Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Churchill Downs
Thursday - November 28, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CD-2   WIN (6/3/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00  3 $6.74 $0.74 12%
    DD (7/1/4)-(6/3/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00  1-3 $14.02 $5.02 56%
CD-5   WIN (5/8/7/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00  7 $17.68 $9.68 121%
    EXA (5/8/7/10)-(5/8/7/10) 12 $2.00 $24.00  7-8 $98.34 $74.34 310%
CD-6   WIN (7/9/5/11/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00  5 $15.08 $5.08 51%
    DD (5/8/7/10)-(7/9/5/11/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00  7-5 $51.75 $31.75 159%
CD-7   WIN (1/6/7/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00  10 $15.80 $7.80 98%
    EXA (1/6/7/10)-(1/6/7/10) 12 $2.00 $24.00  10-1 $59.22 $35.22 147%
    DD (7/9/5/11/6)-(1/6/7/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00  5-10 $108.39 $88.39 442%
    PK3 (5/8/7/10)-(7/9/5/11/6)-(1/6/7/10) 80 $0.50 $40.00  7-5-10 $245.36 $205.36 513%
CD-9   WIN (2/6/4/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00  6 $10.64 $2.64 33%
    EXA (2/6/4/8)-(2/6/4/8) 12 $2.00 $24.00  6-2 $34.06 $10.06 42%
CD-10   EXA (10/5/7/1/3)-(10/5/7/1/3) 20 $2.00 $40.00  5-1 $66.54 $26.54 66%
    TRI (10/5/7/1/3)-(10/5/7/1/3)-(10/5/7/1/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00  5-1-3 $141.84 $111.84 373%
    DD (2/6/4/8)-(10/5/7/1/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00  6-5 $28.14 $8.14 41%
CD-12   TRI (13/10/2/5/4)-(13/10/2/5/4)-(13/10/2/5/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00  13-10-4 $108.98 $78.98 263%
Simulator Race results
 
CD-1   11/28/2024 5610ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($50K) Purse ($66K) 3UP ALL PT-11:30
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  REDEMPTION TIME   (calhoun william)VAZQUEZ A 121 3.50 22% 3.60 2.18 W
2  BRILLIANT MAN   (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 4.50 4.71  
4  LAUGHNOWCRYLATER   (hughes g)BEJARANO R 118 12.00 5% 19.00 11.57 S
7  HOLLYWOOD ENDING   (cox h)SAEZ LUIS 121 2.50 46% 1.20 1.24  
6  BLACK IRON   (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 118 3.00 7.79  
5  GORILLA TREK   (bauer a)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 5.00 10.74  
SCR  SEASON FIGHTER   (lobo h)MACHADO LUAN 118 10.00    
 
CD-2   11/28/2024 3630ft DIRT RC3 MUDDY Alw Opt Clm ($125K) Purse ($134K) 3 F PT-11:58
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  TANYA SHOWERS   (hartman chris)BEJARANO R 118 3.50 13% 6.70 2.37 W
4  ASTERNIA   (morse rand)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.00 3.24  
6  BLUE SQUALL   (morse rand)HERNANDEZ J 118 2.50 47% 1.10 3.75 S
7  TAMBO   (devaux cherie)SAEZ LUIS 118 15.00 5% 19.00 3.04  
5  GLORIETTE   (garcia genaro)MORALES EDGAR 118 4.50 8.28  
2  SING A LITTLE SONG   (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 118 4.00 7.65  
SCR  KACHOW   (curtsi)CURTSINGER JOHNATHON 118 20.00    
 
CD-3   11/28/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($50K) Purse ($75K) 3UP ALL PT-12:26
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  PIKE PLACE   (quartarol)LEPAROUX R 121 6.00 4.66  
4  ELUSIVE TARGET   (maker mic)DETTORI LANFRANCO 121 4.00 2.95  
5  BACKGROUND   (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 121 8.00 13.75  
6  TAHOE SUNRISE   (wilensky s)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 3.50 27% 2.70 2.46  
8  OUTLIER   (hiles rick)SAEZ LUIS 121 3.00 28% 2.50 1.98  
2  EXPENSIVE CUT   (morse rand)HERNANDEZ J 121 12.00 5% 19.00 9.99  
SCR  CAMP DAVID   (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 121 8.00    
SCR  SUMMER SPLASH   (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 116 5.00    
 
CD-4   11/28/2024 4290ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($42K) 3UP M/F PT-12:54
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  CHICA ARMA   (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 117 3.00 2.30  
7  STARCOURT   (puhich mi)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 4.00 39% 1.60 2.16 P
3  CANDY CAUSE   (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 122 6.00 29% 2.40 2.96 S
6  KENTUCKY STARLET   (nihei mi)RODRIGUEZ A 122 12.00 8% 12.20 6.05  
2  EIGHT DAYS SOBER   (navarrete )VILLARREAL OSCAR 115 15.00 5.59  
10  REDHEADEDSTRANGER   (nesbitt amy)ORTIZ ALVIN 122 15.00 19.51  
SCR  BELLA ESTRELA   (wadsworth)LEPAROUX R 122 10.00    
SCR  CRUISE MISSILE   (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 122 2.50    
SCR  PRINCESS POM POM   (forster t)LANERIE J 124 6.00    
SCR  SMOOTH MARRIAGE   (shorter a)TORRES A 124 15.00    
 
CD-5   11/28/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($16K) Purse ($31K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:22
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  PRINCESS KALAMOH   (matthews ran)RAMOS D 118 20.00 5% 19.00 7.84 W
8  BOLTORO   (garcia genaro)MORALES EDGAR 121 8.00 17% 4.90 6.11 P
9  TRES CHIC (ARG)   (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 121 3.50 2.40  
1  EVOCATION   (caramori c)VILLARREAL OSCAR 113 6.00 5.47  
5  PATE   (lovell miche)GEROUX FLORENT 121 3.00 58% 0.70 2.34  
4  STERLING LUCK   (forster gran)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 4.00 6.20  
10  FASTA LAVISTA BABY   (sandy ste)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 118 15.00 5% 19.00 35.16  
3  CASINO ANNIE   (parker donald )SAEZ GABRIEL 121 15.00 21.12  
SCR  ANOINTED OF GOD   (douaihy mic)MIRANDA ROGELIO 120 4.50    
SCR  LADLE   (miller jerom)MONCADA IRVING 111 30.00    
 
CD-6   11/28/2024 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($134K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:50
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  NEOM BEACH   (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 113 15.00 8% 12.10 6.54 W
1  SCHOOL DANCE   (damato philip)VAZQUEZ A 121 12.00 7.55  
13  SARA MIA   (ennis john)DOYLE SOPHIE 121 20.00 41.68  
6  BREEZING ALONG   (meah m)MONCADA IRVING 113 30.00 5% 19.00 40.96  
7  AMERICAN RETRO   (wilkes r)SAEZ LUIS 121 6.00 47% 1.10 2.86  
8  UPHILL DANCE   (mott i)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 8.00 5.21  
11  BEST CUPCAKE   (lauer michae)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 20.00 5% 19.00 11.33  
3  FEDERALISM   (kenneally )HERNANDEZ J 120 3.50 4.79  
9  MAKE THE BOYS WINK   (maker mic)DETTORI LANFRANCO 121 4.00 20% 4.10 4.31  
15  AMAZON QUEEN   (lauer michael)ASHTON GAVIN 121 20.00 60.44  
2  BEACH WALKN   (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 121 20.00 25.76  
SCR  ICHIBAN   (ramos rafael)FLACO ARCELIO 121 4.00    
SCR  PROCTOR STREET   (walsh bren)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 2.00    
SCR  SAMAY (PER)   (arias alfonso)BEJARANO R 121 12.00    
SCR  STARLIGHT LOVE   (lobo h)JIMENEZ ALBIN 118 30.00    
SCR  WORK OF FICTION   (arnold ge)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 6.00    
 
CD-7   11/28/2024 3960ft DIRT RC9 MUDDY Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($72K) 2 F PT- 2:18
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  INTO THE FRAY   (arnold r)LANERIE J 120 10.00 5% 19.00 6.90 W
1  GOLDEN IRISH   (amoss thom)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 2.00 34% 2.00 1.29 P
9  KINZIE QUEEN   (compton greg)ASMUSSEN ERIK 117 12.00 24.14  
7  KEYANA   (leitch d)RODRIGUEZ A 120 3.00 13% 6.40 1.82  
4  LA MARINERA   (fernandez k)MIRANDA ROGELIO 120 12.00 33.74  
6  GERLIN'S EMPIRE   (stewart dallas)SAEZ LUIS 120 4.50 30% 2.30 5.27  
8  EQUAL SUCCESS   (sharp joe)HERNANDEZ J 120 8.00 22.06  
3  MISS TIFEYE   (baker james)SAEZ GABRIEL 122 12.00 37.75  
SCR  CAMPAIGN PROMISES   (moger jr)ROMAN A 120 30.00    
SCR  THUNDER BERN   (west w)MACHADO LUAN 120 12.00    
 
CD-8   11/28/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($58K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:47
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  NO WHAT IFS   (catalano wayne )LANERIE J 122 8.00 19.35  
2  MARMO   (foley greg)SAEZ LUIS 122 6.00 11.98  
10  MO ATTITUDE   (navarrete )VILLARREAL OSCAR 115 20.00 5% 19.00 15.25 S
8  WOWSERS   (van tho)GEROUX FLORENT 122 4.00 38% 1.60 3.08  
4  MINK STOLE   (arnold georg)MONCADA IRVING 115 3.50 3.05  
11  MIA MARCELA   (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 122 15.00 35% 1.90 13.85  
5  WHAT'S HER NUMBER   (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 6.00 ★ 6.75  
1  JERSEYS PARADE   (meredith char)CANUTO THIAGO 122 20.00 64.38  
3  ADALENE   (salas marcelino)BEJARANO R 122 10.00 5% 19.00 17.42  
6  ASH WEDNESDAY   (danner kelsey)MORALES EDGAR 122 8.00 5.71  
9  TAKA   (von hemel)TORRES A 122 8.00 7.44  
 
CD-9   11/28/2024 5940ft DIRT RC12 MUDDY Falls City Purse ($400K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:16
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  LOVED   (walsh bren)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 3.00 7% 13.70 4.32 W
  (by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of VELVETY by HERMITAGE (CHI))
2  TARIFA   (cox h)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 1.80 65% 0.50 1.75 P
  (by BERNARDINI out of KITE BEACH by AWESOME AGAIN)
7  LEXA (FR)   (beckman d )CORRALES GERARDO 121 15.00 25.57  
  (by GUN RUNNER out of SMILE MORE by TIZNOW)
1  NEON ICON   (arnold r)SAEZ LUIS 118 15.00 9.10  
  (by ARROGATE out of MADEMOISELLE COCO by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
5  ENCLOSURE   (mott willi)HERNANDEZ J 121 12.00 15.82  
  (by ARROGATE out of COGNITIVE by UNCLE MO)
4  MUSICAL MISCHIEF   (mccarthy mich)MORALES EDGAR 123 2.00 6% 15.20 1.96  
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of SOPHIA'S SONG by BELLAMY ROAD)
3  PEIGNOIR   (brisset rodo)GEROUX FLORENT 118 10.00 16.16  
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of BEEHIVE HAIRDO by FLAT OUT)
8  QUATRO Y VINTE (URU)   (lobo h)MACHADO LUAN 121 30.00 5% 19.00 13.30  
  (by T. H. APPROVAL out of DONDOCA CARIOCA by ROMARIN)
 
CD-10   11/28/2024 5280ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($127K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:45
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  LIGHTLINE   (cox h)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 5.00 17% 4.80 3.65 W
1  HOLD MY BOURBON   (cowans william)MACHADO LUAN 118 10.00 10% 8.60 7.64 P
3  FOOTPRINT   (stall m)VAZQUEZ A 118 12.00 5% 19.00 16.18 S
4  BOURBON'S FAULT   (shorter a)TORRES A 118 20.00 32.93  
2  GOLDBRICK   (calhoun w)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 8.00 7.77  
10  LINE OF SCRIMMAGE   (sharp joe)HERNANDEZ J 118 3.50 36% 1.80 3.39  
7  TOUR PLAYER   (brisset ro)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 4.00 15% 5.60 5.09  
12  LINEBACKER   (blair jordan)MORALES EDGAR 118 5.00 4.52  
8  ELEGANT TRIP   (arnold george)ASMUSSEN ERIK 116 15.00 21.24  
6  LOU'S LEGACY   (andr)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 118 12.00 30.97  
11  ALEMAN   (jarvis kathy)RAMOS D 121 20.00 64.77  
9  COPPER ECHO   (johnston lane )SAEZ GABRIEL 118 20.00 62.13  
SCR  HALL OF FAME (ARG)   (asmussen s)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 4.00    
SCR  MOONLIGHT   (block chris)SAEZ LUIS 118 8.00    
SCR  MULTITASK   (harty eoin)BEJARANO R 118 10.00    
SCR  PRINCE OF POWER   (esquivel jesus)SANJUR SANTO 118 20.00    
 
CD-11   11/28/2024 5940ft TURF RC12 FIRM Cardinal Purse ($300K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:14
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  DUVET DAY (IRE)   (mccarthy micha)PRAT FLAVIEN 121 3.00 10.50  
  (by STARSPANGLEDBANNER out of JE T'ADORE by SPUN TO RUN)
1  SHE'S LOOKIN LUCKY   (shirer matt )GEROUX FLORENT 121 10.00 7% 14.00 1.85 P
  (by LOOKIN AT LUCKY out of WORLDLY HEIRESS by WILDCAT HEIR)
4  QUEEN REGENT (GB)   (walsh bre)DETTORI LANFRANCO 121 8.00 7% 14.20 6.46 S
  (by ROARING LION out of COMMON KNOWLEDGE by MANK)
7  STIR CRAZY   (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 121 3.50 36% 1.80 6.29  
  (by VANCOUVER out of MENTALLY UNSTABLE by GOOD REWARD)
10  DREAMING OF MO   (romans dale)LANERIE J 121 10.00 7.17  
  (by UNCLE MO out of DREAMING OF YOU by PIONEEROF THE NILE)
11  QUALITY STAR   (lobo h)MACHADO LUAN 121 20.00 34.40  
  (by ANIMAL KINGDOM out of ESSTADISTA by ESSAYONS)
8  HARVEY'S PRINCESS   (salas marcel)RAMOS D 121 30.00 5% 19.00 64.14  
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of GLIDE ON BY by PURE PRIZE)
9  ADRASTEIA   (bogle fergus)JIMENEZ ALBIN 118 20.00 24.60  
  (by SPEIGHTSTER out of ARROSTOS by BODEMEISTER)
6  IMPLICATED   (walsh bren)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 2.50 26% 2.90 2.71  
  (by CONNECT out of WYSTERIA by TALE OF THE CAT)
2  MAGICAL LUTE   (wilkes ian)HERNANDEZ J 121 10.00 33.39  
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of STREET SONG by FLATTER)
SCR  HEART SPIN   (navarrete an)MONCADA IRVING 121 20.00    
  (by HARD SPUN out of FRIVOLITY by WILD AGAIN)
 
CD-12   11/28/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($92K) 2 F PT- 4:43
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
13  ITWILLBEFUN   (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 119 3.50 38% 1.60 4.08 W
  (by CONSTITUTION out of TAKE CHARGE by TAKE ME OUT (IRE))
10  LIL BREEZZY   (beckman d )GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 3.50 35% 1.90 2.30 P
  (by TAPITURE out of SUMMER PLACE by SUPER SAVER)
4  GETTING AFTER IT   (puhich mike)GARCIA MARTIN 119 10.00 5% 19.00 12.56 S
  (by VIOLENCE out of BANSHEE BIRDIE by BIRDSTONE)
1  MACLEAN'S LULLABY   (matejka pavel)ROMAN A 119 15.00 37.27  
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of JOYFUL HOLIDAY by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
7  CHASING GLORY   (walsh brendan)MORALES EDGAR 119 12.00 12.99  
  (by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of MURRELLS INLET by SUPER SAVER)
11  WHAT ABOUT Q   (o'neill doug)BEJARANO R 119 4.50 7.00  
  (by TIZ THE LAW out of WILDABOUTSHOPPING by WILDCAT HEIR)
9  SWEET SCORECARD   (eggleston tim)SANJUR SANTO 119 12.00 19.01  
  (by VEKOMA out of SWEET HALORY by HOLD ME BACK)
8  THEATRIX   (arnold georg)MONCADA IRVING 112 20.00 26.71  
  (by STREET BOSS out of STAGE FRIGHT by BERNARDINI)
5  STANDBYFORTAKEOFF   (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 119 10.00 5% 19.00 8.55  
  (by AIR FORCE BLUE out of GERMAN EDITION by CAPE CROSS)
12  STARSHIP REFUND   (danner ke)TORRES A 119 10.00 25.93  
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of TIGHT LIPPED by KISSIN KRIS)
2  JANE PAYNE   (cox h)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 4.00 7% 13.10 4.30  
  (by JIMMY CREED out of MUCHO MACHO WOMAN by MUCHO MACHO MAN)
SCR  FLYING DELILAH   (brisset rodo)GEROUX FLORENT 119 8.00    
  (by VEKOMA out of CHARMING DELILAH by STEPHEN GOT EVEN)
SCR  ROUTE SENSATION   (medina ro)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 10.00    
  (by HONEST MISCHIEF out of EXPOSURE by COLONEL JOHN)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.