Handicappers' Race Results
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Keeneland
Wednesday - October 23, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
KEE-1   Win (2/9/3/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 9 1 1 $19.58 $19.58 11.58
KEE-2   Win (4/11/2/5/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 2 1 1 $7.60 $7.60  
KEE-3   Win (6/1/7/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 1 1 1 $6.24 $6.24  
KEE-4   Win (4/5/2/7/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 5 1 1 $5.40 $5.40  
KEE-5   Win (10/4/9/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 5 1 0 $54.98  
KEE-6   Win (6/11/9/7/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 3 1 0 $11.96  
KEE-7   Win (7/1/10/6/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 1 1 1 $7.56 $7.56  
KEE-8   Win (4/10/9/12/11) 5 $2.00 $10.00 4 1 1 $3.26 $3.26  
Simulator Race results
 
KEE-1   10/23/2024 5610ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($63K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:00
See original race card.
:234 :48 1:123 1:38   1:442   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  EAST SHORE 8 6 86½ 42 31½ 2nk 1¾ (romans dale)LANERIE J 122 3.50 13% 6.80 8.79 W
3  LOW COUNTRY MAGIC 2 1 11 1½ 11 1nk 2¾ (correas ignacio )ORTIZ L 118 8.00 5% 19.00 6.54 P
4  CRAZY CAMI 3 5 32 31½ 42 42½ 33¾ (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 118 4.50 6.52  
5  LUCY GOT GAME 4 3 21 2½ 21 31½ 44½ (amoss thomas)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.00 1.90  
7  WITS AND WAGERS 6 7 75 72¾ 63½ 56 511¼ (oliver victoria)VELAZQUEZ R 122 10.00 5% 19.00 10.89  
6  SACRED SAINT 5 2 42½ 52 53 66½ 615 (scherer marianne)MACHADO LUAN 118 20.00 27.60  
2  CHA CHA CHUKKA 1 8 64 62½ 74 77 715 (walsh p)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 6.00 58% 0.70 3.16  
8  YO PUEDO 7 4 54 83¾ 84½ 89 822¾ (medina robert)BESCHIZZA ADAM 122 6.00 7.32  
SCR  NORISKIT NOBISCUIT               (murphy conor)MORALES EDGAR 118 20.00    
 
KEE-2   10/23/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($53K) 2 F PT- 1:32
See original race card.
:221 :452 :58     1:104   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  GOLDEN IRISH 2 4 2nk 14   16 114¾ (cox h)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 3.50 21% 3.80 2.80 W
10  SEVENON 10 1 32½ 34   26 214¾ (holsapple hutch)GRAHAM J 119 30.00 47.89  
8  MOM'S CHEESECAKE 8 2 42¾ 45½   410 320¼ (kerrick lacy)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 15.00 13.41  
4  CITIZEN JUDY 4 3 1nk 24   38 420¼ (ennis john)MORALES EDGAR 119 6.00 33% 2.00 3.82  
1  SHE'S SINGLE AGAIN 1 10 54¼ 58½   512½ 521 (hartman chris)BEJARANO R 119 4.50 2.95  
5  TEGWAR 5 9 79¼ 713½   615 623 (wainwright )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 8.00 5% 19.00 17.11  
12  REAL MISCHIEVOUS 12 5 911¾ 916   818 723¼ (tomlinson mich)TORRES A 119 15.00 46.45  
9  LITTLE BIT O STORM 9 7 89¼ 815½   918½ 823¾ (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 119 10.00 27.51  
11  BULLET BABY 11 6 1012¾ 1122   1122½ 925¾ (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 119 4.00 22% 3.60 7.17  
3  SECURITY PLEDGE 3 11 1115¼ 1019½   1022 1026 (esquivel jesus)VAZQUEZ A 119 20.00 5% 19.00 55.60  
7  ARDITAMENTE 7 8 64¾ 69½   717 1129¾ (sims a)AVILA LUIS 119 15.00 11.33  
6  GET IT TOGETHER 6 12 1217¼ 1222¼   1226 1234¾ (compton greg)ORTIZ L 119 12.00 20.90  
SCR  ENDLESS FASHION               (mendieta alejandro )HESS SARA 112 30.00    
SCR  HUIXTLA               (gutierrez fau)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 15.00    
SCR  REECHO               (maker mich)SANTANA JR 119 6.00    
SCR  SHE STOPPED SHORT               (campbell joel)ORTIZ L 119 10.00    
 
KEE-3   10/23/2024 6270ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($63K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:04
See original race card.
:234 :47 1:111 1:373   1:582   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GILDED CRAKEN 1 1 1½ 1½ 11 14 11 (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 2.50 12% 7.50 2.12 W
7  APOLLO RISING 6 3 43 48 46 24 21 (walden william)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 8.00 11% 8.10 3.65 P
5  UNSTABLE PRINCE 4 6 56 58½ 57 45½ 33¼ (jacobson david)VAZQUEZ A 122 6.00 13.83  
9  MINISTERIAL 8 4 2½ 2½ 21 34 45¼ (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 122 5.00 8.56  
6  CURLIN'S GESTURE 5 2 31 34½ 35½ 58 510½ (scherer marianne)MACHADO LUAN 122 3.50 45% 1.20 3.89  
8  OVERSTATEMENT 7 7 711½ 714½ 610 68½ 610½ (miller kenny)LANERIE J 118 20.00 7% 14.20 8.11  
4  ATLANTIC DANCER 3 8 812 815 811½ 710 712½ (cook b)BEJARANO R 122 8.00 7.42  
3  AZOI 2 5 68½ 613 710 811½ 814 (morey e)ORTIZ L 120 20.00 18.59  
SCR  FEAR OF UNION               (compton greg)ORTIZ JR 122 6.00    
 
KEE-4   10/23/2024 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($32K) Purse ($69K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:36
See original race card.
:234 :481 1:124 1:39   1:453   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  STRAVA 5 3 21 2½ 21 31½ 1hd (casse norm)SANTANA JR 122 4.00 26% 2.80 1.70 W
4  SHOW TIME 4 2 11 1½ 11 1½ 2hd (cunningham s)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 5.00 40% 1.50 6.75 P
7  HUGE BIGLY 7 4 53 42 42½ 2½ 31¾ (shorter aaron)VAZQUEZ A 122 12.00 5% 19.00 13.97 S
3  W W CRAZY 3 9 84¾ 94¼ 95¼ 65 44½ (santamaria carlo)ORTIZ L 122 10.00 16.72  
9  UNDERDRESSED 9 10 95¼ 84 63½ 54 54¾ (west m)MORALES EDGAR 122 3.00 4.43  
6  ROCCO STRONG 6 7 32 31 32 44 65½ (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 122 8.00 4.76  
2  NULLARBOR 2 1 42 52 53½ 88 79 (manley steve)BAIRD T 122 4.50 7% 13.60 8.48  
1  ROMAN CENTURIAN 1 8 107¼ 106¼ 107¼ 99½ 89¾ (hamilton sa)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 20.00 26.76  
8  NAVY SOUL 8 5 74¼ 73 73¾ 77½ 911½ (pittman bonnie)MONCADA IRVING 115 30.00 51.25  
10  C F V BULLET 10 6 63¼ 62½ 83¾ 109¾ 1012 (hernandez armando)EMIGH A 122 8.00 5% 19.00 18.47  
 
KEE-5   10/23/2024 5610ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:08
See original race card.
:222 :463 1:12 1:372   1:433   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  PRETTY PERTINENT 5 5 11½ 1½ 1½ 12 12 (miller darrin)VELAZQUEZ R 120 20.00 26.49  
2  HIGH SHOT 2 2 75¼ 63½ 54½ 34½ 22 (simms jr)CONCEPCION AXEL 120 15.00 17.67  
4  MY BRAZILIAN GIRL 4 3 21½ 2½ 2½ 22 33 (wadsworth k)LEPAROUX R 120 4.00 27% 2.80 2.30 S
1  REDO 1 1 96¾ 85¾ 66 46½ 46½ (ortiz alexan)VAZQUEZ A 120 30.00 52.29  
12  SCENIC BEAUTY 12 12 1211¼ 1210¾ 1210¾ 69 56¾ (medina robert)ORTIZ L 120 20.00 39.84  
7  FUN LOVING 7 11 118¾ 107¼ 99¼ 79¼ 69½ (oliver victori)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 30.00 58.82  
8  STREETWHEREYOULIVE 8 10 107¼ 117¾ 119¾ 912¼ 711 (sims philip)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 120 15.00 40.88  
6  ONE FRONT WAR 6 6 32½ 32 32½ 56½ 811 (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 120 6.00 ★ 3.42  
3  IMPRACTICAL DIVA 3 4 42½ 42 44½ 811¼ 915¼ (mccarthy michael)ROSARIO JOEL 120 15.00 5% 19.00 15.85  
10  BIRDWATCHING 10 7 85¼ 96¼ 88¾ 1014¾ 1020¾ (delacour arnaud)GRAHAM J 120 1.20 51% 1.00 1.71  
11  EIGHT DAYS SOBER 11 9 63¼ 52½ 76¼ 1119¾ 1134¼ (navarrete anna)MORALES EDGAR 120 30.00 65.01  
9  STENTS AND STATINS (GB) 9 8 53 73¾ 109¼ 1227¾ 1257½ (correas ign)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 120 8.00 5% 19.00 21.25  
SCR  BOURBON THIEF               (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 120 6.00    
SCR  BUNDCHEN               (ward wesley )GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 6.00    
SCR  LOVE ME SWEET               (motion graham)VELAZQUEZ R 120 10.00    
SCR  TIME STONE               (devaux cherie)ORTIZ L 120 4.50    
 
KEE-6   10/23/2024 5940ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($125K) Purse ($120K) 3 F PT- 3:40
See original race card.
:242 :50 1:143 1:391   1:521   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  NEON ICON 2 1 31½ 31½ 41½ 22 11 (arnold r)ORTIZ L 118 5.00 4.98  
9  AUDACIOUS 7 3 21 2½ 2nk 12 21 (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 120 6.00 8% 11.20 10.55 P
6  LANDED 4 6 11 1½ 1nk 32 34½ (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 120 3.50 55% 0.80 1.71 S
5  INTRICATE 3 2 83¼ 83¼ 64½ 56 46½ (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.00 2.26  
8  JUST BE QUIET 6 4 73 73¼ 86 67½ 57¼ (gorham rober)CORRALES GERARDO 118 15.00 39.21  
11  MUSICAL NOTE 9 7 42 41½ 31 45 68½ (cox h)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 8.00 11% 8.10 7.51  
7  EVERLAND 5 5 62½ 52½ 54 78 711 (foster eric)MACHADO LUAN 118 8.00 5% 19.00 10.53  
10  AMERICA'S VOW 8 8 52½ 62¾ 75 810 812¾ (hamm timothy)GRAHAM J 118 20.00 5% 19.00 53.38  
2  REGALED 1 9 94¾ 95¼ 99 912½ 913½ (davis g)BOYCE FOREST 118 30.00 64.78  
SCR  LETSTALKABOUTME               (green troy)TORRES A 118 30.00    
SCR  SAKURA BLOSSOM               (powell leonard)ORTIZ JR 118 20.00    
SCR  SANCTIFY               (holsapple hu)HERNANDEZ J 118 20.00    
 
KEE-7   10/23/2024 3630ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($140K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:12
See original race card.
:212 :443 :57     1:032   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ARREST ME RED 1 5 43½ 44   33 1¼ (ward wesley)DETTORI LANFRANCO 121 3.50 27% 2.70 2.78 W
10  MO STASH 8 1 33½ 33½   21½ 2¼ (oliver victoria)VELAZQUEZ R 123 4.00 12% 7.20 6.78 P
9  THAT'S RIGHT 7 2 12½ 13   11½ 32 (russell brittan)ORTIZ JR 121 8.00 7.42  
6  MISCHIEVOUS ROGUE 5 9 65¾ 55   45 43 (maker j)ROSARIO JOEL 123 8.00 5% 19.00 2.96  
3  MARK OF THE Z 2 4 55½ 66½   66½ 54 (rodriguez g)BAIRD T 121 20.00 5% 19.00 14.34  
4  FRONT RUN THE FED 3 7 89¼ 89½   88 64 (caramori caio)GUTIERREZ REYLU 123 30.00 36.94  
12  SOSUA SUMMER 9 6 76¾ 76½   56 75½ (mott william)GAFFALIONE TYLER 123 15.00 18.36  
7  OUTADORE 6 3 22½ 23   76½ 810¼ (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 121 4.50 37% 1.70 3.95  
5  EAMONN 4 8 910¼ 911½   911½ 913½ (orseno f)ORTIZ L 123 12.00 11.18  
SCR  AGENT PETER GRAVES               (young e)VAZQUEZ A 125 12.00    
SCR  BAD BEAT BRIAN               (vanden brittan)EMIGH A 121 10.00    
SCR  BUSHIDO               (hernandez rey)MORALES EDGAR 121 20.00    
SCR  DETERMINED KINGDOM               (schoenthal phil)ROSARIO JOEL 125 6.00    
SCR  JEAN VALJEAN               (merryman eliza)GEROUX FLORENT 125 4.50    
SCR  SPANKSTER               (cunningham s)ASMUSSEN J 121 20.00    
SCR  STITCHED               (foley greg)PRAT FLAVIEN 123 15.00    
 
KEE-8   10/23/2024 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 2 ALL PT- 4:44
See original race card.
:221 :453 1:104     1:173   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  TOUCHY 4 3 43½ 31   13 13¾ (ward a)ROSARIO JOEL 119 1.60 39% 1.60 0.63 W
6  MO QUALITY 6 9 1111½ 88¼   55 23¾ (davis christophe)ORTIZ L 119 12.00 7.71  
11  CAMPAIGN TRAIL 10 1 32½ 41¼   23 34½ (foster eric)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 20.00 5% 19.00 17.59 S
5  TARTARIAN 5 4 12 11   43½ 47 (ennis john)LEONARD KILLIAN 119 20.00 54.51  
9  CAN DO ANDREW 8 2 22 21   33 57½ (anderson do)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 15.00 17% 5.00 17.89  
10  ORIGINAL SIN 9 7 89½ 109¼   67½ 67½ (cox h)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 3.50 21% 3.70 6.61  
1  HARVEST N'HEARTH 1 6 67 77¾   78 710½ (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 119 15.00 34.09  
12  AMOR PATRIAE 11 5 78 66¼   910½ 815½ (divito jam)SANTANA JR 119 8.00 5% 19.00 10.52  
2  AU CONTRAIRE 2 11 55 55¼   810 917¼ (antonucci jena)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 20.00 23.52  
3  ROYAL COACH 3 10 910 98¾   1013½ 1021¼ (calhoun willia)TORRES A 119 20.00 33.59  
7  THE FORM 7 8 1010½ 1114¾   1117½ 1130¾ (cowans d)MACHADO LUAN 119 30.00 43.51  
SCR  BAKER HAYFIELD               (heath g)GRAHAM J 119 20.00    
SCR  DISCLAIMER               (terranova p)SAEZ LUIS 119 12.00    
SCR  FAUST               (asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J 119 6.00    
SCR  HITCHCOCK               (eurton peter)SAEZ LUIS 119 6.00    
SCR  STEPPE               (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 119 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.