Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Mahoning Valley
Tuesday - December 26, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

MVR-1   WIN (5/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/3)-(5/2/3/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (5/2/3)-(5/2/3/7)-(5/2/3/7) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (5/2/3)-(2/4/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/2/3)-(2/4/3)-(8/9/5/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
MVR-2   WIN (2/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/3)-(2/4/7/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (2/4/3)-(2/4/7/3)-(2/4/7/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (2/4/3)-(8/9/5/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/4/3)-(8/9/5/2)-(1/6/7/8) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
MVR-3   WIN (8/9/5/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/9/5/2)-(8/9/5/2/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (8/9/5/2)-(8/9/5/2/7)-(8/9/5/2/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (8/9/5/2)-(1/6/7/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (8/9/5/2)-(1/6/7/8)-(2/9/1/5) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
MVR-4   WIN (1/6/7/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/6/7/8)-(1/6/7/8/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (1/6/7/8)-(1/6/7/8/9)-(1/6/7/8/9) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (1/6/7/8)-(2/9/1/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/6/7/8)-(2/9/1/5)-(11/3/8/7/10) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
MVR-5   WIN (2/9/1/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/9/1/5)-(2/9/1/5/10) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (2/9/1/5)-(2/9/1/5/10)-(2/9/1/5/10) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (2/9/1/5)-(11/3/8/7/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (2/9/1/5)-(11/3/8/7/10)-(4/10/3/9/8) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
MVR-6   WIN (11/3/8/7/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (11/3/8/7/10)-(11/3/8/7/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (11/3/8/7/10)-(11/3/8/7/10)-(11/3/8/7/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (11/3/8/7/10)-(4/10/3/9/8) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (11/3/8/7/10)-(4/10/3/9/8)-(7/5) 50 $0.50 $25.00 
MVR-7   WIN (4/10/3/9/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/10/3/9/8)-(4/10/3/9/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/10/3/9/8)-(4/10/3/9/8)-(4/10/3/9/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (4/10/3/9/8)-(7/5) 10 $1.00 $10.00 
    PK3 (4/10/3/9/8)-(7/5)-(6/4/7) 30 $0.50 $15.00 
MVR-8   WIN (7/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (7/5)-(7/5/3) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (7/5)-(7/5/3)-(7/5/3) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (7/5)-(6/4/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
MVR-9   WIN (6/4/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/4/7)-(6/4/7/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (6/4/7)-(6/4/7/5)-(6/4/7/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
MVR-1   12/26/2023 3630ft DIRT RC9 GOOD Starter Allowance ($8K) Purse ($23.7K) 3UP ALL PT-12:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TIGER TRAIL Dec12 Nov20 Oct28 Oct13 Sep04 (morales )FERNANDEZ R 126 12.00    
MASTEROFTHEHOUNDS Dec12 Nov21 Oct28 Oct11 Sep11 (rivera nestor)HOUGHTON D 124 5.00 19% 4.20    
MANNFORD Dec04 Nov20 Oct30 Sep25 Aug28 (urieta johanna)REYES FRANK 124 6.00 11% 7.80    
JOSH'N Dec07 Nov06 Oct21 Sep18 Aug31 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 124 15.00    
RECKLESS L J Nov20 Oct28 Sep25 Aug03 Jul11 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 124 2.00 41% 1.40    
PRIVATE DRIVE Dec14 Nov27 Nov20 Oct28 Oct03 (guidry ter)COLINA ALEJANDRO 126 10.00    
WILDCAT EXPRESS Nov20 Sep11 Aug14 Jul27 Jun20 (poole m)BRACHO A 124 1.60    
 
MVR-2   12/26/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($33.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AGNELLO CITY Dec07 Nov22 Nov08 Oct24 Oct05 (skerrett jeffrey)AVILES YAN 123 8.00    
PROSECUTOR Aug12 Jul25 Jul04 Jun14 Feb14 (guciardo robe)TOLEDO S 123 2.50 61% 0.60    
BIG TIME FLIRT Dec07 Nov16 Oct02 Sep14 Aug22 (erdel jo)FERNANDEZ R 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
WAR ON THE RIVER Nov22 Oct24 Oct02 Aug28 Aug08 (flores chris)HALDAR J 123 3.50 15% 5.60    
PLAYING BALL Dec07 Nov22 Sep07 Aug30 Jul27 (zielinski )SMITH DIOGDINABI 124 10.00    
ORLEANS STORM Dec07 Nov22 Nov08 Oct24 Sep27 (tumblin andrew)DIAZ I 124 5.00    
PRESSLEY RIDGE Nov30 Nov08 Oct24 Sep14 Aug28 (pappada julie )HOUGHTON D 123 3.00    
 
MVR-3   12/26/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($8K) Purse ($17.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KERANOS Dec04 Nov15 Nov04 Oct20 Oct06 (fa)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 15.00    
CAMP PENDLETON Nov15 Oct27 Sep30 Sep09 Aug31 (miller arizona)AVILES YAN 124 6.00 7% 12.60    
SCR  SKIDSTREAM Dec18 Dec06 Nov21 Nov13 Oct13 (bai)GIRON ALEJANDRO 124 12.00    
VENETIAN DREAM Dec18 Nov30 Nov20 Nov13 Oct31 (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 124 10.00    
SUDDEN SHIFT Dec06 Oct31 Oct13 Sep20 Jul25 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 124 4.00 13% 6.80    
LAUDA SPEED Nov01 Oct10 Sep05 Aug16 Jul12 (trevino steph)CEDILLO MAURO 124 10.00    
CANDY CRUSHEM Dec13 Nov15 Nov02 Oct09 Sep26 (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 124 10.00    
FRANCO (MEX) Dec06 Nov29 Oct31 Oct02 Aug31 (vecchio car)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 3.00 35% 1.80    
SMASH Dec06 Oct31 Sep26 Sep11 Aug15 (bernar)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 3.50 21% 3.70    
10  CITY PLAN Oct11 Sep03 Aug24 Aug18 Jul21 (zook w)CCAMAQUE M 124 12.00    
 
MVR-4   12/26/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($10.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAGGIE E Nov16 Nov01 Oct17 Sep29 Sep14 (meraz )BATISTA ALBERTO 126 2.50 33% 2.00    
CHOSEN BY GRACE Nov22 Nov08 Oct10     (galloway khade)HOUGHTON D 126 20.00    
STRIKING MELODY Oct28 Aug16 Aug04 Jun15 Dec18 (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 125 6.00    
SCR  RUNNETH OVER Nov29 Nov07 Sep27 Sep15 Aug19 (bates l)BRACHO A 125 15.00    
SCR  DESERT JUSTICE Dec11         (fiesman l)YARANGA Y 125 20.00    
GOLDEN HEIST Nov15 Nov07 Oct25 Oct12 Sep25 (thompson erin)BARBARAN ERIK 126 3.00 29% 2.50    
GIO'S MY DAD Dec11 Nov29 Nov19 Oct22 Oct10 (herrington cally)CCAMAQUE M 126 4.00 9% 10.00    
ZIPSY ROSE LEE Dec13 Nov22 Nov08 Oct24 Oct12 (fiesman robe)GONZALEZ KEVIN 126 12.00 5% 17.90    
CLIMATE Dec11 Nov29 Nov13 Oct26   (guciardo robert)AVILES YAN 126 15.00    
10  BAD AND BEAUTIFUL Nov29 Nov07 Sep21 Aug29 Aug07 (sondej amy)TOLEDO S 126 20.00    
11  RAG TOWN Nov26 Sep12 Aug07 May02 Mar15 (reust megan)TAPARA BRANDON 125 20.00    
SCR  LUNA MIA Oct09 Sep04 Jul19 Jul10 Jun20 (mon)GIRON ALEJANDRO 126 15.00    
 
MVR-5   12/26/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PARADE GRAND Dec11 Nov15 Nov02 Oct11 Oct02 (clousto)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 3.00 8% 11.30    
LUCKY JUNIOR Dec12 Nov29 Nov13 Oct23 Aug27 (poole jami )BRACHO AUGUSTIN 124 2.50 53% 0.90    
ROYAL COUP Oct27 Oct13 Sep30 Sep02 Aug27 (miller ariz)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 10.00    
CALL WEST Dec14 Nov29 Nov15 Nov06 Oct21 (vazquez ivan)HALDAR J 124 20.00    
YOUVESAIDITALL Dec12 Dec05 Nov01 Oct04 Sep11 (castillo jabdi)DIAZ I 124 6.00 6% 16.20    
SCR  SEXY CHOCOLATTE Dec13 Nov21 Oct31 Oct16 Sep17 (jensen justin )JURADO EDDIE 126 15.00    
GEH SCHNELL Dec12 Nov21 Oct13 Sep26 Sep11 (manning richar)HOUGHTON D 124 8.00    
TUFF ATTACK Dec18 Nov29 Oct13 Sep28 Aug30 (romero jose )TAPARA BRANDON 124 15.00    
GAMBLER Dec11 Nov29 Oct25 Oct07 Sep16 (cline c)YARANGA Y 124 4.00 11% 8.00    
10  BACK ALLEY CAT Dec11 Dec05 Nov05 Oct23 Oct11 (gomez ale)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 124 20.00    
 
MVR-6   12/26/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HEIDI'S SINATRA Dec04 Oct30 Sep30 Sep08 Aug11 (haehn r)REYES FRANK 124 30.00    
PALACE TEMPTATION Dec14 Nov14 Nov01 Sep30 Sep21 (faulkn)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 10.00    
STARS N SPACE Dec14 Nov08 Oct21 Sep25 Sep13 (overhol)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 5.00 23% 3.40    
PECKS NOT BAD Nov08 Aug30 Aug01 Jul06 Jun14 (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 124 10.00    
RED COMET Dec14 Nov29 Nov15 Nov08 Oct30 (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 123 15.00    
OVERLOAD Nov08 Oct04 Sep13 Aug30 Feb08 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 123 8.00    
BUCKEYE RED Dec11 Nov08 Oct25 Oct04 Jun06 (maddox rachael)PAUCAR E 126 6.00 6% 16.20    
OHIO STRONG Nov14 Oct30 Oct12 Sep11 Feb01 (ibarra marco)GONZALEZ A 124 10.00 18% 4.60    
TAMMY'S TOY Jan17 Nov14 Oct22 Sep23 Aug23 (brown glenr)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 20.00    
10  BAD BOY BOOGIE Dec14 Nov16 Oct25 Oct03 Sep21 (romero oscar)DIAZ I 123 3.50 5% 18.30    
11  COUNTRY RUCKUS Sep21 Aug30 Aug17 Jul27 Jun20 (maddox rachael)JIMENEZ S 124 4.00 28% 2.60    
12  ROLLIN SO PERFECT Dec14 Dec04 Nov08 Aug30 Aug01 (szczepansk)COLINA ALEJANDRO 124 20.00    
 
MVR-7   12/26/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($25K) Purse ($30.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COUNTRY CLUB BOBBY Dec07 Nov20 Oct28 Oct04 Sep20 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 126 3.50    
DERBY INCLUDED Dec07 Nov14 Oct28 Oct02 Aug28 (cline r)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 12.00    
FIRST SONG Nov30 Nov06 Oct24 Sep28 Aug26 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 124 4.00 8% 11.20    
DARK VADER Dec07 Nov20 Oct28 Jun19 Jun02 (radosevich je)BRACHO A 124 3.00 33% 2.00    
QUIET AMIGO Nov20 Oct04 Aug07 Jul13 Jun24 (zielinski r)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 8.00    
IT'S OFFICIAL Nov14 Oct06 Sep18 Jul22 Jul10 (juarez lorenzo)AVILES YAN 124 8.00    
THEDAYOFTHEGREY Nov28 Oct04 Sep06 Aug03 Jul22 (cline c)REYES FRANK 124 15.00    
TOTELLYOUTHETRUTH Nov14 Aug08 May22 Feb28 Nov28 (ibarra marco)BARBARAN ERIK 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
PLAY BALL Nov14 Oct03 Aug30 Jul31 May22 (ur)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 15.00 8% 11.30    
10  OAKS HONEY Dec04 Nov14 Oct03 Sep12 Aug28 (brown )BATISTA ALBERTO 124 6.00 24% 3.10    
 
MVR-8   12/26/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($40.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RAVEN MOON Dec04 Nov14 Oct28 Sep18 Aug24 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 123 10.00    
SIMON SAYS Jun24 May17 Dec29 Nov29 Sep16 (smith l)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 123 8.00    
LIONISTIC Nov20 Oct31 Oct11 Jul11 Jun27 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 123 2.00    
SCR  MIDNIGHT WARSHIP Jun02 Apr26 Mar28 Feb13 Nov29 (cowans william )REYES FRANK 123 6.00    
HENRY MAC Dec04 Nov14 Oct04 Sep12 Aug16 (radosevich je)BRACHO A 126 4.00 12% 7.50    
SCR  EXCITEMENT Dec13 Nov20 Oct12 Sep28 Aug26 (hamm timothy)LEBRON VICTOR 122 8.00    
LIBERATE Nov20 Aug06 May30 May15   (ha)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 2.50 57% 0.80    
 
MVR-9   12/26/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($33.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MUCH TIMES TWO Nov22 Oct12 Feb27 Jan26 Jan12 (fad)GIRON ALEJANDRO 124 20.00    
JOHN PHILIP Oct24 Sep27 Sep12 Aug30 Aug22 (tumblin andrew)AVILES YAN 123 20.00    
HAPPY TAKEOVER Dec11 Aug10 Jul17 May20 Apr27 (campbell anthon)VEGA L 124 20.00    
EAGLE NEST Oct24         (zielinski ri)TAPARA BRANDON 123 3.50 30% 2.30    
IPPOLITO'S WONDER Dec07 Nov22 Oct11 Jul05 Jun14 (ca)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 6.00    
ANGELICO Sep24         (ibarra marco)BARBARAN ERIK 124 0.80 38% 1.60    
ORVILLE B Nov22 Oct24 Oct05 Sep14 Aug28 (keiser debor)KEISER CHELSEY 123 4.00 7% 12.70    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.