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Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!


Churchill Downs
Wednesday - November 13, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

			Wgr	Pick						Tot	Bet	Bet	Winning		Pay
			Type	Numbers						Tkts	Unit	Amt	Numbers		Amt			Profit				ROI

CD-2			EXA	(7/1/5/2/4)-(7/1/5/2/4)						20	$2.00	$40.00	1-7		$46.86			$6.86				17%
			TRI	(7/1/5/2/4)-(7/1/5/2/4)-(7/1/5/2/4)						60	$0.50	$30.00	1-7-2		$87.93			$57.93				193%
			SFT	(7/1/5/2/4)-(7/1/5/2/4)-(7/1/5/2/4)-(7/1/5/2/4)						120	$0.10	$12.00	1-7-2-5		$32.05			$20.05				167%
CD-5			WIN	(10/1/8/3/2)						5	$2.00	$10.00	1		$10.70			$0.70				7%
			EXA	(10/1/8/3/2)-(10/1/8/3/2)						20	$2.00	$40.00	1-2		$43.72			$3.72				9%
			TRI	(10/1/8/3/2)-(10/1/8/3/2)-(10/1/8/3/2)						60	$0.50	$30.00	1-2-10		$52.18			$22.18				74%
			DD	(4/6/1)-(10/1/8/3/2)						15	$1.00	$15.00	4-1		$16.22			$1.22				8%
CD-6			WIN	(6/1/2/5/3)						5	$2.00	$10.00	5		$18.16			$8.16				82%
			EXA	(6/1/2/5/3)-(6/1/2/5/3)						20	$2.00	$40.00	5-1		$123.02			$83.02				208%
			DD	(10/1/8/3/2)-(6/1/2/5/3)						25	$1.00	$25.00	1-5		$66.37			$41.37				165%
			PK3	(4/6/1)-(10/1/8/3/2)-(6/1/2/5/3)						75	$0.50	$37.50	4-1-5		$154.51			$117.01				312%

Simulator Race results


CD-1			11/13/2024		5610ft	DIRT	RC7	FAST	Claiming ($16K)					Purse ($31K)			3UP		M/F		PT- 1:00
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
4	SARANAC LAKE									(sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118						1.00						0.33
2	TRES CHIC (ARG)									(mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 121						2.50		23%		3.30		5.81	P
1	GRACE GIVEN									(hamilton sar)TORRES A 118						2.00		38%		1.60		4.05	S
6	FASTA LAVISTA BABY									(sandy ste)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 118						20.00						15.84
3	NO TRUST									(lauer michael)MORALES EDGAR 121						12.00		6%		16.30		27.20
5	FLORIS									(duvall william )MOJICA JR 121						30.00						45.73

CD-2			11/13/2024		5280ft	DIRT	RC4	FAST	Maiden Claimer ($100K)					Purse ($62K)			2		F		PT- 1:29
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
1	BOUTWELL TIME									(shirer matt)CONCEPCION AXEL 119						3.00		24%		3.10		3.71	W
7	ANNA'S PROMISE									(romans dale)LANERIE J 119						2.50		33%		2.00		3.55	P
2	DANCETHENITEAWAY									(kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 119						10.00		5%		19.00		5.14	S
5	GEEZ ELOISE									(mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 119						2.00		15%		5.90		1.80
9	ST. ALBANS RAID									(shirer matt )TORRES A 119						15.00						19.59
3	BAYOU CANDY									(wilkes ia)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119						15.00						10.61
4	SWEET MARIE									(mcpeek ke)HERNANDEZ J 119						12.00		5%		19.00		12.49
6	SUPER MAXIMA									(seglin e)AYALA ISAIAS 119						15.00						36.96
8	TACO CAT BACKWARDS									(troiani nicco)MORALES EDGAR 119						15.00						36.90

CD-3			11/13/2024		5610ft	DIRT	RC7	FAST	Claiming ($16K)					Purse ($31K)			3UP		ALL		PT- 1:58
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
6	MISSION RIVER									(asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 118						3.50						1.65
5	PATCH O'BRIEN									(garcia genaro)MORALES EDGAR 118						5.00		★				1.91	P
1	POLAR BEAR PLUNGE									(hiles a)LANERIE J 118						5.00						3.65
3	COULDITBEMAJIC									(brennan terry)ASMUSSEN ERIK 113						2.50						5.47
7	MISTER MOSCATO									(lauer michae)TORRES A 121						3.00		68%		0.50		10.83
4	TIVERTON (GB)									(delacruz mej)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118						10.00		7%		12.60		25.16
SCR	TRACK LIGHT									(reed r)BEJARANO R 118						10.00

CD-4			11/13/2024		3960ft	DIRT	RC7	FAST	Claiming ($30K)					Purse ($56K)			3UP		M/F		PT- 2:27
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
4	PRINCESS IS OLIVIA									(kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 120						1.40		47%		1.10		1.22	W
5	BALLADRY									(pitts helen)MORALES EDGAR 118						3.00						2.48
6	MISS JEOPARDY									(ortiz john)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118						2.00		31%		2.20		1.80	S
1	FRANGO ELECTRICO									(bahena is)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 120						12.00		5%		19.00		15.06
3	VERY WEALTHY									(lucas wayn)MONCADA IRVING 113						8.00						24.50
2	ITSABLINGTHING									(barret)CURTSINGER JOHNATHON 120						12.00						52.13

CD-5			11/13/2024		4290ft	DIRT	RC4	FAST	Maiden Claimer ($30K)					Purse ($50K)			2		ALL		PT- 2:57
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
1	VODKA N GINGERALE									(stall albe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119						8.00		8%		11.30		4.35	W
2	SPENARD									(casse no)SANTANA JR 119						12.00		5%		17.90		4.50	P
10	PIQUANT									(cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119						3.00		34%		1.90		2.69	S
5	ACE ON THE TURN									(blair jor)TORRES A 119						15.00						15.97
11	STAYGOLDPONYBOY									(amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 119						6.00						11.52
12	MISTER ROSSO									(evans michae)ARAGON ROLANDO 119						8.00						24.25
9	REAL CONVICTION									(kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 119						4.00						5.73
8	BIG BOURBON RIVER									(hartman chris)BEJARANO R 119						8.00		8%		11.30		9.83
3	WAYLLEN RICHARD									(catalano wayne)ELLIOTT JANE 119						15.00		5%		17.90		38.33
6	BONIFIED CRAZY									(walsh brendan)CANNON DECLAN 119						10.00						7.96
7	HOPE OF GLORY									(davis christ)TORRES A 119						15.00						56.63
SCR	GRAYDARIA									(ennis john)MONCADA IRVING 112						15.00
SCR	MAZZEO									(wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 119						20.00

CD-6			11/13/2024		5280ft	DIRT	RC7	FAST	Claiming ($20K)					Purse ($50K)			3UP		ALL		PT- 3:26
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
5	SCHIFTY'S HALOID									(mccarthy mic)TORRES A 121						10.00		5%		19.00		8.08	W
1	GOD OF WINE									(roberson de)CONCEPCION AXEL 121						5.00		31%		2.30		7.46	P
8	TWIRLING TROILLET									(king l)CHUAN MARTIN 118						6.00						9.28
6	DR KRINGLE									(asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 116						2.50		36%		1.80		3.00
3	ROUNDBALL ROCK									(caramori caio)BEJARANO R 123						12.00		5%		19.00		14.62
7	GOLD SEARCH									(von kelly)LANERIE J 118						5.00						2.58
4	CRUISIN AND BOOZIN									(jarvis kathy)MOJICA JR 118						12.00						25.95
9	LUMIERE									(cline robe)HERNANDEZ J 118						15.00						9.07
2	MORE THAN FIVE									(garcia genaro)MORALES EDGAR 121						3.50		8%		10.90		5.34

CD-7			11/13/2024		4620ft	DIRT	RC5	FAST	Maiden Sp Wt					Purse ($92K)			2		F		PT- 3:55
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
11	SWEET MUSIC (CHI)									(catalano wayne )LANERIE J 119						4.50						7.84
		(by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of LENATAREESE by BROAD BRUSH)
9	SPUN UP									(calhoun william)VAZQUEZ A 119						15.00						38.06
		(by HARD SPUN out of WHITSUNDAY by FLATTER)
1	ITWILLBEFUN									(mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 119						3.50		18%		4.40		2.43	S
		(by CONSTITUTION out of TAKE CHARGE by TAKE ME OUT (IRE))
6	HEAR THE QUEEN									(cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119						3.00		31%		2.20		2.29
		(by AUDIBLE out of BEHOLD THE QUEEN by HOLD ME BACK)
4	GLOBAL ALLURE									(walsh bren)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119						4.00		29%		2.50		2.62
		(by GLOBAL CAMPAIGN out of ONE HOT ROMANCE by ROCK HARD TEN)
7	PRINCESS OF OMAHA									(mcentee paul)CANNON DECLAN 119						15.00						37.71
		(by OMAHA BEACH out of FORCE TO EXCEL by VERRAZANO)
2	CUVEE CREED									(drury thomas )MORALES EDGAR 119						8.00						12.11
		(by JIMMY CREED out of LEVERAGEDTOTHEHILT by MAJESTIC WARRIOR)
10	POVERTY WITH AVIEW									(gorder kellyn)BEJARANO R 119						20.00		5%		19.00		29.23
		(by INSTILLED REGARD out of INTEREST by PIONEEROF THE NILE)
5	HALFIN									(humphries thom)MACHADO LUAN 119						15.00						61.56
		(by FLATTER out of SPLASH HIT by FLOWER ALLEY)
8	SWOOPED UP LILLY									(davis christopher)SAEZ LUIS 119						12.00		5%		19.00		28.95
		(by PRESERVATIONIST out of FIGHT WITH PRIDE by PROUD CITIZEN)
3	MAC AND CHEESE									(mccarthy mic)TORRES A 119						20.00						56.05
		(by MCKINZIE out of BLUE MOONRISE by MALIBU MOON)

CD-8			11/13/2024		5610ft	DIRT	RC9	MUDDY	Starter Allowance ($50K)					Purse ($72K)			3UP		ALL		PT- 4:25
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
2	LUCENCY									(garcia genaro)MORALES EDGAR 121						5.00						2.32
4	INTERLOCK EMPIRE									(colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 121						8.00		5%		19.00		7.13	P
8	APOLLO RISING									(walden wi)TORRES A 121						2.50		37%		1.70		2.82	S
5	BADGE OF WAR									(dutrow ric)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118						10.00						12.37
7	NATIONAL ECLIPSE									(williamso)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118						15.00						37.88
1	CURLIN'S GESTURE									(scherer marian)ORTIZ L 121						3.00		22%		3.60		4.03
6	UNSTABLE PRINCE									(jacobson )CAMACHO JR 121						5.00						8.30
3	THE THUNDERER									(morse l)GARCIA MARTIN 121						8.00		16%		5.10		7.29

CD-9			11/13/2024		5610ft	DIRT	RC10	MUDDY	Allowance					Purse ($127K)			3UP		M/F		PT- 4:55
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
4	CHILLED									(oliver victoria)SAEZ LUIS 118						4.50						4.56
12	LEMON MUFFIN									(lukas wa)ASMUSSEN J 118						12.00						11.27
1	LITTLE JAMIE									(medina ro)TORRES A 118						4.00		6%		16.30		6.63	S
8	LET'S DUET									(mcpeek ke)LEPAROUX R 121						20.00		5%		19.00		40.51
10	UNION MIST									(walsh brendan )MACHADO LUAN 120						10.00						11.55
7	LEO TORO									(lynch a)CANNON DECLAN 118						8.00		6%		16.60		9.72
5	TWEETSTER									(casse norm)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118						3.00		56%		0.80		1.54
3	BROUGHTY FERRY									(amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 118						10.00						25.84
11	LIGHTBULB MOMENT									(arnold georg)MONCADA IRVING 114						20.00						63.24
2	CONNIVE									(drury j)ORTIZ L 118						12.00		5%		18.60		8.67
9	COME AS YOU ARE									(mott willi)HERNANDEZ J 118						20.00						32.87
13	PARADISE LANE									(mott william)TORRES A 120						6.00						21.84
SCR	CLASSY'N CONNECTED									(drury thom)HERNANDEZ J 118						5.00
SCR	EAST SHORE									(romans dale)LANERIE J 121						8.00

CD-10			11/13/2024		3960ft	DIRT	RC4	MUDDY	Maiden Claimer ($20K)					Purse ($42K)			3UP		M/F		PT- 5:24
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
12	PROUD DIVI									(mackey wayne)MACHADO LUAN 122						6.00		★				6.91
5	TIZ SWEET EMOTION									(baker james)GRAHAM J 122						4.00		75%		0.30		4.53	P
1	PRINCESS POM POM									(forster grant )CASTANON L 124						4.50						6.42
6	STAGFLATION									(baker james)MONCADA IRVING 117						6.00						5.49
7	SO FAR SO GOOD									(moge)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 122						20.00						8.27
8	HERE'S GRACIE									(sims p)BEJARANO R 122						12.00		5%		19.00		11.07
3	GATHER THE FACTS									(barnett bobby)MORALES EDGAR 124						20.00						49.31
2	GAMBI									(alessi jam)SANCHEZ LEXANDER 124						30.00						72.19
9	STREETS OF PARIS									(shirer a)SAEZ GABRIEL 122						12.00		5%		19.00		3.95
4	BAM BAM (BRZ)									(sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122						5.00		★				6.73
11	STAR WATCH									(stewart d)HERNANDEZ J 122						10.00						15.29
SCR	HAND IT OVER									(miller darrin)MILLER CHASE 122						10.00



	Labels:
	M/L	Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
	W/P	Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
	B/E	Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
	F/O	Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

	Two Groups of Contenders:
	Win Contenders
		The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
	Place/Show Contenders
		The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

	Legal:
	Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.