Handicappers' Racing Form
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Always check Track, Date, Race Number, Program Number and Horse Name before the race.
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Churchill Downs
Thursday - November 21, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
CD-1   Win (3/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00
CD-2   Win (6/2/5/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00
CD-3   Win (9/5/1/11/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00
CD-4   Win (4/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00
CD-5   Win (1/5/2/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00
CD-6   Win (9/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00
CD-7   Win (4/7/6/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00
CD-8   Win (1/4/2/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00
CD-9   Win (3/7/8/1/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00
CD-10   Win (1/9/6/4/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
 
CD-1   11/21/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($56K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:00
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VITTORIO Oct18 Sep22 Aug25 Oct25 Sep16 (asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J 121 2.00 30% 2.40    
SCR  TALKSCHEAP Aug07 Jun26 Jun19 May11 May03 (alessi james)SANCHEZ LEXANDER 121 15.00    
3  BOURBON LIFE Oct10 Sep12 Aug22 Jul18 Jun29 (meraz antoni)CORRALES GERARDO 118 3.50 43% 1.30    
4  CASHMEUP Nov06 Sep22 Aug19 Jul20 Jul05 (miller jerome )MONCADA IRVING 114 3.00    
5  HARVARD Nov03 Aug30 Aug02 Jun29 May12 (maker mich)SANTANA JR 121 2.50    
6  SUMMER IN AIKEN Oct24 Sep18 Jul20 Jun12 May01 (barnett bob)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
7  CHRYSO ALOGO Oct30 Oct09 Sep15 Aug05 Jul04 (vasquez sr)BEJARANO R 118 15.00    
 
CD-2   11/21/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($39K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:29
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CACTUS FLOWER Nov02 Oct17 Sep28 Sep03 Jul17 (matthews randy)SANJUR SANTO 120 6.00    
2  TRAFALGAR SHORE Nov06 Oct17 Oct10 Sep18 Aug17 (asmussen steven)ASMUSSEN ERIK 115 5.00 18% 4.60    
3  WILDCATJUSTICE Nov02 Sep11 Aug20 Jul17 Jul05 (matthews randy)RAMOS D 120 10.00    
4  INNER HARBOR Oct04 Sep07 Jul05 Jun14 May25 (alessi james)SANCHEZ LEXANDER 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
5  BABY GUNDIN Sep22 Sep05 Jul14 May04 Apr14 (cano muno)TORRES A 120 6.00 15% 5.50    
6  JUMP INTO THE FIRE Nov02 Sep21 Jul27 Apr30 Mar09 (cook b)MONCADA IRVING 113 2.50 25% 2.90    
7  YOLO CALLS Sep28 May17 Apr19 Feb16 Jan19 (esquivel jesus)BEJARANO R 120 10.00    
8  SLAM DIEGO Nov01 Aug24 Aug01 Aug26 Jul30 (ortiz alexan)VAZQUEZ A 120 2.00    
 
CD-3   11/21/2024 4950ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($42K) 2 ALL PT- 1:58
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HAUNTED FLAME Aug19 Jul05       (lynch a)MONCADA IRVING 112 4.00 17% 4.90    
2  STUNNING BRUNO Oct20 Sep29 Sep05 Aug20 Aug05 (jazdzewski )ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 119 15.00    
3  MORALLY Oct31 Oct16 Sep22 Aug29 Aug15 (hiles a)LANERIE J 119 15.00    
4  MR LEE Oct16 Sep29 Aug10     (humphries thomas)MACHADO LUAN 119 20.00    
5  MAN OF MISCHIEF Nov02 Sep28 Aug30 Aug15 Jul25 (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 119 3.00 26% 2.80    
6  WINTER CREEK Oct26 Aug20       (bauer a)BEJARANO R 119 5.00    
7  ADIOS KID Oct31 Oct22 Sep16     (delong ben)SANJUR SANTO 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
8  WORDS OF FORTUNE Oct11         (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 119 8.00    
9  STORM THE STREETS Oct15 Sep11 Aug08 Jul12   (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 3.50 27% 2.80    
10  FINANCIAL WHIZ Oct31 Oct07 Sep09 Aug17 Jul27 (hamilton sarah)SAEZ GABRIEL 119 30.00    
11  GOLDEN ICE Oct22 Sep18 Aug24     (simms jr)TORRES A 119 12.00 9% 10.50    
SCR  MISTER BABY Oct20 Aug24       (hancock a)JARA FERNANDO 119 20.00    
SCR  REMAINING NAMELESS Nov08 Oct28 Oct02 Sep19 Sep06 (jazdzewski jon)TORRES A 119 10.00    
 
CD-4   11/21/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($80K) Purse ($72K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:27
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CATCHING HEAT Oct10 Aug31 Jun15 May09 Apr07 (asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J 118 4.00 31% 2.30    
2  UP THE CREEK Nov03 Jun06 Apr18 Feb14 Dec14 (shirer a)MACHADO LUAN 118 5.00 ★    
3  AUTUMN CHILL Oct08 Aug26 Jul29 Nov25 Oct07 (asmussen steven)ASMUSSEN ERIK 113 6.00    
4  MISS HEBRIDES Oct26 Sep27 Aug18 Jul14   (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 118 3.00 39% 1.50    
5  CARARRA Aug08 Jun22 Jun01 Nov11 Oct13 (mcpeek kenn)LEPAROUX R 118 6.00    
6  STANDOUTSENSATION Nov03 Aug22 Jul28 Jun01 May03 (amoss thomas)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.50 ★    
7  BAH HUMBUG Oct11 Sep15 Aug31 Aug05   (davis christopher)SAEZ LUIS 118 6.00    
 
CD-5   11/21/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($31K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:57
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SOMBRA DORADA Sep18 Jul29 Jun16 May25   (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 118 1.20 50% 1.00    
2  TEARDROP TIARA Oct22 Sep30 Sep09 Aug02 Jul07 (asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  FANCY PRANCE Nov07 Jul14 Jun26 Jun04 Apr13 (pittman bonnie)CALLEJA ANDRES 113 30.00    
4  SARISSA Oct22 Sep11 Aug14 Jul17 Jun27 (sandy step)RODRIGUEZ A 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
5  SHARPER GAL Jul17 Jun08 May10 Mar30 Feb21 (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 1.80 24% 3.10    
6  MISS ESCAPADE Nov03 Oct17 Sep25 Aug19 Apr07 (santamaria carlo)ROMAN A 118 12.00    
7  ROYAL BLOOD Nov03 Oct16 Sep13 Jul20 Jun27 (habeeb j)ASHTON GAVIN 120 15.00    
SCR  HONEYCOMB Sep26 Sep07 May31 Jun11 Mar30 (alessi james)SANCHEZ LEXANDER 120 15.00    
9  ELLIOTT MOON Oct23 Sep30 Sep09 Aug19 Jun27 (kerrick lacy)GARCIA MARTIN 118 12.00    
 
CD-6   11/21/2024 7920ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($127K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:26
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  HUGE BIGLY Nov16 Oct23 Sep25 Jul14 Jun07 (shorter aar)TORRES A 121 12.00    
2  GENERAL MATHIS Sep27 Aug10 Jun07 Mar08 May06 (rivelli larr)CORRALES GERARDO 121 3.50 36% 1.80    
SCR  THE PRINCE'S SPUR Sep22 Jun06 Apr12 Mar07 Nov24 (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 121 2.50    
SCR  WINTERS LION Oct18 Sep07 Jul22 Jan13 Dec29 (sharp joe)ASMUSSEN ERIK 116 12.00    
5  KISSALOT Sep27 May10 Mar23 May03 Apr01 (lobo h)MACHADO LUAN 121 10.00 6% 17.00    
6  BEYOND BEST Sep18 Aug06 Jul13 Jun27 May31 (garcia genaro)VAZQUEZ A 121 15.00    
7  COUNT DRACULA Oct31 Sep11 May05 Apr20 Mar28 (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 118 10.00    
8  MIDNIGHT CHANNEL Oct22 Sep30 Sep09 Aug07 Jul29 (van thomas)BEJARANO R 121 30.00    
9  GILDED CRAKEN Oct23 Sep12 Aug02 Jul12 Jun02 (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 1.60 38% 1.70    
 
CD-7   11/21/2024 5610ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($92K) 2 F PT- 3:55
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  TIGER DIVISION Nov02 Oct10 Sep01 Aug12   (arnold r)SAEZ LUIS 119 2.50    
2  FEARLESS LADY Oct13 Sep15       (moquett rona)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 5.00    
3  OUTRAGE Nov02         (navarrete anna)JIMENEZ ALBIN 119 15.00    
4  EZ TREE ATES Oct27 Sep26       (casse norm)SANTANA JR 119 3.00 47% 1.10    
5  ANONIMA Nov02         (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 119 12.00    
6  MULTIPLICATION Oct27 Sep26       (calhoun willi)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 8.00 12% 7.20    
7  CAROLINA SMOKESHOW Oct27 Sep26       (beckman whit)GEROUX FLORENT 119 4.00 13% 6.60    
8  PARKING LOT POURS Oct27 Sep13       (tomlinson michael )BEJARANO R 119 12.00    
9  DIMENSIONALITY Nov02         (terranova jo)CORRALES GERARDO 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
CD-8   11/21/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($66K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:25
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BOURBON SERENGETI Nov03 Sep29 Aug08 Jun30 Dec17 (cox h)SAEZ LUIS 118 2.50 57% 0.80    
2  HATTIE BLOOM Nov03 Sep25 Aug04 Jul14 Jun22 (wilkes ian )LEPAROUX R 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
3  SCRUPULOUS Oct16 Sep20 Sep21 Aug19   (hobby steve)GARCIA MARTIN 118 8.00    
4  GOURMET Oct31 Sep20 Jul28 Jul14 Jun05 (synnefias panag)JARA FERNANDO 118 6.00 19% 4.30    
SCR  RUBIA Nov03 Sep16 Aug21 Jun30 Jun11 (asmussen steven)ASMUSSEN ERIK 115 10.00    
6  ZAPPLE Oct10 Jan10 Nov20 Oct25 Sep16 (leitch dani)TORRES A 120 30.00 5% 19.00    
7  ROMANTIC DANCER Oct24 Sep25 Jul27     (santamaria c)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 3.50 ★    
8  THESE APPLES Oct10 Sep13 Aug24 Jul29 Jul06 (foster eric)CEDILLO ABEL 118 6.00    
9  BELLA HAZE Oct16 Aug10 Jul05 May10 Apr04 (santamaria carlo)ROMAN A 118 8.00    
10  BEACH BUNNY Oct31 Sep29 Sep14 Jul27 Jun29 (habeeb j)BEJARANO R 120 15.00    
 
CD-9   11/21/2024 5940ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($127K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:55
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LIPS SAY BLISS Oct16 Jul04 Jun09 May09 Mar17 (medina robe)TORRES A 121 10.00 9% 10.50    
2  SUMMER IN ADRIANE Oct18 Oct06 Jul07 May19 Apr28 (maker michae)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 10.00    
3  MY BOY TONY Oct25 Sep05 Jul20 Jun14 May29 (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 121 3.00 33% 2.10    
4  THOMAS AQUINAS Oct18 Sep05 Aug18 Jul04 Jun01 (wilkes r)HERNANDEZ J 118 8.00    
5  TELESCOPIC Oct25 Oct06 Sep01 Jul20 Jun08 (oliver victoria)MORALES EDGAR 118 8.00    
6  SEA SINGER (IRE) Oct18 Aug11 Jul27 Jun16 May05 (mccarthy mi)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 118 10.00    
7  NAVY SEAL (IRE) Sep12 Aug31 Aug01 Jul27 Jun22 (ward wesley )CORRALES GERARDO 118 2.50 25% 2.90    
8  ROYAL SANDRIN Oct18 Aug27 Sep30 Mar10 Feb24 (lobo h)MACHADO LUAN 121 6.00 10% 9.10    
SCR  LAUGHNOWCRYLATER Oct07 Sep05 Aug03 Jul11 May18 (hughes g)BEJARANO R 118 30.00    
10  BOURBON BOSS Oct24 Sep28 Feb02 Jan07 Dec07 (mott riley)TORRES A 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
11  ALWAYS ABOVE Oct11 Sep05 Jul20 Sep03 Jun29 (nihei michelle)GEROUX FLORENT 121 10.00    
SCR  QUOKKA Oct24 Sep19 Aug23 Jul25 Jun13 (blair jordan)CHUAN MARTIN 118 20.00    
SCR  FORT THOMAS Nov03 Oct10 Sep08 Jul08 Jun08 (arnold geor)LEPAROUX R 120 8.00    
SCR  D DAY REUNION Oct30 Oct08 Sep19 Aug22 Jul11 (mcgovern shann)RAMOS D 120 20.00    
 
CD-10   11/21/2024 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:24
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  UPON A STAR Oct04 Feb01       (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 122 2.50 38% 1.60    
2  HERE'SYOURTROUBLE Aug26         (walsh p)MACHADO LUAN 122 6.00    
SCR  CATCHPHRASE         (walden william)SAEZ LUIS 124 10.00    
4  CATHCART Jun29         (foley greg)MORALES EDGAR 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
5  LEGACY DEFINED Sep14 Jul27 Jul31     (hobby steve)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 30.00    
6  LORD I WONDER Oct04 Aug14 Jul12     (stall albert)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 3.00 9% 10.60    
7  KISS ME AGAIN Oct25 Jul27 Jun22 Jun01 May01 (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
8  LADY GO GO         (drury j)MONCADA IRVING 115 10.00    
9  GATE TO PARADISE Aug30 Feb02 Jan05 Oct07 Sep09 (eurton peter)HERNANDEZ J 122 4.00 33% 2.10    
10  LUNAR SEAS         (wismer s)CEDILLO ABEL 122 30.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.