Handicappers' Racing Form

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Churchill Downs
Thursday - November 28, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

CD-1   Win (7/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00
CD-2   Win (6/3/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00
CD-3   Win (8/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00
CD-4   Win (7/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00
CD-5   Win (5/8/7/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00
CD-6   Win (7/9/5/11/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00
CD-7   Win (1/6/7/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00
CD-8   Win (8/11/3/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00
CD-9   Win (2/6/4/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00
CD-10   Win (10/5/7/1/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00
CD-11   Win (7/6/1/4/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00
CD-12   Win (13/10/2/4/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
CD-1   11/28/2024 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($66K) 3UP ALL PT-11:30
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
REDEMPTION TIME Oct31 Sep19 Aug19 Dec30 Nov17 (calhoun b)VAZQUEZ A 121 3.50 22% 3.60    
BRILLIANT MAN Nov07 Sep05 Aug18 May31 Apr20 (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 4.50    
SCR  SEASON FIGHTER Oct04 Aug26 Jul29 Jun18 May21 (lobo h)MACHADO LUAN 118 10.00    
LAUGHNOWCRYLATER Oct07 Sep05 Aug03 Jul11 May18 (hughes g)BEJARANO R 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
GORILLA TREK Sep26 Sep01 Jul20 May11 Apr13 (bauer a)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 5.00    
BLACK IRON Oct25 Sep08 Aug29 Jul14   (asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J 118 3.00    
HOLLYWOOD ENDING Oct31 Jan28 Dec29 Nov24 Oct27 (cox h)SAEZ LUIS 121 2.50 46% 1.20    
 
CD-2   11/28/2024 3630ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($125K) Purse ($134K) 3 F PT-11:58
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  KACHOW Oct12 Sep25 Sep06 Jul18 Jun26 (curtsing)CURTSINGER JOHNATHON 118 20.00    
SING A LITTLE SONG Nov06 Oct09 Aug23 Jul07 Jun19 (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 118 4.00    
TANYA SHOWERS Nov06 May31 May03 Apr04 Mar03 (hartman chris)BEJARANO R 118 3.50 13% 6.70    
ASTERNIA Jun28 May03 Mar16 Feb02 Dec31 (morse randy )GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.00    
GLORIETTE Nov03 Sep13 Aug15 Jul29 Jun27 (garcia genaro)MORALES EDGAR 118 4.50    
BLUE SQUALL Oct30 Sep25 Jul29 Jun22 Apr20 (morse randy )HERNANDEZ J 118 2.50 47% 1.10    
TAMBO Oct04 Aug11 Jun09 Apr21 Feb23 (devaux cherie)SAEZ LUIS 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
CD-3   11/28/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($75K) 3UP ALL PT-12:26
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SUMMER SPLASH Nov20 Aug12 Aug27 Jun18 Apr20 (asmussen steven)ASMUSSEN ERIK 116 5.00    
EXPENSIVE CUT Nov07 Sep15 Aug12 Jun29 May31 (morse randy )HERNANDEZ J 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
PIKE PLACE Sep25 Sep01 Jul31 Jul04 May31 (quartarolo )LEPAROUX R 121 6.00    
ELUSIVE TARGET Nov07 Oct12 Sep05 Aug12 Jul14 (maker micha)DETTORI LANFRANCO 121 4.00    
BACKGROUND Nov20 Oct13 Sep21 Aug18 Jun19 (asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J 121 8.00    
TAHOE SUNRISE Nov08 Aug24 Jun01 Dec30 Nov24 (wilensky sam)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 3.50 27% 2.70    
SCR  CAMP DAVID Mar21 Feb09 Jan06 Nov11 Mar16 (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 121 8.00    
OUTLIER Nov03 Sep27 Aug18 Jul15 Jun15 (hiles rick)CORRALES GERARDO 121 3.00 28% 2.50    
 
CD-4   11/28/2024 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($42K) 3UP M/F PT-12:54
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SMOOTH MARRIAGE         (shorter aar)TORRES A 124 15.00    
EIGHT DAYS SOBER Oct23 Feb07 Dec27     (navarrete an)VILLARREAL OSCAR 115 15.00    
CANDY CAUSE Jul20 Jun04       (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 122 6.00 29% 2.40    
SCR  CRUISE MISSILE Oct11 Sep21 Feb24 Dec09 Nov02 (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 122 2.50    
SCR  BELLA ESTRELA Nov06 Aug17 Jul29 Jun27 Feb06 (wadsworth k)LEPAROUX R 122 10.00    
KENTUCKY STARLET Oct24         (nihei mich)RODRIGUEZ A 122 12.00 8% 12.20    
STARCOURT Oct31 Sep27 Aug25 Jul05 Jun06 (puhich mike)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 4.00 39% 1.60    
CHICA ARMA Oct24 Sep29 Sep04 Jan12 Nov25 (asmussen steven)ASMUSSEN ERIK 117 3.00    
SCR  PRINCESS POM POM Nov13 Oct24 Sep29 Sep04 May02 (forster t)LANERIE J 124 6.00    
10  REDHEADEDSTRANGER Nov06 Oct19 Sep21 Aug31 Jul06 (nesbitt amy)ORTIZ ALVIN 122 15.00    
 
CD-5   11/28/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($31K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:22
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EVOCATION Nov07 Oct24 Sep27 Jun07 May30 (caramori cai)VILLARREAL OSCAR 113 6.00    
SCR  ANOINTED OF GOD Nov07 Aug05 Jul25 Jun06 May27 (douaihy miche)MIRANDA ROGELIO 120 4.50    
CASINO ANNIE Oct23 Aug19 Jul22 Jul07 Jun15 (parker r)SAEZ GABRIEL 121 15.00    
STERLING LUCK Sep26 Aug24 Jul25 Jun05 Feb13 (forster grant )BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 4.00    
PATE Nov01 Sep25 May03 Mar09 Feb10 (lovell michell)GEROUX FLORENT 121 3.00 58% 0.70    
SCR  LADLE Oct05 Sep20 Sep11 Aug23 Aug07 (miller jerome )MONCADA IRVING 111 30.00    
PRINCESS KALAMOH Oct14 Sep13 Aug26 Jun25 Feb14 (matthews randy)RAMOS D 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
BOLTORO Nov11 Oct22 Sep12 Aug01 Jul14 (garcia genaro)MORALES EDGAR 121 8.00 17% 4.90    
TRES CHIC (ARG) Nov13 Jun14 Apr11 Mar27 Feb22 (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 121 3.50    
10  FASTA LAVISTA BABY Nov13 Oct08 Sep05 Jul17 Jun12 (sandy steph)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
CD-6   11/28/2024 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($134K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCHOOL DANCE Oct31 Oct04 Jun02 May03 Apr04 (damato philip)VAZQUEZ A 121 12.00    
BEACH WALKN Oct26 Oct04 Aug26 Jan18 Dec21 (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 121 20.00    
FEDERALISM Oct20 Jul07 Jul23     (kenneally ed)HERNANDEZ J 120 3.50    
SCR  PROCTOR STREET Sep13 Jul18 May27     (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 2.00    
NEOM BEACH Oct26 Sep21 Jul13 May31 Apr20 (asmussen steven)ASMUSSEN ERIK 113 15.00 8% 12.10    
BREEZING ALONG Oct16 Sep05 Jul11 Jul04 Jun06 (meah m)MONCADA IRVING 113 30.00 5% 19.00    
AMERICAN RETRO Feb24 Aug31 Aug01 Jun03 May05 (wilkes r)SAEZ LUIS 121 6.00 47% 1.10    
UPHILL DANCE Oct25 Sep21 Jul27 Jun22 Nov04 (mott i)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 8.00    
MAKE THE BOYS WINK Jul28 Jul07 May03 Nov24 Nov04 (maker micha)DETTORI LANFRANCO 121 4.00 20% 4.10    
SCR  SAMAY (PER) Oct17 Sep08 Aug07 Jul31 Jul21 (arias alfonso)BEJARANO R 121 12.00    
11  BEST CUPCAKE Oct04 Aug21 Jul31 Jul06 Jun04 (lauer michael)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  STARLIGHT LOVE Oct29 Sep25 Aug09 Jun21 May27 (lobo h)JIMENEZ ALBIN 118 30.00    
13  SARA MIA Oct09 Sep18 Sep08 Jul21 Jun23 (ennis john)DOYLE SOPHIE 121 20.00    
SCR  WORK OF FICTION Oct26 May30 Apr20 Jan13 Nov04 (arnold geor)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 6.00    
15  AMAZON QUEEN Aug16 Jul14 Jun20 May22 Apr30 (lauer michael)ASHTON GAVIN 121 20.00    
SCR  ICHIBAN Aug01 Jul17 Jul04 Dec31 Dec16 (ramos rafael)FLACO ARCELIO 121 4.00    
 
CD-7   11/28/2024 3960ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($72K) 2 F PT- 2:18
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GOLDEN IRISH Oct23         (amoss thomas)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 2.00 34% 2.00    
SCR  CAMPAIGN PROMISES Nov02 Sep14 Aug23     (moger jr)ROMAN A 120 30.00    
MISS TIFEYE Oct31 Oct09 Sep15 Aug25   (baker james)SAEZ GABRIEL 122 12.00    
LA MARINERA Nov06 Oct11 Sep28 Aug29 Aug16 (fernandez kel)MIRANDA ROGELIO 120 12.00    
SCR  THUNDER BERN Oct08 Sep07 Aug05 Jul11 Jun09 (west w)MACHADO LUAN 120 12.00    
GERLIN'S EMPIRE Nov06 Sep26 Aug07 Jul13   (stewart dallas)SAEZ LUIS 120 4.50 30% 2.30    
KEYANA Oct19 Sep26 May02     (leitch dan)RODRIGUEZ A 120 3.00 13% 6.40    
EQUAL SUCCESS Oct27 Oct06       (sharp joe)HERNANDEZ J 120 8.00    
KINZIE QUEEN Nov17 Oct02 Sep01 Aug03   (compton greg)ASMUSSEN ERIK 117 12.00    
10  INTO THE FRAY Oct11 Sep08 Jul21     (arnold r)LANERIE J 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
CD-8   11/28/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($58K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:47
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JERSEYS PARADE Oct04 Sep11       (meredith charle)CANUTO THIAGO 122 20.00    
MARMO Nov03         (foley greg)SAEZ LUIS 122 6.00    
ADALENE Nov06 Sep04 Aug08 Jul11 Jun20 (salas marcel)CORRALES GERARDO 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
MINK STOLE Oct31 Sep01 Aug09 Jun29   (arnold george )MONCADA IRVING 115 3.50    
WHAT'S HER NUMBER Nov06 Oct11 Mar24 Feb16 Jan12 (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 6.00    
ASH WEDNESDAY Mar03         (danner kelsey)MORALES EDGAR 122 8.00    
NO WHAT IFS Nov03         (catalano m)LANERIE J 122 8.00    
WOWSERS Nov03 Jun16 May25 May03 Apr07 (van thoma)GEROUX FLORENT 122 4.00 38% 1.60    
TAKA Sep21         (von d)TORRES A 122 8.00    
10  MO ATTITUDE Oct23 Oct04 Sep11 Dec20 Nov23 (navarrete an)VILLARREAL OSCAR 115 20.00 5% 19.00    
11  MIA MARCELA Oct28 Oct07 Aug05 Jul15 Jun26 (asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J 122 15.00 35% 1.90    
 
CD-9   11/28/2024 5940ft DIRT RC12 FAST Falls City Purse ($400K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:16
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NEON ICON Oct23 Sep21 Aug17 Jul06 May23 (arnold r)SAEZ LUIS 118 15.00    
TARIFA Oct26 Sep21 Aug11 May03 Mar23 (cox h)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 1.80 65% 0.50    
PEIGNOIR Nov08 Oct17 Sep20 Aug05 Jul05 (brisset rodolp)GEROUX FLORENT 118 10.00    
MUSICAL MISCHIEF Sep14 Aug11 Jun30 May17 Apr13 (mccarthy michae)MORALES EDGAR 123 2.00 6% 15.20    
ENCLOSURE Nov08 Oct11 Sep13 Aug10 Nov19 (mott william)HERNANDEZ J 121 12.00    
LOVED Oct06 Sep14 Jul06 Apr19 Jul22 (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 3.00 7% 13.70    
LEXA (FR) Oct11 Sep13 Aug04 Jun30 Jan13 (beckman wh)CORRALES GERARDO 121 15.00    
QUATRO Y VINTE (URU) Oct18         (lobo h)MACHADO LUAN 121 30.00 5% 19.00    
 
CD-10   11/28/2024 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($127K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:45
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HOLD MY BOURBON Oct04 Jun30 Jun13 May12 Apr19 (cowans d)MACHADO LUAN 118 10.00 10% 8.60    
GOLDBRICK Oct30 Jan05 Dec09 Nov19 Oct07 (calhoun wil)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 8.00    
FOOTPRINT Oct16 Apr13 Mar23 Feb24 Jan28 (stall m)VAZQUEZ A 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
BOURBON'S FAULT Oct31 Sep20 Aug15 Jun30 Dec23 (shorter aar)TORRES A 118 20.00    
LIGHTLINE Apr12 Mar02 Feb03 Dec31 Oct14 (cox h)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 5.00 17% 4.80    
LOU'S LEGACY Nov09 Oct10 Sep07 Jul28 Jul05 (andrad)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 118 12.00    
TOUR PLAYER Oct31 Oct05 May27 May04 Apr06 (brisset rodo)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 4.00 15% 5.60    
ELEGANT TRIP Oct18 Aug31 Jul28 Dec16 Nov22 (arnold r)ASMUSSEN ERIK 116 15.00    
COPPER ECHO Nov10 Sep25 Aug18 Jul28 Jun29 (johnston d)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 20.00    
10  LINE OF SCRIMMAGE Nov06 Oct10 Sep15 Aug24   (sharp joe)HERNANDEZ J 118 3.50 36% 1.80    
11  ALEMAN Nov08 May28 May13 Mar23 Feb22 (jarvis kathy)RAMOS D 121 20.00    
12  LINEBACKER Oct30 Sep14 Aug10 Feb03 Dec31 (blair jordan)MORALES EDGAR 118 5.00    
SCR  MOONLIGHT Oct16 Jul27 Jun29 Apr13 Feb17 (block chris)SAEZ LUIS 118 8.00    
SCR  MULTITASK Aug24 Jul28 Jun19     (harty eoin)BEJARANO R 118 10.00    
SCR  HALL OF FAME (ARG) Mar23 Feb17 Jan20 Nov26   (asmussen ste)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 4.00    
SCR  PRINCE OF POWER Nov17 Sep01 Aug04 Jul20 Jun27 (esquivel jesus)SANJUR SANTO 118 20.00    
 
CD-11   11/28/2024 5940ft TURF RC12 FIRM Cardinal Purse ($300K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:14
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHE'S LOOKIN LUCKY Nov15 Oct17 Sep05 Aug04 Jul07 (shirer a)GEROUX FLORENT 121 10.00 7% 14.00    
MAGICAL LUTE Oct18 Sep18 Aug11 Jul05 Jun01 (wilkes r)HERNANDEZ J 121 10.00    
DUVET DAY (IRE) Oct20 Sep11 Aug16 Jun15 May11 (mccarthy michael)PRAT FLAVIEN 121 3.00    
QUEEN REGENT (GB) Nov09 Oct13 Sep05     (walsh brend)DETTORI LANFRANCO 121 8.00 7% 14.20    
SCR  HEART SPIN Nov22 Nov03 Oct20 Sep05 Jul27 (navarrete anna)MONCADA IRVING 121 20.00    
IMPLICATED Oct05 Aug31 Jun29 May12 Feb03 (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 2.50 26% 2.90    
STIR CRAZY Oct18 Sep05 Jul06 Jun13 May03 (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 121 3.50 36% 1.80    
HARVEY'S PRINCESS Oct17 Sep19 Aug23 Jul25 Jul13 (salas marcelino)MCKEE J 121 30.00 5% 19.00    
ADRASTEIA Nov03 Oct09 Sep05 Aug04 Jul15 (bogle fergus)JIMENEZ ALBIN 118 20.00    
10  DREAMING OF MO Oct31 Oct04 Sep02 Aug08 Jun28 (romans dale)LANERIE J 121 10.00    
11  QUALITY STAR Oct17 Aug26 Jun20 May19 Apr20 (lobo h)MACHADO LUAN 121 20.00    
 
CD-12   11/28/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($92K) 2 F PT- 4:43
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MACLEAN'S LULLABY Nov05 Sep26 Sep15 May10   (matejka pavel)ROMAN A 119 15.00    
JANE PAYNE         (cox h)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 4.00 7% 13.10    
SCR  FLYING DELILAH         (brisset rodolp)GEROUX FLORENT 119 8.00    
GETTING AFTER IT         (puhich mike)GARCIA MARTIN 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
STANDBYFORTAKEOFF         (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  ROUTE SENSATION Jun23         (medina robe)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 10.00    
CHASING GLORY         (walsh p)MORALES EDGAR 119 12.00    
THEATRIX         (arnold george )MONCADA IRVING 112 20.00    
SWEET SCORECARD         (eggleston tim)SANJUR SANTO 119 12.00    
10  LIL BREEZZY Oct19         (beckman wh)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 3.50 35% 1.90    
11  WHAT ABOUT Q Oct20 Sep27 Jul27 Jun30 May31 (o'neill doug)BEJARANO R 119 4.50    
12  STARSHIP REFUND         (danner kels)TORRES A 119 10.00    
13  ITWILLBEFUN Nov13 Oct10 Sep26     (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 119 3.50 38% 1.60    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.