Handicappers' Racing Form

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Saratoga
Saturday - August 17, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

SAR-1   Win (1/5/2/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00
SAR-2   Win (9/1/11/2/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00
SAR-3   Win (2/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00
SAR-4   Win (5/12/10/3/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00
SAR-5   Win (7/4/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00
SAR-6   Win (7/2/6/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00
SAR-7   Win (7/9/4/8/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00
SAR-8   Win (10/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00
SAR-9   Win (7/10/11/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00
SAR-10   Win (7/3/4/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00
SAR-11   Win (7/3/10/4/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00
SAR-12   Win (3/5/11/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
SAR-1   08/17/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 2 ALL PT-12:35
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SANSONE         (mcgaughey claude)ORTIZ L 119 1.40    
1A  MOMENT'S NOTICE Jul13         (clement christo)FRANCO MANUEL 119 1.40 64% 0.60    
FLAT TO DA MAT         (bernardini g)VAZQUEZ A 119 30.00 5% 19.00    
BAYTOWN GUVNAH Aug05 Jul21       (mcentee paul)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
MCHALE         (hennig mark)VELAZQUEZ R 119 6.00    
PERFECT FORCE Jul20 Jun23       (lukas wayne)SAEZ LUIS 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
JONATHAN'S WAY         (bauer a)ROSARIO JOEL 119 4.00    
SOCIAL HOUR Jul20         (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 119 4.50    
TIZ FREEDOM Jul06         (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 6.00    
 
SAR-2   08/17/2024 5610ft TURF RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 2 ALL PT- 1:07
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ASBURY PARK (GB)         (brown c)ORTIZ JR 119 5.00 6% 15.60    
SCR  COMPLEX AGENDA         (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 119 5.00    
HAMMERHEAD         (summers chad)CASTELLANO J 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
POLICY CHANGE         (pletcher tod)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 6.00    
DRAGONEER         (gargan danny)CARMOUCHE K 119 6.00    
CONCORD GREEN         (mcgaughey claude )DAVIS DYLAN 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
DAVY CROCKETT         (clement christop)ROSARIO JOEL 119 8.00    
SCR  ROYAL'S PRIDE (GB)         (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 119 8.00    
JERRY'S OUT Jul06         (rodriguez r)SAEZ LUIS 119 20.00    
VALUATION METRIC         (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 2.50 48% 1.10    
10  SAM'S ROCKET Jul13         (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 10.00    
11  JOHNY'S RENDEZVOUS         (bauer a)SAEZ LUIS 119 5.00 6% 15.60    
SCR  STRATEGIST         (gargan danny)VELAZQUEZ R 119 15.00    
SCR  ACADEMY Jul20         (motion graham)FRANCO MANUEL 119 8.00    
SCR  WEST BEACH Jul27 Jun23       (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 3.50    
SCR  THARHOM Jul27         (mott i)RIDER TBA 119 4.00    
 
SAR-3   08/17/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($110K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:40
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BENEDETTA Jun28 Sep09 Aug12 Jul08   (asmussen steven )PRAT FLAVIEN 118 10.00    
BANDITA Jan29         (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 122 1.20 41% 1.50    
BELLE OF THE BALL Jun30 May26 Apr18 Apr07 Mar24 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 122 20.00    
NIC'S STYLE Dec09 May05       (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 122 1.80 37% 1.70    
GIRLS WEEKEND Jul20 May20 Jun16 May11   (beckman whitw)FRANCO MANUEL 120 6.00    
KILLY START Jul28 Jul17 Jun19 Jun08 Mar30 (abreu fernando)ROSARIO JOEL 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
STOP GIGGLING Jul18 Mar07 Jan26 Jan04 Dec15 (levine bru)SANTANA JR 122 8.00    
 
SAR-4   08/17/2024 3630ft TURF RC7 GOOD Claiming ($40K) Purse ($55K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:13
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BEACH CRUISER Jul13 Jun15 May18 Apr20 Dec09 (clement christoph)DAVIS DYLAN 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
VALENTINE GIFT Jul18 Jun15 Dec14 Oct29 Oct01 (ribaudo robert)CASTELLANO J 118 15.00    
RIVER TAY (IRE) May12 Apr07 Sep03 Jul28 Jun24 (brown bruc)SANTANA JR 122 8.00 8% 11.10    
MISS BOURBON Apr18 Mar17 Feb19 Jan28 Nov16 (morley thomas)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 20.00    
HUE Jul17 Jun26       (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 120 3.00 41% 1.50    
EMPIRES PRINCESS Jun21 Jun02 May16 Apr20 Mar03 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 122 5.00    
SCR  TURF ROCKET Aug08 Jul11 Jun08 May17 Mar31 (trombetta mic)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 5.00    
SCR  QUIESCENT Jul18 Jun20 May27 Apr21 Feb23 (noda orlando)ROSARIO JOEL 124 8.00    
SIX PACK SENORITA Jul18 Jun22 May03 Apr11 Jan07 (rodriguez r)SAEZ LUIS 120 12.00    
10  PEAK EARNINGS (GB) Jul07 Jun02 Apr28     (brown c)ORTIZ JR 120 4.00 11% 8.40    
11  PLAY FREE BIRD Jul26 Jun21 May25 Sep04 Aug09 (contessa gary)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 12.00    
12  BOSS OF ALL Aug04 Jul18 Jun22 May13 Jun16 (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 122 4.50 13% 6.50    
SCR  THIRSTY ACCOUNTANT Jul03 Jun05 Apr23 Mar13 Feb09 (mcentee paul)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 15.00    
SCR  BELLA VOCE Jul18 Jun25 May28     (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 4.00    
SCR  GHOSTBUSTIN Jul15 Jun15 Apr18 Mar16 Feb17 (levine bruce)RIDER TBA 124 8.00    
SCR  FIND YOUR JOY Jul30 Jun14 May06 Feb24 Jan18 (morley thomas)RIDER TBA 120 12.00    
 
SAR-5   08/17/2024 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($40K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:46
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CRUSADING Aug07 Jul18 Jan01 Dec15 Nov12 (jacobson david)FRANCO MANUEL 118 10.00    
COWBOY LUKE Jul24 May30 Apr24 Oct07 Aug10 (quartarolo )LEPAROUX R 118 15.00    
SCR  VINCITA Aug04 Jul11 Jun27 Apr24 Apr07 (morley thomas)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 6.00    
SALACIOUS Jul31 Apr20 Mar24 Mar10 Feb10 (d'angelo fra)VAZQUEZ A 118 4.00 11% 8.00    
REMEMBER THE CHIEF Jul12 Jun15 May10 Mar24   (martin f)LEZCANO JOSE 118 6.00    
SCR  MIGHTY GLORY Aug04 Jun06 Dec10 Oct26 Sep14 (schettin)MARAGH RAMSAY 118 30.00    
MACAW (IRE) Jun23 Jun12 May11     (rice linda)ORTIZ JR 118 2.50 64% 0.60    
BOUNTEOUS (IRE) Aug07 Jun27 May17 Apr12 Mar03 (atras rob)SANTANA JR 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
RAMESSES Jun30 May10 Mar23 Feb10   (joseph saffi)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 5.00    
10  HOURS IN A DAY Jul24 Jul07 Jun28 Jun06 May25 (goberdh)HERNANDEZ OMAR 118 20.00    
SCR  SMOOTH AN EASY Aug07 Jul12 Jun21 May27 Apr27 (seyler )HERNANDEZ OMAR 118 20.00    
 
SAR-6   08/17/2024 5610ft TURF RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($100K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SELL SOMETHING Jul21 Jun21 May24 Nov16 Oct04 (de hor)SANTANA JR 122 30.00    
LOCKE AND KEY Jul21 Jun21 May17 Apr26 Mar29 (ryerson jam)DETTORI LANFRANCO 122 6.00 26% 2.80    
LAUREL VALLEY Jul28 Jun20 May03 Apr06 Dec17 (maker j)ROSARIO JOEL 124 6.00    
CALL ME HARRY Jul13 Jun15 May17 Nov03 Sep21 (dutrow e)SAEZ LUIS 122 3.00    
ROUGH DRAFT Jul21 Jun21 Apr21 Mar21 Mar07 (abreu fernando)CASTELLANO J 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
BETTRLUCKYTHANGOOD Jul21 Jun20 Apr27 Nov19 Oct27 (clement christoph)DAVIS DYLAN 126 4.50 12% 7.20    
LET'S GO BIG BLUE Jul21 Jun21 May24 Nov10 Oct15 (weaver george)LEZCANO JOSE 122 4.00 33% 2.00    
AGENT CREED Jul19 May17 May02 Feb17 Jan15 (morley thomas)FRANCO MANUEL 124 5.00    
MAXWELL ESQUIRE Jul24 Dec29 Nov17 Oct06 Sep28 (rodriguez r)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 12.00    
SCR  MIGHTY ATLAS Jun27 May27 May04 Apr13 Mar15 (maker j)FRANCO MANUEL 124 2.50    
SCR  NEURAL NETWORK Jul21 Apr22 Feb25 Jan07 Nov13 (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 6.00    
SCR  SHADOW DRAGON Aug01 Jun27 May26 Dec07 Oct15 (mott i)RIDER TBA 122 2.00    
SCR  COLLOQUY Aug04 May26 Apr26 Apr07 Mar17 (chichakly amira)ORTIZ JR 122 6.00    
SCR  HORSE BE WITH YOU Jul23 May26 Apr13 Mar22 Feb29 (englehart chris)CANCEL ERIC 124 12.00    
 
SAR-7   08/17/2024 6270ft TURF RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($115K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:54
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  DUKE OF GLOUCESTER Aug02 Jul05 Jun07 May12 Apr26 (potts wayne)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 8.00    
SCR  ST ANDREWS Aug01 Jun28 May05 Mar17 Jan28 (noda orlando)DAVIS DYLAN 122 8.00    
CYBER NINJA Aug03 May24 Apr25 Mar10 Jan31 (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
LINCOLN HAWK (IRE) Jul14 Jul07 May25 May05 Apr20 (jacobson david)VAZQUEZ A 122 15.00    
FREEDOM TRAIL Nov18 Sep21 Jul15 Jun03 Apr07 (terranova p)ORTIZ L 122 3.50 5% 18.60    
SCR  CATCH A WAVE Jul04 May27 Apr26 Mar10   (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 4.50    
MENDELSSOHNS MARCH Jul13 Sep01 Aug13 Jul08 Jun03 (mcpeek kenn)LEPAROUX R 122 15.00    
DRIPPING GOLD Jul19 Jun16 May02 Sep09 Jul27 (mcgaughey c)DETTORI LANFRANCO 122 6.00 46% 1.20    
MONDEGO (GB) Jul14 May02 Nov04 Sep09 Aug05 (clement christop)ROSARIO JOEL 122 5.00 5% 19.00    
RECKONING FORCE Jun19 May18 May02 Mar02 Apr21 (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 5.00 23% 3.30    
10  DAUNT Jul14 Jun16 May02 Nov11 Oct19 (ribaudo robert)CASTELLANO J 122 10.00    
11  RED RUN Jun15 May01 Mar29 Jan27 Dec30 (maker j)FRANCO MANUEL 122 10.00    
SCR  LUCKY CURLIN Jul14 Jun06 Apr20 Mar30 Feb29 (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 122 20.00    
SCR  DAI VERNON Jul05 May01 Apr14 Feb17 Nov17 (mott i)RIDER TBA 122 2.00    
SCR  COSTA TERRA Aug02 Jul20 Jun07 Dec10 Nov12 (rice linda)ORTIZ JR 122 2.50    
 
SAR-8   08/17/2024 5940ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($110K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:29
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CARTUCHO Jun09 May04 Mar24     (brown c)CASTELLANO J 118 20.00    
DIGITAL OPS Jun30 Oct06       (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 12.00    
D DAY SKY Jul21 May18 Apr05 Jan13 Nov25 (giangiulio michel)CARMOUCHE K 120 30.00    
SCR  BANK FRENZY May26 Apr14 Sep24 Aug31 Apr22 (rodriguez r)SAEZ LUIS 125 6.00    
JACKSON HEIGHTS Aug01 Jun09 May25 May02 Apr13 (noda orlando)DAVIS DYLAN 125 15.00 5% 19.00    
ROCKETEER Jul21 Jun09 Apr10 Oct26   (cox h)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 4.50 22% 3.60    
GAME WARDEN Jul27 Jun27 May12 Apr19 Feb18 (casse norm)SANTANA JR 123 8.00    
SCR  DJANGO Jul19 Jun15 May10 Mar30 Mar09 (mcpeek g)ORTIZ L 120 10.00    
SCR  DONEGAL SURGES Jun09 May02 Mar29 Feb24 Jan27 (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 123 3.00    
10  TIMEOUT Jul19 Jun15 May04 Apr06   (mott i)ROSARIO JOEL 120 2.50 55% 0.80    
 
SAR-9   08/17/2024 5610ft TURF RC13 GOOD Lake Placid Purse ($200K) 3 F PT- 5:04
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  DEEP SATIN Jul14 Jun09 Apr18     (devaux cherie)ORTIZ L 118 10.00    
GRAYOSH Jul18 May27 Apr20 Mar03 Jan21 (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 8.00    
GALA BRAND Jul20 Jun22 Nov03 Oct04 Aug31 (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 120 20.00    
DE REGRESO Jul20 Jun08 May04 Apr06 Mar09 (sano antonio)SAEZ LUIS 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
SPALIDAY Jul13 Jun08 May04 Apr13 Feb16 (brown chad )DETTORI LANFRANCO 120 12.00    
SCR  LES REYS (FR)         (clement christop)ROSARIO JOEL 120 10.00    
SHE FEELS PRETTY Jul06 May17 Nov03 Sep16 Jul16 (devaux cherie)VELAZQUEZ R 120 2.00 40% 1.50    
ORI Jul19 Jun27       (nevin michelle)CARMOUCHE K 118 50.00    
SCR  PROCTOR STREET Jul18 May27       (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 8.00    
10  DYNAMIC PRICING (IRE) Jul06 May03 Mar09 Feb03 Nov04 (brown c)ORTIZ JR 122 6.00 26% 2.80    
11  BEAUTIFUL LOVE (IRE)         (appleby charles)FRANCO MANUEL 120 4.00 7% 12.40    
SCR  LEMON MUFFIN Jul20 Jun29 May17 May03 Mar30 (lukas wayne)ROSARIO JOEL 124 5.00    
SCR  MANAMA GOLD Jul20 Jun06       (pletcher a)RIDER TBA 124 2.50    
SCR  CAMERA Jul18 Jun08 May04 Apr07 Mar09 (pletcher a)RIDER TBA 119 6.00    
 
SAR-10   08/17/2024 6600ft DIRT RC14 FAST Alabama Purse ($600K) 3 F PT- 5:43
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
INTRICATE Jul20 Jun15 Mar23 Feb17 Nov25 (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 6.00    
CHATALAS Jul06 Dec29 Dec09 Nov03 Oct07 (glatt mark)DETTORI LANFRANCO 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
POWER SQUEEZE Jul08 Jun07 May03 Mar30 Feb10 (delgado jorge)CASTELLANO J 121 4.50 9% 10.20    
JUST BASKING Jul06 Jun01 Apr27 Apr07 Mar13 (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 121 5.00 5% 19.00    
AMERICA'S VOW Jul28 Jun01 May03 Mar30 Feb10 (hamm timothy)ALVARADO JUNIOR 121 20.00    
MISS JUSTIFY Jul12 Jun01 Mar15 Nov11 Oct01 (pletcher a)PRAT FLAVIEN 121 6.00    
CANDIED Jul20 Jun08 Apr05 Nov03 Oct06 (pletcher a)FRANCO MANUEL 121 1.40 58% 0.70    
NEON ICON Jul06 May23 Apr17     (arnold r)SAEZ LUIS 121 15.00    
 
SAR-11   08/17/2024 5280ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($70K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:17
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SMILE MON Jun08 Apr18 Feb18 Dec08 Nov17 (atras rob)SANTANA JR 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
UNSTABLE PRINCE Aug11 Jul14 Jun16 Apr21 Mar29 (jacobson david)VAZQUEZ A 125 15.00    
YO DADDY Jul27 Jun29 Jun07 Apr14 Mar02 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 3.00 11% 8.10    
WHO'S THE KING Jul27 Jun30 May31 Apr20 Feb25 (joseph saffi)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 6.00 7% 12.80    
SCR  WIND NINETY NINE Jun25 Jun17 May25 Apr18 Feb24 (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 125 10.00    
HAVE YOU HEARD Jul27 Jul13 May18 Apr26 Mar03 (maker j)ORTIZ JR 120 10.00    
UNLIMITEDPOTENTIAL Jul25 Jun09 Apr18 Mar27 Feb21 (kantarmaci me)ALVARADO JUNIOR 125 2.50 43% 1.30    
STORMING CHROME Jun22 May18 Apr28 Mar30 Mar08 (de horacio)SAEZ LUIS 125 8.00    
SPECIAL DISPATCH Jul27 Jun23 May17 Apr24 Mar20 (amoss m)CARMOUCHE K 120 15.00    
10  PURSUIT OF POWER Jul18 Jun12 May11 Feb25 Jun13 (asmussen steven )ROSARIO JOEL 125 8.00 11% 8.50    
 
SAR-12   08/17/2024 3630ft TURF RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  LUCY PLAYA         (ryerson t)LEZCANO JOSE 119 15.00    
MY EXECUTIVE SWEET         (huertas ni)DAVIS A 124 30.00    
HEART OF THE NIGHT Jul19 Jun06 Apr28 Mar09 Mar18 (de horacio)FRANCO MANUEL 124 2.00 29% 2.40    
DUCHESSOFNORMANDY         (englehart jeff)HARKIE K 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
BEAUTIFUL THIEF Jun06         (weaver george)CASTELLANO J 119 1.60 25% 3.00    
NAUGHTY DESTINY Jun14 May25 Nov02 Oct12   (clement christoph)DAVIS DYLAN 119 6.00    
LA FIERE Jul19 Jun14 Apr13     (donk david)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 30.00    
BAREFOOT DISCO Jul19 Jul26       (baker charlton)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 6.00    
FOLLOW YOUR ARROW Jun28 Sep15 Jul26 Jun15 May12 (summers chad)LUZZI J 119 20.00    
SCR  LONCHURA Jul05 Jun06 Feb11 Jul09 May28 (barrera )GRISALES DANILO 119 20.00    
11  LONG LEGGED QUEEN Jun25         (grabowski a)SAEZ LUIS 119 8.00 22% 3.50    
SCR  GOOD MISSION Aug01         (rodriguez rudy )ORTIZ JR 119 8.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.