Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Churchill Downs
Friday - November 08, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race results
 
CD-1   11/08/2024 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($39K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:00
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  MERCY WARREN   (foley greg)SAEZ LUIS 121 2.50 1.48  
5  LADY MERCEDES   (forster t)LANERIE J 121 6.00 21% 3.90 3.56 P
7  A NEW PEACE   (jacobson )CAMACHO JR 121 6.00 6.80  
4  MIDNIGHT TANGO   (pitts helen)ORTIZ L 121 3.50 18% 4.50 2.98  
3  MIRANDA'S ROCKY   (wismer s)CEDILLO ABEL 121 3.00 16% 5.10 5.81  
1  HONEY RUN   (heitzman eric)ROCCO S 121 12.00 5% 19.00 22.29  
6  COINMAKER   (heitzman eric)COHEN DAVID 121 15.00 44.36  
SCR  IT'SFIFTYSHADETIME   (reavis mic)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 12.00    
 
CD-2   11/08/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:29
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  TRUST ISSUES   (lovell michelle)SAEZ LUIS 122 2.00 52% 0.90 0.95 W
  (by ENTICED out of INDIAN CEE by INDIAN CHARLIE)
7  EVAN ON EARTH   (foley greg)TORRES A 122 3.50 16% 5.40 3.02 P
  (by CONGRATS out of JOSAKA by SMART STRIKE)
6  WHAT A BLESSING   (mackey wayne)MONCADA IRVING 115 8.00 12.93  
  (by CANDY RIDE out of IRISH BLESSING by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
5  GYPSY MISCHIEF   (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 122 2.50 2.28  
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of SPIRIT OF THE DAWN by MALIBU MOON)
3  TIMETOMAKEMISCHIEF   (beckman d )LOVEBERRY JARETH 124 15.00 5% 19.00 30.06  
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of CARRINGTON EVENT by STREET BOSS)
4  BRAVEN   (devaux cherie)ORTIZ L 122 10.00 21.99  
  (by AUDIBLE out of LETCHWORTH by TIZNOW)
SCR  MIYAGI   (ennis john)MORALES EDGAR 122 6.00    
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
 
CD-3   11/08/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($42K) 2 ALL PT- 1:58
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  RULOOKINFORRAYRAY   (drury thomas)MONCADA IRVING 112 15.00 10.43  
11  ANYTIME ANYWHERE   (ennis john)SAEZ LUIS 119 4.00 16% 5.20 4.01 P
1  REMAINING NAMELESS   (jazdzewski )CONCEPCION AXEL 119 8.00 15% 5.80 12.25 S
10  GRAND ACADEMIC   (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 119 10.00 15% 5.60 9.76  
12  BLAKELY'S BOY   (nesbitt amy)POSTON K 119 30.00 97.21  
9  PRAY FOR THE BEAR   (bahena ismael)ROMAN A 119 30.00 76.65  
13  CHASIN' CHAFFIN   (cunningham)ASMUSSEN J 119 20.00 36.62  
7  WONDERFUL NEWS   (tomlinson mi)TORRES A 119 20.00 5% 19.00 37.54  
8  TUSCALOOSA   (brisset rodo)GEROUX FLORENT 119 3.00 30% 2.40 0.46  
SCR  DEEPLY HIDDEN   (sweezey kent)ORTIZ L 119 3.50    
SCR  GOLDEN GOAL   (demeritte larry)GRAHAM J 119 15.00    
SCR  HAUNTED FLAME   (lynch brian )MONCADA IRVING 112 12.00    
SCR  MIRACLE ON CENTRAL   (hartman chris)BEJARANO R 119 12.00    
SCR  SHRINER   (heitzman eric)COHEN DAVID 119 30.00    
SCR  STAY FROSTY   (ennis john)MORALES EDGAR 119 15.00    
 
CD-4   11/08/2024 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($50K) 2 ALL PT- 2:27
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  ROCK SOLO   (moquett e)BEJARANO R 119 20.00 37.35  
2  LORD BARANOF   (casse w)SAEZ LUIS 119 2.50 62% 0.60 0.75 P
7  CONSECRATED   (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 119 12.00 20.41  
4  TRACK RANGER   (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 3.00 4.28  
1  TKAC   (correas ignac)CANNON DECLAN 119 3.50 8.14  
3  SUNNY MAGIC   (devaux cherie)ORTIZ L 119 4.00 7% 13.10 4.33  
9  BAYTOWN BEATLE   (mcentee pau)LEONARD KILLIAN 119 15.00 5% 19.00 30.79  
5  LUMBER LEGACY   (ennis john)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 8.00 5% 19.00 18.11  
SCR  HUEVOS D'ORO   (garcia gen)CORRALES GERARDO 119 20.00    
 
CD-5   11/08/2024 5610ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($127K) 2 ALL PT- 2:57
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  GIOCOSO   (desormeaux j)TORRES A 122 2.50 35% 1.80 1.19 W
6  PAPIAMENTO   (beckman d )LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 12.00 16.88  
3  MESERO   (romans dale)LANERIE J 120 4.00 22% 3.50 6.71 S
11  WITHOUT CAUTION   (devaux cherie)ORTIZ L 122 6.00 6.56  
4  LUCKY MISCHIEF   (stewart dallas)SAEZ LUIS 122 5.00 8% 11.20 6.67  
7  BLAMEITONBOURBON   (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 120 15.00 6% 16.20 15.92  
5  ROYAL BRO   (divito ja)TORRES A 120 10.00 20.04  
8  STASHU   (wainwrigh)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 120 12.00 45.98  
1  LOOK TO THE CROSS   (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 122 15.00 7% 14.00 12.51  
9  BOY BOY   (colebrook ben)GRAHAM J 122 20.00 33.71  
10  VAMOS CARLITOS   (thomas jo)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 120 10.00 18.26  
12  FRONT END   (crichton ro)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 30.00 37.64  
SCR  ASHLEY'S ARCHER   (casse ma)SANTANA JR 122 3.00    
SCR  ENTERDADRAGON   (d'angelo jose )ORTIZ L 120 20.00    
SCR  MISSION IMPROBABLE   (brisset rodo)GEROUX FLORENT 120 20.00    
SCR  THE COUNT IS ON   (corrigan jim)MORALES EDGAR 120 20.00    
 
CD-6   11/08/2024 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 F PT- 3:26
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  PARIS LILY   (walsh brendan )ORTIZ L 119 4.50 46% 1.20 1.15 W
  (by CITY OF LIGHT out of STORM LILY by STORM CAT)
2  MIMI'S GRACE   (shirer matt )TORRES A 119 5.00 15% 5.80 6.34 P
  (by UNIFIED out of TAURASI by MINESHAFT)
4  FALLON   (demeritte larry)GRAHAM J 119 30.00 77.23  
  (by VOLATILE out of FIGHTER WING by EMPIRE MAKER)
3  MISS ARTOIS   (mccarthy )CHEMINAUD VINCENT 119 12.00 5% 19.00 50.01  
  (by MUCHO MACHO MAN out of TIZ FELICITY by SCAT DADDY)
12  SOMERVILLE   (mcpeek ke)HERNANDEZ J 119 20.00 40.90  
  (by STREET SENSE out of PATRONA MARGARITA by SPECIAL RATE)
1  RISKY WAVE   (arnold georg)MONCADA IRVING 112 10.00 10% 9.00 17.31  
  (by WEST COAST out of RUN A RISK by DISTORTED HUMOR)
10  JEWEL BOX   (wilkes ia)TORRES A 119 12.00 5% 19.00 6.81  
  (by STREET SENSE out of IVORY EMPRESS by SEEKING THE GOLD)
9  DROP THE HAMMER   (casse mark)GEROUX FLORENT 119 5.00 4.49  
  (by GUN RUNNER out of SECRET QUALITY by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
7  CENTIMORGAN   (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 119 10.00 28.17  
  (by UNIFIED out of GENEALOGIST by STREET BOSS)
11  FORMAGGIO   (ennis john)VAZQUEZ A 119 3.50 6.88  
  (by CANDY RIDE out of LAQUEZZA by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
8  GOING TO THE SUN   (colebrook ben)SAEZ LUIS 119 15.00 31.48  
  (by UPSTART out of CASTLE ROAD by BELLAMY ROAD)
SCR  FOIE GRAS   (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 114 8.00    
  (by VOLATILE out of TABLE MANNERS by ALGORITHMS)
 
CD-7   11/08/2024 5940ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($134K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:55
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  PEIGNOIR   (brisset rodo)GEROUX FLORENT 120 3.00 28% 2.60 2.02 W
8  AMBER CASCADE   (devaux ch)TORRES A 123 3.50 6.51  
5  ENCLOSURE   (mott i)ORTIZ L 121 2.50 28% 2.50 1.87 S
1  SULTRY LASS   (lovell miche)TORRES A 121 8.00 5% 19.00 17.74  
4  CAT'S CAVE   (tomlinson m)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 10.00 9.41  
3  UNDER THE PALMS   (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 120 3.50 19% 4.30 6.48  
2  BOSS LADY BAILEY   (ortiz john )GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 15.00 20.55  
7  MILES OF SMILES   (orseno f)LANERIE J 121 20.00 12.84  
 
CD-8   11/08/2024 3630ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($127K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:25
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  DEMOLITION DUKE   (walsh brendan )ORTIZ L 120 2.50 42% 1.40 2.29 W
11  ALDER   (maker j)VAZQUEZ A 118 12.00 10.33  
1  SURF CITY   (oliver vict)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 8.00 5% 19.00 15.53 S
7  JEFE DE OBRA (CHI)   (ward wesle)CORRALES GERARDO 120 8.00 5% 19.00 6.80  
4  GLACIAL POWER   (camejo m)SAEZ LUIS 118 3.50 22% 3.50 2.27  
5  COMMITTEE OF ONE   (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 118 10.00 13.32  
10  GRANDE TORTUGON (CHI)   (walsh d)ACHARD ALEX 120 30.00 95.10  
6  ONE GIANT LEAP   (hartman chris)BEJARANO R 120 15.00 14.46  
12  POLSTER   (brown h)ASHTON GAVIN 120 30.00 ######  
3  ALEMAN   (jarvis kathy)MOJICA JR 120 30.00 64.03  
2  UPSIDE POTENTIAL   (kenneally )HERNANDEZ J 120 12.00 10% 9.20 6.70  
9  UNCLE WILLIAM   (guida e)LANERIE J 120 15.00 35.63  
SCR  CIGARETTE BOAT   (maker j)VAZQUEZ A 120 4.00    
SCR  COLORADO CRUISER   (o'neill do)HERNANDEZ J 118 20.00    
SCR  LEAD FOOT   (gonzalez rein)SOSA LAUREANO 118 30.00    
SCR  PRESSURE   (shirer a)SAEZ GABRIEL 120 30.00    
 
CD-9   11/08/2024 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($92K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:55
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  KOSHER CAPONE   (johnston la)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 20.00 22.25  
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of EXPERIENCE by EXCELLENT ART (GB))
2  BADGE OF WAR   (dutrow e)SAEZ LUIS 122 3.50 15% 5.70 2.71 P
  (by WAR FRONT out of BROOCH by HALO)
3  KENMORE WEST   (calhoun will)TORRES A 122 20.00 7.36  
  (by WEST COAST out of IT'S BEEN NICE by CREATIVE CAUSE)
8  WALSTIB   (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 122 4.00 57% 0.80 1.14  
  (by UNIFIED out of TERESKA by TALE OF THE CAT)
6  GENERAL ISSUE (FR)   (cook brian)BESCHIZZA ADAM 122 8.00 7% 12.90 8.36  
  (by HARD SPUN out of MY GI GI by E DUBAI)
9  GARDEN LEAVE   (drury thomas)MONCADA IRVING 122 8.00 3.82  
  (by CURLIN out of ON LEAVE by WAR FRONT)
SCR  ANTHONIAN   (morse l)LANERIE J 122 4.00    
  (by AIR FORCE BLUE out of MISS ANDORRA by MALIBU MOON)
SCR  PAINT BALLER   (lukas wa)ASMUSSEN J 122 10.00    
  (by PAYNTER out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
SCR  VELOCIRAPTOR   (casse mark)ORTIZ L 122 3.00    
  (by ACCELERATE out of LETS DANCE CHARLIE by INDIAN CHARLIE)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.