Handicappers' Racing Form

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Kentucky Downs
Thursday - September 07, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

KD-1   Win (4/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00
KD-2   Win (3/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00
KD-3   Win (4/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00
KD-4   Win (4/10/3/9/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00
KD-5   Win (7/2/1/5/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00
KD-6   Win (4/9) 2 $2.00 $4.00
KD-7   Win (2/5/4/10/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00
KD-8   Win (14/10/4/15) 4 $2.00 $8.00
KD-9   Win (7/6/9) 3 $2.00 $6.00
KD-10   Win (6/3/1/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
KD-1   09/07/2023 5280ft TURF RC7 GOOD Claiming ($50K) Purse ($75K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:30
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MINE OWN STAR Aug27 Jul30 Jun24 May31 Sep25 (cano muno)BESCHIZZA ADAM 121 12.00    
STAT Jul23 Jun30 Apr22 Mar30 Mar08 (joseph saffie )ZAYAS J 121 6.00 15% 5.60    
PARKLAND May25 Mar09 Feb09 Dec14 Oct09 (maker j)ORTIZ L 121 10.00 11% 8.50    
RACE CRAFT Jul21 May28 Apr30 Apr02 Jan01 (maker j)ORTIZ JR 121 8.00 47% 1.10    
BIZZEE CHANNEL Aug16 Feb12 Jan15 Dec26 Nov18 (rivelli larr)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 4.50    
SCR  CHANTRY FLATS Mar30 Mar10 Feb04 Jan20 Jan01 (newton troy)MURRILL MITCHELL 121 3.50    
CLEAR FOR ACTION May27 Mar15 Mar04 Dec03 Oct12 (fletcher wes)MACHADO LUAN 121 30.00    
SCR  RIVER REDEMPTION Aug16 Jul21 Jul06 Jan27 Jan06 (garcia genaro)DIAZ RENE 121 20.00    
SCR  ARTIE'S RUMOR May29 Feb12 Jan15 Nov11 Oct19 (flint s)TALAMO JOSEPH 121 12.00    
10  PINE KNOLL Jul20 Jul07 Jun15 Mar16 Jan27 (medina rober)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 4.00    
11  DERBY CODE Feb11 Dec30 Oct27 Sep17 Aug21 (sharp joe)ROSARIO JOEL 121 10.00    
 
KD-2   09/07/2023 5280ft TURF RC9 GOOD Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($70K) 3 ALL PT- 2:02
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
IRONSIDES Aug19 Jul19 Jun15 Apr21 Mar25 (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 119 5.00    
THETHRILLOFVICTORY Aug03 Jun18 Jun03 May06 Oct27 (maker j)ORTIZ JR 119 4.00    
SHANKAR Aug13 Jul02 Jan19 Dec21 Oct22 (joseph saffi)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 2.50 72% 0.40    
DR. HYDE Aug31 Jul22 Jul11 Jun26 Jun05 (dickey keith)RIQUELME J 119 15.00    
INSIGNIS Jun27 Apr16 Mar15     (diodoro robertin)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
SOUTHERN CRUSH Aug11 Jul21 Jan01 Dec02 Oct23 (barkley jason)GRAHAM J 121 15.00    
SCR  HUMOR ME NOW May28 Apr30 Mar23     (asmussen steven )ROSARIO JOEL 119 12.00    
SCR  PRINCELY Aug19 Jul21 May28 May13 Apr19 (mcpeek kenn)TORRES A 119 10.00    
THREE ON THE TREE Jul23 Jun17 Apr15 Mar19 Jan28 (lovell mich)LEPAROUX R 119 15.00    
10  LAZARUS Jun18 Jun03 May11 Apr21 Mar10 (cundiff wa)RODRIGUEZ A 119 20.00    
11  CATHERINE BLAZE Aug01 Jul09 Jun22 Jun10 Apr28 (leonard george )CANNON DECLAN 116 30.00    
12  DEVIL'S HARVEST Jul13 Jun24 May20 Apr28   (diodoro rob)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 8.00    
 
KD-3   09/07/2023 5280ft TURF RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($180K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:34
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DELIGHT Jul22 May09 Dec10 Nov04 Oct07 (thomas jonatha)GEROUX FLORENT 118 6.00 30% 2.30    
LINDY (FR)         (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 10.00    
SCR  KATHAAN Jul20 Jun22 May31 Apr22 Jan19 (block chris)ORTIZ JR 122 8.00    
POCA MUCHA Aug11 Jul13 Jun15 Oct21 Sep14 (mott i)ROSARIO JOEL 122 4.00 42% 1.40    
SCR  NOT SO CLOSE Aug17 Jul01 May05 Mar11 Feb12 (casse norm)SANTANA JR 122 1.60    
SCR  LOVELY PRINCESS Aug27 Jul08 May27 Apr22 Nov25 (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 122 3.00    
DO YOU LOVE ME Aug14 Jul11 Jun21 May22 Apr23 (bourke john)STANLEY O 122 20.00    
 
KD-4   09/07/2023 5280ft TURF RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($160K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:06
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FLYING HOUDINI Aug11 Jul26 Jul13 Jun17 Apr29 (scott anthon)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 30.00    
SCR  CAN'T HUSH THIS Aug13 Jul21 Jun29 Jun10 Jan08 (morse l)GARCIA MARTIN 122 30.00    
MIRANDA RIGHTS Jul09 Jun17 Mar04 Feb11 Jan05 (casse mark)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 8.00 14% 6.30    
SPIRIT MAKER Aug13 Jun02 Apr28 Mar27 Jan21 (miller peter)ORTIZ JR 122 2.50 37% 1.70    
SANTORINI Aug11 Jun01 Mar25 Mar04 Jan21 (brisset rodolphe)ACHARD ALEX 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
JUST BATTLE Jul04 Jun09       (stall m)ROSARIO JOEL 118 20.00    
HE'S GOT SWAGGER Aug13 Jul16 May20 May04 Apr08 (mcpeek kenn)LEPAROUX R 118 8.00    
GRAND ASPEN Aug01 Jul07 Aug05 Jun05   (pletcher tod)CORRALES GERARDO 122 10.00    
SMILE MON Aug12 Jul16 Jun11 May14 Dec31 (romans dale)CHUAN MARTIN 118 4.50 8% 12.00    
10  BABA VOSS Jul23 Jun22 Aug21     (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.50 19% 4.20    
SCR  BOCO Aug17 Jul06 May15 Apr21 Mar24 (hamilton troy)ELLIOTT JANE 122 20.00    
12  SPOILER Feb12 Nov26 Oct09     (asmussen st)TORRES A 118 30.00    
13  REAL FAST Jul21         (lobo h)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 20.00    
SCR  LE GRIFFON Jul14 May27 Sep07 Aug17   (diodoro rob)TORRES A 118 15.00    
SCR  ICE SHARD Aug16 Jul26 Jun29 Jun14   (perez manny)BEJARANO R 118 30.00    
SCR  SARA'S SHAMAN Aug06 Feb04 Jan14     (joseph saffie )ZAYAS J 118 20.00    
 
KD-5   09/07/2023 4290ft TURF RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($150K) 2 ALL PT- 3:41
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ACT OF MUTINY Aug19         (mcgaughey claude)ORTIZ L 119 4.00 18% 4.60    
DEEP STRIKE Aug19         (thomas jonatha)GEROUX FLORENT 119 5.00 19% 4.40    
TANGO YANKEE Jul30         (maker j)ORTIZ JR 119 8.00    
NON FUNGIBLE         (short thomas)LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
PALM TREE Aug11         (walsh p)CANNON DECLAN 119 10.00 16% 5.20    
CANDY CORN Jul27         (stidham mich)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 6.00    
COMMITTEE OF ONE Aug19         (asmussen st)TORRES A 119 3.00 27% 2.70    
DREWMANIA         (briley lonnie)COURT K 119 20.00    
NEAT         (atras rob)VELAZQUEZ R 119 20.00    
10  PHENOMENAL DREAM Aug19         (hamilton sa)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 30.00    
11  RUNAWAY JOKE         (heitzman eri)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 30.00    
12  ST. ARMANDS KEY         (sharp joe)ROSARIO JOEL 119 10.00    
SCR  IN A JAM Jul30 Jul15 Jun24     (casse mark)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 4.00    
SCR  MENDELSFLY         (romans dale)GARCIA MARTIN 119 6.00    
SCR  AGAPEE MOU Aug05         (correas ign)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 119 15.00    
SCR  JACKED         (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 6.00    
 
KD-6   09/07/2023 4290ft TURF RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($180K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:14
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  TOP GUN GIRL Jul21 Jun16 Apr15 Nov20 Sep14 (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 122 8.00    
SCR  OPENING BUZZ Apr15 Mar17 Feb25 Jan28 Dec01 (engler jeff)MACHADO LUAN 122 20.00    
SCR  QUARIA COMET Aug05 May27 Mar17 Feb23 Jan26 (lobo h)TALAMO JOSEPH 122 3.00    
OEUVRE Jul26 May21 May05 Apr15 Feb21 (block chris)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 4.50 46% 1.20    
SCR  NEW BOSS Aug05 Jun16 May05 Mar25 Feb21 (calhoun willi)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 20.00    
SCR  GAL IN A RUSH Aug11 Jul01 Jun03 Apr16 Nov17 (clement christop)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 4.00    
FRANGO ELECTRICO Aug19 Aug03 Jul06 Jun22 Jun01 (bahena ism)RODRIGUEZ A 118 30.00    
SOUPER MUNNINGS Aug05 Jun16 May27 Mar17 Feb25 (wilkes r)CANNON DECLAN 122 20.00    
LAST LEAF Jul23 May29 Apr29 Mar11 Jan28 (kenneally eddie)LANERIE J 122 6.00 33% 2.10    
SCR  UNBRIDLED MARY Jul28 Jun24 Apr22 Mar26 Feb20 (sadler w)ORTIZ JR 122 8.00    
SCR  SHARP HERO Aug20 Jul26 Jun16 May27 May06 (ross bradley)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 12.00    
12  TWIRLED Jul16 Jun10 Apr14 Feb11 Dec31 (asmussen st)TORRES A 118 30.00    
 
KD-7   09/07/2023 6930ft TURF RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($150K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:48
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ANIMAL FRIES Aug13 Jul22 Jun25     (newton troy)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 15.00    
SRI LANKA Jun29 May29 Jan29 Dec11   (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 4.50 27% 2.70    
BLAME THE STARS Jul01         (sharp joe)CORRALES GERARDO 120 15.00    
LADY CLAYPOOLE (IRE) Aug12         (maker j)ORTIZ JR 120 3.00 17% 5.00    
ENGLISHED Apr15 Feb25       (thomas jonatha)GEROUX FLORENT 120 3.50 19% 4.30    
PLAYMATE Jul29 Jul02       (attard kevin)VELAZQUEZ R 120 12.00    
BOLTORO Jul31 Jun23 Apr23 Mar18 Feb09 (casse mark)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  ABBREVIATION Jul23 Jun30 May29 Apr29 Apr07 (shorter aaron)BEJARANO R 120 30.00    
DIXIE SUPREME Jun29 May29 May18 Mar09   (murphy conor)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 15.00    
10  SOUTHAMPTON DOCK Jul29 Jun29 Jun08 Dec03 Oct04 (wilkes r)ORTIZ L 120 8.00 13% 6.50    
11  JUNGLE CAT Jul31 Feb11       (brisset rodolphe)ACHARD ALEX 124 30.00    
12  ROBIN SAGE Aug13 Jul20 Jun29 May24 May03 (medina robert)MACHADO LUAN 120 10.00    
SCR  KING'S SECRET (GB) Jul15 Mar05 Jan22     (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 4.00    
SCR  LIBRETTO (IRE) Jul02 Jun03 May07 Mar04 Nov20 (maker j)ROSARIO JOEL 124 4.50    
 
KD-8   09/07/2023 4620ft TURF RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($170K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:21
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RED HORNET Jul21 Jun23 Jun01 May20 Apr13 (meah m)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 15.00    
TARTUFO Jul08 Jun04 May25 Mar30 Feb05 (vaccarezza carlo)SAEZ GABRIEL 122 15.00    
SCR  PERUVIAN LUCKY Jul21 Jun15 May20 Apr01 Mar17 (correas ign)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 122 30.00    
FAIR DINKUM Aug05 Jan29 Dec16 Nov02 Sep18 (sharp joe)ROSARIO JOEL 122 3.00 9% 9.60    
HIDDEN PATH Aug05 Jul01 Jun01 May04 Mar31 (pletcher a)ORTIZ L 118 10.00    
SCR  ZATIP Sep10 Aug01 Jul01     (motion graham)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 15.00    
SCR  SANTOS DUMONT Aug05 Jun30 May27 Jul04 Jun04 (hartman chr)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 20.00    
AXTHELM Mar19 Feb19 Jan28 Dec26 Oct29 (joseph saffie )ZAYAS J 122 6.00    
UNDERDRESSED Aug05 Jul08 Jun01 May03 Feb09 (hernandez r)LEPAROUX R 122 8.00    
10  BEUYS (IRE) Aug05 Mar04 Jan01     (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 3.50 28% 2.60    
11  COLOSSEO Aug28 Jul30       (catalano wayne )VELAZQUEZ R 122 12.00    
SCR  AMERICAN MAYHEM Aug19 Jul21 Oct01 Sep14 Aug26 (divito james)CORRALES GERARDO 122 8.00    
SCR  LEGAL ATTACK (GB) Jun20 May25 Mar30     (vaughan edward)BESCHIZZA ADAM 122 20.00    
14  CHASING THE CROWN Jul20 Jun22 Apr29 Feb25 Jan28 (maker j)ORTIZ JR 122 2.50 39% 1.60    
15  SOLIDIFY Jul22 Jun23 Jun10 May13 May04 (cano munoz)BEJARANO R 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  ZOOMBIE Jul03 Jun05 Oct04 Sep15 Aug29 (walsh d)CANNON DECLAN 122 30.00    
 
KD-9   09/07/2023 5490ft TURF RC11 GOOD Jeff Ruby One Dreamer Purse ($500K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:54
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JUBILEE BRIDGE Aug02 Jun10 Mar24 Mar02 Feb01 (stidham michae)CASTELLANO J 124 10.00    
PRESENT MOMENT (IRE) Jul08 Jun08 Apr23     (beckman whitw)CANNON DECLAN 122 20.00    
SCR  SINFILTRE Aug06 Jul01 May27 Apr16 Mar03 (pletcher a)PRAT FLAVIEN 126 3.50    
SCR  HAUGHTY Aug02 Jul02 May06 Aug20 Jul09 (brown c)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 4.00    
VIAREGGIO (IRE) Jul01 May29 Apr21     (walsh p)ORTIZ JR 122 5.00    
KATE'S KINGDOM Jul23 Jun04 Mar25 Feb25 Jan14 (walden william)GILLIGAN JACK 122 12.00 31% 2.20    
FOR THE FLAG Aug06 Jun18 Apr23 Mar12   (toner j)RUIZ JORGE 126 3.00 33% 2.00    
SISTER LOU ANN Aug17 Jul01 Apr12 Oct20 Sep13 (joseph a)ORTIZ L 122 6.00    
CANDY LIGHT Jul15 Jun15 May21 Dec26 Nov13 (motion graham)ROSARIO JOEL 122 10.00 10% 9.40    
 
KD-10   09/07/2023 5280ft TURF RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($150K) 2 F PT- 6:28
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
YATTA Aug12 Jul07       (motion gra)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 3.00 13% 6.60    
I'M A MESS         (mcpeek kenn)LEPAROUX R 119 8.00    
JUDGEMENT Aug05         (pletcher a)ROSARIO JOEL 119 3.50 21% 3.70    
YAMMY YAMMY BELLA Aug20 Aug05 Jul06     (bahena ism)RODRIGUEZ A 119 20.00    
YOU'RE KITTEN ME Jul23 Jun29 Jun15 May11   (sharp joe)ORTIZ JR 119 5.00    
CLEARLY COPPER Aug04 Jul01 Jun04     (asmussen st)TORRES A 119 4.50 44% 1.30    
SCR  NOSHUGFORPOP Jul16 May27       (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 119 30.00    
FORESEEN Jul22         (arnold georg)HERNANDEZ J 119 20.00    
ABOVE THE SUN Jul22         (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 119 30.00    
10  JOKE MASTER Aug01 Jul07       (maker j)ORTIZ L 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
11  PARTAKE Aug10 Jun25 Jun10     (wojczynski justin)ACHARD ALEX 119 15.00    
12  MIDNIGHT ANGEL (GER) Aug08 Aug01 Jul07 Apr12   (torres)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 119 20.00    
SCR  ADELLEGATOR Aug18         (davis christophe)ORTIZ L 119 15.00    
SCR  BERYL RACER Aug19 May23       (matejka pavel)MACHADO LUAN 119 20.00    
SCR  BUSINESS AS USUAL         (brown c)ORTIZ JR 119 6.00    
SCR  WINSOME BEAUTY Aug18 Jul16       (casse mark)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 3.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.