Handicappers' Racing Form

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Churchill Downs
Friday - November 01, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

CD-1   Win (7/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00
CD-2   Win (1/6/5/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00
CD-3   Win (9/4/6/7/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00
CD-4   Win (2/4/5/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00
CD-5   Win (7/11/5/8/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00
CD-6   Win (5/9/4/10/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00
CD-7   Win (3/8/10/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00
CD-8   Win (4/1/7/8/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00
CD-9   Win (1/8/9/11/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00
CD-10   Win (7/6/5/11) 4 $2.00 $8.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
CD-1   11/01/2024 5280ft DIRT RC9 GOOD Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($72K) 2 ALL PT- 1:00
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OPTICAL Oct05 Sep18 Sep05 Aug19 Jun22 (desormeaux j)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 2.50 32% 2.20    
SCR  MAJOR DAX Oct11 Sep19       (hiles a)LANERIE J 122 10.00    
GOTTA GUY Sep25 Aug31       (walden william)VAZQUEZ A 120 10.00    
GARDINER Oct17 Sep12 Aug11     (sharp joe)CONCEPCION AXEL 120 4.00    
RIGHTEOUS STAR Oct19 Sep22 Aug26 Aug12   (mcpeek kenn)HERNANDEZ J 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
BLAKE JAMES Oct17 Sep20 Jul27     (romans dale)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 120 3.50    
HEDGE Oct05 Aug05 Jun13     (colebrook ben)GRAHAM J 120 3.00 33% 2.00    
 
CD-2   11/01/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($50K) Purse ($66K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:31
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WINAKACHING Jun28 May25 Apr20 Mar28   (romans dale)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 118 2.50 29% 2.40    
RED HOT JEANIE Sep20 Aug24 Jun27 May11 Mar27 (drury jr)MORALES EDGAR 120 4.00    
BRIGHT LADY DAY Sep25 Aug29 Jul31 Jul06 Jun19 (jackson christ)MONCADA IRVING 111 15.00 5% 19.00    
CREATIVE QUALITY Sep29 Mar15 Dec29 Dec02   (moger )PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 118 12.00    
PATE Sep25 May03 Mar09 Feb10 Dec30 (lovell michel)CONCEPCION AXEL 120 3.00 15% 5.60    
DARK FURY Sep20 Jul29 Jul11 Jun06 Apr27 (foley greg)LANERIE J 118 3.50 27% 2.70    
UP ON THE EDGE Oct16 Aug24 Jul20 Jun19 May27 (moquett e)BEJARANO R 118 4.50    
 
CD-3   11/01/2024 4620ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 ALL PT- 2:02
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BAKER HAYFIELD         (heath g)GRAHAM J 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
REACH Sep06         (lobo h)ROMAN A 119 15.00    
SONIC SKIDADDLE Sep19         (walsh p)MACHADO LUAN 119 10.00    
CANT STOP MUNNINGS Oct06         (lynch a)CANNON DECLAN 119 3.00 22% 3.50    
MISCHIEVOUS INTENT         (asmussen steven)ASMUSSEN ERIK 114 4.00    
QUINTILLION (IRE) Sep12 Aug05       (miller darrin)BEJARANO R 119 8.00 16% 5.30    
OUR FAVORITE SON Sep27 Aug31       (bauer philip )CONCEPCION AXEL 119 8.00 6% 16.80    
MULTIVERSE         (mott riley)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 10.00    
GUARDIAN         (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 2.50 27% 2.70    
10  RIPPED Sep14 Aug03       (lukas wayn)ASMUSSEN J 119 15.00    
 
CD-4   11/01/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($16K) Purse ($32K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:37
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ELLA FRANCES Oct09 Aug05 Apr30 Mar27 Feb29 (beckman whitwort)CURTIS BEN 121 5.00    
SLAM DIEGO Aug24 Aug01 Aug26 Jul30 Jun16 (ortiz alexan)VAZQUEZ A 121 4.00 31% 2.20    
MOTOWN MIKA Oct12 Sep20 Jul20 Jun19 Mar13 (santamaria )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 3.00    
SHE'S JERSEY TUFF Sep25 Jul13 Feb24 Feb03 Jan04 (walsh p)LANERIE J 121 15.00 22% 3.60    
BOBBIE SOX Sep25 Aug18 Jun20 Jun02 May16 (gonzalez reina )SOSA LAUREANO 121 8.00 12% 7.10    
EVIE'S ENCORE Sep13 Aug19 Apr27 Mar24 Feb04 (hartman chris)MONCADA IRVING 114 4.00    
TWO HEARTED Oct04 Sep25 Sep04 Aug22 Aug01 (salas marceli)MIRANDA ROGELIO 118 30.00 5% 19.00    
SPARKLE OF HOPE Sep13 Jul14 Jun13 May23 Dec13 (foley greg)MORALES EDGAR 121 4.50    
 
CD-5   11/01/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 ALL PT- 3:14
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TEXAS TAILWIND         (reed r)CORRALES GERARDO 119 20.00    
GREAT MOMENT         (foley greg)LANERIE J 119 15.00    
LOTTERY WIN         (asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J 119 8.00    
SPEED KING         (moquett ronald )MORALES EDGAR 119 12.00    
FAUST         (asmussen steven)ASMUSSEN ERIK 114 4.50 5% 19.00    
CALDERA         (lukas wayne)VAZQUEZ A 119 8.00    
KALAHARI DREAMS Sep12         (bauer philip )CONCEPCION AXEL 119 3.50 46% 1.20    
PUTTING EAGLE Sep12         (hartman chris)BEJARANO R 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
CANISIUS         (dutrow rich)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 119 12.00    
10  POPPA ECHO Sep19 Aug24       (milligan ed)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
11  MUBAREZ         (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 3.00 23% 3.40    
12  GALANTINI Sep12         (lynch a)MONCADA IRVING 112 30.00    
 
CD-6   11/01/2024 4620ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 ALL PT- 3:54
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TIME PASSES         (casse mark)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 8.00    
SAVING HEART Sep26         (morse l)BEJARANO R 119 6.00    
SINATRA         (asmussen steven)ASMUSSEN ERIK 114 6.00    
TROUBLESHOOTING Sep26         (foley greg)LANERIE J 119 4.50 23% 3.40    
KRAKEN Sep26         (orseno jose)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 119 4.00 29% 2.50    
PERFECT FORCE Oct09 Sep12 Aug17 Jul20 Jun23 (lukas wayn)ASMUSSEN J 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
FULL VICTORY         (moquett ronald )MORALES EDGAR 119 15.00    
SCR  TEARS IN RAIN         (dutrow richar)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 12.00    
DISCO TIME         (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 3.00 24% 3.20    
10  WHITE WHALE Oct11         (arnold george )MONCADA IRVING 112 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
CD-7   11/01/2024 4620ft DIRT RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($127K) 2 F PT- 4:31
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HOLLYGROVE May24         (beckman wh)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 15.00    
PLAZA BEACH Sep24 Aug14       (lobo h)ROMAN A 122 20.00    
MUHIMMA Sep20         (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 122 1.00 54% 0.90    
SCR  CANDY QUEST Oct03         (casse mark)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 8.00    
LIT MISS HAT TRICK Oct06 Jul11 Jun02     (lynch e)MOJICA JR 122 30.00    
THUNDER KIN Oct04 Aug04       (catalano m)COHEN DAVID 122 30.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  EVANESCENCE Sep13 Aug03       (walsh p)LANERIE J 122 2.50    
LIAM IN THE DUST Oct04 Sep14 Aug11     (brisset rodolphe)MACHADO LUAN 122 10.00 22% 3.60    
LADY ORIENT Aug28 Jul13       (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 122 15.00    
10  TIZ PURPLE Oct04 Aug31 Aug07 Jul04   (asmussen steven)ASMUSSEN ERIK 117 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
CD-8   11/01/2024 5610ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($134K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:11
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BEUYS (IRE) Oct05 Sep01 Jul13 Jun16 May31 (maker j)VAZQUEZ A 121 5.00 26% 2.80    
MALIBU SPRINGS May18 Apr10 Mar20 Feb15 Jan18 (correas ign)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 121 12.00    
KITODAN Sep07 Jul29 Jul06 May18 Apr06 (foster eric)MACHADO LUAN 121 12.00    
DOMINICAN PIONEER Sep11 May27 Apr06 Nov11 Sep13 (ward wesley )CORRALES GERARDO 121 2.50 28% 2.50    
QUADRA ISLAND Sep05 Jul14 Jun29 May18 Apr11 (richard tobious)MORALES EDGAR 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  REALIGNMENT Aug22 Jul27 Jun27     (block chris)COHEN DAVID 118 15.00    
IDRATHERBEBLESSED Oct16 Sep05 Jul20 Jun30 Nov24 (hartman chris)BEJARANO R 121 5.00 9% 10.20    
GRAY'S FABLE Oct03 Jul06 Jun19 May18 Apr20 (stidham micha)CONCEPCION AXEL 121 3.00 8% 11.00    
COWBOY JUSTICE (GB) Oct24 Oct05 Sep12 Aug22 Jun11 (murphy conor)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 12.00    
10  HIGGINS BOAT Oct06 Aug24 Aug12 May27 May04 (amoss m)LANERIE J 118 10.00    
11  MENDELSSOHNS MARCH Oct16 Sep07 Aug17 Jul13 Sep01 (mcpeek kenn)HERNANDEZ J 121 5.00    
SCR  LIAR'S POKER Oct05 Aug30 Jul21 Jun30 May09 (londono geneviev)ROCCO S 121 20.00    
SCR  KING CURLIN Sep07 Aug04 May18 Apr20 Jan01 (vanden brittan)EMIGH A 121 5.00    
SCR  CLYDE'S GOT A GUN Oct05 Sep05 Aug04 Jun22 May31 (pitts helen)MORALES EDGAR 121 6.00    
SCR  JOHNY'S FIREBALL Aug03 Jun29 Jun06 May09 Mar23 (casse w)GEROUX FLORENT 121 10.00    
SCR  TAPIT SHOES Jul29 Jun07 May12 Aug13 Jun10 (moger jr)ROMAN A 121 10.00    
 
CD-9   11/01/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($16K) Purse ($31K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:58
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MR MCGREGOR Sep26 Sep14 Aug26 Jul21 Jun20 (cano m)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 120 3.50 43% 1.30    
VIGORISH Sep06 Jul27 Feb04 Nov07   (simms jr)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 20.00    
FREAKY Z Jul04 Jun12 May24 Apr30 Apr16 (hill f)ASHTON GAVIN 120 30.00    
SCR  TIZ MARKS SPIRIT Oct13 Sep08 Aug24 Aug07 Jun08 (synnefias p)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 118 20.00    
SESAME STREEK Oct08 Sep28 Sep12 Jul28 Jul15 (sharp joe)CONCEPCION AXEL 120 6.00    
MERLOTTI Sep26 Sep08 Aug12 Jul15 Jun23 (wainwright joh)BARBOSA CARLOS 120 20.00    
TWIRLING TROILLET Oct07 Sep26 Aug26 Aug10 Jul05 (king l)CHUAN MARTIN 118 12.00    
ARTWELL Sep13 Aug05 Jul02 Jun20 May11 (hamilton sarah)GRAHAM J 120 3.00 28% 2.60    
EL GUNNER Oct18 Sep18 Aug24 Jul24 Jun28 (roberson dennis)MORALES EDGAR 118 4.50 5% 19.00    
10  FORE FLAG Sep18 Feb11 Dec26 Dec03 Nov17 (moger )PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
11  PRINTS MONEY Sep18 Jul15 Jun05 May12 Apr20 (asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J 118 5.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  BACKSTRETCH Sep11 Aug10 Jul20     (cline robert)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 30.00    
13  REWIRE Oct18 Sep26 Sep03 Aug10 Jul15 (shorter aaron)VAZQUEZ A 120 20.00    
 
CD-10   11/01/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($92K) 2 ALL PT- 6:45
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SUPER SNOOP         (pitts helen)MORALES EDGAR 119 20.00    
SOCK IT TO ME         (stephen anthony)JIMENEZ ALBIN 119 15.00    
LE CHIFFRE         (heath destin)ASMUSSEN J 119 12.00    
GAME DAY         (reed r)CORRALES GERARDO 119 12.00    
AKINMUSIRE Jun19 May02 Apr10     (dutrow richar)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 4.50 18% 4.70    
TO MONARCH Oct06         (walsh p)CURTIS BEN 119 4.00 29% 2.50    
BERMUDA BLITZ Sep25         (casse mark)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 3.50 30% 2.40    
HOFF Sep25 Sep11       (asmussen steven)ASMUSSEN ERIK 114 6.00    
SCR  HONOR POINT         (lynch a)MONCADA IRVING 112 20.00    
10  MCAFEE         (dutrow rich)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 119 12.00    
11  KILLJOY         (rivelli larr)LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
12  SOUTH BEND TOM         (stall m)GRAHAM J 119 12.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.