Handicappers' Race Results

"A Premier Resource for Horse Racing Picks, Horse Racing Tips and Longshots"
Thoroughbred Racing Simulator is licensed and powered by Brisnet.
Visit us at tbrsimulator.com.
Contact us at support@tbrsimulator.com.
Follow us on X@tbrsimulator.
Always check Track, Date, Race Number, Program Number and Horse Name before the race.
All Post Times are in EST.

Churchill Downs
Thursday - November 28, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

CD-1   Win (7/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $6.36 $6.36 0.36
CD-2   Win (6/3/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $6.74 $6.74 0.74
CD-3   Win (8/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 0 $11.32  
CD-4   Win (7/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 8 1 0 $6.60  
CD-5   Win (5/8/7/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 1 $17.68 $17.68 9.68
CD-6   Win (7/9/5/11/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 5 1 1 $15.08 $15.08 5.08
CD-7   Win (1/6/7/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00 10 1 1 $15.80 $15.80 7.80
CD-8   Win (8/11/3/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 0 $40.70  
CD-9   Win (2/6/4/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 6 1 1 $10.64 $10.64 2.64
CD-10   Win (10/5/7/1/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 5 1 1 $9.30 $9.30  
CD-11   Win (7/6/1/4/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 3 1 0 $23.00  
CD-12   Win (13/10/2/5/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 13 1 1 $10.16 $10.16 0.16

Simulator Race results

 
CD-1   11/28/2024 5610ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($50K) Purse ($66K) 3UP ALL PT-11:30
See original race card.
:233 :47 1:113 1:363   1:431   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
REDEMPTION TIME 1 5 53 42 3½ 12 14 (calhoun b)VAZQUEZ A 121 3.50 22% 3.60 2.18 W
BRILLIANT MAN 2 6 6 6 5 34 24 (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 4.50 4.71  
LAUGHNOWCRYLATER 3 4 1½ 2nk 4¾ 22 3 (hughes g)BEJARANO R 118 12.00 5% 19.00 11.57 S
HOLLYWOOD ENDING 6 1 32 31 1½ 44 4 (cox h)SAEZ LUIS 121 2.50 46% 1.20 1.24  
BLACK IRON 5 2 42 5 6 5 514 (asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J 118 3.00 7.79  
GORILLA TREK 4 3 2½ 1nk 2½ 6 617½ (bauer a)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 5.00 10.74  
SCR  SEASON FIGHTER               (lobo h)MACHADO LUAN 118 10.00    
 
CD-2   11/28/2024 3630ft DIRT RC3 MUDDY Alw Opt Clm ($125K) Purse ($134K) 3 F PT-11:58
See original race card.
:22 :443 :564     1:031   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TANYA SHOWERS 2 2 4 33   31 1 (hartman chris)BEJARANO R 118 3.50 13% 6.70 2.37 W
ASTERNIA 3 3 1 11   11 2 (morse randy )GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.00 3.24  
BLUE SQUALL 5 4 33 43   21 3 (morse randy )HERNANDEZ J 118 2.50 47% 1.10 3.75 S
TAMBO 6 5 5 5   5 4 (devaux cherie)SAEZ LUIS 118 15.00 5% 19.00 3.04  
GLORIETTE 4 1 2 21   4 5 (garcia genaro)MORALES EDGAR 118 4.50 8.28  
SING A LITTLE SONG 1 6 6 610   6 6 (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 118 4.00 7.65  
SCR  KACHOW               (curtsing)CURTSINGER JOHNATHON 118 20.00    
 
CD-3   11/28/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($50K) Purse ($75K) 3UP ALL PT-12:26
See original race card.
:224 :453 1:102 1:232   1:364   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PIKE PLACE 2 6 6 6 63 1½ 1 (quartarolo )LEPAROUX R 121 6.00 4.66  
ELUSIVE TARGET 3 2 1nk 4¾ 53 43 2 (maker micha)DETTORI LANFRANCO 121 4.00 2.95  
BACKGROUND 4 4 2nk 2½ 21 3 3 (asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J 121 8.00 13.75  
TAHOE SUNRISE 5 5 4¾ 3½ 11 2½ 45 (wilensky sam)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 3.50 27% 2.70 2.46  
OUTLIER 6 1 5 5¾ 4 53 5 (hiles rick)SAEZ LUIS 121 3.00 28% 2.50 1.98  
EXPENSIVE CUT 1 3 3½ 1½ 32 6 611¼ (morse randy )HERNANDEZ J 121 12.00 5% 19.00 9.99  
SCR  CAMP DAVID               (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 121 8.00    
SCR  SUMMER SPLASH               (asmussen steven)ASMUSSEN ERIK 116 5.00    
 
CD-4   11/28/2024 4290ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($42K) 3UP M/F PT-12:54
See original race card.
:23 :471 1:12     1:184   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHICA ARMA 5 3 1½ 1½   2nk 1nk (asmussen steven)ASMUSSEN ERIK 117 3.00 2.30  
STARCOURT 4 2 3 2½   1nk 2nk (puhich mike)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 4.00 39% 1.60 2.16 P
CANDY CAUSE 2 4 44 52   45 3 (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 122 6.00 29% 2.40 2.96 S
KENTUCKY STARLET 3 5 5 31   3 4 (nihei mich)RODRIGUEZ A 122 12.00 8% 12.20 6.05  
EIGHT DAYS SOBER 1 6 6 64   56 5 (navarrete an)VILLARREAL OSCAR 115 15.00 5.59  
10  REDHEADEDSTRANGER 6 1 2½ 41   611 620¼ (nesbitt amy)ORTIZ ALVIN 122 15.00 19.51  
SCR  BELLA ESTRELA               (wadsworth k)LEPAROUX R 122 10.00    
SCR  CRUISE MISSILE               (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 122 2.50    
SCR  PRINCESS POM POM               (forster t)LANERIE J 124 6.00    
SCR  SMOOTH MARRIAGE               (shorter aar)TORRES A 124 15.00    
 
CD-5   11/28/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($16K) Purse ($31K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:22
See original race card.
:232 :464 1:111 1:24   1:371   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PRINCESS KALAMOH 5 3 2½ 1nk 11 13 1 (matthews randy)RAMOS D 118 20.00 5% 19.00 7.84 W
BOLTORO 6 4 3 3 21 23 2 (garcia genaro)MORALES EDGAR 121 8.00 17% 4.90 6.11 P
TRES CHIC (ARG) 7 8 64 5 44 3 38 (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 121 3.50 2.40  
EVOCATION 1 5 4 42 54 4 4 (caramori cai)VILLARREAL OSCAR 113 6.00 5.47  
PATE 4 2 1½ 2nk 33 5 513 (lovell michell)GEROUX FLORENT 121 3.00 58% 0.70 2.34  
STERLING LUCK 3 6 7 7 66 6 614¾ (forster grant )BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 4.00 6.20  
10  FASTA LAVISTA BABY 8 1 53 6 8 712 717 (sandy steph)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 118 15.00 5% 19.00 35.16  
CASINO ANNIE 2 7 87 8 77 814 824¾ (parker r)SAEZ GABRIEL 121 15.00 21.12  
SCR  ANOINTED OF GOD               (douaihy miche)MIRANDA ROGELIO 120 4.50    
SCR  LADLE               (miller jerome )MONCADA IRVING 111 30.00    
 
CD-6   11/28/2024 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($134K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:50
See original race card.
:242 :482 1:122 1:241   1:361   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NEOM BEACH 4 2 65 6 7 5 1¼ (asmussen steven)ASMUSSEN ERIK 113 15.00 8% 12.10 6.54 W
SCHOOL DANCE 1 10 9 8 8 7 2¼ (damato philip)VAZQUEZ A 121 12.00 7.55  
13  SARA MIA 10 7 5 5 3½ 1nk 3¾ (ennis john)DOYLE SOPHIE 121 20.00 41.68  
BREEZING ALONG 5 5 2½ 1nk 1½ 3.2 4 (meah m)MONCADA IRVING 113 30.00 5% 19.00 40.96  
AMERICAN RETRO 6 6 43 4 42 4 5 (wilkes r)SAEZ LUIS 121 6.00 47% 1.10 2.86  
UPHILL DANCE 7 11 11 11 11 9 6 (mott i)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 8.00 5.21  
11  BEST CUPCAKE 9 3 3 32 2½ 2nk 7 (lauer michael)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 20.00 5% 19.00 11.33  
FEDERALISM 3 1 1½ 2nk 6 8 84 (kenneally ed)HERNANDEZ J 120 3.50 4.79  
MAKE THE BOYS WINK 8 8 7 7 5 6 9 (maker micha)DETTORI LANFRANCO 121 4.00 20% 4.10 4.31  
15  AMAZON QUEEN 11 9 109 10 10 118 10 (lauer michael)ASHTON GAVIN 121 20.00 60.44  
BEACH WALKN 2 4 87 9 9 10 11 (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 121 20.00 25.76  
SCR  ICHIBAN               (ramos rafael)FLACO ARCELIO 121 4.00    
SCR  PROCTOR STREET               (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 2.00    
SCR  SAMAY (PER)               (arias alfonso)BEJARANO R 121 12.00    
SCR  STARLIGHT LOVE               (lobo h)JIMENEZ ALBIN 118 30.00    
SCR  WORK OF FICTION               (arnold geor)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 6.00    
 
CD-7   11/28/2024 3960ft DIRT RC9 MUDDY Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($72K) 2 F PT- 2:18
See original race card.
:212 :444 :572     1:102   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  INTO THE FRAY 8 1 45 4   2 1 (arnold r)LANERIE J 120 10.00 5% 19.00 6.90 W
GOLDEN IRISH 1 6 1nk 3   33 2 (amoss thomas)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 2.00 34% 2.00 1.29 P
KINZIE QUEEN 7 5 56 5   44 3 (compton greg)ASMUSSEN ERIK 117 12.00 24.14  
KEYANA 5 2 2nk 1   1 4 (leitch dan)RODRIGUEZ A 120 3.00 13% 6.40 1.82  
LA MARINERA 3 7 7 69   6 57 (fernandez kel)MIRANDA ROGELIO 120 12.00 33.74  
GERLIN'S EMPIRE 4 8 33 2   55 6 (stewart dallas)SAEZ LUIS 120 4.50 30% 2.30 5.27  
EQUAL SUCCESS 6 3 8 7   78 79 (sharp joe)HERNANDEZ J 120 8.00 22.06  
MISS TIFEYE 2 4 6 811¾   812 812¾ (baker james)SAEZ GABRIEL 122 12.00 37.75  
SCR  CAMPAIGN PROMISES               (moger jr)ROMAN A 120 30.00    
SCR  THUNDER BERN               (west w)MACHADO LUAN 120 12.00    
 
CD-8   11/28/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($58K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:47
See original race card.
:213 :452 :581     1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NO WHAT IFS 7 5 4 3   2½ 1¼ (catalano m)LANERIE J 122 8.00 19.35  
MARMO 2 9 21 5   3½ 2¼ (foley greg)SAEZ LUIS 122 6.00 11.98  
10  MO ATTITUDE 10 10 95 85   4 3 (navarrete an)VILLARREAL OSCAR 115 20.00 5% 19.00 15.25 S
WOWSERS 8 2 106 10   75 43 (van thoma)GEROUX FLORENT 122 4.00 38% 1.60 3.08  
MINK STOLE 4 7 3 2   53 53 (arnold george )MONCADA IRVING 115 3.50 3.05  
11  MIA MARCELA 11 1 11 1   1½ 6 (asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J 122 15.00 35% 1.90 13.85  
WHAT'S HER NUMBER 5 4 7 6   6 76 (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 6.00 6.75  
JERSEYS PARADE 1 11 11 1110½   11 86 (meredith charle)CANUTO THIAGO 122 20.00 64.38  
ADALENE 3 8 5 4   8 97 (salas marcelino)BEJARANO R 122 10.00 5% 19.00 17.42  
ASH WEDNESDAY 6 6 6 7   9 107 (danner kelsey)MORALES EDGAR 122 8.00 5.71  
TAKA 9 3 8 97   10 1114¾ (von d)TORRES A 122 8.00 7.44  
 
CD-9   11/28/2024 5940ft DIRT RC12 MUDDY Falls City Purse ($400K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:16
See original race card.
:233 :472 1:114 1:37   1:501   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LOVED 6 6 5 5 3½ 13 1 (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 3.00 7% 13.70 4.32 W
TARIFA 2 1 4 44 52 23 2 (cox h)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 1.80 65% 0.50 1.75 P
LEXA (FR) 7 7 74 6 41 34 3 (beckman wh)CORRALES GERARDO 121 15.00 25.57  
NEON ICON 1 5 64 7 63 66 47 (arnold r)SAEZ LUIS 118 15.00 9.10  
ENCLOSURE 5 4 11 1 1nk 56 511 (mott william)HERNANDEZ J 121 12.00 15.82  
MUSICAL MISCHIEF 4 3 32 2 2nk 4 612 (mccarthy michae)MORALES EDGAR 123 2.00 6% 15.20 1.96  
PEIGNOIR 3 2 21 3 7 7 714¾ (brisset rodolp)GEROUX FLORENT 118 10.00 16.16  
QUATRO Y VINTE (URU) 8 8 8 8 8 810 816½ (lobo h)MACHADO LUAN 121 30.00 5% 19.00 13.30  
 
CD-10   11/28/2024 5280ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($127K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:45
See original race card.
:223 :45 1:094 1:222   1:353   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LIGHTLINE 5 9 1211 1211¼ 7 56 1¼ (cox h)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 5.00 17% 4.80 3.65 W
HOLD MY BOURBON 1 6 2nk 1 2½ 1 2¼ (cowans d)MACHADO LUAN 118 10.00 10% 8.60 7.64 P
FOOTPRINT 3 4 106 7 5 4 3 (stall m)VAZQUEZ A 118 12.00 5% 19.00 16.18 S
BOURBON'S FAULT 4 1 31 33 3 34 4 (shorter aar)TORRES A 118 20.00 32.93  
GOLDBRICK 2 2 1nk 2 1½ 2 5 (calhoun wil)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 8.00 7.77  
10  LINE OF SCRIMMAGE 10 5 42 4 4 6 68 (sharp joe)HERNANDEZ J 118 3.50 36% 1.80 3.39  
TOUR PLAYER 7 10 6 11 9 711½ 715½ (brisset rodo)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 4.00 15% 5.60 5.09  
12  LINEBACKER 12 12 8 55 66 812 816 (blair jordan)MORALES EDGAR 118 5.00 4.52  
ELEGANT TRIP 8 8 11 10 12 1014½ 919 (arnold r)ASMUSSEN ERIK 116 15.00 21.24  
LOU'S LEGACY 6 7 94 8 11 914½ 1020½ (andrad)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 118 12.00 30.97  
11  ALEMAN 11 3 5 65 10 1116½ 1123¼ (jarvis kathy)RAMOS D 121 20.00 64.77  
COPPER ECHO 9 11 7 9 88 1220 1233 (johnston d)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 20.00 62.13  
SCR  HALL OF FAME (ARG)               (asmussen ste)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 4.00    
SCR  MOONLIGHT               (block chris)SAEZ LUIS 118 8.00    
SCR  MULTITASK               (harty eoin)BEJARANO R 118 10.00    
SCR  PRINCE OF POWER               (esquivel jesus)SANJUR SANTO 118 20.00    
 
CD-11   11/28/2024 5940ft TURF RC12 FIRM Cardinal Purse ($300K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:14
See original race card.
:234 :48 1:12 1:362   1:484   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DUVET DAY (IRE) 3 6 9 9 9 8 1¾ (mccarthy michael)PRAT FLAVIEN 121 3.00 10.50  
SHE'S LOOKIN LUCKY 1 3 21 2 2½ 1nk 2¾ (shirer a)GEROUX FLORENT 121 10.00 7% 14.00 1.85 P
QUEEN REGENT (GB) 4 9 8 8 8 43 3 (walsh brend)DETTORI LANFRANCO 121 8.00 7% 14.20 6.46 S
STIR CRAZY 6 4 4 44 42 3 4 (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 121 3.50 36% 1.80 6.29  
10  DREAMING OF MO 9 1 11 1 1½ 2nk 5 (romans dale)LANERIE J 121 10.00 7.17  
11  QUALITY STAR 10 8 5 75 6 5 6 (lobo h)MACHADO LUAN 121 20.00 34.40  
HARVEY'S PRINCESS 7 10 1010¼ 10 10 9 75 (salas marcelin)RAMOS D 121 30.00 5% 19.00 64.14  
ADRASTEIA 8 5 7 5 5 7 8 (bogle fergus)JIMENEZ ALBIN 118 20.00 24.60  
IMPLICATED 5 2 3 33 32 64 96 (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 2.50 26% 2.90 2.71  
MAGICAL LUTE 2 7 6 6 74 10 10 (wilkes r)HERNANDEZ J 121 10.00 33.39  
SCR  HEART SPIN               (navarrete anna)MONCADA IRVING 121 20.00    
 
CD-12   11/28/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($92K) 2 F PT- 4:43
See original race card.
:213 :453 :581     1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
13  ITWILLBEFUN 11 6 6 1½   1 12 (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 119 3.50 38% 1.60 4.08 W
10  LIL BREEZZY 8 11 108 7   44 22 (beckman wh)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 3.50 35% 1.90 2.30 P
GETTING AFTER IT 3 10 1110 11   77 3 (puhich mike)GARCIA MARTIN 119 10.00 5% 19.00 12.56 S
MACLEAN'S LULLABY 1 7 8 8   5 45 (matejka pavel)ROMAN A 119 15.00 37.27  
CHASING GLORY 5 3 4 4   65 55 (walsh p)MORALES EDGAR 119 12.00 12.99  
11  WHAT ABOUT Q 9 2 31 2½   2 6 (o'neill doug)BEJARANO R 119 4.50 7.00  
SWEET SCORECARD 7 9 7 9   8 710¼ (eggleston tim)SANJUR SANTO 119 12.00 19.01  
THEATRIX 6 4 2½ 31   34 811¼ (arnold george )MONCADA IRVING 112 20.00 26.71  
STANDBYFORTAKEOFF 4 5 52 64   910½ 916½ (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 119 10.00 5% 19.00 8.55  
12  STARSHIP REFUND 10 8 9 10   1013 1018 (danner kels)TORRES A 119 10.00 25.93  
JANE PAYNE 2 1 1½ 5   1113¼ 1122¼ (cox h)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 4.00 7% 13.10 4.30  
SCR  FLYING DELILAH               (brisset rodolp)GEROUX FLORENT 119 8.00    
SCR  ROUTE SENSATION               (medina robe)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 10.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.