Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Churchill Downs
Sunday - November 10, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

CD-3   TRI (3/5/6/1)-(3/5/6/1)-(3/5/6/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00  5-6-1 $36.03 $24.03 200%
CD-4   TRI (8/3/16/6)-(8/3/16/6/4)-(8/3/16/6/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00  8-16-3 $45.67 $21.67 90%
CD-5   TRI (3/6/8)-(3/6/8)-(3/6/8) 6 $0.50 $3.00  3-8-6 $7.61 $4.61 154%
CD-7   WIN (7/3/9) 3 $2.00 $6.00  3 $26.46 $20.46 341%
    EXA (7/3/9)-(7/3/9) 6 $2.00 $12.00  3-9 $126.26 $114.26 952%
    DD (12/8/11/10)-(7/3/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00  12-3 $64.85 $52.85 440%
    PK3 (3/6/8)-(12/8/11/10)-(7/3/9) 36 $0.50 $18.00  3-12-3 $54.67 $36.67 204%
    PK4 (8/3/16/6)-(3/6/8)-(12/8/11/10)-(7/3/9) 144 $0.50 $72.00  1/5/7/8/12/14/15-2/3/5-12-3 $143.97 $71.97 100%
CD-8   DD (7/3/9)-(10/6/14/7/16) 15 $1.00 $15.00  3-14 $33.79 $18.79 125%
    PK3 (12/8/11/10)-(7/3/9)-(10/6/14/7/16) 60 $0.50 $30.00  12-3-14 $90.09 $60.09 200%
CD-9   WIN (9/5/13/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00  13 $11.74 $3.74 47%
    EXA (9/5/13/8)-(9/5/13/8) 12 $2.00 $24.00  13-5 $41.30 $17.30 72%
    TRI (9/5/13/8)-(9/5/13/8)-(9/5/13/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00  13-5-9 $23.58 $11.58 97%
    SFT (9/5/13/8)-(9/5/13/8)-(9/5/13/8)-(9/5/13/8) 24 $0.10 $2.40  13-5-9-8 $13.17 $10.77 449%
    DD (10/6/14/7/16)-(9/5/13/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00  14-13 $21.16 $1.16 6%
    PK3 (7/3/9)-(10/6/14/7/16)-(9/5/13/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00  3-14-13 $84.94 $54.94 183%

Simulator Race results

 
CD-1   11/10/2024 5610ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($16K) Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:00
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAD ADAM   (amoss m)LANERIE J 121 2.50 4.43  
SIXWILLBERICH   (sims p)MACHADO LUAN 121 2.00 53% 0.90 2.92 P
HEY BOSS   (van tho)TORRES A 121 5.00 5.21  
QUENCIO   (garcia genar)MONCADA IRVING 111 8.00 2.08  
YES POINT   (mckeever an)CONCEPCION AXEL 121 3.00 17% 4.90 3.01  
CRIMINAL DEFENSE   (barnett bobb)BARBOSA CARLOS 121 20.00 5% 19.00 24.80  
SCR  STAR NATION   (hartlage gary )ELLIOTT JANE 121 15.00    
 
CD-2   11/10/2024 5280ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($58K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:29
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NEON NIGHTS   (blair jordan)TORRES A 121 8.00 5.26  
LEBOMBO   (medina ro)TORRES A 121 10.00 7.23  
ARMY HERO   (cox h)SAEZ LUIS 121 2.50 15% 5.70 2.96 S
SARDIS   (maker mich)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 2.00 17% 5.00 2.73  
SEVEN TAYLORS   (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 116 3.00 44% 1.30 2.47  
SKYLER   (barrett r)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 124 12.00 18.15  
SIR EXTON   (stidham mi)HERNANDEZ J 121 10.00 5% 19.00 13.08  
SCR  ATLANTIC CAT   (beckman d )CORRALES GERARDO 121 15.00    
 
CD-3   11/10/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($16K) Purse ($32K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:58
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MISS TAPPY TONE   (hartman chris)MACHADO LUAN 121 2.50 20% 4.10 2.26 W
MO SENSE   (hartman chris)BEJARANO R 118 3.50 18% 4.40 3.36 P
SHE'S JERSEY TUFF   (kenneally eddie)LANERIE J 121 15.00 17% 5.00 9.39 S
ROCK STAR DOCTOR   (amoss thom)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 4.00 4.11  
CORKAGE FEE   (pino mic)SANTANA JR 118 3.00 22% 3.50 3.19  
LATE NITE LIZZIE   (garcia genar)MONCADA IRVING 111 15.00 11.39  
JERSEY GOLD   (nesbitt amy)POSTON K 111 30.00 45.51  
BAYTOWN KITTY CAT   (edwards willia)ELLIOTT JANE 118 20.00 21.48  
SCR  LADY JUNE   (cast)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 118 6.00    
 
CD-4   11/10/2024 5610ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 F PT- 2:27
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JUST RUTHLESS   (heath dest)HERNANDEZ J 119 3.50 56% 0.80 1.05 W
  (by JUSTIFY out of NOTORIOUS R B G by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
16  SOMETHING STRONGER   (stall m)GRAHAM J 119 12.00 5% 19.00 5.49 P
  (by JUSTIFY out of LORA PADORA by FRANKEL)
HUMBLED   (medina robert)SAEZ LUIS 119 10.00 17% 4.90 12.57 S
  (by WAR OF WILL out of COLINA VERDE by KNOW HEIGHTS)
VIVA GLAM   (devaux ch)TORRES A 119 10.00 8.20  
  (by OSCAR PERFORMANCE out of VIVO PER LEI by EMPIRE MAKER)
COCKTAIL KISSES   (casse ma)SANTANA JR 119 12.00 5.23  
  (by CLASSIC EMPIRE out of CHOCOLATE KISSES by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
13  MY ANGEL DOES   (ennis john)LEONARD KILLIAN 119 20.00 34.24  
  (by HIGHER POWER out of TRUE LOVE IS YARE by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
EYES ON ITALY   (mcpeek ke)HERNANDEZ J 119 12.00 5% 19.00 26.12  
  (by VINO ROSSO out of FORTUNIA by LEROIDESANIMAUX (BRZ))
10  FROSTED KISSES   (amoss thomas)TORRES A 119 10.00 19.52  
  (by FROSTED out of SNUGGS AND KISSES by SOTO (VEN))
ARE YOU A SPY   (bogle fergus)JIMENEZ ALBIN 119 8.00 25.38  
  (by UNION RAGS out of VEIL DANCE by ESKENDEREYA)
11  PRECIOUS MEDLEY   (danner kelse)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 12.00 12.04  
  (by COPPER BULLET out of LADY IRIS by TIMELESS MOMENT)
SCR  BEE BLUFF   (schultz linds)JARA FERNANDO 119 3.00    
  (by DAREDEVIL out of THE VAPORS by CONGRATS)
SCR  EXPECTO PATRONUM   (beckman wh)TORRES A 119 12.00    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of BALLETTE by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
SCR  GOLDEN SUNSHINE   (harty eoin)BEJARANO R 119 1.20    
  (by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of FITFUL SKIES by DUBAWI)
SCR  LES IS BEST   (foster eric)MACHADO LUAN 119 4.00    
  (by CATHOLIC BOY out of UNFOLD THE ROSE by CATIENUS)
SCR  LUSH LIPS (GB)   (walsh bren)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 6.00    
  (by TEN SOVEREIGNS out of LAMYAA by ARCANO (IRE))
SCR  PRINCESS EM TOO   (damato philip)GARCIA MARTIN 119 15.00    
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of PRINCESS WARRIOR by MIDSHIPMAN)
 
CD-5   11/10/2024 3960ft DIRT RC3 SLOPPY Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($141K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:57
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NOM DE PLUME   (lobo paul)TORRES A 120 2.50 62% 0.60 0.46 W
MISS ARLINGTON   (williamso)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 120 8.00 7% 12.70 6.82 P
STELLAR LILY   (moquett e)BEJARANO R 120 5.00 9% 10.70 3.32 S
BE LIKE WATER   (oliver vict)CONCEPCION AXEL 120 10.00 18.03  
FEE   (cruz jesus)CORRALES GERARDO 120 15.00 13.84  
ASSET PURCHASE   (meah m)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 20.00 18.42  
SCR  HAPPY AM I   (stewart da)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 2.00    
SCR  LURE'EM IN   (meah m)MONCADA IRVING 113 5.00    
 
CD-6   11/10/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($42K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:26
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
12  J J'S RANGER   (hartman chris)BEJARANO R 122 3.00 39% 1.60 2.64 W
LEVEE WAS DRY   (stall m)MACHADO LUAN 124 6.00 24% 3.30 2.94 P
GOOD NEWS ROCKET   (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 119 12.00 8.50  
11  BISATE   (bauer phili)CONCEPCION AXEL 122 3.50 17% 4.90 1.49  
10  PHENOMENAL DREAM   (shorter aaron)VAZQUEZ A 122 20.00 5% 19.00 29.67  
LUCCHESI   (habeeb donald )ASHTON GAVIN 122 15.00 17.02  
AFLEET VINTAGE   (drury thomas)MONCADA IRVING 115 15.00 28.54  
ADRIFT   (wojczynski)CORRALES GERARDO 122 20.00 17.05  
SCR  BEE PLUS   (crichton roh)TORRES A 122 30.00    
SCR  GOLDENTOWN   (tomlins)DE CRUZ 122 12.00    
SCR  ODORICO   (caramori edua)GOMEZ AGUSTIN 124 20.00    
SCR  REDEPOSIT   (foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 2.50    
 
CD-7   11/10/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($30K) Purse ($56K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:55
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CODE OMAHA   (gonzalez lili)FLACO ARCELIO 118 15.00 15% 5.80 12.23 W
RED HOT ROD   (hernandez rey)SANJUR SANTO 120 8.00 5% 19.00 2.44 P
DEWY'S BEAST   (danner kelse)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 4.00 44% 1.30 3.43 DQ↓6
SOUND DOCTRINE   (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 120 2.50 1.56  
EXPRESS CRUISER   (williams colby)BEJARANO R 118 12.00 11.48  
FLOTATION STATION   (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 118 3.50 5.59  
SCR  BETTERING   (garcia genaro)CHUAN MARTIN 118 12.00    
SCR  CHISELER   (london)CURTSINGER JOHNATHON 120 8.00    
SCR  HUNTER JOHN   (ortiz john)NOLASCO JONATHAN 110 5.00    
 
CD-8   11/10/2024 3630ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($127K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:25
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
14  GIRLS WEEKEND   (beckman whitwor)SAEZ LUIS 118 5.00 5% 19.00 1.52 W
DON'T SAY IT   (cox h)MACHADO LUAN 118 4.50 7.11  
SATIN BLUE   (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.00 13% 6.60 4.40 S
HEY OLIVIA   (pitts hele)HERNANDEZ J 118 20.00 11.62  
13  GET TWISTED   (navarrete an)MONCADA IRVING 120 10.00 44.88  
UNO LE   (barrett r)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 15.00 5% 19.00 13.49  
DOT   (blair jor)TORRES A 118 30.00 40.63  
CAIRO DREAM   (block chris)COHEN DAVID 120 8.00 11.48  
10  PENNY'S SMILE   (sims a)ACHARD ALEX 118 3.50 56% 0.80 8.04  
16  ZEN MOMENT   (reed r)BEJARANO R 118 8.00 5% 19.00 12.58  
11  PLUM TRICKY   (stewart d)HERNANDEZ J 118 15.00 18.88  
SCR  DREAM ON STORMY   (winston d)ASHTON GAVIN 120 30.00    
SCR  KICK A RHYME (IRE)   (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 120 10.00    
SCR  LA LA ROSE   (foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 15.00    
SCR  MIYAKO   (lynch brian )MONCADA IRVING 113 6.00    
SCR  THE GREAT MAYBE   (devaux che)HERNANDEZ J 120 15.00    
 
CD-9   11/10/2024 5610ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($127K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:55
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
13  YELLOW BRICK   (maker j)VAZQUEZ A 121 8.00 17% 4.80 4.87 W
EGLISE   (lynch brian )GEROUX FLORENT 118 3.50 30% 2.40 2.46 P
CORNISHMAN   (cox h)SAEZ LUIS 118 4.50 31% 2.20 1.87 S
KING RUSSELL   (moquett )SANTANA JR 121 15.00 5% 19.00 6.51  
10  OVER AND OLLIE   (stall m)MACHADO LUAN 121 20.00 7.35  
15  DJANGO   (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 118 12.00 8.22  
12  DAILY GRIND   (lukas wayne)GARCIA MARTIN 118 30.00 21.57  
SCR  SUN THUNDER   (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 121 8.00    
SCR  MULTITASK   (harty eoin)BEJARANO R 118 10.00    
SCR  MOONLIGHT   (block chris)GEROUX FLORENT 118 12.00    
SCR  MIDNIGHT RAID   (casse w)LANERIE J 121 5.00    
SCR  KISSALOT   (lobo h)MACHADO LUAN 121 20.00    
SCR  HALL OF FAME (ARG)   (asmussen s)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 4.00    
SCR  D'ORO UNBRIDLED   (correas i)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 120 8.00    
SCR  WINSTON WOLF   (amoss thomas)TORRES A 121 30.00    
SCR  CHAY'S TORNADO   (morey will)CORRALES GERARDO 123 15.00    
 
CD-10   11/10/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($50K) Purse ($66K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:24
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OVERSTATEMENT   (miller kenny)ROMAN A 118 5.00 5.90  
PARKWAY   (jacobson )CAMACHO JR 121 6.00 4.52  
STELLAR VINO   (cox h)SAEZ LUIS 118 3.50 58% 0.70 3.53 S
COPPER ECHO   (casse w)GEROUX FLORENT 118 4.00 2.66  
10  MO RUM   (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 116 8.00 5% 19.00 9.34  
COACH CAMPBELL   (miller kenny)BURGOS ALBERTO 118 30.00 31.77  
HIGH ENOUGH   (habeeb donald )ASHTON GAVIN 118 30.00 5% 19.00 20.59  
GAME KEEPER   (reed r)TORRES A 121 6.00 8% 11.50 3.54  
SCR  GORILLA TREK   (bauer phili)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 4.50    
SCR  STAR TOPPER   (hiles a)LANERIE J 118 15.00 6% 15.10    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.