Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Mahoning Valley
Wednesday - October 23, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MVR-3   WIN (1/5/7/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00  1 $12.60 $4.60 58%
    EXA (1/5/7/3)-(1/5/7/3) 12 $2.00 $24.00  1-7 $36.00 $12.00 50%
    TRI (1/5/7/3)-(1/5/7/3)-(1/5/7/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00  1-7-3 $69.80 $57.80 482%
MVR-4   DD (1/5/7/3)-(4/5) 8 $2.00 $16.00  1-4 $28.40 $12.40 78%
MVR-5   SFT (9/2/1/4/3)-(9/2/1/4/3)-(9/2/1/4/3)-(9/2/1/4/3) 120 $0.10 $12.00  9-4-1-2 $14.15 $2.15 18%
MVR-6   EXA (1/7/5/6)-(1/7/5/6) 12 $2.00 $24.00  1-5 $24.60 $0.60 3%
Simulator Race results
 
MVR-1   10/23/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.1K) 3UP ALL PT-12:55
See original race card.
:223 :463 :592     1:123   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PANTHERA'S FATE 1 7 2nk 11½   16 110 (rone mike)HOUGHTON D 124 2.00 34% 1.90 0.80 W
8  GRAND BEY 8 1 76¾ 67   46½ 210 (nazario pedro)CEDILLO MAURO 124 6.00 34% 2.00 6.10 P
4  MANSION PARTY 4 3 31 32   26 313 (sh)SALAZAR FERNANDO 121 10.00 48.10  
3  MSHINDI 3 4 1nk 21½   36½ 414¼ (faulkner rodney )VIGIL NOEL 124 8.00 6% 15.20 4.10  
5  AWESOME FANTASY 5 5 52¾ 56   69 518¼ (bowersock mar)BARBARAN ERIK 121 2.50 5.40  
6  MORALES LITTLE KID 6 2 42½ 45½   57½ 619 (nazari)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 4.00 9.00  
2  SAGE RUNNER 2 8 64¾ 79½   713½ 720¾ (vecchio cary)TERRAZA GERMAN 124 15.00 28.00  
7  PAST IMPERATIVE 7 6 810¼ 811½   817 824½ (sandy stephen)BRACHO A 124 15.00 5% 19.00 36.30  
 
MVR-2   10/23/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:22
See original race card.
:233 :481 1:012     1:143   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  OBI KENOBI 5 4 64¼ 3½   11 12½ (barker scot)JIMENEZ J 123 2.50 39% 1.60 2.00 W
  (by MCCRAKEN out of GOOSE SKYWALKER by STRATEGIC MISSION)
2  MOR CRAFTY 2 3 22 2nk   21 22½ (guciardo robe)TOLEDO S 126 6.00 17.60  
  (by MOR SPIRIT out of CRAFTY TIGRESS by HOLD THAT TIGER)
7  A VAN ON THE RUN 6 2 54 41   31 33 (huffman candace )AVILES YAN 123 1.60 24% 3.10 0.70 S
  (by RACE DAY out of BRIGHT REPLY by YONAGUSKA)
1  TAP THE WIND 1 5 12 1nk   42 48¾ (johnston rebecca)YARANGA Y 126 3.00 16% 5.10 3.80  
  (by RACE DAY out of SILKY BAY by STRAVINSKY)
5  CAN'T CRASHMYPARTY 4 1 33½ 64   55 512 (tumblin andrew)VIGIL NOEL 126 10.00 59.60  
  (by OXBOW out of DORIS' DIAMOND by MONARCHOS)
4  COUSIN JOE 3 6 44 53½   66 614¼ (adams l)BRACHO A 123 20.00 16.30  
  (by HEART TO HEART out of MANY FACES by FORESTRY)
SCR  LEWIS AND CLARK               ( )RODRIGUEZ SAMUEL 126 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by SHAKIN IT UP out of ESPIRITU CHIJULLA by MALIBU MOON)
 
MVR-3   10/23/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:50
See original race card.
:254 :494 1:15 1:282   1:42   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MR LAOBAN 1 3 31½ 31 41¼ 2½ 1½ ( )RODRIGUEZ SAMUEL 124 10.00 35% 1.90 5.30 W
7  SAILOR'S CHANCE 6 2 53 53¼ 31 1½ 2½ (donjuan sergi)CANUTO THIAGO 124 20.00 16% 5.40 1.10 P
3  SMALL SAILOR 2 4 21 21 2nk 42 36 (tumblin an)SMITH DIOGDINABI 124 20.00 5% 19.00 19.40 S
4  JAHEZ 3 5 43 41¼ 1nk 32 47¾ (fernandez e)LAGUNES GABRIEL 124 20.00 33.30  
5  HAD RIGHT 4 6 64½ 64¾ 62¼ 66½ 512 (huffman candace )AVILES YAN 124 8.00 23% 3.40 9.00  
6  DAY MONEY 5 1 11 11 51¼ 56 614 (johnston lane )DIAZ I 124 6.00 14.80  
8  LAW OF THE JUNGLE 7 7 76 76¼ 74¾ 78½ 720½ (farrior antho)BARBARAN ERIK 124 1.80 1.70  
SCR  REINVEST               (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 126 1.40    
 
MVR-4   10/23/2024 3630ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($7.5K) Purse ($18.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:18
See original race card.
:224 :464       1:053   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  CHARTER OAK 2 3 31 31½   11½ 16 (martinez kel)HALDAR J 124 2.50 43% 1.30 0.40 W
5  BRIT'S CANDYMAN 3 2 21 2nk   21½ 26 (lopez e)DIAZ I 124 3.00 31% 2.20 3.60 P
2  WOODY'S CHOICE 1 1 11 1nk   32 36¾ (andrade hugo)CANUTO THIAGO 126 5.00 2.00  
SCR  ROGER MCQUEEN               (ma)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 8.00    
SCR  ROCK CITY ROCKET               (martinez kelli)YARANGA Y 124 8.00    
SCR  STELLARS IN CHARGE               (farrior antho)BARBARAN ERIK 121 3.50    
SCR  HOLY SAINT               (urieta johanna)NEGRON LUIS 124 8.00    
 
MVR-5   10/23/2024 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($35.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:46
See original race card.
:243 :474 1:134 1:282   1:431   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  LUCKY VICTOR 4 2 22 2½ 2½ 12 1¾ (urieta johanna)PEREZ A 121 15.00 5% 19.00 11.90 DQ↓2
9  BLUE NOMORE 9 5 77 710 56½ 42¼ 2¾ (tooley jennifer)AVILES YAN 121 1.60 43% 1.30 0.50 W
1  MAMAS HOME COOKING 1 8 42½ 34½ 35½ 32 36¼ (cline )BATISTA ALBERTO 124 10.00 5% 19.00 8.40 S
2  ORFANO 2 7 53½ 55 45½ 52¾ 46¼ (estvanko richar)FELICIANO R 124 3.50 31% 2.20 4.60  
3  MAN'S CHOICE 3 9 89 811½ 78½ 66¾ 57½ (fernandez e)LAGUNES GABRIEL 124 20.00 5% 19.00 16.60  
10  LINO'S KID 10 3 12 1½ 1½ 22 610½ (galloway kha)TERRAZA GERMAN 126 8.00 65.10  
8  ONE STEP ASIDE 8 10 1023 1023½ 1014¼ 911¾ 712¼ (da)SALAZAR FERNANDO 121 20.00 ######  
5  SMOOCHER 5 6 910 912½ 99¾ 79¼ 813 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 124 15.00 85.40  
6  LIL RICKYS JEWEL 6 4 64½ 67 88¾ 811¾ 915¾ (corriveau john)HOUGHTON D 124 12.00 57.90  
7  VECCHI 7 1 32½ 44½ 68 1013¼ 1022½ (radosevich je)BRACHO A 123 4.00 8.40  
 
MVR-6   10/23/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($22K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:14
See original race card.
:251 :491 1:142 1:272   1:404   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THRU THE VINE 1 4 11½ 1½ 12½ 14 14¾ (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 124 2.50 36% 1.80 2.30 W
5  DOWNTOWN CONNECTOR 5 7 85¼ 85¼ 64½ 44¼ 24¾ (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 124 3.00 18% 4.50 3.60 P
2  AULD LANGE SYNE 2 6 21½ 2½ 22½ 24 38¼ (sondej)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 10.00 22.30  
8  CREDIT RIVER 8 3 63¾ 52½ 33 34 48¾ (ca)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 15.00 2.80  
7  ATTA BOY ANTHONY 7 1 32½ 42 53½ 55¾ 512¼ (andrade hugo)CANUTO THIAGO 124 3.50 23% 3.40 8.20  
6  BOBBY G 6 5 75¼ 62¾ 75½ 79¼ 614 (guciardo robe)TOLEDO S 124 8.00 5% 19.00 5.20  
3  STAR ENTERTAINER 3 8 42½ 32 86 89¼ 715¾ (johnson gary)TERRAZA GERMAN 124 8.00 24.10  
4  AUGER 4 2 53½ 73¾ 43½ 67¾ 817¼ (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 124 6.00 9.50  
 
MVR-7   10/23/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($33.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:43
See original race card.
:232 :481 1:012     1:15   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  DRILLS WILD BRAT 5 3 1½ 11½   12 15¼ (radosevich jef)HOUGHTON D 123 2.00 38% 1.70 0.90 W
2  COUNTESS COLETTE 2 7 74 43½   33 25¼ (fadlovich me)HALDAR J 121 2.50 35% 1.90 1.50 P
4  MY DANIELA 4 5 41½ 21½   22 36 (blackh)BATISTA ALBERTO 121 6.00 21.70  
6  VICTORIA COMMAND 6 2 52½ 33½   43 49½ (lopez jacinto)AVILES YAN 121 8.00 5% 19.00 40.20  
1  A P'S RUNAWAY DIVA 1 6 63½ 75¼   57 59¾ (radosevich ju)BRACHO A 124 12.00 24.50  
3  VAL'S TWINSTAR 3 4 31 53¾   610½ 620¼ (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 121 3.00 ★ 4.00  
7  WILD MARIAH 7 1 2½ 64¾   714½ 728½ (johnson gary)TERRAZA GERMAN 121 15.00 52.40  
 
MVR-8   10/23/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 2 F PT- 4:12
See original race card.
:492       1:093   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  COUSIN MINNIE 5 2 1nk 1½   1nk 1¾ (smith larry)DIAZ I 122 6.00 1.90  
  (by TWINSPIRED out of UNDER LOCK AND KEY by BOLD WARRIOR)
8  MOBIL ENSIGN 6 7 41¾ 2½   2nk 2¾ (faulkner rodney )VIGIL NOEL 122 1.80 41% 1.50 1.80 P
  (by MOBIL out of PERSONAL NOTEBOOK by MINER'S MARK)
9  MIDNIGHT GODDESS 7 1 52¾ 44   33 37¾ (andrade hugo)CANUTO THIAGO 122 2.00 36% 1.80 1.70 S
  (by DYNAMIC RACER out of MIDNIGHT BEAUTY by PROSPECTOR'S BID)
3  DESTINY'S TOT 2 6 79¼ 712   712¼ 416½ (rone mike)AVILES YAN 122 15.00 5% 19.00 14.50  
  (by KENNEDY out of DESTINY OVER FATE by DRILL)
4  BIONIC SAINT 3 3 2nk 33½   48 517½ (faulkner c)PEREZ A 122 20.00 36.10  
  (by BIONDETTI out of DENIRO'S SAINT by SAINTS N' SINNERS)
1  PLAY BALL SUSIE 1 4 3.2 54   58¼ 619¾ (urieta johanna)REYES FRANK 122 20.00 33.80  
  (by SEGOVIA out of AFTERTHEBALLISOVER by BERNSTEIN)
6  COUNT ON ME 4 5 63¼ 65   69¼ 721½ (go)SALAZAR FERNANDO 122 15.00 5% 19.00 23.90  
  (by MEDAL COUNT out of MIDTOWN MISS by YES IT'S TRUE)
SCR  HEAVENS EUREKA               (tumblin andr)HALDAR J 122 20.00    
  (by CORFU out of CAMP FAIRFAX R N by FOREST CAMP)
SCR  MO SWIFT               (rone mike)HOUGHTON D 122 4.50    
  (by DRILL out of MO SMART by UNCLE MO)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

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