Handicappers' Racing Form

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Churchill Downs
Friday - November 08, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

CD-1   Win (5/4/3/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00
CD-2   Win (2/7/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00
CD-3   Win (8/11/10/1/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00
CD-4   Win (2/3/9/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00
CD-5   Win (2/3/4/1/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00
CD-6   Win (5/2/1/10/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00
CD-7   Win (5/6/3/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00
CD-8   Win (8/4/2/7/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00
CD-9   Win (8/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
CD-1   11/08/2024 5610ft DIRT RC7 Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($39K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:00
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HONEY RUN Oct26 Sep28 Aug22 Aug07 Jul13 (heitzman eric)ROCCO S 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  IT'SFIFTYSHADETIME Oct13 May19 Apr26 Apr07 Feb22 (reavis micha)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 12.00    
MIRANDA'S ROCKY Oct07 Sep09 Aug20 Jul16 Jun25 (wismer s)CEDILLO ABEL 121 3.00 16% 5.10    
MIDNIGHT TANGO Jul27 Jun15 May18 Feb24 Dec20 (pitts helen)MORALES EDGAR 121 3.50 18% 4.50    
LADY MERCEDES Sep29 Sep05 Aug18 Jul13 Jun22 (forster t)LANERIE J 121 6.00 21% 3.90    
COINMAKER Sep04 Aug07 Jun27 May19 Mar21 (heitzman eric)COHEN DAVID 121 15.00    
A NEW PEACE Sep20 Sep07 Aug22 Aug14 Jul07 (jacobson da)CAMACHO JR 121 6.00    
MERCY WARREN Sep15 Jun06 Feb09 Jan13 Dec23 (foley greg)SAEZ LUIS 121 2.50    
 
CD-2   11/08/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:29
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MIYAGI Nov19 Oct07       (ennis john)MORALES EDGAR 122 6.00    
TRUST ISSUES Sep22 Aug31 Jul28 Dec14 Nov10 (lovell michelle)SAEZ LUIS 122 2.00 52% 0.90    
TIMETOMAKEMISCHIEF Sep08 Aug26 Aug01 Jul07 Jun11 (beckman wh)LOVEBERRY JARETH 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
BRAVEN Mar07 Feb16       (devaux cherie)ORTIZ L 122 10.00    
GYPSY MISCHIEF         (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 122 2.50    
WHAT A BLESSING         (mackey wayne)MONCADA IRVING 115 8.00    
EVAN ON EARTH May04 Jan27 Dec30 Nov12   (foley greg)TORRES A 122 3.50 16% 5.40    
 
CD-3   11/08/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($42K) 2 ALL PT- 1:58
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
REMAINING NAMELESS Oct28 Oct02 Sep19 Sep06 Aug17 (jazdzewski jo)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 8.00 15% 5.80    
SCR  GOLDEN GOAL Sep26         (demeritte larry)GRAHAM J 119 15.00    
SCR  MIRACLE ON CENTRAL         (hartman chris)BEJARANO R 119 12.00    
RULOOKINFORRAYRAY Jul22         (drury j)MONCADA IRVING 112 15.00    
SCR  SHRINER Aug29         (heitzman eric)COHEN DAVID 119 30.00    
SCR  DEEPLY HIDDEN Oct16 Jul20 Jun22 Jun08 May26 (sweezey kent)ORTIZ L 119 3.50    
WONDERFUL NEWS         (tomlinson mich)TORRES A 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
TUSCALOOSA Oct06         (brisset rodolp)GEROUX FLORENT 119 3.00 30% 2.40    
PRAY FOR THE BEAR Oct20 Sep18       (bahena ismael)ROMAN A 119 30.00    
10  GRAND ACADEMIC         (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 119 10.00 15% 5.60    
11  ANYTIME ANYWHERE Sep05 Jul22 Jun24 May30   (ennis john)SAEZ LUIS 119 4.00 16% 5.20    
12  BLAKELY'S BOY Oct08 Sep17 Aug10     (nesbitt amy)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 119 30.00    
13  CHASIN' CHAFFIN Oct15         (cunningham s)ASMUSSEN J 119 20.00    
SCR  STAY FROSTY Oct26         (ennis john)MORALES EDGAR 119 15.00    
SCR  HAUNTED FLAME Aug19 Jul05       (lynch a)MONCADA IRVING 112 12.00    
 
CD-4   11/08/2024 5280ft DIRT RC4 Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($50K) 2 ALL PT- 2:27
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TKAC Oct12 Sep07 Aug01     (correas ignacio)CANNON DECLAN 119 3.50    
LORD BARANOF Sep22         (casse w)SAEZ LUIS 119 2.50 62% 0.60    
SUNNY MAGIC Sep22 Jul14 Jun08     (devaux cherie)ORTIZ L 119 4.00 7% 13.10    
TRACK RANGER Sep25 Aug20 Jul20     (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 3.00    
LUMBER LEGACY Oct16 Sep01 Aug11     (ennis john)MORALES EDGAR 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  HUEVOS D'ORO Sep29 Sep12       (garcia genar)CORRALES GERARDO 119 20.00    
CONSECRATED Oct16 Sep27       (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 119 12.00    
ROCK SOLO Sep27         (moquett e)BEJARANO R 119 20.00    
BAYTOWN BEATLE Oct16 Sep29 Sep10 Aug20 Aug10 (mcentee paul)LEONARD KILLIAN 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
CD-5   11/08/2024 5610ft TURF RC10 Allowance Purse ($127K) 2 ALL PT- 2:57
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LOOK TO THE CROSS Oct19 Sep05 Aug10     (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 122 15.00 7% 14.00    
GIOCOSO Oct06 Sep14 Aug05 Jul07 Jun20 (desormeaux k)TORRES A 122 2.50 35% 1.80    
MESERO Oct05 Sep14 Jul29     (romans dale)LANERIE J 120 4.00 22% 3.50    
LUCKY MISCHIEF Oct12 Sep11 Aug18 Jul29   (stewart dallas)SAEZ LUIS 122 5.00 8% 11.20    
ROYAL BRO Oct03 Sep08 Aug26 Jul29   (divito jame)TORRES A 120 10.00    
PAPIAMENTO Oct06 Aug24 Jul20     (beckman wh)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 12.00    
BLAMEITONBOURBON Oct01         (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 120 15.00 6% 16.20    
STASHU Oct17 Sep11 Aug24 Jul22   (wainwright )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 120 12.00    
BOY BOY Oct12 Sep07 Aug05     (colebrook ben)GRAHAM J 122 20.00    
10  VAMOS CARLITOS Sep23         (thomas jona)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 120 10.00    
11  WITHOUT CAUTION Sep28 Aug29 Jul20     (devaux cherie)ORTIZ L 122 6.00    
12  FRONT END Aug18         (crichton roha)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 30.00    
SCR  ENTERDADRAGON Oct12 Sep21 Sep01 Jul28 May11 (d'angelo fr)ORTIZ L 120 20.00    
SCR  ASHLEY'S ARCHER Oct06 Sep15 Aug18     (casse mark)SANTANA JR 122 3.00    
SCR  THE COUNT IS ON Oct23 Aug21 Aug01 Jul06   (corrigan jim)MORALES EDGAR 120 20.00    
SCR  MISSION IMPROBABLE Oct07 Sep25 Jul02 Jun05   (brisset rodolp)GEROUX FLORENT 120 20.00    
 
CD-6   11/08/2024 5280ft DIRT RC5 Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 F PT- 3:26
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RISKY WAVE Oct20         (arnold george )MONCADA IRVING 112 10.00 10% 9.00    
MIMI'S GRACE Oct19         (shirer a)TORRES A 119 5.00 15% 5.80    
MISS ARTOIS         (mccarthy mi)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
FALLON Oct03         (demeritte larry)GRAHAM J 119 30.00    
PARIS LILY Sep29         (walsh p)ORTIZ L 119 4.50 46% 1.20    
SCR  FOIE GRAS         (asmussen steven)ASMUSSEN ERIK 114 8.00    
CENTIMORGAN Oct18         (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 119 10.00    
GOING TO THE SUN Oct10 Sep20       (colebrook ben)SAEZ LUIS 119 15.00    
DROP THE HAMMER         (casse mark)GEROUX FLORENT 119 5.00    
10  JEWEL BOX Sep29         (wilkes ian )TORRES A 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
11  FORMAGGIO Oct18 Sep22 Aug25     (ennis john)MORALES EDGAR 119 3.50    
12  SOMERVILLE         (mcpeek kenn)HERNANDEZ J 119 20.00    
 
CD-7   11/08/2024 5940ft DIRT RC3 Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($134K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:55
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SULTRY LASS Sep13 Aug25 Jun30 Jun09 May03 (lovell michell)TORRES A 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
BOSS LADY BAILEY Oct13 Aug29 Jul25 Jun21 May11 (ortiz al)GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 15.00    
UNDER THE PALMS Oct02 Jul31 Jul06 Jun01 Apr26 (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 120 3.50 19% 4.30    
CAT'S CAVE Oct11 Aug25 Jul15 Jun01 Dec13 (tomlinson mic)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 10.00    
ENCLOSURE Oct11 Sep13 Aug10 Nov19 Aug31 (mott i)ORTIZ L 121 2.50 28% 2.50    
PEIGNOIR Oct17 Sep20 Aug05 Jul05 Nov10 (brisset rodolp)GEROUX FLORENT 120 3.00 28% 2.60    
MILES OF SMILES Sep18 Aug24 Jul20 Jun15 May18 (orseno f)LANERIE J 121 20.00    
AMBER CASCADE Sep20 Aug10 Jun26 Nov01 Sep23 (devaux cher)TORRES A 123 3.50    
 
CD-8   11/08/2024 3630ft TURF RC10 Allowance Purse ($127K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:25
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SURF CITY Oct11 Sep11 Jul20 Jun27 May26 (oliver victor)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
UPSIDE POTENTIAL Apr20 Mar01       (kenneally ed)HERNANDEZ J 120 12.00 10% 9.20    
ALEMAN May28 May13 Mar23 Feb22 Feb02 (jarvis kathy)MOJICA JR 120 30.00    
GLACIAL POWER Oct11 Sep11 Aug05 Jun27 Jun05 (camejo m)SAEZ LUIS 118 3.50 22% 3.50    
COMMITTEE OF ONE Oct11 Aug31 Aug05 Jul04 Jun16 (asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J 118 10.00    
ONE GIANT LEAP Sep21 Aug19 Jun07 Apr26 Nov10 (hartman chris)BEJARANO R 120 15.00    
JEFE DE OBRA (CHI) Apr21 Dec02 Oct26     (ward wesley )CORRALES GERARDO 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
DEMOLITION DUKE Sep11 Aug05 Jun30 May17 Apr21 (walsh p)ORTIZ L 120 2.50 42% 1.40    
UNCLE WILLIAM Oct19 Sep22 Aug10 Jun30 Jan06 (guida e)LANERIE J 120 15.00    
10  GRANDE TORTUGON (CHI) Jul02 May20 Apr21 Mar15 Feb16 (walsh d)ACHARD ALEX 120 30.00    
11  ALDER Sep21 May26 Mar24 Jan18 Dec22 (maker j)VAZQUEZ A 118 12.00    
12  POLSTER Oct04 Sep05 Aug19 Jul14 Jun16 (brown h)ASHTON GAVIN 120 30.00    
SCR  COLORADO CRUISER Feb03 Dec26 Nov10 Oct21 Sep30 (o'neill doug)HERNANDEZ J 118 20.00    
SCR  LEAD FOOT Nov02 Oct17 Aug12 Jul28 Jun14 (gonzalez reina )SOSA LAUREANO 118 30.00    
SCR  PRESSURE May25 May03 Apr12 Mar24 Mar02 (shirer a)SAEZ GABRIEL 120 30.00    
SCR  CIGARETTE BOAT Sep27 Sep01 Jul12 Jun08 May17 (maker j)VAZQUEZ A 120 4.00    
 
CD-9   11/08/2024 4620ft DIRT RC5 Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($92K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:55
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  PAINT BALLER         (lukas wayn)ASMUSSEN J 122 10.00    
BADGE OF WAR Oct18 Sep08 Aug08 Jun30 Apr26 (dutrow e)SAEZ LUIS 122 3.50 15% 5.70    
KENMORE WEST Sep28         (calhoun willia)TORRES A 122 20.00    
SCR  VELOCIRAPTOR Sep28 Aug04       (casse mark)ORTIZ L 122 3.00    
SCR  ANTHONIAN Sep29 Sep10       (morse l)LANERIE J 122 4.00    
GENERAL ISSUE (FR) Oct17 Nov30 Nov09     (cook brian)BESCHIZZA ADAM 122 8.00 7% 12.90    
KOSHER CAPONE Oct30 Sep28       (johnston lane)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 20.00    
WALSTIB Aug26 Aug10       (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 122 4.00 57% 0.80    
GARDEN LEAVE Jun22 May19 Apr14     (drury jr)MORALES EDGAR 122 8.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.