Handicappers' Racing Form

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Churchill Downs
Friday - November 29, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

CD-1   Win (2/8/7/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00
CD-2   Win (5/4/7/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00
CD-3   Win (5/2/4/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00
CD-4   Win (12/5/6/3/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00
CD-5   Win (2/3/8/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00
CD-6   Win (4/6/12/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00
CD-7   Win (8/5/4/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00
CD-8   Win (7/1/6/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00
CD-9   Win (4/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00
CD-10   Win (3/12/7/10/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00
CD-11   Win (7/3/5/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00
CD-12   Win (4/8/5/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
CD-1   11/29/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($92K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:00
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PAINT BALLER         (lukas wayn)ASMUSSEN J 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
WALSTIB Nov08 Aug26 Aug10     (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 122 3.50 62% 0.60    
ANTHONIAN Sep29 Sep10       (morse l)LANERIE J 122 5.00    
SCR  AHANDFULOFCANDY Aug27 Jun30 May26     (heath g)MACHADO LUAN 122 4.00    
WISTUCKY Feb17 Jan13 Nov25 Oct29 Sep29 (romans dale)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 3.00    
VEGAS BLACK JACK         (morey willia)CORRALES GERARDO 122 6.00    
GENERAL ISSUE (FR) Nov08 Oct17 Nov30 Nov09   (cook brian)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
ORIZZONTE Mar21         (mcgee paul)MORALES EDGAR 122 6.00 10% 8.80    
 
CD-2   11/29/2024 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($66K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:28
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TONALITE Oct26 Aug18 Jul21 Jun07 May01 (oliver victoria)SAEZ LUIS 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
PINK MOON Nov06 Feb21 Jan03     (navarrete anna)MONCADA IRVING 111 15.00    
MUSTANG LADY Nov09 Oct10 Sep13 Aug10 Jul15 (newton troy)CORRALES GERARDO 121 2.50    
CATCHING HEAT Nov21 Oct10 Aug31 Jun15 May09 (asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J 118 3.50 14% 5.90    
CURL GIRL Sep20 Jul15 Jun08 Apr19 Feb28 (walden willi)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 2.00 49% 1.00    
CURLIN'S MAGIC Nov15 Oct10 Jun23 Jun08 May03 (asmussen steven)ASMUSSEN ERIK 113 10.00    
COLONIAL ROSE Oct17 Sep04 Nov24 Oct11 Aug26 (cowans d)MACHADO LUAN 118 4.00 8% 11.10    
 
CD-3   11/29/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($56K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:56
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CORKAGE FEE Nov10 Sep27 Sep13 Aug05 Jun14 (baker james)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
JUST LIKE YOU Oct16 Sep11 Jun25 May16 Apr27 (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.00 34% 1.90    
ITSABLINGTHING Nov13 Oct21 Sep25 Aug19 Jul21 (barrett )CURTSINGER JOHNATHON 120 20.00    
LITTLE SISTER SUE Nov09 Oct16 Sep25 Aug19 Jul17 (garcia genaro)MORALES EDGAR 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
MISS JEOPARDY Nov13 Oct12 Sep12 Jun21 Jun02 (ortiz alexande)SAEZ LUIS 118 3.50 39% 1.60    
ASIAN MATRIARCH Oct26 Aug24 Aug03 Jun08 Mar22 (asmussen steven)ASMUSSEN ERIK 113 4.00    
MO SENSE Nov10 Sep27 Jul05 Jun14 Apr30 (jacobson da)CAMACHO JR 118 4.50    
MOTOWN MIKA Nov01 Oct12 Sep20 Jul20 Jun19 (sweezey kent)VAZQUEZ A 120 5.00    
 
CD-4   11/29/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($39K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:24
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
METALLIC MAN Sep10 Aug17 Aug07 May29 Apr23 (matthews randy)SANJUR SANTO 120 5.00    
METATRON'S MUSE Oct30 Sep14 Aug24 Aug07 Jun26 (morey willia)CORRALES GERARDO 120 20.00    
BAYOU COLONEL Nov02 Sep26 Aug01 Jul03 Jun08 (wilkes r)MORALES EDGAR 120 15.00 10% 8.90    
SCR  APPEAL DENIED Nov14 Oct09 Jul15 Dec01 Nov05 (foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 3.50    
EMERALD EXPRESS Sep20 Oct13 Sep29 Jun30 May26 (ramirez m)MONCADA IRVING 113 12.00 13% 6.60    
KANT BEAT THE ROCK Nov14 Oct12 Jul12 Jun07 May19 (jacobson da)CAMACHO JR 120 8.00 13% 6.60    
BASSCOAT Nov06 Oct16 Aug06 Jul09 Jun08 (lauer michael)ASHTON GAVIN 120 15.00    
ATTA BOY ANTHONY Oct23 Sep27 Aug24 Aug02 Jul17 (andrade hugo)CANUTO THIAGO 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
COMMANDO JOE Nov06 Oct29 Oct01 Sep03 Jul11 (matthews randy)RAMOS D 120 20.00    
10  ICEATUDE Nov15 Sep18 Aug29 Aug05 Jun20 (cano muno)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 4.50    
11  VULCAN Oct30 Oct09 Aug26 Apr18 Mar03 (diodoro rob)TORRES A 120 6.00    
12  MUGSY MALONE Oct22 Oct08 Sep24 Aug27 Jul29 (meyers shane)ORTIZ JR 120 6.00 24% 3.20    
 
CD-5   11/29/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($42K) 2 F PT- 2:53
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LADY RILEY Sep19 Aug17 Jul21     (garcia genaro)MORALES EDGAR 119 4.50    
CHAPTER AND VERSE         (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 119 5.00 29% 2.40    
WHAT IF         (bahena ismae)VILLARREAL OSCAR 112 10.00 14% 6.10    
KUKU Nov07 Oct20 Oct11 Sep08 Aug29 (chapman k)LEON A 114 4.00    
SCR  PROTONICA Oct24 Oct01 Aug21     (garcia genaro)MONCADA IRVING 112 6.00    
HONEYBEEBOBBIE Nov07 Oct24 Oct07 Aug25 Jul21 (gonzalez reina )SOSA LAUREANO 119 8.00    
GLORIOUS MUSINGS Nov07         (holden darragh)CANUTO THIAGO 119 6.00    
SPOT ON COOKIE         (baker james)SAEZ GABRIEL 119 8.00 14% 6.10    
LUCKY DUCK         (butcher james)FELIX E 119 10.00 14% 6.10    
 
CD-6   11/29/2024 5940ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($134K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:21
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CLYDE'S GOT A GUN Oct05 Sep05 Aug04 Jun22 May31 (pitts helen)MORALES EDGAR 121 8.00    
BAKWENA Oct05 Aug29 Jun22 May31 Apr23 (miller darrin)MILLER CHASE 121 30.00    
CAMP HOPE Sep05 Aug04 Jun06 May09 Feb17 (maker michae)HERNANDEZ J 121 8.00    
BETTER BET Oct16 Sep05 Jul26 May27 Apr25 (sweezey ke)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 3.00 39% 1.60    
KING CURLIN Sep07 Aug04 May18 Apr20 Jan01 (vanden brittan)EMIGH A 121 4.00    
IDRATHERBEBLESSED Nov01 Oct16 Sep05 Jul20 Jun30 (hartman chris)BEJARANO R 121 3.50 38% 1.60    
LIAR'S POKER Oct05 Aug30 Jul21 Jun30 May09 (londono geneviev)SAEZ GABRIEL 121 30.00    
JOHNY'S FIREBALL Aug03 Jun29 Jun06 May09 Mar23 (casse w)SAEZ LUIS 121 6.00    
ROCK'N A HALO Oct06 Aug11 Jun01 May11 Mar24 (amoss thoma)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 20.00    
10  NATIVE SHAMAN Oct25 Sep26 Aug24 Jul29 Jun09 (arnold r)LANERIE J 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
11  LINCOLN HIGHWAY Oct05 Sep05 Jul29 Jun22 May18 (oliver victoria)MACHADO LUAN 121 30.00    
12  COWBOY JUSTICE (GB) Nov14 Nov01 Oct24 Oct05 Sep12 (murphy conor)GEROUX FLORENT 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  QUADRA ISLAND Nov01 Sep05 Jul14 Jun29 May18 (richard tobious)MACHADO LUAN 121 20.00    
SCR  SAINT IN THE CITY Nov02 Oct24 Sep22 Aug12 Jun06 (van thoma)GEROUX FLORENT 123 15.00    
SCR  BABA VOSS Jun29 May18 Apr12 Feb12 Dec22 (walsh brend)DETTORI LANFRANCO 121 20.00    
SCR  WIND TWIST Oct16 Sep05 Aug08 Jul24 Jun26 (sandy step)RODRIGUEZ A 121 30.00    
 
CD-7   11/29/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($68K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:49
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MARMALADE SKYE Nov06 Oct09 Aug13 Jul16 Jun19 (jacobs magda)ACHARD ALEX 120 8.00    
BALLADRY Nov13 Sep13 Jul29 Jun21 May31 (pitts helen)MORALES EDGAR 118 5.00    
DIVINE GAL Apr12 Mar29 Feb03 Jan13 Dec17 (von d)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
THE BIG CALHOUNA Nov06 Oct26 Oct16 Sep19 Aug24 (sweezey kent)VAZQUEZ A 118 4.00 14% 6.30    
INTERMITTENT FAST Mar20 Nov08 Oct11 Aug13 Jun21 (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 118 3.00 14% 6.00    
JUST HANGIN ON Nov07 Aug21 Jul31 Jun25 Jun12 (lauer michael)ROMAN A 120 20.00    
PROGENY Oct19 Sep28 Aug16 Jul13 Jul06 (weaver georg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 2.50    
MILA JUNES Nov09 Oct23 Sep25 Jun21 May30 (van thoma)GEROUX FLORENT 118 4.50 45% 1.20    
 
CD-8   11/29/2024 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($31K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:18
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PATCH O'BRIEN Nov13 Oct17 Sep26 Sep10 Jul13 (garcia genaro)MORALES EDGAR 118 3.00 26% 2.90    
SCR  ROUNDBALL ROCK Nov13 Oct28 Oct08 Sep24 Sep08 (caramori cai)VILLARREAL OSCAR 114 5.00    
COWBOY IMAGE Oct29 Aug19 Jul10 May22 Apr24 (luce nichole)SAEZ GABRIEL 121 20.00 5% 19.00    
ONLY FRANK KNOWS Nov14 Nov07 Oct24 Jun13 May23 (paye jo)ULLOA PATRICIO 123 10.00    
SCR  UNWORKABLE Nov26 Nov14 Sep04 Aug06   (acevedo isr)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 118 12.00    
FREE RAMBLING MAN Oct23 Oct03 Sep06 Aug10 Jul02 (esquivel jesus)SANJUR SANTO 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
MISTER MOSCATO Nov13 Oct17 Oct01 Aug22 Jul31 (lauer michael)ROMAN A 121 4.50 50% 1.00    
TWIRLING TROILLET Nov13 Nov01 Oct07 Sep26 Aug26 (king barry )LEPAROUX R 118 4.00    
SCR  BACHMAN Oct31 Oct24 Oct10 Aug26 Aug10 (caramori caio)MONCADA IRVING 113 20.00    
10  THANKS FRANK Jul06 May30 May10 Apr28 Mar21 (shirer a)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 6.00    
 
CD-9   11/29/2024 5610ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($134K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:48
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STARLIGHT LOVE Oct29 Sep25 Aug09 Jun21 May27 (lobo h)MACHADO LUAN 120 15.00 19% 4.30    
SCR  ICHIBAN Aug01 Jul17 Jul04 Dec31 Dec16 (ramos rafael)FLACO ARCELIO 121 6.00    
REAGAN'S FLAME Nov06 Sep21 Aug24 Jul29 Jun28 (schultz lin)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 5.00 20% 4.10    
SULTRY LASS Nov08 Sep13 Aug25 Jun30 Jun09 (lovell michelle)ASHTON GAVIN 121 4.00 23% 3.30    
CAT'S CAVE Nov08 Oct11 Aug25 Jul15 Jun01 (tomlinson a)SAEZ LUIS 118 3.50    
AMBER CASCADE Nov08 Sep20 Aug10 Jun26 Nov01 (devaux cher)TORRES A 121 2.00    
SCR  THREE COATS Oct15 Oct02 Sep10 Aug21 Jul31 (lauer michael)MORALES EDGAR 120 6.00    
 
CD-10   11/29/2024 5610ft TURF RC13 FIRM Mrs. Revere Purse ($300K) 3 F PT- 5:18
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DANCING N DIXIE Oct25 Sep11 Aug02 Jun29 May03 (casse mark)SANTANA JR 118 20.00    
BUCHU Oct12 Aug17 Jul06 Jun01 May03 (bauer a)ORTIZ JR 120 5.00    
KEHOE BEACH Oct26 Sep08 Jul07 Jun07 Apr12 (ward wesley)DETTORI LANFRANCO 118 3.00 32% 2.20    
PHAROAH'S WINE Oct25 Sep07 Jul27 Jun21 Mar30 (romans dale)LANERIE J 118 30.00    
CHILLED Nov13 Oct17 Sep05 Jul27 Jun22 (oliver victoria)MACHADO LUAN 118 30.00    
PIN UP BETTY Oct12 Sep11 Aug04 Jul06 Jun01 (maker michae)HERNANDEZ J 118 5.00    
MINOUSHKA (GB) Oct10         (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 4.50 8% 12.20    
SCR  NEON ICON Nov28 Oct23 Sep21 Aug17 Jul06 (arnold geor)LEPAROUX R 118 30.00    
POUNCE Oct12 Sep07 Jul20 May31 Apr06 (casse mark)GEROUX FLORENT 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
10  SIMPLY IN FRONT Oct25 Sep07 Jul27 Jun29 Jun06 (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 118 15.00 7% 12.40    
SCR  MAXISUPERFLY Oct26 Sep08 Aug04 May03 Mar23 (foster eric)CEDILLO ABEL 118 30.00    
12  POOLSIDE WITH SLIM (IRE) Oct25 Sep13 Jun29 May31 Apr06 (arnold r)VELAZQUEZ R 120 6.00 29% 2.50    
SCR  ADRASTEIA Nov28 Nov03 Oct09 Sep05 Aug04 (bogle fergus)JIMENEZ ALBIN 118 30.00    
SCR  BREEZING ALONG Nov28 Oct16 Sep05 Jul11 Jul04 (meah m)ROMAN A 118 30.00    
15  SANCTIFY Oct31 Oct04 Sep11 Aug24 Aug04 (holsapple hu)HERNANDEZ J 118 30.00    
 
CD-11   11/29/2024 5940ft DIRT RC13 FAST Clark Purse ($600K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:48
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BOLZY Oct26 Sep28 Feb24 Jan28 Jan06 (von d)DETTORI LANFRANCO 121 12.00    
GRAND ASPEN Oct26 Jan27 Dec30 Nov24 Oct22 (thomas jonat)CORRALES GERARDO 121 20.00    
CRUPI Sep28 Aug03 Jul05 Jun08 Jan27 (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 123 4.00 17% 4.90    
SCR  PIROLI Oct20 Aug23 Jul07 May04 Sep30 (mccarthy michae)MORALES EDGAR 121 20.00    
MOST WANTED Sep29 Aug11 Jul21 Jun21   (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 120 3.50 16% 5.40    
HIT SHOW Oct26 Sep28 Aug04 Jul06 May11 (cox h)GAFFALIONE TYLER 123 3.00    
RATTLE N ROLL Sep28 Sep30 Sep02 Jul01 Jun03 (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 121 5.00 40% 1.50    
RED ROUTE ONE Jul06 May17 Apr20 Mar23 Feb17 (asmussen st)TORRES A 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
COOKE CREEK Sep28 Aug15 Jun29 May27 Feb17 (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 121 6.00    
10  UNO MAS BOURBON Oct26 Sep14 Jul21 Jun20 May26 (wilkes ian )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 20.00    
 
CD-12   11/29/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($92K) 2 ALL PT- 6:18
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LE CHIFFRE Nov01         (heath des)DE CRUZ 119 12.00    
STEPPE Oct25         (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 119 4.00    
BIG LAMBROS         (leitch daniel)MACHADO LUAN 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
AKINMUSIRE Nov01 Jun19 May02 Apr10   (dutrow richard )VELAZQUEZ R 119 3.00 42% 1.40    
FULLY VOLATILE         (heitzman eric)BARBOSA CARLOS 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
GUNNER GLACKEN         (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 119 8.00    
MESSI THE GREAT Nov14         (arias alfonso)AYALA ISAIAS 119 15.00    
BERMUDA BLITZ Nov01 Sep25       (casse mark)SANTANA JR 119 3.50 34% 2.00    
STAY FROSTY Oct26         (ennis john)MORALES EDGAR 119 12.00    
10  UNIONISTA         (lukas wayne)BEJARANO R 119 12.00    
11  SPECIAL CALIBER         (douaihy michel)ROMAN A 119 20.00    
12  SKYNET Nov14 Jul28       (barrett roddina )ELLIOTT JANE 119 20.00    
SCR  MY KING AIR         (romans dale)LANERIE J 119 12.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.