Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Churchill Downs
Friday - November 08, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race results
 
CD-1   11/08/2024 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($39K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:00
See original race card.
:241 :48 1:121 1:374   1:45   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  MERCY WARREN 7 4 11 1½ 12½ 16 14½ (foley greg)SAEZ LUIS 121 2.50 1.48  
5  LADY MERCEDES 4 2 54½ 55 58 37½ 24½ (forster t)LANERIE J 121 6.00 21% 3.90 3.56 P
7  A NEW PEACE 6 3 21 2½ 22½ 26 37 (jacobson )CAMACHO JR 121 6.00 6.80  
4  MIDNIGHT TANGO 3 1 42 33 37 410½ 412¾ (pitts helen)ORTIZ L 121 3.50 18% 4.50 2.98  
3  MIRANDA'S ROCKY 2 6 65 65½ 47½ 512 515¾ (wismer s)CEDILLO ABEL 121 3.00 16% 5.10 5.81  
1  HONEY RUN 1 7 78 710 714 615½ 620 (heitzman eric)ROCCO S 121 12.00 5% 19.00 22.29  
6  COINMAKER 5 5 32 43½ 611 720½ 739½ (heitzman eric)COHEN DAVID 121 15.00 44.36  
SCR  IT'SFIFTYSHADETIME               (reavis mic)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 12.00    
 
CD-2   11/08/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:29
See original race card.
:223 :453 :572     1:032   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  TRUST ISSUES 1 3 1½ 1nk   11 12¼ (lovell michelle)SAEZ LUIS 122 2.00 52% 0.90 0.95 W
  (by ENTICED out of INDIAN CEE by INDIAN CHARLIE)
7  EVAN ON EARTH 6 1 2½ 2nk   21 22¼ (foley greg)TORRES A 122 3.50 16% 5.40 3.02 P
  (by CONGRATS out of JOSAKA by SMART STRIKE)
6  WHAT A BLESSING 5 6 41½ 3½   32½ 33¾ (mackey wayne)MONCADA IRVING 115 8.00 12.93  
  (by CANDY RIDE out of IRISH BLESSING by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
5  GYPSY MISCHIEF 4 4 31½ 42   43 44½ (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 122 2.50 2.28  
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of SPIRIT OF THE DAWN by MALIBU MOON)
3  TIMETOMAKEMISCHIEF 2 5 65½ 53½   54½ 56¼ (beckman d )LOVEBERRY JARETH 124 15.00 5% 19.00 30.06  
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of CARRINGTON EVENT by STREET BOSS)
4  BRAVEN 3 2 55 66   69½ 611½ (devaux cherie)ORTIZ L 122 10.00 21.99  
  (by AUDIBLE out of LETCHWORTH by TIZNOW)
SCR  MIYAGI               (ennis john)MORALES EDGAR 122 6.00    
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
 
CD-3   11/08/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($42K) 2 ALL PT- 1:58
See original race card.
:22 :462 :583     1:111   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  RULOOKINFORRAYRAY 2 4 31½ 2½   2½ 1¾ (drury thomas)MONCADA IRVING 112 15.00 10.43  
11  ANYTIME ANYWHERE 7 2 2nk 1½   1½ 2¾ (ennis john)SAEZ LUIS 119 4.00 16% 5.20 4.01 P
1  REMAINING NAMELESS 1 3 44½ 44½   38½ 315 (jazdzewski )CONCEPCION AXEL 119 8.00 15% 5.80 12.25 S
10  GRAND ACADEMIC 6 8 811¾ 710½   510 415 (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 119 10.00 15% 5.60 9.76  
12  BLAKELY'S BOY 8 6 916¼ 916   814¼ 516 (nesbitt amy)POSTON K 119 30.00 97.21  
9  PRAY FOR THE BEAR 5 1 55 57½   711¼ 616¾ (bahena ismael)ROMAN A 119 30.00 76.65  
13  CHASIN' CHAFFIN 9 9 711½ 69   611 719¼ (cunningham)ASMUSSEN J 119 20.00 36.62  
7  WONDERFUL NEWS 3 7 610 811   916¾ 821½ (tomlinson mi)TORRES A 119 20.00 5% 19.00 37.54  
8  TUSCALOOSA 4 5 1nk 32½   410 921¾ (brisset rodo)GEROUX FLORENT 119 3.00 30% 2.40 0.46  
SCR  DEEPLY HIDDEN               (sweezey kent)ORTIZ L 119 3.50    
SCR  GOLDEN GOAL               (demeritte larry)GRAHAM J 119 15.00    
SCR  HAUNTED FLAME               (lynch brian )MONCADA IRVING 112 12.00    
SCR  MIRACLE ON CENTRAL               (hartman chris)BEJARANO R 119 12.00    
SCR  SHRINER               (heitzman eric)COHEN DAVID 119 30.00    
SCR  STAY FROSTY               (ennis john)MORALES EDGAR 119 15.00    
 
CD-4   11/08/2024 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($50K) 2 ALL PT- 2:27
See original race card.
:23 :47 1:121 1:251   1:374   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  ROCK SOLO 7 4 2½ 2½ 1½ 11½ 12¾ (moquett e)BEJARANO R 119 20.00 37.35  
2  LORD BARANOF 2 1 42 51½ 42 21½ 22¾ (casse w)SAEZ LUIS 119 2.50 62% 0.60 0.75 P
7  CONSECRATED 6 8 74 31 52½ 44 36¾ (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 119 12.00 20.41  
4  TRACK RANGER 4 3 63 73½ 65½ 56½ 49¼ (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 3.00 4.28  
1  TKAC 1 7 86½ 85½ 88 66½ 511¼ (correas ignac)CANNON DECLAN 119 3.50 8.14  
3  SUNNY MAGIC 3 2 1½ 1½ 2½ 33½ 612 (devaux cherie)ORTIZ L 119 4.00 7% 13.10 4.33  
9  BAYTOWN BEATLE 8 6 31½ 41 32 77 719¼ (mcentee pau)LEONARD KILLIAN 119 15.00 5% 19.00 30.79  
5  LUMBER LEGACY 5 5 52 62 76 810 837½ (ennis john)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 8.00 5% 19.00 18.11  
SCR  HUEVOS D'ORO               (garcia gen)CORRALES GERARDO 119 20.00    
 
CD-5   11/08/2024 5610ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($127K) 2 ALL PT- 2:57
See original race card.
:234 :482 1:133 1:37   1:424   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  GIOCOSO 2 8 63¾ 64 74½ 42 1¾ (desormeaux j)TORRES A 122 2.50 35% 1.80 1.19 W
6  PAPIAMENTO 6 2 11 12 12 11½ 2¾ (beckman d )LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 12.00 16.88  
3  MESERO 3 4 85¼ 75 53½ 53 3¾ (romans dale)LANERIE J 120 4.00 22% 3.50 6.71 S
11  WITHOUT CAUTION 11 6 32 43 22 21½ 41 (devaux cherie)ORTIZ L 122 6.00 6.56  
4  LUCKY MISCHIEF 4 1 42 32½ 32½ 32 52¼ (stewart dallas)SAEZ LUIS 122 5.00 8% 11.20 6.67  
7  BLAMEITONBOURBON 7 10 96¾ 88 85½ 65 65¾ (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 120 15.00 6% 16.20 15.92  
5  ROYAL BRO 5 11 119¼ 1110¼ 97 87½ 76 (divito ja)TORRES A 120 10.00 20.04  
8  STASHU 8 3 21 22 43 76 87¼ (wainwrigh)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 120 12.00 45.98  
1  LOOK TO THE CROSS 1 12 1211¼ 1212¼ 119¼ 109¼ 99 (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 122 15.00 7% 14.00 12.51  
9  BOY BOY 9 5 53½ 54 64½ 99 109¼ (colebrook ben)GRAHAM J 122 20.00 33.71  
10  VAMOS CARLITOS 10 9 107¼ 109¾ 109 1112¼ 1114½ (thomas jo)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 120 10.00 18.26  
12  FRONT END 12 7 74¾ 98¼ 1210¾ 1214¼ 1216¾ (crichton ro)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 30.00 37.64  
SCR  ASHLEY'S ARCHER               (casse ma)SANTANA JR 122 3.00    
SCR  ENTERDADRAGON               (d'angelo jose )ORTIZ L 120 20.00    
SCR  MISSION IMPROBABLE               (brisset rodo)GEROUX FLORENT 120 20.00    
SCR  THE COUNT IS ON               (corrigan jim)MORALES EDGAR 120 20.00    
 
CD-6   11/08/2024 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 F PT- 3:26
See original race card.
:224 :462 1:114 1:244   1:382   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  PARIS LILY 5 2 1nk 11 2½ 2½ 1nk (walsh brendan )ORTIZ L 119 4.50 46% 1.20 1.15 W
  (by CITY OF LIGHT out of STORM LILY by STORM CAT)
2  MIMI'S GRACE 2 1 31½ 21 1½ 1½ 2nk (shirer matt )TORRES A 119 5.00 15% 5.80 6.34 P
  (by UNIFIED out of TAURASI by MINESHAFT)
4  FALLON 4 5 93½ 74½ 57 35 33 (demeritte larry)GRAHAM J 119 30.00 77.23  
  (by VOLATILE out of FIGHTER WING by EMPIRE MAKER)
3  MISS ARTOIS 3 9 83½ 32 45 45½ 46¼ (mccarthy )CHEMINAUD VINCENT 119 12.00 5% 19.00 50.01  
  (by MUCHO MACHO MAN out of TIZ FELICITY by SCAT DADDY)
12  SOMERVILLE 11 11 104 85 67 58 59 (mcpeek ke)HERNANDEZ J 119 20.00 40.90  
  (by STREET SENSE out of PATRONA MARGARITA by SPECIAL RATE)
1  RISKY WAVE 1 10 114½ 106¼ 89¼ 610 612 (arnold georg)MONCADA IRVING 112 10.00 10% 9.00 17.31  
  (by WEST COAST out of RUN A RISK by DISTORTED HUMOR)
10  JEWEL BOX 9 7 62¼ 95¼ 910¼ 811½ 712½ (wilkes ia)TORRES A 119 12.00 5% 19.00 6.81  
  (by STREET SENSE out of IVORY EMPRESS by SEEKING THE GOLD)
9  DROP THE HAMMER 8 6 52¼ 116¾ 1010¾ 711 812¾ (casse mark)GEROUX FLORENT 119 5.00 4.49  
  (by GUN RUNNER out of SECRET QUALITY by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
7  CENTIMORGAN 6 3 42 63½ 77¼ 911½ 921 (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 119 10.00 28.17  
  (by UNIFIED out of GENEALOGIST by STREET BOSS)
11  FORMAGGIO 10 8 73¼ 53½ 34½ 1011¾ 1028¼ (ennis john)VAZQUEZ A 119 3.50 6.88  
  (by CANDY RIDE out of LAQUEZZA by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
8  GOING TO THE SUN 7 4 2nk 42½ 1115¾ 1123¾ 1154¼ (colebrook ben)SAEZ LUIS 119 15.00 31.48  
  (by UPSTART out of CASTLE ROAD by BELLAMY ROAD)
SCR  FOIE GRAS               (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 114 8.00    
  (by VOLATILE out of TABLE MANNERS by ALGORITHMS)
 
CD-7   11/08/2024 5940ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($134K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:55
See original race card.
:233 :483 1:132 1:381   1:504   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  PEIGNOIR 6 2 32 31 2½ 1½ 1¼ (brisset rodo)GEROUX FLORENT 120 3.00 28% 2.60 2.02 W
8  AMBER CASCADE 8 8 75½ 64½ 54 31½ 2¼ (devaux ch)TORRES A 123 3.50 6.51  
5  ENCLOSURE 5 3 85¾ 85¼ 86 64 31½ (mott i)ORTIZ L 121 2.50 28% 2.50 1.87 S
1  SULTRY LASS 1 5 21½ 21 31½ 2½ 41½ (lovell miche)TORRES A 121 8.00 5% 19.00 17.74  
4  CAT'S CAVE 4 1 11½ 11 1½ 41½ 53 (tomlinson m)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 10.00 9.41  
3  UNDER THE PALMS 3 4 43½ 43 43½ 53 63¾ (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 120 3.50 19% 4.30 6.48  
2  BOSS LADY BAILEY 2 7 65½ 75 75½ 78 712¼ (ortiz john )GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 15.00 20.55  
7  MILES OF SMILES 7 6 54½ 53½ 65 818 838 (orseno f)LANERIE J 121 20.00 12.84  
 
CD-8   11/08/2024 3630ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($127K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:25
See original race card.
:222 :451 :564     1:023   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  DEMOLITION DUKE 8 8 82¾ 82½   5¾ 12¼ (walsh brendan )ORTIZ L 120 2.50 42% 1.40 2.29 W
11  ALDER 11 11 93¼ 72½   3.2 22¼ (maker j)VAZQUEZ A 118 12.00 10.33  
1  SURF CITY 1 10 126¼ 116   82¾ 33¼ (oliver vict)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 8.00 5% 19.00 15.53 S
7  JEFE DE OBRA (CHI) 7 3 2nk 1nk   1nk 43¾ (ward wesle)CORRALES GERARDO 120 8.00 5% 19.00 6.80  
4  GLACIAL POWER 4 5 3.2 3.2   2nk 54¼ (camejo m)SAEZ LUIS 118 3.50 22% 3.50 2.27  
5  COMMITTEE OF ONE 5 1 61¾ 51¼   61¼ 65 (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 118 10.00 13.32  
10  GRANDE TORTUGON (CHI) 10 12 115¼ 104½   93 75¼ (walsh d)ACHARD ALEX 120 30.00 95.10  
6  ONE GIANT LEAP 6 9 104¾ 126¼   113½ 86 (hartman chris)BEJARANO R 120 15.00 14.46  
12  POLSTER 12 2 72¼ 92½   124½ 96½ (brown h)ASHTON GAVIN 120 30.00 ######  
3  ALEMAN 3 6 51¼ 61½   71¾ 108 (jarvis kathy)MOJICA JR 120 30.00 64.03  
2  UPSIDE POTENTIAL 2 4 1nk 2nk   4¾ 119½ (kenneally )HERNANDEZ J 120 12.00 10% 9.20 6.70  
9  UNCLE WILLIAM 9 7 4¾ 41¼   103 1211 (guida e)LANERIE J 120 15.00 35.63  
SCR  CIGARETTE BOAT               (maker j)VAZQUEZ A 120 4.00    
SCR  COLORADO CRUISER               (o'neill do)HERNANDEZ J 118 20.00    
SCR  LEAD FOOT               (gonzalez rein)SOSA LAUREANO 118 30.00    
SCR  PRESSURE               (shirer a)SAEZ GABRIEL 120 30.00    
 
CD-9   11/08/2024 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($92K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:55
See original race card.
:231 :461 1:11     1:234   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  KOSHER CAPONE 4 4 63½ 52½   3½ 1hd (johnston la)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 20.00 22.25  
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of EXPERIENCE by EXCELLENT ART (GB))
2  BADGE OF WAR 1 5 41½ 41½   2½ 2hd (dutrow e)SAEZ LUIS 122 3.50 15% 5.70 2.71 P
  (by WAR FRONT out of BROOCH by HALO)
3  KENMORE WEST 2 1 1½ 1½   1½ 32 (calhoun will)TORRES A 122 20.00 7.36  
  (by WEST COAST out of IT'S BEEN NICE by CREATIVE CAUSE)
8  WALSTIB 5 3 31 31   43 45 (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 122 4.00 57% 0.80 1.14  
  (by UNIFIED out of TERESKA by TALE OF THE CAT)
6  GENERAL ISSUE (FR) 3 2 2½ 2½   55 513¼ (cook brian)BESCHIZZA ADAM 122 8.00 7% 12.90 8.36  
  (by HARD SPUN out of MY GI GI by E DUBAI)
9  GARDEN LEAVE 6 6 53 63½   610 620¼ (drury thomas)MONCADA IRVING 122 8.00 3.82  
  (by CURLIN out of ON LEAVE by WAR FRONT)
SCR  ANTHONIAN               (morse l)LANERIE J 122 4.00    
  (by AIR FORCE BLUE out of MISS ANDORRA by MALIBU MOON)
SCR  PAINT BALLER               (lukas wa)ASMUSSEN J 122 10.00    
  (by PAYNTER out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
SCR  VELOCIRAPTOR               (casse mark)ORTIZ L 122 3.00    
  (by ACCELERATE out of LETS DANCE CHARLIE by INDIAN CHARLIE)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.