Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Keeneland
Wednesday - October 23, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

KEE-1   WIN (2/9/3/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00  9 $19.58 $11.58 145%
    EXA (2/9/3/7)-(2/9/3/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00  9-3 $66.41 $54.41 453%
KEE-2   DD (2/9/3/7)-(4/11/2/5/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00  9-2 $36.88 $16.88 84%
KEE-3   EXA (6/1/7/8)-(6/1/7/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00  1-7 $12.70 $0.70 6%
    PK3 (2/9/3/7)-(4/11/2/5/3)-(6/1/7/8) 80 $0.50 $40.00  9-2-1 $61.77 $21.77 54%
KEE-4   TRI (4/5/2/7/10)-(4/5/2/7/10)-(4/5/2/7/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00  5-4-7 $126.99 $96.99 323%
KEE-7   EXA (7/1/10/6/3)-(7/1/10/6/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00  1-10 $26.87 $6.87 34%

Simulator Race results

 
KEE-1   10/23/2024 5610ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($63K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:00
See original race card.
:234 :48 1:123 1:38   1:442   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EAST SHORE 8 6 8 42 3 2nk 1¾ (romans dale)LANERIE J 122 3.50 13% 6.80 8.79 W
LOW COUNTRY MAGIC 2 1 11 1½ 11 1nk 2¾ (correas ignaci)ORTIZ L 118 8.00 5% 19.00 6.54 P
CRAZY CAMI 3 5 32 3 42 4 3 (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 118 4.50 6.52  
LUCY GOT GAME 4 3 21 2½ 21 3 4 (amoss thom)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.00 1.90  
WITS AND WAGERS 6 7 75 7 6 56 511¼ (oliver victor)VELAZQUEZ R 122 10.00 5% 19.00 10.89  
SACRED SAINT 5 2 4 52 53 6 615 (scherer marian)MACHADO LUAN 118 20.00 27.60  
CHA CHA CHUKKA 1 8 64 6 74 77 715 (walsh brendan )PRAT FLAVIEN 118 6.00 58% 0.70 3.16  
YO PUEDO 7 4 54 8 8 89 822¾ (medina rober)BESCHIZZA ADAM 122 6.00 7.32  
SCR  NORISKIT NOBISCUIT               (murphy conor)MORALES EDGAR 118 20.00    
 
KEE-2   10/23/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($53K) 2 F PT- 1:32
See original race card.
:221 :452 :58     1:104   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GOLDEN IRISH 2 4 2nk 14   16 114¾ (cox h)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 3.50 21% 3.80 2.80 W
10  SEVENON 10 1 3 34   26 214¾ (holsapple hutch)GRAHAM J 119 30.00 47.89  
MOM'S CHEESECAKE 8 2 4 4   410 320¼ (kerrick lac)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 15.00 13.41  
CITIZEN JUDY 4 3 1nk 24   38 420¼ (ennis john)MORALES EDGAR 119 6.00 33% 2.00 3.82  
SHE'S SINGLE AGAIN 1 10 5 5   512½ 521 (hartman chris)BEJARANO R 119 4.50 2.95  
TEGWAR 5 9 7 713½   615 623 (wainwrigh)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 8.00 5% 19.00 17.11  
12  REAL MISCHIEVOUS 12 5 911¾ 916   818 723¼ (tomlinson mi)TORRES A 119 15.00 46.45  
LITTLE BIT O STORM 9 7 8 815½   918½ 823¾ (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 119 10.00 27.51  
11  BULLET BABY 11 6 1012¾ 1122   1122½ 925¾ (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 119 4.00 22% 3.60 7.17  
SECURITY PLEDGE 3 11 1115¼ 1019½   1022 1026 (esquivel jesus)VAZQUEZ A 119 20.00 5% 19.00 55.60  
ARDITAMENTE 7 8 6 6   717 1129¾ (sims a)AVILA LUIS 119 15.00 11.33  
GET IT TOGETHER 6 12 1217¼ 1222¼   1226 1234¾ (compton greg)ORTIZ L 119 12.00 20.90  
SCR  ENDLESS FASHION               (mendieta alejandr)HESS SARA 112 30.00    
SCR  HUIXTLA               (gutierrez f)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 15.00    
SCR  REECHO               (maker mi)SANTANA JR 119 6.00    
SCR  SHE STOPPED SHORT               (campbell joel)ORTIZ L 119 10.00    
 
KEE-3   10/23/2024 6270ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($63K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:04
See original race card.
:234 :47 1:111 1:373   1:582   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GILDED CRAKEN 1 1 1½ 1½ 11 14 11 (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 2.50 12% 7.50 2.12 W
APOLLO RISING 6 3 43 48 46 24 21 (walden william)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 8.00 11% 8.10 3.65 P
UNSTABLE PRINCE 4 6 56 5 57 4 3 (jacobson david)VAZQUEZ A 122 6.00 13.83  
MINISTERIAL 8 4 2½ 2½ 21 34 4 (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 122 5.00 8.56  
CURLIN'S GESTURE 5 2 31 3 3 58 510½ (scherer marian)MACHADO LUAN 122 3.50 45% 1.20 3.89  
OVERSTATEMENT 7 7 711½ 714½ 610 6 610½ (miller kenny)LANERIE J 118 20.00 7% 14.20 8.11  
ATLANTIC DANCER 3 8 812 815 811½ 710 712½ (cook b)BEJARANO R 122 8.00 7.42  
AZOI 2 5 6 613 710 811½ 814 (morey william )ORTIZ L 120 20.00 18.59  
SCR  FEAR OF UNION               (compton greg)ORTIZ JR 122 6.00    
 
KEE-4   10/23/2024 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($32K) Purse ($69K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:36
See original race card.
:234 :481 1:124 1:39   1:453   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STRAVA 5 3 21 2½ 21 3 1hd (casse no)SANTANA JR 122 4.00 26% 2.80 1.70 W
SHOW TIME 4 2 11 1½ 11 1½ 2hd (cunningham)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 5.00 40% 1.50 6.75 P
HUGE BIGLY 7 4 53 42 4 2½ 3 (shorter aaron)VAZQUEZ A 122 12.00 5% 19.00 13.97 S
W W CRAZY 3 9 8 9 9 65 4 (santamaria car)ORTIZ L 122 10.00 16.72  
UNDERDRESSED 9 10 9 84 6 54 5 (west m)MORALES EDGAR 122 3.00 4.43  
ROCCO STRONG 6 7 32 31 32 44 6 (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 122 8.00 4.76  
NULLARBOR 2 1 42 52 5 88 79 (manley steve)BAIRD T 122 4.50 7% 13.60 8.48  
ROMAN CENTURIAN 1 8 10 10 10 9 8 (hamilton )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 20.00 26.76  
NAVY SOUL 8 5 7 73 7 7 911½ (pittman bonn)MONCADA IRVING 115 30.00 51.25  
10  C F V BULLET 10 6 6 6 8 10 1012 (hernandez armando)EMIGH A 122 8.00 5% 19.00 18.47  
 
KEE-5   10/23/2024 5610ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:08
See original race card.
:222 :463 1:12 1:372   1:433   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PRETTY PERTINENT 5 5 1 1½ 1½ 12 12 (miller darrin)VELAZQUEZ R 120 20.00 26.49  
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of PRETTY PROLIFIC by LION HEART)
HIGH SHOT 2 2 7 6 5 3 22 (simms mark )CONCEPCION AXEL 120 15.00 17.67  
  (by HIGHTAIL out of SMART SHOT by SKIPSHOT)
MY BRAZILIAN GIRL 4 3 2 2½ 2½ 22 33 (wadsworth)LEPAROUX R 120 4.00 27% 2.80 2.30 S
  (by GOLDEN LAD out of WALTZING CAT by MORE THAN READY)
REDO 1 1 9 8 66 4 4 (ortiz alex)VAZQUEZ A 120 30.00 52.29  
  (by MORE THAN READY out of UNDO by FLATTER)
12  SCENIC BEAUTY 12 12 1211¼ 1210¾ 1210¾ 69 5 (medina robert)ORTIZ L 120 20.00 39.84  
  (by DISTORTED HUMOR out of LUCKY COVER by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
FUN LOVING 7 11 11 10 9 7 6 (oliver victo)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 30.00 58.82  
  (by CONSTITUTION out of FRIVOLOUS by FOOLISH PLEASURE)
STREETWHEREYOULIVE 8 10 10 11 11 912¼ 711 (sims phil)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 120 15.00 40.88  
  (by MALIBU MOON out of MY ROYALTY by STREET SENSE)
ONE FRONT WAR 6 6 3 32 3 5 811 (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 120 6.00 3.42  
  (by WAR FRONT out of SINGLE SOLUTION by FLATTER)
IMPRACTICAL DIVA 3 4 4 42 4 811¼ 915¼ (mccarthy micha)ROSARIO JOEL 120 15.00 5% 19.00 15.85  
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of MS TRISH S. by SMOKE WARNING)
10  BIRDWATCHING 10 7 8 9 8 1014¾ 1020¾ (delacour arnaud)GRAHAM J 120 1.20 51% 1.00 1.71  
  (by KARAKONTIE out of ELUSIVE BIRD by STORM BIRD)
11  EIGHT DAYS SOBER 11 9 6 5 7 1119¾ 1134¼ (navarrete ann)MORALES EDGAR 120 30.00 65.01  
  (by ENTICED out of CHILD PLEASE by WAR FRONT)
STENTS AND STATINS (GB) 9 8 53 7 10 1227¾ 1257½ (correas i)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 120 8.00 5% 19.00 21.25  
  (by SOLDIER HOLLOW out of DEALBATA by DUBAWI)
SCR  BOURBON THIEF               (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 120 6.00    
  (by TAPWRIT out of MISS GRACER by UNCLE MO)
SCR  BUNDCHEN               (ward wesle)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 6.00    
  (by GUN RUNNER out of NO MORE PARTIES by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
SCR  LOVE ME SWEET               (motion grah)VELAZQUEZ R 120 10.00    
  (by BERNARDINI out of LOVE CAME TO TOWN by MEDALLIST)
SCR  TIME STONE               (devaux cherie)ORTIZ L 120 4.50    
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of WEEKDAY by DANSILI)
 
KEE-6   10/23/2024 5940ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($125K) Purse ($120K) 3 F PT- 3:40
See original race card.
:242 :50 1:143 1:391   1:521   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NEON ICON 2 1 3 3 4 22 11 (arnold george )ORTIZ L 118 5.00 4.98  
AUDACIOUS 7 3 21 2½ 2nk 12 21 (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 120 6.00 8% 11.20 10.55 P
LANDED 4 6 11 1½ 1nk 32 3 (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 120 3.50 55% 0.80 1.71 S
INTRICATE 3 2 8 8 6 56 4 (walsh bren)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.00 2.26  
JUST BE QUIET 6 4 73 7 86 6 5 (gorham rob)CORRALES GERARDO 118 15.00 39.21  
11  MUSICAL NOTE 9 7 42 4 31 45 6 (cox h)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 8.00 11% 8.10 7.51  
EVERLAND 5 5 6 5 54 78 711 (foster eric)MACHADO LUAN 118 8.00 5% 19.00 10.53  
10  AMERICA'S VOW 8 8 5 6 75 810 812¾ (hamm timothy)GRAHAM J 118 20.00 5% 19.00 53.38  
REGALED 1 9 9 9 99 912½ 913½ (davis g)BOYCE FOREST 118 30.00 64.78  
SCR  LETSTALKABOUTME               (green tro)TORRES A 118 30.00    
SCR  SAKURA BLOSSOM               (powell leonar)ORTIZ JR 118 20.00    
SCR  SANCTIFY               (holsapple )HERNANDEZ J 118 20.00    
 
KEE-7   10/23/2024 3630ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($140K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:12
See original race card.
:212 :443 :57     1:032   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ARREST ME RED 1 5 4 44   33 1¼ (ward wesl)DETTORI LANFRANCO 121 3.50 27% 2.70 2.78 W
10  MO STASH 8 1 3 3   2 2¼ (oliver victor)VELAZQUEZ R 123 4.00 12% 7.20 6.78 P
THAT'S RIGHT 7 2 1 13   1 32 (russell britt)ORTIZ JR 121 8.00 7.42  
MISCHIEVOUS ROGUE 5 9 6 55   45 43 (maker michael )ROSARIO JOEL 123 8.00 5% 19.00 2.96  
MARK OF THE Z 2 4 5 6   6 54 (rodriguez g)BAIRD T 121 20.00 5% 19.00 14.34  
FRONT RUN THE FED 3 7 8 8   88 64 (caramori ca)GUTIERREZ REYLU 123 30.00 36.94  
12  SOSUA SUMMER 9 6 7 7   56 7 (mott willi)GAFFALIONE TYLER 123 15.00 18.36  
OUTADORE 6 3 2 23   7 810¼ (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 121 4.50 37% 1.70 3.95  
EAMONN 4 8 910¼ 911½   911½ 913½ (orseno joseph )ORTIZ L 123 12.00 11.18  
SCR  AGENT PETER GRAVES               (young e)VAZQUEZ A 125 12.00    
SCR  BAD BEAT BRIAN               (vanden britt)EMIGH A 121 10.00    
SCR  BUSHIDO               (hernandez rey)MORALES EDGAR 121 20.00    
SCR  DETERMINED KINGDOM               (schoenthal phi)ROSARIO JOEL 125 6.00    
SCR  JEAN VALJEAN               (merryman eli)GEROUX FLORENT 125 4.50    
SCR  SPANKSTER               (cunningham)ASMUSSEN J 121 20.00    
SCR  STITCHED               (foley greg)PRAT FLAVIEN 123 15.00    
 
KEE-8   10/23/2024 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 2 ALL PT- 4:44
See original race card.
:221 :453 1:104     1:173   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TOUCHY 4 3 4 31   13 1 (ward a)ROSARIO JOEL 119 1.60 39% 1.60 0.63 W
  (by NYQUIST out of TOUCH THE MOON by MALIBU MOON)
MO QUALITY 6 9 1111½ 8   55 2 (davis christop)ORTIZ L 119 12.00 7.71  
  (by MO TOWN out of REVEALING QUALITY by QUALITY ROAD)
11  CAMPAIGN TRAIL 10 1 3 4   23 3 (foster eri)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 20.00 5% 19.00 17.59 S
  (by GLOBAL CAMPAIGN out of LUNA RISING by STAY THIRSTY)
TARTARIAN 5 4 12 11   4 47 (ennis john)LEONARD KILLIAN 119 20.00 54.51  
  (by KANTHAROS out of SUNSET PROMISE by BROKEN VOW)
CAN DO ANDREW 8 2 22 21   33 5 (anderson )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 15.00 17% 5.00 17.89  
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of RAINBOW SPARKLE by MAJESTIC WARRIOR)
10  ORIGINAL SIN 9 7 8 10   6 6 (cox h)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 3.50 21% 3.70 6.61  
  (by CURLIN out of BEAUTY AND LIGHT by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
HARVEST N'HEARTH 1 6 67 7   78 710½ (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 119 15.00 34.09  
  (by MCKINZIE out of SHE HUNG THE MOON by MALIBU MOON)
12  AMOR PATRIAE 11 5 78 6   910½ 815½ (divito j)SANTANA JR 119 8.00 5% 19.00 10.52  
  (by MUNNINGS out of AMAZING LITTLELADY by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
AU CONTRAIRE 2 11 55 5   810 917¼ (antonucci je)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 20.00 23.52  
  (by TAPIT out of DREAM RUSH by WILD RUSH)
ROYAL COACH 3 10 910 9   1013½ 1021¼ (calhoun will)TORRES A 119 20.00 33.59  
  (by STREET SENSE out of ROYAL AZAHAR by CURLIN)
THE FORM 7 8 1010½ 1114¾   1117½ 1130¾ (cowans william)MACHADO LUAN 119 30.00 43.51  
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of PHILLY MIGNON by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
SCR  BAKER HAYFIELD               (heath g)GRAHAM J 119 20.00    
  (by STREET SENSE out of SKYLAR'S PASS by THE FACTOR)
SCR  DISCLAIMER               (terranova p)SAEZ LUIS 119 12.00    
  (by CARACARO out of TARA ROAD by QUALITY ROAD)
SCR  FAUST               (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 119 6.00    
  (by VOLATILE out of WHISTLING STRAITS by CAPE CANAVERAL)
SCR  HITCHCOCK               (eurton peter)SAEZ LUIS 119 6.00    
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of MY DEAR VENEZUELA by WILDCAT HEIR)
SCR  STEPPE               (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 119 15.00    
  (by SKY MESA out of SUBTLE STEP by SMART STRIKE)
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.