Handicappers' Race Results
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Churchill Downs
Wednesday - November 13, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
CD-1   Win (1/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 0 $2.66  
CD-2   Win (7/1/5/2/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 1 1 1 $9.42 $9.42  
CD-3   Win (7/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 6 1 0 $5.30  
CD-4   Win (4/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $4.44 $4.44  
CD-5   Win (10/1/8/3/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 1 1 1 $10.70 $10.70 0.70
CD-6   Win (6/1/2/5/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 5 1 1 $18.16 $18.16 8.16
CD-7   Win (6/4/1/10/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 11 1 0 $17.68  
CD-8   Win (8/1/3/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 2 1 0 $6.64  
CD-9   Win (5/1/7/2/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 4 1 0 $11.12  
CD-10   Win (5/8/9) 3 $2.00 $6.00 12 1 0 $15.82  
Simulator Race results
 
CD-1   11/13/2024 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($31K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:00
See original race card.
:243 :484 1:131 1:374   1:442   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  SARANAC LAKE 4 3 11 11 12 13½ 15½ (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 1.00 0.33  
2  TRES CHIC (ARG) 2 6 21 21 22 23½ 25½ (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 121 2.50 23% 3.30 5.81 P
1  GRACE GIVEN 1 2 42 41½ 33 38 312¼ (hamilton sarah)TORRES A 118 2.00 38% 1.60 4.05 S
6  FASTA LAVISTA BABY 6 4 53 54 68½ 411 415¼ (sandy steph)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 118 20.00 15.84  
3  NO TRUST 3 5 64½ 64¼ 48 511 518¼ (lauer michael)MORALES EDGAR 121 12.00 6% 16.30 27.20  
5  FLORIS 5 1 31½ 31½ 58½ 616 627½ (duvall e)MOJICA JR 121 30.00 45.73  
 
CD-2   11/13/2024 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($100K) Purse ($62K) 2 F PT- 1:29
See original race card.
:23 :463 1:113 1:242   1:373   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BOUTWELL TIME 1 1 31½ 31½ 31 2½ 1¼ (shirer a)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 3.00 24% 3.10 3.71 W
7  ANNA'S PROMISE 7 3 1½ 1½ 1nk 1½ 2¼ (romans dale)LANERIE J 119 2.50 33% 2.00 3.55 P
2  DANCETHENITEAWAY 2 2 52 54 42½ 43 31½ (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 119 10.00 5% 19.00 5.14 S
5  GEEZ ELOISE 5 7 88 88¼ 53½ 33 42 (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 119 2.00 15% 5.90 1.80  
9  ST. ALBANS RAID 9 4 2½ 2½ 2nk 54 56¼ (shirer a)TORRES A 119 15.00 19.59  
3  BAYOU CANDY 3 5 75 64¼ 65 68 611½ (wilkes ian )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 15.00 10.61  
4  SWEET MARIE 4 9 99½ 99¾ 913 817 718 (mcpeek kenn)HERNANDEZ J 119 12.00 5% 19.00 12.49  
6  SUPER MAXIMA 6 8 64½ 75¼ 711 716 818 (seglin e)AYALA ISAIAS 119 15.00 36.96  
8  TACO CAT BACKWARDS 8 6 42 44 812½ 920½ 934¾ (troiani niccolo)MORALES EDGAR 119 15.00 36.90  
 
CD-3   11/13/2024 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($31K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:58
See original race card.
:241 :481 1:13 1:382   1:451   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  MISSION RIVER 5 3 22 22 1nk 2nk 1nk (asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J 118 3.50 1.65  
5  PATCH O'BRIEN 4 4 54 53½ 2nk 1nk 2nk (garcia genaro)MORALES EDGAR 118 5.00 ★ 1.91 P
1  POLAR BEAR PLUNGE 1 1 12 12 3½ 33 32½ (hiles a)LANERIE J 118 5.00 3.65  
3  COULDITBEMAJIC 2 6 43½ 42½ 52 54½ 45¼ (brennan terry)ASMUSSEN ERIK 113 2.50 5.47  
7  MISTER MOSCATO 6 2 33 32½ 41 44 56¼ (lauer michael)TORRES A 121 3.00 68% 0.50 10.83  
4  TIVERTON (GB) 3 5 67 66 66½ 69½ 616¼ (delacruz mejia)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 10.00 7% 12.60 25.16  
SCR  TRACK LIGHT               (reed r)BEJARANO R 118 10.00    
 
CD-4   11/13/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($56K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:27
See original race card.
:222 :454 :574     1:102   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  PRINCESS IS OLIVIA 4 1 2½ 1nk   11 11¾ (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 120 1.40 47% 1.10 1.22 W
5  BALLADRY 5 2 31½ 2nk   21 21¾ (pitts helen)MORALES EDGAR 118 3.00 2.48  
6  MISS JEOPARDY 6 4 41½ 42½   44½ 35¾ (ortiz a)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 2.00 31% 2.20 1.80 S
1  FRANGO ELECTRICO 1 5 52 54   56½ 46 (bahena isma)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 120 12.00 5% 19.00 15.06  
3  VERY WEALTHY 3 3 1½ 3½   33½ 57 (lucas wayne)MONCADA IRVING 113 8.00 24.50  
2  ITSABLINGTHING 2 6 68 69   68 67¼ (barrett )CURTSINGER JOHNATHON 120 12.00 52.13  
 
CD-5   11/13/2024 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($50K) 2 ALL PT- 2:57
See original race card.
:232 :47 1:113     1:174   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VODKA N GINGERALE 1 3 42 32½   2nk 1½ (stall albert)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 8.00 8% 11.30 4.35 W
2  SPENARD 2 6 1½ 1½   1nk 2½ (casse norm)SANTANA JR 119 12.00 5% 17.90 4.50 P
10  PIQUANT 9 2 52 53½   45 36 (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 3.00 34% 1.90 2.69 S
5  ACE ON THE TURN 4 9 83¾ 75¾   55½ 48¼ (blair jorda)TORRES A 119 15.00 15.97  
11  STAYGOLDPONYBOY 10 10 107¾ 86¼   77½ 58¼ (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 119 6.00 11.52  
12  MISTER ROSSO 11 1 73¼ 63¾   67 69½ (evans michael )ARAGON ROLANDO 119 8.00 24.25  
9  REAL CONVICTION 8 4 31 2½   34½ 711¾ (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 119 4.00 5.73  
8  BIG BOURBON RIVER 7 8 97¾ 97¾   89½ 812 (hartman chris)BEJARANO R 119 8.00 8% 11.30 9.83  
3  WAYLLEN RICHARD 3 11 1110¼ 109¾   912 917¾ (catalano m)ELLIOTT JANE 119 15.00 5% 17.90 38.33  
6  BONIFIED CRAZY 5 7 2½ 42½   1012½ 1020½ (walsh p)CANNON DECLAN 119 10.00 7.96  
7  HOPE OF GLORY 6 5 63 1110¾   1115½ 1122¾ (davis christop)TORRES A 119 15.00 56.63  
SCR  GRAYDARIA               (ennis john)MONCADA IRVING 112 15.00    
SCR  MAZZEO               (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 119 20.00    
 
CD-6   11/13/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:26
See original race card.
:231 :462 1:114 1:243   1:372   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  SCHIFTY'S HALOID 5 8 87¼ 97¼ 21½ 1½ 11¾ (mccarthy micha)TORRES A 121 10.00 5% 19.00 8.08 W
1  GOD OF WINE 1 1 52½ 52¾ 41¾ 2½ 21¾ (roberson denn)CONCEPCION AXEL 121 5.00 31% 2.30 7.46 P
8  TWIRLING TROILLET 8 3 42½ 42½ 51¾ 43 33 (king l)CHUAN MARTIN 118 6.00 9.28  
6  DR KRINGLE 6 9 98¾ 86¾ 73¼ 54½ 43½ (asmussen steven)ASMUSSEN ERIK 116 2.50 36% 1.80 3.00  
3  ROUNDBALL ROCK 3 4 74¾ 64¾ 62¼ 64½ 55¾ (caramori caio)BEJARANO R 123 12.00 5% 19.00 14.62  
7  GOLD SEARCH 7 6 1½ 12 11½ 32 66¼ (von kelly)LANERIE J 118 5.00 2.58  
4  CRUISIN AND BOOZIN 4 2 2½ 22 31½ 74¾ 78½ (jarvis kathy)MOJICA JR 118 12.00 25.95  
9  LUMIERE 9 7 32 75¾ 97½ 810¼ 813¾ (cline robert)HERNANDEZ J 118 15.00 9.07  
2  MORE THAN FIVE 2 5 62¾ 32 83½ 912¼ 924 (garcia genaro)MORALES EDGAR 121 3.50 8% 10.90 5.34  
 
CD-7   11/13/2024 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($92K) 2 F PT- 3:55
See original race card.
:223 :454 1:113     1:251   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
11  SWEET MUSIC (CHI) 11 8 84½ 53   2½ 12 (catalano m)LANERIE J 119 4.50 7.84  
9  SPUN UP 9 6 74 77   55½ 22 (calhoun b)VAZQUEZ A 119 15.00 38.06  
1  ITWILLBEFUN 1 5 11 1½   1½ 32 (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 119 3.50 18% 4.40 2.43 S
6  HEAR THE QUEEN 6 4 42 31   32 43¼ (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 3.00 31% 2.20 2.29  
4  GLOBAL ALLURE 4 3 31½ 2½   42 55 (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 4.00 29% 2.50 2.62  
7  PRINCESS OF OMAHA 7 1 52 42   67 68½ (mcentee paul)CANNON DECLAN 119 15.00 37.71  
2  CUVEE CREED 2 11 63½ 87½   813½ 79½ (drury jr)MORALES EDGAR 119 8.00 12.11  
10  POVERTY WITH AVIEW 10 7 94¾ 97½   710 810¼ (gorder kellyn)BEJARANO R 119 20.00 5% 19.00 29.23  
5  HALFIN 5 9 1112¼ 1115½   1016½ 911½ (humphries thomas)MACHADO LUAN 119 15.00 61.56  
8  SWOOPED UP LILLY 8 10 107¼ 1010½   914½ 1012¼ (davis christopher)SAEZ LUIS 119 12.00 5% 19.00 28.95  
3  MAC AND CHEESE 3 2 21 66   1123½ 1128¼ (mccarthy micha)TORRES A 119 20.00 56.05  
 
CD-8   11/13/2024 5610ft DIRT RC9 MUDDY Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($72K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:25
See original race card.
:241 :482 1:124 1:38   1:443   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  LUCENCY 2 4 31 31½ 2½ 2nk 11¾ (garcia genaro)MORALES EDGAR 121 5.00 2.32  
4  INTERLOCK EMPIRE 4 1 1nk 1nk 1½ 1nk 21¾ (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 121 8.00 5% 19.00 7.13 P
8  APOLLO RISING 8 6 53 73¼ 53½ 32½ 31¾ (walden will)TORRES A 121 2.50 37% 1.70 2.82 S
5  BADGE OF WAR 5 7 63¼ 63 42 43 43¼ (dutrow richa)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 10.00 12.37  
7  NATIONAL ECLIPSE 7 2 41½ 42 63½ 65 54¼ (williamson )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 15.00 37.88  
1  CURLIN'S GESTURE 1 3 2nk 2nk 31 54 66¼ (scherer marianne)ORTIZ L 121 3.00 22% 3.60 4.03  
6  UNSTABLE PRINCE 6 5 73¼ 83¼ 85 87½ 78¼ (jacobson da)CAMACHO JR 121 5.00 8.30  
3  THE THUNDERER 3 8 83½ 52½ 74 77 89½ (morse l)GARCIA MARTIN 121 8.00 16% 5.10 7.29  
 
CD-9   11/13/2024 5610ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($127K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:55
See original race card.
:232 :474 1:121 1:371   1:433   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  CHILLED 4 2 66¾ 64 52¾ 2nk 11½ (oliver victoria)SAEZ LUIS 118 4.50 4.56  
12  LEMON MUFFIN 11 12 99¼ 95¼ 74¾ 32½ 21½ (lukas wayn)ASMUSSEN J 118 12.00 11.27  
1  LITTLE JAMIE 1 1 11½ 11½ 11 1nk 34¼ (medina robe)TORRES A 118 4.00 6% 16.30 6.63 S
8  LET'S DUET 7 8 1212¾ 129¾ 1211 86¾ 45 (mcpeek kenn)LEPAROUX R 121 20.00 5% 19.00 40.51  
10  UNION MIST 9 7 77¾ 74¼ 41¼ 54 57¼ (walsh p)MACHADO LUAN 120 10.00 11.55  
7  LEO TORO 6 4 44 43 31 43½ 68½ (lynch a)CANNON DECLAN 118 8.00 6% 16.60 9.72  
5  TWEETSTER 5 6 88¼ 85¼ 84¾ 97¼ 79¼ (casse w)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.00 56% 0.80 1.54  
3  BROUGHTY FERRY 3 3 34 32½ 64¼ 76¼ 89¾ (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 118 10.00 25.84  
11  LIGHTBULB MOMENT 10 11 1112¼ 117¾ 97¾ 108¾ 910 (arnold george )MONCADA IRVING 114 20.00 63.24  
2  CONNIVE 2 5 21½ 21½ 21 64¼ 1010 (drury jr)ORTIZ L 118 12.00 5% 18.60 8.67  
9  COME AS YOU ARE 8 9 56½ 54 118½ 1113¾ 1121 (mott william)HERNANDEZ J 118 20.00 32.87  
13  PARADISE LANE 12 10 109¾ 105¾ 108¼ 1216¼ 1227 (mott i)TORRES A 120 6.00 21.84  
SCR  CLASSY'N CONNECTED               (drury thomas)HERNANDEZ J 118 5.00    
SCR  EAST SHORE               (romans dale)LANERIE J 121 8.00    
 
CD-10   11/13/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($42K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:24
See original race card.
:212 :451 :574     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
12  PROUD DIVI 11 1 12½ 14   14 12½ (mackey wayne)MACHADO LUAN 122 6.00 ★ 6.91  
5  TIZ SWEET EMOTION 5 2 87½ 56½   36 22½ (baker james)GRAHAM J 122 4.00 75% 0.30 4.53 P
1  PRINCESS POM POM 1 3 43 24   24 34¼ (forster t)CASTANON L 124 4.50 6.42  
6  STAGFLATION 6 8 1110¼ 88¼   46½ 45½ (baker james)MONCADA IRVING 117 6.00 5.49  
7  SO FAR SO GOOD 7 6 65 66¾   59½ 57¼ (moger )PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 122 20.00 8.27  
8  HERE'S GRACIE 8 11 1010 910¼   812 68½ (sims p)BEJARANO R 122 12.00 5% 19.00 11.07  
3  GATHER THE FACTS 3 9 98½ 1111¼   1015 714¾ (barnett c)MORALES EDGAR 124 20.00 49.31  
2  GAMBI 2 4 75½ 1010¼   913 815¾ (alessi james)SANCHEZ LEXANDER 124 30.00 72.19  
9  STREETS OF PARIS 9 10 54½ 44½   711½ 916¼ (shirer a)SAEZ GABRIEL 122 12.00 5% 19.00 3.95  
4  BAM BAM (BRZ) 4 5 33 34½   611 1018¾ (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 5.00 ★ 6.73  
11  STAR WATCH 10 7 22½ 77¼   1118 1127¾ (stewart dal)HERNANDEZ J 122 10.00 15.29  
SCR  HAND IT OVER               (miller darrin)MILLER CHASE 122 10.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.