13% 6.90 3.71  
6  GO THE DISTANCE   (davis christop)ORTIZ L 118 8.00 5% 19.00 8.99  
 
CD-3   11/03/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($31K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:58
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  OUTRAGEOUSLY   (blair jordan)MORALES EDGAR 118 15.00 31.50  
5  MOON FLEET   (garcia genar)MONCADA IRVING 111 3.00 12% 7.20 1.66 P
3  THREE POLKS   (ortiz alex)VAZQUEZ A 120 3.50 51% 1.00 1.99 S
6  PERCEPTIVE   (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 115 4.50 12.75  
7  STAY FAITHFUL   (short thomas)SOSA LAUREANO 111 15.00 37.65  
9  MISS ESCAPADE   (santamaria car)ROMAN A 120 12.00 19.71  
1  GODDESS OF WAR   (johnston)SANTANA JR 120 10.00 5% 19.00 9.97  
4  ROYAL BLOOD   (habeeb donald )ASHTON GAVIN 120 15.00 28.53  
10  TANGO ZULU   (wismer glen)CONCEPCION AXEL 120 5.00 11% 8.50 4.78  
8  GOLDBLOODED   (fern)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 120 8.00 5% 19.00 35.24  
 
CD-4   11/03/2024 5940ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:27
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
12  FORT THOMAS   (arnold ge)LEPAROUX R 121 3.50 21% 3.80 3.01 W
  (by WAR FRONT out of BYE BYE BABY by GALILEO)
8  SICILIAN DEFENSE   (devaux cherie)ORTIZ L 121 4.00 6.15  
  (by UNCLE MO out of STROMBOLIAN by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
9  OSCARGOT   (murphy conor)MORALES EDGAR 124 12.00 9.60  
  (by OSCAR PERFORMANCE out of WINE AND DYNE by DYNAFORMER)
4  AMBITION   (mackey wayne)MONCADA IRVING 114 15.00 16.30  
  (by STREET SENSE out of INSPIRED by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
5  STORM READY   (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 3.00 42% 1.40 1.88  
  (by CITY OF LIGHT out of GHOSTSLAYER by PRINCE OF FAME)
10  FINN MCSORLEY   (pessin nei)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 15.00 27.26  
  (by ENGLISH CHANNEL out of GLORIOUS by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
11  STRADIVARIAN   (forster t)GRAHAM J 121 30.00 5% 19.00 25.43  
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of FULL SWING by VERRAZANO)
3  CLOUDY HOLIDAY   (sharp joe)CONCEPCION AXEL 121 8.00 14% 6.40 10.12  
  (by CLOUD COMPUTING out of PATSY'S HOLIDAY by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
6  WARP NINE   (mcpeek ke)HERNANDEZ J 121 6.00 15.61  
  (by HIGHTAIL out of POWERTAP by TAPIT)
2  TWO TODDIES IN   (nihei mich)CORRALES GERARDO 121 20.00 34.79  
  (by CONNECT out of ROSY SCENARIO by MALIBU MOON)
7  FREEDOM MAKER   (thomas jonathan)SAEZ LUIS 121 12.00 5% 19.00 16.32  
  (by CLASSIC EMPIRE out of LADY ASPEN by GRAND REWARD)
1  GRAND STAN   (rider m)MACHADO LUAN 121 20.00 61.68  
  (by MO TOWN out of GRAND SLAM GIRL by GRAND SLAM)
SCR  ELKO COUNTY   (mcpeek ke)LEPAROUX R 121 2.50    
  (by GUN RUNNER out of STRONGER THAN EVER by CONGRATS)
 
CD-5   11/03/2024 3960ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($72K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:57
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  SALLY O'MALLEY   (stall m)MACHADO LUAN 118 6.00 7.14  
7  SISTER KISSES   (garcia gena)CONCEPCION AXEL 120 3.00 25% 3.00 3.67 P
6  GLORIETTE   (garcia genaro)MORALES EDGAR 118 4.00 3.79  
1  BOURBON SERENGETI   (cox h)SAEZ LUIS 118 2.00 42% 1.40 1.28  
2  RUBIA   (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 115 12.00 5% 19.00 15.37  
4  NURSEKRINGLEDANCES   (wilkes ia)LEPAROUX R 120 8.00 5% 19.00 9.53  
3  LITTLE BLAZE   (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 120 4.50 12.63  
 
CD-6   11/03/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($40K) Purse ($68K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:26
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  OUTLIER   (hiles rick)CORRALES GERARDO 120 6.00 8.00  
2  J. P. RACE   (maker j)VAZQUEZ A 120 8.00 6% 15.50 6.24 P
8  W W CANDY   (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 120 3.50 1.96  
5  BORN FLAWLESS   (shorter aaron)CHUAN MARTIN 120 8.00 26% 2.90 17.48  
4  CHIPOFFTHEOLDBLOCK   (lauer michael)ASHTON GAVIN 120 20.00 31.20  
3  VIVIR CON ALEGRIA (CHI)   (sweezey j )GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 3.00 35% 1.90 2.64  
10  BAYOU BENNY   (wilkes ia)TORRES A 120 20.00 5% 19.00 24.04  
6  GOODASIWONSWAS   (warpool shane)ELLIOTT JANE 120 20.00 29.37  
1  JUST JIMMY   (forster grant )ORTIZ L 120 20.00 5% 19.00 4.17  
SCR  PRO OXIDANT   (dutrow richard )LANERIE J 120 2.50    
 
CD-7   11/03/2024 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($141K) 3 ALL PT- 3:55
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  VALENTINE CANDY   (asmussen steve)ORTIZ L 122 1.80 38% 1.70 1.16 W
3  JOE SHIESTY   (foster eric)MACHADO LUAN 122 5.00 5% 19.00 4.65 P
4  BILLAL   (mott willi)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 2.00 1.99  
2  BEAR RIVER   (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 122 6.00 6.15  
1  SHIP CADET   (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 122 8.00 22% 3.60 9.15  
SCR  HEDWIG   (harty eo)RODRIGUEZ A 120 6.00    
 
CD-8   11/03/2024 5610ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($127K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:25
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  ADRASTEIA   (bogle fergus)ORTIZ L 120 8.00 6.66  
9  FANTASTICAL   (sharp joe)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 6.00 6% 15.60 6.80 P
2  PAWKY   (joseph s)SANTANA JR 121 8.00 5% 17.60 15.03 S
10  SPARTAN QUEEN   (walsh bren)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 3.00 34% 2.00 1.41  
5  ABEYANCE   (harty eoin)MACHADO LUAN 118 15.00 10.47  
1  STANDOUTSENSATION   (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 118 15.00 5% 19.00 39.95  
7  HEART SPIN   (navarrete an)MONCADA IRVING 114 3.50 33% 2.00 7.88  
4  SMOOTH WAVES   (foley greg)SAEZ LUIS 118 6.00 8.42  
6  STEAMPUNK   (davis chri)CORRALES GERARDO 118 20.00 21.68  
12  SILK   (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 10.00 14.95  
3  TIDAL TACTICS   (lauer mic)BERMUDEZ E 121 30.00 68.80  
11  HATTIE BLOOM   (wilkes ia)LEPAROUX R 118 20.00 38.85  
SCR  PARADISE LANE   (mott william)TORRES A 118 3.50    
SCR  FOR LOVE AND HONOR   (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 15.00    
SCR  HARVEY'S PRINCESS   (salas marcelino)MCKEE J 121 30.00    
SCR  LIGHTBULB MOMENT   (arnold georg)MONCADA IRVING 114 20.00    
SCR  CLASSY'N CONNECTED   (drury j)MACHADO LUAN 118 3.00    
SCR  BERNA DITTY   (greenhi)DE CRUZ 118 30.00    
SCR  CONDONE   (oliver vict)CONCEPCION AXEL 121 15.00    
 
CD-9   11/03/2024 5610ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 ALL PT- 4:55
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
11  WHISKEY SHOT   (brisset ro)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 4.00 3.61  
  (by GUN RUNNER out of LORELEI TRUE by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
10  BURNING GLORY   (mott i)ORTIZ L 119 8.00 5% 19.00 8.68 P
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of HAIL by TAPIT)
8  FEVER NIGHT   (mcpeek ke)HERNANDEZ J 119 15.00 70.12  
  (by CURLIN out of POR QUE' TE QUIERO by A.P. INDY)
7  DR. SAIKALI   (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 2.50 26% 2.80 2.19  
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of SAPPHIRE SPITFIRE by AWESOME AGAIN)
9  MASTER CONTROLLER   (vanden britt)EMIGH A 119 20.00 84.70  
  (by TAPITURE out of KEY IS TO WIN by DIXIE UNION)
3  AUTHENTIC GALLOP   (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 119 10.00 5% 19.00 14.38  
  (by AUTHENTIC out of GALLOPING AMI by VICTORY GALLOP)
5  SUCCESSFUL UNION   (harty eoin)BEJARANO R 119 12.00 14.85  
  (by UNION RAGS out of SWEET SUCCESS by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
2  BOB MO   (crichton )LEPAROUX R 119 20.00 33.97  
  (by UNCLE MO out of CRY AND CATCH ME by STREET CRY (IRE))
4  VOLT   (casse ma)SANTANA JR 119 3.00 31% 2.20 2.28  
  (by TAPIT out of MY WANDY'S GIRL by FLOWER ALLEY)
6  TREMENDOUSLY   (lynch a)SAEZ LUIS 119 12.00 13.97  
  (by HONOR A. P. out of FLIT by LYPHARD)
1  CULTURE WAR   (medina ro)TORRES A 119 12.00 21% 3.70 38.94  
  (by WAR OF WILL out of MORE FUN AGAIN by ARCH)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.