Handicappers' Racing Form

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Churchill Downs
Sunday - November 10, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

CD-1   Win (6/7/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00
CD-2   Win (2/5/1/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00
CD-3   Win (3/5/6/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00
CD-4   Win (8/3/6/16) 4 $2.00 $8.00
CD-5   Win (3/6/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00
CD-6   Win (12/8/11/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00
CD-7   Win (7/3/9) 3 $2.00 $6.00
CD-8   Win (10/6/14/7/16) 5 $2.00 $10.00
CD-9   Win (9/5/13/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00
CD-10   Win (9/3/1/10/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
CD-1   11/10/2024 5610ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($16K) Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:00
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
QUENCIO Jun20 May27 Apr25 Apr12 Mar08 (garcia genaro)MONCADA IRVING 111 8.00    
SCR  STAR NATION Sep29 Sep18 Aug04 Jun28 Jun12 (hartlage g)ELLIOTT JANE 121 15.00    
CRIMINAL DEFENSE Oct22 Sep29 Sep10 Aug17 Jun22 (barnett bobby )BARBOSA CARLOS 121 20.00 5% 19.00    
HEY BOSS Oct08 Aug27 Jul22 Jun10 Apr02 (van thoma)TORRES A 121 5.00    
MAD ADAM Sep18 Aug26 Jul08 Jun10 Mar22 (amoss m)LANERIE J 121 2.50    
SIXWILLBERICH Oct18 Sep18 Aug19 Jul11 Jun19 (sims p)MACHADO LUAN 121 2.00 53% 0.90    
YES POINT Oct18 Sep11 Aug14 Jul10 Mar22 (mckeever andr)CONCEPCION AXEL 121 3.00 17% 4.90    
 
CD-2   11/10/2024 5280ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($58K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:29
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ARMY HERO Oct05         (cox h)SAEZ LUIS 121 2.50 15% 5.70    
SEVEN TAYLORS Oct10 Sep20 Aug03 Jun27 May17 (asmussen steven)ASMUSSEN ERIK 116 3.00 44% 1.30    
LEBOMBO Sep20 Aug29 Jun12 May17 Apr19 (medina robe)TORRES A 121 10.00    
SKYLER Oct19 Sep28       (barrett rod)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 124 12.00    
SARDIS May18 Apr18 Feb25 Jan28 Nov17 (maker michae)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 2.00 17% 5.00    
SCR  ATLANTIC CAT Sep20         (beckman wh)CORRALES GERARDO 121 15.00    
SIR EXTON Mar07 Jan21 Dec23 Nov25 Oct26 (stidham mich)HERNANDEZ J 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
NEON NIGHTS Sep20 Aug13 Jun30     (blair jordan)TORRES A 121 8.00    
 
CD-3   11/10/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($16K) Purse ($32K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:58
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHE'S JERSEY TUFF Nov01 Sep25 Jul13 Feb24 Feb03 (kenneally eddie)LANERIE J 121 15.00 17% 5.00    
ROCK STAR DOCTOR Sep27 Jul31 Jun05 May18 Apr11 (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 118 4.00    
CORKAGE FEE Sep27 Sep13 Aug05 Jun14 Apr30 (pino micha)SANTANA JR 118 3.00 22% 3.50    
SCR  LADY JUNE Sep29 Jul28 Jul04 Jun07 May02 (castan)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 118 6.00    
MISS TAPPY TONE Sep27 Aug29 Jul13 Jun01 Apr30 (hartman chris)MACHADO LUAN 121 2.50 20% 4.10    
MO SENSE Sep27 Jul05 Jun14 Apr30 Mar20 (hartman chris)BEJARANO R 118 3.50 18% 4.40    
LATE NITE LIZZIE Oct28 Sep27 Jun08 May11 Mar07 (garcia genaro)MONCADA IRVING 111 15.00    
JERSEY GOLD Oct24 Oct12 Sep17 Aug31 Feb07 (nesbitt amy)POSTON K 111 30.00    
BAYTOWN KITTY CAT Sep26 Sep11 Aug28 Aug10 Jul26 (edwards william)ELLIOTT JANE 118 20.00    
 
CD-4   11/10/2024 5610ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 F PT- 2:27
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  LES IS BEST Sep11 Aug19       (foster eric)MACHADO LUAN 119 4.00    
COCKTAIL KISSES Sep20         (casse mark)SANTANA JR 119 12.00    
HUMBLED Sep26 Sep01       (medina robert)SAEZ LUIS 119 10.00 17% 4.90    
ARE YOU A SPY Oct13 Sep08 Aug25     (bogle fergus)JIMENEZ ALBIN 119 8.00    
SCR  PRINCESS EM TOO Sep29         (damato philip)GARCIA MARTIN 119 15.00    
EYES ON ITALY         (mcpeek kenn)HERNANDEZ J 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  LUSH LIPS (GB) Sep11         (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 6.00    
JUST RUTHLESS Oct13         (heath destin)HERNANDEZ J 119 3.50 56% 0.80    
VIVA GLAM         (devaux cher)TORRES A 119 10.00    
10  FROSTED KISSES         (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 119 10.00    
11  PRECIOUS MEDLEY Oct26 Sep11       (danner kelsey)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 12.00    
SCR  EXPECTO PATRONUM         (beckman whit)TORRES A 119 12.00    
13  MY ANGEL DOES Oct06         (ennis john)LEONARD KILLIAN 119 20.00    
SCR  BEE BLUFF Oct05 Aug23 Jul27     (schultz lindsay)JARA FERNANDO 119 3.00    
SCR  GOLDEN SUNSHINE Oct06 Aug31 Jul30     (harty eoin)BEJARANO R 119 1.20    
16  SOMETHING STRONGER         (stall m)GRAHAM J 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
CD-5   11/10/2024 3960ft DIRT RC3 SLOPPY Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($141K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:57
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FEE Aug31 Jul07 May31 Mar08 Feb01 (cruz jesus)CORRALES GERARDO 120 15.00    
SCR  LURE'EM IN Oct13 Sep13 Aug13 Jun27 Jun07 (meah m)MONCADA IRVING 113 5.00    
NOM DE PLUME Aug24 Jun16 Apr26 Mar20 Nov01 (lobo paulo )TORRES A 120 2.50 62% 0.60    
ASSET PURCHASE Oct13 Sep04 Aug03 May18 Apr18 (meah m)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 20.00    
SCR  HAPPY AM I Sep14 Jul05 May27 Apr27 Feb03 (stewart dall)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 2.00    
STELLAR LILY Apr27 Apr04 Mar08 Jan13 Nov25 (moquett ronald )MORALES EDGAR 120 5.00 9% 10.70    
BE LIKE WATER Oct13 Sep13 Jul18 May27 Apr26 (oliver victor)CONCEPCION AXEL 120 10.00    
MISS ARLINGTON May24 Apr18 Feb03 Dec22 Nov08 (williamson )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 120 8.00 7% 12.70    
 
CD-6   11/10/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($42K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:26
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BEE PLUS Sep19 Sep07 Aug13 Dec23 Dec07 (crichton rohan)TORRES A 122 30.00    
AFLEET VINTAGE Oct09         (drury j)MONCADA IRVING 115 15.00    
GOOD NEWS ROCKET Sep22 Aug25 Aug06 Jul02 Sep03 (asmussen steven)ASMUSSEN ERIK 119 12.00    
ADRIFT Sep18 Jul03 Jun12 May10 Apr19 (wojczynski just)MORALES EDGAR 122 20.00    
SCR  ODORICO         (caramori eduard)GOMEZ AGUSTIN 124 20.00    
SCR  REDEPOSIT Sep15 Feb08 Dec16 Nov26 Oct20 (foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 2.50    
LUCCHESI Oct20 Sep28 Sep12 Aug17 Jul21 (habeeb j)ASHTON GAVIN 122 15.00    
LEVEE WAS DRY Oct27 Sep14       (stall m)MACHADO LUAN 124 6.00 24% 3.30    
SCR  GOLDENTOWN Sep19 Aug29 Aug08 Jul15 Jun02 (tomlinson)DE CRUZ 122 12.00    
10  PHENOMENAL DREAM Oct20 Sep22 Aug04 Jun07 May11 (shorter aaron)VAZQUEZ A 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
11  BISATE Dec23         (bauer philip )CONCEPCION AXEL 122 3.50 17% 4.90    
12  J J'S RANGER Oct25 Sep22 Aug17 Jul15 Jun30 (hartman chris)BEJARANO R 122 3.00 39% 1.60    
 
CD-7   11/10/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($30K) Purse ($56K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:55
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SOUND DOCTRINE Oct09 Sep18 Aug05 Jun02 May17 (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 120 2.50    
EXPRESS CRUISER Sep22 Jul13 Jun12 May19 Apr27 (williams colby)BEJARANO R 118 12.00    
CODE OMAHA Oct17 Oct01 Sep09 Aug19 Jul20 (gonzalez lilia)FLACO ARCELIO 118 15.00 15% 5.80    
SCR  HUNTER JOHN Sep28 Sep05 Aug11 Jul20 Jan16 (ortiz a)NOLASCO JONATHAN 110 5.00    
FLOTATION STATION Sep28 Aug27 Jul04 Jun09 May03 (asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J 118 3.50    
SCR  CHISELER Oct18 Sep07 Aug11 Jul20 Jun22 (londono )CURTSINGER JOHNATHON 120 8.00    
DEWY'S BEAST Oct24 Sep03 Jul15 Aug26 Jul27 (danner kelsey)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 4.00 44% 1.30    
SCR  BETTERING Sep27 Jun12 May18 Apr27 Feb02 (garcia genaro)CHUAN MARTIN 118 12.00    
RED HOT ROD Oct01 Sep11 Jul27 Apr24 Apr05 (hernandez rey)MORALES EDGAR 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
CD-8   11/10/2024 3630ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($127K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:25
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DON'T SAY IT Aug29 Aug05 Oct21 Sep16   (cox h)MACHADO LUAN 118 4.50    
HEY OLIVIA Oct16 Sep15 Aug17 Jul27 Jun29 (pitts helen)MORALES EDGAR 118 20.00    
SCR  THE GREAT MAYBE Mar03 Dec31 Nov10 Sep21 Nov26 (devaux cheri)HERNANDEZ J 120 15.00    
DOT Sep25 Aug03 Jun01 Apr14 Mar24 (blair jorda)TORRES A 118 30.00    
DREAM ON STORMY Oct26 Oct03 Aug29 Aug21 Jul29 (winston d)ASHTON GAVIN 120 30.00    
SATIN BLUE Oct20 Sep01 Jul27 Jun26 Jun02 (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.00 13% 6.60    
UNO LE Oct19 Sep27 Nov23     (barrett rod)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  MIYAKO Oct07 Sep01 Aug05 Jun26 Jun02 (lynch a)MONCADA IRVING 113 6.00    
CAIRO DREAM Sep12         (block chris)COHEN DAVID 120 8.00    
10  PENNY'S SMILE Oct16 Aug31 Jul05 May25 Apr20 (sims a)ACHARD ALEX 118 3.50 56% 0.80    
11  PLUM TRICKY Aug24 Jul13 Jun05 Apr25 Mar16 (stewart dal)HERNANDEZ J 118 15.00    
SCR  KICK A RHYME (IRE) Mar16 Feb17 Jan13 Dec17 Nov01 (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 120 10.00    
13  GET TWISTED Oct20 Aug04 Oct22 Sep15   (navarrete anna)MORALES EDGAR 120 10.00    
14  GIRLS WEEKEND Sep25 Aug17 Jul20 May20 Jun16 (beckman whitworth)SAEZ LUIS 118 5.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  LA LA ROSE Sep25 Aug10 Jul13 Jun19 May11 (foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 15.00    
16  ZEN MOMENT Sep25 Jun26 May25 Apr20 Mar28 (reed r)BEJARANO R 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
CD-9   11/10/2024 5610ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($127K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:55
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  D'ORO UNBRIDLED Oct16 Sep15 Jul27 May04 Apr06 (correas ign)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 120 8.00    
SCR  CHAY'S TORNADO Oct03 Jul29 Jun03     (morey willia)CORRALES GERARDO 123 15.00    
SCR  SUN THUNDER Sep20 Aug28 Jun27 Jun09 Mar14 (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 121 8.00    
SCR  MOONLIGHT Oct16 Jul27 Jun29 Apr13 Feb17 (block chris)GEROUX FLORENT 118 12.00    
EGLISE Oct05 Sep15 Aug18 Jul28   (lynch a)MORALES EDGAR 118 3.50 30% 2.40    
SCR  MIDNIGHT RAID Sep19 Jul21 Jun09 May10 Apr12 (casse w)LANERIE J 121 5.00    
SCR  HALL OF FAME (ARG) Mar23 Feb17 Jan20 Nov26   (asmussen ste)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 4.00    
KING RUSSELL Sep19 Aug18 Jul21 May24 Apr28 (moquett ro)SANTANA JR 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
CORNISHMAN Sep14 Aug24 Jun30 May04 Mar16 (cox h)SAEZ LUIS 118 4.50 31% 2.20    
10  OVER AND OLLIE Oct09 Aug31 Jul12 Jun16 Sep03 (stall m)MACHADO LUAN 121 20.00    
SCR  WINSTON WOLF Sep26 Aug18 Jul21 Jun23 May27 (amoss m)TORRES A 121 30.00    
12  DAILY GRIND Sep26 Sep02 Aug15 Jul12 Jun08 (lukas wayne)GARCIA MARTIN 118 30.00    
13  YELLOW BRICK Oct16 Sep19 Sep05 Jul20 Apr27 (maker j)VAZQUEZ A 121 8.00 17% 4.80    
SCR  KISSALOT Sep27 May10 Mar23 May03 Apr01 (lobo h)MACHADO LUAN 121 20.00    
15  DJANGO Oct16 Sep14 Jul19 Jun15 May10 (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 118 12.00    
SCR  MULTITASK Aug24 Jul28 Jun19     (harty eoin)BEJARANO R 118 10.00    
 
CD-10   11/10/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($50K) Purse ($66K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:24
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STAR TOPPER Aug03 Jul15 Jun23 May27   (hiles a)LANERIE J 118 15.00 6% 15.10    
SCR  GORILLA TREK Sep26 Sep01 Jul20 May11 Apr13 (bauer philip )CONCEPCION AXEL 118 4.50    
GAME KEEPER May12 Apr28 Apr13 Mar29 Mar07 (reed r)TORRES A 121 6.00 8% 11.50    
HIGH ENOUGH Oct20 Mar01 Feb01 Jan11 Dec22 (habeeb j)ASHTON GAVIN 118 30.00 5% 19.00    
COPPER ECHO Sep25 Aug18 Jul28 Jun29 Jun09 (casse w)GEROUX FLORENT 118 4.00    
COACH CAMPBELL Oct31 Sep04 Aug15 Jul27 Jul06 (miller kenny)BURGOS ALBERTO 118 30.00    
PARKWAY Oct04 Sep25 Sep14 Aug07 Jul11 (jacobson da)CAMACHO JR 121 6.00    
OVERSTATEMENT Oct23 Oct04 Sep10 Aug10 Jun07 (miller kenny)ROMAN A 118 5.00    
STELLAR VINO Oct02 Jul29 Jul09 Jun18 May04 (cox h)SAEZ LUIS 118 3.50 58% 0.70    
10  MO RUM Sep14 Aug25 Jul15 Jun06 Apr30 (asmussen steven)ASMUSSEN ERIK 116 8.00 5% 19.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.