Handicappers' Race Results
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Churchill Downs
Friday - November 01, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
CD-1   Win (7/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 7 1 1 $8.26 $8.26 2.26
CD-2   Win (1/6/5/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 4 1 0 $33.44  
CD-3   Win (9/4/6/7/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 3 1 0 $22.68  
CD-4   Win (2/4/5/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 2 1 1 $9.50 $9.50 1.50
CD-5   Win (7/11/5/8/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 4 1 0 $47.80  
CD-6   Win (5/9/4/10/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 9 1 1 $6.64 $6.64  
CD-7   Win (3/8/10/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 3 1 1 $2.62 $2.62  
CD-8   Win (4/1/7/8/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 1 1 1 $12.94 $12.94 2.94
CD-9   Win (1/8/9/11/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 1 1 1 $7.48 $7.48  
CD-10   Win (7/6/5/11) 4 $2.00 $8.00 10 1 0 $22.92  
Simulator Race results
 
CD-1   11/01/2024 5280ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($72K) 2 ALL PT- 1:00
See original race card.
:232 :48 1:122 1:244   1:372   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  HEDGE 6 1 1½ 1½ 1nk 1nk 1¾ (colebrook ben)GRAHAM J 120 3.00 33% 2.00 3.13 W
4  GARDINER 3 4 31 2½ 2nk 2nk 2¾ (sharp joe)CONCEPCION AXEL 120 4.00 7.70  
1  OPTICAL 1 3 2½ 31½ 41½ 31½ 31½ (desormeaux j)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 2.50 32% 2.20 0.66 S
5  RIGHTEOUS STAR 4 2 53 41½ 31 43 45½ (mcpeek kenn)HERNANDEZ J 120 6.00 5% 19.00 10.80  
6  BLAKE JAMES 5 6 42 51¾ 51¾ 55 57¾ (romans dale)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 120 3.50 9.32  
3  GOTTA GUY 2 5 64½ 62¼ 65¾ 69 613¼ (walden william)VAZQUEZ A 120 10.00 12.43  
SCR  MAJOR DAX               (hiles a)LANERIE J 122 10.00    
 
CD-2   11/01/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($66K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:31
See original race card.
:222 :46 :58     1:104   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  CREATIVE QUALITY 4 5 2½ 1nk   1½ 12¼ (moger )PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 118 12.00 15.72  
3  BRIGHT LADY DAY 3 2 1½ 2nk   2½ 22¼ (jackson christ)MONCADA IRVING 111 15.00 5% 19.00 27.52 P
1  WINAKACHING 1 7 72¼ 53½   32½ 34¾ (romans dale)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 118 2.50 29% 2.40 1.04 S
2  RED HOT JEANIE 2 3 31 31½   52¾ 45¼ (drury jr)MORALES EDGAR 120 4.00 12.89  
6  DARK FURY 6 6 61¾ 42   42½ 57 (foley greg)LANERIE J 118 3.50 27% 2.70 2.39  
7  UP ON THE EDGE 7 4 51½ 64½   65¼ 68 (moquett e)BEJARANO R 118 4.50 11.30  
5  PATE 5 1 41½ 75½   76¾ 712¼ (lovell michel)CONCEPCION AXEL 120 3.00 15% 5.60 4.56  
 
CD-3   11/01/2024 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 ALL PT- 2:02
See original race card.
:224 :454 1:113     1:241   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  SONIC SKIDADDLE 3 10 109½ 1010¼   52¼ 14¾ (walsh p)MACHADO LUAN 119 10.00 10.34  
2  REACH 2 9 95 65   62¼ 24¾ (lobo h)ROMAN A 119 15.00 16.04  
4  CANT STOP MUNNINGS 4 4 83 85¾   2nk 34¾ (lynch a)CANNON DECLAN 119 3.00 22% 3.50 0.94 S
5  MISCHIEVOUS INTENT 5 3 51¼ 53½   4¾ 45¾ (asmussen steven)ASMUSSEN ERIK 114 4.00 11.33  
10  RIPPED 10 1 2½ 2nk   3½ 58 (lukas wayn)ASMUSSEN J 119 15.00 28.75  
8  MULTIVERSE 8 8 41 42½   73¼ 69 (mott riley)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 10.00 16.10  
1  BAKER HAYFIELD 1 2 1½ 1nk   1nk 711½ (heath g)GRAHAM J 119 20.00 5% 19.00 39.97  
7  OUR FAVORITE SON 7 5 31 3½   86¼ 815½ (bauer philip )CONCEPCION AXEL 119 8.00 6% 16.80 13.13  
6  QUINTILLION (IRE) 6 6 72¾ 96¼   98¼ 915¾ (miller darrin)BEJARANO R 119 8.00 16% 5.30 11.41  
9  GUARDIAN 9 7 61¼ 75½   1015¼ 1035¼ (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 2.50 27% 2.70 3.93  
 
CD-4   11/01/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($32K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:37
See original race card.
:223 :46 1:113     1:181   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  SLAM DIEGO 2 6 53½ 43   21½ 13 (ortiz alexan)VAZQUEZ A 121 4.00 31% 2.20 3.75 W
3  MOTOWN MIKA 3 5 2nk 1½   11½ 23 (santamaria )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 3.00 2.91  
8  SPARKLE OF HOPE 8 7 32 32   33 34 (foley greg)MORALES EDGAR 121 4.50 4.39  
6  EVIE'S ENCORE 6 3 75¾ 66   66½ 46¼ (hartman chris)MONCADA IRVING 114 4.00 5.61  
7  TWO HEARTED 7 1 88¾ 87½   77 56½ (salas marceli)MIRANDA ROGELIO 118 30.00 5% 19.00 39.11  
1  ELLA FRANCES 1 8 42½ 53½   43½ 67½ (beckman whitwort)CURTIS BEN 121 5.00 4.94  
4  SHE'S JERSEY TUFF 4 2 65½ 76½   87½ 711 (walsh p)LANERIE J 121 15.00 22% 3.60 7.20  
5  BOBBIE SOX 5 4 1nk 2½   56½ 814 (gonzalez reina )SOSA LAUREANO 121 8.00 12% 7.10 9.53  
 
CD-5   11/01/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 ALL PT- 3:14
See original race card.
:221 :454 :574     1:101   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  SPEED KING 4 7 11½ 11½   12½ 12¼ (moquett ronald )MORALES EDGAR 119 12.00 22.90  
7  KALAHARI DREAMS 7 4 42 31½   22½ 22¼ (bauer philip )CONCEPCION AXEL 119 3.50 46% 1.20 1.72 P
5  FAUST 5 3 21½ 21½   33 33¾ (asmussen steven)ASMUSSEN ERIK 114 4.50 5% 19.00 11.76 S
12  GALANTINI 12 2 62¾ 53   46 47½ (lynch a)MONCADA IRVING 112 30.00 45.67  
8  PUTTING EAGLE 8 5 83¼ 76½   78 58½ (hartman chris)BEJARANO R 119 12.00 5% 19.00 6.66  
6  CALDERA 6 12 72¾ 64½   56½ 68½ (lukas wayne)VAZQUEZ A 119 8.00 2.75  
10  POPPA ECHO 10 1 94¾ 108½   89½ 710 (milligan ed)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 12.00 5% 19.00 31.78  
2  GREAT MOMENT 2 11 117½ 1110½   911½ 811½ (foley greg)LANERIE J 119 15.00 55.68  
9  CANISIUS 9 10 105 87   1012 912¼ (dutrow rich)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 119 12.00 21.76  
11  MUBAREZ 11 9 52½ 97½   1112 1013½ (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 3.00 23% 3.40 5.85  
3  LOTTERY WIN 3 6 31½ 42½   67½ 1114½ (asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J 119 8.00 17.17  
1  TEXAS TAILWIND 1 8 1219½ 1228½   1230 1243 (reed r)GRAHAM J 119 20.00 70.30  
 
CD-6   11/01/2024 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 ALL PT- 3:54
See original race card.
:23 :463 1:111     1:234   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  DISCO TIME 8 4 31 2nk   11 13¾ (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 3.00 24% 3.20 2.32 W
10  WHITE WHALE 9 3 42½ 42   33 23¾ (arnold george )MONCADA IRVING 112 15.00 5% 19.00 5.87 P
6  PERFECT FORCE 6 7 84 74   44 34¼ (lukas wayn)ASMUSSEN J 119 12.00 5% 19.00 13.49 S
4  TROUBLESHOOTING 4 1 1½ 1nk   21 44¾ (foley greg)LANERIE J 119 4.50 23% 3.40 3.15  
1  TIME PASSES 1 8 97 63½   67 59¾ (casse mark)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 8.00 19.04  
5  KRAKEN 5 9 73½ 52½   56½ 613¼ (orseno jose)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 119 4.00 29% 2.50 3.38  
2  SAVING HEART 2 6 52½ 96   810 715 (morse l)BEJARANO R 119 6.00 9.29  
3  SINATRA 3 5 63 85½   710 815 (asmussen steven)ASMUSSEN ERIK 114 6.00 15.08  
7  FULL VICTORY 7 2 2½ 3½   916 933¾ (moquett ronald )MORALES EDGAR 119 15.00 51.86  
SCR  TEARS IN RAIN               (dutrow richar)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 12.00    
 
CD-7   11/01/2024 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($127K) 2 F PT- 4:31
See original race card.
:223 :46 1:103     1:234   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  MUHIMMA 3 3 2½ 2nk   14½ 15½ (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 122 1.00 54% 0.90 0.31 W
8  LIAM IN THE DUST 6 1 63½ 64¾   36½ 25½ (brisset rodolphe)MACHADO LUAN 122 10.00 22% 3.60 4.66 P
9  LADY ORIENT 7 7 52 42   47 39 (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 122 15.00 10.09  
2  PLAZA BEACH 2 2 41½ 31½   24½ 49 (lobo h)ROMAN A 122 20.00 35.19  
10  TIZ PURPLE 8 4 31 52¼   610 513¼ (asmussen steven)ASMUSSEN ERIK 117 12.00 5% 19.00 18.67  
5  LIT MISS HAT TRICK 4 6 74½ 78¾   713 617¾ (lynch e)MOJICA JR 122 30.00 65.96  
1  HOLLYGROVE 1 5 1½ 1nk   58½ 719 (beckman wh)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 15.00 11.76  
6  THUNDER KIN 5 8 86 89¼   820 833¼ (catalano m)COHEN DAVID 122 30.00 5% 19.00 74.25  
SCR  CANDY QUEST               (casse mark)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 8.00    
SCR  EVANESCENCE               (walsh p)LANERIE J 122 2.50    
 
CD-8   11/01/2024 5610ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($134K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:11
See original race card.
:221 :464 1:104 1:342   1:401   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BEUYS (IRE) 1 5 42½ 31½ 31½ 3½ 1hd (maker j)VAZQUEZ A 121 5.00 26% 2.80 5.47 W
7  IDRATHERBEBLESSED 5 2 1½ 11 11 1½ 2hd (hartman chris)CANNON DECLAN 121 5.00 9% 10.20 5.40 P
10  HIGGINS BOAT 8 6 2½ 21 21 2½ 3nk (amoss m)LANERIE J 118 10.00 3.77  
3  KITODAN 3 8 75½ 73½ 83¾ 62¼ 4¾ (foster eric)BESCHIZZA ADAM 121 12.00 8.82  
8  GRAY'S FABLE 6 4 86½ 83¾ 62¾ 41½ 51 (stidham micha)CONCEPCION AXEL 121 3.00 8% 11.00 2.21  
9  COWBOY JUSTICE (GB) 7 3 32 52 52½ 52 61¼ (murphy conor)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 12.00 12.00  
11  MENDELSSOHNS MARCH 9 1 53 41½ 41½ 72¼ 71½ (mcpeek kenn)HERNANDEZ J 121 5.00 7.50  
5  QUADRA ISLAND 4 9 99½ 96¾ 95¾ 94¼ 82 (richard tobious)MORALES EDGAR 121 15.00 5% 19.00 24.43  
2  MALIBU SPRINGS 2 7 63½ 63 73¼ 83¾ 94½ (correas ign)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 121 12.00 21.02  
SCR  CLYDE'S GOT A GUN               (pitts helen)MORALES EDGAR 121 6.00    
SCR  DOMINICAN PIONEER               (ward wesley )CORRALES GERARDO 121 2.50 28% 2.50    
SCR  JOHNY'S FIREBALL               (casse w)GEROUX FLORENT 121 10.00    
SCR  KING CURLIN               (vanden brittan)EMIGH A 121 5.00    
SCR  LIAR'S POKER               (londono geneviev)ROCCO S 121 20.00    
SCR  REALIGNMENT               (block chris)COHEN DAVID 118 15.00    
SCR  TAPIT SHOES               (moger jr)ROMAN A 121 10.00    
 
CD-9   11/01/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($31K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:58
See original race card.
:232 :471 1:12     1:241   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MR MCGREGOR 1 4 41¼ 51¼   13 13¾ (cano m)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 120 3.50 43% 1.30 2.74 W
8  ARTWELL 7 7 72¾ 71½   43½ 23¾ (hamilton sarah)GRAHAM J 120 3.00 28% 2.60 3.21 P
11  PRINTS MONEY 10 5 31 3.2   33 34¼ (asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J 118 5.00 5% 19.00 3.78 S
7  TWIRLING TROILLET 6 2 2nk 1nk   23 45 (king l)CHUAN MARTIN 118 12.00 15.03  
6  MERLOTTI 5 8 105¾ 82½   65½ 55½ (wainwright joh)BARBOSA CARLOS 120 20.00 38.69  
13  REWIRE 11 6 51¾ 4¼   54 67¼ (shorter aaron)VAZQUEZ A 120 20.00 9.50  
9  EL GUNNER 8 11 116¾ 93   86¼ 78½ (roberson dennis)MORALES EDGAR 118 4.50 5% 19.00 6.40  
3  FREAKY Z 3 3 61¾ 61½   96¼ 89¼ (hill f)ASHTON GAVIN 120 30.00 85.91  
5  SESAME STREEK 4 1 1nk 2nk   76 913¾ (sharp joe)CONCEPCION AXEL 120 6.00 6.73  
10  FORE FLAG 9 10 84¾ 104½   1010¾ 1018 (moger )PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 120 20.00 5% 19.00 59.07  
2  VIGORISH 2 9 95¼ 116½   1111 1118½ (simms jr)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 20.00 41.21  
SCR  BACKSTRETCH               (cline robert)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 30.00    
SCR  TIZ MARKS SPIRIT               (synnefias p)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 118 20.00    
 
CD-10   11/01/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($92K) 2 ALL PT- 6:45
See original race card.
:213 :453 :582     1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  MCAFEE 9 8 97¾ 43   2½ 13¼ (dutrow rich)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 119 12.00 10.46  
4  GAME DAY 4 10 1012¼ 108¼   45 23¼ (reed r)CORRALES GERARDO 119 12.00 36.64  
5  AKINMUSIRE 5 7 86¾ 54½   33 33¼ (dutrow richar)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 4.50 18% 4.70 9.27 S
7  BERMUDA BLITZ 7 3 42 11½   1½ 44¼ (casse mark)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 3.50 30% 2.40 2.70  
12  SOUTH BEND TOM 11 6 76½ 86¼   55½ 55¾ (stall m)GRAHAM J 119 12.00 15.25  
1  SUPER SNOOP 1 9 65½ 96¼   87 610¼ (pitts helen)MORALES EDGAR 119 20.00 19.09  
8  HOFF 8 1 55½ 75¾   66 710¾ (asmussen steven)ASMUSSEN ERIK 114 6.00 ★ 9.82  
2  SOCK IT TO ME 2 11 1114¾ 119¼   99 812½ (stephen anthony)JIMENEZ ALBIN 119 15.00 22.20  
3  LE CHIFFRE 3 5 11 21½   76½ 917¼ (heath destin)ASMUSSEN J 119 12.00 13.60  
6  TO MONARCH 6 4 31½ 65½   1112 1022 (walsh p)CURTIS BEN 119 4.00 29% 2.50 3.60  
11  KILLJOY 10 2 21 31½   1011½ 1126¼ (rivelli larr)LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 8.00 5% 19.00 4.02  
SCR  HONOR POINT               (lynch a)MONCADA IRVING 112 20.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.