Handicappers' Racing Form
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Saratoga
Saturday - September 02, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
SAR-1   Win (3/2/9/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00
SAR-2   Win (5/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00
SAR-3   Win (2/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00
SAR-4   Win (5/2/3/9/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00
SAR-5   Win (5/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00
SAR-6   Win (10/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00
SAR-7   Win (7/9/3/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00
SAR-8   Win (4/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00
SAR-9   Win (10/6/5/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00
SAR-10   Win (8/6/7/12) 4 $2.00 $8.00
SAR-11   Win (1/4/6/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00
SAR-12   Win (4/5/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
 
SAR-1   09/02/2023 3630ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($136.5K) 2 F PT-12:40
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LYRICAL PARDON Aug09 Jun16       (amoss thomas )MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 15.00    
2  TAMMY LYNN         (stall m)DAVIS DYLAN 119 4.50 17% 4.80    
3  BARAYE Apr19         (ward a)ROSARIO JOEL 119 3.50 56% 0.80    
4  ECHO BAYBE (IRE)         (englehart jeremi)LEZCANO JOSE 119 6.00    
5  LUZ DIVINA         (hamm timothy)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
6  SEVEN NATTY PATTY Aug10 Jul08       (rodriguez rudy )SILVERA RUBEN 119 10.00    
7  Z TRAIN (IRE)         (dutrow anthony )FRANCO MANUEL 119 5.00 ★    
8  SUGAR N SPICE Aug09 Jul08 Jun09 May18   (abreu fernando)TORRES A 114 20.00    
9  LIFE'S AN AUDIBLE Jul30         (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 119 5.00 5% 19.00    
10  HOUSEFLY (IRE)         (maker j)CARMOUCHE K 119 10.00    
SCR  REAGAN'S FLAME         (devaux che)SANTANA JR 119 6.00    
SCR  LA SALVADORENA         (handal raymond)DAVIS KATIE 119 12.00    
SCR  AGRA         (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 119 8.00    
SCR  MATAGORA BAY         (mott i)RIDER TBA 119 8.00    
SCR  TO BE LOVED BY YOU         (rodriguez r)RIDER TBA 119 12.00    
SCR  VALUE AREA Aug06         (pletcher a)RIDER TBA 119 1.60    
 
SAR-2   09/02/2023 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($156K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:13
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TONAL IMPACT Jul08 Jun15 May28 Apr29 Apr06 (rice linda)FRANCO MANUEL 126 2.00 26% 2.80    
2  UNCLE MOONLIGHT Jun15 Apr29 Mar04 Feb05 Jan06 (nevin michelle)CARMOUCHE K 124 5.00 11% 8.40    
3  MYSTIC NIGHT Aug03 Jun02 May13 Apr30 Apr02 (diodoro ro)SANTANA JR 122 6.00    
4  RAM Aug18 Jul26 Jul14 Jun29 Jun01 (lukas wayne)ROSARIO JOEL 122 12.00    
5  ACCRETIVE Jul22 Aug27 Jul31 Jun26   (brown c)ORTIZ JR 122 1.80 36% 1.80    
6  GUNTOWN Aug13 Aug03 May13 Apr22 Mar26 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 124 4.00    
 
SAR-3   09/02/2023 7260ft TURF RC13 FIRM Flower Bowl Purse ($500K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:48
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PARNAC (FR) Jul01 Jun11 May07 Nov13 Oct29 (clement christoph)DAVIS DYLAN 118 6.00    
2  MCKULICK (GB) Aug03 Jun09 May05 Oct15 Sep17 (brown c)ORTIZ JR 122 0.80 60% 0.70    
3  TAMARAMA (GB)         (sisterson jack)CASTELLANO J 118 6.00    
4  AMAZING GRACE (GER) Aug03 Jun09 May05 Apr01   (clement christop)ROSARIO JOEL 120 1.40 13% 6.60    
 
SAR-4   09/02/2023 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($149.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:21
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LAFITTE'S FLEET Aug19 Jul26 Jun15 May21 Apr27 (rodriguez rudy )SILVERA RUBEN 123 5.00    
1A  DAUFUSKIE ISLAND Aug19 Jul22 Jun22 May29 May05 (rodriguez )SANTANA JR 123 5.00    
2  CAPE TRAFALGAR (IRE) Aug05 Jun25 Apr14 Nov19 Oct08 (joseph a)DAVIS DYLAN 123 4.00 21% 3.80    
3  AWESOME NATIVE Jul27 May21 Apr07 Feb19 Jan14 (abreu r)ROSARIO JOEL 123 4.50 9% 9.70    
4  CHILENO Aug20 Aug12 Jul13 May28 Apr19 (rice linda)FRANCO MANUEL 123 6.00    
5  FRAT PACK Aug05 Jul04 Jul21     (brown c)ORTIZ JR 123 3.50 41% 1.40    
6  BOURBON BASH Aug05 Jul22 Jun25 Jun03 May06 (lukas wayne)TORRES A 115 15.00 5% 19.00    
7  LUDWIG Aug04 May21 Apr29 May07 Apr02 (bauer philip )ALVARADO JUNIOR 123 8.00    
8  OCEAN'S RESERVE Jul23 Jun17 May29 Dec29 Nov11 (gyarmati leah)CASTELLANO J 123 6.00    
9  BAYTOWN BEAR Aug06 Jul19 Jun26 May29 May16 (mcentee paul)MCENTEE GRACE 123 20.00 5% 19.00    
 
SAR-5   09/02/2023 3960ft DIRT RC13 FAST Prioress Purse ($250K) 3 F PT- 2:52
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JERSEY PEARL Aug05 Jul08 May27 Jan26 Dec31 (miller darrin)ORTIZ JR 120 3.00    
2  UNIFIED ALLIANCE Jul14 Jun11 Apr29 Apr03 Mar03 (morley thomas)CASTELLANO J 120 10.00    
3  UNSUNG MELODY Jul14 Jun18 May05 Mar11 Feb11 (ortiz alex)FRANCO MANUEL 118 6.00    
4  ALVA STARR Jul08 May27 May05 Sep07   (brinkman brett)LEZCANO JOSE 120 2.00 37% 1.70    
5  DAZZLING BLUE Jul08 May19 Dec26 Nov16   (cox h)ROSARIO JOEL 120 1.20 40% 1.50    
 
SAR-6   09/02/2023 5610ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($136.5K) 2 ALL PT- 3:26
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WALLEY WORLD         (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 119 4.00 7% 12.80    
2  BUFFOON (FR)         (maker j)DAVIS DYLAN 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
3  TOM COLLINS Aug19         (mcgaughey claude)ROSARIO JOEL 119 5.00 ★    
4  GET READY TO ROCK Aug19         (kimmel c)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 20.00    
5  ZVEREV         (devaux che)SANTANA JR 119 6.00    
6  DANGEROUS DRIVER Aug19 Jul09 Jun22     (jimenez l)TORRES A 114 30.00    
7  OCALA ROCKET         (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 5.00 ★    
8  VIN SANTO         (brown r)DAVIS KATIE 119 15.00    
9  STOLEN MAGIC         (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 119 10.00    
10  AGATE ROAD Aug05         (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 119 2.50 69% 0.40    
SCR  LIVE TO RIDE (GB)         (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 119 10.00    
SCR  UNIQUE INSIGHT         (brown c)CASTELLANO J 119 3.50    
SCR  FORTUNE SELLER Jul22         (rice kevin)ORTIZ JR 119 3.00    
SCR  UNCLE BO Jul22         (gargan danny)CARMOUCHE K 119 6.00    
SCR  NOBLE WAVE Aug06 Jul22 Jun22     (weaver george)LEZCANO JOSE 119 12.00    
SCR  TROPANDHAGEN         (synnefias dimitr)CONNER TYLER 119 30.00    
 
SAR-7   09/02/2023 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($136.5K) 2 ALL PT- 4:00
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ASK ISAAC Jul22         (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 119 8.00    
2  SHAMROCK SHAKE Jul29         (morley thomas)DAVIS DYLAN 119 15.00    
3  GENERAL PARTNER Jul22         (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 119 4.00 25% 3.00    
4  RIVETAGE         (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 119 12.00    
5  JUSTIFIABLY SO         (zito nicho)SANTANA JR 119 20.00    
6  JUST BE HAPPY         (mcpeek g)CARMOUCHE K 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
7  ENLIGHTEN         (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 119 3.00 27% 2.60    
8  TYPHOON FURY         (weaver george)CASTELLANO J 119 12.00    
9  DIVE BOMBER Jul22         (cox h)ROSARIO JOEL 119 3.50 26% 2.90    
10  JEFFERSON STREET         (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 4.50 ★    
SCR  PENTATHLON Aug05         (mcgaughey claude)ROSARIO JOEL 119 8.00    
SCR  DEPOSITION         (st uriah)HADDOCK DEXTER 119 30.00    
 
SAR-8   09/02/2023 3630ft TURF RC11 FIRM Harvey Pack Purse ($150K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:34
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MISTER MMMMM Aug05 Jun23 Jun01 May02 Apr08 (barkley jason)ORTIZ JR 120 12.00    
2  DANCING BUCK Nov25 Oct01 Sep02 Jul29 Jun16 (nevin michelle)FRANCO MANUEL 118 3.50 19% 4.40    
3  THIN WHITE DUKE Aug23 Aug05 Jul26 Jul04 Jun10 (donk david)LEZCANO JOSE 118 5.00    
4  BIG INVASION Jun10 May06 Mar18 Sep10 Aug14 (clement christop)ROSARIO JOEL 122 1.40 35% 1.90    
5  OUR SHOT Jul26 Jun18 Apr26 Mar03 Jan19 (terranova john)CASTELLANO J 120 2.00 25% 2.90    
6  CHESS MASTER Aug02 Jul21 Jun24 May27 Apr29 (abreu r)CASTILLO ISAAC 122 15.00    
SCR  WILLY BOI Aug13 Jul01 May20 Mar26 Feb11 (giddings melanie)RIDER TBA 118 5.00    
SCR  SHERIFF BIANCO Aug11 Jul16 Jul01 May29 Apr30 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 1.80    
SCR  JAKE ROCKS Jul26 Apr27 Apr01 Mar04 Feb05 (schettino domin)FRANCO MANUEL 118 12.00    
 
SAR-9   09/02/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($95K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:08
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ROBYN AND ELI Aug12 Jul08 Jun15 May05 Oct09 (abreu fernando)DAVIS KATIE 121 20.00    
1A  MERAVIGLIOSO Aug24 Jul27 Jun16 May20 Apr23 (abreu fernando)TORRES A 116 20.00    
2  FORCES SWEETHEART May11 Mar23 Dec17 Nov05   (joseph saffie)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 12.00    
3  MISSING FORTUNE Aug11 Jul12 Jun21 May31 Sep14 (saul dana)COA J 123 8.00 ★    
4  EASY PLAY Aug08 Jun19 May29 May08 Apr25 (d'alessand)SANTANA JR 123 15.00    
5  SANDY'S GARDEN Jul29 Jun21 May23 Jul04 Mar27 (tebbutt john)LEZCANO JOSE 123 6.00 21% 3.70    
6  ATHENA BEACH Jul26 Jun21 May18 Mar30 Feb23 (synnefias dimitr)CONNER TYLER 120 6.00 21% 3.70    
SCR  FANCYPANTS JULIANA Jul04 Jun05 Sep30 Jul28   (donk david)DAVIS A 120 20.00    
8  FANCY FELINE Jul09 May21 Apr23 Mar26 Feb25 (bond jame)ROSARIO JOEL 121 8.00    
9  TOSCONOVA BEAUTY Aug11 Jul09 Jun15 May22 Apr25 (dixon k)ALVARADO R 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
10  RICHIES PRINCESS Aug12         (rivelli larry)ORTIZ JR 120 2.50 34% 2.00    
11  MAJESTIC RETURN Jul09 May14 Apr16 Mar11 Feb11 (giangiulio michel)CARMOUCHE K 120 10.00    
12  BIG BEAN CHRISTINE Aug11 Mar11 Feb09 Jan06 Dec01 (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 121 10.00    
 
SAR-10   09/02/2023 5280ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($149.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:44
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DANZIGWITHTHESTARS Aug05 Jun17 May27 Nov19 Oct22 (schettino domin)FRANCO MANUEL 124 6.00    
SCR  BREW PUB Aug05 Jul01 May21 Apr30 Mar11 (rodriguez r)RIDER TBA 122 6.00    
2  FREDO Jul28 Jun09 May14 Apr22 Mar19 (sano antonio)ALVARADO JUNIOR 124 12.00    
3  HEATHGUARD Mar26 Mar16 Feb18     (lerman s)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 20.00    
4  RUSE Aug05 Jul03 Jun17 Sep15 Aug11 (hills a)CARMOUCHE K 124 8.00 ★    
5  BAD TO THE BONES Aug05 Jul01 May28 May03 Sep03 (mott i)ROSARIO JOEL 124 12.00    
6  I'M VERY BUSY Jul22 Nov04 Oct02 Aug13   (brown c)ORTIZ JR 120 3.50 20% 3.90    
7  ROYAL SPIRIT Aug18 Jul21 Jun24 May11 Apr16 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 122 6.00 8% 12.30    
8  INTERNAL CAPITAL Jul22 Oct22 Sep04 Jul29 Jul02 (brown c)CASTELLANO J 124 4.50 47% 1.10    
9  TALLAHATCHIEBRIDGE Aug10 Feb04 Dec23 Sep05 Aug07 (joseph a)DAVIS DYLAN 124 8.00    
10  SO HIGH (GB) Aug12 Jul22 Jun24 Jun10 Apr07 (chatterp)MARAGH RAMSAY 124 10.00    
SCR  STARRYSTARRYKNIGHT Jul29 May28 May21 Sep03 Aug10 (hemingway mich)TORRES A 117 30.00    
12  LANDBISCUIT Aug25 Jul27 Jun17 May20 May14 (brown r)DAVIS KATIE 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
13  DRAKON Aug05 Jul08 May28 Apr02 Feb26 (diodoro robertino)CARMOUCHE K 122 10.00    
SCR  AL'S ROCKET Aug05 Jun17 May04 Nov20 Oct26 (pletcher t)SANTANA JR 122 8.00    
SCR  SAQEEL Jul16 Jun10 Apr02 Mar19 Feb25 (diodoro ro)SANTANA JR 122 2.00    
 
SAR-11   09/02/2023 6600ft DIRT RC14 FAST Jockey Club Gold Cup Purse ($1000K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:18
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PROXY Jul22 Jul01 Apr22 Mar04 Jan28 (stidham michael)ROSARIO JOEL 126 2.00 45% 1.20    
2  UNBRIDLED BOMBER Jul08 May05 Apr16 Jan07 Nov12 (ryerson t)DAVIS DYLAN 126 15.00    
3  WARRIOR JOHNY Jul02 Jun04 Nov17 Sep24 Aug18 (bauer philip )ALVARADO JUNIOR 126 20.00 5% 19.00    
4  RATTLE N ROLL Jul01 Jun03 May19 Apr22 Mar25 (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 126 1.80 20% 4.00    
5  CLAPTON Jul08 May19 Apr01 Mar12 Feb05 (summers chad)ORTIZ JR 126 8.00    
6  TYSON (SAF) Jul29 Jul01 Jun04 May06 Mar04 (carroll josie)FRANCO MANUEL 126 5.00 12% 7.40    
7  DUKE OF LOVE Aug06 Jul01 May07 Oct02 Sep13 (carroll josie)CONTRERAS LUIS 126 15.00    
8  BRIGHT FUTURE Jul21 Jun10 May06 Apr01 Jun11 (pletcher todd )CASTELLANO J 126 6.00    
 
SAR-12   09/02/2023 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($50K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:52
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SPERSS Aug04 Jun01 Apr14 Jan14   (bond ja)TORRES A 115 12.00    
2  PINSTRIPEPIZZO Aug19 Jul03 Jun01 Apr15 Feb24 (de hor)SANTANA JR 120 8.00    
3  DREAM ROAD Aug19 May06 Mar24 Nov26   (persaud eddie)SILVERA RUBEN 124 6.00    
4  CAMCHA Jun23         (clement christo)ORTIZ JR 120 2.00 51% 0.90    
5  JANNIE MAE Aug04 Jul13 Jun23 Apr14 Oct22 (nevin michelle)CARMOUCHE K 124 10.00 22% 3.50    
6  LEM ME DRINK Jun23 May28 Apr14 Feb10 Jan19 (levine bruce)DAVIS DYLAN 124 5.00 ★    
SCR  STONE OF DESTINY Aug04 Jul13 Jun17     (donk david)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 8.00    
8  DUNEEN BAY         (lerman s)USKE S 120 30.00 5% 19.00    
9  JAYLA Aug19 Mar09 Feb16 Jan20 Sep05 (antonucci jena)CASTELLANO J 120 12.00 ★    
10  MISS BARB Jan06 Dec16 Nov04     (nevin michelle)DAVIS KATIE 120 20.00    
11  KNOCKZCATOFFZFENCE Aug16 Aug10       (kantarmaci mert)FRANCO MANUEL 120 20.00    
12  OUTTA THE CLOUD Aug04 Jun26 Jun05 Nov23 Nov08 (tebbutt john)FLORES JEREMIAS 120 30.00    
SCR  MARY KATHERINE Jul13 Jun24 May18 Apr22   (handal raymond)DAVIS KATIE 120 15.00    
SCR  SO ARE YOU Jul13 Nov01 Aug31 Jul06 Jun15 (meadow e)USKE S 124 30.00    
SCR  ARISAEMA Jul13 Jun01 Apr15 Feb12 Oct29 (abreu r)ROSARIO JOEL 124 2.50    
SCR  EMBRACEABLE GAL Aug04 Jul15       (hennig mark)RIDER TBA 120 5.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.