Handicappers' Race Results
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Churchill Downs
Friday - November 22, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
CD-1   Win (7/2/8/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 3 1 0 $14.84  
CD-2   Win (6/7/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 1 $15.90 $15.90 9.90
CD-3   Win (3/7/4/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 3 1 1 $5.18 $5.18  
CD-4   Win (2/3/7/6/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 9 1 0 $8.92  
CD-5   Win (8/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 8 1 1 $4.08 $4.08 0.08
CD-6   Win (3/5/4/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 3 1 1 $7.34 $7.34  
CD-7   Win (2/8/3/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 0 $7.62  
CD-8   Win (1/6/2/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 8 1 0 $4.48  
CD-9   Win (7/3/8/6/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 8 1 1 $7.22 $7.22  
CD-10   Win (2/9/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 8 1 0 $6.36  
Simulator Race results
 
CD-1   11/22/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($40K) Purse ($68K) 2 ALL PT- 1:00
See original race card.
:231 :461 1:104 1:231   1:361   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  VAMOS CARLITOS 3 4 2nk 21½ 2nk 2½ 1¾ (thomas jonatha)GEROUX FLORENT 120 5.00 6.42  
7  GARDINER 7 2 1nk 11½ 1nk 1½ 2¾ (sharp joe)SAEZ LUIS 118 1.60 36% 1.80 0.54 P
4  STREETS OF WAR 4 7 74¾ 43 43 34½ 38 (rivera nestor)NUNEZ Y 118 15.00 5% 19.00 36.53 S
2  SECRET TROUBLE 2 3 43 65¼ 67½ 69 410 (rivera nes)RODRIGUEZ A 118 5.00 25% 3.00 16.84  
1  LOU MAN 1 1 53½ 53¼ 55½ 58½ 511¼ (rivelli larr)CORRALES GERARDO 118 6.00 8.37  
8  CAPED CRUSADER 8 6 32 31½ 32½ 46 611¾ (tomlinson mich)TORRES A 118 15.00 13% 7.00 35.76  
5  RIGHTEOUS STAR 5 5 64½ 86¾ 78½ 712 720 (cano munoz)MACHADO LUAN 118 3.00 4.05  
6  SHEPPINATOR 6 8 84¾ 75¾ 89½ 816 826½ (west aaron )BERMUDEZ E 120 20.00 61.23  
 
CD-2   11/22/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($62.5K) Purse ($78K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:29
See original race card.
:21 :44 :554     1:081   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  GOODASIWONSWAS 2 5 1½ 2½   2nk 1nk (shirer a)SAEZ GABRIEL 120 15.00 5% 19.00 6.95 W
6  BIG HAT WILLIE 5 3 52 1½   1nk 2nk (jacobson da)CAMACHO JR 120 2.50 31% 2.20 0.77 P
3  MAJOR BLUE 3 1 2½ 31   32½ 36¼ (lukas wayne)SAEZ LUIS 120 5.00 5.28  
4  ROBO MAN 4 6 65 65½   67¾ 49¾ (holden darragh)MORALES EDGAR 120 6.00 24.25  
1  HIGHER STANDARD 1 4 42 55   57½ 511 (cowans will)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 120 3.00 4.64  
7  ELI'S PROMISE 6 2 31½ 43½   46½ 612 (divito p)VAZQUEZ A 120 5.00 21% 3.70 5.76  
SCR  MIACOMET               (shirer matt)TORRES A 120 4.00    
 
CD-3   11/22/2024 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:58
See original race card.
:223 :454 1:093     1:154   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  TOP GUN ROCKET 3 7 52 52   21½ 1hd (mott riley)TORRES A 122 1.60 45% 1.20 1.59 W
7  EVAN ON EARTH 7 1 2½ 2nk   11½ 2hd (foley greg)SAEZ LUIS 122 2.00 25% 2.90 1.71 P
2  MAP TO THE STARS 2 4 31 41½   32½ 33¾ (mcgee paul)HERNANDEZ J 122 10.00 19.99  
5  SHALLUS 5 8 87 86½   67½ 48¾ (labra rogelio)FELIX E 122 15.00 5% 19.00 44.00  
1  PARTYVICIOUS 1 3 1½ 1nk   43 510¼ (west m)MACHADO LUAN 122 15.00 15.80  
4  BURLSWORTH 4 6 41½ 31   55½ 611¾ (moquett e)BEJARANO R 122 8.00 5% 19.00 8.91  
8  WORLD CHAOS 8 2 64 74   78½ 716¼ (beckman whit)GEROUX FLORENT 122 6.00 5.53  
6  VIKING 6 5 74 63½   812½ 824½ (morse l)GARCIA MARTIN 122 8.00 12.25  
 
CD-4   11/22/2024 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($58K) 2 ALL PT- 2:27
See original race card.
:223 :453 1:11     1:242   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  CANISIUS 8 7 53 84¼   11 14½ (dutrow e)SAEZ LUIS 119 8.00 3.46  
13  SHARP SWINGER 10 10 63¼ 52¼   21 24½ (sharp joe)TORRES A 119 6.00 8.66  
8  MINTASTIC 7 4 42 41¾   42½ 34½ (asmussen ste)HERNANDEZ J 119 15.00 25.52  
7  CONCRETE CRUISER 6 6 84¾ 73¾   74½ 44¾ (sharp joe)ASMUSSEN ERIK 114 4.00 7% 12.40 5.70  
2  J DAVID 1 2 2nk 1nk   31 55 (drury j)MONCADA IRVING 112 3.00 46% 1.20 1.93  
3  ALL THE LUCK 2 5 73¼ 62¾   85½ 66 (joseph saff)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 3.50 25% 2.90 4.14  
5  STEEL VENGEANCE 4 3 31½ 31½   63½ 76½ (esquivel jesus)BEJARANO R 119 15.00 5% 19.00 50.64  
4  GYPSY DREAMING 3 1 1nk 2nk   53 89¼ (walsh p)MORALES EDGAR 119 8.00 13.29  
6  ONLY THE GOOD 5 8 99¼ 99¼   99 99¾ (danner kels)TORRES A 119 15.00 5% 19.00 47.57  
10  CANDYLAND PHIL 9 9 109½ 1010¾   1011½ 1012¼ (kenneally eddie)MACHADO LUAN 119 10.00 18.06  
SCR  ALLIED COMMANDER               (catalano m)LANERIE J 119 15.00    
SCR  FROSTY BEER               (matejka pavel)ROMAN A 119 30.00    
SCR  SILENT BREEZE               (hancock joh)LEPAROUX R 119 30.00    
 
CD-5   11/22/2024 3630ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($127K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:57
See original race card.
:22 :444 :563     1:03   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  FANTASTICAL 8 5 63½ 44   32 1hd (sharp joe)MORALES EDGAR 118 2.50 52% 0.90 1.04 W
9  HIGH FASHION KATE 9 4 32½ 32½   2nk 2hd (minnock g)BEJARANO R 118 8.00 7.31  
7  GIRL OF MY DREAMS 7 1 11½ 12   1nk 3.15 (meah m)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 118 6.00 ★ 13.94 S
5  MORNING MIRACLE 5 2 43 64½   64¾ 42¼ (blair jordan)TORRES A 118 8.00 10.85  
10  LA LA ROSE 10 3 21½ 22   52¼ 53¼ (foley greg)HERNANDEZ J 118 6.00 ★ 10.77  
1  LA FORET 1 10 107 108½   76¼ 64 (catalano m)LANERIE J 118 4.00 ★ 4.82  
4  KICK A RHYME (IRE) 4 7 53½ 54   42¼ 74 (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 120 4.50 22% 3.50 6.26  
6  KRICKLE 6 6 74 76   86¾ 85¾ (holsapple h)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 30.00 43.79  
3  KATIE'S CHECKRIDE 3 8 95½ 97½   97¾ 97½ (jazdzewski )ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 120 20.00 53.79  
2  ICE QUEEN 2 9 85 87   1011¾ 1015¾ (alessi james)SANCHEZ LEXANDER 120 15.00 61.84  
SCR  DOT               (blair jordan)ASHTON GAVIN 118 20.00    
SCR  HARBOR SPRINGS               (foley greg)HERNANDEZ J 118 4.00    
SCR  OBSTREPEROUS               (amoss thomas)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.00    
SCR  UNDERCOVER               (brisset rodolphe)SAEZ LUIS 118 3.00    
 
CD-6   11/22/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:26
See original race card.
:23 :453 1:093     1:22   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  PINFIRE 3 2 12½ 12   13 12¾ (tomlinson mich)TORRES A 120 3.00 47% 1.10 2.67 W
5  GUILE 5 7 53½ 54   23 22¾ (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 120 2.00 18% 4.60 0.88 P
8  LEAD FOOT 6 1 65½ 64¼   56 37¼ (gonzalez reina )SOSA LAUREANO 118 30.00 5% 19.00 51.78 S
9  KOSHER CAPONE 7 4 43 32   34 47¾ (johnston d)SAEZ GABRIEL 120 2.50 4.55  
4  PRINTS MONEY 4 3 32½ 22   45½ 510 (martinez kelli)VAZQUEZ A 118 12.00 9% 10.30 9.96  
2  EL GUNNER 2 5 22½ 42½   69½ 617½ (gutierrez faust)MORALES EDGAR 118 10.00 8.95  
1  MERLOTTI 1 6 76 78¼   712 719¼ (wainwright joh)BARBOSA CARLOS 120 20.00 54.52  
SCR  ARTWELL               (garcia genaro)MORALES EDGAR 120 6.00    
SCR  KOHAKU               (alessi james)SANCHEZ LEXANDER 120 30.00    
 
CD-7   11/22/2024 5610ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 ALL PT- 3:55
See original race card.
:241 :483 1:124 1:372   1:44   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  KINETIC CONTROL 7 2 11½ 11 1nk 1½ 11½ (romans dale)LANERIE J 119 3.50 2.81  
8  MORLOCK 8 1 21½ 21 2nk 2½ 21½ (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 119 4.00 26% 2.80 3.39 P
3  PUBLISHER 3 8 52½ 52½ 32½ 32½ 33 (asmussen steven)ASMUSSEN ERIK 119 4.50 13% 7.00 7.18 S
1  SPURGEON 1 7 64½ 64 64¾ 46 44¼ (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 119 6.00 5.10  
6  SPEECHLESS 6 4 75½ 75½ 76¼ 68½ 510 (brisset rodolphe)MACHADO LUAN 119 12.00 5% 19.00 29.33  
2  SCORPIUS 2 6 32 32 53¼ 58 611¼ (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 3.00 29% 2.40 2.41  
4  EXECUTIVE 4 3 42½ 42 42¾ 79 711¼ (mott i)TORRES A 119 5.00 12.40  
5  HARVEST N'HEARTH 5 5 87 87½ 810¼ 816 825¾ (mcpeek kenn)LEPAROUX R 119 15.00 26.44  
 
CD-8   11/22/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($40K) Purse ($68K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:25
See original race card.
:22 :451 :564     1:084   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  FRIAR LAURENCE 8 1 3.2 1½   11½ 12 (amoss m)SAEZ LUIS 120 2.00 1.24  
1  PAYNE 1 5 51¾ 62¼   31½ 22 (foster eric)TORRES A 120 5.00 43% 1.30 13.61 P
2  ONE GIANT LEAP 2 6 84¾ 83¾   63¾ 32 (hartman chris)MACHADO LUAN 120 3.50 7% 12.50 3.55 S
7  PRESSURE 7 3 61¾ 41   52¼ 43 (shirer a)SAEZ GABRIEL 120 8.00 22.31  
3  DAZZLEMESILVER 3 2 2nk 3½   41¾ 54½ (sweezey kent)VAZQUEZ A 120 10.00 5% 19.00 7.85  
6  I GOT NO MUNNY 6 4 1nk 2½   21½ 66¾ (asmussen steven)ASMUSSEN ERIK 115 6.00 24% 3.20 5.12  
5  G T FIVE HUNDRED 5 8 41¼ 52   74¼ 77¼ (asmussen ste)HERNANDEZ J 120 5.00 7.14  
4  CHIPOFFTHEOLDBLOCK 4 7 72¾ 73¾   84¾ 87¾ (lauer michael)MORALES EDGAR 120 20.00 26.35  
 
CD-9   11/22/2024 5940ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($127K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:55
See original race card.
:234 :483 1:122 1:362   1:483   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  SHILOH'S MISTRESS 8 3 21 21 2½ 1nk 1nk (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 118 3.00 17% 4.80 2.61 W
6  BIG TROUBLE 6 2 11 11 1½ 2nk 2nk (foley greg)TORRES A 118 6.00 12% 7.60 3.82 P
3  BOURBON THIEF 3 7 75 75½ 83¾ 53¾ 3¼ (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 120 5.00 20% 3.90 3.95 S
4  JANEY CREED 4 10 108 107¾ 95¼ 63¾ 41 (hughes g)BEJARANO R 118 12.00 5% 19.00 27.56  
10  CLASSY'N CONNECTED 9 5 62½ 52½ 42 32½ 51¾ (drury thomas)HERNANDEZ J 118 15.00 9.58  
5  BERNA DITTY 5 1 52½ 64½ 73½ 75¼ 63¾ (greenhill)DE CRUZ 118 20.00 68.12  
2  MOONLIGHT GAMBLER 2 4 42 42 52 43½ 74¼ (colebrook b)TORRES A 118 15.00 43.70  
7  HAY STACK 7 8 97 86 62½ 85½ 88 (beckman whit)GEROUX FLORENT 121 2.50 26% 2.80 3.24  
11  HEART SPIN 10 6 31½ 31 31 98½ 910¼ (navarrete anna)MONCADA IRVING 114 6.00 11.24  
1  EGYPTIAN CANDY 1 9 85½ 96¼ 107¼ 1011½ 1015 (leitch daniel)MACHADO LUAN 118 15.00 22.46  
SCR  FORESEEN               (arnold geor)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 3.50    
SCR  HARVEY'S PRINCESS               (salas marcelino)MCKEE J 121 20.00    
SCR  IRISH PATSY               (mccarthy micha)GEROUX FLORENT 121 8.00    
SCR  PARISH LANE               (kenneally eddie)LANERIE J 118 12.00    
SCR  SPICY ITALIAN               (catalano m)LANERIE J 121 20.00    
SCR  WITS AND WAGERS               (oliver victo)CORRALES GERARDO 121 4.00    
 
CD-10   11/22/2024 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:24
See original race card.
:244 :482 1:131 1:374   1:441   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  PHREDDIE MAC 5 2 3½ 31½ 2nk 1nk 1½ (asmussen m)SAEZ LUIS 121 3.00 2.18  
7  MO HOPE 4 1 2½ 21 1nk 2nk 2½ (mcgee paul)GARCIA MARTIN 124 8.00 3.70  
2  HALFWAY TEMPTED 1 5 43 63 62¾ 54¾ 33 (romans dale)LANERIE J 121 5.00 23% 3.40 2.03 S
4  SOUND OF VICTORY 2 6 64 42½ 52¼ 33½ 45 (brisset rodolp)GEROUX FLORENT 121 4.50 3.15  
5  SATURDAY LONG LEGS 3 4 53½ 52½ 4¾ 44½ 59 (frazier matt)MONCADA IRVING 117 12.00 10% 9.30 24.92  
9  SPEED INSTITUTE 6 3 1½ 11 3½ 69¾ 620 (salas marcelino)MORALES EDGAR 124 15.00 20% 3.90 11.84  
SCR  PHOTO OP               (hiles rick)BEJARANO R 124 12.00    
SCR  TRAP LINE               (vanden brittan)EMIGH A 121 10.00    
SCR  WARP NINE               (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 121 2.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.