Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Churchill Downs
Sunday - November 10, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CD-3   TRI (3/5/6/1)-(3/5/6/1)-(3/5/6/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00  5-6-1 $36.03 $24.03 200%
CD-4   TRI (8/3/16/6)-(8/3/16/6/4)-(8/3/16/6/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00  8-16-3 $45.67 $21.67 90%
CD-5   TRI (3/6/8)-(3/6/8)-(3/6/8) 6 $0.50 $3.00  3-8-6 $7.61 $4.61 154%
CD-7   WIN (7/3/9) 3 $2.00 $6.00  3 $26.46 $20.46 341%
    EXA (7/3/9)-(7/3/9) 6 $2.00 $12.00  3-9 $126.26 $114.26 952%
    DD (12/8/11/10)-(7/3/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00  12-3 $64.85 $52.85 440%
    PK3 (3/6/8)-(12/8/11/10)-(7/3/9) 36 $0.50 $18.00  3-12-3 $54.67 $36.67 204%
    PK4 (8/3/16/6)-(3/6/8)-(12/8/11/10)-(7/3/9) 144 $0.50 $72.00  1/5/7/8/12/14/15-2/3/5-12-3 $143.97 $71.97 100%
CD-8   DD (7/3/9)-(10/6/14/7/16) 15 $1.00 $15.00  3-14 $33.79 $18.79 125%
    PK3 (12/8/11/10)-(7/3/9)-(10/6/14/7/16) 60 $0.50 $30.00  12-3-14 $90.09 $60.09 200%
CD-9   WIN (9/5/13/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00  13 $11.74 $3.74 47%
    EXA (9/5/13/8)-(9/5/13/8) 12 $2.00 $24.00  13-5 $41.30 $17.30 72%
    TRI (9/5/13/8)-(9/5/13/8)-(9/5/13/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00  13-5-9 $23.58 $11.58 97%
    SFT (9/5/13/8)-(9/5/13/8)-(9/5/13/8)-(9/5/13/8) 24 $0.10 $2.40  13-5-9-8 $13.17 $10.77 449%
    DD (10/6/14/7/16)-(9/5/13/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00  14-13 $21.16 $1.16 6%
    PK3 (7/3/9)-(10/6/14/7/16)-(9/5/13/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00  3-14-13 $84.94 $54.94 183%
Simulator Race results
 
CD-1   11/10/2024 5610ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($16K) Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:00
See original race card.
:241 :483 1:124 1:381   1:444   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  MAD ADAM 4 2 33 31 31½ 1nk 1hd (amoss m)LANERIE J 121 2.50 4.43  
6  SIXWILLBERICH 5 3 22 21 1½ 2nk 2hd (sims p)MACHADO LUAN 121 2.00 53% 0.90 2.92 P
4  HEY BOSS 3 6 65 52¾ 42 32 32½ (van tho)TORRES A 121 5.00 5.21  
1  QUENCIO 1 1 12 11 2½ 42½ 47½ (garcia genar)MONCADA IRVING 111 8.00 2.08  
7  YES POINT 6 4 44½ 42½ 53 56½ 59¼ (mckeever an)CONCEPCION AXEL 121 3.00 17% 4.90 3.01  
3  CRIMINAL DEFENSE 2 5 55 62¾ 67½ 614½ 622¾ (barnett bobb)BARBOSA CARLOS 121 20.00 5% 19.00 24.80  
SCR  STAR NATION               (hartlage gary )ELLIOTT JANE 121 15.00    
 
CD-2   11/10/2024 5280ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($58K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:29
See original race card.
:224 :451 1:10 1:23   1:364   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  NEON NIGHTS 7 5 21 11 1½ 13 14 (blair jordan)TORRES A 121 8.00 5.26  
3  LEBOMBO 3 7 79¾ 79 76½ 55½ 24 (medina ro)TORRES A 121 10.00 7.23  
1  ARMY HERO 1 3 41½ 63½ 66½ 45½ 35¼ (cox h)SAEZ LUIS 121 2.50 15% 5.70 2.96 S
5  SARDIS 5 6 61¾ 21 2½ 23 45¾ (maker mich)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 2.00 17% 5.00 2.73  
2  SEVEN TAYLORS 2 2 31½ 42½ 32½ 34½ 56¼ (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 116 3.00 44% 1.30 2.47  
4  SKYLER 4 1 11 31½ 44½ 65¾ 69½ (barrett r)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 124 12.00 18.15  
7  SIR EXTON 6 4 51¾ 53 55 78¾ 712¼ (stidham mi)HERNANDEZ J 121 10.00 5% 19.00 13.08  
SCR  ATLANTIC CAT               (beckman d )CORRALES GERARDO 121 15.00    
 
CD-3   11/10/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($16K) Purse ($32K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:58
See original race card.
:233 :47 1:121 1:244   1:373   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  MISS TAPPY TONE 4 3 62½ 52 11 12 11¼ (hartman chris)MACHADO LUAN 121 2.50 20% 4.10 2.26 W
6  MO SENSE 5 7 75½ 64½ 42½ 22 21¼ (hartman chris)BEJARANO R 118 3.50 18% 4.40 3.36 P
1  SHE'S JERSEY TUFF 1 2 31½ 1nk 32 33 36¾ (kenneally eddie)LANERIE J 121 15.00 17% 5.00 9.39 S
2  ROCK STAR DOCTOR 2 6 52½ 41½ 53½ 56 413 (amoss thom)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 4.00 4.11  
3  CORKAGE FEE 3 1 21 31 21 45 515 (pino mic)SANTANA JR 118 3.00 22% 3.50 3.19  
7  LATE NITE LIZZIE 6 8 85¾ 86 76 69 619¾ (garcia genar)MONCADA IRVING 111 15.00 11.39  
8  JERSEY GOLD 7 5 42 75 88½ 812 725 (nesbitt amy)POSTON K 111 30.00 45.51  
9  BAYTOWN KITTY CAT 8 4 11 2nk 65 711 831¾ (edwards willia)ELLIOTT JANE 118 20.00 21.48  
SCR  LADY JUNE               (cast)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 118 6.00    
 
CD-4   11/10/2024 5610ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 F PT- 2:27
See original race card.
:243 :492 1:141 1:393   1:461   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  JUST RUTHLESS 5 2 11 11 1½ 12½ 16 (heath dest)HERNANDEZ J 119 3.50 56% 0.80 1.05 W
  (by JUSTIFY out of NOTORIOUS R B G by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
16  SOMETHING STRONGER 10 3 31½ 31 2½ 22½ 26 (stall m)GRAHAM J 119 12.00 5% 19.00 5.49 P
  (by JUSTIFY out of LORA PADORA by FRANKEL)
3  HUMBLED 2 5 64 64 65 37½ 310¼ (medina robert)SAEZ LUIS 119 10.00 17% 4.90 12.57 S
  (by WAR OF WILL out of COLINA VERDE by KNOW HEIGHTS)
9  VIVA GLAM 6 4 21 21 44 49 419 (devaux ch)TORRES A 119 10.00 8.20  
  (by OSCAR PERFORMANCE out of VIVO PER LEI by EMPIRE MAKER)
2  COCKTAIL KISSES 1 6 42 41½ 33½ 510 519¼ (casse ma)SANTANA JR 119 12.00 5.23  
  (by CLASSIC EMPIRE out of CHOCOLATE KISSES by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
13  MY ANGEL DOES 9 9 53 53 54 613 623¾ (ennis john)LEONARD KILLIAN 119 20.00 34.24  
  (by HIGHER POWER out of TRUE LOVE IS YARE by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
6  EYES ON ITALY 4 10 95½ 96 76 714½ 727¼ (mcpeek ke)HERNANDEZ J 119 12.00 5% 19.00 26.12  
  (by VINO ROSSO out of FORTUNIA by LEROIDESANIMAUX (BRZ))
10  FROSTED KISSES 7 7 84½ 74½ 88 818½ 828 (amoss thomas)TORRES A 119 10.00 19.52  
  (by FROSTED out of SNUGGS AND KISSES by SOTO (VEN))
4  ARE YOU A SPY 3 1 74 85 1015 1023½ 932¾ (bogle fergus)JIMENEZ ALBIN 119 8.00 ★ 25.38  
  (by UNION RAGS out of VEIL DANCE by ESKENDEREYA)
11  PRECIOUS MEDLEY 8 8 106 106½ 910½ 921 1033¼ (danner kelse)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 12.00 12.04  
  (by COPPER BULLET out of LADY IRIS by TIMELESS MOMENT)
SCR  BEE BLUFF               (schultz linds)JARA FERNANDO 119 3.00    
  (by DAREDEVIL out of THE VAPORS by CONGRATS)
SCR  EXPECTO PATRONUM               (beckman wh)TORRES A 119 12.00    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of BALLETTE by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
SCR  GOLDEN SUNSHINE               (harty eoin)BEJARANO R 119 1.20    
  (by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of FITFUL SKIES by DUBAWI)
SCR  LES IS BEST               (foster eric)MACHADO LUAN 119 4.00    
  (by CATHOLIC BOY out of UNFOLD THE ROSE by CATIENUS)
SCR  LUSH LIPS (GB)               (walsh bren)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 6.00    
  (by TEN SOVEREIGNS out of LAMYAA by ARCANO (IRE))
SCR  PRINCESS EM TOO               (damato philip)GARCIA MARTIN 119 15.00    
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of PRINCESS WARRIOR by MIDSHIPMAN)
 
CD-5   11/10/2024 3960ft DIRT RC3 SLOPPY Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($141K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:57
See original race card.
:211 :443 :571     1:10   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  NOM DE PLUME 2 5 45 32½   21½ 15¼ (lobo paul)TORRES A 120 2.50 62% 0.60 0.46 W
8  MISS ARLINGTON 6 4 22½ 1½   11½ 25¼ (williamso)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 120 8.00 7% 12.70 6.82 P
6  STELLAR LILY 4 2 12½ 2½   32 37 (moquett e)BEJARANO R 120 5.00 9% 10.70 3.32 S
7  BE LIKE WATER 5 1 65½ 56½   58 48¾ (oliver vict)CONCEPCION AXEL 120 10.00 18.03  
1  FEE 1 3 33½ 44   45½ 510 (cruz jesus)CORRALES GERARDO 120 15.00 13.84  
4  ASSET PURCHASE 3 6 55½ 68½   613 622¾ (meah m)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 20.00 18.42  
SCR  HAPPY AM I               (stewart da)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 2.00    
SCR  LURE'EM IN               (meah m)MONCADA IRVING 113 5.00    
 
CD-6   11/10/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($42K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:26
See original race card.
:213 :453 :574     1:103   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
12  J J'S RANGER 8 1 32 3.2   1½ 11½ (hartman chris)BEJARANO R 122 3.00 39% 1.60 2.64 W
8  LEVEE WAS DRY 5 5 43 41¾   2½ 21½ (stall m)MACHADO LUAN 124 6.00 24% 3.30 2.94 P
3  GOOD NEWS ROCKET 2 6 65½ 52¾   33 34½ (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 119 12.00 8.50  
11  BISATE 7 2 2½ 2nk   44 410 (bauer phili)CONCEPCION AXEL 122 3.50 17% 4.90 1.49  
10  PHENOMENAL DREAM 6 7 811 76¾   67 511 (shorter aaron)VAZQUEZ A 122 20.00 5% 19.00 29.67  
7  LUCCHESI 4 3 1½ 1nk   54 611 (habeeb donald )ASHTON GAVIN 122 15.00 17.02  
2  AFLEET VINTAGE 1 8 710½ 87¼   812 719½ (drury thomas)MONCADA IRVING 115 15.00 28.54  
4  ADRIFT 3 4 53½ 64¾   79½ 821½ (wojczynski)CORRALES GERARDO 122 20.00 17.05  
SCR  BEE PLUS               (crichton roh)TORRES A 122 30.00    
SCR  GOLDENTOWN               (tomlins)DE CRUZ 122 12.00    
SCR  ODORICO               (caramori edua)GOMEZ AGUSTIN 124 20.00    
SCR  REDEPOSIT               (foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 2.50    
 
CD-7   11/10/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($30K) Purse ($56K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:55
See original race card.
:213 :45 :574     1:111   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  CODE OMAHA 3 1 56 33½   31½ 11 (gonzalez lili)FLACO ARCELIO 118 15.00 15% 5.80 12.23 W
9  RED HOT ROD 6 4 2½ 2nk   1nk 21 (hernandez rey)SANJUR SANTO 120 8.00 5% 19.00 2.44 P
7  DEWY'S BEAST 5 2 1½ 1nk   2nk 32½ (danner kelse)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 4.00 44% 1.30 3.43 DQ↓6
1  SOUND DOCTRINE 1 5 46 66¾   44 42½ (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 120 2.50 1.56  
2  EXPRESS CRUISER 2 6 66½ 56½   66 53½ (williams colby)BEJARANO R 118 12.00 11.48  
5  FLOTATION STATION 4 3 33½ 44½   54½ 68 (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 118 3.50 5.59  
SCR  BETTERING               (garcia genaro)CHUAN MARTIN 118 12.00    
SCR  CHISELER               (london)CURTSINGER JOHNATHON 120 8.00    
SCR  HUNTER JOHN               (ortiz john)NOLASCO JONATHAN 110 5.00    
 
CD-8   11/10/2024 3630ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($127K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:25
See original race card.
:222 :453 :574     1:042   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
14  GIRLS WEEKEND 10 9 2nk 1½   1½ 11½ (beckman whitwor)SAEZ LUIS 118 5.00 5% 19.00 1.52 W
1  DON'T SAY IT 1 7 106¼ 106¾   64½ 21½ (cox h)MACHADO LUAN 118 4.50 7.11  
6  SATIN BLUE 4 4 83¼ 52   2½ 31¾ (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.00 13% 6.60 4.40 S
2  HEY OLIVIA 2 1 41 42   31½ 42¾ (pitts hele)HERNANDEZ J 118 20.00 11.62  
13  GET TWISTED 9 11 117¼ 117¼   86 53¼ (navarrete an)MONCADA IRVING 120 10.00 44.88  
7  UNO LE 5 3 1nk 2½   42 65¾ (barrett r)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 15.00 5% 19.00 13.49  
4  DOT 3 5 73 73¼   75½ 75¾ (blair jor)TORRES A 118 30.00 40.63  
9  CAIRO DREAM 6 8 95¾ 95¾   107½ 86 (block chris)COHEN DAVID 120 8.00 11.48  
10  PENNY'S SMILE 7 2 62½ 84¾   96 97¾ (sims a)ACHARD ALEX 118 3.50 56% 0.80 8.04  
16  ZEN MOMENT 11 10 3½ 31   54 109¾ (reed r)BEJARANO R 118 8.00 5% 19.00 12.58  
11  PLUM TRICKY 8 6 51½ 63   118 1110 (stewart d)HERNANDEZ J 118 15.00 18.88  
SCR  DREAM ON STORMY               (winston d)ASHTON GAVIN 120 30.00    
SCR  KICK A RHYME (IRE)               (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 120 10.00    
SCR  LA LA ROSE               (foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 15.00    
SCR  MIYAKO               (lynch brian )MONCADA IRVING 113 6.00    
SCR  THE GREAT MAYBE               (devaux che)HERNANDEZ J 120 15.00    
 
CD-9   11/10/2024 5610ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($127K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:55
See original race card.
:234 :472 1:112 1:371   1:442   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
13  YELLOW BRICK 6 1 31½ 31 3.2 1½ 11½ (maker j)VAZQUEZ A 121 8.00 17% 4.80 4.87 W
5  EGLISE 1 4 11 1½ 1nk 2½ 21½ (lynch brian )GEROUX FLORENT 118 3.50 30% 2.40 2.46 P
9  CORNISHMAN 3 3 43½ 52½ 52¾ 43½ 32 (cox h)SAEZ LUIS 118 4.50 31% 2.20 1.87 S
8  KING RUSSELL 2 5 64½ 42½ 42¾ 53½ 44 (moquett )SANTANA JR 121 15.00 5% 19.00 6.51  
10  OVER AND OLLIE 4 2 21 2½ 2nk 33 55¼ (stall m)MACHADO LUAN 121 20.00 7.35  
15  DJANGO 7 7 76½ 63 63¼ 66 69¼ (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 118 12.00 8.22  
12  DAILY GRIND 5 6 54½ 74 77¼ 713 728¾ (lukas wayne)GARCIA MARTIN 118 30.00 21.57  
SCR  SUN THUNDER               (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 121 8.00    
SCR  MULTITASK               (harty eoin)BEJARANO R 118 10.00    
SCR  MOONLIGHT               (block chris)GEROUX FLORENT 118 12.00    
SCR  MIDNIGHT RAID               (casse w)LANERIE J 121 5.00    
SCR  KISSALOT               (lobo h)MACHADO LUAN 121 20.00    
SCR  HALL OF FAME (ARG)               (asmussen s)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 4.00    
SCR  D'ORO UNBRIDLED               (correas i)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 120 8.00    
SCR  WINSTON WOLF               (amoss thomas)TORRES A 121 30.00    
SCR  CHAY'S TORNADO               (morey will)CORRALES GERARDO 123 15.00    
 
CD-10   11/10/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($50K) Purse ($66K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:24
See original race card.
:231 :46 1:104 1:232   1:372   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  OVERSTATEMENT 6 4 2nk 31 2nk 11½ 1¾ (miller kenny)ROMAN A 118 5.00 5.90  
7  PARKWAY 5 3 3.2 2nk 1nk 21½ 2¾ (jacobson )CAMACHO JR 121 6.00 4.52  
9  STELLAR VINO 7 6 52¾ 42 42 32½ 31 (cox h)SAEZ LUIS 118 3.50 58% 0.70 3.53 S
5  COPPER ECHO 3 1 1nk 1nk 3½ 45 47 (casse w)GEROUX FLORENT 118 4.00 2.66  
10  MO RUM 8 5 42¼ 52½ 54 57½ 59¼ (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 116 8.00 5% 19.00 9.34  
6  COACH CAMPBELL 4 2 64¾ 64 65½ 68 611 (miller kenny)BURGOS ALBERTO 118 30.00 31.77  
4  HIGH ENOUGH 2 8 77¾ 76½ 79 710 711¾ (habeeb donald )ASHTON GAVIN 118 30.00 5% 19.00 20.59  
3  GAME KEEPER 1 7 87¾ 87 812½ 815 824¾ (reed r)TORRES A 121 6.00 8% 11.50 3.54  
SCR  GORILLA TREK               (bauer phili)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 4.50    
SCR  STAR TOPPER               (hiles a)LANERIE J 118 15.00 6% 15.10    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.