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Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!


Churchill Downs
Thursday - November 21, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

			Wgr	Pick						Tot	Bet	Bet	Winning		Pay
			Type	Numbers						Tkts	Unit	Amt	Numbers		Amt			Profit				ROI

CD-3			EXA	(9/5/1/11/7)-(9/5/1/11/7)						20	$2.00	$40.00	1-9		$69.30			$29.30				73%
CD-6			WIN	(9/2/5)						3	$2.00	$6.00	5		$9.64			$3.64				61%
			EXA	(9/2/5)-(9/2/5)						6	$2.00	$12.00	5-2		$39.32			$27.32				228%
			TRI	(9/2/5)-(9/2/5)-(9/2/5)						6	$0.50	$3.00	5-2-9		$29.35			$26.35				878%
CD-7			EXA	(4/7/6/9)-(4/7/6/9)						12	$2.00	$24.00	7-9		$75.06			$51.06				213%
CD-8			PK3	(9/2/5)-(4/7/6/9)-(1/4/2/6)						48	$0.50	$24.00	5-7-1		$27.12			$3.12				13%
CD-9			WIN	(3/7/8/1/10)						5	$2.00	$10.00	1		$19.20			$9.20				92%
			EXA	(3/7/8/1/10)-(3/7/8/1/10)						20	$2.00	$40.00	1-3		$135.26			$95.26				238%
			DD	(1/4/2/6)-(3/7/8/1/10)						20	$1.00	$20.00	1-1		$46.48			$26.48				132%
			PK3	(4/7/6/9)-(1/4/2/6)-(3/7/8/1/10)						80	$0.50	$40.00	7-1-1		$95.72			$55.72				139%
CD-10			EXA	(1/9/6/4/7)-(1/9/6/4/7)						20	$2.00	$40.00	6-9		$54.98			$14.98				37%
			DD	(3/7/8/1/10)-(1/9/6/4/7)						25	$1.00	$25.00	1-6		$62.00			$37.00				148%
			PK3	(1/4/2/6)-(3/7/8/1/10)-(1/9/6/4/7)						100	$0.50	$50.00	1-1-6		$132.11			$82.11				164%
			PK4	(4/7/6/9)-(1/4/2/6)-(3/7/8/1/10)-(1/9/6/4/7)						400	$0.50	$200	7-1/5-1-6		$537.58			$337.58				169%
			PK5	(9/2/5)-(4/7/6/9)-(1/4/2/6)-(3/7/8/1/10)-(1/9/6/4/7)						1200	$0.50	$600	5-7-1/5-1-6		$2349			$1749				292%
			PK6	(1/5/2/4)-(9/2/5)-(4/7/6/9)-(1/4/2/6)-(3/7/8/1/10)-(1/9/6/4/7)						4800	$0.20	$960	1/4/8-5-7-1/5-1-6		$6618			$5658				589%

Simulator Race results


CD-1			11/21/2024		5280ft	DIRT	RC7	FAST	Claiming ($30K)					Purse ($56K)			3UP		ALL		PT- 1:00
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
1	VITTORIO									(asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 121						2.00		30%		2.40		1.89	W
4	CASHMEUP									(miller jerom)MONCADA IRVING 114						3.00						6.10
5	HARVARD									(maker j)VAZQUEZ A 121						2.50						1.50
3	BOURBON LIFE									(meraz anto)CORRALES GERARDO 118						3.50		43%		1.30		4.03
6	SUMMER IN AIKEN									(barnett b)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118						15.00		5%		19.00		25.85
7	CHRYSO ALOGO									(vasquez s)BEJARANO R 118						15.00						10.07
SCR	TALKSCHEAP									(alessi jam)SANCHEZ LEXANDER 121						15.00

CD-2			11/21/2024		4290ft	DIRT	RC7	FAST	Claiming ($12.5K)					Purse ($39K)			3UP		M/F		PT- 1:29
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
3	WILDCATJUSTICE									(matthews ran)RAMOS D 120						10.00						16.19
8	SLAM DIEGO									(ortiz alex)VAZQUEZ A 120						2.00						1.17
7	YOLO CALLS									(esquivel jesus)BEJARANO R 120						10.00						11.50
2	TRAFALGAR SHORE									(asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 115						5.00		18%		4.60		11.45
6	JUMP INTO THE FIRE									(cook b)MONCADA IRVING 113						2.50		25%		2.90		3.63
1	CACTUS FLOWER									(matthews randy)SANJUR SANTO 120						6.00						7.37
4	INNER HARBOR									(alessi jam)SANCHEZ LEXANDER 120						20.00		5%		19.00		51.88
5	BABY GUNDIN									(cano mu)TORRES A 120						6.00		15%		5.50		4.56

CD-3			11/21/2024		4950ft	DIRT	RC4	FAST	Maiden Claimer ($20K)					Purse ($42K)			2		ALL		PT- 1:58
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
1	HAUNTED FLAME									(lynch brian )MONCADA IRVING 112						4.00		17%		4.90		2.91	W
9	STORM THE STREETS									(sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119						3.50		27%		2.80		6.87	P
2	STUNNING BRUNO									(jazdzewski )GUTIERREZ REYLU 119						15.00						33.96
11	GOLDEN ICE									(simms j)TORRES A 119						12.00		9%		10.50		8.06
5	MAN OF MISCHIEF									(mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 119						3.00		26%		2.80		4.85
4	MR LEE									(humphries thom)MACHADO LUAN 119						20.00						18.71
7	ADIOS KID									(delong ben)SANJUR SANTO 119						20.00		5%		19.00		89.68
8	WORDS OF FORTUNE									(kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 119						8.00						7.12
6	WINTER CREEK									(bauer a)BEJARANO R 119						5.00						2.84
3	MORALLY									(hiles a)LANERIE J 119						15.00						14.80
10	FINANCIAL WHIZ									(hamilton sarah)SAEZ GABRIEL 119						30.00						83.44
SCR	MISTER BABY									(hancock john )JARA FERNANDO 119						20.00
SCR	REMAINING NAMELESS									(jazdzewski j)TORRES A 119						10.00

CD-4			11/21/2024		5280ft	DIRT	RC7	FAST	Claiming ($80K)					Purse ($72K)			3UP		M/F		PT- 2:27
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
5	CARARRA									(mcpeek ke)LEPAROUX R 118						6.00						5.84
6	STANDOUTSENSATION									(amoss thom)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118						3.50		★				2.11	P
4	MISS HEBRIDES									(mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 118						3.00		39%		1.50		2.17	S
7	BAH HUMBUG									(davis christopher)SAEZ LUIS 118						6.00						7.29
2	UP THE CREEK									(shirer a)MACHADO LUAN 118						5.00		★				4.28
1	CATCHING HEAT									(asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 118						4.00		31%		2.30		11.43
3	AUTUMN CHILL									(asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 113						6.00						23.68

CD-5			11/21/2024		3960ft	DIRT	RC7	FAST	Claiming ($16K)					Purse ($31K)			3UP		M/F		PT- 2:57
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
1	SOMBRA DORADA									(kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 118						1.20		50%		1.00		0.53	W
5	SHARPER GAL									(sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118						1.80		24%		3.10		2.85	P
7	ROYAL BLOOD									(habeeb donald )ASHTON GAVIN 120						15.00						16.88
9	ELLIOTT MOON									(kerrick lacy)GARCIA MARTIN 118						12.00						12.92
2	TEARDROP TIARA									(asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 120						8.00		5%		19.00		8.00
6	MISS ESCAPADE									(santamaria car)ROMAN A 118						12.00						23.03
3	FANCY PRANCE									(pittman bonn)CALLEJA ANDRES 113						30.00						44.20
SCR	HONEYCOMB									(alessi jam)SANCHEZ LEXANDER 120						15.00
SCR	SARISSA									(sandy st)RODRIGUEZ A 120						20.00		5%		19.00

CD-6			11/21/2024		7920ft	DIRT	RC3	FAST	Alw Opt Clm ($50K)					Purse ($127K)			3UP		ALL		PT- 3:26
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
5	KISSALOT									(lobo h)MACHADO LUAN 121						10.00		6%		17.00		3.82	W
2	GENERAL MATHIS									(rivelli la)CORRALES GERARDO 121						3.50		36%		1.80		2.92	P
9	GILDED CRAKEN									(sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121						1.60		38%		1.70		1.54	S
7	COUNT DRACULA									(mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 118						10.00						3.64
8	MIDNIGHT CHANNEL									(van thomas)BEJARANO R 121						30.00						19.06
6	BEYOND BEST									(garcia genaro)VAZQUEZ A 121						15.00						9.88
SCR	HUGE BIGLY									(shorter a)TORRES A 121						12.00
SCR	THE PRINCE'S SPUR									(maker j)SAEZ LUIS 121						2.50
SCR	WINTERS LION									(sharp joe)ASMUSSEN ERIK 116						12.00

CD-7			11/21/2024		5610ft	DIRT	RC5	FAST	Maiden Sp Wt					Purse ($92K)			2		F		PT- 3:55
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
7	CAROLINA SMOKESHOW									(beckman wh)GEROUX FLORENT 119						4.00		13%		6.60		2.75	W
		(by AUDIBLE out of SUNDAY DRIVER by QUALITY ROAD)
9	DIMENSIONALITY									(terranova )CORRALES GERARDO 119						12.00		5%		19.00		9.03	P
		(by CARACARO out of DIVIDED BY THREE by SHACKLEFORD)
2	FEARLESS LADY									(moquett ro)ASMUSSEN J 119						5.00						3.07
		(by NYQUIST out of HOT BLOODED GIRL by TAPIT)
5	ANONIMA									(mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 119						12.00						9.89
		(by SHARP AZTECA out of ROYAL STARLIGHT by POINT GIVEN)
3	OUTRAGE									(navarrete ann)JIMENEZ ALBIN 119						15.00						37.27
		(by UPSTART out of ROCKHOUSE by ANOTHER FREESPIRIT)
8	PARKING LOT POURS									(tomlinson michae)BEJARANO R 119						12.00						8.42
		(by SPEIGHTSTER out of BOURBONSTREETGIRL by LANGFUHR)
4	EZ TREE ATES									(casse w)SAEZ LUIS 119						3.00		47%		1.10		2.61
		(by HONOR A. P. out of IRISH JASPER by FIRST DEFENCE)
6	MULTIPLICATION									(calhoun wil)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119						8.00		12%		7.20		8.98
		(by THE FACTOR out of ZENSATIONAL BEAUTY by ZENSATIONAL)
SCR	TIGER DIVISION									(arnold r)SAEZ LUIS 119						2.50
		(by OMAHA BEACH out of KOOL KAT by SCAT DADDY)

CD-8			11/21/2024		4290ft	DIRT	RC7	FAST	Claiming ($50K)					Purse ($66K)			3UP		M/F		PT- 4:25
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
1	BOURBON SERENGETI									(cox h)SAEZ LUIS 118						2.50		57%		0.80		1.57	W
10	BEACH BUNNY									(habeeb j)BEJARANO R 120						15.00						11.51
8	THESE APPLES									(foster eric)CEDILLO ABEL 118						6.00						7.92
7	ROMANTIC DANCER									(santamaria c)GEROUX FLORENT 120						3.50		★				3.37
4	GOURMET									(synnefias pan)JARA FERNANDO 118						6.00		19%		4.30		7.54
9	BELLA HAZE									(santamaria car)ROMAN A 118						8.00						8.19
6	ZAPPLE									(leitch da)TORRES A 120						30.00		5%		19.00		14.51
2	HATTIE BLOOM									(wilkes ia)LEPAROUX R 118						12.00		5%		19.00		26.57
3	SCRUPULOUS									(hobby steve)GARCIA MARTIN 118						8.00						12.12
SCR	RUBIA									(asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 115						10.00

CD-9			11/21/2024		5940ft	TURF	RC10	FIRM	Allowance					Purse ($127K)			3UP		ALL		PT- 4:55
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
1	LIPS SAY BLISS									(medina ro)TORRES A 121						10.00		9%		10.50		8.60	W
3	MY BOY TONY									(kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 121						3.00		33%		2.10		5.24	P
4	THOMAS AQUINAS									(wilkes ian)HERNANDEZ J 118						8.00						15.14
7	NAVY SEAL (IRE)									(ward wesle)CORRALES GERARDO 118						2.50		25%		2.90		1.33
6	SEA SINGER (IRE)									(mccarthy )CHEMINAUD VINCENT 118						10.00						12.69
5	TELESCOPIC									(oliver victor)MORALES EDGAR 118						8.00						12.99
2	SUMMER IN ADRIANE									(maker j)VAZQUEZ A 118						10.00						18.70
8	ROYAL SANDRIN									(lobo h)MACHADO LUAN 121						6.00		10%		9.10		6.16
11	ALWAYS ABOVE									(nihei michel)GEROUX FLORENT 121						10.00						15.80
10	BOURBON BOSS									(mott riley)TORRES A 120						10.00		5%		19.00		14.58
SCR	D DAY REUNION									(mcgovern sha)RAMOS D 120						20.00
SCR	FORT THOMAS									(arnold ge)LEPAROUX R 120						8.00
SCR	LAUGHNOWCRYLATER									(hughes g)BEJARANO R 118						30.00
SCR	QUOKKA									(blair jordan)CHUAN MARTIN 118						20.00

CD-10			11/21/2024		4290ft	DIRT	RC5	FAST	Maiden Sp Wt					Purse ($120K)			3UP		M/F		PT- 5:24
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
6	LORD I WONDER									(stall m)SAEZ LUIS 122						3.00		9%		10.60		2.44	W
		(by TWIRLING CANDY out of PREVIOUS by EMPIRE MAKER)
9	GATE TO PARADISE									(eurton pet)HERNANDEZ J 122						4.00		33%		2.10		5.92	P
		(by ARROGATE out of HEART OF PARADISE by MORE THAN READY)
8	LADY GO GO									(drury thomas)MONCADA IRVING 115						10.00						7.76
		(by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of JUST GOT OUT by HARLINGTON)
1	UPON A STAR									(cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 122						2.50		38%		1.60		2.38
		(by MUNNINGS out of TIMELY by VERRAZANO)
2	HERE'SYOURTROUBLE									(walsh brendan )MACHADO LUAN 122						6.00						3.36
		(by MUNNINGS out of IN KELLY'S DEFENSE by FIRST DEFENCE)
5	LEGACY DEFINED									(hobby ste)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122						30.00						59.42
		(by UNCLE MO out of TIZ MIZ SUE by TIZNOW)
7	KISS ME AGAIN									(wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 122						15.00		5%		19.00		18.48
		(by INTO MISCHIEF out of FUHRIOUSLY KISSED by LANGFUHR)
4	CATHCART									(foley greg)MORALES EDGAR 122						10.00		5%		19.00		17.40
		(by QUALITY ROAD out of S S PINAFORE by STREET SENSE)
10	LUNAR SEAS									(wismer s)CEDILLO ABEL 122						30.00						58.25
		(by MALIBU MOON out of SEE ME DANCE by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
SCR	CATCHPHRASE									(walden william)SAEZ LUIS 124						10.00
		(by BOLT D'ORO out of GRACE'S TREASURE by ROCKPORT HARBOR)



	Labels:
	M/L	Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
	W/P	Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
	B/E	Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
	F/O	Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

	Two Groups of Contenders:
	Win Contenders
		The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
	Place/Show Contenders
		The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

	Legal:
	Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.