Handicappers' Race Results
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Churchill Downs
Friday - November 29, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
CD-1   Win (2/8/7/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 3 1 0 $6.96  
CD-2   Win (5/4/7/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 5 1 1 $3.46 $3.46  
CD-3   Win (5/2/4/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 5 1 1 $15.96 $15.96 7.96
CD-4   Win (12/5/6/3/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 6 1 1 $10.12 $10.12 0.12
CD-5   Win (2/3/9/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 1 1 0 $6.62  
CD-6   Win (4/6/12/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00 8 1 0 $8.26  
CD-7   Win (8/5/4/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 5 1 1 $6.94 $6.94  
CD-8   Win (7/1/6/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 8 1 0 $6.78  
CD-9   Win (4/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $4.82 $4.82  
CD-10   Win (3/12/7/10/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 3 1 1 $4.10 $4.10  
CD-11   Win (7/3/5/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 1 $11.52 $11.52 3.52
CD-12   Win (4/8/5/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 6 1 0 $11.76  
Simulator Race results
 
CD-1   11/29/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($92K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:00
See original race card.
:214 :45 :572     1:094   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  ANTHONIAN 3 4 42½ 41½   21 1¾ (morse l)LANERIE J 122 5.00 2.48  
5  WISTUCKY 4 2 2½ 1½   11 2¾ (romans dale)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 3.00 2.72  
2  WALSTIB 2 1 1½ 2½   31 33 (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 122 3.50 62% 0.60 3.75 S
8  ORIZZONTE 7 6 54½ 52   43½ 44¼ (mcgee paul)MORALES EDGAR 122 6.00 10% 8.80 4.15  
7  GENERAL ISSUE (FR) 6 3 31 31   54 58 (cook brian)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 10.00 5% 19.00 35.16  
1  PAINT BALLER 1 7 64½ 66   68½ 611 (lukas wayn)ASMUSSEN J 122 12.00 5% 19.00 17.96  
6  VEGAS BLACK JACK 5 5 77 721   738½ 774½ (morey willia)CORRALES GERARDO 122 6.00 4.81  
SCR  AHANDFULOFCANDY               (heath g)MACHADO LUAN 122 4.00    
 
CD-2   11/29/2024 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($66K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:28
See original race card.
:25 :484 1:13 1:382   1:451   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  CURL GIRL 5 1 11 11 1½ 11½ 12¼ (walden willi)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 2.00 49% 1.00 0.73 W
1  TONALITE 1 4 31 31½ 32 32½ 22¼ (oliver victoria)SAEZ LUIS 118 10.00 5% 19.00 4.78 P
7  COLONIAL ROSE 7 2 21 21 2½ 21½ 32¾ (cowans d)MACHADO LUAN 118 4.00 8% 11.10 8.58 S
3  MUSTANG LADY 3 7 74¾ 75 65½ 55½ 45 (newton troy)CORRALES GERARDO 121 2.50 4.12  
4  CATCHING HEAT 4 3 53¼ 54 43 45½ 57 (asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J 118 3.50 14% 5.90 13.42  
2  PINK MOON 2 5 41¼ 42½ 53½ 68½ 612¼ (navarrete anna)MONCADA IRVING 111 15.00 27.37  
6  CURLIN'S MAGIC 6 6 64¾ 64½ 78 711 714 (asmussen steven)ASMUSSEN ERIK 113 10.00 16.42  
 
CD-3   11/29/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($56K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:56
See original race card.
:222 :452 1:102     1:241   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  MISS JEOPARDY 5 1 22 21½   12½ 13 (ortiz alexande)SAEZ LUIS 118 3.50 39% 1.60 6.98 W
6  ASIAN MATRIARCH 6 3 32½ 43   32½ 23 (asmussen steven)ASMUSSEN ERIK 113 4.00 5.92  
4  LITTLE SISTER SUE 4 6 66½ 64½   22½ 33 (garcia genaro)MORALES EDGAR 120 8.00 5% 19.00 14.03 S
7  MO SENSE 7 7 810½ 88   75 43¼ (jacobson da)CAMACHO JR 118 4.50 4.98  
2  JUST LIKE YOU 2 8 44 32½   53½ 54½ (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.00 34% 1.90 1.19  
1  CORKAGE FEE 1 2 76½ 54   64½ 64¾ (baker james)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 8.00 5% 19.00 30.20  
8  MOTOWN MIKA 8 5 12 11½   43 76½ (sweezey kent)VAZQUEZ A 120 5.00 3.85  
3  ITSABLINGTHING 3 4 55½ 75½   810 815¾ (barrett )CURTSINGER JOHNATHON 120 20.00 68.22  
 
CD-4   11/29/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($39K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:24
See original race card.
:223 :453 1:102     1:232   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  KANT BEAT THE ROCK 5 1 2nk 1½   12½ 15¼ (jacobson da)CAMACHO JR 120 8.00 13% 6.60 4.06 W
11  VULCAN 10 8 31½ 31   22½ 25¼ (diodoro rob)TORRES A 120 6.00 1.51  
9  COMMANDO JOE 8 4 63¾ 73¼   44½ 36¾ (matthews randy)RAMOS D 120 20.00 25.51  
10  ICEATUDE 9 11 85¾ 84¼   34½ 47¼ (cano muno)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 4.50 6.03  
2  METATRON'S MUSE 2 3 41¾ 42½   56 57½ (morey willia)CORRALES GERARDO 120 20.00 19.70  
8  ATTA BOY ANTHONY 7 10 96¾ 107¼   68 69½ (andrade hugo)CANUTO THIAGO 120 15.00 5% 19.00 47.67  
5  EMERALD EXPRESS 4 9 107¼ 97¼   79 710¾ (ramirez m)MONCADA IRVING 113 12.00 13% 6.60 8.82  
7  BASSCOAT 6 5 117¾ 1110¾   1011¼ 811¼ (lauer michael)ASHTON GAVIN 120 15.00 66.77  
1  METALLIC MAN 1 7 51¾ 52½   99¼ 912½ (matthews randy)SANJUR SANTO 120 5.00 10.47  
12  MUGSY MALONE 11 6 74¼ 63   89¼ 1012½ (meyers shane)ORTIZ JR 120 6.00 24% 3.20 6.20  
3  BAYOU COLONEL 3 2 1nk 2½   1114¾ 1128¼ (wilkes r)MORALES EDGAR 120 15.00 10% 8.90 37.77  
SCR  APPEAL DENIED               (foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 3.50    
 
CD-5   11/29/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($42K) 2 F PT- 2:53
See original race card.
:214 :461 :592     1:131   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LADY RILEY 1 2 1½ 11   13 16 (garcia genaro)MORALES EDGAR 119 4.50 2.31  
2  CHAPTER AND VERSE 2 3 2½ 21   23 26 (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 119 5.00 29% 2.40 1.85 P
4  KUKU 4 1 31 31½   34 310¾ (chapman k)LEON A 114 4.00 7.10  
8  SPOT ON COOKIE 7 7 612½ 612   611½ 411 (baker james)SAEZ GABRIEL 119 8.00 14% 6.10 5.25  
6  HONEYBEEBOBBIE 5 5 41½ 44   47 511½ (gonzalez reina )SOSA LAUREANO 119 8.00 5.76  
7  GLORIOUS MUSINGS 6 4 54½ 55   57 613 (holden darragh)CANUTO THIAGO 119 6.00 28.61  
9  LUCKY DUCK 8 6 713 714½   719½ 728 (butcher james)FELIX E 119 10.00 14% 6.10 15.48  
3  WHAT IF 3 8 818 819½   821½ 828½ (bahena ismae)VILLARREAL OSCAR 112 10.00 14% 6.10 28.20  
SCR  PROTONICA               (garcia genaro)MONCADA IRVING 112 6.00    
 
CD-6   11/29/2024 5940ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($134K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:21
See original race card.
:234 :48 1:121 1:361   1:483   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  JOHNY'S FIREBALL 8 5 31 31½ 31 11½ 1¾ (casse w)SAEZ LUIS 121 6.00 ★ 3.13  
10  NATIVE SHAMAN 10 1 53¼ 53 52 42 2¾ (arnold r)LANERIE J 120 15.00 5% 19.00 3.72 P
12  COWBOY JUSTICE (GB) 12 6 64¾ 65 62½ 21½ 31½ (murphy conor)GEROUX FLORENT 121 15.00 5% 19.00 18.81 S
11  LINCOLN HIGHWAY 11 9 86¼ 86½ 95½ 64 42 (oliver victoria)MACHADO LUAN 121 30.00 81.61  
2  BAKWENA 2 12 118 107½ 116¼ 75 52 (miller darrin)MILLER CHASE 121 30.00 75.35  
6  IDRATHERBEBLESSED 6 3 2nk 1½ 1½ 32 62½ (hartman chris)BEJARANO R 121 3.50 38% 1.60 3.20 DH
9  ROCK'N A HALO 9 7 75¼ 76 73½ 53 62½ (amoss thoma)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 20.00 45.40 DH
4  BETTER BET 4 10 129½ 1210½ 127¼ 85½ 82¾ (sweezey ke)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 3.00 39% 1.60 5.45  
1  CLYDE'S GOT A GUN 1 8 107¾ 119 106 106¼ 94¼ (pitts helen)MORALES EDGAR 121 8.00 10.76  
3  CAMP HOPE 3 11 96¼ 97 84 126¾ 106 (maker michae)HERNANDEZ J 121 8.00 8.98  
5  KING CURLIN 5 4 43 42½ 42 96 117 (vanden brittan)EMIGH A 121 4.00 17.58  
7  LIAR'S POKER 7 2 1nk 2½ 2½ 116¾ 127¾ (londono geneviev)SAEZ GABRIEL 121 30.00 32.46  
SCR  BABA VOSS               (walsh brend)DETTORI LANFRANCO 121 20.00    
SCR  QUADRA ISLAND               (richard tobious)MACHADO LUAN 121 20.00    
SCR  SAINT IN THE CITY               (van thoma)GEROUX FLORENT 123 15.00    
SCR  WIND TWIST               (sandy step)RODRIGUEZ A 121 30.00    
 
CD-7   11/29/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($68K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:49
See original race card.
:213 :444 :57     1:10   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  INTERMITTENT FAST 5 3 2½ 2nk   12½ 1¼ (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 118 3.00 14% 6.00 2.47 W
7  PROGENY 7 6 86½ 85¾   65¼ 2¼ (weaver georg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 2.50 3.42  
6  JUST HANGIN ON 6 4 62½ 53   55 32½ (lauer michael)ROMAN A 120 20.00 42.20  
1  MARMALADE SKYE 1 8 51½ 42½   44½ 44 (jacobs magda)ACHARD ALEX 120 8.00 15.30  
3  DIVINE GAL 3 7 73½ 74¾   85¾ 54¼ (von d)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 15.00 5% 19.00 14.52  
4  THE BIG CALHOUNA 4 1 1½ 1nk   22½ 65 (sweezey kent)VAZQUEZ A 118 4.00 14% 6.30 3.52  
8  MILA JUNES 8 5 41 31   34½ 76¼ (van thoma)GEROUX FLORENT 118 4.50 45% 1.20 3.03  
2  BALLADRY 2 2 31 63¼   75¾ 89¼ (pitts helen)MORALES EDGAR 118 5.00 11.43  
 
CD-8   11/29/2024 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($31K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:18
See original race card.
:25 :501 1:143 1:392   1:46   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  TWIRLING TROILLET 6 2 2½ 2½ 1½ 14 15½ (king barry )LEPAROUX R 118 4.00 2.39  
1  PATCH O'BRIEN 1 4 31½ 32 42 24 25½ (garcia genaro)MORALES EDGAR 118 3.00 26% 2.90 0.87 P
6  FREE RAMBLING MAN 4 6 67½ 67 65½ 58 39½ (esquivel jesus)SANJUR SANTO 121 8.00 5% 19.00 16.65 S
10  THANKS FRANK 7 1 1½ 1½ 2½ 45½ 410¼ (shirer a)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 6.00 5.14  
3  COWBOY IMAGE 2 5 53 54 3½ 34 511¾ (luce nichole)SAEZ GABRIEL 121 20.00 5% 19.00 30.35  
4  ONLY FRANK KNOWS 3 7 711½ 711 79½ 711½ 613¼ (paye jo)ULLOA PATRICIO 123 10.00 17.67  
7  MISTER MOSCATO 5 3 42 42½ 52½ 610 716¾ (lauer michael)ROMAN A 121 4.50 50% 1.00 11.73  
SCR  BACHMAN               (caramori caio)MONCADA IRVING 113 20.00    
SCR  ROUNDBALL ROCK               (caramori cai)VILLARREAL OSCAR 114 5.00    
SCR  UNWORKABLE               (acevedo isr)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 118 12.00    
 
CD-9   11/29/2024 5610ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($134K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:48
See original race card.
:24 :473 1:12 1:373   1:441   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  SULTRY LASS 3 3 34 33½ 32 3½ 1¾ (lovell michelle)ASHTON GAVIN 121 4.00 23% 3.30 1.41 W
3  REAGAN'S FLAME 2 2 11 11 1nk 1½ 2¾ (schultz lin)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 5.00 20% 4.10 3.41 P
5  CAT'S CAVE 4 1 21 21 2nk 2½ 33¼ (tomlinson a)SAEZ LUIS 118 3.50 1.24  
1  STARLIGHT LOVE 1 4 44 44 46 412½ 428¾ (lobo h)MACHADO LUAN 120 15.00 19% 4.30 6.96  
SCR  AMBER CASCADE               (devaux cher)TORRES A 121 2.00    
SCR  ICHIBAN               (ramos rafael)FLACO ARCELIO 121 6.00    
SCR  THREE COATS               (lauer michael)MORALES EDGAR 120 6.00    
 
CD-10   11/29/2024 5610ft TURF RC13 FIRM Mrs. Revere Purse ($300K) 3 F PT- 5:18
See original race card.
:242 :483 1:122 1:361   1:422   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  KEHOE BEACH 3 3 11 11 1½ 12 11¼ (ward wesley)DETTORI LANFRANCO 118 3.00 32% 2.20 1.05 W
9  POUNCE 8 1 21 21 2½ 22 21¼ (casse mark)GEROUX FLORENT 118 20.00 5% 19.00 34.88 P
12  POOLSIDE WITH SLIM (IRE) 10 8 53 53½ 53½ 32 31¼ (arnold r)VELAZQUEZ R 120 6.00 29% 2.50 7.71 S
7  MINOUSHKA (GB) 7 10 96¼ 97¼ 85¼ 43½ 41½ (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 4.50 8% 12.20 3.53  
2  BUCHU 2 6 73¾ 87 96¼ 65½ 53¼ (bauer a)ORTIZ JR 120 5.00 7.70  
6  PIN UP BETTY 6 9 84¾ 65½ 64 86½ 63¼ (maker michae)HERNANDEZ J 118 5.00 ★ 11.00  
10  SIMPLY IN FRONT 9 7 106¼ 107¼ 74¼ 54 74 (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 118 15.00 7% 12.40 11.19  
15  SANCTIFY 11 11 118¼ 1110¾ 119¼ 97 84¼ (holsapple h)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 30.00 89.16  
5  CHILLED 5 2 63¼ 76 106¾ 107¼ 97 (oliver victoria)MACHADO LUAN 118 30.00 64.03  
4  PHAROAH'S WINE 4 4 31½ 31½ 41½ 76 109¼ (romans dale)LANERIE J 118 30.00 31.43  
1  DANCING N DIXIE 1 5 41½ 41½ 31½ 118¼ 1114 (casse mark)SANTANA JR 118 20.00 39.35  
SCR  ADRASTEIA               (bogle fergus)JIMENEZ ALBIN 118 30.00    
SCR  BREEZING ALONG               (meah m)ROMAN A 118 30.00    
SCR  MAXISUPERFLY               (foster eric)CEDILLO ABEL 118 30.00    
SCR  NEON ICON               (arnold geor)LEPAROUX R 118 30.00    
 
CD-11   11/29/2024 5940ft DIRT RC13 FAST Clark Purse ($600K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:48
See original race card.
:241 :491 1:13 1:372   1:493   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  RATTLE N ROLL 5 5 63¼ 52 51½ 2nk 1¾ (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 121 5.00 40% 1.50 4.76 W
5  MOST WANTED 3 1 21 2½ 1nk 1nk 2¾ (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 120 3.50 16% 5.40 3.19 P
6  HIT SHOW 4 3 31½ 41½ 41 32½ 34 (cox h)GAFFALIONE TYLER 123 3.00 1.56 DQ↓5
10  UNO MAS BOURBON 8 6 53 63 62½ 54½ 44¾ (wilkes ian )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 20.00 46.38  
3  CRUPI 2 7 74¼ 73½ 73 64¾ 55¾ (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 123 4.00 17% 4.90 4.62  
9  COOKE CREEK 7 2 41½ 31½ 3½ 43 67 (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 121 6.00 6.36  
8  RED ROUTE ONE 6 8 84¾ 84 84½ 76¼ 77¾ (asmussen st)TORRES A 123 8.00 5% 19.00 15.55  
2  GRAND ASPEN 1 4 11 1½ 2nk 810¾ 824¾ (thomas jonat)CORRALES GERARDO 121 20.00 67.96  
SCR  BOLZY               (von d)DETTORI LANFRANCO 121 12.00    
SCR  PIROLI               (mccarthy michae)MORALES EDGAR 121 20.00    
 
CD-12   11/29/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($92K) 2 ALL PT- 6:18
See original race card.
:214 :451 :573     1:102   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  GUNNER GLACKEN 6 2 1½ 1½   13 12¾ (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 119 8.00 4.88  
5  FULLY VOLATILE 5 6 85½ 44   23 22¾ (heitzman eric)BARBOSA CARLOS 119 10.00 5% 19.00 16.20 P
4  AKINMUSIRE 4 3 75 86½   57 35 (dutrow richard )VELAZQUEZ R 119 3.00 42% 1.40 1.98 S
2  STEPPE 2 9 53½ 65   67 49 (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 119 4.00 ★ 3.73  
8  BERMUDA BLITZ 8 7 43½ 76   88¾ 59 (casse mark)SANTANA JR 119 3.50 34% 2.00 3.61  
1  LE CHIFFRE 1 5 32½ 32½   45½ 69¾ (heath des)DE CRUZ 119 12.00 25.12  
12  SKYNET 12 11 107½ 109½   99¾ 710 (barrett roddina )ELLIOTT JANE 119 20.00 79.05  
11  SPECIAL CALIBER 11 8 96 98   109¾ 811 (douaihy michel)ROMAN A 119 20.00 77.85  
9  STAY FROSTY 9 1 2½ 2½   34½ 911 (ennis john)MORALES EDGAR 119 12.00 28.10  
10  UNIONISTA 10 12 64 54   77¼ 1011¼ (lukas wayne)BEJARANO R 119 12.00 15.07  
7  MESSI THE GREAT 7 10 1110 119¾   1112¾ 1115¼ (arias alfonso)AYALA ISAIAS 119 15.00 73.07  
3  BIG LAMBROS 3 4 1210½ 1214¾   1216¼ 1219 (leitch daniel)MACHADO LUAN 119 12.00 5% 19.00 20.04  
SCR  MY KING AIR               (romans dale)LANERIE J 119 12.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.