Handicappers' Racing Form

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Keeneland
Wednesday - October 23, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

KEE-1   Win (2/9/3/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00
KEE-2   Win (4/11/2/5/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00
KEE-3   Win (6/1/7/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00
KEE-4   Win (4/5/2/7/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00
KEE-5   Win (10/4/9/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00
KEE-6   Win (6/11/9/7/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00
KEE-7   Win (7/1/10/6/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00
KEE-8   Win (4/10/9/12/11) 5 $2.00 $10.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
KEE-1   10/23/2024 5610ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($63K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:00
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  NORISKIT NOBISCUIT Sep08 Aug05 Jun12 Feb17 Jan20 (murphy conor)MORALES EDGAR 118 20.00    
CHA CHA CHUKKA Sep26 Aug19 Jul14 Jun06 Dec28 (walsh p)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 6.00 58% 0.70    
LOW COUNTRY MAGIC Sep26 Jul27 Jun15 May30 Apr17 (correas ignacio )ORTIZ L 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
CRAZY CAMI Sep18 Jun28 May25 Nov02 Oct06 (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 118 4.50    
LUCY GOT GAME Sep20 Aug24 Feb24 Feb04   (amoss thomas)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.00    
SACRED SAINT Sep26 Aug19 Feb04 Jan13 Jan01 (scherer marianne)MACHADO LUAN 118 20.00    
WITS AND WAGERS Sep26 Jul22 Jun15 Nov12 Oct18 (oliver victoria)VELAZQUEZ R 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
YO PUEDO Jul21 Jun15 May11 Aug05 Jun16 (medina robe)TORRES A 122 6.00    
EAST SHORE Sep26 Aug24 Jul22 Nov12 Oct18 (romans dale)LANERIE J 122 3.50 13% 6.80    
 
KEE-2   10/23/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($53K) 2 F PT- 1:32
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHE'S SINGLE AGAIN Sep21         (hartman chris)BEJARANO R 119 4.50    
GOLDEN IRISH         (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 3.50 21% 3.80    
SECURITY PLEDGE         (esquivel jesus)VAZQUEZ A 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
CITIZEN JUDY Sep13 Jun16 Apr11     (ennis john)MORALES EDGAR 119 6.00 33% 2.00    
TEGWAR Sep26 Aug25 Jul09     (wainwright )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
GET IT TOGETHER         (compton greg)ORTIZ L 119 12.00    
ARDITAMENTE         (sims philip )LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 15.00    
MOM'S CHEESECAKE Sep21 Sep04       (kerrick lacy)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 15.00    
LITTLE BIT O STORM Oct06 Sep13 Aug25     (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 119 10.00    
10  SEVENON Sep29         (holsapple hutch)GRAHAM J 119 30.00    
11  BULLET BABY         (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 119 4.00 22% 3.60    
12  REAL MISCHIEVOUS         (tomlinson mich)TORRES A 119 15.00    
SCR  REECHO         (maker mich)SANTANA JR 119 6.00    
SCR  ENDLESS FASHION Sep26         (mendieta alejandro )HESS SARA 112 30.00    
SCR  SHE STOPPED SHORT Sep08 Aug22 Aug01     (campbell joel)ORTIZ L 119 10.00    
SCR  HUIXTLA Aug24 Jun16       (gutierrez fau)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 15.00    
 
KEE-3   10/23/2024 6270ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($63K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:04
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GILDED CRAKEN Sep12 Aug02 Jul12 Jun02 May11 (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 2.50 12% 7.50    
SCR  FEAR OF UNION Sep20 Aug01 Jun28 Jun06 Apr24 (compton greg)ORTIZ JR 122 6.00    
AZOI Sep25 Aug29 Aug10 Jul05 Jun12 (morey e)ORTIZ L 120 20.00    
ATLANTIC DANCER Sep25 Aug26 Aug04 Oct27 Oct08 (cook b)BEJARANO R 122 8.00    
UNSTABLE PRINCE Sep21 Aug17 Aug11 Jul14 Jun16 (jacobson david)VAZQUEZ A 122 6.00    
CURLIN'S GESTURE Sep25 Aug17 Jul21 May11 Jul02 (scherer marianne)MACHADO LUAN 122 3.50 45% 1.20    
APOLLO RISING Jun07 May12 Mar29 Mar02 Jan12 (walden will)TORRES A 122 8.00 11% 8.10    
OVERSTATEMENT Oct04 Sep10 Aug10 Jun07 May24 (miller kenny)LANERIE J 118 20.00 7% 14.20    
MINISTERIAL Aug15 Jun26 Feb18 Jun18 Apr20 (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 122 5.00    
 
KEE-4   10/23/2024 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($32K) Purse ($69K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:36
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROMAN CENTURIAN Sep27 May30 Apr12 Mar21 Mar01 (hamilton sa)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 20.00    
NULLARBOR Oct06 Sep15 Aug06 Jul20 Jun26 (manley stev)TORRES A 122 4.50 7% 13.60    
W W CRAZY Sep22 Jul29 Jul15 May25 Apr20 (santamaria carlo)ORTIZ L 122 10.00    
SHOW TIME Sep29 Aug30 Jun23 May11 May27 (cunningham s)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 5.00 40% 1.50    
STRAVA Aug24 May04 Mar30 Feb09 Jan12 (casse norm)SANTANA JR 122 4.00 26% 2.80    
ROCCO STRONG Sep19 Aug18 Aug01 Jul11 Jun07 (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 122 8.00    
HUGE BIGLY Sep25 Jul14 Jun07 Apr05 Mar21 (shorter aaron)VAZQUEZ A 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
NAVY SOUL Sep19 Aug18 Jul14 Jun07 May16 (pittman bonnie)MONCADA IRVING 115 30.00    
UNDERDRESSED Sep12 Aug05 Jun25 Jun04 May13 (west m)MORALES EDGAR 122 3.00    
10  C F V BULLET Oct06 Sep15 Aug08 Jul06 Jun29 (hernandez armando)EMIGH A 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
KEE-5   10/23/2024 5610ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:08
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
REDO Sep24 Sep07 Aug11 Jun27 May27 (ortiz alexan)VAZQUEZ A 120 30.00    
HIGH SHOT Sep27 Sep07 Oct04 Sep16 Aug26 (simms jr)CONCEPCION AXEL 120 15.00    
IMPRACTICAL DIVA Sep29 Aug26       (mccarthy michael)ROSARIO JOEL 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
MY BRAZILIAN GIRL Aug18 Jul21 Jun29 Oct24 Sep23 (wadsworth k)LEPAROUX R 120 4.00 27% 2.80    
PRETTY PERTINENT Sep21 Jul13       (miller darrin)VELAZQUEZ R 120 20.00    
ONE FRONT WAR Aug31 Jul11       (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 120 6.00    
FUN LOVING Sep13 Aug19 Jul15 May25 Apr18 (oliver victori)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 30.00    
STREETWHEREYOULIVE Jul09 Jun06 Apr17 Oct25   (sims philip)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 120 15.00    
STENTS AND STATINS (GB) Apr19 Feb10 Sep03     (correas ign)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
10  BIRDWATCHING Aug31 Jan20       (delacour arnaud)GRAHAM J 120 1.20 51% 1.00    
11  EIGHT DAYS SOBER Feb07 Dec27       (navarrete anna)MORALES EDGAR 120 30.00    
12  SCENIC BEAUTY Aug31 Aug08 Jun09 Apr20 Jan12 (medina robe)TORRES A 120 20.00    
SCR  BUNDCHEN Aug31 Apr28       (ward wesley )GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 6.00    
SCR  LOVE ME SWEET         (motion graham)VELAZQUEZ R 120 10.00    
SCR  BOURBON THIEF Sep07 Aug08 Mar21     (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 120 6.00    
SCR  TIME STONE Sep15 Aug23 Mar15 Jan21   (devaux cherie)ORTIZ L 120 4.50    
 
KEE-6   10/23/2024 5940ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($125K) Purse ($120K) 3 F PT- 3:40
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SANCTIFY Oct04 Sep11 Aug24 Aug04 Jun29 (holsapple hu)HERNANDEZ J 118 20.00    
REGALED Aug31 Jul27 Jul08 Jun09 May11 (davis g)BOYCE FOREST 118 30.00    
NEON ICON Sep21 Aug17 Jul06 May23 Apr17 (arnold r)ORTIZ L 118 5.00    
SCR  LETSTALKABOUTME Sep20 Jul29 Jun15 May18 Apr07 (green troy)TORRES A 118 30.00    
INTRICATE Aug17 Jul20 Jun15 Mar23 Feb17 (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.00    
LANDED Aug25 Jun09 Apr07 Feb18 Dec17 (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 120 3.50 55% 0.80    
EVERLAND Sep21 Aug25 Aug04 Jul13 Jun01 (foster eric)MACHADO LUAN 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
JUST BE QUIET Sep29 Aug24 Jul06 Jun13 May16 (gorham rober)CORRALES GERARDO 118 15.00    
AUDACIOUS Sep14 Aug03 Jun06     (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 120 6.00 8% 11.20    
10  AMERICA'S VOW Sep13 Aug17 Jul28 Jun01 May03 (hamm timothy)GRAHAM J 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
11  MUSICAL NOTE Aug26 Feb10 Jan27     (cox h)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 8.00 11% 8.10    
SCR  SAKURA BLOSSOM Sep11 Aug17 Jul20 Jun01 May17 (powell leonard)ORTIZ JR 118 20.00    
 
KEE-7   10/23/2024 3630ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($140K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:12
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ARREST ME RED Aug31 Aug04 May04 Mar22 Feb03 (ward wesley)DETTORI LANFRANCO 121 3.50 27% 2.70    
STITCHED Jun01 May02 Nov11 Oct07 Sep02 (foley greg)PRAT FLAVIEN 123 15.00    
MARK OF THE Z Jul28 Apr19 Oct15 Jun21 Apr22 (rodriguez g)BAIRD T 121 20.00 5% 19.00    
FRONT RUN THE FED Aug31 Jul27 Jun14 May04 Apr06 (caramori caio)GUTIERREZ REYLU 123 30.00    
EAMONN Sep28 Aug29 Aug11 Jul20 Jun16 (orseno f)ORTIZ L 123 12.00    
MISCHIEVOUS ROGUE Aug31 Jul28 Jun08 Feb17 Dec02 (maker j)ROSARIO JOEL 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
OUTADORE Sep05 Aug04 Jun22 Apr27 Mar22 (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 121 4.50 37% 1.70    
SCR  BUSHIDO Aug20 Jul20 Jun22 May25 Apr27 (hernandez rey)MORALES EDGAR 121 20.00    
THAT'S RIGHT Sep07 Aug24 Jul20 Jun07 May18 (russell brittan)ORTIZ JR 121 8.00    
10  MO STASH Sep07 Aug04 Jun08 May04 Apr05 (oliver victoria)VELAZQUEZ R 123 4.00 12% 7.20    
SCR  AGENT PETER GRAVES Aug17 Jun29 May27 Apr19 Mar23 (young e)VAZQUEZ A 125 12.00    
12  SOSUA SUMMER Aug31 Jun08 Apr06 Jan20 Dec23 (mott william)GAFFALIONE TYLER 123 15.00    
SCR  SPANKSTER Sep27 Aug04 Jun29 May24 May06 (cunningham s)ASMUSSEN J 121 20.00    
SCR  BAD BEAT BRIAN Jun08 May04 Apr06 Dec31 Dec01 (vanden brittan)EMIGH A 121 10.00    
SCR  DETERMINED KINGDOM Oct05 Aug31 Aug11 Jul20 Jun28 (schoenthal phil)ROSARIO JOEL 125 6.00    
SCR  JEAN VALJEAN Sep21 Aug30 Jul19 Jun19 Feb09 (merryman eliza)GEROUX FLORENT 125 4.50    
 
KEE-8   10/23/2024 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 2 ALL PT- 4:44
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HARVEST N'HEARTH         (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 119 15.00    
AU CONTRAIRE Sep21         (antonucci jena)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 20.00    
ROYAL COACH         (calhoun willia)TORRES A 119 20.00    
TOUCHY Aug10 Jun06       (ward a)ROSARIO JOEL 119 1.60 39% 1.60    
TARTARIAN         (ennis john)LEONARD KILLIAN 119 20.00    
MO QUALITY         (davis christophe)ORTIZ L 119 12.00    
THE FORM         (cowans d)MACHADO LUAN 119 30.00    
SCR  HITCHCOCK Sep12         (eurton peter)SAEZ LUIS 119 6.00    
CAN DO ANDREW Sep28         (anderson do)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 15.00 17% 5.00    
10  ORIGINAL SIN         (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 3.50 21% 3.70    
11  CAMPAIGN TRAIL Sep12 Aug24       (foster eric)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
12  AMOR PATRIAE         (divito jame)TORRES A 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  STEPPE         (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 119 15.00    
SCR  BAKER HAYFIELD         (heath g)GRAHAM J 119 20.00    
SCR  DISCLAIMER         (terranova p)SAEZ LUIS 119 12.00    
SCR  FAUST         (asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J 119 6.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.