Handicappers' Race Results
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Churchill Downs
Thursday - November 21, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
CD-1   Win (3/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $5.78 $5.78  
CD-2   Win (6/2/5/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 3 1 0 $34.38  
CD-3   Win (9/5/1/11/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 1 1 1 $7.82 $7.82  
CD-4   Win (4/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 5 1 0 $13.68  
CD-5   Win (1/5/2/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 1 1 1 $3.06 $3.06  
CD-6   Win (9/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 1 $9.64 $9.64 3.64
CD-7   Win (4/7/6/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 1 $7.50 $7.50  
CD-8   Win (1/4/2/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 1 1 1 $5.14 $5.14  
CD-9   Win (3/7/8/1/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 1 1 1 $19.20 $19.20 9.20
CD-10   Win (1/9/6/4/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 6 1 1 $6.88 $6.88  
Simulator Race results
 
CD-1   11/21/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($56K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:00
See original race card.
:23 :453 1:091 1:214   1:35   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VITTORIO 1 1 2nk 1nk 1nk 13 15¾ (asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J 121 2.00 30% 2.40 1.89 W
4  CASHMEUP 3 3 1nk 2nk 2nk 23 25¾ (miller jerome )MONCADA IRVING 114 3.00 6.10  
5  HARVARD 4 6 63 43¼ 35 36½ 39¼ (maker j)VAZQUEZ A 121 2.50 1.50  
3  BOURBON LIFE 2 2 51½ 53¼ 59½ 410 412¼ (meraz antoni)CORRALES GERARDO 118 3.50 43% 1.30 4.03  
6  SUMMER IN AIKEN 5 4 3½ 65¾ 611 616 522½ (barnett bob)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 15.00 5% 19.00 25.85  
7  CHRYSO ALOGO 6 5 41 33 46 514 624 (vasquez sr)BEJARANO R 118 15.00 10.07  
SCR  TALKSCHEAP               (alessi james)SANCHEZ LEXANDER 121 15.00    
 
CD-2   11/21/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($39K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:29
See original race card.
:231 :461 1:111     1:174   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  WILDCATJUSTICE 3 3 53½ 64¼   62¼ 1nk (matthews randy)RAMOS D 120 10.00 16.19  
8  SLAM DIEGO 8 2 63¾ 52¼   1nk 2nk (ortiz alexan)VAZQUEZ A 120 2.00 1.17  
7  YOLO CALLS 7 1 2½ 1nk   2nk 3¾ (esquivel jesus)BEJARANO R 120 10.00 11.50  
2  TRAFALGAR SHORE 2 5 3½ 3.2   4¼ 41 (asmussen steven)ASMUSSEN ERIK 115 5.00 18% 4.60 11.45  
6  JUMP INTO THE FIRE 6 6 43 42¼   3.2 51¾ (cook b)MONCADA IRVING 113 2.50 25% 2.90 3.63  
1  CACTUS FLOWER 1 7 1½ 2nk   5¾ 64¼ (matthews randy)SANJUR SANTO 120 6.00 7.37  
4  INNER HARBOR 4 4 74¾ 75¾   75¼ 77½ (alessi james)SANCHEZ LEXANDER 120 20.00 5% 19.00 51.88  
5  BABY GUNDIN 5 8 87¼ 86¼   88¼ 814 (cano muno)TORRES A 120 6.00 15% 5.50 4.56  
 
CD-3   11/21/2024 4950ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($42K) 2 ALL PT- 1:58
See original race card.
:221 :45 1:101 1:231   1:301   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HAUNTED FLAME 1 8 99½ 89¼   24½ 1½ (lynch a)MONCADA IRVING 112 4.00 17% 4.90 2.91 W
9  STORM THE STREETS 9 4 3½ 3.2   14½ 2½ (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 3.50 27% 2.80 6.87 P
2  STUNNING BRUNO 2 2 74¾ 76¾   48½ 312¼ (jazdzewski jo)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 15.00 33.96  
11  GOLDEN ICE 11 6 52¼ 53¼   38½ 412¼ (simms jr)TORRES A 119 12.00 9% 10.50 8.06  
5  MAN OF MISCHIEF 5 9 89¼ 99¾   711¾ 514½ (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 119 3.00 26% 2.80 4.85  
4  MR LEE 4 11 1114½ 1116¾   1015¼ 615¼ (humphries thomas)MACHADO LUAN 119 20.00 18.71  
7  ADIOS KID 7 10 1011½ 1012¼   812¼ 716¾ (delong ben)SANJUR SANTO 119 20.00 5% 19.00 89.68  
8  WORDS OF FORTUNE 8 3 2nk 2nk   510 820½ (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 119 8.00 7.12  
6  WINTER CREEK 6 5 1nk 1nk   611½ 922¾ (bauer a)BEJARANO R 119 5.00 2.84  
3  MORALLY 3 1 42 41¾   913¼ 1023¾ (hiles a)LANERIE J 119 15.00 14.80  
10  FINANCIAL WHIZ 10 7 62¼ 63¾   1122¼ 1149½ (hamilton sarah)SAEZ GABRIEL 119 30.00 83.44  
SCR  MISTER BABY               (hancock a)JARA FERNANDO 119 20.00    
SCR  REMAINING NAMELESS               (jazdzewski jon)TORRES A 119 10.00    
 
CD-4   11/21/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($80K) Purse ($72K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:27
See original race card.
:222 :443 1:091 1:22   1:351   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  CARARRA 5 6 76¾ 66½ 33½ 22½ 11½ (mcpeek kenn)LEPAROUX R 118 6.00 5.84  
6  STANDOUTSENSATION 6 2 1½ 11½ 1½ 12½ 21½ (amoss thomas)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.50 ★ 2.11 P
4  MISS HEBRIDES 4 1 2½ 21½ 2½ 32½ 36 (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 118 3.00 39% 1.50 2.17 S
7  BAH HUMBUG 7 4 31 32½ 44 46½ 411½ (davis christopher)SAEZ LUIS 118 6.00 7.29  
2  UP THE CREEK 2 7 44½ 43½ 54 56¾ 513 (shirer a)MACHADO LUAN 118 5.00 ★ 4.28  
1  CATCHING HEAT 1 3 54½ 76½ 78½ 710¾ 616½ (asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J 118 4.00 31% 2.30 11.43  
3  AUTUMN CHILL 3 5 64¾ 54 66 68¾ 716½ (asmussen steven)ASMUSSEN ERIK 113 6.00 23.68  
 
CD-5   11/21/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($31K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:57
See original race card.
:212 :444 :571     1:10   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SOMBRA DORADA 1 3 1½ 11½   14½ 14¼ (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 118 1.20 50% 1.00 0.53 W
5  SHARPER GAL 4 1 32½ 32½   24½ 24¼ (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 1.80 24% 3.10 2.85 P
7  ROYAL BLOOD 6 5 64 54½   47 36¼ (habeeb j)ASHTON GAVIN 120 15.00 16.88  
9  ELLIOTT MOON 7 2 2½ 21½   35 48¼ (kerrick lacy)GARCIA MARTIN 118 12.00 12.92  
2  TEARDROP TIARA 2 6 53½ 65½   58 511¼ (asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J 120 8.00 5% 19.00 8.00  
6  MISS ESCAPADE 5 4 43½ 43½   68 613½ (santamaria carlo)ROMAN A 118 12.00 23.03  
3  FANCY PRANCE 3 7 74¼ 78   713½ 724¾ (pittman bonnie)CALLEJA ANDRES 113 30.00 44.20  
SCR  HONEYCOMB               (alessi james)SANCHEZ LEXANDER 120 15.00    
SCR  SARISSA               (sandy step)RODRIGUEZ A 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
 
CD-6   11/21/2024 7920ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($127K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:26
See original race card.
:252 :51 1:164 1:404 2:054 2:321   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  KISSALOT 2 63¾ 63 11 11½ 13 15 (lobo h)MACHADO LUAN 121 10.00 6% 17.00 3.82 W
2  GENERAL MATHIS 1 51¾ 41½ 42½ 43 33½ 25 (rivelli larr)CORRALES GERARDO 121 3.50 36% 1.80 2.92 P
9  GILDED CRAKEN 6 2nk 2½ 21 21½ 23 37½ (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 1.60 38% 1.70 1.54 S
7  COUNT DRACULA 4 1nk 1½ 31 32½ 44 47½ (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 118 10.00 3.64  
8  MIDNIGHT CHANNEL 5 3½ 31½ 55½ 56 56½ 58 (van thomas)BEJARANO R 121 30.00 19.06  
6  BEYOND BEST 3 41½ 52 66 613 616½ 634 (garcia genaro)VAZQUEZ A 121 15.00 9.88  
SCR  HUGE BIGLY               (shorter aar)TORRES A 121 12.00    
SCR  THE PRINCE'S SPUR               (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 121 2.50    
SCR  WINTERS LION               (sharp joe)ASMUSSEN ERIK 116 12.00    
 
CD-7   11/21/2024 5610ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($92K) 2 F PT- 3:55
See original race card.
:242 :492 1:142 1:394   1:463   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  CAROLINA SMOKESHOW 6 2 64½ 63¼ 1½ 1½ 11½ (beckman whit)GEROUX FLORENT 119 4.00 13% 6.60 2.75 W
9  DIMENSIONALITY 8 4 75½ 85 41 32½ 21½ (terranova jo)CORRALES GERARDO 119 12.00 5% 19.00 9.03 P
2  FEARLESS LADY 1 3 1½ 1nk 63 54 32¼ (moquett rona)ASMUSSEN J 119 5.00 3.07  
5  ANONIMA 4 5 2½ 2nk 3½ 2½ 42½ (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 119 12.00 9.89  
3  OUTRAGE 2 7 32½ 42¼ 52½ 43½ 53½ (navarrete anna)JIMENEZ ALBIN 119 15.00 37.27  
8  PARKING LOT POURS 7 6 86 53¼ 86¼ 87½ 66½ (tomlinson michael )BEJARANO R 119 12.00 8.42  
4  EZ TREE ATES 3 8 54 73½ 73¼ 64½ 77 (casse w)SAEZ LUIS 119 3.00 47% 1.10 2.61  
6  MULTIPLICATION 5 1 42½ 32 2½ 76 88½ (calhoun willi)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 8.00 12% 7.20 8.98  
SCR  TIGER DIVISION               (arnold r)SAEZ LUIS 119 2.50    
 
CD-8   11/21/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($66K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:25
See original race card.
:221 :451 1:101     1:164   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BOURBON SERENGETI 1 6 11½ 11   12½ 16¼ (cox h)SAEZ LUIS 118 2.50 57% 0.80 1.57 W
10  BEACH BUNNY 9 2 64½ 42   22½ 26¼ (habeeb j)BEJARANO R 120 15.00 11.51  
8  THESE APPLES 7 1 21½ 62¾   44 36¼ (foster eric)CEDILLO ABEL 118 6.00 7.92  
7  ROMANTIC DANCER 6 3 87 74¼   66 47½ (santamaria car)GEROUX FLORENT 120 3.50 ★ 3.37  
4  GOURMET 4 4 53½ 32   33½ 57¾ (synnefias panag)JARA FERNANDO 118 6.00 19% 4.30 7.54  
9  BELLA HAZE 8 7 42½ 21   54½ 69½ (santamaria carlo)ROMAN A 118 8.00 8.19  
6  ZAPPLE 5 8 97 88¼   810½ 711¾ (leitch dani)TORRES A 120 30.00 5% 19.00 14.51  
2  HATTIE BLOOM 2 9 75 99¼   913 816 (wilkes ian )LEPAROUX R 118 12.00 5% 19.00 26.57  
3  SCRUPULOUS 3 5 32 52½   78 916½ (hobby steve)GARCIA MARTIN 118 8.00 12.12  
SCR  RUBIA               (asmussen steven)ASMUSSEN ERIK 115 10.00    
 
CD-9   11/21/2024 5940ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($127K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:55
See original race card.
:224 :483 1:131 1:37   1:484   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LIPS SAY BLISS 1 8 52½ 53½ 52¼ 3½ 1¼ (medina robe)TORRES A 121 10.00 9% 10.50 8.60 W
3  MY BOY TONY 3 2 31½ 42 31 41 2¼ (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 121 3.00 33% 2.10 5.24 P
4  THOMAS AQUINAS 4 3 42 32 41¼ 2½ 3¼ (wilkes r)HERNANDEZ J 118 8.00 15.14  
7  NAVY SEAL (IRE) 7 4 21 2½ 2nk 1½ 4½ (ward wesley )CORRALES GERARDO 118 2.50 25% 2.90 1.33  
6  SEA SINGER (IRE) 6 5 73½ 64 72½ 72¾ 51 (mccarthy mi)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 118 10.00 12.69  
5  TELESCOPIC 5 6 85 86¼ 84½ 83¾ 61 (oliver victoria)MORALES EDGAR 118 8.00 12.99  
2  SUMMER IN ADRIANE 2 7 63½ 74¼ 62¼ 61¼ 71½ (maker j)VAZQUEZ A 118 10.00 18.70  
8  ROYAL SANDRIN 8 9 96 96¾ 94½ 94¾ 83¾ (lobo h)MACHADO LUAN 121 6.00 10% 9.10 6.16  
11  ALWAYS ABOVE 10 10 108 108¾ 106½ 106¼ 95 (nihei michelle)GEROUX FLORENT 121 10.00 15.80  
10  BOURBON BOSS 9 1 11 1½ 1nk 51¼ 105½ (mott riley)TORRES A 120 10.00 5% 19.00 14.58  
SCR  D DAY REUNION               (mcgovern shann)RAMOS D 120 20.00    
SCR  FORT THOMAS               (arnold geor)LEPAROUX R 120 8.00    
SCR  LAUGHNOWCRYLATER               (hughes g)BEJARANO R 118 30.00    
SCR  QUOKKA               (blair jordan)CHUAN MARTIN 118 20.00    
 
CD-10   11/21/2024 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:24
See original race card.
:223 :452 1:10     1:163   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  LORD I WONDER 5 1 11½ 11   13 12 (stall m)SAEZ LUIS 122 3.00 9% 10.60 2.44 W
9  GATE TO PARADISE 8 4 53 52½   34 22 (eurton peter)HERNANDEZ J 122 4.00 33% 2.10 5.92 P
8  LADY GO GO 7 3 42 21   23 35½ (drury j)MONCADA IRVING 115 10.00 7.76  
1  UPON A STAR 1 7 63½ 64   67 47 (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 122 2.50 38% 1.60 2.38  
2  HERE'SYOURTROUBLE 2 8 99 910   79 57 (walsh p)MACHADO LUAN 122 6.00 3.36  
5  LEGACY DEFINED 4 5 31½ 42   46 68 (hobby steve)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 30.00 59.42  
7  KISS ME AGAIN 6 2 21½ 31½   56½ 79¾ (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 122 15.00 5% 19.00 18.48  
4  CATHCART 3 9 75½ 75   810 813½ (foley greg)MORALES EDGAR 122 10.00 5% 19.00 17.40  
10  LUNAR SEAS 9 6 86 88   916 928¼ (wismer s)CEDILLO ABEL 122 30.00 58.25  
SCR  CATCHPHRASE               (walden william)SAEZ LUIS 124 10.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.